Comparison of HIV-1 genotypic resistance test interpretation systems in predicting virological outcomes over time.

BACKGROUND: Several decision support systems have been developed to interpret HIV-1 drug resistance genotyping results. This study compares the ability of the most commonly used systems (ANRS, Rega, and Stanford's HIVdb) to predict virological outcome at 12, 24, and 48 weeks. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Included were 3763 treatment-change episodes (TCEs) for which a HIV-1 genotype was available at the time of changing treatment with at least one follow-up viral load measurement. Genotypic susceptibility scores for the active regimens were calculated using scores defined by each interpretation system. Using logistic regression, we determined the association between the genotypic susceptibility score and proportion of TCEs having an undetectable viral load (<50 copies/ml) at 12 (8-16) weeks (2152 TCEs), 24 (16-32) weeks (2570 TCEs), and 48 (44-52) weeks (1083 TCEs). The Area under the ROC curve was calculated using a 10-fold cross-validation to compare the different interpretation systems regarding the sensitivity and specificity for predicting undetectable viral load. The mean genotypic susceptibility score of the systems was slightly smaller for HIVdb, with 1.92+/-1.17, compared to Rega and ANRS, with 2.22+/-1.09 and 2.23+/-1.05, respectively. However, similar odds ratio's were found for the association between each-unit increase in genotypic susceptibility score and undetectable viral load at week 12; 1.6 [95% confidence interval 1.5-1.7] for HIVdb, 1.7 [1.5-1.8] for ANRS, and 1.7 [1.9-1.6] for Rega. Odds ratio's increased over time, but remained comparable (odds ratio's ranging between 1.9-2.1 at 24 weeks and 1.9-2.2 at 48 weeks). The Area under the curve of the ROC did not differ between the systems at all time points; p = 0.60 at week 12, p = 0.71 at week 24, and p = 0.97 at week 48. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Three commonly used HIV drug resistance interpretation systems ANRS, Rega and HIVdb predict virological response at 12, 24, and 48 weeks, after change of treatment to the same extent.

A collaborative environment allowing clinical investigations on integrated biomedical databases.

In order to perform clinical investigations on integrated biomedical data sets and to predict virological and epidemiological outcome, medical experts require an IT-based collaborative environment that provides them a user-friendly space for building and executing their complex studies and workflows on largely available and high-quality data repositories. In this paper, the authors introduce such a novel collaborative working environment a so-called virtual laboratory for clinicians and medical researchers, which allows users to interactively access and browse several biomedical research databases and re-use relevant data sets within own designed experiments. Firstly, technical details on the integration of relevant data resources into the virtual laboratory infrastructure and specifically developed user interfaces are briefly explained. The second part describes research possibilities for medical scientists including potential application fields and benefits as using the virtual laboratory functionalities for a particular exemplary study.

Multi-science decision support for HIV drug resistance treatment.

The complete cascade from genome, proteome, metabolome, and physiome, to health forms multiscale, multiscience systems and crosses many orders of magnitude in temporal and spatial scales. The interactions between these systems create exquisite multitiered networks, with each component in nonlinear contact with many interaction partners. Understanding, quantifying, and handling this complexity is one of the biggest scientific challenges of our time. In this paper we argue that computer science in general, and Grid computing in particular, provide the language needed to study and understand these systems, and discuss a case study in decision support for HIV drug resistance treatment within the European ViroLab project.