Modified frailty index can help predict complications following tibial plateau fracture fixation: a NSQIP study involving 2213 patients.

PURPOSE: The 5-item modified frailty index (mFI-5) has been established as a reliable indicator of poor postoperative outcomes following a variety of orthopaedic procedures. This study aims to determine whether the mFI-5 can be used by surgeons to predict the likelihood of postoperative complications in patients undergoing open reduction internal fixation (ORIF) for tibial plateau fractures. METHODS: From 2006 to 2019, patients aged 50 years or older undergoing ORIF for tibial plateau fracture were identified in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. The mFI-5 was calculated based on the sum of the presence of 5 conditions: diabetes, congestive heart failure, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and dependent functional status. Chi-squared tests and multivariable regression analysis were used to evaluate the association of different mFI-5 scores with postoperative complications. RESULTS: The study analyzed 2213 patients with an average age of 63 years. Multivariable regression analysis demonstrated that in comparison to patients with a mFI-5 score of 0, those with a score of 1 had an increased risk of prolonged hospital stay (OR 1.31) and discharge to a non-home location (OR 1.50) while those with a score of 2 or greater were at an increased risk of readmission (OR 2.30), wound complication (OR 5.37), pulmonary complication (OR 4.56), urinary tract infection (OR 4.79), prolonged hospital stay (OR 1.89), and discharge to a non-home location (OR 3.01). CONCLUSION: The mFI-5 is a reliable instrument for determining the likelihood of postoperative complications following ORIF for tibial plateau fracture repair. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

Higher modified frailty index score is associated with 30-day postoperative complications following simultaneous bilateral total knee arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: There is no clear consensus regarding patient populations at highest risk for complications from simultaneous bilateral total knee arthroplasty (TKA). The purpose of this study was to determine whether the comorbidities comprising the modified Frailty Index (mFI) were correlated with poor outcomes following simultaneous bilateral TKA. METHODS: From 2006 to 2019, patients undergoing bilateral TKA aged 50 years or older were identified in a national database. The 5-item mFI was calculated based on the presence of five comorbidities: diabetes, congestive heart failure, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and dependent functional status. Chi-squared and multivariable regression analyses were used to evaluate the association of mFI scores with postoperative complications. RESULTS: The study analyzed 8,776 patients with an average age of 65 years. After adjustment on multivariable regression analysis, compared to patients with a mFI score of 0, those with a score of 1 had an increased risk of pulmonary complication (OR 3.14; p = 0.011), renal problem (OR 12.86; p = 0.022), sepsis complication (OR 2.82; p = 0.024), postoperative transfusion (OR 1.19; p = 0.012), and non-home discharge (OR 1.17; p = 0.002).Patients with a score of 2 compared to 0 had similar complications when compared. These patients had an increased risk of cardiac complication (OR 4.84; p = 0.009) and prolonged hospital stay (OR 4.06; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Increased mFI scores were associated with significantly higher complication rates in patients undergoing simultaneous bilateral TKA compared to unilateral TKA. Our results can be used to identify which patients may need a staged bilateral TKA or preoperative optimization to safely undergo a simultaneous bilateral TKA. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

No Increased Risk of All-cause Revision up to 10 Years in Patients Who Underwent Bariatric Surgery Before Single-level Lumbar Fusion.

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess whether prior bariatric surgery (BS) is associated with higher 10-year surgical complication and revision rates in lumbar spine fusion compared with the general population and morbidly obese patients. BACKGROUND: Obesity accelerates degenerative spine processes, often necessitating lumbar fusion for functional improvement. BS is explored for weight loss in lumbar spine cases, but its impact on fusion outcomes remains unclear. Existing literature on BS before lumbar fusion yields conflicting results, with a limited investigation into long-term spine complications. METHODS: Utilizing the PearlDiver database, we examined patients undergoing elective primary single-level lumbar fusion, categorizing them by prior BS. Propensity score matching created cohorts from (1) the general population without BS history and (2) morbidly obese patients without BS history. Using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard modeling, we compared 10-year cumulative incidence rates and hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause revision and specific revision indications. RESULTS: Patients who underwent BS exhibited a higher cumulative incidence and risk of decompressive laminectomy and irrigation & debridement (I&D) within 10 years postlumbar fusion compared with matched controls from the general population [decompressive laminectomy: HR = 1.32; I&D: HR = 1.35]. Compared with matched controls from a morbidly obese population, patients who underwent BS were associated with lower rates of adjacent segment disease (HR = 0.31) and I&D (HR = 0.64). However, the risk of all-cause revision within 10 years did not increase for patients who underwent BS compared with matched or unmatched controls from the general population or morbidly obese patients (P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Prior BS did not elevate the 10-year all-cause revision risk in lumbar fusion compared with the general population or morbidly obese patients. However, patients who underwent BS were associated with a lower 10-year risk of I&D when compared with morbidly obese patients without BS. Our study indicates comparable long-term surgical complication rates between patients who underwent BS and these control groups, with an associated reduction in risk of infectious complications when compared with morbidly obese patients. Although BS may address medical comorbidities, its impact on long-term lumbar fusion revision outcomes is limited.

Predicting prolonged hospital stay following hip dysplasia surgery in the pediatric population.

Previous studies have shown that minimizing the length of hospital stay (LOS) following surgical procedures reduces costs and can improve the patients' quality of life and satisfaction. However, this relationship has not been defined following operative treatment for developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH). Therefore, the purpose of this study was to determine the most important nonmodifiable and modifiable factors that can predispose patients to require a prolonged LOS following hip dysplasia surgery. From 2012 to 2019, a national pediatric database was used to identify pediatric patients who underwent surgery for hip dysplasia. Demographic, clinical, and comorbidity variables were analyzed in a patient cohort who had a normal LOS versus one with an extended LOS using chi-square tests and analysis of variance. Statistically significant variables (P value <0.05) were inputted into an artificial neural network model to determine the level of importance. Out of 10,816 patients, 594 (5.5%) had a prolonged LOS following DDH surgery. The five most important variables to predict extended LOS following hip dysplasia surgery were increased operative time (importance = 0.223), decreased BMI (importance = 0.158), older age (importance = 0.101), increased preoperative international normalized ratio (importance = 0.096), and presence of cardiac comorbidities (importance = 0.077). Operative time, BMI, age, preoperative international normalized ratio, and cardiac comorbidities had the greatest effect on predicting prolonged LOS postoperatively. Evaluating factors that impact patients' LOS can help optimize costs and patient outcomes.

The Effect of Varying Preoperative Hemoglobin Levels on the Risk of Major Complications and Surgical Site Infections After Single Level Lumbar Fusion.

INTRODUCTION: Blood transfusions are associated with an increased risk of complications after lumbar fusion, and current anemia hemoglobin thresholds are not surgery specific. We aimed to calculate single-level lumbar fusion-specific preoperative hemoglobin strata that observe the likelihood of 90-day transfusion and evaluate whether these strata are associated with increased risk of 90-day complications and 2-year infections. METHODS: A national database identified patients undergoing primary single-level lumbar fusion with preoperative hemoglobin values (g/dL). Stratum-specific likelihood ratio analysis calculated sex-based hemoglobin strata associated with the risk of 90-day transfusion. Incidence and risk of 90-day major complications and 2-year infections were observed between strata. RESULTS: Three female (hemoglobin strata, likelihood ratio [<10.9, 2.41; 11.0 to 12.4, 1.35; 12.5 to 17.0, 0.78]) and male (<11.9, 2.95; 12.0 to 13.4, 1.46; 13.5 to 13.9, 0.71) strata were associated with varying likelihood of 90-day blood transfusion. Increased 90-day complication risk was associated with two female strata (hemoglobin strata, relative risk [11.0 to 12.4, 1.52; <10.9, 3.40]) and one male stratum (<11.9, 2.02). Increased 2-year infection risk was associated with one female (<10.9, 3.67) and male stratum (<11.9, 2.11). CONCLUSION: Stratum-specific likelihood ratio analysis established sex-based single-level lumbar fusion-specific hemoglobin strata that observe the likelihood of 90-day transfusion and the risk of 90-day major complications and 2-year infections. These thresholds are a unique addition to the literature and can assist in counseling patients on their postoperative risk profile and in preoperative patient optimization. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Sickle Cell Disease Has No Impact on 10-Year Cumulative Incidence and Indications for Revision Lumbar Fusion.

STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective Cohort Study. OBJECTIVES: Patients with sickle cell disease (SCD) experience distinct physiological challenges that may alter surgical outcomes. There has been no research establishing 10-year lumbar fusion (LF) implant survivorship rates among individuals with SCD. This study aims to determine the 10-year cumulative incidence and indications for revision LF between patients with and without SCD. METHODS: A national database was queried to identify patients with and without SCD who underwent primary LF. SCD patients undergoing LF were propensity-score matched in a 1:4 ratio by age, gender, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to a matched LF control. In total, 246 SCD patients were included along with 981 and 100,000 individuals in the matched and unmatched control cohorts, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was utilized to determine the 10-year cumulative incidence rates of revision LF. Furthermore, multivariable analysis using Cox proportional hazard modeling was performed to compare indications for revisions and surgical complications between cohorts including hardware removal, drainage and evacuation, pseudoarthrosis, and mechanical failure. RESULTS: No significant differences were found in the cumulative incidence of 10-year all-cause revision LF between patients in the SCD cohort and either of the control cohorts (P > .05 for each). Additionally, there were no significant differences between the SCD cohort and either of the control cohorts in regards to the indications for revision or surgical complications in LF (P > .05 for each). CONCLUSIONS: This study indicates that SCD patients do not have increased risk for revision LF, nor any of its indications.

Worsening of anemia increases the risks of complications and prolonged length of stay following revision total shoulder arthroplasty.

Background: There are no studies currently in the literature that assesses complications following revision total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA) in patients with varying severity of anemia. The purpose of this study was to determine the impact of preoperative anemia severity on postoperative complications following revision TSA. Methods: Patients undergoing revision TSA from 2013 to 2019 were queried in a national database. Based on previous studies' definitions of anemia, three subgroups were stratified: patients without anemia (hematocrit >36% for women, hematocrit >39% for men), patients with mild anemia (hematocrit 33% to 36% for women, hematocrit 33% to 39% for men) and patients with moderate to severe anemia (hematocrit <33% for both women and men). In this analysis, patient demographics, comorbidities, and postoperative complications were compared between the three groups. Results: Of 1559 total patients undergoing revision TSA, 1178 patients (75.6%) did not have anemia, 255 (16.3%) had mild anemia, and 126 (8.1%) had moderate/severe anemia. Following adjustment on multivariate analysis, patients with mild anemia were more likely to have postoperative transfusion and extended length of stay compared to non-anemic patients. Patients with moderate/severe anemia were at increased risk of postoperative transfusion, sepsis, extended length of stay, and reoperation compared to non-anemic patients. Discussion: From mild anemia to moderate/severe anemia, there was a stepwise increase in the risk of postoperative complications. Our study showed that there is clinical value in the preoperative correction of anemia for these patients as it relates to complications and hospital stay. Level of Evidence: III.

Utilizing a comprehensive machine learning approach to identify patients at high risk for extended length of stay following spinal deformity surgery in pediatric patients with early onset scoliosis.

PURPOSE: Early onset scoliosis (EOS) patient diversity makes outcome prediction challenging. Machine learning offers an innovative approach to analyze patient data and predict results, including LOS in pediatric spinal deformity surgery. METHODS: Children under 10 with EOS were chosen from the American College of Surgeon's NSQIP database. Extended LOS, defined as over 5 days, was predicted using feature selection and machine learning in Python. The best model, determined by the area under the curve (AUC), was optimized and used to create a risk calculator for prolonged LOS. RESULTS: The study included 1587 patients, mostly young (average age: 6.94 ± 2.58 years), with 33.1% experiencing prolonged LOS (n = 526). Most patients were female (59.2%, n = 940), with an average BMI of 17.0 ± 8.7. Factors influencing LOS were operative time, age, BMI, ASA class, levels operated on, etiology, nutritional support, pulmonary and neurologic comorbidities. The gradient boosting model performed best with a test accuracy of 0.723, AUC of 0.630, and a Brier score of 0.189, leading to a patient-specific risk calculator for prolonged LOS. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning algorithms accurately predict extended LOS across a national patient cohort and characterize key preoperative drivers of increased LOS after PSIF in pediatric patients with EOS.

Pitch-classifier model for professional pitchers utilizing 3D motion capture and machine learning algorithms.

Introduction: A pitcher's ability to achieve pitch location precision after a complex series of motions is of paramount importance. Kinematics have been used in analyzing performance benefits like ball velocity, as well as injury risk profile; however, prior utilization of such data for pitch location metrics is limited. Objective: To develop a pitch classifier model utilizing machine learning algorithms to explore the potential relationships between kinematic variables and a pitcher's ability to throw a strike or ball. Methods: This was a descriptive laboratory study involving professional baseball pitchers (n = 318) performing pitching tests under the setting of 3D motion-capture (480 Hz). Main outcome measures included accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1 score, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of the random forest model. Results: The optimized random forest model resulted in an accuracy of 70.0 %, sensitivity of 70.3 %, specificity of 48.5 %, F1 equal to 80.6 %, PPV of 94.3 %, and a NPV of 11.6 %. Classification accuracy for predicting strikes and balls achieved an area under the curve of 0.67. Kinematics that derived the highest % increase in mean square error included: trunk flexion excursion(4.06 %), pelvis obliquity at foot contact(4.03 %), and trunk rotation at hand separation(3.94 %). Pitchers who threw strikes had significantly less trunk rotation at hand separation(p = 0.004) and less trunk flexion at ball release(p = 0.003) compared to balls. The positive predictive value for determining a strike was within an acceptable range, while the negative predictive value suggests if a pitch was determined as a ball, the model was not adequate in its prediction. Conclusions: Kinematic measures of pelvis and trunk were crucial determinants for the pitch classifier sequence, suggesting pitcher kinematics at the proximal body segments may be useful in determining final pitch location.

Relationships between throwing mechanics and shoulder anterior force in high school and professional baseball pitchers.

Background: Excessive shoulder anterior force has been implicated in pathology of the rotator cuff in little league and professional baseball pitchers; in particular, anterior laxity, posterior stiffness, and glenohumeral joint impingement. Distinctly characterized motions associated with excessive shoulder anterior force remain poorly understood. Methods: High school and professional pitchers were instructed to throw fastballs while being evaluated with 3D motion capture (480 Hz). A supplementary random forest model was designed and implemented to identify the most important features for regressing to shoulder anterior force, with subsequent standardized regression coefficients to quantify directionality. Results: 130 high school pitchers (16.3 ± 1.2 yrs; 179.9 ± 7.7 cm; 74.5 ± 12.0 kg) and 322 professionals (21.9 ± 2.1 yrs; 189.7 ± 5.7 cm; 94.8 ± 9.5 kg) were included. Random forest models determined nearly all the variance for professional pitchers (R2 = 0.96), and less than half for high school pitchers (R2 = 0.41). Important predictors of shoulder anterior force in high school pitchers included: trunk flexion at maximum shoulder external rotation (MER) (X.IncMSE = 2.4, ß = -0.23, p < 0.001), shoulder external rotation at ball release (BR)(X.IncMSE = 1.7, ß = -0.34, p < 0.001), and shoulder abduction at BR (X.IncMSE = 3.1, ß = 0.17, p < 0.001). In professional pitchers, shoulder horizontal adduction at foot contact (FC) was the highest predictor (X.IncMSE = 13.9, ß = 0.50, p < 0.001), followed by shoulder external rotation at FC (X.IncMSE = 3.6, ß = 0.26, p < 0.001), and maximum elbow extension velocity (X.IncMSE = 8.5, ß = 0.19, p < 0.001). Conclusion: A random forest model successfully selected a subset of features that accounted for the majority of variance in shoulder anterior force for professional pitchers; however, less than half of the variance was accounted for in high school pitchers. Temporal and kinematic movements at the shoulder were prominent predictors of shoulder anterior force for both groups. Clinical relevance: : Our statistical model successfully identified a combination of features with the ability to adequately explain the majority of variance in anterior shoulder force among high school and professional pitchers. To minimize shoulder anterior force, high school pitchers should emphasize decreased shoulder abduction at BR, while professionals can decrease shoulder horizontal adduction at FC.

Pediatric Hip Dysplasia Surgery Outcomes by Pediatric Versus Nonpediatric Orthopedists.

Objectives Developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) encompasses a spectrum of abnormalities in the immature hip. Surgical intervention is indicated if conservative management fails. Despite the increased supply of pediatric orthopedic surgeons (POSs) over the last few decades, there continues to be a maldistribution of surgeons. The purpose of this study is to determine outcomes following surgical management of hip dysplasia by POSs compared to non-pediatric orthopedic surgeons. Methods Pediatric patients who underwent surgical treatment for hip dysplasia from 2012 to 2019 were identified using a large national database. Patient demographics, comorbidities, and postoperative complications were compared by pediatric versus nonpediatric-trained orthopedic surgeons. Bivariate and multivariable regression analyses were performed. Results Of the 10,780 pediatric patients who underwent hip dysplasia surgery, 10,206 patients (94.7%) were operated on by a POS, whereas 574 (5.3%) were operated on by a non-pediatric orthopedic surgeon. POSs were more likely to operate on patients with a higher American Society of Anesthesiologists class (p<0.001) and those with a greater number of medical comorbidities, including cardiac (p=0.001), gastrointestinal (p=0.017), and neurological (p<0.001). Following analysis using multivariable regression models to control for patient baseline characteristics, there were no differences in any postoperative complications between patients treated by pediatric-trained and nonpediatric-trained orthopedic surgeons. Conclusions Compared to non-pediatric orthopedic surgeons, POSs were more likely to operate on younger patients with increased medical comorbidities. However, there were no differences in postoperative complications following surgical management for DDH in patients treated by nonpediatric and pediatric orthopedic surgeons.

Higher 2-Year Cumulative Incidence of Mental Health Disorders Following Irrigation and Debridement in Primary Lumbar Fusion.

Introduction: Spinal fusion is an operation that is employed to treat spinal diseases. Surgical site infection (SSI) after lumbar fusion (LF) is a postoperative complication. SSI is treated with irrigation and debridement (I&D), which requires readmittance following discharge or prolonged hospital stays, which are deleterious to patients' mental health. The long-term relationship between treating SSI with I&D and patients' mental health is still understudied. Methods: Using the Mariner dataset from the PearlDiver Patient Records Database using Current Procedural Terminology and International Classification of Diseases procedure codes, retrospective cohort analysis was carried out. This study involved 445,480 patients who underwent LF with at least 2-year follow-up and were followed up for 2 years. Of the patients, 2,762 underwent I&D. Using univariate analysis employing Pearson Chi-square and Student t-test, where appropriate (Table 1), patient demographics between cohorts were gathered. 2-year cumulative incidence (CI) between LF and I&D cohorts was calculated using Kaplan-Meier analysis (Fig. 1, 2, 3). Cox proportional hazards were employed to observe significant differences in CI rates (Table 2). Results: For patients who received I&D, 2-year CI depression (HR: 1.72; 95% CI: 1.49-1.99; P<0.001) and stress (HR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.02-1.79; P=0.035) rates were significantly higher than for those who did not. There was no statistically significant difference in 2-year CI anxiety rates between cohorts (HR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.58-1.46; P=0.719). Conclusions: In conclusion, 16.8% of patients developed new-onset depression 2 years following I&D, in comparison to 10.3% of those who underwent LF. Patients who underwent I&D following LF were significantly more likely to experience depression and stress. To mitigate negative mental health outcomes, mental health services should be available to patients who underwent surgery.

The effect of smoking on 30-day complications following primary repair of Achilles tendon ruptures.

PURPOSE: There exists a gap in the knowledge of the impact of smoking on Achilles tendon rupture repair. This study evaluates perioperative and postoperative complications associated with smoking to allow for a more informed evaluation and discussion with the patients when considering the surgical management of Achilles tendon repair in this patient population. METHODS: The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was queried for patients undergoing Achilles tendon rupture repair from 2006 to 2019. Two patient cohorts were defined in this retrospective study: smokers and patients who did not smoke. The various patient demographics, medical comorbidities, and postoperative outcomes were compared using bivariate and multivariate analyses between the smoking and non-smoking groups. RESULTS: Of 4209 patients who underwent Achilles tendon repair, 3662 patients (87%) did not smoke, whereas 547 patients (13%) were smokers. Patients who were smokers were more likely to be younger and have a higher body mass index. Following multivariate analyses, those who smoked had an increased risk of experiencing wound dehiscence (OR 3.57; p = 0.013) and urinary tract infections (OR 1.21; p = 0.033) compared to non-smoking patients. CONCLUSION: Despite the rate of complications being relatively low in the short-term perioperative period, individuals who smoke should be counseled on the surgical risks they may experience following Achilles tendon repair, including wound dehiscence and urinary tract infections. Discussion preoperatively between the physician and patient who smoke can include ways in which postoperative care will be done to minimize the risk of adverse events, ultimately reducing costs for both the patient and the hospital.

Comparing pediatric femoral shaft fracture repair patient outcomes between pediatric and non-pediatric orthopedic surgeons.

INTRODUCTION: While pediatric femoral shaft fractures account for less than 2% of all fractures in children, they are the most common pediatric fracture requiring hospitalization. Management of pediatric femoral shaft fractures is challenging, with various treatment options relating to severity and patient age. The last few decades have seen an increased supply of pediatric orthopedic surgeons (POS) along with increased referral rates. However, there continues to be a maldistribution of POS throughout the country. This study sought to determine outcomes following femoral shaft fracture repair by POS compared to non-pediatric trained orthopedic surgeons. METHODS: The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program-Pediatric database was queried to identify pediatric patients who underwent open treatment of femoral shaft fracture from 2012 to 2019. Differences in patient demographics, comorbidities, and postoperative complications were assessed and compared between patients who were treated by pediatric subspecialty-trained orthopedic surgeons and those treated by non-pediatric orthopedic surgeons. Bivariate and multivariable regression analyses were utilized. RESULTS: Of the 5862 pediatric patients who underwent femoral shaft fracture treatment, 4875 (83.2%) had their surgeries performed by a POS whereas 987 (16.8%) were operated on by a non-pediatric surgeon. POS were more likely to operate on patients with a higher American Society of Anesthesiologists classification (p < 0.001) and those with medical comorbidities, including gastrointestinal (p = 0.022) and neurological (p < 0.001). After controlling for baseline patient characteristics on multivariable regression analysis, patients treated by non-pediatric orthopaedic surgeons are at an increased risk of prolonged hospital stay (OR 2.595; p < 0.001) when compared to patients operated on by POS. CONCLUSION: The results indicated that patients undergoing surgical treatment for a femoral shaft fracture by a non-pediatric trained orthopedic surgeon were at increased risk of a prolonged hospital stay compared to those being treated by POS. Additionally, POS were more likely to operate on more difficult patients with increased comorbidities.

Long-Term Patient Outcomes for Treatment of Difficult Osteochondral Lesions of the Talus with Particulated Juvenile Allograft Cartilage Implantation ± Calcaneal Autograft: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Osteochondral lesions of the talus (OCLT) are common injuries that can be difficult to treat. To date, long-term patient reported outcome measures (PROMs) of patients with particulated juvenile allograft cartilage implantation with or without calcaneal autograft have not been compared. METHODS: Thirteen patients with difficult to treat OCLTs underwent arthroscopic-assisted implantation of particulated juvenile allograft cartilage (DeNovo NT®) with or without autogenous calcaneal bone grafting by a single surgeon. Calcaneal bone graft use was determined by lesion size > 150 mm2 and/or deeper than 5 mm. Patients were evaluated using physical examination, patient interviews, and PROMs. RESULTS: When comparing patients in regards to calcaneal bone graft implantation, no difference in age, BMI, pre-operative PROMs, or follow-up was noted, however, calcaneal bone graft patients did have a significantly larger lesion size (188.5 ± 50.9 vs. 118.7 ± 29.4 mm2 respectively; p value = 0.027). VAS and FAAM ADL scores during final follow-up improvement did not significantly differ between cohorts. The FAAM Sports score improved significantly more for the DeNovo alone group compared to the bone graft cohort (p value = 0.032). The AOFAS score improvement did not differ between cohorts (p value = 0.944), however, the SF-36 PCS improved significantly more for the DeNovo alone group compared to the bone graft cohort (p value = 0.038). No intraoperative/perioperative complications were observed with calcaneal bone grafting. CONCLUSION: While patients followed over the course of ~ 8 years after implantation of particulated juvenile allograft cartilage (DeNovo NT®) with/without autogenous calcaneal bone graft had positive post-operative PROMs, patients without calcaneal bone graft had significantly greater improvement in functional outcome scores. Whether these differences are due to graft incorporation or larger lesion size is unclear. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III, retrospective cohort study.

Diabetes status and postoperative complications for patients receiving open rotator cuff repair.

Background: Diabetic patients are known to have poor wound healing and worse outcomes following surgeries. The purpose of this study is to evaluate diabetes status and complications for patients receiving open rotator cuff repair. Methods: Patients undergoing open rotator cuff repair from 2006 to 2018 were identified in a national database. Patients were stratified into 3 cohorts: no diabetes mellitus, non-insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM), and insulin dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM). Differences in demographics, comorbidities, and complications were assessed with the use of bivariate and multivariate analyses. Results: Of 7678 total patients undergoing open rotator cuff repair, 6256 patients (81.5%) had no diabetes, 975 (12.7%) had NIDDM, and 447 (5.8%) had IDDM. Bivariate analyses revealed that IDDM patients had increased risk of mortality, extended length of stay, and readmission compared to non-diabetic patients (p < 0.05 for all). IDDM patients had higher risks of major complications and readmission relative to NIDDM patients (p < 0.05 for both). On multivariate analysis, there were no differences in any postoperative complications between the non-diabetic, NIDDM, and IDDM groups. Discussion: Diabetes does not affect postoperative complications following open rotator cuff repairs. Physicians should be aware of this finding and counsel their patients appropriately.Level of Evidence: III.

Machine learning: Predicting hospital length of stay in patients admitted for lupus flares.

BACKGROUND: Although rare, severe systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) flares requiring hospitalization account for most of the direct costs of SLE care. New machine learning (ML) methods may optimize lupus care by predicting which patients will have a prolonged hospital length of stay (LOS). Our study uses a machine learning approach to predict the LOS in patients admitted for lupus flares and assesses which features prolong LOS. METHODS: Our study sampled 5831 patients admitted for lupus flares from the National Inpatient Sample Database 2016-2018 and collected 90 demographics and comorbidity features. Four machine learning (ML) models were built (XGBoost, Linear Support Vector Machines, K Nearest Neighbors, and Logistic Regression) to predict LOS, and their performance was evaluated using multiple metrics, including accuracy, receiver operator area under the curve (ROC-AUC), precision-recall area under the curve (PR- AUC), and F1-score. Using the highest-performing model (XGBoost), we assessed the feature importance of our input features using Shapley value explanations (SHAP) to rank their impact on LOS. RESULTS: Our XGB model performed the best with a ROC-AUC of 0.87, PR-AUC of 0.61, an F1 score of 0.56, and an accuracy of 95%. The features with the most significant impact on the model were "the need for a central line," "acute dialysis," and "acute renal failure." Other top features include those related to renal and infectious comorbidities. CONCLUSION: Our results were consistent with the established literature and showed promise in ML over traditional methods of predictive analyses, even with rare rheumatic events such as lupus flare hospitalizations.

The influence of elevated international normalized ratio on complications following total shoulder arthroplasty.

Background: Identifying preoperative risk factors for complications following total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA) has both clinical and financial implications. The purpose of this study was to determine the influence of different degrees of preoperative INR elevation on complications following TSA. Methods: Patients undergoing primary TSA from 2007 to 2018 were identified in a national database. Patients were stratified into 4 cohorts: INR of <1.0, INR of >1.0 to 1.25, INR of >1.25 to 1.5, and INR of >1.5. Postoperative complications were assessed. Multivariate logistic regressions were performed to adjust for differences in demographics and comorbidities among the INR groups. Results: Following adjustment and relative to patients with an INR of <1.0, those with INR of >1.0-1.25, >1.25-1.5, and >1.5 had 1.6-times, 2.4-times, and 2.8-times higher odds of having postoperative bleeding requiring transfusion, respectively (p < 0.05 for all). Relative to patients with INR <1.0, those with INR of > 1.25-1.5 and INR of >1.5 had 7.8-times and 7.0-times higher odds of having pulmonary complications, respectively (p < 0.05 for both). Discussion: With increasing INR levels, there is an independent and step-wise increase in odd ratios for postoperative complications. Current guidelines for preoperative INR thresholds may need to be adjusted for more predictive risk-stratification for TSA. Level of Evidence: III.

Risks of chronic steroid or immunosuppressive therapy on total shoulder arthroplasty patients.

Introduction: Patients on chronic corticosteroids/immunosuppressants (SI) undergoing orthopaedic surgery are at an increased risk for surgical complications and worse outcomes. However, whether or not chronic preoperative SI use increases the risk for 30-day complications in patients undergoing primary total shoulder arthroplasty (SA) has yet to be explored. Methods: From 2006 to 2019, the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database was used to identify all patients who underwent primary SA (anatomic TSA and reverse TSA). Patients were stratified into two cohorts: chronic preoperative SI users and those without use. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were utilized in this study. Results: Of the 26,979 patients who underwent primary SA, 25,656 (95.1%) patients did not have SI usage whereas 1323 (4.9%) patients had chronic preoperative SI usage. Following adjustment on multivariate analyses, compared to the non-SI usage cohort, patients who used SI had an increased risk of urinary tract infections (UTIs) (OR 1.87; p = 0.009) and septic shock (OR 7.14; p = 0.002). There were no differences in mortality between the two cohorts (p = 0.058). Discussion and Conclusion: Chronic pre-operative SI use is an independent risk factor for septic shock and UTIs following primary SA. Surgeons and patients should be aware of these risks to better inform patient counseling and surgical decision making.

The Effect of Steroid Use on Complications after Distal Radius Fracture Repair.

Background Distal radius fractures (DRFs) are the most common fracture of the upper extremity. Given that steroids are one of the most commonly prescribed drugs and are usually prescribed for chronic conditions, steroid use represents a key factor to consider in how to optimize perioperative outcomes. Questions/Purposes The purpose of this study was to investigate if there are differences in perioperative outcomes for patients undergoing DRF open reduction and internal fixation based on preoperative steroid use. Patients and Methods Adult patients who underwent operative treatment for DRF from 2007 to 2018 were identified in a national database. Patients were divided into two cohorts as follows: (1) no steroid usage and (2) preoperative steroid usage. In this analysis, various postoperative complications, as well as extended length of stay and reoperation, were assessed. Bivariate analyses and multivariable logistical regression were performed. Results Among a total of 16,505 patients undergoing operative treatment for DRF, 16,145 patients (97.8%) did not have steroid usage and 360 (2.2%) had steroid usage. Following adjustment, an increased risk of extended length of hospital stay greater than 3 days (odds ratio [OR] = 1.646; p = 0.012) was seen in the steroid usage group compared with those who did not use steroids within 30 days of surgery. Conclusion Preoperative steroid use is associated with increased length of stay over 3 days after DRF open reduction and internal fixation surgery but is not associated with any of the other complications that were assessed in this study. Level of Evidence This is a Level III, retrospective study.