Seroprevalence of Protective Antibodies Against Influenza and the Reduction of the Influenza Incidence Rate: An Annual Repeated Cross-Sectional Study From 2014 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: Seroepidemiological studies provide estimates of population-level immunity, prevalence/incidence of infections, and evaluation of vaccination programs. We assessed the seroprevalence of protective antibodies against influenza and evaluated the correlation of seroprevalence with the cumulative annual influenza incidence rate. METHODS: We conducted an annual repeated cross-sectional seroepidemiological survey, during June-August, from 2014 to 2019, in Portugal. A total of 4326 sera from all age groups, sex, and regions was tested by hemagglutination inhibition assay. Seroprevalence and geometric mean titers (GMT) of protective antibodies against influenza were assessed by age group, sex, and vaccine status (65+ years old). The association between summer annual seroprevalence and the difference of influenza incidence rates between one season and the previous one was measured by Pearson correlation coefficient (r). RESULTS: Significant differences in seroprevalence of protective antibodies against influenza were observed in the population. Higher seroprevalence and GMT for A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) were observed in children (5-14); influenza B seroprevalence in adults 65+ was 1.6-4.4 times than in children (0-4). Vaccinated participants (65+) showed significant higher seroprevalence/GMT for influenza. A strong negative and significant correlation was found between seroprevalence and ILI incidence rate for A(H1N1)pdm09 in children between 5 and 14 (r = -0.84; 95% CI, -0.98 to -0.07); a weak negative correlation was observed for A(H3N2) and B/Yamagata (r ≤ -0.1). CONCLUSIONS: The study provides new insight into the anti-influenza antibodies seroprevalence measured in summer on the ILI incidence rate in the next season and the need for adjusted preventive health care measures to prevent influenza infection and transmission.

Correction to the article "Implementing an Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Study in a Hospital Context in Portugal: The EVA Hospital Project", Published on Acta Med Port 2021 Jan;34(1):20-27.

On page 23, Figure 1, where it reads: "Controls 157 2015-2016 season = 47" (area circled in the image bellow) It should read: (see new Figure 1 on pag. 62). On page 25, Table 2, third line of the last column, under "p-value", where it reads: 1 (see Table 2 in page 63) It should read: 1.000 (see new Table 2, page 64) Article published with errors: https://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/13438.

Na página 23, Figura 1, onde se lê:"Controls 1572015-2016 season = 47"Deverá ler-se: (ver nova Figura 1 na página 62)Na página 25, Tabela 2, terceira linha da última coluna intitulada "p-value", onde se lê: 1 (ver Tabela 2 na pág. 63)Deverá ler-se: 1.000 (ver nova Tabela 2, pág. 64)Artigo publicado com erros: https://www.actamedicaportuguesa.com/revista/index.php/amp/article/view/13438.

Implementing an Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Study in a Hospital Context in Portugal: The EVA Hospital Project.

INTRODUCTION: The project 'Integrated Monitoring of Vaccines in Europe' aimed to measure seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness against hospitalised adults, aged 65 years and over, with influenza. We describe the protocol implementation in Portugal. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We implemented a test-negative design, targeting community-dwelling patients aged 65 years old and over hospitalised with severe acute respiratory illness. Patients were reverse transverse-polymerase chain reaction tested for influenza. Cases were those positive for influenza while others were controls. Most variables were collected using hospital medical records. Selection bias was evaluated by comparison with the laboratory influenza test requests database according to demographic characteristics. Crude, season-adjusted influenza vaccine effectiveness was estimated as = 1 - odds ratio, and 95% confidence intervals were obtained by conditional logistical regression, matched with the disease onset month. RESULTS: The recruitment rate was 37.8%. Most participants (n = 368) were female (55.8%) and aged 80 years old and over (55.8%). This was similar to values for potentially eligible severe acute respiratory illness patients (80 years old and over: 56.8%, female: 56.2%). The proportion of missing values was below 2.5% for 20 variables and above 5% (maximum 11.6%) for six variables. Influenza vaccine effectiveness estimates were 62.1% against AH1pdm09 (95% confidence intervals: -28.1 to 88.8), 14.9% against A(H3N2) (95% confidence intervals: -69.6 to 57.3), 43.6% against B/Yam (95% confidence intervals: -66.2 to 80.8). DISCUSSION: Given the non-existence of a coded admission database in either participating hospital the selection of severe acute respiratory illness due to clinical features was the feasible one. These results are only valid for the older adult population residing in the catchment area of the two participating hospitals who were admitted to a public hospital with severe influenza or SARI symptoms. CONCLUSION: Despite the low participation rate, we observed comparable characteristics of participants and eligible severe acute respiratory illness patients. Data quality was high, and influenza vaccine effectiveness results were in accordance with the results of meta-analyses and European season-specific estimates. The final sample size was low, which inhibited obtaining estimates with good precision.

Introdução: O projeto "Integrated Monitoring of Vaccines in Europe" pretende medir a efetividade da vacina antigripal nas hospitalizações por gripe nos adultos com mais de 65 anos. Este estudo pretende descrever a implementação do protocolo em Portugal. Material e Métodos: Implementou-se um estudo com desenho caso-controlo teste negativo. A população-alvo foram indivíduos com idade superior a 65 anos, hospitalizados com doença respiratória aguda grave. Os doentes foram testados para gripe por reverse transverse-polimerase chain reaction. Foram considerados casos aqueles com resultado positivo; os restantes foram controlos. Os dados foram obtidos através de registo clinicos. O potencial viés de seleção foi avaliado por comparação de características demográficas e enfermarias com dados das requisições laboratoriais. A efetividade da vacina, foi estimada em 1 ­ odds ratio por regressão logística condicional, emparelhada para o mês de início da doença. Resultados: A taxa de recrutamento foi de 37,8%. A maioria dos participantes (n = 368) era do sexo feminino (55,8%) e tinha idade superior a 80 anos (55,8%). Padrão similar foi verificado nos doentes elegíveis (idade superior a 80 anos: 56,8%; feminino: 56,2%). Os valores omissos foram inferiores a 2,5% em 20 variáveis e acima de 5% (máximo 11,6%) em seis variáveis. As estimativas da efetividade foram 62,1% contra AH1pdm09 (intervalo de confiança IC 95%: -28,1, 88,8); 14,9% contra A (H3) (intervalo de confiança 95%: -69,6; 57,3) e 43,6% contra B/yamagata (intervalo de confiança 95%: -66,2; 80,8). Discussão: Dada a inexistência de uma codificação em base de dados de admissão em qualquer um dos hospitais participantes, a abordagem de identificação e casos clínicos de doença respiratória aguda grave foi a exequível. Estes resultados são válidos para a população idosa residente na área de abrangência dos dois hospitais participantes que foram internados em um hospital público com gripe grave ou sintomas de doença respiratória aguda grave. Conclusão: Apesar da baixa taxa de participação, observámos características comparáveis entre os participantes e os doentes elegíveis. A qualidade dos dados foi elevada, e os resultados da efetividade concordantes com resultados de meta-análises e estimativas europeias. A reduzida dimensão da amostra impediu a obtenção de estimativas mais precisas.

Epidemiology and genetic variability of respiratory syncytial virus in Portugal, 2014-2018.

INTRODUCTION: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality since it is a predominant viral agent causing respiratory tract infections in infants, young children and the elderly. Considering the availability of the RSV vaccines in the coming years, molecular understanding in RSV is necessary. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the present study was to describe RSV epidemiology and genotype variability in Portugal during the 2014/15-2017/18 period. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Epidemiological data and RSV-positive samples from patients with a respiratory infection were collected through the non-sentinel and sentinel influenza surveillance system (ISS). RSV detection, subtyping in A and B, and sequencing of the second hypervariable region (HVR2) of G gene were performed by molecular methods. Phylogenetic trees were generated using the Neighbor-Joining method and p-distance model on MEGA 7.0. RESULTS: RSV prevalence varied between the sentinel (2.5%, 97/3891) and the non-sentinel ISS (20.7%, 3138/16779), being higher (P < 0.0001) among children aged <5 years. Bronchiolitis (62.9%, 183/291) and influenza-like illness (24.6%, 14/57) were associated (P < 0.0001) with RSV laboratory confirmation among children aged <6 months and adults ≥65 years, respectively. The HVR2 was sequenced for 562 samples. RSV-A (46.4%, 261/562) and RSV-B (53.6%, 301/562) strains clustered mainly to ON1 (89.2%, 233/261) and BA9 (92%, 277/301) genotypes, respectively, although NA1 and BA10 were also present until 2015/2016. CONCLUSION: The sequence and phylogenetic analysis reflected the relatively high diversity of Portuguese RSV strains. BA9 and ON1 genotypes, which have been circulating in Portugal since 2010/2011 and 2011/2012 respectively, predominated during the whole study period.

Cross-protection to new drifted influenza A(H3) viruses and prevalence of protective antibodies to seasonal influenza, during 2014 in Portugal.

INTRODUCTION: Immune profile for influenza viruses is highly changeable over time. Serological studies can assess the prevalence of influenza, estimate the risk of infection, highlight asymptomatic infection rate and can also provide data on vaccine coverage. The aims of the study were to evaluate pre-existing cross-protection against influenza A(H3) drift viruses and to assess influenza immunity in the Portuguese population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We developed a cross-sectional study based on a convenience sample of 626 sera collected during June 2014, covering all age groups, both gender and all administrative health regions of Portugal. Sera antibody titers for seasonal and new A(H3) drift influenza virus were evaluated by hemagglutination inhibition assay (HI). Seroprevalence to each seasonal influenza vaccine strain virus and to the new A(H3) drift circulating strain was estimated by age group, gender and region and compared with seasonal influenza-like illness (ILI) incidence rates before and after the study period. RESULTS: Our findings suggest that seroprevalences of influenza A(H3) (39.9%; 95% CI: 36.2-43.8) and A(H1)pdm09 (29.7%; 95% CI: 26.3-33.4) antibodies were higher than for influenza B, in line with high ILI incidence rates for A(H3) followed by A(H1)pdm09, during 2013/2014 season. Low pre-existing cross-protection against new A(H3) drift viruses were observed in A(H3) seropositive individuals (46%). Both against influenza A(H1)pdm09 and A(H3) seroprotection was highest in younger than 14-years old. Protective antibodies against influenza B were highest in those older than 65years old, especially for B/Yamagata lineage, 33.3% (95% CI: 25.7-41.9). Women showed a high seroprevalence to influenza, although without statistical significance, when compared to men. A significant decreasing trend in seroprotection from north to south regions of Portugal mainland was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Our results emphasize that low seroprotection increases the risk of influenza infection in the following winter season. Seroepidemiological studies can inform policy makers on the need for vaccination and additional preventive measures.