The association of overweight, obesity, and long-term obesity with SARS-CoV-2 infection: a meta-analysis of 9 population-based cohorts from the Netherlands Cohorts Consortium.

BACKGROUND: Obesity may affect an individual's immune response and subsequent risk of infection, such as a SARS-CoV-2 infection. It is less clear whether overweight and long-term obesity also constitute risk factors. We investigated the association between the degree and duration of overweight and obesity and SARS-CoV-2 infection. METHODS: We analyzed data from nine prospective population-based cohorts of the Netherlands Cohorts Consortium, with a total of 99,570 participants, following a standardized procedure. Body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) were assessed two times before the pandemic, with approximately 5 years between measurements. SARS-CoV-2 infection was defined by self-report as a positive PCR or rapid-antigen test or as COVID-19 ascertained by a physician between March 2020 and January 2023. For three cohorts, information on SARS-CoV-2 infection by serology was available. Results were pooled using random-effects meta-analyses and adjusted for age, sex, educational level, and number of SARS-CoV-2 infection measurements. RESULTS: Individuals with overweight (25 ≤ BMI < 30 kg/m2) (odds ratio (OR) = 1.08, 95%-confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.13) or obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) (OR = 1.43, 95%-CI 1.18-1.75) were more likely to report SARS-CoV-2 infection than individuals with a healthy body weight. We observed comparable ORs for abdominal overweight (men: 94 cm≤WC < 102 cm, women: 80 cm≤WC < 88 cm) (OR = 1.09, 95%-CI 1.04-1.14, I2 = 0%) and abdominal obesity (men: WC ≥ 102 cm, women: WC ≥ 88 cm) (OR = 1.24, 95%-CI 0.999-1.55, I2 = 57%). Individuals with obesity long before the pandemic, but with a healthy body weight or overweight just before the pandemic, were not at increased risk. CONCLUSION: Overweight and obesity were associated with increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection with stronger associations for obesity. Individuals with a healthier weight prior to the pandemic but previous obesity did not have an increased risk of SARS-CoV-2, suggesting that weight loss in those with obesity reduces infection risk. These results underline the importance of obesity prevention and weight management for public health.

Health characteristics associated with persistence of SARS-CoV-2 antibody responses after repeated vaccinations in older persons over time: the Doetinchem cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Older persons elicit heterogeneous antibody responses to vaccinations that generally are lower than those in younger, healthier individuals. As older age and certain comorbidities can influence these responses we aimed to identify health-related variables associated with antibody responses after repeated SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations and their persistence thereafter in SARS-CoV-2 infection-naïve and previously infected older persons. METHOD: In a large longitudinal study of older persons of the general population 50 years and over, a sub-cohort of the longitudinal Doetinchem cohort study (n = 1374), we measured IgG antibody concentrations in serum to SARS-CoV-2 Spike protein (S1) and Nucleoprotein (N). Samples were taken following primary vaccination with BNT162b2 or AZD1222, pre- and post-vaccination with a third and fourth BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 (Wuhan), and up to a year after a fifth BNT162b2 bivalent (Wuhan/Omicron BA.1) vaccine. Associations between persistence of antibody concentrations over time and age, sex, health characteristics including cardiometabolic and inflammatory diseases as well as a frailty index were tested using univariable and multivariable models. RESULTS: The booster doses substantially increased anti-SARS-CoV-2 Spike S1 (S1) antibody concentrations in older persons against both the Wuhan and Omicron strains. Older age was associated with decreased antibody persistence both after the primary vaccination series and up to 1 year after the fifth vaccine dose. In infection-naïve persons the presence of inflammatory diseases was associated with an increased antibody response to the third vaccine dose (Beta = 1.53) but was also associated with reduced persistence over the 12 months following the fifth (bivalent) vaccine dose (Beta = -1.7). The presence of cardiometabolic disease was associated with reduced antibody persistence following the primary vaccination series (Beta = -1.11), but this was no longer observed after bivalent vaccination. CONCLUSION: Although older persons with comorbidities such as inflammatory and cardiometabolic diseases responded well to SARS-CoV-2 booster vaccinations, they showed a reduced persistence of these responses. This might indicate that especially these more vulnerable older persons could benefit from repeated booster vaccinations.

Self-Rated Health among Older Adults: Longitudinal Analyses Examining Sex Differences across Different Birth Cohorts and Educational Levels.

INTRODUCTION: Given the known female disadvantage in physical and mental health, this study aimed to investigate sex differences in self-rated health (SRH) among older adults, considering the longitudinal course by age, birth cohort, and educational level. METHODS: Data from birth cohort 1911-1937 with baseline age 55-81 years (n = 3,107) and birth cohort 1938-1947 with baseline age 55-65 years (n = 1,002) from the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (LASA) were used. Mixed model analyses were used to examine sex differences in SRH (RAND General Health Perception Questionnaire [RAND-GHPQ], range 0-16) over the age course, testing for effect modification by the birth cohort and educational level (low, middle, high). RESULTS: For both sexes, a decline in SRH was seen with increasing age. Over the age course, there was no significant sex difference in SRH within the older (1911-1937) birth cohort (0.13 lower score on SRH for women compared to men, 95% CI: -0.35 to 0.09) and only a small sex difference in the more recent (1938-1947) birth cohort (0.35 lower score on SRH for women compared to men [95% CI: -0.69 to -0.02], p = 0.04). There was no significant cohort difference in the size of the sex difference (p = 0.279). Those with a higher level of education reported a higher SRH, but between educational levels, there was no significant difference in the size of the sex difference in SRH. DISCUSSION: In this study, no relevant sex difference in SRH over the age course was observed among older adults. Future research on SRH trajectories by sex during aging should take health-related, cognitive, psychosocial, and behavioral factors into account.

Genomics Research of Lifetime Depression in the Netherlands: The BIObanks Netherlands Internet Collaboration (BIONIC) Project.

In this cohort profile article we describe the lifetime major depressive disorder (MDD) database that has been established as part of the BIObanks Netherlands Internet Collaboration (BIONIC). Across the Netherlands we collected data on Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition (DSM-5) lifetime MDD diagnosis in 132,850 Dutch individuals. Currently, N = 66,684 of these also have genomewide single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) data. We initiated this project because the complex genetic basis of MDD requires large population-wide studies with uniform in-depth phenotyping. For standardized phenotyping we developed the LIDAS (LIfetime Depression Assessment Survey), which then was used to measure MDD in 11 Dutch cohorts. Data from these cohorts were combined with diagnostic interview depression data from 5 clinical cohorts to create a dataset of N = 29,650 lifetime MDD cases (22%) meeting DSM-5 criteria and 94,300 screened controls. In addition, genomewide genotype data from the cohorts were assembled into a genomewide association study (GWAS) dataset of N = 66,684 Dutch individuals (25.3% cases). Phenotype data include DSM-5-based MDD diagnoses, sociodemographic variables, information on lifestyle and BMI, characteristics of depressive symptoms and episodes, and psychiatric diagnosis and treatment history. We describe the establishment and harmonization of the BIONIC phenotype and GWAS datasets and provide an overview of the available information and sample characteristics. Our next step is the GWAS of lifetime MDD in the Netherlands, with future plans including fine-grained genetic analyses of depression characteristics, international collaborations and multi-omics studies.

A Model of Individual BMI Trajectories.

A risk factor model of body mass index (BMI) is an important building block of health simulations aimed at estimating government policy effects with regard to overweight and obesity. We created a model that generates representative population level distributions and that also mimics realistic BMI trajectories at an individual level so that policies aimed at individuals can be simulated. The model is constructed by combining several datasets. First, the population level distribution is extracted from a large, cross-sectional dataset. The trend in this distribution is estimated from historical data. In addition, longitudinal data are used to model how individuals move along typical trajectories over time. The model faithfully describes the population level distribution of BMI, stratified by sex, level of education and age. It is able to generate life course trajectories for individuals which seem plausible, but it does not capture extreme fluctuations, such as rapid weight loss.

Past or Present; Which Exposures Predict Metabolomic Aging Better? The Doetinchem Cohort Study.

People age differently. Differences in aging might be reflected by metabolites, also known as metabolomic aging. Predicting metabolomic aging is of interest in public health research. However, the added value of longitudinal over cross-sectional predictors of metabolomic aging is unknown. We studied exposome-related exposures as potential predictors of metabolomic aging, both cross-sectionally and longitudinally in men and women. We used data from 4 459 participants, aged 36-75 of Round 4 (2003-2008) of the long-running Doetinchem Cohort Study (DCS). Metabolomic age was calculated with the MetaboHealth algorithm. Cross-sectional exposures were demographic, biological, lifestyle, and environmental at Round 4. Longitudinal exposures were based on the average exposure over 15 years (Round 1 [1987-1991] to 4), and trend in these exposure over time. Random Forest was performed to identify model performance and important predictors. Prediction performances were similar for cross-sectional and longitudinal exposures in both men (R2 6.8 and 5.8, respectively) and women (R2 14.8 and 14.4, respectively). Biological and diet exposures were most predictive for metabolomic aging in both men and women. Other important predictors were smoking behavior for men and contraceptive use and menopausal status for women. Taking into account history of exposure levels (longitudinal) had no added value over cross-sectionally measured exposures in predicting metabolomic aging in the current study. However, the prediction performances of both models were rather low. The most important predictors for metabolomic aging were from the biological and lifestyle domain and differed slightly between men and women.

Potential determinants of antibody responses after vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 in older persons: the Doetinchem Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Immune responses to vaccination vary widely between individuals. The aim of this study was to identify health-related variables potentially underlying the antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in older persons. We recruited participants in the long-running Doetinchem Cohort Study (DCS) who underwent vaccination as part of the national COVID-19 program, and measured antibody concentrations to SARS-CoV-2 Spike protein (S1) and Nucleoprotein (N) at baseline (T0), and a month after both the first vaccination (T1), and the second vaccination (T2). Associations between the antibody concentrations and demographic variables, including age, sex, socio-economic status (SES), comorbidities (cardiovascular diseases and immune mediated diseases), various health parameters (cardiometabolic markers, inflammation markers, kidney- and lung function) and a composite measure of frailty ('frailty index', ranging from 0 to 1) were tested using multivariate models. RESULTS: We included 1457 persons aged 50 to 92 years old. Of these persons 1257 were infection naïve after their primary vaccination series. The majority (N = 954) of these individuals were vaccinated with two doses of BNT162b2 (Pfizer) and their data were used for further analysis. A higher frailty index was associated with lower anti-S1 antibody responses at T1 and T2 for both men (RT1 = -0.095, PT1 = 0.05; RT2 = -0.11, PT2 = 0.02) and women (RT1 = -0.24, PT1 < 0.01; RT2 = -0.15, PT2 < 0.01). After correcting for age and sex the frailty index was also associated with the relative increase in anti-S1 IgG concentrations between the two vaccinations (ß = 1.6, P < 0.01). Within the construct of frailty, history of a cardiac catheterization, diabetes, gastrointestinal disease, a cognitive speed in the lowest decile of the population distribution, and impaired lung function were associated with lower antibody responses after both vaccinations. CONCLUSIONS: Components of frailty play a key role in the primary vaccination response to the BNT162b2 vaccine within an ageing population. Older persons with various comorbidities have a lowered immune response after their first vaccination, and while frail and sick older persons see a stronger increase after their second vaccination compared to healthy people, they still have a lower antibody response after their second vaccination.

Masculine gender affects sex differences in the prevalence of chronic health problems - The Doetinchem Cohort Study.

Both (biological) sex and (socio-cultural) gender are relevant for health but in large-scale studies specific gender measures are lacking. Using a masculine gender-score based on 'traditional masculine-connotated aspects of everyday life', we explored how masculinity may affect sex differences in the prevalence of chronic health problems. We used cross-sectional data (2008-2012) from the Doetinchem Cohort Study to calculate a masculine gender-score (range 0-19) using information on work, informal care, lifestyle and emotions. The sample consisted of 1900 men and 2117 women (age: 40-80). Multivariable logistic regressions including age and SES were used to examine the role of masculine gender on sex differences in the prevalence of diabetes, coronary heart disease, CVA, arthritis, chronic pain and migraine. Men had higher masculine gender-scores than women (12.2 vs 9.1). For both sexes, a higher masculine gender-score was associated with lower prevalence of chronic health problems. Diabetes, CHD, and CVA were more prevalent in men, and gender-adjustment resulted in greater sex differences: e.g. for diabetes the ORsex changed from 1.21 (95 %CI 0.93-1.58) to 1.60 (95 %CI 1.18-2.17). Arthritis, chronic pain, and migraine were more prevalent in women, and gender-adjustment resulted in smaller sex differences: e.g. for chronic pain the ORsex changed from 0.53 (95 %CI 0.45-0.60) to 0.73 (95 %CI 0.63-0.86). Gender measured as 'everyday masculinity' is associated with lower prevalence of chronic health problems in both men and women. Our findings also suggest that the commonly found sex differences in the prevalence of chronic health problems have a large gender component.

Predictors of healthy physiological aging across generations in a 30-year population-based cohort study: the Doetinchem Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Predicting healthy physiological aging is of major interest within public health research. However, longitudinal studies into predictors of healthy physiological aging that include numerous exposures from different domains (i.e. the exposome) are scarce. Our aim is to identify the most important exposome-related predictors of healthy physiological aging over the life course and across generations. METHODS: Data were used from 2815 participants from four generations (generation 1960s/1950s/1940s/1930s aged respectively 20-29/30-39/40-49/50-59 years old at baseline, wave 1) of the Doetinchem Cohort Study who were measured every 5 years for 30 years. The Healthy Aging Index, a physiological aging index consisting of blood pressure, glucose, creatinine, lung function, and cognitive functioning, was measured at age 46-85 years (wave 6). The average exposure and trend of exposure over time of demographic, lifestyle, environmental, and biological exposures were included, resulting in 86 exposures. Random forest was used to identify important predictors. RESULTS: The most important predictors of healthy physiological aging were overweight-related (BMI, waist circumference, waist/hip ratio) and cholesterol-related (using cholesterol lowering medication, HDL and total cholesterol) measures. Diet and educational level also ranked in the top of important exposures. No substantial differences were observed in the predictors of healthy physiological aging across generations. The final prediction model's performance was modest with an R2 of 17%. CONCLUSIONS: Taken together, our findings suggest that longitudinal cardiometabolic exposures (i.e. overweight- and cholesterol-related measures) are most important in predicting healthy physiological aging. This finding was similar across generations. More work is needed to confirm our findings in other study populations.

Differences in the Mediating Role of HL in Socioeconomic Inequalities in Health Across Age Groups: Results from the Dutch Doetinchem Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Although it is known that health literacy (HL) plays an explanatory role in educational inequalities in health, it is unknown whether this role varies across age groups. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to investigate whether the mediating role of HL in educational inequalities in four health outcomes varies across age groups: age 46 to 58 years, age 59 to 71 years, and age 72 to 84 years. METHODS: We used data from the Dutch Doetinchem Cohort Study, which included 3,448 participants. We included years of education as predictor, chronic illness prevalence and incidence, mental and self-perceived health as outcomes, and HL, based on self-report, as mediator. We used multiple-group mediation models to compare indirect effects across age groups. KEY RESULTS: In the complete sample without age stratification, HL partly mediated the effect of education on all health outcomes except for incidence of chronic diseases. These indirect effect estimates were larger for subjective (self-perceived health, proportion mediated [PM] = 37%, and mental health, PM = 37%) than for objective health outcomes (prevalence of chronic disease, PM = 17%). For the prevalence of chronic disease, the indirect effect estimate was significantly larger among individuals age 46 to 58 years compared to individuals age 59 to 71 years and for incidence of chronic disease also compared to individuals age 72 to 84 years. All other indirect effect estimates did not differ significantly between age groups. Using an alternative cut-off point for HL or adjusting for cognitive functioning did not meaningfully change the results. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, we found that the explanatory role of HL in educational inequalities in mental and subjective health was stable but that it varied across age groups for chronic diseases, where it was largest among individuals age 46 to 58 years. Future studies may investigate the benefits of starting to intervene on HL from a younger age but means to improve HL may also benefit the subjective health of older adults with lower education. [HLRP: HL Research and Practice. 2023;7(1):e26-e38.] Plain Language Summary: This study examined age-group differences in the mediating role of HL in the relationship between education and health. Overall, we found that the explanatory role of HL in educational inequalities in mental and subjective health was stable but that it varied across age groups for chronic diseases, where it was largest among individuals age 46 to 58 years compared to individuals age 59 to 71 years and individuals age 72 to 84 years.

Sociodemographic, lifestyle and clinical characteristics of energy-related depression symptoms: A pooled analysis of 13,965 depressed cases in 8 Dutch cohorts.

BACKGROUND: In a substantial subgroup of depressed patients, atypical, energy-related depression symptoms (e.g. increased appetite/weight, hypersomnia, loss of energy) tend to cluster with immuno-metabolic dysregulations (e.g. increased BMI and inflammatory markers). This clustering is proposed to reflect a more homogeneous depression pathology. This study examines to what extent energy-related symptoms are associated and share sociodemographic, lifestyle and clinical characteristics. METHODS: Data were available from 13,965 participants from eight Dutch cohorts with DSM-5 lifetime major depression assessed by the Lifetime Depression Assessment Self-report (LIDAS) questionnaire. Information on four energy-related depression symptoms were extracted: energy loss, increased appetite, increased weight, and hypersomnia. Tetrachoric correlations between these symptoms, and associations of these symptoms with sociodemographic (sex, age, education), lifestyle (physical activity, BMI, smoking) and clinical characteristics (age of onset, episode duration, history, treatment and recency, and self-reported comorbidity) were computed. RESULTS: Correlations between energy-related symptoms were overall higher than those with other depression symptoms and varied from 0.90 (increased appetite vs increased weight) to 0.11 (increased appetite vs energy loss). All energy-related symptoms were strongly associated with higher BMI and a more severe clinical profile. Patients with increased appetite were more often smokers, and only patients with increased appetite or weight more often had a self-reported diagnosis of PTSD (OR = 1.17, p = 2.91E-08) and eating disorder (OR = 1.40, p = 4.08E-17). CONCLUSIONS: The symptom-specific associations may have consequences for a profile integrating these symptoms, which can be used to reflect immuno-metabolic depression. They indicate the need to study immuno-metabolic depression at individual symptom resolution as a starting point.

Reduced Antibody Acquisition with Increasing Age following Vaccination with BNT162b2: Results from Two Longitudinal Cohort Studies in The Netherlands.

Vaccine-induced protection against severe COVID-19, hospitalization, and death is of the utmost importance, especially in the elderly. However, limited data are available on humoral immune responses following COVID-19 vaccination in the general population across a broad age range. We performed an integrated analysis of the effect of age, sex, and prior SARS-CoV-2 infection on Spike S1-specific (S1) IgG concentrations up to three months post-BNT162b2 (Pfizer/BioNTech; Comirnaty) vaccination. In total, 1735 persons, eligible for COVID-19 vaccination through the national program, were recruited from the general population (12 to 92 years old). Sixty percent were female, and the median vaccination interval was 35 days (interquartile range, IQR: 35−35). All participants had seroconverted to S1 one month after two vaccine doses. S1 IgG was higher in participants with a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection (median: 4535 BAU/mL, IQR: 2341−7205) compared to infection-naive persons (1842 BAU/mL, 1019−3116), p < 0.001. In infection-naive persons, linear mixed effects regression showed a strong negative association between age and S1 IgG (p < 0.001) across the entire age range. Females had higher S1 IgG than males (p < 0.001). In persons with an infection history, age nor sex was associated with S1 IgG concentrations. The lower magnitude of S1 antibodies in older persons following COVID-19 vaccination will affect long-term protection.

Healthy lifestyle over the life course: Population trends and individual changes over 30 years of the Doetinchem Cohort Study.

For five health-related lifestyle factors (physical activity, weight, smoking, sleep, and alcohol consumption) we describe both population trends and individual changes over a period of 30 years in the same adult population. Dichotomous indicators (healthy/unhealthy) of lifestyle were analyzed for 3,139 participants measured every 5 years in the Doetinchem Cohort Study (1987-2017). Population trends over 30 years in physical inactivity and "unhealthy" alcohol consumption were flat (i.e., stable); overweight and unhealthy sleep prevalence increased; smoking prevalence decreased. The proportion of the population being healthy on all five lifestyle factors declined from 17% in the round 1 to 10.8% in round 6. Underlying these trends a dynamic pattern of changes at the individual level was seen: sleep duration and physical activity level changed in almost half of the individuals; Body Mass Index (BMI) and alcohol consumption in one-third; smoking in one-fourth. Population trends don't give insight into change at the individual level. In order to be able to gauge the potential for change of health-related lifestyle, it is important to take changes at the individual level into account.

Exploring the difference between men and women in physical functioning: How do sociodemographic, lifestyle- and health-related determinants contribute?

BACKGROUND: To explore whether differences between men and women in the sensitivity to (strength of the association) and/or in the exposure to determinants (prevalence) contribute to the difference in physical functioning, with women reporting more limitations. METHODS: Data of the Doetinchem Cohort Study was used (n = 5856, initial ages 26-70 years), with follow-up measurements every 5 years (up to 20). Physical functioning (subscale SF-36, range:0-100), sex (men or women) and a number of socio-demographic, lifestyle- and health-related determinants were assessed. Mixed-model multivariable analysis was used to investigate differences between men and women in sensitivity (interaction term with sex) and in exposure (change of the sex difference when adjusting) to determinants of physical functioning. RESULTS: The physical functioning score among women was 6.55 (95%CI:5.48,7.61) points lower than among men. In general, men and women had similar determinants, but pain was more strongly associated with physical functioning (higher sensitivity), and also more prevalent among women (higher exposure). The higher exposure to low educational level and not having a paid job also contributed to the lower physical functioning score among women. In contrast, current smoking, mental health problems and a low educational level were more strongly associated with a lower physical functioning score among men and lower physical activity and higher BMI were more prevalent among men. CONCLUSIONS: Although important for physical functioning among both men and women, our findings provide no indications for reducing the difference in physical functioning by promoting a healthy lifestyle but stress the importance of differences in pain, work and education.

Using random forest to identify longitudinal predictors of health in a 30-year cohort study.

Due to the wealth of exposome data from longitudinal cohort studies that is currently available, the need for methods to adequately analyze these data is growing. We propose an approach in which machine learning is used to identify longitudinal exposome-related predictors of health, and illustrate its potential through an application. Our application involves studying the relation between exposome and self-perceived health based on the 30-year running Doetinchem Cohort Study. Random Forest (RF) was used to identify the strongest predictors due to its favorable prediction performance in prior research. The relation between predictors and outcome was visualized with partial dependence and accumulated local effects plots. To facilitate interpretation, exposures were summarized by expressing them as the average exposure and average trend over time. The RF model's ability to discriminate poor from good self-perceived health was acceptable (Area-Under-the-Curve = 0.707). Nine exposures from different exposome-related domains were largely responsible for the model's performance, while 87 exposures seemed to contribute little to the performance. Our approach demonstrates that ML can be interpreted more than widely believed, and can be applied to identify important longitudinal predictors of health over the life course in studies with repeated measures of exposure. The approach is context-independent and broadly applicable.

20-year individual physical activity patterns and related characteristics.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to describe individual leisure-time physical activity patterns among Dutch adults over a 20-year period, and to compare baseline characteristics of participants with different patterns. METHODS: The study population consisted of 2,518 adults (53% women) aged 26-65 years at baseline, measured every 5 years over a 20-year period. Self-reported physical activity measurements (from 1994 to 2017) were used to compose five (predefined) patterns: stable active, becoming active, becoming inactive, stable inactive, and varying physical activity. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to compare baseline socio-demographic, lifestyle, and health-related characteristics of these patterns. RESULTS: The total population shows a stable percentage being active in each round (between 55 and 58%). However over a period of 20 years, 32.6% of the participants were stable active, 19.9% were stable inactive, 15.2% became active, 11.6% became inactive, and 20.8% had varying physical activity behaviour. Compared to participants who were stable active, becoming active was associated with being 46-55 years old, having an intermediate level of education, and smoking, at baseline. Participants who became inactive were less likely to be 46-55 years old and more likely to be obese. Stable inactivity was associated with an intermediate level of education, low adherence to dietary guidelines, smoking, low levels of alcohol use and a moderate/poor perceived health. Participants with a varying physical activity level were more likely to have low adherence to dietary guidelines and to smoke. CONCLUSIONS: Almost half of the participants changed their physical activity behaviour over 20 years. Baseline age, level of education, smoking, alcohol consumption, adherence to dietary guidelines, weight status and perceived health were associated with different physical activity patterns.

Inflammatory marker trajectories associated with frailty and ageing in a 20-year longitudinal study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this exploratory study was to investigate the development of low-grade inflammation during ageing and its relationship with frailty. METHODS: The trajectories of 18 inflammatory markers measured in blood samples, collected at 5-year intervals over a period of 20 years from 144 individuals aged 65-75 years at the study endpoint, were related to the degree of frailty later in life. RESULTS: IFN-γ-related markers and platelet activation markers were found to change in synchrony. Chronically elevated levels of IL-6 pathway markers, such as CRP and sIL-6R, were associated with more frailty, poorer lung function and reduced physical strength. Being overweight was a possible driver of these associations. More and stronger associations were detected in women, such as a relation between increasing sCD14 levels and frailty, indicating a possible role for monocyte overactivation. Multivariate prediction of frailty confirmed the main results, but predictive accuracy was low. CONCLUSION: In summary, we documented temporal changes in and between inflammatory markers in an ageing population over a period of 20 years, and related these to clinically relevant health outcomes.

Epigenome-wide association study of incident type 2 diabetes: a meta-analysis of five prospective European cohorts.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Type 2 diabetes is a complex metabolic disease with increasing prevalence worldwide. Improving the prediction of incident type 2 diabetes using epigenetic markers could help tailor prevention efforts to those at the highest risk. The aim of this study was to identify predictive methylation markers for incident type 2 diabetes by combining epigenome-wide association study (EWAS) results from five prospective European cohorts. METHODS: We conducted a meta-analysis of EWASs in blood collected 7-10 years prior to type 2 diabetes diagnosis. DNA methylation was measured with Illumina Infinium Methylation arrays. A total of 1250 cases and 1950 controls from five longitudinal cohorts were included: Doetinchem, ESTHER, KORA1, KORA2 and EPIC-Norfolk. Associations between DNA methylation and incident type 2 diabetes were examined using robust linear regression with adjustment for potential confounders. Inverse-variance fixed-effects meta-analysis of cohort-level individual CpG EWAS estimates was performed using METAL. The methylGSA R package was used for gene set enrichment analysis. Confirmation of genome-wide significant CpG sites was performed in a cohort of Indian Asians (LOLIPOP, UK). RESULTS: The meta-analysis identified 76 CpG sites that were differentially methylated in individuals with incident type 2 diabetes compared with control individuals (p values <1.1 × 10-7). Sixty-four out of 76 (84.2%) CpG sites were confirmed by directionally consistent effects and p values <0.05 in an independent cohort of Indian Asians. However, on adjustment for baseline BMI only four CpG sites remained genome-wide significant, and addition of the 76 CpG methylation risk score to a prediction model including established predictors of type 2 diabetes (age, sex, BMI and HbA1c) showed no improvement (AUC 0.757 vs 0.753). Gene set enrichment analysis of the full epigenome-wide results clearly showed enrichment of processes linked to insulin signalling, lipid homeostasis and inflammation. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: By combining results from five European cohorts, and thus significantly increasing study sample size, we identified 76 CpG sites associated with incident type 2 diabetes. Replication of 64 CpGs in an independent cohort of Indian Asians suggests that the association between DNA methylation levels and incident type 2 diabetes is robust and independent of ethnicity. Our data also indicate that BMI partly explains the association between DNA methylation and incident type 2 diabetes. Further studies are required to elucidate the underlying biological mechanisms and to determine potential causal roles of the differentially methylated CpG sites in type 2 diabetes development.

Impaired JAK-STAT pathway signaling in leukocytes of the frail elderly.

BACKGROUND: Elderly often show reduced immune functioning and can develop chronic low-grade inflammation. Why some elderly are more prone to become frail is unknown. We investigated whether frailty is associated with altered cytokine signaling through the JAK-STAT pathway in leukocytes of 34 individuals aged 65-74 years. In addition, we investigated how this relation is affected by chronic low-grade inflammation during the previous 20 years. Cytokine signaling was quantified by measuring intracellular STAT1, STAT3, and STAT5 phosphorylation in monocytes, B cells, CD4+ T cells and CD8+ T cells upon stimulation with IL-2, IL-6, IL-10, IFNα and IFNγ, using phospho-flow cytometry. Presence of chronic low-grade inflammation was investigated by evaluating 18 different plasma inflammatory markers that had been measured repeatedly in the same individuals over the previous 20 years. Frailty was assessed as a score on a frailty index. RESULTS: We found that lower cytokine-induced pSTAT responsiveness in the various cell subsets was seen with higher frailty scores in both men and women, indicative of dysfunctional pSTAT responses in frailer individuals. Associations differed between men and women, with frailer women showing lower pSTAT1 responses in monocytes and frailer men showing lower pSTAT5 responses in CD4+ and CD8+ T cells. Notably, lower IL-10-induced pSTAT3 responses in men were related to both higher frailty scores and higher CRP levels over the past 20 years. This might indicate poor resolution of low-grade inflammation due to defective regulatory pSTAT signaling in older men. CONCLUSIONS: Our results emphasize the importance of preserved JAK-STAT pathway signaling in healthy aging and reveal cellular pSTAT levels as a candidate biomarker of frailty.

Sex Differences in Cognitive Functioning with Aging in the Netherlands.

INTRODUCTION: Dementia prevalence in older women is higher than that in men. The purpose of the present study was to investigate whether there is a female disadvantage in cognitive functioning at adult age and/or whether a female disadvantage develops with age. METHODS: Data of 5,135 women and 4,756 men from the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (LASA) and the Doetinchem Cohort Study (DCS) were used. In the LASA, memory, processing speed, fluid intelligence, and global cognitive function were measured every 3-4 years since 1992 in persons aged 55+ years for up to 23 years. In the DCS, memory, processing speed, cognitive flexibility, and global cognitive function were measured every 5 years since 1995 in persons aged 45+ years for up to 20 years. Sex differences in cognitive aging were analyzed using linear mixed models and also examined by the 10-year birth cohort or level of education. RESULTS: Women had a better memory, processing speed, flexibility, and, in the DCS only, global cognitive function than men (p's < 0.01). However, women showed up to 10% faster decline in these cognitive domains, except for flexibility, where women showed 9% slower decline. In the LASA, women scored poorer on fluid intelligence (p < 0.01), but their decline was 10% slower than that in men. Female advantage was larger in later born cohorts; adjustment for the educational level increased the female advantage. CONCLUSION: Women have better memory and processing speed than men at middle age. This female advantage becomes smaller with aging and has increased in more recent birth cohorts.