Lifetime Health and Economic Burden of Invasive Pneumococcal Diseases Attributable to V116 Serotypes Among Adults in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to estimate and compare the lifetime clinical and economic burden of invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPD) attributable to the serotypes contained in a new 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (V116) vs. the 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV20) among adults aged 18 years and above in the USA. METHODS: A state-transition Markov model was used to track IPD cases and deaths as well as the associated direct medical costs (in 2023 US dollars) from a US healthcare payer perspective at 3% annual discount rate. The results were summarized for V116, PCV20, and eight unique serotypes contained in V116. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the most influential inputs on the overall total direct lifetime cost. RESULTS: For the total population of US adults aged 18 years and above in 2021 (approx. 258 million residents), the estimated lifetime numbers of cases of IPD, post-meningitis sequelae (PMS), and IPD-related deaths attributable to the serotypes contained in V116 were approximately 1.4 million, 17,608, and 186,200, respectively, with a total discounted lifetime direct cost of $32.6 billion. A substantial proportion (approx. 31%) of those were attributable to the unique eight serotypes. The corresponding estimates for PCV20 were approximately 35% lower-934,000, 11,500, and 120,000, respectively-with a total discounted direct lifetime cost of $21.9 billion. CONCLUSION: These results show that V116 serotypes (compared to PCV20) are associated with substantially higher clinical and economic burden of IPD. The addition of V116 to vaccination recommendations can help to reduce the residual burden of IPD in US adults.

Evaluating the health and economic outcomes of a PCV15 vaccination program for adults aged 65 years-and-above in Switzerland.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the health and economic outcomes of a PCV13 or PCV15 age-based (65 years-and-above) vaccination program in Switzerland. INTERVENTIONS: The three vaccination strategies examined were:Target population: All adults aged 65 years-and-above. Perspective(s): Switzerland health care payer. TIME HORIZON: 35 years. Discount rate: 3.0%. Costing year: 2023 Swiss Francs (CHF). STUDY DESIGN: A static Markov state-transition model. DATA SOURCES: Published literature and publicly available databases or reports. OUTCOME MEASURES: Pneumococcal diseases (PD) i.e., invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPD) and non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP); total quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), total costs and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (CHF/QALY gained). RESULTS: Using an assumed coverage of 60%, the PCV15 strategy prevented a substantially higher number of cases/deaths than the PCV13 strategy when compared to the No vaccination strategy (1,078 IPD; 21,155 NBPP; 493 deaths). The overall total QALYs were 10,364,620 (PCV15), 10,364,070 (PCV13), and 10,362,490 (no vaccination). The associated overall total costs were CHF 741,949,814 (PCV15), CHF 756,051,954 (PCV13) and CHF 698,329,579 (no vaccination). Thus, the PCV13 strategy was strongly dominated by the PCV15 strategy. The ICER of the PCV15 strategy (vs. no vaccination) was CHF 20,479/QALY gained. In two scenario analyses where the vaccine effectiveness for serotype 3 were reduced (75% to 39.3% for IPD; 45% to 23.6% for NBPP) and NBPP incidence was increased (from 1,346 to 1,636/100,000), the resulting ICERs were CHF 29,432 and CHF 13,700/QALY gained, respectively. The deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated the robustness of the qualitative results-the estimated ICERs for the PCV15 strategy (vs. No vaccination) were all below CHF 30,000/QALYs gained. CONCLUSIONS: These results demonstrate that using PCV15 among adults aged 65 years-and-above can prevent a substantial number of PD cases and deaths while remaining cost-effective over a range of inputs and scenarios.

Structured Literature Review to Identify Human Papillomavirus's Natural History Parameters for Dynamic Population Models of Vaccine Impacts.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a common sexually transmitted virus that can cause cervical cancer and other diseases. Dynamic transmission models (DTMs) have been developed to evaluate the health and economic impacts of HPV vaccination. These models typically include many parameters, such as natural history of the disease, transmission, demographic, behavioral, and screening. To ensure the accuracy of DTM projections, it is important to parameterize them with the best available evidence. This study aimed to identify and synthesize data needed to parametrize DTMs on the natural history of HPV infection and related diseases. Parameters describing data of interest were grouped by their anatomical location (genital warts, recurrent respiratory papillomatosis, and cervical, anal, vaginal, vulvar, head and neck, and penile cancers), and natural history (progression, regression, death, cure, recurrence, detection), and were identified through a systematic literature review (SLR) and complementary targeted literature reviews (TLRs). The extracted data were then synthesized by pooling parameter values across publications, and summarized using the range of values across studies reporting each parameter and the median value from the most relevant study. Data were extracted and synthesized from 223 studies identified in the SLR and TLRs. Parameters frequently reported pertained to cervical cancer outcomes, while data for other anatomical locations were less available. The synthesis of the data provides a large volume of parameter values to inform HPV DTMs, such as annual progression rates from cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1 to CIN 2+ (median of highest quality estimate 0.0836), CIN 2 to CIN 3+ (0.0418), carcinoma in situ (CIS) 2 to local cancer+ (0.0396), and regional to distant cancer (0.0474). Our findings suggest that while there is a large body of evidence on cervical cancer, parameter values featured substantial heterogeneity across studies, and further studies are needed to better parametrize the non-cervical components of HPV DTMs.

Cost-Effectiveness of Pneumococcal Vaccination in Adults in Italy: Comparing New Alternatives and Exploring the Role of GMT Ratios in Informing Vaccine Effectiveness.

In Italy, a sequential pneumococcal vaccination with conjugate vaccine (PCV) and polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) is recommended for individuals aged ≥ 65 years and those at risk for pneumococcal disease (PD) aged ≥ 6 years. The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of the new vaccines, i.e., approved 15-valent and 20-valent PCVs. A published Markov model was adapted to evaluate the lifetime cost-effectiveness of vaccination with PCV15 + PPSV23 versus PCV13 + PPSV23, PCV20 alone, PCV20 + PPSV23, and No Vaccination. Simulated cohorts representing the Italian population, including individuals aged ≥ 65 years, those at risk aged 50-100 years, and those deemed high risk aged 18-100 years were assessed. Outcomes were accrued in terms of incremental PD cases, costs, quality-adjusted life years, life years, and the cost-utility ratio relative to PCV13 + PPSV23. The conservative base case analysis, including vaccine efficacy based on PCV13 data, showed that sequential vaccination with PCV15 or PCV20 in combination with PPSV23 is preferred over sequential vaccination with PCV13 + PPSV23. Especially in the high-risk group, PCV15 + PPSV23 sequential vaccination was dominant over No Vaccination and resulted in an ICUR of €3605 per QALY gained. Including PCV20 + PPSV23 into the comparison resulted in the domination of the PCV15 + PPSV23 and No Vaccination strategies. Additionally, explorative analysis, including the geometric mean titer (GMT) informed vaccine effectiveness (VE) was performed. In the low-risk and high-risk groups, the results of the GMT scenarios showed PCV15 + PPSV23 to be dominant over the other sequential vaccines. These findings suggest that if real-world studies would confirm a difference in vaccine effectiveness of PCV15 and PCV20 versus PCV13 based on GMT ratios, PCV15 + PPSV23 could prove a highly immunogenic and effective vaccination regime for the Italian adult population.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Routine Use of 15-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in the US Pediatric Population.

This study evaluated the clinical and economic impact of routine pediatric vaccination with the 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15, V114) compared with the 13-valent PCV (PCV13) from a societal perspective in the United States (US). A Markov decision-analytic model was constructed to estimate the outcomes for the entire US population over a 100-year time horizon. The model estimated the impact of V114 versus PCV13 on pneumococcal disease (PD) incidence, post meningitis sequalae, and deaths, taking herd immunity effects into account. V114 effectiveness was extrapolated from the observed PCV13 data and PCV7 clinical trials. Costs (2021$) included vaccine acquisition and administration costs, direct medical costs for PD treatment, direct non-medical costs, and indirect costs, and were discounted at 3% per year. In the base case, V114 prevented 185,711 additional invasive pneumococcal disease, 987,727 all-cause pneumonia, and 11.2 million pneumococcal acute otitis media cases, compared with PCV13. This led to expected gains of 90,026 life years and 96,056 quality-adjusted life years with a total saving of $10.8 billion. Sensitivity analysis showed consistent results over plausible values of key model inputs and assumptions. The findings suggest that V114 is a cost-saving option compared to PCV13 in the routine pediatric vaccination program.

Assessing the Health and Economic Outcomes of a 9-Valent HPV Vaccination Program in the United Kingdom.

Background: The United Kingdom (UK) switched from using the 4-valent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine (Gardasil®) to the 9-valent vaccine (Gardasil 9®) in 2021. Objective: To estimate and compare the health and economic outcomes of 2 HPV vaccination programs in the UK targeting girls and boys aged 12-13 years from the perspective of the UK National Health Service. The 2 vaccination strategies were (1) universal vaccination 4-valent (UV4V), using the 4-valent HPV vaccine (4vHPV), and (2) universal vaccination 9-valent (UV9V), using the 9-valent HPV vaccine (9vHPV). Methods: A deterministic heterosexual compartmental disease transmission model was used to track health and economic outcomes over a 100-year time horizon. Outcomes were discounted at an annual rate of 3.5% and 1.5%. All costs were adjusted to 2020 British pounds (£). Health outcomes were measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and the summary results were presented as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (£/QALY gained) when comparing UV4V with UV9V. Results: Using the same vaccine coverage for both programs, the total cumulative cases of HPV-related health outcomes tracked over the 100-year horizon indicated that the relative number of cases averted (UV9V vs UV4V) ranged from 4% (anal male cancers and deaths) to 56% (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia [CIN1]). Assuming that 9vHPV cost £15.18 more than 4vHPV (a cost differential based on discounted list prices), the estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was £8600/QALY gained when discounted at 3.5%, and £3300/QALY gained when discounted at 1.5%. The estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios from the sensitivity analyses remained <£28000/QALY over a wide range of parameter inputs and demonstrated that disease utilities, discount rate, and vaccine efficacy were the 3 most influential parameters. Discussion: Consistent with other published studies, the results from this study found that the 9vHPV vaccine prevented a substantial number of cases when compared with the 4vHPV vaccine and was highly cost-effective. Conclusions: These results demonstrate that replacing universal 4vHPV with 9vHPV can prevent a substantial additional number of HPV-related cases/deaths (in both women and men) and remain cost-effective over a range of 9vHPV price premiums.

Health and economic burden associated with 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine serotypes in Korea and Hong Kong.

Use of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) has greatly reduced the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). V114 (VAXNEUVANCE™, Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp. a subsidiary of Merck & Co. Inc. Kenilworth, NJ, USA) is a 15-valent PCV currently approved in adults in the United States, containing the 13 serotypes in licensed PCV13 and 2 additional serotypes (22F and 33F) which are important contributors to residual pneumococcal disease. This study quantified the health and economic burden of IPD attributable to V114 serotypes in hypothetical birth cohorts from Korea and Hong Kong. A Markov model was used to estimate the case numbers and costs of IPD in unvaccinated birth cohorts over 20 years. The model was applied to 3 scenarios in Korea (pre-PCV7, pre-PCV13, and post-PCV13) and to 2 scenarios in Hong Kong (pre-PCV7 and post-PCV13). For Korea, the model predicted 62, 26, and 8 IPD cases attributable to V114 serotypes in the pre-PCV7, pre-PCV13, and post-PCV13 scenarios, respectively. Costs of V114-type IPD fell from $1.691 million pre-PCV7 to $.212 million post-PCV13. For Hong Kong, the model estimated 62 V114-associated IPD cases in the pre-PCV7 scenario and 46 in the post-PCV13 scenario. Costs attributed to all V114 serotypes were $2.322 million and $1.726 million in the pre-PCV7 and post-PCV13 periods, respectively. Vaccine-type serotypes are predicted to cause continuing morbidity and cost in Korea (19A) and Hong Kong (3 and 19A). New pediatric pneumococcal vaccines must continue to protect against serotypes in licensed vaccines to maintain disease reduction, while extending coverage to non-vaccine serotypes.

Cost-effectiveness of the 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for high-risk adults in Switzerland.

BACKGROUND: Vaccination against pneumococcal disease (PD) has shown a favorable cost-effectivenessprofile for many national immunization programs. While vaccination efforts have concentrated on children, many adults with underlying illnesses face elevated risks of PD and death. A 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (V114) is currently available offering protection against 15 different serotypes and can be used in adults. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We examined the cost-effectiveness of V114 vaccination in high-risk adults, aged 18+, in Switzerland. To this end, a Markov model was constructed estimating the lifetime direct medical costs and clinical effectiveness of V114 vaccination on invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP). RESULTS: Considering 60% vaccine uptake and direct effects of vaccination, in total 760 IPD and 4,396 NBPP in- and outpatient cases could be prevented. Vaccinating high-risk adults with V114 led to CHF 37.4 million additional vaccination costs but saved CHF 14.4 million of medical treatment costs. V114 vaccination produced a gain of 2,095 QALYs and 6,320 LYs compared with no vaccination, leading to incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of CHF 17,866/QALY and CHF 15,616/QALY gained from a health care payer and societal perspective, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This evidence justifies the implementation of V114 vaccination among high-risk adults in Switzerland.

Estimates of the Health and Economic Burden of Pneumococcal Infections Attributable to the 15-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Serotypes in the USA.

INTRODUCTION: Despite the availability of vaccines, pneumococcal disease (PD) is associated with high clinical and economic burden, mainly caused by non-vaccine serotypes and certain vaccine-type serotypes. V114 is a 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) that contains two epidemiologically important serotypes, 22F and 33F, in addition to the 13 serotypes in 13-valent PCV (PCV13). This study quantified the epidemiologic and economic burden of PD attributable to V114 serotypes among adults in the USA. METHODS: A Markov model was used to estimate the burden of V114 serotypes in a hypothetical, non-vaccinated cohort of US adults ≥ 19 years of age who were tracked from 2019 until death. The model calculated all the invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP) cases, deaths, and costs. Economic burden was estimated from a healthcare payer perspective (2019 US dollars) and discounted at 3%. RESULTS: The model estimated 415,229 and 10.3 million lifetime cases of V114-type IPD and NBPP, respectively. Serotypes 22F and 33F caused approximately 33% of IPD cases and 20% of NBPP cases, while serotype 3 accounted for approximately 36% of IPD cases and 13% of NBPP cases. V114 serotypes caused 472,063 total lifetime deaths. Total discounted lifetime costs attributable to V114 serotypes were $44.8 billion US dollars. CONCLUSIONS: In this hypothetical model of a non-vaccinated cohort of US adults, V114 serotypes were associated with a substantial health and economic burden, the majority of which was attributable to serotypes 3, 22F, and 33F. The addition of V114 to the national vaccination recommendations may help to reduce the epidemiologic and economic burden associated with PD in adults ≥ 19 years of age in the USA by providing increased coverage of these serotypes.

Comprehensive value assessments for new pediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccines.

Although the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and acute otitis media (AOM) in young children has decreased since the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs), the subsequent emergence of non-vaccine Streptococcus pneumoniae serotypes and the persistence of certain vaccine serotypes both contribute to substantial residual pneumococcal disease. There is a need for the development of new pneumococcal vaccines to address the clinical and economic burden presented by emerging non-vaccine serotypes, while maintaining suppression of serotypes in existing vaccines. To assess the full value of next-generation vaccines, public health evaluations must consider epidemiological and economic data across all vaccine serotypes, including those included in existing vaccines and those unique to the new product. This is supported by two recent analyses that estimated the health and economic burden of IPD (in the United States and Europe) and AOM (in the United States only) associated with the serotypes in V114, a 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15), which contains all serotypes in the licensed 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) as well as the unique serotypes 22 F and 33 F and was recently approved for use in adults in the US. The analyses demonstrated considerable health and economic burden associated with PCV13 serotypes, as well as increasing burden associated with serotypes 22 F and 33 F. In addition to addressing the burden of non-vaccine serotypes, ability to maintain or improve protection against disease caused by serotypes in existing vaccines will be an important consideration for decision makers.

Health and economic burden of invasive pneumococcal disease associated with 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine serotypes in children across eight European countries.

AIMS: V114, a 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15) currently approved in adults in the US, contains the 13 S. pneumoniae serotypes in PCV13 and two additional serotypes, 22 F and 33 F, which are important contributors to residual PD. This study quantified the health and economic burden of pediatric invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) associated with V114 serotypes in eight countries in Europe. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A Markov model estimated V114-type IPD cases and costs in hypothetical unvaccinated birth cohorts from Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain, Switzerland, and the UK over 20 years. Inputs were obtained from published literature. IPD cases and costs were calculated for three time periods using time-specific epidemiological data: (a) pre-PCV7; (b) pre-PCV13; and (c) post-PCV13. Costs were estimated from a societal perspective (2018 Euros) and discounted at 3%. RESULTS: The model estimated that 4,649 IPD cases in the pre-PCV7 period, 3,248 cases in the pre-PCV13 period, and 958 cases in the post-PCV13 period were attributable to V114 serotypes. Total discounted costs associated with V114 serotypes were €109.1 million (pre-PCV7 period), €65.7 million (pre-PCV13 period), and €18.7 million (post-PCV13 period). LIMITATIONS: Post-meningitis sequelae, acute otitis media, and non-bacteremic pneumonia were not considered. Direct non-medical costs were not included. Conclusions on effectiveness of V114 or added value over existing infant vaccination programs cannot be drawn. CONCLUSIONS: IPD cases and costs were estimated in hypothetical birth cohorts in eight European countries followed for 20 years during three time periods. Serotypes included in V114 were associated with significant morbidity and costs in pre-PCV7, pre-PCV13, and post-PCV13 periods. Future pediatric pneumococcal vaccines should maintain protection against serotypes in licensed vaccines while extending coverage to additional serotypes to ensure reductions in IPD burden are maintained.

Cost-Effectiveness of a School-Based Chlamydia Screening Program, Duval County, FL.

During the 2015-2016 school year, the Florida Department of Health in Duval County hosted Teen Health Centers (TeenHC) at five high schools of Jacksonville providing HIV/STD screening and pregnancy testing. The purpose of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of the TeenHC chlamydia screening program and determine at what student participation level, the program can be cost-effective. We assessed the costs and effectiveness of the chlamydia screening program compared with "no TeenHC". Cost-effectiveness was measured as cost per quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained. At a program cost of US$61,001 and 3% participation rate, the cost/QALY gained was $124,328 in the base-case analysis and $81,014-$264,271 in 95% of the simulation trials, all greater than the frequently citied $50,000/QALY benchmark. The cost/QALY gained could be <$50,000/QALY if student participation rate was >7%. The TeenHC chlamydia screening has the potential to be cost-effective. Future program efforts should focus on improving student participation.

Health and economic burden associated with 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine serotypes in children in the United States.

AIMS: V114 is an investigational 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) containing the 13 Streptococcus pneumoniae serotypes in 13-valent PCV (PCV13) plus two additional serotypes. This study quantified the health and economic burden of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and acute otitis media (AOM) caused by V114 types among children in the United States. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A Markov model estimated the number of V114-type IPD and AOM cases and costs in a hypothetical, unvaccinated US birth cohort over 20 years. Three time periods were analyzed using time-specific epidemiological data to determine the number of IPD and AOM cases associated with all 15 serotypes in V114. The time periods were: (1) pre-PCV7 (1999); (2) pre-PCV13 (2009); (3) post-PCV13 (2017). Costs were estimated from a societal perspective (2018 US dollars) and discounted at 3%. RESULTS: The model estimated 18,983 IPD cases and 5.4 million AOM cases associated with V114 serotypes pre-PCV7, 4,697 IPD cases and 3.0 million AOM cases pre-PCV13, and 948 IPD cases and 0.2 million AOM cases post-PCV13. Total discounted costs associated with V114 serotypes were $1.7 billion pre-PCV7, $730 million pre-PCV13, and $75 million US dollars post-PCV13. LIMITATIONS: Post-meningitis sequelae, cases of non-bacteremic pneumonia, and direct non-medical costs were not included. CONCLUSIONS: IPD and AOM cases and costs were estimated in a hypothetical US birth cohort followed for 20 years at three time periods. In all three periods, the serotypes targeted by V114 contributed to significant morbidity and costs. New pediatric pneumococcal vaccines must continue to retain serotypes in licensed vaccines to maintain disease reduction while extending coverage to non-vaccine serotypes.

Trends in Women With an HIV Diagnosis at Delivery Hospitalization in the United States, 2006-2014.

OBJECTIVES: The risk of mother-to-child HIV transmission can be reduced to ≤0.5% if the mother's HIV status is known before delivery. This study describes 2006-2014 trends in diagnosed HIV infection documented on delivery discharge records and associated sociodemographic characteristics among women who gave birth in US hospitals. METHODS: We analyzed data from the 2006-2014 National Inpatient Sample and identified delivery discharges and women with diagnosed HIV infection by using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. We used a generalized linear model with log link and binomial distribution to assess trends and the association of sociodemographic characteristics with an HIV diagnosis on delivery discharge records. RESULTS: During 2006-2014, an HIV diagnosis was documented on approximately 3900-4400 delivery discharge records annually. The probability of having an HIV diagnosis on delivery discharge records decreased 3% per year (adjusted relative risk [aRR] = 0.97; 95% CI, 0.94-0.99), with significant declines identified among white women aged 25-34 (aRR = 0.93; 95% CI, 0.88-0.97) or those using Medicaid (aRR = 0.93; 95% CI, 0.90-0.97); among black women aged 25-34 (aRR = 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.99); and among privately insured women who were black (aRR = 0.96; 95% CI, 0.92-0.99), Hispanic (aRR = 0.92; 95% CI, 0.86-0.98), or aged 25-34 (aRR = 0.96; 95% CI, 0.92-0.99). The probability of having an HIV diagnosis on delivery discharge records was greater for women who were black (aRR = 8.45; 95% CI, 7.56-9.44) or Hispanic (aRR = 1.56; 95% CI, 1.33-1.83) than white; for women aged 25-34 (aRR = 2.33; 95% CI, 2.12-2.55) or aged ≥35 (aRR = 3.04; 95% CI, 2.79-3.31) than for women aged 13-24; and for Medicaid recipients (aRR = 2.70; 95% CI, 2.45-2.98) or the uninsured (aRR = 1.87; 95% CI, 1.60-2.19) than for privately insured patients. CONCLUSION: During 2006-2014, the probability of having an HIV diagnosis declined among select sociodemographic groups of women delivering neonates. High-impact prevention efforts tailored to women remaining at higher risk for HIV infection can reduce the risk of mother-to-child HIV transmission.

County-Level Social Capital and Bacterial Sexually Transmitted Infections in the United States.

BACKGROUND: The association between county-level social capital indices (SCIs) and the 3 most commonly reported sexually transmitted infections (STIs) in the United States is lacking. In this study, we determined and examined the association between 2 recently developed county-level SCIs (ie, Penn State Social Capital Index [PSSCI] vs United States Congress Social Capital Index [USCSCI]) and the 3 most commonly reported bacterial STIs (chlamydia, gonorrhea, and syphilis) using spatial and nonspatial regression techniques. METHODS: We assembled and analyzed multiyear (2012-2016) cross-sectional data on STIs and 2 SCIs (PSSCI vs USCSCI) on counties in all 48 contiguous states. We explored 2 nonspatial regression models (univariate and multiple generalized linear models) and 3 spatial regression models (spatial lag model, spatial error model, and the spatial autoregressive moving average model) for comparison. RESULTS: Without exception, all the SCIs were negatively associated with all 3 STI morbidities. A 1-unit increase in the SCIs was associated with at least 9% (P < 0.001) decrease in each STI. Our test of the magnitude of the estimated associations indicated that the USCSCI was at least 2 times higher than the estimates for the PSSCI for all STIs (highest P value = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, our results highlight the potential benefits of applying/incorporating social capital concepts to STI control and prevention efforts. In addition, our results suggest that for the purpose of planning, designing, and implementing effective STI control and prevention interventions/programs, understanding the communities' associational life (as indicated by the factors/data used to develop the USCSCI) may be important.

Investigating Multiple-Reported Bacterial Sexually Transmitted Infection Hot Spot Counties in the United States: Ordered Spatial Logistic Regression.

PURPOSE: To identify and examine the correlates of multiple bacterial sexually transmitted infection (STI) hot spot counties in the United States. METHODS: We assembled and analyzed 5 years (2008-2012) of cross-sectional STI morbidity data to identify multiple bacterial STI (chlamydia, gonorrhea, and syphilis) hot spot counties using hot spot analysis. Then, we examined the association between the multi-STI hot spots and select multiyear (2008-2012) sociodemographic factors (data obtained from the American Community Survey) using ordered spatial logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Of the 2935 counties, the results indicated that 85 counties were hot spots for all 3 STIs (3-STI hot spot counties), 177 were hot spots for 2 STIs (2-STI hot spot counties), and 145 were hot spots for only 1 STI (1-STI hot spot counties). Approximately 93% (79 of 85) of the counties determined to be 3-STI hot spots were found in 4 southern states--Mississippi (n = 25), Arkansas (n = 22), Louisiana (n = 19), and Alabama (n = 13). Counties determined to be 2 STI hot spots were found in 7 southern states--Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and North and South Carolina had at least ten 2-STI hot spot counties each. The multi-STI hot spot classes were significantly (P < 0.05) associated with percent black (non-Hispanic), percent Hispanics, percent American Indians, population density, male-female sex ratio, percent aged 25 to 44 years, and violent crime rate. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides information on multiple STI hot spot counties in the United States and the associated sociodemographic factors. Such information can be used to assist planning, designing, and implementing effective integrated bacterial STI prevention and control programs/interventions.

Estimates of Testing for Latent Tuberculosis Infection and Cost, United States, 2013.

OBJECTIVES: Tracking trends in the testing of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) can help measure tuberculosis elimination efforts in the United States. The objectives of this study were to estimate (1) the annual number of persons tested for LTBI and the number of LTBI tests conducted, by type of test and by public, private, and military sectors, and (2) the cost of LTBI testing in the United States. METHODS: We searched the biomedical literature for published data on private-sector and military LTBI testing in 2013, and we used back-calculation to estimate public-sector LTBI testing. To estimate costs, we applied Medicare-allowable reimbursements in 2013 by test type. RESULTS: We estimated an average (low-high) 13.3 million (11.3-15.4 million) persons tested for LTBI and 15.3 million (12.9-17.7 million) LTBI tests, of which 13.2 million (11.1-15.3 million) were tuberculin skin tests and 2.1 million (1.8-2.4 million) were interferon-γ release assays (IGRAs). Eighty percent of persons tested were in the public sector, 18% were in the private sector, and 2% were in the military. Costs of LTBI tests and of chest radiography totaled $314 million (range, $256 million to $403 million). CONCLUSIONS: To achieve tuberculosis elimination, millions more persons will need to be tested in all sectors. By targeting testing to only those at high risk of tuberculosis and by using more specific IGRA tests, the incidence of tuberculosis in the United States can be reduced and resources can be more efficiently used.

Estimated cost of comprehensive syringe service program in the United States.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost of establishing and operating a comprehensive syringe service program (SSP) free to clients in the United States. METHODS: We identified the major cost components of a comprehensive SSP: (one-time start-up cost, and annual costs associated with personnel, operations, and prevention/medical services) and estimated the anticipated total costs (2016 US dollars) based on program size (number of clients served each year) and geographic location of the service (rural, suburban, and urban). RESULTS: The estimated costs ranged from $0.4 million for a small rural SSP (serving 250 clients) to $1.9 million for a large urban SSP (serving 2,500 clients), of which 1.6% and 0.8% is the start-up cost of a small rural and large urban SSP, respectively. Cost per syringe distributed varied from $3 (small urban SSP) to $1 (large rural SSP), and cost per client per year varied from $2000 (small urban SSP) to $700 (large rural SSP). CONCLUSIONS: Estimates of the cost of SSPs in the United States vary by number of clients served and geographic location of service. Accurate costing can be useful for planning programs, developing policy, allocating funds for establishing and supporting SSPs, and providing data for economic evaluation of SSPs.

Does including violent crime rates in ecological regression models of sexually transmissible infection rates improve model quality? Insights from spatial regression analyses.

Background Violent crime rates are often correlated with the hard-to-measure social determinants of sexually transmissible infections (STIs). In this study, we examined whether including violent crime rate as an independent variable can improve the quality of ecological regression models of STIs. METHODS: We obtained multiyear (2008-12) cross-sectional county-level data on violent crime and three STIs (chlamydia, gonorrhoea, and primary and secondary (P&S) syphilis) from counties in all the contiguous states in the US (except Illinois and Florida, due to lack of data). We used two measures of STI morbidity (one categorical and one continuous) and applied spatial regression with the spatial error model for each STI, with and without violent crime rate as an independent variable. We computed the associated Akaike's information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) as our measure of the relative goodness of fit of the models. RESULTS: Including the violent crime rate as an independent variable improved the quality of the regression models after controlling for several sociodemographic factors. We found that the lower calculated AICs and BICs indicated more favourable goodness of fit in all the models that included violent crime rates, except for the categorical P&S syphilis model, in which the violent crime variable was not statistically significant. CONCLUSION: Because violent crime rates can account for the hard-to-measure social determinants of STIs, including violent crime rate as an independent variable can improve ecological regression models of STIs.