Machine Learning-Based Models for Advanced Fibrosis and Cirrhosis Diagnosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients With Hepatic Steatosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The global rise of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) superimposed on hepatic steatosis (HS) warrants noninvasive, precise tools for assessing fibrosis progression. This study leveraged machine learning (ML) to develop diagnostic models for advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in this patient population. METHODS: Treatment-naive CHB patients with concurrent HS who underwent liver biopsy in 10 medical centers were enrolled as a training cohort and an independent external validation cohort (NCT05766449). Six ML models were implemented to predict advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis. The final models, derived from SHAP (Shapley Additive exPlanations), were compared with Fibrosis-4 Index, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease Fibrosis Score, and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index using the area under receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: Of 1,198 eligible patients, the random forest model achieved AUROCs of 0.778 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.749-0.807) for diagnosing advanced fibrosis (random forest advanced fibrosis model) and 0.777 (95% CI, 0.748-0.806) for diagnosing cirrhosis (random forest cirrhosis model) in the training cohort, and maintained high AUROCs in the validation cohort. In the training cohort, the random forest advanced fibrosis model obtained an AUROC of 0.825 (95% CI, 0.787-0.862) in patients with hepatitis B virus DNA ≥105 IU/mL, and the random forest cirrhosis model had an AUROC of 0.828 (95% CI, 0.774-0.883) in female patients. The 2 models outperformed Fibrosis-4 Index, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease Fibrosis Score, and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index in the training cohort, and also performed well in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The random forest models provide reliable, noninvasive tools for identifying advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in CHB patients with concurrent HS, offering a significant advancement in the comanagement of the 2 diseases. CLINICALTRIALS: gov, Number: NCT05766449.

Antiviral therapy response in patients with chronic hepatitis B and fatty liver: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

The impact of concurrent fatty liver (FL) on response to antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients has not been well characterized. We aimed to systematically review and analyse antiviral treatment response in CHB patients with and without FL. We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library databases from inception to 31 May 2023 for relevant studies. Biochemical response (BR), complete viral suppression (CVS) and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion in CHB patients with FL (CHB-FL) and without FL (non-FL CHB) were compared. In an initial pool of 2101 citations, a total of 10 studies involving 2108 patients were included. After 12 weeks of treatment, CHB-FL patients as compared with non-FL CHB patients had lower BR rate (48.37% [108/227] vs. 72.98% [126/174], p = .04) but similar trend for CVS (36.86% [80/227] vs. 68.81% [114/174], p = .05) and similar rates of HBeAg seroconversion (6.59% [7/103] vs. 7.40% [7/110], p = .89). However, at week 48, there were no statistically significant differences between CHB-FL and non-FL CHB patients in any of the outcomes, including BR (60.03% [213/471] vs. 69.37% [314/717], p = .67), CVS (65.63% [459/746] vs. 73.81% [743/1132], p = .27) and HBeAg seroconversion (10.01% [30/275] vs. 14.06% [65/453], p = .58) with similar findings for week 96. BR rate was lower in CHB-FL patients after 12 weeks of antiviral treatment. However, after a longer follow-up of either 48 or 96 weeks, no statistically significant differences were observed in BR, CVS or HBeAg seroconversion rates between CHB patients with and without FL.

LiverRisk score: An accurate, cost-effective tool to predict fibrosis, liver-related, and diabetes-related mortality in the general population.

BACKGROUND: Noninvasive and early assessment of liver fibrosis is of great significance and is challenging. We aimed to evaluate the predictive performance and cost-effectiveness of the LiverRisk score for liver fibrosis and liver-related and diabetes-related mortality in the general population. METHODS: The general population from the NHANES 2017-March 2020, NHANES 1999-2018, and UK Biobank 2006-2010 were included in the cross-sectional cohort (n = 3,770), along with the NHANES follow-up cohort (n = 25,317) and the UK Biobank follow-up cohort (n = 17,259). The cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using TreeAge Pro software. Liver stiffness measurements ≥10 kPa were defined as compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). FINDINGS: Compared to conventional scores, the LiverRisk score had significantly better accuracy and calibration in predicting liver fibrosis, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.76 (0.72-0.79) for cACLD. According to the updated thresholds of LiverRisk score (6 and 10), we reclassified the population into three groups: low, medium, and high risk. The AUCs of LiverRisk score for predicting liver-related and diabetes-related mortality at 5, 10, and 15 years were all above 0.8, with better performance than the Fibrosis-4 score. Furthermore, compared to the low-risk group, the medium-risk and high-risk groups in the two follow-up cohorts had a significantly higher risk of liver-related and diabetes-related mortality. Finally, the cost-effectiveness analysis showed that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for LiverRisk score compared to FIB-4 was USD $18,170 per additional quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000/QALY. CONCLUSIONS: The LiverRisk score is an accurate, cost-effective tool to predict liver fibrosis and liver-related and diabetes-related mortality in the general population. FUNDING: The National Natural Science Foundation of China (nos. 82330060, 92059202, and 92359304); the Key Research and Development Program of Jiangsu Province (BE2023767a); the Fundamental Research Fund of Southeast University (3290002303A2); Changjiang Scholars Talent Cultivation Project of Zhongda Hospital of Southeast University (2023YJXYYRCPY03); and the Research Personnel Cultivation Program of Zhongda Hospital Southeast University (CZXM-GSP-RC125).

The impact of an increased Fibrosis-4 index and the severity of hepatic steatosis on mortality in individuals living with diabetes.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Data on the effects of liver fibrosis and hepatic steatosis on outcomes in individuals living with diabetes are limited. Therefore, we investigated the predictive value of the fibrosis and the severity of hepatic steatosis for all-cause mortality in individuals living with diabetes. METHODS: A total of 1903 patients with diabetes from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) dataset were enrolled. Presumed hepatic fibrosis was evaluated with Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). The mortality risk and corresponding hazard ratio (HR) were analyzed with the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 19.4 years, all-cause deaths occurred in 69.6%. FIB-4 ≥ 1.3 was an independent predictor of mortality in individuals living with diabetes (HR 1.219, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.067-1.392, p = 0.004). Overall, FIB-4 ≥ 1.3 without moderate-severe steatosis increased the mortality risk (HR 1.365; 95%CI 1.147-1.623, p < 0.001). The similar results were found in individuals living with diabetes with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) (HR 1.499; 95%CI 1.065-2.110, p = 0.020), metabolic syndrome (MetS) (HR 1.397; 95%CI 1.086-1.796, p = 0.009) or abdominal obesity (HR 1.370; 95%CI 1.077-1.742, p = 0.010). CONCLUSIONS: Liver fibrosis, as estimated by FIB-4, may serve as a more reliable prognostic indicator for individuals living with diabetes than hepatic steatosis. Individuals living with diabetes with FIB-4 ≥ 1.3 without moderate-severe steatosis had a significantly increased all-cause mortality risk. These findings highlight the importance of identifying and monitoring those individuals, as they may benefit from further evaluation and risk stratification.

Different minimal alcohol consumption in male and female individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The relationship between moderate alcohol intake and health outcomes among individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is complex. Our aim was to investigate the association of minimal alcohol consumption with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among MAFLD individuals of different genders. METHODS: Our study included 2630 MAFLD individuals from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the association between alcohol use measures and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Restricted cubic spline curves were used to evaluate the relationship between alcohol consumption per week and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: In the entire MAFLD cohort, we observed significant disparities in clinical characteristics between male and female individuals with MAFLD. Higher weekly alcohol consumption was significantly associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality (male, hazard ratios [HRs]: 1.009, 95% CIs: 1.004-1.014; female, HRs: 1.032, 95% CIs: 1.022-1.042). In males with MAFLD, a linear association with all-cause mortality was observed for weekly alcohol consumption (p for non-linearity = .21). Conversely, in females with MAFLD, the risk of all-cause mortality remained relatively stable until 2 drinks per week, after which it rapidly increased with each additional drink consumed, and the increase in mortality risk was higher than that observed in males (p for non-linearity < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that any increase in weekly alcohol consumption was associated with increased all-cause mortality in men with MAFLD. Conversely, consuming less than 2 drinks per week had minimal impact on the risk of mortality among female.

Development of a machine learning-based model to predict hepatic inflammation in chronic hepatitis B patients with concurrent hepatic steatosis: a cohort study.

Background: With increasingly prevalent coexistence of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and hepatic steatosis (HS), simple, non-invasive diagnostic methods to accurately assess the severity of hepatic inflammation are needed. We aimed to build a machine learning (ML) based model to detect hepatic inflammation in patients with CHB and concurrent HS. Methods: We conducted a multicenter, retrospective cohort study in China. Treatment-naive CHB patients with biopsy-proven HS between April 2004 and September 2022 were included. The optimal features for model development were selected by SHapley Additive explanations, and an ML algorithm with the best accuracy to diagnose moderate to severe hepatic inflammation (Scheuer's system ≥ G3) was determined and assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA) and calibration curve. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05766449). Findings: From a pool of 1,787 treatment-naive patients with CHB and HS across eleven hospitals, 689 patients from nine of these hospitals were chosen for the development of the diagnostic model. The remaining two hospitals contributed to two independent external validation cohorts, comprising 509 patients in validation cohort 1 and 589 in validation cohort 2. Eleven features regarding inflammation, hepatic and metabolic functions were identified. The gradient boosting classifier (GBC) model showed the best performance in predicting moderate to severe hepatic inflammation, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.86 (95% CI 0.83-0.88) in the training cohort, and 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-0.92), 0.76 (95% CI 0.73-0.80) in the first and second external validation cohorts, respectively. A publicly accessible web tool was generated for the model. Interpretation: Using simple parameters, the GBC model predicted hepatic inflammation in CHB patients with concurrent HS. It holds promise for guiding clinical management and improving patient outcomes. Funding: This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 82170609, 81970545), Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province (Major Project) (No. ZR2020KH006), Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (No.BK20231118), Tianjin Key Medical Discipline (Specialty), Construction Project, TJYXZDXK-059B, Tianjin Health Science and Technology Project key discipline special, TJWJ2022XK034, and Research project of Chinese traditional medicine and Chinese traditional medicine combined with Western medicine of Tianjin municipal health and Family Planning Commission (2021022).

α-Acyloxylation of Ketones/Cyclic Ethers Mediated by Hypervalent Iodine(III) Reagents as Oxidants and Nucleophilic Sources.

This study describes a catalyst-free α-acyloxylation of ketones and a KBr-mediated α-acyloxylation of cyclic ethers. These conversions are effectively mediated by hypervalent iodine(III) reagents serving dual roles as the oxidant and nucleophilic source. Consequently, esters are produced directly in moderate to excellent yields. The proposed method features good functional group compatibility, a broad substrate scope, and high synthetic efficiency and is remarkably environmentally friendly.

[Empagliflozin inhibits inflammatory response and alleviates renal injury in type 2 diabetic rats by up-regulating the expression of exchange protein 1 directly activated by cAMP (Epac1)].

Objective To observe the therapeutic effect of empagliflozin (EM) on renal injury in rats with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), and to explore its possible mechanism. Methods Male SD rats were randomly divided into a normal control (NC) group, a T2DM group, and an EM group, with 6 rats in each group. T2DM models were established by an intraperitoneal injection of streptozotocin (STZ) in the T2DM and EM groups. Fasting blood glucose (FBG) levels and body mass of rats in each group were recorded. The EM group received EM solution through intragastric administration, while the other two groups were given an equivalent volume of sodium carboxymethyl cellulose solution through intragastric administration for 12 weeks. After the body mass and FBG levels were recorded, the rats were sacrificed and blood samples from the abdominal aorta and kidney tissues were collected. Serum creatinine (Scr), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), uric acid (UA), triglyceride (TG) and total cholesterol (TC) were detected by automatic biochemical analyzer. Masson, PAS and HE staining were used to assess histological changes in the kidneys, and a transmission electron microscopy was used to observe ultrastructural changes. Immunohistochemical staining was used to detect the expression and distribution of exchange protein 1 directly activated by cAMP(Epac1), TNF-α, IL-1ß, and IL-18 in renal tissue of rats. Results Compared with the NC group, the rats in T2DM group showed a decrease in body mass, a significant increase in the levels of FBG, Scr, BUN, UA, TC, and TG, thickened glomerular basement membrane, foot process fusion of podocytes, disordered cell arrangement and loss of endothelial cell fenestrations. The expression level of Epac1 decreased, while the expression levels of TNF-α, IL-1ß, and IL-18 significantly increased. Compared with the T2DM group, the rats in the EM group showed an increase in body mass, significantly decreased levels of FBG, Scr, BUN, UA, TC, and TG, reduced renal injury, increased expression level of Epac1, and significantly decreased expression levels of TNF-α, IL-1ß, and IL-18. Conclusion EM can improve renal injury in T2DM rats by up-regulating Epac1 expression to inhibit inflammatory response.

Alcohol Intake Thresholds Among Individuals With Steatotic Liver Disease.

This cohort study aims to elucidate the dose-dependent association of alcohol use with progression of steatotic liver disease using a noninvasive, low-cost method.

Prognostic Value of Venous Outflow Profiles on Multiphase CT Angiography for the Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke After Endovascular Thrombectomy.

To evaluate the prognostic value of venous outflow (VO) profiles evaluated on multiphase CTA (mCTA) for the patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) after endovascular thrombectomy (EVT). We retrospectively collected 150 patients with AIS who underwent pre-treatment CT perfusion (CTP) evaluation and subsequent EVT from April 2018 to April 2022. Three-phases (peak arterial phase, peak venous phase, late venous phase) CTA was reconstructed from CTP raw data, and VO was evaluated on three-phases CTA, respectively. Favorable VO was regarded as a cortical vein opacification score of 3-6, and unfavorable VO as a score of 0-2. Good outcome was defined as modified Rankin Scale score of 0-2 at 90 days after EVT. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to explore the predictors of good outcome. Prognostic value was assessed and compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Delong test. We found that good outcome was achieved in 85 (56.7%) patients. Among the mCTA-derived VO profiles, only favorable peak venous phase VO was found to be independently associated with good outcome (P < 0.001). After integrating favorable peak venous phase VO with lower post-treatment National Institute of Health Stroke Scale score at 24 hours, successful recanalization and favorable hypoperfusion intensity ratio, the predictive ability for a good outcome was significantly improved than before (area under the ROC curve; 0.947 vs 0.881; P = 0.002). This study supports that favorable peak venous VO profiles on mCTA might be a promising biomarker in predicting the good outcome in patients with AIS after EVT.

Age-specific association between thyroid autoimmunity and hypothyroidism in Chinese adults aged over 65 years: a cross-sectional study.

Background: The correlation between thyroid autoimmune (TAI) disease and hypothyroidism in the elderly of different ages remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiological characteristics of hypothyroidism, including subclinical hypothyroidism (Shypo) and overt hypothyroidism (Ohypo) in those aged ≥65 years from iodine-adequate areas and reveal the correlation between TAI and hypothyroidism in the elderly of different ages. Methods: It was a cross-sectional study involving 2,443 subjects aged ≥65 years from two iodine-adequate areas in China by cluster sampling. They were assigned to the 65-69-, 70-79-, and ≥80-year-old age group. All subjects were surveyed by questionnaires and received physical examinations, laboratory testing, and thyroid ultrasound. Epidemiological characteristics of thyroid diseases in the elderly were compared among the three groups. Risk factors for hypothyroidism were predicted by binary logistic regression analysis. Results: The median urinary iodine level was 238.70 (197.00, 273.70) µg/L. Thyroid peroxidase antibody or thyroglobulin antibody positivity (11.87%) and Shypo (9.13%) were common in the elderly. The prevalence of hypothyroidism in the elderly increases with age. TAI was a risk factor for Shypo (OR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.35, 2.80; p < 0.01) and Ohypo (OR, 7.64; 95% CI, 3.40, 17.19; p < 0.01) in elderly Chinese. There was an age-specific correlation between TAI and hypothyroidism in the elderly. However, a significant correlation was not identified between TAI and hypothyroidism in ≥80-year-old age group (p > 0.05). Conclusion: Hypothyroidism, particularly Shypo, is common in the elderly from iodine-adequate areas in China. TAI serves as a risk factor for hypothyroidism in the elderly, with an age-specific correlation with hypothyroidism.

Sijunzi decoction granules in the prevention and treatment of recurrence of colorectal adenoma: Study protocol for a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

Background: The recurrence of colorectal adenomas (CRAs) after endoscopy predisposes patients to a risk of colorectal cancer. Guided by the traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), patients with colorectal diseases usually manifest with spleen deficiency syndrome (SDS) and are treated with Sijunzi decoction (SJZD). Therefore, this trial aims to explore the efficacy and safety of SJZD in the prevention and treatment of CRAs recurrence. Methods: SJZD on prevention and treatment of CRAs recurrence after resection: a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial was designed. Patients who undergo polypectomy of CRAs will be recruited and randomized into a SJZD group and a placebo group in a 1:1 ratio. The intervention phase will be 12 months. The follow-up period will last 24 months. The primary outcome is the CRA recurrence rate after intervention. The secondary outcomes include the CRA recurrence rate at the second year post-polypectomy, the pathological type of adenoma and the alterations in SDS scores after intervention. Discussion: Previous clinical practice has observed the sound effect of SJZD in the context of gastrointestinal diseases. A number of experiments have also validated the active components in SJZD. This trial aims to provide tangible evidence for the usage of SJZD, hoping to reduce the recurrence of CRAs.

A strategy for the treatment of gastrointestinal cancer: Targeting tumor senescent cells.

Gastrointestinal (GI) cancer includes a variety of cancers with high incidence that seriously threaten the lives of people worldwide. Although treatment strategies continue to improve, patient benefits are still very limited, and the ongoing search for new treatment strategies remains a priority. Cell senescence is closely related to the occurrence and development of tumors. For GI cancer, cell senescence may not only promote cancer but also bring new opportunities for treatment. Combined with relevant studies, we review the dual role of cell senescence in GI cancer, including the mechanism of inducing cell senescence, biomarkers of senescent cells, and potential of targeted senescence therapy for GI cancer.

Age-specific serum thyrotropin reference range for the diagnosis of subclinical hypothyroidism and its association with lipid profiles in the elderly population.

The overdiagnosis of subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) in the elderly has driven researchers to establish age-specific thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) intervals to precisely evaluate the prevalence of SCH. Moreover, abnormal lipid profiles, an insidious manifestation of SCH, show various impacts on different age groups. This study aimed to establish an age-specific TSH reference range to clarify the spectrum of SCH in the elderly. The prevalence of dyslipidemia and the age-specific association between TSH and lipid profiles were analyzed to elucidate the relationship between SCH and dyslipidemia. This cross-sectional study enrolled 2460 participants aged ≥ 65 years via cluster sampling. All participants received physical, laboratory tests and thyroid ultrasound examination and completed the questionnaire. The chi-square test was used to analyze variations of dyslipidemia prevalence among different groups. The Cochran-Armitage trend test was applied for testing the linear trends of age-specific prevalence of dyslipidemia among different TSH intervals in each age group. After adjusting for confounding factors, the age-specific association between TSH and lipid profiles was identified using multi-variate linear regression analysis. The TSH reference ranges in the 65-70 age group, 71-80 age group and > 80 age group were 0.65-5.51 mIU/L, 0.85-5.89 mIU/L and 0.78-6.70 mIU/L, respectively. Using these age-specific reference ranges, the prevalence of SCH in the whole population was 3.74%, which was significantly lower than the prevalence based on the laboratory reference range (10.28%). In the 65-70 age group, only the prevalence of high total cholesterol (TC) increased significantly with the age-specific TSH intervals, and TSH was positively associated with TC and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). In the 71-80 and > 80 age groups, the prevalence of high TC, high triglycerides (TGs), and high LDL-C increased significantly with elevated TSH reference ranges. The levels of TC, TGs, and LDL-C were also positively associated with TSH level in 71-80 age group. However, such an association disappeared in > 80 age group. An age-specific reference range for TSH can effectively prevent the overdiagnosis of SCH in the elderly. Aging could somewhat attenuate the impact of TSH on lipid profiles.

Therapeutic efficacy of dapagliflozin on diabetic kidney disease in rats.

AIM: Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is one of the severe microvascular complications of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), which eventually leads to irreversible renal damage and develops into end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are a new class of antidiabetic drugs that act on the kidney to reduce glucose reabsorption. Increasing evidence confirms that dapagliflozin exerts a protective effect on DKD, but the mechanisms have not been reported. The aims of this study were to observe the therapeutic efficacy of dapagliflozin on DKD and investigate the possible immunological mechanism. MATERIALS AND METHODS: T2DM was modeled by a high-sugar and high-fat diet combined with STZ. Then, rats were treated with 10 mg/kg dapagliflozin for 8 weeks. The protective efficacy of dapagliflozin was evaluated by observing body weight, blood glucose, blood serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, 24-h urine protein, renal histology and ultrastructure, and oxidative stress levels. The immunological mechanisms were monitored by measuring the levels of TLR2/Myd88/NF-κB by immunohistochemical staining, RT-qPCR and Western blotting. RESULTS: After treatment with dapagliflozin, renal damage was greatly improved. The levels of blood glucose, renal function and proteinuria were significantly decreased, and renal pathological and ultrastructural damage was obviously extenuated, possibly due to the reduction in inflammation and the levels of oxidative stress. CONCLUSIONS: Dapagliflozin has therapeutic potential for DKD. This effect was possibly mediated by inhibiting inflammation and oxidative stress levels.