Understanding the resurgence of chikungunya virus during 2020-2021 in Pune, India, based on genomic analyses: A seven year study.

A surge in chikungunya was observed during 2020-21 in Pune district of Maharashtra, India. Whole genome sequencing and phylogenetic analysis of 21 samples/sequences revealed them as Indian ocean lineage of East Central South African genotype. Two distinct sequence clusters were found to circulate during 2020-21; one with E1:K211E and E2:V264A mutations while the other had E1:I317V mutation along with E1:K211E and E2: V264A mutations. The former, the predominant cluster (n = 18), clustered with chikungunya virus (CHIKV) strains of pre 2014 period while the latter (n = 3) clustered with 2016-2018 period Indian strains. Though E1: A226V was not detected in any of the 21 sequences, several unique mutations were detected in the strains which might have played key roles in the enhanced virus transmission during the period. The study highlights parallel evolution, introduction from the neighboring regions and cocirculation of two sequence clusters of CHIKV in Pune. The complete genome data can be useful to determine how the circulating strains differ from candidate vaccines and might help to predict the protective efficacy of chikungunya vaccine candidates.

Seroprevalence of dengue virus infection in Pune City in India, 2019: A decadal change.

BACKGROUND: The burden of dengue infection needs to be monitored along with tracking of the changes in dengue virus (DENV) transmission intensity for vaccine introduction decisions. METHODS: The seroprevalence of dengue was investigated in Pune City in India, in early 2019 using 1654 sera from apparently healthy human participants enrolled randomly through multistage cluster sampling. We used 797 retrospective human sera from late 2009 for comparison. All sera were assessed for the presence of dengue-specific IgG antibodies. A subset (n = 230) was tested for serotype-specific plaque reduction-neutralizing antibodies against all four serotypes. RESULTS: The dengue IgG seroprevalence of 62.9% (95% CI 59.4-66.1) in 2009 increased to 88.4% (95% CI 86.8-89.8) in 2019. Age-stratified dengue seroprevalence revealed a gradual increase in IgG seropositivity from 70.1% in 0-9 years to 85.0% in 10-19 years. The annual probability of dengue infection estimated as a force of infection was 4.1 (95% CI 3.8-4.5) in 2009, which increased to 10.9 (95% CI 10.2-11.6) in 2019. Analysis of dengue serotype-specific neutralizing antibodies revealed DENV-3 as the dominant serotype. The age of exposure to at least one dengue serotype was reduced in 2019 over 2009. CONCLUSIONS: There was a significant increase in the intensity of dengue virus transmission in Pune City over the decade. Since over 85% of the participants above nine years of age had exposure to DENV by 2019, dengue vaccine introduction can be considered. Moreover, such repeated serosurveys in different regions might inform about the readiness of the population for dengue vaccination.

Decadal Change in Seroprevalence of Chikungunya Virus Infection in Pune City, India.

Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) is an arthropod-borne virus capable of causing large outbreaks. We aimed to determine the decadal change in the extent of chikungunya virus infection from 2009 to 2019. We implemented a prospective cross-sectional survey in Pune City using a 30-cluster approach with probability-proportion-to-size (PPS) sampling, with blood samples collected from 1654 participants in early 2019. The study also included an additional 799 blood samples from an earlier serosurvey in late 2009. The samples were tested by an in-house anti-CHIKV IgG ELISA assay. The overall seroprevalence in 2019 was 53.2% (95% CI 50.7−55.6) as against 8.5% (95% CI 6.5−10.4) in 2009. A fivefold increase in seroprevalence was observed in a decade (p < 0.00001). The seroprevalence increased significantly with age; however, it did not differ between genders. Modeling of age-stratified seroprevalence data from 2019 coincided with a recent outbreak in 2016 followed by the low-level circulation. The mean estimated force of infection during the outbreak was 35.8% (95% CI 2.9−41.2), and it was 1.2% after the outbreak. To conclude, the study reports a fivefold increase in the seroprevalence of chikungunya infection over a decade in Pune City. The modeling approach considering intermittent outbreaks with continuous low-level circulation was a better fit and coincided with a recent outbreak reported in 2016. Community engagement and effective vector control measures are needed to avert future chikungunya outbreaks.

Phylogenetic classification of the whole-genome sequences of SARS-CoV-2 from India & evolutionary trends.

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES: Several phylogenetic classification systems have been devised to trace the viral lineages of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). However, inconsistency in the nomenclature limits uniformity in its epidemiological understanding. This study provides an integration of existing classifications and describes evolutionary trends of the SARS-CoV-2 strains circulating in India. METHODS: The whole genomes of 330 SARS-CoV-2 samples were sequenced using next-generation sequencing (NGS). Phylogenetic and sequence analysis of a total of 3014 Indian SARS-CoV-2 sequences from 20 different States/Union Territories (January to September 2020) from the Global Initiative on Sharing All Influenza Data (GISAID) database was performed to observe the clustering of Nextstrain and Phylogenetic Assignment of Named Global Outbreak LINeages (Pangolin) lineages with the GISAID clades. The identification of mutational sites under selection pressure was performed using Mixed Effects Model of Evolution and Single-Likelihood Ancestor Counting methods available in the Datamonkey server. RESULTS: Temporal data of the Indian SARS-CoV-2 genomes revealed that except for Uttarakhand, West Bengal and Haryana that showed the circulation of GISAID clade O even after July 2020, the rest of the States showed a complete switch to GR/GH clades. Pangolin lineages B.1.1.8 and B.1.113 identified within GR and GH clades, respectively, were noted to be indigenous evolutions. Sites identified to be under positive selection pressure within these clades were found to occur majorly in the non-structural proteins coded by ORF1a and ORF1b. INTERPRETATION & CONCLUSIONS: This study interpreted the geographical and temporal dominance of SARS-CoV-2 strains in India over a period of nine months based on the GISAID classification. An integration of the GISAID, Nextstrain and Pangolin classifications is also provided. The emergence of new lineages B.1.1.8 and B.1.113 was indicative of host-specific evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 strains in India. The hotspot mutations such as those driven by positive selection need to be further characterized.

Chikungunya phylogeography reveals persistent global transmissions of the Indian Ocean Lineage from India in association with mutational fitness.

Since the resurgence of chikungunya virus (CHIKV) in India in 2005, the Indian subcontinent sublineage of the Indian Ocean lineage (IOL) has continued transmission in India and also radiation from India causing additional outbreaks in surrounding countries. This study was undertaken for an in-depth understanding of the evolutionary dynamics of the IOL, the global transmission routes in the Indian context and possible association with mutational fitness. The whole genome sequencing of Indian isolates representing CHIKV outbreaks (2014-2018) from selected States of India was carried out, followed by phylogeography analysis of the IOL using the Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo method and selection pressure analysis. Phylogeography analysis of IOL strains revealed indigenous evolution in India at least at three time points, with specific mutations that conferred viral fitness in the Aedes vector species. Further dispersal of the strains from India was noted to neighbouring and distant countries with multiple exportations to Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and China. The study reveals India as an endemic reservoir for CHIKV and persistent global transmissions from India. Though natural selection does not appear to play a major role in establishment of the IOL, sustainable efforts towards vector control can help address the issues.

Genetic characterization of chikungunya viruses isolated during the 2015-2017 outbreaks in different states of India, based on their E1 and E2 genes.

During 2015-2017, chikungunya virus (CHIKV) showed a resurgence in several parts of India with Karnataka, Maharashtra and New Delhi accounting for a majority of the cases. E2-E1 gene based characterization revealed Indian subcontinent sublineage strains possessing Aedes aegypti mosquito-adaptive mutations E1: K211E and E2:V264A, with the 211 site positively selected. Novel mutational sites E1: K16E/Q, E1: K132Q/T, E1: S355T, E2: C19R and E2:S185Y could be associated with epitopes or virulence determining domains. The study examines the role of host, vector and viral factors and fills gaps in our molecular epidemiology data for these regions which are known to possess a dynamic population.

Detection of dengue-4 virus in pune, western india after an absence of 30 years--its association with two severe cases.

BACKGROUND: Difference in severity of dengue outbreaks has been related to virus serotype, genotype and clades within genotypes. Till the 1980 s, India and Sri Lanka reported low number of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) cases despite circulation of all four serotypes of dengue virus (DENV). Since the 1990 s the occurrence of DHF has increased. The increase has been attributed to changes in virus lineage especially with regard to DENV-2 and DENV-3. DENV-1 has been associated with dengue fever (DF) outbreaks and DENV-4 reports have been rare. The emergence of DENV-4 was reported recently in 2003 in Delhi and in 2007 in Hyderabad. The last report of DENV-4 from Maharashtra was in 1975 from Amalner. RESULTS: We report on the detection of DENV-4 in Pune, Maharashtra after an absence of almost 30 years. Two cases were detected in 2009-10, serotyped by multiplex reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). Both the cases were recorded as severe dengue (Category 3) requiring intensive care unit (ICU) level of treatment. Depending on the hemagglutination inhibiting (HI) antibody titres the 2009 case was characterized as a primary infection and the 2010 case as a secondary infection. Both the cases presented plasma leakage and neither showed any kind of haemorrhage. The 2009 case survived while the 2010 case was fatal. An isolate was obtained from the 2009 case. Based on envelope (E) gene sequence analysis, the virus belonged to genotype I of DENV-4, and clustered with isolates from India and Sri Lanka and was distant from the isolates from Thailand. The nucleotide and amino acid diversity of the E gene of the Indian isolates increased from 1996 to 2007 to 2009 in context of the E gene sequences of other isolates belonging to genotype I. CONCLUSION: The increasing diversity in the circulating DENV-4 calls for close monitoring of the DENV-4 serotype.

Evolution, dispersal and replacement of American genotype dengue type 2 viruses in India (1956-2005): selection pressure and molecular clock analyses.

This study reports the phylogeny, selection pressure, genotype replacement and molecular clock analyses of many previously unstudied dengue type 2 virus (DENV-2) strains, isolated in India over a time span of almost 50 years (1956-2005). Analysis of complete envelope (E) gene sequences of 37 strains of DENV-2 from India, together with globally representative strains, revealed that the American genotype, which circulated predominantly in India during the pre-1971 period, was then replaced by the Cosmopolitan genotype. Two previously unreported amino acid residues, one in the American (402I) and one in the Cosmopolitan (126K) genotypes, known to be involved functionally in the cellular tropism of the virus, were shown to be under positive selection pressure. The rate of nucleotide substitution estimated for DENV-2 was 6.5x10(-4) substitutions per site year(-1), which is comparable with earlier estimates. The time to the most recent common ancestor of the pre-1971 Indian strains and the American genotype was estimated to be between 73 and 100 years (1905-1932), which correlates with the historical record of traffic between India and South America and suggests transportation of the virus from the Americas. Post-1971 Indian isolates formed a separate subclade within the Cosmopolitan genotype. The estimated time to the most recent common ancestor of the Indian Cosmopolitan strains was about 47 years, with further estimates indicating the migration of DENV-2 from India to countries across the Indian ocean between 1955 and 1966. Overall, the present study increases our understanding of the events leading to the establishment and dispersal of the two genotypes in India.