RESUMO
The prognosis for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) varies, being influenced by blood-related factors such as transcriptional profiling and immune cell ratios. We aimed to address the contribution of distinct whole blood immune cell components to the prognosis of these patients. This study analyzed pre-treatment blood samples from 152 chemotherapy-naive mCRPC patients participating in a phase 2 clinical trial (NCT02288936) and a validation cohort. We used CIBERSORT-X to quantify 22 immune cell types and assessed their prognostic significance using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses. Reduced CD8 T-cell proportions and elevated monocyte levels were substantially connected with a worse survival. High monocyte counts correlated with a median survival of 32.2 months versus 40.3 months for lower counts (HR: 1.96, 95% CI 1.11-3.45). Low CD8 T-cell levels were associated with a median survival of 31.8 months compared to 40.3 months for higher levels (HR: 1.97, 95% CI 1.11-3.5). These findings were consistent in both the trial and validation cohorts. Multivariate analysis further confirmed the independent prognostic value of CD8 T-cell counts. This study highlights the prognostic implications of specific blood immune cells, suggesting they could serve as biomarkers in mCRPC patient management and should be further explored in clinical trials.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: There is a considerable need to incorporate biomarkers of resistance to new antiandrogen agents in the management of castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). METHODS: We conducted a phase II trial of enzalutamide in first-line chemo-naïve asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic mCRPC and analyzed the prognostic value of TMPRSS2-ERG and other biomarkers, including circulating tumor cells (CTCs), androgen receptor splice variant (AR-V7) in CTCs and plasma Androgen Receptor copy number gain (AR-gain). These biomarkers were correlated with treatment response and survival outcomes and developed a clinical-molecular prognostic model using penalized cox-proportional hazard model. This model was validated in an independent cohort. RESULTS: Ninety-eight patients were included. TMPRSS2-ERG fusion gene was detected in 32 patients with no differences observed in efficacy outcomes. CTC detection was associated with worse outcome and AR-V7 in CTCs was associated with increased rate of progression as best response. Plasma AR gain was strongly associated with an adverse outcome, with worse median prostate specific antigen (PSA)-PFS (4.2 vs. 14.7 m; p < 0.0001), rad-PFS (4.5 vs. 27.6 m; p < 0.0001), and OS (12.7 vs. 38.1 m; p < 0.0001). The clinical prognostic model developed in PREVAIL was validated (C-Index 0.70) and the addition of plasma AR (C-Index 0.79; p < 0.001) increased its prognostic ability. We generated a parsimonious model including alkaline phosphatase (ALP); PSA and AR gain (C-index 0.78) that was validated in an independent cohort. CONCLUSIONS: TMPRSS2-ERG detection did not correlate with differential activity of enzalutamide in first-line mCRPC. However, we observed that CTCs and plasma AR gain were the most relevant biomarkers.