Plant responses to soil biota depend on precipitation history, plant diversity, and productivity.

Soil biota are critical drivers of plant growth, population dynamics, and community structure and thus have wide-ranging effects on ecosystem function. Interactions between plants and soil biota are complex, however, and can depend on the diversity and productivity of the plant community and environmental conditions. Plant-soil biota interactions may be especially important during stressful periods, such as drought, when plants can gain great benefits from beneficial biota but may be susceptible to antagonists. How soil biota respond to drought is also important and can influence plant growth following drought and leave legacies that affect future plant responses to soil biota and further drought. To explore how drought legacies and plant community context influence plant growth responses to soil biota and further drought, we collected soils from 12 grasslands varying in plant diversity and productivity where precipitation was experimentally reduced. We used these soils as inoculum in a growth chamber experiment testing how precipitation history (ambient or reduced) and soil biota (live or sterile soil inoculum) mediate plant growth and drought responses within an experimental plant community. We also tested whether these responses differed with the diversity and productivity of the community where the soil was collected. Plant growth responses to soil biota were positive when inoculated with soils from less diverse and productive plant communities and became negative as the diversity and productivity of the conditioning community increased. At low diversity, however, positive soil biota effects on plant growth were eliminated if precipitation had been reduced in the field, suggesting that diversity loss may heighten climate change sensitivity. Differences among species within the experimental community in their responses to soil biota and drought suggest that species benefitting from less drought sensitive soil biota may be able to compensate for some of this loss of productivity. Regardless of the plant species and soil origin, further drought eliminated any effects of soil biota on plant growth. Consequently, soil biota may be unable to buffer the effects of drought on primary productivity or other ecosystem functions as extreme events increase in frequency.

A strong test of a maximum entropy model of trait-based community assembly.

We evaluate the predictive power and generality of Shipley's maximum entropy (maxent) model of community assembly in the context of 96 quadrats over a 120-km2 area having a large (79) species pool and strong gradients. Quadrats were sampled in the herbaceous understory of ponderosa pine forests in the Coconino National Forest, Arizona, U.S.A. The maxent model accurately predicted species relative abundances when observed community-weighted mean trait values were used as model constraints. Although only 53% of the variation in observed relative abundances was associated with a combination of 12 environmental variables, the maxent model based only on the environmental variables provided highly significant predictive ability, accounting for 72% of the variation that was possible given these environmental variables. This predictive ability largely surpassed that of nonmetric multidimensional scaling (NMDS) or detrended correspondence analysis (DCA) ordinations. Using cross-validation with 1000 independent runs, the median correlation between observed and predicted relative abundances was 0.560 (the 2.5% and 97.5% quantiles were 0.045 and 0.825). The qualitative predictions of the model were also noteworthy: dominant species were correctly identified in 53% of the quadrats, 83% of rare species were correctly predicted to have a relative abundance of < 0.05, and the median predicted relative abundance of species actually absent from a quadrat was 5 x 10(-5).