Assessing transfer entropy from biochemical data.

We address the problem of evaluating the transfer entropy (TE) produced by biochemical reactions from experimentally measured data. Although these reactions are generally nonlinear and nonstationary processes making it challenging to achieve accurate modeling, Gaussian approximation can facilitate the TE assessment only by estimating covariance matrices using multiple data obtained from simultaneously measured time series representing the activation levels of biomolecules such as proteins. Nevertheless, the nonstationary nature of biochemical signals makes it difficult to theoretically assess the sampling distributions of TE, which are necessary for evaluating the statistical confidence and significance of the data-driven estimates. We resolve this difficulty by computationally assessing the sampling distributions using techniques from computational statistics. The computational methods are tested by using them in analyzing data generated from a theoretically tractable time-varying signal model, which leads to the development of a method to screen only statistically significant estimates. The usefulness of the developed method is examined by applying it to real biological data experimentally measured from the ERBB-RAS-MAPK system that superintends diverse cell fate decisions. A comparison between cells containing wild-type and mutant proteins exhibits a distinct difference in the time evolution of TE while any apparent difference is hardly found in average profiles of the raw signals. Such a comparison may help in unveiling important pathways of biochemical reactions.

Inferring Neuronal Couplings From Spiking Data Using a Systematic Procedure With a Statistical Criterion.

Recent remarkable advances in experimental techniques have provided a background for inferring neuronal couplings from point process data that include a great number of neurons. Here, we propose a systematic procedure for pre- and postprocessing generic point process data in an objective manner to handle data in the framework of a binary simple statistical model, the Ising or generalized McCulloch-Pitts model. The procedure has two steps: (1) determining time bin size for transforming the point process data into discrete-time binary data and (2) screening relevant couplings from the estimated couplings. For the first step, we decide the optimal time bin size by introducing the null hypothesis that all neurons would fire independently, then choosing a time bin size so that the null hypothesis is rejected with the strict criteria. The likelihood associated with the null hypothesis is analytically evaluated and used for the rejection process. For the second postprocessing step, after a certain estimator of coupling is obtained based on the preprocessed data set (any estimator can be used with the proposed procedure), the estimate is compared with many other estimates derived from data sets obtained by randomizing the original data set in the time direction. We accept the original estimate as relevant only if its absolute value is sufficiently larger than those of randomized data sets. These manipulations suppress false positive couplings induced by statistical noise. We apply this inference procedure to spiking data from synthetic and in vitro neuronal networks. The results show that the proposed procedure identifies the presence or absence of synaptic couplings fairly well, including their signs, for the synthetic and experimental data. In particular, the results support that we can infer the physical connections of underlying systems in favorable situations, even when using a simple statistical model.

Accelerating cross-validation with total variation and its application to super-resolution imaging.

We develop an approximation formula for the cross-validation error (CVE) of a sparse linear regression penalized by ℓ1-norm and total variation terms, which is based on a perturbative expansion utilizing the largeness of both the data dimensionality and the model. The developed formula allows us to reduce the necessary computational cost of the CVE evaluation significantly. The practicality of the formula is tested through application to simulated black-hole image reconstruction on the event-horizon scale with super resolution. The results demonstrate that our approximation reproduces the CVE values obtained via literally conducted cross-validation with reasonably good precision.

Random versus maximum entropy models of neural population activity.

The principle of maximum entropy provides a useful method for inferring statistical mechanics models from observations in correlated systems, and is widely used in a variety of fields where accurate data are available. While the assumptions underlying maximum entropy are intuitive and appealing, its adequacy for describing complex empirical data has been little studied in comparison to alternative approaches. Here, data from the collective spiking activity of retinal neurons is reanalyzed. The accuracy of the maximum entropy distribution constrained by mean firing rates and pairwise correlations is compared to a random ensemble of distributions constrained by the same observables. For most of the tested networks, maximum entropy approximates the true distribution better than the typical or mean distribution from that ensemble. This advantage improves with population size, with groups as small as eight being almost always better described by maximum entropy. Failure of maximum entropy to outperform random models is found to be associated with strong correlations in the population.

Multiple peaks of species abundance distributions induced by sparse interactions.

We investigate the replicator dynamics with "sparse" symmetric interactions which represent specialist-specialist interactions in ecological communities. By considering a large self-interaction u, we conduct a perturbative expansion which manifests that the nature of the interactions has a direct impact on the species abundance distribution. The central results are all species coexistence in a realistic range of the model parameters and that a certain discrete nature of the interactions induces multiple peaks in the species abundance distribution, providing the possibility of theoretically explaining multiple peaks observed in various field studies. To get more quantitative information, we also construct a non-perturbative theory which becomes exact on tree-like networks if all the species coexist, providing exact critical values of u below which extinct species emerge. Numerical simulations in various different situations are conducted and they clarify the robustness of the presented mechanism of all species coexistence and multiple peaks in the species abundance distributions.

Dynamical singularities of glassy systems in a quantum quench.

We present a prototype of behavior of glassy systems driven by quantum dynamics in a quenching protocol by analyzing the random energy model in a transverse field. We calculate several types of dynamical quantum amplitude and find a freezing transition at some critical time. The behavior is understood by the partition-function zeros in the complex temperature plane. We discuss the properties of the freezing phase as a dynamical chaotic phase, which are contrasted to those of the spin-glass phase in the static system.