The effect of COVID-19 on cancer incidences in the U.S.

Fundamental data analysis assists in the evaluation of critical questions to discern essential facts and elicit formerly invisible evidence. In this article, we provide clarity into a subtle phenomenon observed in cancer incidences throughout the time of the COVID-19 pandemic. We analyzed the cancer incidence data from the American Cancer Society [1]. We partitioned the data into three groups: the pre-COVID-19 years (2017, 2018), during the COVID-19 years (2019, 2020, 2021), and the post-COVID-19 years (2022, 2023). In a novel manner, we applied principal components analysis (PCA), computed the angles between the cancer incidence vectors, and then added lognormal probability concepts in our analysis. Our analytic results revealed that the cancer incidences shifted within each era (pre, during, and post), with a meaningful change in the cancer incidences occurring in 2020, the peak of the COVID-19 era. We defined, computed, and interpreted the exceedance probability for a cancer type to have 1000 incidences in a future year among the breast, cervical, colorectal, uterine corpus, leukemia, lung & bronchus, melanoma, Hodgkin's lymphoma, prostate, and urinary cancers. We also defined, estimated, and illustrated indices for other cancer diagnoses from the vantage point of breast cancer in pre, during, and post-COVID-19 eras. The angle vectors post the COVID-19 were 72% less than pre-pandemic and 28% less than during the pandemic. The movement of cancer vectors was dynamic between these eras, and movement greatly differed by type of cancer. A trend chart of cervical cancer showed statistical anomalies in the years 2019 and 2021. Based on our findings, a few future research directions are pointed out.

Beyond the Balance Sheet: Investigating the Association Between NHA Turnover and Nursing Home Financial Performance.

Introduction: Nursing homes (NHs) serve as a safety net for vulnerable populations such as older adults and people with disabilities. Nursing Home Administrators (NHAs) play a crucial role in managing the daily operations of NHs, including overseeing direct care staff and establishing the facility's strategic direction. Unfortunately, NHs have consistently faced high NHA turnover rates, which have been linked to poor organizational performance. This study aims to investigate the relationship between NHA turnover and financial performance in NHs. Methods: Using an integrated perspective based on the upper echelons theory and the resource-based view of the firm, we investigated the association between NHA turnover and financial peformance using multiple secondary data sources, such as the Care Compare: Skilled Nursing Facility Quality Reporting Program and Brown University's Long Term Care Focus. We conducted a cross-sectional study using a multivariate linear regression model, measuring financial performance using operating margin while NHA turnover represents the number of administrators that left the organization. Results: Our findings indicate that NHs with higher NHA turnover rates have lower operating margins. Specifically, compared to facilities with no turnover, one NHA turnover is associated with a 1.14% decrease in operating margin, and two or more turnovers are associated with a 2.25% decrease. Discussion: This study contributes to the existing literature by demonstrating the financial impact of NHA turnover and provides further evidence of the need for targeted organizational and policy interventions to improve NHA retention.

High Medicaid Nursing Homes: Contextual Factors Associated with the Availability of Specialized Resources Required to Care for Obese Residents.

Obesity is an increasingly important concern in the delivery of high-quality nursing home care. Obese nursing home residents require specialized equipment and resources. As high Medicaid nursing homes have limited financial ability, they may lack the necessary resources to address the needs of obese residents. Moreover, there are variations in the availability of obesity-related specialized resources across these facilities. This study aims to investigate the organizational and market factors associated with the availability of obesity-related specialized resources in high-Medicaid nursing homes. Survey and secondary data sources for the study period 2017-2018 were utilized. The survey data were merged with Brown University's Long Term Care Focus (LTCFocus), Nursing Home Compare, and Area Health Resource File datasets. The dependent variable was the composite score of obesity-related specialized resources, ranging from 0-19. An ordinary least square regression with propensity score weights (to adjust for potential survey non-response bias), along with appropriate organizational/market level control variables were used for our analysis. Our results suggest that payer-mix (>Medicare residents) and a higher proportion of obese residents were positively associated with the availability of obesity-related specialized resources. Policymakers should consider implementing incentives, such as increased Medicaid payments, to assist high Medicaid nursing homes in addressing the specific needs of obese residents.

The Association Between Facility Affiliations and Revenue Generation in Skilled Nursing Facilities - An Exploratory Study.

Background: Although hospitals have been the traditional setting for interventional and rehabilitative care, skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) can offer a high-quality and less costly alternative than hospitals. Unfortunately, the financial health of SNFs is often a matter of concern. To partially address these issues, SNF leaders have increased engagement in a number of affiliations to assist in improving quality and reducing operational costs, including Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs), Health Information Exchanges (HIEs), and participation in Bundled Payment for Care Improvement (BPCI) programs. What is not well understood is what impact these affiliations have on the financial viability of the host organizations. Given these factors, this study aims to identify what association, if any, exists between SNF affiliations and revenue generation. Methods: Data from calendar year 2022 for n=13,447 SNFs in the US were assessed using multivariate regression analysis. We evaluated two separate dependent measures of revenue generation capacity: net patient revenue per bed and net patient revenue per discharge and considered three unique facility affiliations including (1) ACOs, (2) HIEs, and (3) BPCI participants. Results: Six multivariable linear regressions revealed that ACO affiliation is negatively associated with revenue generation on both dependent measures, while HIE affiliation and BPCI participation reflected mixed results. Conclusion: A better understanding of the financial impact of SNFs' affiliations may prove insightful. By carefully considering the value of each affiliation, and how each is applicable to any given market, policymakers, funding agencies, and facility leaders may be able to better position SNFs for more sustainable financial performance in a challenging economic environment.

An Exploratory Analysis of the Association Between Hospital Labor Costs and the Quality of Care.

Introduction: The competent healing touch of a caregiver is a critical component to the care patients receive. The more skilled the provider, the higher the likelihood outcomes will be delivered in a safe and effective manner. Unfortunately, in recent years, hospitals in the United States have faced immense financial pressures that are threatening their economic sustainability and patients' access to care in the future. Through the recent COVID-19 pandemic, the cost of delivering healthcare has continued to escalate, while the demand for patient care has exceeded many hospitals' capacity. Most troubling is the impact that the pandemic has had on the healthcare workforce, which has resulted in many hospitals struggling to fill vacancies at ever-increasing cost - all while under immense pressure to deliver quality patient care. What remains uncertain is whether the increase in labor costs has been matched with a commensurate rise in the quality of care or if quality has deteriorated as the labor force mix has changed to include more contract and temporary staff. Thus, in the enclosed study, we sought to determine what association, if any, exists between hospitals' cost of labor and the quality of care delivered. Methods and Models: Drawing from a representative national sample of nearly 3214 short-term acute care hospitals' common quality measures from the year 2021, we examined the labor cost-quality relationship via multivariate linear and logistic regression and found there is a persistent negative association across all quality outcome variables studied. Discussion: These findings lead us to believe simply paying more for hospital labor does not, by itself, ensure a positive patient outcome. We contend cautious use of temporary staff, measured adoption of short-term financial incentives, and robust staff development all should be considered as features of future workforce planning.

The role of continental evapotranspiration on water vapour isotopic variability in the troposphere.

Rainforests play an important role in hydrological and carbon cycles, both at regional and global scales. They pump large quantities of moisture from the soil to the atmosphere and are major rainfall hotspots of the world. Satellite-observed stable water isotope ratios have played an essential role in determining sources of moisture in the atmosphere. Satellites provide information about the processes involving vapour transport in different zones of the world, identifying sources of rainfall and distinguishing moisture transport in monsoonal systems. This paper focuses on major rainforests of the world (Southern Amazon, Congo and Northeast India) to understand the role of continental evapotranspiration in influencing tropospheric water vapour. We have used satellite measurements of 1H2H16O/1H216O from Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS), evapotranspiration (ET), solar-induced fluorescence (SIF), precipitation (P), atmospheric reanalysis-derived moisture flux convergence (MFC) and wind to discern the role of ET in influencing water vapour isotopes. A global map of the correlation between δ2Hv and ET-P flux indicates that densely vegetated regions in the tropics show the highest positive correlation (r > 0.5). Using mixing models and observations of specific humidity and isotopic ratio over these forested regions, we discern the source of moisture in pre-wet and wet seasons.

Over-prescription of short-acting ß2-agonists and asthma management in the Gulf region: a multicountry observational study.

BACKGROUND: The overuse of short-acting ß2-agonists (SABA) is associated with poor asthma control. However, data on SABA use in the Gulf region are limited. Herein, we describe SABA prescription practices and clinical outcomes in patients with asthma from the Gulf cohort of the SABA use IN Asthma (SABINA) III study. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study conducted at 16 sites across Kuwait, Oman, and the United Arab Emirates, eligible patients (aged ≥ 12 years) with asthma were classified based on investigator-defined disease severity guided by the 2017 Global Initiative for Asthma report and by practice type, i.e., respiratory specialist or primary care physician. Data on demographics, disease characteristics, and prescribed asthma treatments, including SABA, in the 12 months prior to a single, prospective, study visit were transcribed onto electronic case report forms (eCRFs). All analyses were descriptive in nature. Continuous variables were summarized by the number of non-missing values, given as mean (standard deviation [SD]) and median (range). Categorical variables were summarized by frequency counts and percentages. RESULTS: This study analyzed data from 301 patients with asthma, 54.5% of whom were treated by respiratory specialists. Most patients were female (61.8%), with a mean age of 43.9 years, and 84.4% were classified with moderate-to-severe disease, with a mean (SD) asthma duration of 14.8 (10.8) years. Asthma was partly controlled or uncontrolled in 51.2% of patients, with 41.9% experiencing ≥ 1 severe exacerbation in the 12 months preceding their study visit. Overall, 58.5% of patients were prescribed ≥ 3 SABA canisters, 19.3% were prescribed ≥ 10 canisters, and 13.3% purchased SABA over-the-counter (OTC) in the 12 months before the study visit. Most patients who purchased OTC SABA (92.5%) also received SABA prescriptions. Inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting ß2-agonist combinations and oral corticosteroid bursts were prescribed to 87.7% and 22.6% of patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: SABA over-prescription was highly prevalent in the Gulf region, compounded by purchases of nonprescription SABA and suboptimal asthma-related outcomes. Increased awareness among policymakers and healthcare practitioners is needed to ensure implementation of current, evidence-based, treatment recommendations to optimize asthma management in this region. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT03857178 (ClinicalTrials.gov).

Organizational Characteristics and the Adoption of Electronic Health Records Among Nursing Homes in One Southern State.

Electronic health records (EHRs) can improve quality of care and patient safety, as demonstrated in a variety of health care settings. However, greater use of EHRs in nursing homes (NHs) is needed. To understand which NHs have and have not adopted EHR systems, all federally certified NHs in Arkansas (n = 223) were surveyed, with 27.9% responding. Non-responders were similar to responders on all characteristics except for staffing skill mix, with responders having a higher skill mix than non-responders. Two thirds of responding Arkansas NHs reported having an EHR system in use (69.8%), while only a few reported no plans for an EHR system (4.8%). NHs with greater resources and in competitive markets were more likely to implement EHR systems. Full implementation across all NHs may require intervention, which should be explored in future research. In addition, future investigation should consider the level of interoperability of EHR systems that are in place among NHs.

The Privatization of Public Hospitals: Its Impact on Financial Performance.

This study examined the effects of public hospitals' privatization on financial performance. We used a sample of nonfederal acute care public hospitals from 1997 to 2013, averaging 434 hospitals per year. Privatization was defined as conversion from public status to either private not-for-profit (NFP) or private for-profit (FP) status. Financial performance was measured by operating margin (OM) and total margin (TM). We used hospital level and year fixed effects linear panel regressions with nonlagged independent and control variables (Model 1), lagged by 1 year (Model 2), and lagged by 2 years (Model 3). Privatization to FP was associated with 17% higher OM (Model 2) and 9% higher OM (Model 3), compared with 3%, 4%, and 6% higher OM for privatization to NFP for all three Models, respectively. Privatization to FP was associated with 7% higher TM (Model 2) and privatization to NFP was associated with 2% higher TM (Model 3).

Onset of summer monsoon in Northeast India is preceded by enhanced transpiration.

Variations in isotopic composition of water vapor in the atmosphere is an important indicator of the processes within the hydrological cycle. Isotopic signature of water vapor and precipitation can be helpful in partitioning evaporation and transpiration fluxes. It is well known that transpiration from forested regions supplies a significant amount of vapor to the atmosphere in monsoon and post-monsoon seasons. Here, we utilize observations from Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES), Atmospheric Infra-Red Sounder (AIRS) and simulation models to ascertain that transpiration is dominant in the forests of Northeast India (NE) during pre-monsoon season. Our results show an increase in δD of 78.0 ± 7.1‰ and in specific humidity of 3.1 ± 0.2 g kg-1 during the pre-monsoon months of April-May compared to January-February. In the monsoon months of July-August, δD reduces by 53.0 ± 6.5‰ albeit the specific humidity increases by 3.4 ± 0.2 g kg-1. Using joint observations of specific humidity and isotope ratio in lower troposphere, we discern the moisture sources over NE India in pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons and posit the role of transpiration in continental recycling during pre-monsoon season.

Development and Validation of a Controlled Vocabulary: An OWL Representation of Organizational Structures of Trauma Centers and Trauma Systems.

In trauma care and trauma care research there exists an implementation gap regarding a consistent controlled vocabulary to describe organizational aspects of trauma centers and trauma systems. This paper describes the development and evaluation of a controlled vocabulary for trauma care organizations. We give a detailed description of the involvement of domain experts in the domain analysis workflow and the authoring of definitions and additional term descriptions. Finally, the paper details the evaluation methodology to assess the initial version of the controlled vocabulary. The results of the evaluation show that our development process yields terms most of which find approval from domain experts not involved in the development. In addition, our evaluation tools resulted in valuable domain expert input to optimize the controlled vocabulary.

Nursing Home Quality and Financial Performance: Is There a Business Case for Quality?

This study examines the relationship between nursing home quality and financial performance to assess whether there is a business case for quality. Secondary data sources included the Online Survey Certification and Reporting (OSCAR), Certification and Survey Provider Enhanced Reporting (CASPER), Medicare Cost Reports, Minimum Data Set (MDS 2.0), Area Resource File (ARF), and LTCFocus for all free-standing, nongovernment nursing homes for 2000 to 2014. Data were analyzed using panel data linear regression with facility and year fixed effects. The dependent variable, financial performance, consisted of the operating margin. The independent variables comprised nursing home quality measures that capture the three dimensions of Donabedian's structure-process-outcomes framework: structure Registered Nurse (RN) hours per resident day, Licensed Practical Nurse (LPN) hours per resident day, Certified Nursing Assistant (CNA) hours per resident day, RN skill mix), process (facility-acquired restraints, facility-acquired catheters, pressure ulcer prevention, and restorative ambulation), and outcomes (facility-acquired contractures, facility-acquired pressure ulcers, hospitalizations per resident, rehospitalizations, and health deficiencies). Control variables included size, average acuity index, market competition, per capita income, and Medicare Advantage penetration rate. This study found that the operating margin was lower in nursing homes that reported higher LPN hours per resident day and higher RN skill mix (structure); higher use of catheters, lower pressure ulcer prevention, and lower restorative ambulation (process); and more residents with contractures, pressure ulcers, hospitalizations and health deficiencies (outcomes). The results suggest that there is a business case for quality, whereas nursing homes that have better processes and outcomes of care perform better financially.

High Medicaid Nursing Homes: Organizational and Market Factors Associated With Financial Performance.

High Medicaid nursing homes (85% and higher of Medicaid residents) operate in resource-constrained environments. High Medicaid nursing homes (on average) have lower quality and poorer financial performance. However, there is significant variation in performance among high Medicaid nursing homes. The purpose of this study is to examine the organizational and market factors that may be associated with better financial performance among high Medicaid nursing homes. Data sources included Long-Term Care Focus (LTCFocus), Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services' (CMS) Medicare Cost Reports, CMS Nursing Home Compare, and the Area Health Resource File (AHRF) for 2009-2015. There were approximately 1108 facilities with high Medicaid per year. The dependent variables are nursing homes operating and total margin. The independent variables included size, chain affiliation, occupancy rate, percent Medicare, market competition, and county socioeconomic status. Control variables included staffing variables, resident quality, for-profit status, acuity index, percent minorities in the facility, percent Medicaid residents, metropolitan area, and Medicare Advantage penetration. Data were analyzed using generalized estimating equations with state and year fixed effects. Results suggest that organizational and market slack resources are associated with performance differentials among high Medicaid nursing homes. Higher financial performing facilities are characterized as having nurse practitioners/physician assistants, more beds, higher occupancy rate, higher Medicare and Medicaid census, and being for-profit and located in less competitive markets. Higher levels of Registered Nurse (RN) skill mix result in lower financial performance in high Medicaid nursing homes. Policy and managerial implications of the study are discussed.

Culture Change in Nursing Homes: What Is the Role of Nursing Home Resources?

Quality of care has been a long-standing issue in US nursing homes. The culture change movement attempts to transition nursing homes from health care institutions to person-centered homes. While the adoption of culture change has been spreading across nursing homes, barriers to adoption persist. Nursing homes that disproportionately serve minority residents may have additional challenges implementing culture change compared with other facilities due to limited financial and staffing resources. The objective of this study was to examine how nursing home characteristics are associated with culture change adoption in Central Florida nursing homes. This cross-sectional study included 81 directors of nursing (DONs) who completed the Artifacts of Culture Change survey. In addition, nursing home organizational data were obtained from the Certification and Survey Provider Enhanced Reports (CASPER). A logistic regression was conducted to examine the relationship between high culture change adoption and nursing home characteristics. The overall adoption of culture change scores in Central Florida nursing homes was low. Nevertheless, there was variability across nursing homes in the adoption of culture change. High culture change adoption was associated with nursing homes having lower proportions of Medicaid residents.

OOSTT: a Resource for Analyzing the Organizational Structures of Trauma Centers and Trauma Systems.

Organizational structures of healthcare organizations has increasingly become a focus of medical research. In the CAFÉ project we aim to provide a web-service enabling ontology-driven comparison of the organizational characteristics of trauma centers and trauma systems. Trauma remains one of the biggest challenges to healthcare systems worldwide. Research has demonstrated that coordinated efforts like trauma systems and trauma centers are key components of addressing this challenge. Evaluation and comparison of these organizations is essential. However, this research challenge is frequently compounded by the lack of a shared terminology and the lack of effective information technology solutions for assessing and comparing these organizations. In this paper we present the Ontology of Organizational Structures of Trauma systems and Trauma centers (OOSTT) that provides the ontological foundation to CAFÉ's web-based questionnaire infrastructure. We present the usage of the ontology in relation to the questionnaire and provide the methods that were used to create the ontology.

Prevalence of Moderate to Severe Obesity Among U.S. Nursing Home Residents, 2000-2010.

Obesity rates are high among all age groups, including older adults. Obesity negatively affects health and functional ability, increasing the risk for nursing home (NH) admission. The current study examines trends over 11 years in moderate to severe obesity rates among NH residents. A generalized least squares regression model for panel data was used to test the effect of time (years) on the rates. A significant increase in rates and significant variation in rates were observed. Little research has focused on the issue of obesity in NHs. High and increasing rates and variation in rates raise questions on demand and access to NH care for obese older adults. Additional research is needed to consider factors other than time that may affect NHs' ability to admit moderate to severely obese individuals. Understanding these trends will help NHs prepare for future demand, ensure equal access, quality care, and financing of services.

Public hospitals in peril: factors associated with financial distress.

As "safety net providers," public hospitals have played a major role in health care delivery, especially in serving the indigent and the uninsured. For several decades, public hospitals have been operating in a challenging environment, and some of them have experienced financial difficulties. The purpose of this study was to explore the organizational and environmental factors associated with public hospitals' financial distress. This study used a national sample of public hospitals based on longitudinal panel data from 1997 to 2009, resulting in a sample size of 7,257 hospital-year observations. The Altman Z-score method was applied to assess hospitals' financial condition. The significant findings from a random effects logistic regression model with state and year fixed-effects indicated that higher Medicare HMO penetration was associated with financial distress. Organizational variables such as health network, size, occupancy rate, and outpatient mix decreased the odds of financial distress; and membership in a multihospital system increased the odds of financial distress.

Hospital-physician relationships: implications from the professional service firms literature.

PURPOSE: The hospital-physician relationship (HPR) has been the focus of many scholars given the potential impact of this relationship on hospitals' ability to achieve socially and organizationally desirable health care outcomes. Hospitals are dominated by professionals and share many commonalities with professional service firms (PSFs). In this chapter, we explore an alternative HPR based on the governance models prevalent in PSFs. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY APPROACH: We summarize the issues presented by current HPRs and discuss the governance models dominant in PSFs. FINDINGS: We identify the non-equity partnership model as a governance archetype for hospitals; this model accounts for both the professional dominance in health care decisions and the increasing demand for higher accountability and efficiency. RESEARCH LIMITATIONS: There should be careful consideration of existing regulations such as the Stark law and the antikickback statue before the proposed governance model and the compensation structure for physician partners is adopted. RESEARCH IMPLICATIONS: While our governance archetype is based on a review of the literature on HPRs and PSFs, further research is needed to test our model. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS: Given the dominance of not-for-profit (NFP) ownership in the hospital industry, we believe the non-equity partnership model can help align physician incentives with those of the hospital, and strengthen HPRs to meet the demands of the changing health care environment. ORIGINALITY/VALUE: This is the first chapter to explore an alternative hospital-physician integration strategy by examining the governance models in PSFs, which similar to hospitals have a high reliance on a predominantly professional staff.

Private equity ownership and nursing home financial performance.

BACKGROUND: Private equity has acquired multiple large nursing home chains within the last few years; by 2009, it owned nearly 1,900 nursing homes. Private equity is said to improve the financial performance of acquired facilities. However, no study has yet examined the financial performance of private equity nursing homes, ergo this study. PURPOSE: The primary purpose of this study is to understand the financial performance of private equity nursing homes and how it compares with other investor-owned facilities. It also seeks to understand the approach favored by private equity to improve financial performance-for instance, whether they prefer to cut costs or maximize revenues or follow a mixed approach. METHODOLOGY/APPROACH: Secondary data from Medicare cost reports, the Online Survey, Certification and Reporting, Area Resource File, and Brown University's Long-term Care Focus data set are combined to construct a longitudinal data set for the study period 2000-2007. The final sample is 2,822 observations after eliminating all not-for-profit, independent, and hospital-based facilities. Dependent financial variables consist of operating revenues and costs, operating and total margins, payer mix (census Medicare, census Medicaid, census other), and acuity index. Independent variables primarily reflect private equity ownership. The study was analyzed using ordinary least squares, gamma distribution with log link, logit with binomial family link, and logistic regression. FINDINGS: Private equity nursing homes have higher operating margin as well as total margin; they also report higher operating revenues and costs. No significant differences in payer mix are noted. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: Results suggest that private equity delivers superior financial performance compared with other investor-owned nursing homes. However, causes for concern remain particularly with the long-term financial sustainability of these facilities.