A prediction risk score for HIV among adolescent girls and young women in South Africa: identifying those in need of HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis.

BACKGROUND: In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) have the highest risk of acquiring HIV. This has led to several studies aimed at identifying risk factors for HIV in AGYM. However, a combination of the purported risk variables in a multivariate risk model could be more useful in determining HIV risk in AGYW than one at a time. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate an HIV risk prediction model for AGYW. METHODS: We analyzed HIV-related HERStory survey data on 4,399 AGYW from South Africa. We identified 16 purported risk variables from the data set. The HIV acquisition risk scores were computed by combining coefficients of a multivariate logistic regression model of HIV positivity. The performance of the final model at discriminating between HIV positive and HIV negative was assessed using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The optimal cut-point of the prediction model was determined using the Youden index. We also used other measures of discriminative abilities such as predictive values, sensitivity, and specificity. RESULTS: The estimated HIV prevalence was 12.4% (11.7% - 14.0) %. The score of the derived risk prediction model had a mean and standard deviation of 2.36 and 0.64 respectively and ranged from 0.37 to 4.59. The prediction model's sensitivity was 16. 7% and a specificity of 98.5%. The model's positive predictive value was 68.2% and a negative predictive value of 85.8%. The prediction model's optimal cut-point was 2.43 with sensitivity of 71% and specificity of 60%. Our model performed well at predicting HIV positivity with training AUC of 0.78 and a testing AUC of 0.76. CONCLUSION: A combination of the identified risk factors provided good discrimination and calibration at predicting HIV positivity in AGYW. This model could provide a simple and low-cost strategy for screening AGYW in primary healthcare clinics and community-based settings. In this way, health service providers could easily identify and link AGYW to HIV PrEP services.

The association between maternal cadmium exposure and small for gestational age: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Several observational studies have found an association between maternal Cadmium (Cd) exposure and Small for Gestational Age (SGA). However, these findings are inconsistent. We conducted this meta-analysis to evaluate the relationship between maternal cadmium exposure and SGA risk. A comprehensive search was performed through PubMed, Scopus, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library and OpenGrey to retrieve all pertinent studies published before October 2020. A combined odds ratio (OR) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) were employed to examine this correlation. As a result, nine eligible studies met the inclusion criteria and were included in a systematic review, of those six studies containing sample type of blood were included in meta-analysis, and present meta-analysis showed that maternal cadmium exposure increased the risk of SGA 1.31 times (OR = 1.31; 95% CI = 1.16-1.47 for highest versus lowest category of cadmium). This meta-analysis suggests that maternal Cd exposure may be a risk factor for SGA. However, large prospective studies from different ethnic populations with consideration of other influencing parameters are needed to confirm this finding.

Rabies mortality and morbidity associated with animal bites in Africa: a case for integrated rabies disease surveillance, prevention and control: a scoping review.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this scoping review was to map the current situation and available evidence and gaps on rabies morbidity, mortality, integrated rabies surveillance programmes, and existing prevention and control strategies in Africa. METHODS: We conducted a systematic scoping review following the Joanna Briggs methodology and Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for scoping reviews checklist. Medline, Embase, CINAHL (EBSCOHost), Scopus, Web of Science and rabies web conferences were used to search for peer-reviewed publications between January 1946 and May 2020. Two researchers reviewed the studies and extracted data based on author (year) and region, study design and data collection duration, participants/comparators, interventions, control conditions/exposures and outcomes (rabies mortality and morbidity) and key findings/gaps/challenges. The results were reported narratively using Arksey and O'Malley's methodological framework. RESULTS: Electronic search yielded 2775 records, of which 43 studies were included. A total of 543 714 bite victims were censored through the included studies. Most of the victims were less than 15 years of age. The studies included rabies morbidity (21) and mortality (15) fluctuating in space and time across Africa depending on countries' rabies prevention and control practices (16). Others were surveillance (nine studies); surveillance and prevention (five studies); management and control (seven studies); and surveillance, prevention and control (six studies). We found challenges in rabies reporting, existing dog vaccination programmes and post-exposure prophylaxis availability or compliance. CONCLUSION: This study found challenges for dog rabies control and elimination in Africa and the need for a policy to drive the goal of zero dog-transmitted rabies to humans by 2030.This is an open-access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build on this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated and the use is non-commercial (see http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

COVID-19 pandemic in Malawi: Did public sociopolitical events gatherings contribute to its first-wave local transmission?

INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 pandemic in Malawi emerged amidst widespread anti-government demonstrations and subsequent mass gatherings. This paper describes the incidence and factors associated with the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic in Malawi. METHODOLOGY: This was a retrospective study of public data analysing geopolitical and immigration activities that occurred between 02 April and 08 September 2020. The Chi-square test of independence was used to tabulate sex and age-related fatality ratios among deaths due to COVID-19-related complications. RESULTS: The drivers for COVID-19 spread were mass gatherings secondary to the country's political landscape and repatriation of citizens from high-risk areas coupled with minimum use of public health interventions. The prevalence was higher in people aged 50-59 years, males and in urban areas. Men had an increased risk of COVID-19-related deaths (Case Fatality Ratio: 1.58 (95% CI 1.11-2.22) compared with women. Furthermore, men and women aged ≥40 years were 16.1 times and 7.1 times more likely to die of COVID-related complications, respectively. Men aged ≥40 years had a 62% increased risk of deaths compared with women of the same age group. CONCLUSION: Mass political gatherings and cross-border immigration from high-risk areas were drivers for infection. Males, older age and urban residence were associated with increased COVID-19 morbidity and mortality. To control the spread of COVID-19 there is a need to regulate mass gatherings and repatriation of citizens, and strengthen the use of preventive health interventions. Men, the older age groups and urban areas should be prioritised for COVID-19 prevention strategies.

Factors associated with antiretroviral treatment failure among people living with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in resource-poor settings: a systematic review and metaanalysis.

BACKGROUND: Despite the increase in the number of people accessing antiretroviral therapy (ART), there is limited data regarding treatment failure and its related factors among HIV-positive individuals enrolled in HIV care in resource-poor settings. This review aimed to identify factors associated with antiretroviral treatment failure among individuals living with HIV on ART in resource-poor settings. METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive search on MEDLINE (PubMed), Excerpta Medica Database (EMBASE), Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), World Health Organization's (WHO's) library database, and Latin American and Caribbean Health Sciences Literature (LILACS). We included observational studies (cohort, case-control, and cross-sectional studies) where adolescents and adults living with HIV were on antiretroviral treatment regardless of the ART regimen. The primary outcomes of interest were immunological, virological, and clinical failure. Some of the secondary outcomes were mm3 opportunistic infections, WHO clinical stage, and socio-demographic factors. We screened titles, abstracts, and the full texts of relevant articles in duplicate. Disagreements were resolved by consensus. We analyzed the data by doing a meta-analysis to pool the results for each outcome of interest. RESULTS: Antiretroviral failure was nearly 6 times higher among patients who had poor adherence to treatment as compared to patients with a good treatment adherence (OR = 5.90, 95% CI 3.50, 9.94, moderate strength of evidence). The likelihood of the treatment failure was almost 5 times higher among patients with CD4 < 200 cells/mm3 compared to those with CD4 ≥ 200 CD4 cells/mm3 (OR = 4.82, 95% CI 2.44, 9.52, low strength of evidence). This result shows that poor adherence and CD4 count below < 200 cells/mm3 are significantly associated with treatment failure among HIV-positive patients on ART in a resource-limited setting. CONCLUSION: This review highlights that low CD4 counts and poor adherence to ART were associated to ART treatment failure. There is a need for healthcare workers and HIV program implementers to focus on patients who have these characteristics in order to prevent ART treatment failure. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: The systematic review protocol was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO), registration number: 2019 CRD42019136538.

Perceptions on Adherence to Dietary Prescriptions for Adults with Chronic Kidney Disease on Hemodialysis: A Qualitative Study.

Diet is one of the modifiable lifestyle factors in management of kidney disease. We explored perceptions on adherence to dietary prescriptions for adults with chronic kidney disease on hemodialysis. This was a qualitative descriptive study. Participants were purposively selected at renal clinics/dialysis units at national referral hospitals in Kenya. Data were collected using in-depth interviews, note-taking and voice-recording. The data were managed and analyzed thematically in NVIV0-12 computer software. Study participants were 52 patients and 40 family caregivers (42 males and 50 females) aged 20 to 69 years. Six sub-themes emerged in this study: "perceived health benefits"; "ease in implementing prescribed diets"; "cost of prescribed renal diets"; "nutrition information and messages"; "transition to new diets" and "fear of complications/severity of disease". Both patients and caregivers acknowledged the health benefits of adherence to diet prescriptions. However, there are mixed messages to the patients and caregivers who have challenges with management and acceptability of the prescriptions. Most of them make un-informed dietary decisions that lead to consumption of unhealthy foods with negative outcomes such as metabolic waste accumulation in the patients' bodies negating the effects of dialysis and undermining the efforts of healthcare system in management of patients with chronic kidney disease.

Determinants of adherence to clinic appointments among tuberculosis and HIV co-infected individuals attending care at Helen Joseph Hospital, Johannesburg, South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: tuberculosis (TB) is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality among people living with HIV/AIDS. The growing burden of TB/HIV co-infection continues to strain the healthcare system due to association with long duration of treatment. This is a catalyst for poor adherence to clinic appointments, which results in poor treatment adherence and patient outcome. This study evaluated the factors associated with adherence to clinic appointments among TB/HIV co-infected patients in Johannesburg, South Africa. METHODS: this was a cross-sectional study that involved 10427 patients ≥18 years of age with HIV infection and co-infected with TB. We used a proxy measure "md clinic appointments" to assess adherence, then multivariable logistic regression to evaluate factors associated with adherence. RESULTS: one thousand, five hundred and twenty-eight patients were co-infected with TB, of these, 17.4% attained good adherence. Patients with TB/HIV co-infection who were on treatment for a longer period were less likely to adhere to clinic appointments (AOR: 0.98 95% CI: 0.97, 0.99). CONCLUSION: duration on treatment among TB/HIV co-infected patients is associated with adherence to clinic appointments. It is therefore vital to reinforce public health interventions that would enhance sustained adherence to clinic appointments and mitigate its impact on treatment adherence and patient outcome.

"What Will I Be Doing There Among So Many Women?": Perceptions on Male Support in Prevention of Mother to Child Services in Lilongwe, Malawi.

Participation of males in the prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) programs remains a challenge despite the implementation of guidelines. The study aimed at exploring male involvement in the PMTCT program at a primary health facility in Lilongwe, Malawi. Focus group discussions and in-depth individual interviews were used to collect data from health care workers, men, and women who were attending PMTCT services. Snowball sampling was used to recruit participants who were purposively identified. Alcohol consumption, pressure from work places, stigma, role conflict, denial or nondisclosure of HIV status among women, and lack of awareness were among factors found to hinder male participation in PMTCT services. Therefore, to have an effective PMTCT program, male involvement is needed as this could positively influence the delivery of interventions including antiretroviral treatment among HIV-infected pregnant women. As such, health education awareness campaigns emphasizing the value of men in PMTCT services should be reinforced.

Sources of Health Care Among Under-5 Malawian Children With Diarrhea Episodes: An Analysis of the 2017 Demographic and Health Survey.

Diarrhea is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the world but mostly in Sub-Saharan Africa. These could be prevented if universal coverage of current available interventions were implemented. The study aimed to identify factors associated with the choice of health care source among caretakers seeking treatment for under-5 children with diarrhea illness. Using women's questionnaire we extracted a subset of data of children aged 0 to 59 months from the 2017 Demographic & Health Survey. Questions regarding history of childhood diarrhea for the past 24 hours or last 2 weeks prior to the survey were key in data extraction. Caregivers were asked to report the place where they sought treatment. In this study, 4 types of health facilities were defined: public, private, pharmacies, and other unspecified sources. A multinomial logistic regression model was used to identify sources of health facility used and corresponding factors associated with the choice. Factors associated with choice of health care source included education (educated women were less likely to self-medicate their children [relative risk ration (RRR) = 0.46; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.22-0.94]), income (better income earning families were more likely to seek care from private facility such as pharmacy [RRR = 1.87; 95% CI = 1.14-3.09]), and rural living (those in rural areas were more likely to seek treatment from other unspecified sources [RRR = 7.33, 95% CI = 1.40-38.36]). Public health facilities (79.9%) were the main source of health care service; however, reducing under-5 mortality due to diarrhea illness would require significant efforts to address other inequalities in accessing and utilizing health care services.

Effect of fish oil omega-3 fatty acids on reduction of depressive symptoms among HIV-seropositive pregnant women: a randomized, double-blind controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Globally, it is known that HIV-infected pregnant women are prone to depressive symptoms. Research evidences also suggest that nutrient deficiencies may enhance the depressive illness, and that fish oil omega-3 fatty acids may alleviate the depressive symptoms. The aim of this study was to assess the effect of fish oil omega-3 eicosapentaenoic acid-rich supplements on depressive symptoms among HIV-seropositive pregnant women. TRIAL DESIGN: A randomized double-blinded controlled trial with two parallel groups was conducted. The intervention group received fish oil omega-3 of 3.17 g (eicosapentaenoic acid = 2.15 g; docosahexaenoic acid = 1.02 g) per day for 8 weeks, while the control group received soybean oil for a similar period. METHOD: Participants were HIV-seropositive pregnant women who were enrolled in prevention of mother-to-child transmission programs and attending antenatal clinics at selected Nairobi city county's health facilities. Recruitment was done from health records of HIV-infected pregnant women. Data analysis followed per-protocol analysis. Participants who completed the 8-week trial were included in the analysis of covariance statistical model with omega-3 as main effect. The covariates in the change in BDI-II depressive symptom score outcome were baseline characteristics and nutrient adequacy. RESULTS: 282 participants were recruited 109 randomized to fish oil, and 107 to soybean oil. Completion rate was 86/109 (78.9%) and 96/107 (89.7%) respectively. At the end of week-8 of follow up most participants in both arms had mild depressive symptoms 82/86 (95.3%) in the Fish oil group and 94/96 (97.9%) in the Soybean oil group. The difference in effect between the intervention and control group was not statistically significant (1.01 (95% CI - 0.58 to 2.60), p = 0.21). CONCLUSION: Fish oil omega-3 with a daily dosage of 3.17 g (eicosapentaenoic acid = 2.15 g; docosahexaenoic acid = 1.02 g) appears to provide no added benefit in reduction of the symptoms of depression in HIV-infected pregnant women.Trial Registration Clinical Trial Registry: NCT01614249. Registered on June 5, 2012. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01614249.

Laboratory information system for reporting antimicrobial resistant isolates from academic hospitals, South Africa.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to evaluate the appropriateness of Digital Innovation South Africa (DISA)-based laboratory information system (LIS) for assessing the prevalence, patterns and trends of antimicrobial resistance, and associated demographic factors. METHODOLOGY: A retrospective analysis was conducted on routine data of blood culture isolates of Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa. These isolates were collected by the National Health Laboratory Services between July 1, 2005 and December 31, 2009 at seven tertiary public hospitals. Factors associated with antimicrobial resistance were analysed using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: Information on 9969 isolates was available, of which 3942 (39.5%), 4466 (44.8%) and 1561 (15.7%) were Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae, and Pseudomonas aeruginosa, respectively. Reporting of resistance across antibiotics tested was highest in patient age group less than 5 years old. Methicillin resistant Staphylococcus aureus was 39% on average. There was a significant increasing trend of Klebsiella pneumoniae resistance to ciprofloxacin (32.6% to 64.9%, p < 0.001), cotrimoxazole (67.5% to 81.6%, p < 0.001) and cefotaxime-ceftriaxone (55.5% to 73.2%, p < 0.001) over the study period. Pseudomonas aeruginosa resistance to meropenem showed a significant increasing trend from 2006 (27.5%) to 2009 (53.9%) (p < 0.001). Age group < 5 years, female gender, hospital location, year of infection were significantly associated with antimicrobial resistance. CONCLUSIONS: The percentages of antimicrobial resistance were high and showed a significant increasing trend among individual agents over the duration of the study e.g. ciprofloxacin, cotrimoxazole among others. Continued surveillance of antimicrobial resistance among bloodstream hospital-acquired infections should be strengthened.