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1.
PLOS Glob Public Health ; 4(10): e0003875, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39466816

RESUMO

Children with acute malnutrition are at high risk of morality. Mass azithromycin distribution reduces all-cause mortality among children aged 1-59 months, and effects may be greater in underweight infants. Here, we evaluate the efficacy of azithromycin for reducing all-cause mortality in children aged 6-59 months with acute malnutrition (mid-upper arm circumference, MUAC, < 12.5 cm). Communities in Nouna District, Burkina Faso were 1:1 randomized to biannual mass distribution of single dose azithromycin or placebo to all children aged 1-59 months. Mortality was assessed during each census and treatment round. MUAC measurements were collected for all children. We evaluated the effect of azithromycin on mortality in subgroups of children aged 6-59 months defined by acute malnutrition (MUAC < 12.5 cm versus MUAC ≥ 12.5 cm). In children with MUAC < 12.5 cm, mortality rates were 51% lower among those living in azithromycin communities compared to placebo (incidence rate ratio 0.49, 95% confidence interval, CI, 0.25 to 0.99; incidence rate difference -18.1 deaths per 1,000 person-years, 95% CI -37.0 to -0.01), which was greater than the reduction in mortality among children with MUAC ≥ 12.5 cm (P-value for interaction on the relative scale = 0.09; P-value for interaction of the additive scale = 0.03). Children with acute malnutrition may benefit from single dose azithromycin above and beyond those without acute malnutrition. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03676764; https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03676764.

2.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39164068

RESUMO

Feed wastage in laboratory mice, also known as chewing or grinding behavior, is problematic for program management and animal welfare. The destruction of pelleted feed without consumption produces a powder accumulation on the cage floor called orts. Ort accumulation disrupts the cage microenvironment and can clog Lixits resulting in flooding. Moreover, added labor adds cost, and cage disruption increases animal stress. Published studies examining the behavior and ways to mitigate it have had inconsistent results, and the cause or causes have not yet been fully identified. The purpose of this study was to identify methods to reduce the development of chewing behavior in laboratory mice. Female Swiss Webster (Tac:SW) mice (n = 144) were randomly assigned to one of 8 groups (12 cages per group) with 2 housing densities (single and pair) and 4 nesting material paradigms. Mice were housed on clean bedding for 8 wk and then soiled bedding for the next 8 wk. Chewing behavior was evaluated by feed weight, cage weight, and feed scores. The addition of a Diamond Twist significantly increased ort production, while nest transfer decreased it but not significantly. Pair housing increased overall orts but not when adjusted for animal number. These results identified potential contributing factors to chewing behavior. However, further research is needed to elucidate the exact causes and solutions.

3.
JAMA Ophthalmol ; 142(9): 865-871, 2024 Sep 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39145969

RESUMO

Importance: Infectious conjunctivitis can lead to corneal involvement and result in ocular morbidity. The identification of biomarkers associated with corneal involvement has the potential to improve patient care. Objective: To identify biomarkers in patients with acute infectious conjunctivitis. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study took place from December 2016 to March 2024. Analyses were performed in 3 phases. First, logistic regression and machine learning algorithms were used to predict the probability of demonstrating corneal involvement in patients with presumed infectious conjunctivitis. Second, quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) was used to confirm the most important biomarker gene identified by the algorithm. Third, the biomarker gene was validated in prospectively collected conjunctival samples of adult patients from 3 outpatient centers in Thailand and 1 in India. Patients with signs and symptoms of infectious conjunctivitis and onset within less than 14 days were eligible. Exclusion criteria were the inability to consent, presumed toxicity, or allergic conjunctivitis. Exposures: Acute infectious conjunctivitis. Main Outcomes and Measures: The identification and validation of ocular surface gene expression associated with corneal findings on slitlamp examination. Results: Thirteen genes exhibited a 1.5-log2 fold change in expression in patients with corneal involvement compared to patients without corneal involvement. Using the 13 genes to train and cross validate, logistic regression produced the highest mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC; 0.85; 95% CI, 0.84-0.86) for corneal involvement. The removal of apolipoprotein E (APOE) from the gene ensemble led to a decline in predictive performance of the logistic regression classifier (from mean AUROC 0.85 [95% CI, 0.84-0.86] to 0.74 [95% CI, 0.73-0.75]; adjusted P = .001 [Tukey test]). Orthogonal testing of APOE expression level with RT-qPCR showed that APOE expression was higher in patients with corneal involvement compared to patients without (median [IQR], 0.23 [0.04-0.47] vs 0.04 [0.02-0.06]; P = .004 [Mann-Whitney U test]). Using a Youden index of 0.23 Δ threshold cycle, APOE had a sensitivity of 56% (95% CI, 33-77) and a specificity of 88% (95% CI, 79-93) in 106 samples with conjunctivitis at Aravind, India (P < .001 [Fisher exact test]). When applied to a different patient population in Thailand, the same criteria could discriminate between disease states (58 samples; sensitivity, 47%; 95% CI, 30-64 and specificity, 93%; 95% CI, 77-99; P = .001 [Fisher exact test]). Conclusions and Relevance: The results from this study suggest that the host conjunctival immune response can be meaningfully interrogated to identify biomarkers for ocular surface diseases.


Assuntos
Biomarcadores , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Transversais , Biomarcadores/metabolismo , Adulto , Doença Aguda , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Curva ROC , Estudos Prospectivos , Conjuntivite Bacteriana/diagnóstico , Conjuntivite Bacteriana/microbiologia , Doenças da Córnea/diagnóstico , Doenças da Córnea/metabolismo , Conjuntivite Viral/diagnóstico , Conjuntivite Viral/virologia , Infecções Oculares Bacterianas/diagnóstico , Infecções Oculares Bacterianas/microbiologia , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real , Córnea/metabolismo , Córnea/patologia
4.
N Engl J Med ; 391(8): 699-709, 2024 Aug 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39167806

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Twice-yearly mass distribution of azithromycin to children is a promising intervention to reduce childhood mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. The World Health Organization recommended restricting distribution to infants 1 to 11 months of age to mitigate antimicrobial resistance, although this more limited treatment had not yet been tested. METHODS: We randomly assigned rural communities in Niger to four twice-yearly distributions of azithromycin for children 1 to 59 months of age (child azithromycin group), four twice-yearly distributions of azithromycin for infants 1 to 11 months of age and placebo for children 12 to 59 months of age (infant azithromycin group), or placebo for children 1 to 59 months of age. Census workers who were not aware of the group assignments monitored mortality twice yearly over the course of 2 years. We assessed three primary community-level mortality outcomes (deaths per 1000 person-years), each examining a different age group and pairwise group comparison. RESULTS: A total of 1273 communities were randomly assigned to the child azithromycin group (1229 were included in the analysis), 773 to the infant azithromycin group (751 included in the analysis), and 954 to the placebo group (929 included in the analysis). Among 382,586 children, 419,440 person-years and 5503 deaths were recorded. Lower mortality among children 1 to 59 months of age was observed in the child azithromycin group (11.9 deaths per 1000 person-years; 95% confidence interval [CI], 11.3 to 12.6) than in the placebo group (13.9 deaths per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 13.0 to 14.8) (representing 14% lower mortality with azithromycin; 95% CI, 7 to 22; P<0.001). Mortality among infants 1 to 11 months of age was not significantly lower in the infant azithromycin group (22.3 deaths per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 20.0 to 24.7) than in the placebo group (23.9 deaths per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 21.6 to 26.2) (representing 6% lower mortality with azithromycin; 95% CI, -8 to 19). Five serious adverse events were reported: three in the placebo group, one in the infant azithromycin group, and one in the child azithromycin group. CONCLUSIONS: Azithromycin distributions to children 1 to 59 months of age significantly reduced mortality and was more effective than treatment of infants 1 to 11 months of age. Antimicrobial resistance must be monitored. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; AVENIR ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04224987.).


Assuntos
Antibacterianos , Azitromicina , Infecções Bacterianas , Mortalidade da Criança , Mortalidade Infantil , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Antibacterianos/administração & dosagem , Antibacterianos/efeitos adversos , Azitromicina/administração & dosagem , Azitromicina/efeitos adversos , Infecções Bacterianas/mortalidade , Infecções Bacterianas/prevenção & controle , Quimioprevenção/efeitos adversos , Quimioprevenção/estatística & dados numéricos , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos/efeitos adversos , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Níger/epidemiologia , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos
5.
Ocul Immunol Inflamm ; : 1-8, 2024 Aug 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39190826

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The choroidal thickening and serous retinal detachments that characterize Vogt-Koyanagi-Harada (VKH) disease can be imaged in detail using spectral domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT). Whether specific qualitative and quantitative SD-OCT features at presentation were associated with visual outcomes in a randomized controlled trial comparing methotrexate to mycophenolate for steroid-sparing control of uveitis were evaluated. METHODS: An exploratory subanalysis of data from the FAST trial in which SD-OCT images from VKH participants were analyzed for presence/absence of bacillary detachments, retinal pigment epithelium (RPE) folds, and internal limiting membrane (ILM) fluctuations was performed. A modified RPE undulation index was calculated to provide a quantifiable surrogate marker for choroidal folds. RESULTS: SD-OCT images were available from 158 eyes with VKH. At baseline, bacillary detachments were present in 23.5% of eyes, RPE folds in 22.8% of eyes, and ILM fluctuations in 35.2% of eyes. For each 0.1 unit increase in modified RPE undulation index, there was an associated 0.13 increase in mean logMAR BSCVA at baseline. None of the SD-OCT features were associated with BSCVA at the 6-month primary endpoint. Indeed, mean final BSCVA was similar in those with and without the SD-OCT features of interest at baseline, and was between 0.1 and 0.2 logMAR (Snellen visual acuity 20/25 to 20/30). CONCLUSIONS: While eyes with VKH may present with a variety of SD-OCT imaging pathology prior to starting immunosuppression with methotrexate or mycophenolate mofetil, final visual outcome in our study was excellent. With appropriate immunosuppression, good visual outcomes are possible in VKH.ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT01829295Date of Registration: April 11, 2013.

6.
Clin Infect Dis ; 2024 Aug 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39158989

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To identify weather variables associated with pathogens contributing to infectious conjunctivitis globally. METHODS: Sample collection and pathogen identification from patients with acute infectious conjunctivitis was performed from 2017 to 2023. We linked pathogens identified from 13 sites across 8 countries with publicly available weather data by geographic coordinates. Mixed effects logistic regression analysis was performed to estimate the associations between temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity exposures, and the prevalence of infection types (RNA virus, DNA virus, bacteria, and fungus). RESULTS: 498 cases from the United States, India, Nepal, Thailand, Burkina Faso, Niger, Vietnam, and Israel were included in the analysis. 8-day average precipitation (mm) was associated with increased odds of RNA virus infection (odds ratio (OR)=1.47, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.12 to 1.93, P=0.01) and decreased odds of DNA infection (OR=0.62, 95% CI: 0.46 to 0.82, P<0.001). Relative humidity (%) was associated with increased odds of RNA virus infections (OR=2.64, 95% CI: 1.51 to 4.61, P<0.001), and fungal infections (OR=2.35, 95% CI: 1.19 to 4.66, P=0.01), but decreased odds of DNA virus (OR=0.58, 95%CI: 0.37 to 0.90, P=0.02) and bacterial infections (OR=0.42, 95% CI: 0.25 to 0.71, P<0.001). Temperature (°C) was not associated with ocular infections for any pathogen type. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that weather factors affect pathogens differently. Particularly, humidity and precipitation were predictors for pathogens contributing to conjunctivitis worldwide. Additional work is needed to clarify the effects of shifts in weather and environmental factors on ocular infectious diseases.

7.
JMIR Infodemiology ; 4: e59641, 2024 Aug 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39207842

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Manually analyzing public health-related content from social media provides valuable insights into the beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors of individuals, shedding light on trends and patterns that can inform public understanding, policy decisions, targeted interventions, and communication strategies. Unfortunately, the time and effort needed from well-trained human subject matter experts makes extensive manual social media listening unfeasible. Generative large language models (LLMs) can potentially summarize and interpret large amounts of text, but it is unclear to what extent LLMs can glean subtle health-related meanings in large sets of social media posts and reasonably report health-related themes. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the feasibility of using LLMs for topic model selection or inductive thematic analysis of large contents of social media posts by attempting to answer the following question: Can LLMs conduct topic model selection and inductive thematic analysis as effectively as humans did in a prior manual study, or at least reasonably, as judged by subject matter experts? METHODS: We asked the same research question and used the same set of social media content for both the LLM selection of relevant topics and the LLM analysis of themes as was conducted manually in a published study about vaccine rhetoric. We used the results from that study as background for this LLM experiment by comparing the results from the prior manual human analyses with the analyses from 3 LLMs: GPT4-32K, Claude-instant-100K, and Claude-2-100K. We also assessed if multiple LLMs had equivalent ability and assessed the consistency of repeated analysis from each LLM. RESULTS: The LLMs generally gave high rankings to the topics chosen previously by humans as most relevant. We reject a null hypothesis (P<.001, overall comparison) and conclude that these LLMs are more likely to include the human-rated top 5 content areas in their top rankings than would occur by chance. Regarding theme identification, LLMs identified several themes similar to those identified by humans, with very low hallucination rates. Variability occurred between LLMs and between test runs of an individual LLM. Despite not consistently matching the human-generated themes, subject matter experts found themes generated by the LLMs were still reasonable and relevant. CONCLUSIONS: LLMs can effectively and efficiently process large social media-based health-related data sets. LLMs can extract themes from such data that human subject matter experts deem reasonable. However, we were unable to show that the LLMs we tested can replicate the depth of analysis from human subject matter experts by consistently extracting the same themes from the same data. There is vast potential, once better validated, for automated LLM-based real-time social listening for common and rare health conditions, informing public health understanding of the public's interests and concerns and determining the public's ideas to address them.


Assuntos
Mídias Sociais , Humanos , Processamento de Linguagem Natural
8.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 16654, 2024 07 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39030278

RESUMO

One criterion for validation of trachoma elimination is the management of Trachomatous Trichiasis (TT) after Trachoma inflammation-follicular (TF) is eliminated in children ages 1-9 years at district level. No data exist on how long countries must have dedicated TT programs, as the timeline for progression to TT from trachomatous scarring is unknown. We used eight years of longitudinal data in women in Kongwa Tanzania to model progression from no scarring (S0) through grades of scarring severity (S1-S4) to TT. Markov models were used, with age, community prevalence of TF (CPTF), and household characteristics as co-variates. Adjusted for covariates, the incidence of S1 was estimated at 4∙7% per year, and the risk increased by 26% if the CPTF was between 5-10% and by 48% if greater than 10%. The transition from S4 to TT was estimated at 2∙6% per year. Districts, even after elimination of TF, may have some communities with TF ≥ 5% and increased risk of incident scarring. Once scarring progresses to S2, further progression is not dependent on CPTF. These data suggest that, depending on the district level of scarring and degree of heterogeneity in CPTF at the time of elimination, incident TT will still be an issue for decades.


Assuntos
Cicatriz , Tracoma , Triquíase , Humanos , Tanzânia/epidemiologia , Feminino , Tracoma/epidemiologia , Cicatriz/epidemiologia , Triquíase/epidemiologia , Adulto , Prevalência , Progressão da Doença , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Incidência , Estudos Longitudinais , Criança , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos de Coortes
9.
Am J Ophthalmol ; 267: 100-111, 2024 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38909740

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To compare the effectiveness of methotrexate (MTX) and mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) in achieving corticosteroid-sparing control of uveitis in patients with Vogt-Koyanagi-Harada (VKH) disease. METHODS: A subanalysis of patients with VKH from the First-line Antimetabolites as Steroid-sparing Treatment Uveitis Trial, a randomized, observer-masked, comparative effectiveness trial, with comparisons by treatment (MTX vs MMF) and disease stage (acute vs chronic). Individuals with noninfectious uveitis were placed on a standardized corticosteroid taper and block randomized 1:1 to either 25 mg weekly oral MTX or 1.5 g twice daily oral MMF. The primary outcome was treatment success defined by corticosteroid-sparing control of uveitis at 6 months. Additional outcomes included change in best spectacle-corrected visual acuity (BSCVA), retinal central subfield thickness (CST), and resolution of serous retinal detachment (SRD). RESULTS: Ninety-three out of 216 enrolled patients had VKH; 49 patients were randomized to MTX and 44 to MMF, of which 85 patients (46 on MTX, 39 on MMF) contributed to the primary outcome. There was no significant difference in treatment success by antimetabolite (80.4% for MTX compared to 64.1% for MMF; P = .12) or in BSCVA improvement (P = .78). MTX was superior to MMF in reducing CST (P = .003) and resolving SRD (P = .02). There was no significant difference in treatment success by disease stage (P = .25), but patients with acute VKH had greater improvement in BSCVA (P < .001) and reduction of CST (P = .02) than chronic VKH patients. CONCLUSIONS: MTX and MMF have comparable outcomes as corticosteroid-sparing immunosuppressive therapies for VKH. Visual acuity improvement was greater in acute vs chronic VKH. NOTE: Publication of this article is sponsored by the American Ophthalmological Society TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00182929.


Assuntos
Glucocorticoides , Imunossupressores , Metotrexato , Ácido Micofenólico , Síndrome Uveomeningoencefálica , Acuidade Visual , Humanos , Síndrome Uveomeningoencefálica/tratamento farmacológico , Síndrome Uveomeningoencefálica/fisiopatologia , Síndrome Uveomeningoencefálica/diagnóstico , Feminino , Masculino , Acuidade Visual/fisiologia , Metotrexato/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Ácido Micofenólico/uso terapêutico , Glucocorticoides/uso terapêutico , Glucocorticoides/administração & dosagem , Resultado do Tratamento , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Imunossupressores/uso terapêutico , Tomografia de Coerência Óptica , Uveíte/tratamento farmacológico , Uveíte/fisiopatologia , Administração Oral , Doença Aguda , Adulto Jovem , Doença Crônica , Antimetabólitos/uso terapêutico , Antimetabólitos/administração & dosagem
10.
Int J Infect Dis ; 146: 107133, 2024 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38876162

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To determine the associated pathogen during the 2023 conjunctivitis outbreak in Vietnam METHODS: RNA-sequencing was used to identify pathogens before and during the outbreak. RESULTS: 24 patients with infectious conjunctivitis between March and October 2023 from Hai Yen Vision Institute in Vietnam were swabbed. Coxsackievirus A24v was the most common pathogen identified. Phylogenetic analysis of these strains demonstrates similarities to the Coxsackievirus identified in the 2022 India outbreak. Human adenovirus D was also circulating. Ocular findings of tearing, purulence, and itching were common in this outbreak. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple viruses can co-circulate during conjunctivitis outbreaks. Hemorrhagic conjunctivitis, commonly associated with coxsackievirus conjunctivitis, was not a common clinical sign in this outbreak. Repeat genetic surveillance, with the notable inclusion of RNA virus detection strategies, is important for outbreak detection.


Assuntos
Infecções por Coxsackievirus , Surtos de Doenças , Filogenia , Humanos , Vietnã/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coxsackievirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coxsackievirus/virologia , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem , Criança , Adolescente , Pré-Escolar , Conjuntivite Viral/epidemiologia , Conjuntivite Viral/virologia , Conjuntivite Hemorrágica Aguda/epidemiologia , Conjuntivite Hemorrágica Aguda/virologia
11.
PLoS Med ; 21(5): e1004386, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38709718

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Randomized controlled trials found that twice-yearly mass azithromycin administration (MDA) reduces childhood mortality, presumably by reducing infection burden. World Health Organization (WHO) issued conditional guidelines for mass azithromycin administration in high-mortality settings in sub-Saharan Africa given concerns for antibiotic resistance. While prolonged twice-yearly MDA has been shown to increase antibiotic resistance in small randomized controlled trials, the objective of this study was to determine if macrolide and non-macrolide resistance in the gut increases with the duration of azithromycin MDA in a larger setting. METHODS AND FINDINGS: The Macrolide Oraux pour Réduire les Décès avec un Oeil sur la Résistance (MORDOR) study was conducted in Niger from December 2014 to June 2020. It was a cluster-randomized trial of azithromycin (A) versus placebo (P) aimed at evaluating childhood mortality. This is a sub-study in the MORDOR trial to track changes in antibiotic resistance after prolonged azithromycin MDA. A total of 594 communities were eligible. Children 1 to 59 months in 163 randomly chosen communities were eligible to receive treatment and included in resistance monitoring. Participants, staff, and investigators were masked to treatment allocation. At the conclusion of MORDOR Phase I, by design, all communities received an additional year of twice-yearly azithromycin treatments (Phase II). Thus, at the conclusion of Phase II, the treatment history (1 letter per 6-month period) for the participating communities was either (PP-PP-AA) or (AA-AA-AA). In Phase III, participating communities were then re-randomized to receive either another 3 rounds of azithromycin or placebo, thus resulting in 4 treatment histories: Group 1 (AA-AA-AA-AA-A, N = 51), Group 2 (PP-PP-AA-AA-A, N = 40), Group 3 (AA-AA-AA-PP-P, N = 27), and Group 4 (PP-PP-AA-PP-P, N = 32). Rectal swabs from each child (N = 5,340) were obtained 6 months after the last treatment. Each child contributed 1 rectal swab and these were pooled at the community level, processed for DNA-seq, and analyzed for genetic resistance determinants. The primary prespecified outcome was macrolide resistance determinants in the gut. Secondary outcomes were resistance to beta-lactams and other antibiotic classes. Communities recently randomized to azithromycin (groups 1 and 2) had significantly more macrolide resistance determinants than those recently randomized to placebo (groups 3 and 4) (fold change 2.18, 95% CI 1.5 to 3.51, Punadj < 0.001). However, there was no significant increase in macrolide resistance in communities treated 4.5 years (group 1) compared to just the most recent 2.5 years (group 2) (fold change 0.80, 95% CI 0.50 to 1.00, Padj = 0.010), or between communities that had been treated for 3 years in the past (group 3) versus just 1 year in the past (group 4) (fold change 1.00, 95% CI 0.78 to 2.35, Padj = 0.52). We also found no significant differences for beta-lactams or other antibiotic classes. The main limitations of our study were the absence of phenotypic characterization of resistance, no complete placebo arm, and no monitoring outside of Niger limiting generalizability. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, we observed that mass azithromycin distribution for childhood mortality among preschool children in Niger increased macrolide resistance determinants in the gut but that resistance may plateau after 2 to 3 years of treatment. Co-selection to other classes needs to be monitored. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02047981 https://classic.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02047981.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos , Azitromicina , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana , Macrolídeos , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos , Humanos , Azitromicina/uso terapêutico , Níger , Pré-Escolar , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Lactente , Feminino , Masculino , Macrolídeos/uso terapêutico , Mortalidade da Criança
12.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(Supplement_2): S101-S107, 2024 Apr 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38662700

RESUMO

Assessing the feasibility of 2030 as a target date for global elimination of trachoma, and identification of districts that may require enhanced treatment to meet World Health Organization (WHO) elimination criteria by this date are key challenges in operational planning for trachoma programmes. Here we address these challenges by prospectively evaluating forecasting models of trachomatous inflammation-follicular (TF) prevalence, leveraging ensemble-based approaches. Seven candidate probabilistic models were developed to forecast district-wise TF prevalence in 11 760 districts, trained using district-level data on the population prevalence of TF in children aged 1-9 years from 2004 to 2022. Geographical location, history of mass drug administration treatment, and previously measured prevalence data were included in these models as key predictors. The best-performing models were included in an ensemble, using weights derived from their relative likelihood scores. To incorporate the inherent stochasticity of disease transmission and challenges of population-level surveillance, we forecasted probability distributions for the TF prevalence in each geographic district, rather than predicting a single value. Based on our probabilistic forecasts, 1.46% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.43-1.48%) of all districts in trachoma-endemic countries, equivalent to 172 districts, will exceed the 5% TF control threshold in 2030 with the current interventions. Global elimination of trachoma as a public health problem by 2030 may require enhanced intervention and/or surveillance of high-risk districts.


Assuntos
Erradicação de Doenças , Previsões , Saúde Pública , Tracoma , Tracoma/epidemiologia , Tracoma/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Lactente , Criança , Erradicação de Doenças/métodos , Prevalência , Modelos Estatísticos , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos , Organização Mundial da Saúde , Saúde Global , Masculino , Feminino
13.
J Med Internet Res ; 26: e49139, 2024 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38427404

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Previous work suggests that Google searches could be useful in identifying conjunctivitis epidemics. Content-based assessment of social media content may provide additional value in serving as early indicators of conjunctivitis and other systemic infectious diseases. OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether large language models, specifically GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 (OpenAI), can provide probabilistic assessments of whether social media posts about conjunctivitis could indicate a regional outbreak. METHODS: A total of 12,194 conjunctivitis-related tweets were obtained using a targeted Boolean search in multiple languages from India, Guam (United States), Martinique (France), the Philippines, American Samoa (United States), Fiji, Costa Rica, Haiti, and the Bahamas, covering the time frame from January 1, 2012, to March 13, 2023. By providing these tweets via prompts to GPT-3.5 and GPT-4, we obtained probabilistic assessments that were validated by 2 human raters. We then calculated Pearson correlations of these time series with tweet volume and the occurrence of known outbreaks in these 9 locations, with time series bootstrap used to compute CIs. RESULTS: Probabilistic assessments derived from GPT-3.5 showed correlations of 0.60 (95% CI 0.47-0.70) and 0.53 (95% CI 0.40-0.65) with the 2 human raters, with higher results for GPT-4. The weekly averages of GPT-3.5 probabilities showed substantial correlations with weekly tweet volume for 44% (4/9) of the countries, with correlations ranging from 0.10 (95% CI 0.0-0.29) to 0.53 (95% CI 0.39-0.89), with larger correlations for GPT-4. More modest correlations were found for correlation with known epidemics, with substantial correlation only in American Samoa (0.40, 95% CI 0.16-0.81). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that GPT prompting can efficiently assess the content of social media posts and indicate possible disease outbreaks to a degree of accuracy comparable to that of humans. Furthermore, we found that automated content analysis of tweets is related to tweet volume for conjunctivitis-related posts in some locations and to the occurrence of actual epidemics. Future work may improve the sensitivity and specificity of these methods for disease outbreak detection.


Assuntos
Conjuntivite , Epidemias , Mídias Sociais , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Infodemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Idioma
14.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 110(5): 1010-1013, 2024 May 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38507803

RESUMO

Millions of doses of azithromycin are distributed each year for trachoma, yet the treatment efficacy of a single dose of azithromycin for ocular Chlamydia infection has not been well characterized. In this study, four villages in Niger received a mass azithromycin distribution for trachoma. All 426 children aged 0-5 years residing in the study villages were offered conjunctival swabbing every 6 months to test for ocular Chlamydia trachomatis. Among the children infected with ocular Chlamydia before treatment, 6% (95% CI: 2-15%) tested positive for ocular Chlamydia infection 6 months later, and 15% (95% CI: 7-28%) tested positive 12 months later. The most important predictor of post-treatment ocular Chlamydia infection was pretreatment ocular Chlamydia infection (relative risk: 3.5, 95% CI: 1.3-9.4). Although the 6-monthly monitoring schedule was suboptimal for testing the treatment efficacy of an antibiotic, these findings are nonetheless consistent with high treatment efficacy of a single dose of azithromycin and suggest that additional interventions might be most effective if targeted to those children infected prior to treatment.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos , Azitromicina , Chlamydia trachomatis , Tracoma , Azitromicina/administração & dosagem , Azitromicina/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Antibacterianos/administração & dosagem , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Pré-Escolar , Lactente , Feminino , Tracoma/tratamento farmacológico , Masculino , Estudos Longitudinais , Chlamydia trachomatis/efeitos dos fármacos , Resultado do Tratamento , Infecções por Chlamydia/tratamento farmacológico , Níger , Recém-Nascido
15.
JAMA ; 331(6): 482-490, 2024 02 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38349371

RESUMO

Importance: Repeated mass distribution of azithromycin has been shown to reduce childhood mortality by 14% in sub-Saharan Africa. However, the estimated effect varied by location, suggesting that the intervention may not be effective in different geographical areas, time periods, or conditions. Objective: To evaluate the efficacy of twice-yearly azithromycin to reduce mortality in children in the presence of seasonal malaria chemoprevention. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cluster randomized placebo-controlled trial evaluating the efficacy of single-dose azithromycin for prevention of all-cause childhood mortality included 341 communities in the Nouna district in rural northwestern Burkina Faso. Participants were children aged 1 to 59 months living in the study communities. Interventions: Communities were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive oral azithromycin or placebo distribution. Children aged 1 to 59 months were offered single-dose treatment twice yearly for 3 years (6 distributions) from August 2019 to February 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was all-cause childhood mortality, measured during a twice-yearly enumerative census. Results: A total of 34 399 children (mean [SD] age, 25.2 [18] months) in the azithromycin group and 33 847 children (mean [SD] age, 25.6 [18] months) in the placebo group were included. A mean (SD) of 90.1% (16.0%) of the censused children received the scheduled study drug in the azithromycin group and 89.8% (17.1%) received the scheduled study drug in the placebo group. In the azithromycin group, 498 deaths were recorded over 60 592 person-years (8.2 deaths/1000 person-years). In the placebo group, 588 deaths were recorded over 58 547 person-years (10.0 deaths/1000 person-years). The incidence rate ratio for mortality was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.67-1.02; P = .07) in the azithromycin group compared with the placebo group. The incidence rate ratio was 0.99 (95% CI, 0.72-1.36) in those aged 1 to 11 months, 0.92 (95% CI, 0.67-1.27) in those aged 12 to 23 months, and 0.73 (95% CI, 0.57-0.94) in those aged 24 to 59 months. Conclusions and Relevance: Mortality in children (aged 1-59 months) was lower with biannual mass azithromycin distribution in a setting in which seasonal malaria chemoprevention was also being distributed, but the difference was not statistically significant. The study may have been underpowered to detect a clinically relevant difference. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03676764.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos , Azitromicina , Mortalidade da Criança , Malária , Humanos , Azitromicina/provisão & distribuição , Azitromicina/uso terapêutico , Burkina Faso/epidemiologia , Quimioprevenção/métodos , Quimioprevenção/estatística & dados numéricos , Mortalidade da Criança/tendências , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/mortalidade , Malária/prevenção & controle , Antibacterianos/provisão & distribuição , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Estações do Ano , Lactente , Pré-Escolar
16.
N Engl J Med ; 390(3): 221-229, 2024 Jan 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38231623

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Mass distribution of azithromycin to children 1 to 59 months of age has been shown to reduce childhood all-cause mortality in some sub-Saharan African regions, with the largest reduction seen among infants younger than 12 months of age. Whether the administration of azithromycin at routine health care visits for infants would be effective in preventing death is unclear. METHODS: We conducted a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of a single dose of azithromycin (20 mg per kilogram of body weight) as compared with placebo, administered during infancy (5 to 12 weeks of age). The primary end point was death before 6 months of age. Infants were recruited at routine vaccination or other well-child visits in clinics and through community outreach in three regions of Burkina Faso. Vital status was assessed at 6 months of age. RESULTS: Of the 32,877 infants enrolled from September 2019 through October 2022, a total of 16,416 infants were randomly assigned to azithromycin and 16,461 to placebo. Eighty-two infants in the azithromycin group and 75 infants in the placebo group died before 6 months of age (hazard ratio, 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80 to 1.49; P = 0.58); the absolute difference in mortality was 0.04 percentage points (95% CI, -0.10 to 0.21). There was no evidence of an effect of azithromycin on mortality in any of the prespecified subgroups, including subgroups defined according to age, sex, and baseline weight, and no evidence of a difference between the two trial groups in the incidence of adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: In this trial conducted in Burkina Faso, we found that administration of azithromycin to infants through the existing health care system did not prevent death. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; CHAT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03676764.).


Assuntos
Antibacterianos , Azitromicina , Mortalidade Infantil , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Antibacterianos/administração & dosagem , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Azitromicina/administração & dosagem , Azitromicina/uso terapêutico , Mortalidade Infantil/tendências , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos/métodos , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos/mortalidade , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Burkina Faso/epidemiologia
17.
Ocul Immunol Inflamm ; 32(3): 301-309, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36749914

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To evaluate how changes in visual acuity are associated with changes in quality of life (QoL) among patients with non-infectious uveitis taking antimetabolites. METHODS: This secondary analysis of the multicenter First-line Antimetabolites as Steroid-sparing Treatment (FAST) Uveitis Trial involves 216 participants randomized to methotrexate or mycophenolate mofetil. Vision-related (NEI-VFQ and IND-VFQ) and health-related (PCS and MCS SF-36v2) QoL and visual acuity were measured at baseline and 6-month primary endpoint. RESULTS: Visual acuity was significantly associated and correlated with all QoL measures (Spearman correlation coefficients = 0.5, 0.5, 0.3, and 0.4 for NEI-VFQ, IND-VFQ, SF-36v2 MCS and PCS, respectively). All observed changes in QoL met or exceeded the minimal clinically important difference definition on each scale. Treatment group was not significantly associated with any QoL measure. CONCLUSION: By adding insight beyond visual acuity, QoL provides a more comprehensive picture of the patient experience during uveitis treatment.Abbreviations and Acronyms: QoL = quality of life; VR-QoL = vision-related quality of life; HR-QoL = health-related quality of life; FAST = First-line Antimetabolites as Corticosteroid Sparing Treatment; NEI-VFQ = National Eye Institute Visual Functioning Questionnaire; IND-VFQ = Indian Visual Functioning Questionnaire; SF-36v2 = Medical Outcomes Study 36-Item Short Form Survey; PCS = physical component score; MCS = mental component score; 95% CI = 95% confidence interval; MCID = minimal clinically important difference.


Assuntos
Qualidade de Vida , Uveíte , Humanos , Antimetabólitos , Nível de Saúde , Uveíte/tratamento farmacológico , Acuidade Visual , Inquéritos e Questionários , Perfil de Impacto da Doença
18.
Cornea ; 43(1): 6-12, 2024 Jan 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36952627

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The aims of this study were to examine the trends in the initial management of herpes zoster ophthalmicus (HZO) in the United States from 2010 to 2018 and compare them with the treatment preferences of corneal specialists. METHODS: A retrospective, observational deidentified cohort study was conducted on individuals enrolled in the OptumLabs Data Warehouse who had a new diagnosis of HZO from 1/1/2010 to 12/31/2018. An online survey ascertaining HZO management perspectives was distributed to The Cornea Society listserv. The main outcome assessed was proportion of cases with systemic antiviral prescriptions, eye care provider involvement, and follow-up visits after the initial HZO diagnosis. RESULTS: Approximately 50% of patients received systemic antivirals the day of initial HZO diagnosis or within 7 days (45.6% and 53.7%, respectively). Most initial diagnoses were made by ophthalmologists (45.0%), followed by optometrists (19.2%). Referral rate to ophthalmology within a year of initial diagnosis was 38.6%. 48.7% cases had at least 1 follow-up visit with any type of provider within 30 days. Our survey of corneal specialists found 97% would prescribe systemic antivirals to those with ocular involvement, but 66% would prescribe antivirals to those without ocular or eyelid involvement. Seventy percent supported all patients having follow-up with an eye care provider within a month. CONCLUSIONS: HZO antiviral therapies seem to be underprescribed in the United States, referral rates to ophthalmology are low, and follow-up is suboptimal, which are not aligned with recommendations from corneal specialists. More research is needed to establish standardized guidelines for treatment, referral, and follow-up with ophthalmology for HZO.


Assuntos
Herpes Zoster Oftálmico , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Herpes Zoster Oftálmico/diagnóstico , Herpes Zoster Oftálmico/tratamento farmacológico , Herpes Zoster Oftálmico/epidemiologia , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos de Coortes , Córnea
19.
JAMA Ophthalmol ; 141(12): 1140-1144, 2023 Dec 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37917077

RESUMO

Importance: Acute infectious conjunctivitis is a common ocular condition with major public health consequences. Objective: To assess regional variations and microbial etiologies of acute infectious conjunctivitis to guide treatment. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this cross-sectional study, patients with presumed acute infectious conjunctivitis were enrolled in the study at 5 sites (Honolulu, Hawaii; Los Angeles, San Francisco, and San Diego, California; and Petah-Tikva, Israel) from March 2021 to March 2023. Patients with allergic or toxic conjunctivitis were excluded. Main Outcomes and Measures: Pathogens were identified by unbiased RNA deep sequencing. Results: In all, 52 patients (mean [range] age, 48 [7-80] years; 31 females [60%]) were enrolled at 5 sites (6 patients from Honolulu, 9 from San Diego, 11 from Los Angeles, 13 from San Francisco, and 13 from Petah-Tikva). RNA deep sequencing detected human adenovirus species D in one-quarter of patients (13 of 52). A wide range of pathogens, including human coronavirus 229E, SARS-CoV-2, and herpes simplex virus type 1, was also identified, as well as several bacteria and fungi. Moreover, 62% (32 of 52) of patients presented with purulent discharge, while only 8% (4 of 52) of patients had confirmed bacterial pathogens. Conclusion and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study, pathogens associated with acute infectious conjunctivitis varied between all 5 sites in the US and Israel. Purulent discharge was a common presenting sign in this study, with a low specificity for bacteria-associated conjunctivitis, suggesting that further diagnostic workup may be necessary to inform antibiotic stewardship. Additional research on cost-effectiveness of using RNA deep sequencing is needed to ascertain whether it is better to monitor patients clinically until resolution of disease.


Assuntos
Conjuntivite , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Bactérias , Conjuntivite/microbiologia , Estudos Transversais , Doença Aguda , Vigilância em Saúde Pública
20.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 109(5): 1107-1112, 2023 11 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37783458

RESUMO

Azithromycin mass drug administration decreases child mortality but also selects for antibiotic resistance. Herein, we evaluate macrolide resistance of nasopharyngeal Streptococcus pneumoniae after azithromycin MDA. In a cluster-randomized trial, children 1-59 months received azithromycin or placebo biannually. Fifteen villages from each arm were randomly selected for antimicrobial resistance testing, and 10-15 randomly selected swabs from enrolled children at each village were processed for S. pneumoniae isolation and resistance testing. The primary prespecified outcome was macrolide resistance fraction for azithromycin versus placebo villages at 36 months. Secondary non-prespecified outcomes were comparisons of azithromycin and placebo for: 1) macrolide resistance at 12, 24, and 36 months; 2) nonmacrolide resistance at 36 months; and 3) suspected-erm mutation. At 36 months, 423 swabs were obtained and 322 grew S. pneumoniae, (azithromycin: 146/202, placebo: 176/221). Mean resistance prevalence was non-significantly higher in treatment than placebo (mixed-effects model: 14.6% vs. 8.9%; OR = 2.0, 95% CI: 0.99-3.97). However, when all time points were evaluated, macrolide resistance prevalence was significantly higher in the azithromycin group (ß = 0.102, 95% CI: 0.04-0.167). For all nonmacrolides, resistance prevalence at 36 months was not different between the two groups. Azithromycin and placebo were not different for suspected-erm mutation prevalence. Macrolide resistance was higher in the azithromycin group over all time points, but not at 36 months. Although this suggests resistance may not continue to increase after biannual MDA, more studies are needed to clarify when MDA can safely decrease mortality and morbidity in lower- and middle-income countries.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos , Azitromicina , Criança , Humanos , Lactente , Azitromicina/farmacologia , Azitromicina/uso terapêutico , Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Macrolídeos/farmacologia , Macrolídeos/uso terapêutico , Streptococcus pneumoniae/genética , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos , Níger/epidemiologia , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana/genética
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