Body mass index and breast cancer risk in Japan: a pooled analysis of eight population-based cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: A positive association between body mass index (BMI) and breast cancer risk among postmenopausal women has been reported, and a weak inverse association has been suggested among premenopausal women from studies in the Western population. The effects of BMI on breast cancer have remained unclear among the Asian population, especially in premenopausal women. METHODS: We assessed the associations between BMI and breast cancer incidence by a pooled analysis from eight representative large-scale cohort studies in Japan. Cancer incidence was mainly confirmed through regional population-based cancer registries and/or through active patient notification from major local hospitals. Breast cancer was defined as code C50 according to ICD10. Pooled estimates of the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CIs) for breast cancer were calculated using random-effects models. RESULTS: Analytic subjects were 183 940 women, 1783 of whom had breast cancer during 2 194 211 person-years of follow-up. A positive association between BMI and the risk of postmenopausal breast cancer was observed (trend P<0.001). The HRs for premenopausal breast cancer were 1.05 (95% CI 0.56-1.99), 1.07 (95% CI 0.76-1.52), 0.91 (95% CI 0.64-1.30), 1.15 (95% CI 0.76-1.73), 1.45 (95% CI 0.71-2.94), and 2.25 (95% CI 1.10-4.60), respectively, in BMIs of <19, 19 to <21, 21 to <23, 25 to <27, 27 to <30, and ≥30 kg/m2. These results were not substantially altered after excluding the patients who were diagnosed with breast cancer in the first 2 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: The increased risk of postmenopausal breast cancer among women with higher BMIs was confirmed in Japanese. A borderline-significant positive association between BMI and premenopausal breast cancer was observed, suggesting that body mass in Asian women might have opposite effects on breast cancer compared with Western women.

Randomised phase II study comparing dose-escalated weekly paclitaxel vs standard-dose weekly paclitaxel for patients with previously treated advanced gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: This randomised phase II trial compared dose-escalated weekly paclitaxel (wPTX) vs standard-dose wPTX for patients with previously treated advanced gastric cancer (AGC). METHODS: Ninety patients were randomised to a standard dose of wPTX (80 mg m(-2)) or an escalated dose of wPTX (80-120 mg m(-2)) to assess the superiority of overall survival (OS) with a one-sided alpha error of 0.3 and a power of 0.8. RESULTS: The median OS showed a trend towards longer survival in the dose-escalated arm (11.8 vs 9.6 months; hazard ratio (HR), 0.75; one-sided P=0.12), although it was statistically not significant. The median progression-free survival (PFS) was significantly longer in the dose-escalated arm (4.3 vs 2.5 months, HR, 0.55; P=0.017). Objective response rate was 30.3% with dose escalation and 17.1% with standard dose (P=0.2). The frequency of all grades of neutropenia was significantly higher with dose escalation (88.7% vs 60.0%, P=0.002); however, no significant difference was observed in the proportion of patients experiencing grade 3 or more (40.9% vs 31.1%, P=0.34). CONCLUSION: Dose-escalated wPTX in patients with pretreated AGC met our predefined threshold of primary end point, OS (P<0.3); however, it did not show a significantly longer OS. Progression-free survival was significantly better with dose escalation.

Time to first cigarette and lung cancer risk in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Cigarette smoking is the major cause of lung cancer (LC). Although the time to first cigarette (TTFC) of the day is a distinct indicator of nicotine dependence, little information is available on its possible relation to LC. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This case-control study includes a total of 1572 incident LC cases and 1572 non-cancer controls visiting for the first time the Aichi Cancer Center Hospital between 2001 and 2005. We estimated the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for TTFC using a logistic regression model after adjustment for several potential confounders. RESULTS: TTFC was inversely associated with the risk of LC. This association was consistent across histological subtypes of LC. For all LCs considered among ever smokers and after accurate allowance for smoking quantity and duration, besides other relevant covariates, compared with TTFC >60 min, the adjusted ORs were 1.08 (95% CI, 0.73-1.61) for TTFC of 31-60 min, 1.40 (0.98-2.01) for 6-30 min and 1.86 (1.28-2.71) for within 5 min (Ptrend, < 0.001). Statistically marginally significant heterogeneity by histological subtype was observed (Pheterogeneity, 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Nicotine dependence, as indicated by the TTFC, is associated with increased risk of LC and is therefore an independent marker of exposure to tobacco smoking.

Association between dietary folate intake and clinical outcome in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The association between dietary folate intake, two polymorphisms in methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) and thymidylate synthase (TYMS), and survival in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients is not clarified. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 437 HNSCC patients treated at Aichi Cancer Center. We evaluated the survival impact of pretreatment dietary folate intake, which was estimated using a food-frequency questionnaire, and two polymorphisms, MTHFR C677T and a 6-bp insertion/deletion in the 3'-untranslated region of TYMS, using multivariate proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Patients with high folate intake (≥320 µg/day; n=144) had significantly higher survival than patients with low or medium folate intake (<320 µg/day; n=278; 79.1% versus 68.2%, respectively, P=0.020). This association was consistent with multivariate analyses adjusted for established prognostic factors (hazard ratio 0.56; 95% confidence interval 0.37-0.84). MTHFR and TYMS polymorphisms did not show significant association with survival, although the TYMS 6-bp insertion allele showed potential association with a reduced risk of death. Notably, no significant interaction was observed between folate intake and the two examined polymorphisms. CONCLUSIONS: High pretreatment dietary folate intake was identified as an independent prognostic factor associated with improved clinical outcomes in HNSCC patients. Further study is warranted.

Association between incremental gains in the objective response rate and survival improvement in phase III trials of first-line chemotherapy for extensive disease small-cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: The duration of, resources required for and cost of clinical trials could be reduced if a surrogate end point was to be used in place of survival. We assessed the extent to which the objective response rate (ORR) is predictive of mortality, how much difference in the ORR is needed to predict an obvious survival difference and what factors could affect the association between the two parameters during the first-line treatment of extensive disease (ED)-small-cell lung cancer (SCLC). METHODS: We used the ORRs and median survival times (MSTs) from 48 phase III trials of first-line chemotherapy involving 8779 randomised patients with ED-SCLC in a linear regression analysis. The MST difference was calculated as the difference in MST between the investigational and reference arms; the ORR difference was similarly defined. RESULTS: ORR difference between the treatment arms was modestly associated with the MST difference in the overall trials (R(2) = 0.3314). In contrast, the relationship was stronger among only trials in which prophylactic cranial irradiation was given to those having an objective response to the initial chemotherapy (R(2) = 0.6279). In this trial setting, large differences in ORR were needed to predict a survival advantage (1.2-day survival advantage per 2% increase in ORR). CONCLUSIONS: In the first-line treatment of ED-SCLC, a favourable relationship was detected between the two parameters in the selected trial setting. Large ORR differences were needed to predict a survival benefit, clearly suggesting the need for new chemotherapeutic agents.