Conditional survival of male breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of male breast cancer has been increasing in recent years; however, the long-term survival outcomes of diagnosed patients remain uncertain. This study was designed to evaluate the conditional survival of male breast cancer patients and to predict the future survival of patients through the conditional nomogram, to provide important suggestions for clinical decision-making. METHODS: Retrospective data from the SEER database included 3600 male breast cancer patients, divided into training and validation groups (7 : 3 ratio). Overall survival rates were calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Conditional survival analysis described survival at specific years. Time-dependent multivariate Cox analysis identified prognostic factors' impact. The conditional survival nomogram model predicted real-time survival rates. RESULTS: Over time, the 5-year real-time survival rate of patients gradually improved, increasing from 70.5 to 74.8, 79.4, 85.8, and 92.9% (respectively, representing 5-year survival rates of 1-4 years after diagnosis). In addition, the improvement in conditional survival rate CS5 showed a nonlinear trend. After 5 years of diagnosis, age, tumor size, and tumor stage had a sustained impact on patient prognosis. Finally, a conditional survival nomogram was constructed to predict the 10-year survival rate in real time. CONCLUSION: Five years after diagnosis, the conditional survival rate of male patients with breast cancer has improved, but it is not nonlinear. In the first 5 years after diagnosis, patients with older age, larger tumor size, poorer tumor stage, and distant metastasis should be actively followed up and treated to improve their long-term survival.

Relationship between benefit finding and volunteer motivation among nursing students: The mediating role of perceived social support.

BACKGROUND: Volunteer motivation is essential to advancing community service, education, and career development of nursing students. However, few studies have been conducted on nursing students' volunteer motivation. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the relationship between social support benefit finding and volunteer motivation among nursing students and the role of social support in these relationships. METHOD: This study adopted a descriptive cross-sectional design. A total of 2166 nursing students were recruited from eighteen medical schools in Henan Province, China. Participants completed a sociodemographic questionnaire, the Social Support Scale, the Benefit Finding Scale, and the Volunteer Motivation Scale online between March and May 2022. Correlation and mediation analyses were used to explore the mediating role of social support in the relationships among social support, benefit finding, and volunteer motivation. RESULTS: A total of 2166 valid questionnaires were collected in this study. Benefit finding positively affected volunteer motivation (ß = 0.422, p < 0.01), and perceived social support positively affected volunteer motivation (ß = 0.407, p < 0.01). Perceived social support played a mediating role between benefit finding and volunteer motivation (ß = 0.112, 95 % confidence interval 0.076, 0.148). CONCLUSIONS: The study provides evidence on the mechanisms of action between benefit finding and volunteer motivation among nursing students. Professionals in schools and voluntary organizations should prioritize guiding nursing students to explore the motivations behind volunteering while also fostering a supportive environment for student volunteers in nursing.

Longitudinal relationship between grip strength and cognitive function in a European population older than 50 years: A cross-lagged panel model.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate the dynamic longitudinal relationship between grip strength and cognitive function. METHODS: 6175 participants aged ≥50 years were included in the study using three waves of follow-up data from the Survey of Health, Ageing, and Retirement in Europe in 2015 (T1), 2017 (T2) and 2019 (T3). Cognitive function was assessed using numeracy, verbal fluency, immediate recall, delayed recall and total. The cross-lagged panel model was used for analysis. RESULTS: There was a correlation between grip strength and cognitive function. Standardized path coefficient from numeracy T1 to grip strength T2 was 0.017 (p = 0.003), and from numeracy T2 to grip strength T3 was 0.014 (p = 0.012). Standardized path coefficient from grip strength T1 to numeracy T2 was 0.096 (p < 0.001), and from grip strength T2 to numeracy T3 was 0.113 (p < 0.001). Other indicators of cognitive function had similar relationships with grip strength. CONCLUSIONS: The study found a statistically significant longitudinal and bidirectional relationship between grip strength and cognitive function in a sample of people aged ≥50 years from several European countries.

Health outcomes associated with phytosterols: An umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: Phytosterols (PS), as a kind of plant active ingredients, have many benefits to human health. However, there is currently no comprehensive overview of the clinical evidence and an assessment of the evidence quality. PURPOSE: We conducted an umbrella review, which incorporated verification spanning a number of meta-analyses and systematic reviews to clarify the link that existed between PS consuming and health outcomes. METHODS: The databases PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and The Cochrane Library were searched for appropriate research and ultimately included 23 articles involving 79 results. Methodological quality and the validity of evidence received designation in the included meta-analyses leveraging the Assessment of Multiple Systematic Reviews (AMSTAR-2) and the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE). RESULTS: The consumption of PS makes a contribution to the alleviation of metabolic conditions such as hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, obesity, and hypertension. Its most essential function is to decrease cholesterol absorption, leading to dramatically reductions in total cholesterol and low density lipoprotein cholesterol. Furthermore, utilizing PS products can have a favorable impact on managing apolipoprotein levels along with decreasing the probability of obtaining atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSION: This umbrella review summarized a range of beneficial functions of PS to humans, highlighting the promising potential for the development of PS into functional foods.

Trends in total cholesterol control among American adults with hypercholesterolemia, 1988-2018.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Cholesterol control and management in patients with hypercholesterolemia are significant for the primary and secondary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. This study analyzed the trend of serum total cholesterol (TC) control (<240 mg/dL and <200 mg/dL) in American adults with hypercholesterolemia and thereby make some effective recommendations for the public health measures. METHODS AND RESULTS: Basing on the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data from 1988 to 2018 (12 cycles), we calculated the weighted and representative rate of patients with hypercholesterolemia who had controlled TC, and then described the trend. Among the adults with hypercholesterolemia, the age-adjusted rate of those whose TC was less than 240 mg/dL increased from 7.67% (95%CI: 5.94%-9.40%) in 1988-1991 to 58.52% (95%CI: 55.89%-61.15%) in 2013-2014 and then remained stable; and the age-adjusted rate of those whose TC was less than 200 mg/dL increased from 2.49% (95%CI: 1.48%-3.50%) in 1988-1991 to 44.58% (95%CI: 40.00%-49.16%) in 2017-2018. CONCLUSION: We concluded that the rate of controlling TC below 200 mg/dL among all patients had shown an increasing trend from 1988 to 2018 in America, while the rate of controlling TC below 240 mg/dL remained stable in recent years after an increasing.

Competing risks analysis of external versus internal radiation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after controlling for immortal time bias.

PURPOSE: In cohort studies on liver cancer, there are often immortal time bias and interference of competing risk events. This study proposes to explore the role of internal and external radiotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma using SEER data, using a competing risk model and controlling immortal time bias. METHODS: Data of SEER from 2004 till 2015 was included. To analyze whether there was a difference in survival between HCC (hepatocellular carcinoma) patients receiving external radiation and internal radiation, we used a competing risk analysis after excluding immortal time bias, and created a nomogram to assess the risk of cancer-specific death (CSD) in hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving radiotherapy. RESULTS: Potential confounding factors adjusted, there was no significant difference in CSD between external and internal radiation therapy [HR and its 95% CI = 1.098 (0.874-1.380)]. The constructed nomogram performed better than the traditional AJCC model. The AUC and calibration curve results showed that this well-calibrated nomogram could be used to make clinical decisions regarding the prognosis and personalized treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma treated. There was no difference in the cumulative risk of death between patients with liver cancer treated with external radiation therapy and internal radiation therapy. CONCLUSION: There is no difference in the cumulative risk of death between patients with liver cancer treated with external radiation therapy and internal radiation therapy. The nomogram predicts the results more accurately. These results can be used to guide the choice of treatment options for patients with HCC and to predict their survival prognosis.

Relationship between perceptions of recurrence risk and depression state among first-episode ischemic stroke patients in rural areas: The mediating role of coping style.

AIMS: To investigate the relationship between stroke survivors' perceptions of recurrence risk, coping styles and depression state, and the role coping styles play in mediating that relationship. DESIGN: A cross-sectional descriptive study. METHODS: From one hospital in Huaxian, China, 320 stroke survivors were randomly selected as a convenience sample. In this research, the Simplified Coping Style Questionnaire, the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 and the Stroke Recurrence Risk Perception Scale were all used. Structural equation modelling and correlation analysis were used to analyse the data. This research followed the EQUATOR and STROBE checklists. RESULTS: There were 278 valid survey responses. There were mild to severe depressive symptoms in 84.8% of stroke survivors. In stroke survivors, there was a significant negative relationship (p < 0.01) between the positive coping of perceptions of recurrence risk and their depression state. Recurrence risk perception's impact on depression state was partly mediated, according to mediation studies, by coping style, with the mediation effect accounting for 44.92% of the overall effect. CONCLUSIONS: The connection between perceptions of recurrence risk and depression state was mediated by the coping mechanisms of stroke survivors. A lower degree of depression state among survivors was connected with positive coping to the beliefs of recurrence risk.

The relationship between cadmium and cognition in the elderly: a systematic review.

Context: The relationship between cadmium (Cd) and the cognition of the elderly is indistinct.Objective: To summarise the studies on the relationship between the cognition of the elderly and Cd.Methods: Literatures were searched in PubMed, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wan fang database on April 25, 2022. The entries in the STROBE statement were used to evaluate the literature quality; all the quantitative studies that met the requirements were systematically summarised.Results: Blood Cd was negatively correlated with the cognitive ability of the elderly, corresponding to different cognitive ability assessment methods, the regression coefficients were: -0.11 (-0.20, -0.03), -0.46 (-0.71, -0.21), -0.54 (-0.90, -0.17), -0.19 (-0.37, -0.01), and -2.29 (-3.41, -1.16). The regression coefficients between urinary Cd level and cognition score were -1.42 (-2.38, -0.46), and 0.76 (-1.28, -0.23). When dietary Cd increased by 1 µg/kg, the composite z-score decreased by 3.64 (p = 0.001). There was no significant correlation between drinking water Cd, fingernail Cd and cognition (p > 0.05).Conclusion: We concluded that blood Cd (including whole blood and plasma), urine Cd and dietary Cd were negatively correlated with the cognition of the elderly, but the relationship between Cd in drinking water and fingernails and cognition was not statistically significant.

The lipid accumulation product (LAP) association with hyperuricemic hypertension in the China Health and Nutrition Survey: A cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Previous studies have explored the relationship between lipid accumulation product (LAP) and hypertension or hyperuricemia. However, the association between LAP and hypertension with hyperuricemia (HWH) is inconclusive. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the association between LAP and HWH. METHODS AND STUDY DESIGN: A total of 7897 participants aged 18 to 75 years from the 2009 wave of the China Health and Nutrition Survey were included in this study. General linear regression models were built to assess the association of LAP with systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and uric acid (UA) concentrations. Logistic regression models were used to estimate the association between LAP and HWH risk, restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to analyze the dose-response relationship between them. RESULTS: The prevalence of HWH was significantly higher in men (7.63%) than in women (1.99%) (X2=142; p<0.001). After adjustment for potential confounders, LAP scores were positively correlated with SBP, DBP, and UA concentrations in both genders (all p-trend <0.01). Compared with participants in the lowest quartile of LAP, those in the highest quartile had a higher risk of HWH [OR (95% CI)=12.2 (7.22-20.5) for men, OR (95% CI)=14.5 (3.50- 60.2) for women]. The RCS results suggested a nonlinear relationship between the continuous change of LAP and HWH risk after adjustment for confounding factors in each gender (p for nonlinearity <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that higher LAP scores was strongly associated with greater HWH risk in Chinese adults.

[Multiple Correspondence of Abnormal Birth History with Genetic and Environmental Risk Factors].

Objective To investigate the multiple correspondence of genetic and environmental risk factors with abnormal birth history and provide a scientific basis for improving the birth defects surveillance system and reducing the incidence of birth defects. Methods Data were collected from all the perinatal infants from 28-week-old fetuses to 7-day-old infants born in all the hospitals with obstetrical department in Xi'an from 2003 to 2015. Results A total of 1 236 937 perinatal infants were surveyed,including 10 619 with birth defects.The average incidence rate of birth defects was 0.86% (0.70%-1.15%).Multiple correspondence analysis showed that the women who had had 1 or 2 children with birth defects were associated with the history of spontaneous abortion,family history of birth defects,and history of exposure to toxic and harmful substances.The women who had had 3 or more children with birth defects showed stronger association with family history of birth defects.The birth defects in women with history of spontaneous abortion (257/10 619) was ranked in the order of congenital heart disease,polydactyly,neural tube defects,congenital hydrocephalus,cleft lip with cleft palate,and simple cleft lip.The birth defects in women who had given birth to children with birth defects (135/10 619) followed the order of cleft lip with cleft palate,anencephaly,hydrocephalus,neural tube defects,cleft lip,and talipes equinovarus. Conclusions Abnormal birth history is associated with family history of birth defects and history of exposure to environmental risk factors.Giving birth to three or more children with birth defects is highly correlated with the family history of birth defects.

Waist Circumference-Years Construct Analysis and the Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes: China Health and Nutrition Survey, 1997-2015.

Background: Few studies have combined the degree and duration of abdominal obesity into a waist circumference-years construct for analysis. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of waist circumference-years on the incidence of type 2 diabetes. Methods: A total of 6616 adults from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) were enrolled in this study from 1997. The waist circumference-years construct was represented as the sum of the upper and lower area between the waist circumference baseline (men: ≥90 cm, women: ≥85 cm) and the waist circumference line. The correlations in the study were analyzed using logistic regression. Results: The incidence of type 2 diabetes increased with increasing waist circumference-years, with an adjusted risk increase of 38% (95% CI: 31−47%) for each additional 50 waist circumference-years, and this rate was similar across gender and age groups. The area under the curve of waist circumference-years (0.743) was greatest in the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis compared to baseline waist circumference (0.731) and the waist-height ratio (0.728) (p < 0.05). Conclusion: The waist circumference-years construct is closely associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes and may be a stronger predictor of type 2 diabetes risk than baseline waist circumference or the waist-height ratio.

Effects of sea buckthorn (Hippophae rhamnoides L.) on factors related to metabolic syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trial.

The purpose of this meta-analysis is to explore whether the supplement of sea buckthorn affects the factors related to metabolic syndrome. The related RCTs from five databases were systematically searched and comprehensively random effects model was used to calculate SMD and 95% CI. The Cochrane deviation risk tool was used to evaluate the deviation risk. Fifteen studies were involved in the meta-analysis. First, sea buckthorn supplementation reduced triglycerides [-0.722 (-1.129, -0.316); p < .001], total cholesterol [-0.345 (-0.639, -0.051); p = .021], low density lipoprotein cholesterol [-0.396 (-0.755, -0.037); p = .031], and increased high density lipoprotein cholesterol [0.370 (0.056, 0.684); p = .021] in overall subjects. Second, subgroup analysis showed that sea buckthorn supplementation reduced lipids only in people with abnormal lipid metabolism. Third, sea buckthorn had no effect on blood sugar, blood pressure, and BMI of the overall subjects. Sea buckthorn may affect the lipid metabolism in circulation, but it cannot affect blood glucose, blood pressure, and BMI. These indicators are closely associated with metabolic syndrome. This study may contribute to the development and utilization of sea buckthorn, and may provide a new and safer way for the prevention and treatment of metabolic syndrome. The limitation of this study is high heterogeneity, even if subgroup analysis is used. However, more clinical studies are needed to determine the real effect of sea buckthorn on metabolic syndrome.

Association of CIDEB gene promoter methylation with overweight or obesity in adults.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the association of the methylation level of cell death-inducing DFF45-like effector B (CIDEB) gene promoter with overweight or obesity in the abdominal subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) and omental adipose tissue (OAT) of adults. METHODS: A total of 61 patients undergoing abdominal surgery in the hospital were selected with an average age of 51.87 years. According to the diagnostic criteria of Chinese adult obesity, the subjects were divided into normal-weight group (n = 28) and overweight/obesity group (n = 33). CIDEB promoter methylation level in abdominal SAT and OAT was detected by the MethylTarget technology, then its relationship with overweight or obesity was analyzed. RESULTS: (1) There were no statistical differences between the normal-weight group and overweight/obesity group in Methylation levels of 16 CpG sites in the CIDEB gene promoter sequence. (2) The methylation level of OAT was higher than that of SAT, and there were significant differences in 16 CpG sites. (3) There were 3 statistically significant haplotypes between the normal-weight group and overweight/obesity group (2 in SAT and 1 in OAT). CONCLUSIONS: The methylation level of CIDEB gene promoter in abdominal SAT and OAT may be related to overweight or obesity in adults, and the specific regulatory mechanism needs to be further studied.

Assessing the psychometric properties of the Chinese return-to-work self-efficacy questionnaire using Rasch model analysis.

BACKGROUND: Self-efficacy is a significant predictor of return to work and affects the confidence of survivors to return to work after illness. The Return-to-work self-efficacy (RTW-SE) questionnaire is a self-report questionnaire to assess confidence in returning to work with good reliability and validity. The aim of this study was to translate and cross-culturally adapt the RTW-SE questionnaire into Chinese and examine the psychometric properties among young and middle-aged stroke survivors using Rasch model analysis. METHODS: The cross-cultural adaptation and translation procedures followed a dual-translation approach. The psychometric properties of the RTW-SE questionnaire were examined using Rasch model analysis by Winsteps software. The unidimensionality and local independence were analyzed by principal component analysis of the residuals (PCAR) and standardized residual correlations.Category diagnostics were performed for scale function, and the item fit, reliability, and separation were also validated. Item-person maps were used to examine the distribution and matching of item's location and person ability. Finally, the differential item functioning (DIF) was used to measure gender-related group equivalence. RESULTS: A total of 366 participants aged 23-59 years were recruited from three communities in Zhengzhou. The RTW-SE questionnaire demonstrated unidimensionality and a 5-point Likert rating scale was more appropriate to investigate young and middle-aged stroke survivors'self-efficacy. There was a good fit for the items with both person and item reliabilities greater than 0.8 and separation indices of 3.75 and 3.94, respectively. The item location was identified from the item-person map as not covering person ability, but the scale did not have an age-related DIF. CONCLUSIONS: The results confirm evidence of appropriate psychometric properties of the RTW-SE questionnaire and can be used as a reliable and validated instrument for measuring self-efficacy to return to work in young and middle-aged Chinese patients with stroke.

Meta-analysis of Association Studies of Selenoprotein Gene Polymorphism and Kashin-Beck Disease: an Updated Systematic Review.

To evaluate the association between selenoprotein gene polymorphisms and Kashin-Beck disease (KBD) susceptibility through a systematic review and updated meta-analysis. PubMed, Google Scholar, Cochrane library, and Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) were electronically searched using the terms "selenoprotein" and "Kashin-Beck disease" or "KBD" with a search time from the establishment of the database to January 2021. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was used for methodological quality evaluation of the included studies. Stata 14.0 software was used to pooled odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval. There were a total of eight included case-control studies covering 2025 KBD patients and 1962 controls. Meta-analysis results show that the pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for DIO2 (rs225014) were 0.69 (0.52, 0.91), 0.69 (0.50, 0.96), and 0.72 (0.52, 0.99) in the allele, heterozygote, and dominant models, respectively. The OR and 95%CI for SEPS1 (-105G>A) were 2.47 (1.85, 3.29), 9.36 (4.58, 19.12), 2.17 (1.53, 3.08), and 8.60 (4.25, 17.38) in the allele, homozygote, dominant, and recessive models, respectively. In addition, the OR and 95%CI for Sep15 (rs5859) were 2.05 (1.06, 3.96) in the allele model. These results illustrate that there was a significant association between DIO2 (rs225014), SEPS1 (-105G>A), Sep15 (rs5859), and KBD. For GPX1 (rs1050450, rs1800668, rs3811699), DIO2 (rs225014, rs1352815, rs1388382), TrxR2 (rs1139793, rs5746841), GPX4 (rs713041, rs4807542), and SEPP1 (rs7579, 25191g/a), there was no significant statistical difference between the KBD and control groups (P>0.05). We conclude that the DIO2 (rs225014), SEPS1 (-105G>A), and Sep15 (rs5859) gene polymorphism are associated with susceptibility to KBD.

The Influential Factors of Adherence to Physical Activity and Exercise among Community-Dwelling Stroke Survivors: A Path Analysis.

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: To investigate the status of physical activity and exercise (PAE) adherence and identify its influential factors among community-dwelling stroke survivors. BACKGROUND: Regular PAE after stroke is essential for recovery and secondary prevention, while adherence to PAE and its influential factors are rarely studied. DESIGN: A cross-sectional descriptive study. METHODS: In total, 208 stroke survivors (70.25 ± 9.08 years) were randomly selected from three communities. The influential factors of PAE adherence and associations between these variables were explored using multiple linear regression and path analyses. This study adhered to the EQUATOR checklist, STROBE. RESULTS: The mean adherence rate was moderate (62.00%), and stroke survivors tended to be more adherent to PAE than monitoring and seeking advice (70.30%>53.50%>48.30%). The regression results revealed that seven factors were significantly associated with PAE adherence, including knowledge, attitude, self-efficacy, social support, self-care ability, community rehabilitation experience and times since stroke. Furthermore, the path analysis showed that knowledge had a significant indirect positive influence on adherence with self-efficacy as a mediator, while attitude and social support impacted both directly and indirectly with self-efficacy as the mediator. Moreover, self-efficacy had the most substantial direct effect on community-dwelling stroke survivors' PAE adherence. These four variables accounted for a total of 67.00% of the variance in PAE adherence among community-dwelling stroke survivors. CONCLUSIONS: The PAE adherence of community stroke survivors needs to be improved. Healthcare professionals should develop more effective interventions to promote PAE adherence through enhancing self-efficacy among this population. RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: Adherence to the recommended regimen is the most challenging dimension of stroke physical activity and exercise. This study contributes to exploring status and influential factors of PAE adherence, and self-efficacy was found to be a significant determinant. The results could be used to inspire future community-based intervention programs for stroke survivors.

Does obesity based on body mass index affect semen quality?-A meta-analysis and systematic review from the general population rather than the infertile population.

Whether obesity affects the quality of semen has become the focus of research. However, there are some deficiencies in the past research, because the vast majority of known infertile patients were included in the study samples. Taking infertile men as the research object to analyse the impact of obesity on semen quality, which cannot accurately prove that the impact on semen quality is caused by obesity, because the impact on semen quality may also be caused by other factors. Therefore, we selected ordinary obese men rather than infertile patients to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of the effects of obesity on semen parameters. The results showed that obesity had no effect on sperm concentration (SMD: -0.15, 95% CI: -0.32 ~ 0.02, p = .088) and percentage of normal sperm morphology (SMD: -0.17, 95% CI: -0.66 ~ 0.32, p = .487), but decreased semen volume (SMD: -0.32, 95% CI: -0.52 ~ -0.12, p = .002), total sperm number (SMD: -0.77, 95% CI: -1.31 ~ -0.23, p = .005), percentage of forward progression (SMD: -0.95, 95% CI: -1.7 ~ -0.19, p = .014) and percentage of viability (SMD: -0.812, 95% CI: -1.532 ~ -0.093, p = .027). Therefore, obesity affects semen quality to a certain extent, and maintaining normal weight may be one of the effective ways to improve male fertility.

The causal association between body mass index and type 2 diabetes mellitus-evidence based on regression discontinuity design.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate and determine the precise causal association between body mass index (BMI) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) using a regression discontinuity design (RDD). METHODS: The cross-sectional data of 8550 participants were from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) in 2015. Influencing factors with statistically significant were selected with logistic regression analysis, and a risk prediction model was established to obtain the risk of individuals suffering from T2DM. RDD was performed with BMI as the grouping variable and the risk of individuals suffering from T2DM as the outcome variable. RESULTS: The predictive factors in the T2DM risk prediction model were age, gender, BMI, habitation, education, physical activity level, preference for sugary beverages, walking, self-evaluation health status and history of hypertension. The AUC (area under receiver operating characteristic curve) of the T2DM risk prediction model was 0.849 (95% CI: 0.833, 0.866). BMI was an independent risk factor for T2DM (OR = 1.109, p < 0.001); at BMI = 31 kg/m2 , the risk of T2DM increased sharply by 5.03% (p = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: There was a positive causal association between BMI and T2DM; when BMI = 31 kg/m2 , the risk of individuals suffering from T2DM was sharply increased.

Trends in the age-related incidence of colon and rectal cancers in China, 2005-2015.

BACKGROUND: Recent evidences showed that the incidence of colorectal cancer decreased among older adults, yet this decline didn't appear in adults younger than 50 years. Our aim was to evaluate age-related incidence trends of colon and rectal cancers in China during 2005-2015. METHODS: A retrospective study of colon and rectal cancers was conducted using population-based data from the Chinese Cancer Registry Annual Report. Age at diagnosis was analyzed in five sub-groups (0-19, 20-34, 35-49, 50-64 and 65 years). Data including new cases, incidence, and age-standardized rates (ASRs) were classified by sex and area. Temporal trends of ASRs were determined with Joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: From 2005 to 2015, colon cancer incidence decreased by -2.2% (95%CI: -3.1, -1.3) per year. A more steady decrease was seen in rectal cancer with AAPC of -0.9% (95%CI: -1.4, -0.4). Stratified by age at diagnosis, incidence trends followed a similar pattern, without age-related disparity. Females showed pronounced declines relative to males. The exception was that rural individuals showed opposite increasing trends, with 2.7% of AAPCs for colon cancer and 2.0% for rectal cancer. CONCLUSION: A slight decline was observed in colon and rectal cancers during 2005-2015, regardless of age at diagnosis.

Esophageal cancer: trends in incidence and mortality in China from 2005 to 2015.

BACKGROUND: The long-term trend analysis of esophageal cancer is rarely reported in China. Our purpose is to analyze the incidence and mortality trends of esophageal cancer in China from 2005 to 2015. METHOD: Based on the data in the annual report of the China Cancer Registry, a comprehensive analysis of esophageal cancer cases and deaths from 2005 to 2015 was carried out. The incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer are stratified by gender and region (urban or rural). Long-term trend analysis was conducted using Joinpoint regression model. RESULT: In China, the age-standardized incidence rates by the world population declined from 13.84/105 in 2005 to 11.64/105 in 2015. Annual percent changes were 3.4% (95% CI: 0.6%, 6.3%) in the period 2005-2011, -7.4% (95% CI: -10.1%, -4.7%) in the period 2011-2015, respectively. The age-standardized mortality rates declined from 10.86/105 in 2005 to 8.57/105 in 2015. And the average annual percent change was -4.1% (95% CI: -6.7%, -1.5%). The incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer in men are higher than those in women, and the incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer in rural areas are much higher than those in urban areas. CONCLUSION: In China, the incidence of esophageal cancer first increased and then decreased during 2005-2015, while the mortality rate has been declining.