'Hot phase' non-dilated left ventricular cardiomyopathy with atypical onset and recurrence: a case report.

Non-dilated left ventricular cardiomyopathy (NDLVC) is a newly categorized cardiomyopathy phenotype includingseveral aetiologies with a linking characteristic represented by the normal left ventricular volume. Inflammatory heart disease (InHD) is a heterogeneous process with variegate clinical manifestations, sometimes in overlap with NDLVC. A 26-year-old woman was admitted forcomplete heart block (CHB) and persistently raised troponin. Echocardiography and coronary angiography were normal. Extensive oedema and late gadolinium enhancement was found at cardiac magnetic resonance. Endomyocardial biopsy showed no signs of active myocarditis. Steroid therapy was started with restoration of atrioventricular conduction but subsequently the patient experienced a mild recurrence with a new troponin relapse. Genetic test was negative for mutations related with the clinical scenario. In this case of NDLVC with InHD the precise diagnostic work-up, including genetic test, was crucial for diagnostic, prognostic andtherapeutic purposes. Multimodality approach is crucial to detect and treat possible recurrences.

Ultrasound-guided deployment of ProGlide™ device in transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve implantation and risk reduction of vascular complications: A propensity-matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: ProGlide is a percutaneous suture-mediated closure device used in arterial and venous closure following percutaneous intervention. Risk of vascular complications from use, particularly related to failure in hemostasis, or acute vessel closure, remains significant and often related to improper suture deployment. We describe a technique of ultrasound-guided ProGlide deployment in transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TF-TAVI). AIMS: The aim of this study is to assess vascular outcomes for ultrasound-guided deployment of ProGlide vascular closure devices in patients undergoing TF-TAVI. METHODS: We collected relevant clinical data of patients undergoing TAVI in a large volume centre. PRIMARY OUTCOME: main access Valve Academic Research Consortium 3 (VARC-3) major vascular complication. SECONDARY OUTCOME: any major/minor VARC-3 vascular complication, its type (bleed or ischemia), and treatment required (medical, percutaneous, or surgical). We performed inverse weighting propensity score analysis to compare the population undergoing ultrasound-guided versus conventional ProGlide deployment for main TAVI access. Ultrasound technique for ProGlide insertion was performed as described below. RESULTS: Five hundred and seventeen patients undergoing TF-TAVI were included. PRIMARY OUTCOME: In 126 (ultrasound-guided) and 391 (conventional ProGlide insertion), 0% versus 1.8% (p < 0.001) had a major VARC-3 vascular complication, respectively. SECONDARY OUTCOME: 0.8% (one minor VARC-3 bleed) vs 4.1% (13 bleeds and three occlusions) had any VARC-3 vascular complication (major and minor) (p < 0.001). Surgical treatment of vascular complication was required in 0.8% versus 1.3% (p = NS). CONCLUSIONS: Ultrasound-guided deployment of ProGlide for vascular closure reduced the risk of major vascular complications in a large population undergoing TAVI.

A case report of isolated cardiac light chain amyloidosis without clinically overt heart failure: an under-recognized presentation.

Background: Cardiac involvement in amyloid light-chain (AL) amyloidosis usually represents a brick in the wall of a multi-system disease. The presence of cardiac deposition of free light chains (FLCs) is the main determinant of survival. Isolated cardiac AL is an uncommon scenario characterized by a challenging diagnostic and therapeutic workup. Case summary: A 57-year-old asymptomatic man was presented for an incidental finding of myocardial necrosis at the electrocardiogram (ECG) performed for newly diagnosed arterial hypertension. Alongside signs of previous myocardial infarction, transthoracic echocardiography showed a severely increased left ventricular (LV) wall thickness not consistent with ECG voltages, segmental akinaesia with normal LV systolic function with 'apical sparing' pattern. Laboratory assessment showed an unexpectedly high level of natriuretic peptide and persistently abnormal troponin in the absence of symptoms or signs of heart failure or ongoing ischaemia. Coronary angiogram confirmed the coronary artery disease. Before revascularization, a complete diagnostic workup was carried. Serum electrophoresis detected a monoclonal gammopathy that was further investigated by serum immunofixation, revealing high lambda FLCs concentration. Fat pad, bone marrow, and salivary glands biopsies resulted negative for amyloid deposition. Finally, endomyocardial biopsy was consistent with AL amyloidosis. Urgent percutaneous revascularization was performed, and the patients was timely started on chemotherapy. Discussion: The diagnosis of isolated cardiac AL amyloidosis is challenging and carries important therapeutic implications. As the short-term prognosis might be severely compromised, an accurate diagnostic flowchart has to be systematically pursued to obtain a precise diagnosis and address the optimal, tailored management.

Reshaping care in the aftermath of the pandemic. Implications for cardiology health systems.

In the last two years, the COVID-19 pandemic has undeniably changed everyday life and significantly reshaped the healthcare systems. Besides the direct effect on daily care leading to significant excess mortality, several collateral damages have been observed during the pandemic. The impact of the pandemic led to staff shortages, disrupted education, worse healthcare professional well-being, and a lack of proper clinical training and research. In this review we highlight the results of these important changes and how can the healthcare systems can adapt to prevent unprecedented events in case of future catastrophes.

Diuretic dose trajectories in dilated cardiomyopathy: prognostic implications.

BACKGROUND: For patients with heart failure, prescription of loop diuretics (LD) and of higher doses are associated with an adverse prognosis. We investigated LD dose trajectories and their associations with outcomes in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). METHODS: Associations between outcomes and both furosemide-equivalent dose (FED) at enrolment and change in FED in the subsequent 24 months were evaluated. According to FED trajectory, patients were classified as (i) dose↑ (FED increase by ≥ 50% or newly initiated); (ii) dose↓ (FED decrease by ≥ 50%); (iii) stable dose (change in FED by < 50%); and (iv) never-users. The primary outcome was all-cause-death/heart transplantation/ventricular-assist-device/heart failure hospitalization. The secondary outcome was all-cause-death/heart transplantation/ventricular-assist-device. RESULTS: Of 1,131 patients enrolled, 738 (65%) were prescribed LD at baseline. Baseline FED was independently associated with outcome (HR per 20 mg increase: 1.12 [95% CI 1.04-1.22], p = 0.003). Of the 908 with information on FED within 24 months from enrolment, 31% were never-users; 29% were dose↓; 26% were stable dose and 14% were dose↑. In adjusted models, compared to never-users, stable dose had a higher risk of the primary outcome (HR 2.42 [95% CI 1.19-4.93], p = 0.015), while dose↑ had the worst prognosis (HR 2.76 [95% CI 1.27-6.03], p = 0.011). Results were similar for the secondary outcome. Compared to patients who remained on LD, discontinuation of LD (143, 24%) was associated with an improved outcome (HR 0.43 [95% CI 0.28-0.65], p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with DCM, LD use and increasing FED are powerful markers of adverse outcomes. Patients who never receive LD have an excellent prognosis. Among 1131 DCM patients 65% received loop diuretics at enrolment (upper left side). The bar chart on the upper right side shows the categorization in never-users/ dose↓/stable dose/ dose↑ over 24 months of follow-up. At the bottom is reported on the left side of each panel (observation period) the trajectory of LD dose in the four groups (left panel) and in patients who have their LD suspended vs those who continue LD (right panel) in the first two years. On the right side of each panel is shown the incidence of primary outcomes during the subsequent follow-up in the subgroups (outcome assessment).

Left Atrial Reverse Remodeling in Dilated Cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Left atrial (LA) dilation is associated with a worse prognosis in several cardiovascular settings, but therapies can promote LA reverse remodeling. The aim of this study was to characterize and define the prognostic implications of LA volume index (LAVI) reduction in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). METHODS: Consecutive patients with DCM from two tertiary care centers, with available echocardiograms at baseline and at 1-year follow-up, were retrospectively analyzed. LA dilation was defined as LAVI > 34 mL/m2, and change in LAVI (ΔLAVI) was defined as the 1-year relative LAVI reduction. The outcome was a composite of death, heart transplantation (HTx), or heart failure hospitalization (HFH). RESULTS: Five hundred sixty patients were included (mean age, 54 ± 13 years; mean left ventricular ejection fraction, 31 ± 10%; mean LAVI, 45 ± 18 mL/m2). Baseline LAVI had a non-linear association with the risk for death, HTx, or HFH, independent of age, left ventricular ejection fraction, mitral regurgitation, and medical therapy (P < .01). At 1-year follow-up, LAVI decreased in 374 patients (67%; median ΔLAVI, -24%; interquartile range, -37% to -11%). Factors independently associated with ΔLAVI were higher baseline LAVI and lower baseline left ventricular ejection fraction. After multivariable adjustment, ΔLAVI showed a linear association with the risk for death, HTx, or HFH (hazard ratio, 0.96 per 5% decrease; 95% CI, 0.93-0.99; P = .042). At 1-year follow-up, patients with reductions in LAVI of >10% and LAVI normalization (i.e., follow-up LAVI ≤ 34 mL/m2; 31% of the overall cohort) were at lower risk for death, HTx, or HFH (hazard ratio, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.35-0.97; P = .028). CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort of patients with DCM, 1-year reduction in LAVI was observed in a number of patients. The association between reduction in LAVI and death, HTx, or HFH suggests that LA structural reverse remodeling might be considered an additional parameter useful in the individualized risk stratification of patients with DCM.

Machine learning for prediction of in-hospital mortality in coronavirus disease 2019 patients: results from an Italian multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Several risk factors have been identified to predict worse outcomes in patients affected by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Machine learning algorithms represent a novel approach to identifying a prediction model with a good discriminatory capacity to be easily used in clinical practice. The aim of this study was to obtain a risk score for in-hospital mortality in patients with coronavirus disease infection (COVID-19) based on a limited number of features collected at hospital admission. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied an Italian cohort of consecutive adult Caucasian patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 who were hospitalized in 13 cardiology units during Spring 2020. The Lasso procedure was used to select the most relevant covariates. The dataset was randomly divided into a training set containing 80% of the data, used for estimating the model, and a test set with the remaining 20%. A Random Forest modeled in-hospital mortality with the selected set of covariates: its accuracy was measured by means of the ROC curve, obtaining AUC, sensitivity, specificity and related 95% confidence interval (CI). This model was then compared with the one obtained by the Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) and with logistic regression. Finally, to understand if each model has the same performance in the training and test set, the two AUCs were compared using the DeLong's test. Among 701 patients enrolled (mean age 67.2 ±â€Š13.2 years, 69.5% male individuals), 165 (23.5%) died during a median hospitalization of 15 (IQR, 9-24) days. Variables selected by the Lasso procedure were: age, oxygen saturation, PaO2/FiO2, creatinine clearance and elevated troponin. Compared with those who survived, deceased patients were older, had a lower blood oxygenation, lower creatinine clearance levels and higher prevalence of elevated troponin (all P < 0.001). The best performance out of the samples was provided by Random Forest with an AUC of 0.78 (95% CI: 0.68-0.88) and a sensitivity of 0.88 (95% CI: 0.58-1.00). Moreover, Random Forest was the unique model that provided similar performance in sample and out of sample (DeLong test P = 0.78). CONCLUSION: In a large COVID-19 population, we showed that a customizable machine learning-based score derived from clinical variables is feasible and effective for the prediction of in-hospital mortality.

Clinical characterization and natural history of chemotherapy-induced dilated cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: Chemotherapy-induced dilated cardiomyopathy (CI-DCM) is a well-recognized phenotype of non-ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), characterized by poor outcomes. However, a detailed comparison between idiopathic DCM (iDCM) and CI-DCM is still lacking. METHODS AND RESULTS: All consecutive DCM patients enrolled in the Trieste Muscle Heart Disease Registry were analysed. CI-DCM and iDCM were defined according to current recommendations. The primary study outcome measure was all-mortality death and secondary outcomes were a) a composite of cardiovascular death/heart-transplantation/ventricular-assist-device implantation, and b) major ventricular arrhythmias. The study included 551 patients (499 iDCM and 52 CI-DCM). At enrolment, compared with iDCM, CI-DCM patients were older (51 ± 14 years vs. 58 ± 3 years, respectively, P < 0.001) and had a higher left ventricular ejection fraction (32% ± 9 vs. 35% ± 10, respectively, P = 0.03). Over a median follow-up of 90 months (IQR 54-140 months), CI-DCM patients had a higher incidence of all-cause mortality compared with iDCM (36.5% vs. 8.4% in CI-DCM and iDCM respectively, P < 0.001), while the incidence of major ventricular arrhythmias was higher in the iDCM group compared with CI-DCM (4% vs. 0%, in CI-DCM and iDCM respectively, P = 0.03). The risk of the composite outcome was comparable between the two groups (P = 0.91). At Cox multivariable analysis, the diagnosis of CI-DCM emerged as independently associated to primary outcome (HR 6.42, 95% C.I. 2.52-16.31, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In a well-selected DCM cohort, patients with a chemotherapy-induced aetiology had a higher incidence of all-cause mortality compared with iDCM. Conversely, the incidence of life-threatening ventricular arrhythmic events was higher among patients with iDCM.

Cardiovascular Damage in COVID-19: What We Know Two Years Later.

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW: The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has profoundly influenced cardiological clinical and basic research in the past two years. In the present review, we summarize the current knowledge on myocardial involvement in COVID-19, providing an overview on the incidence, the pathogenetic mechanisms, and the clinical implications of cardiac injury in this setting. RECENT FINDINGS: The possibility of heart involvement in patients with COVID-19 has received great attention since the beginning of the pandemic. After more than two years, several steps have been taken in understanding the mechanisms and the incidence of cardiac injury during COVID-19 infection. Similarly, studies globally have clarified the implications of co-existing heart disease and COVID-19. Severe COVID-19 infection may be complicated by myocardial injury. To date, a direct damage from the virus has not been demonstrated. The presence of myocardial injury should be systematically assessed for a prognostication purpose and for possible therapeutic implications.

Transient versus persistent improved ejection fraction in non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: The recent definition of heart failure with improved ejection fraction outlined the importance of the longitudinal assessment of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). However, long-term progression and outcomes of this subgroup are poorly explored. We sought to assess the LVEF trajectories and their correlations with outcome in non-ischaemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NICM) with improved ejection fraction (impEF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive NICM patients with baseline LVEF ≤40% enrolled in the Trieste Heart Muscle Disease Registry with ≥1 LVEF assessment after baseline were included. ImpEF was defined as a baseline LVEF ≤40%, and second evaluation showing both a ≥10% point increase from baseline LVEF and LVEF >40%. Transient impEF was defined by the documentation of recurrent LVEF ≤40% during follow-up. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death, heart transplantation and left ventricular assist device (D/HT/LVAD). Among 800 patients, 460 (57%) had impEF (median time to improvement 13 months). Transient impEF was observed in 189 patients (41% of the overall impEF group) and was associated with higher risk of D/HT/LVAD compared with persistent impEF at multivariable analysis (hazard ratio 2.54; 95% confidence interval 1.60-4.04). The association of declining LVEF with the risk of D/HT/LVAD was non-linear, with a steep increase up to 8% points reduction, then remaining stable. CONCLUSIONS: In NICM, a 57% rate of impEF was observed. However, recurrent decline in LVEF was observed in ≈40% of impEF patients and it was associated with an increased risk of D/HT/LVAD.

Global Longitudinal Strain is Incremental to Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction for the Prediction of Outcome in Optimally Treated Dilated Cardiomyopathy Patients.

Background Speckle tracking echocardiographic global longitudinal strain (GLS) predicts outcome in patients with new onset heart failure. Still, its incremental value on top of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in patients with nonischemic, nonvalvular dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) after optimal heart failure treatment remains unknown. Methods and Results Patients with DCM were included at the outpatient clinics of 2 centers in the Netherlands and Italy. The prognostic value of 2-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiographic global longitudinal strain was evaluated when being on optimal heart failure medication for at least 6 months. Outcome was defined as the combination of sudden or cardiac death, life-threatening arrhythmias, and heart failure hospitalization. A total of 323 patients with DCM (66% men, age 55±14 years) were included. The mean LVEF was 42%±11% and mean GLS after optimal heart failure treatment was -15%±4%. Twenty percent (64/323) of all patients reached the primary outcome after optimal heart failure treatment (median follow-up of 6[4-9] years). New York Heart Association class ≥3, LVEF, and GLS remained associated with the outcome in the multivariable-adjusted model (New York Heart Association class: hazard ratio [HR], 3.43; 95% CI, 1.49-7.90, P=0.004; LVEF: HR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.11-4.10, P=0.024; GLS: HR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.18-4.29, P=0.015), whereas left ventricular end-diastolic diameter index, left atrial volume index, and delta GLS were not. The addition of GLS to New York Heart Association class and LVEF improved the goodness of fit (log likelihood ratio test P<0.001) and discrimination (Harrell's C 0.703). Conclusions Within this bicenter study, GLS emerged as an independent and incremental predictor of adverse outcome, which exceeded LVEF in patients with optimally treated DCM. This presses the need to routinely include GLS in the echocardiographic follow-up of DCM.

The right ventricular involvement in dilated cardiomyopathy: prevalence and prognostic implications of the often-neglected child.

Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a primary heart muscle disease characterized by left or biventricular systolic impairment. Historically, most of the clinical attention has been devoted to the evaluation of left ventricular function and morphology, while right ventricle (RV) has been for many years the forgotten chamber. Recently, progresses in cardiac imaging gave clinicians precious tools for the evaluation of RV, raising the awareness of the importance of biventricular assessment in DCM. Indeed, RV involvement is far from being uncommon in DCM, and the presence of right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) is one of the major negative prognostic determinants in DCM patients. However, some aspects such as the possible role of specific genetic mutations in determining the biventricular phenotype in DCM, or the lack of specific treatments able to primarily counteract RVD, still need research. In this review, we summarized the current knowledge on RV involvement in DCM, giving an overview on the epidemiology and pathogenetic mechanisms implicated in determining RVD. Furthermore, we discussed the imaging techniques to evaluate RV function and the role of RV failure in advanced heart failure.

Sex-related differences in patients with coronavirus disease 2019: results of the Cardio-COVID-Italy multicentre study.

INTRODUCTION: The role of sex compared to comorbidities and other prognostic variables in patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is unclear. METHODS: This is a retrospective observational study on patients with COVID-19 infection, referred to 13 cardiology units. The primary objective was to assess the difference in risk of death between the sexes. The secondary objective was to explore sex-based heterogeneity in the association between demographic, clinical and laboratory variables, and patients' risk of death. RESULTS: Seven hundred and one patients were included: 214 (30.5%) women and 487 (69.5%) men. During a median follow-up of 15 days, deaths occurred in 39 (18.2%) women and 126 (25.9%) men. In a multivariable Cox regression model, men had a nonsignificantly higher risk of death vs. women (P = 0.07).The risk of death was more than double in men with a low lymphocytes count as compared with men with a high lymphocytes count [overall survival hazard ratio (OS-HR) 2.56, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.72-3.81]. In contrast, lymphocytes count was not related to death in women (P = 0.03).Platelets count was associated with better outcome in men (OS-HR for increase of 50 × 103 units: 0.88 95% CI 0.78-1.00) but not in women. The strength of association between higher PaO2/FiO2 ratio and lower risk of death was larger in women (OS-HR for increase of 50 mmHg/%: 0.72, 95% CI 0.59-0.89) vs. men (OS-HR: 0.88, 95% CI 0.80-0.98; P = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Patients' sex is a relevant variable that should be taken into account when evaluating risk of death from COVID-19. There is a sex-based heterogeneity in the association between baseline variables and patients' risk of death.

Combined Role of Troponin and Natriuretic Peptides Measurements in Patients With Covid-19 (from the Cardio-COVID-Italy Multicenter Study).

Data concerning the combined prognostic role of natriuretic peptide (NP) and troponin in patients with COVID-19 are lacking. The aim of the study is to evaluate the combined prognostic value of NPs and troponin in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. From March 1, 2020 to April 9, 2020, consecutive patients with COVID-19 and available data on cardiac biomarkers at admission were recruited. Patients admitted for acute coronary syndrome were excluded. Troponin levels were defined as elevated when greater than the 99th percentile of normal values. NPs were considered elevated if above the limit for ruling in acute heart failure (HF). A total of 341 patients were included in this study, mean age 68 ± 13 years, 72% were men. During a median follow-up period of 14 days, 81 patients (24%) died. In the Cox regression analysis, patients with elevated both NPs and troponin levels had higher risk of death compared with those with normal levels of both (hazard ratio 2.94; 95% confidence interval 1.31 to 6.64; p = 0.009), and this remained significant after adjustment for age, gender, oxygen saturation, HF history, and chronic kidney disease. Interestingly, NPs provided risk stratification also in patients with normal troponin values (hazard ratio 2.86; 95% confidence interval 1.21 to 6.72; p = 0.016 with high NPs levels). These data show the combined prognostic role of troponin and NPs in COVID-19 patients. NPs value may be helpful in identifying patients with a worse prognosis among those with normal troponin values. Further, NPs' cut-point used for diagnosis of acute HF has a predictive role in patients with COVID-19.

Contemporary etiology and prognosis of dilated non-ischemic cardiomyopathy.

Non-ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy (NI-DCM) represents a specific etiology of systolic heart failure that usually affect young individuals with a genetic background in up to 40% of cases. Behind the term NI-DCM there is a spectrum of different diseases, and an accurate etiological classification appears pivotal for the clinical management and prognostic stratification of these patients. In the last years the prognosis of NI-DCM patients dramatically improved thanks to the progresses in medical treatment/ device therapy and earlier diagnosis especially in familial context. In this review we summarize the actual state of art in the management of these patients. In the era of precision medicine, a lot of progresses have been made to expand our knowledge on the management of NI-DCM patients. A complex interaction between genotype and external triggers is the main determinant of the clinical phenotype in NI-DCM, and a lot of efforts must be done by clinicians to systematically rule out all the possible causes involved in the pathogenesis. Progresses in cardiac imaging and familial screening led us to detect subtle abnormalities in the initial phase of the disease and also helped us to furtherly stratify the prognosis and arrhythmic risk of these patients. It is plausible that a more precise etiological classification will be needed in the near future. NI-DCM contains a spectrum of different diseases. Proper etiological classification, early diagnosis and strict follow-up are essential to tailor care of these patients.

The prognostic value of serial troponin measurements in patients admitted for COVID-19.

AIMS: Myocardial injury (MI) in coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19) is quite prevalent at admission and affects prognosis. Little is known about troponin trajectories and their prognostic role. We aimed to describe the early in-hospital evolution of MI and its prognostic impact. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed an analysis from an Italian multicentre study enrolling COVID-19 patients, hospitalized from 1 March to 9 April 2020. MI was defined as increased troponin level. The first troponin was tested within 24 h from admission, the second one between 24 and 48 h. Elevated troponin was defined as values above the 99th percentile of normal values. Patients were divided in four groups: normal, normal then elevated, elevated then normal, and elevated. The outcome was in-hospital death. The study population included 197 patients; 41% had normal troponin at both evaluations, 44% had elevated troponin at both assessments, 8% had normal then elevated troponin, and 7% had elevated then normal troponin. During hospitalization, 49 (25%) patients died. Patients with incident MI, with persistent MI, and with MI only at admission had a higher risk of death compared with those with normal troponin at both evaluations (P < 0.001). At multivariable analysis, patients with normal troponin at admission and MI injury on Day 2 had the highest mortality risk (hazard ratio 3.78, 95% confidence interval 1.10-13.09, P = 0.035). CONCLUSIONS: In patients admitted for COVID-19, re-test MI on Day 2 provides a prognostic value. A non-negligible proportion of patients with incident MI on Day 2 is identified at high risk of death only by the second measurement.