Seeing the Trees From the Forest: Challenges in Subgroup Analysis-Based Guidelines in Oncology.

As clinical trials in oncology require substantial efforts, maximizing the insights gained from them by conducting subgroup analyses is often attempted. The goal of these analyses is to identify subgroups of patients who are likely to benefit, as well as the subgroups of patients who are unlikely to benefit from the studied intervention. International guidelines occasionally include or exclude novel medications and technologies for specific subpopulations based on such analyses of pivotal trials without requiring confirmatory trials. This Perspective discusses the importance of providing a complete dataset of clinical information when reporting subgroup analyses and explains why such transparency is key for better clinical interpretation of the results and the appropriate application to clinical care, by providing examples of transparent reporting of clinical studies and examples of incomplete reporting of clinical studies.

Converging survival trends in non-small cell lung cancer patients with and without brain metastasis receiving state-of-the-art treatment.

INTRODUCTION: Historically, patients with brain metastasis (BM) have been excluded from clinical trials investigating treatments for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) due to their unfavorable prognosis. Advanced treatments have increased survival prospects for NSCLC patients with BM. This study evaluated the life expectancy of NSCLC patients with and without BM in the context of contemporary treatments. METHODS: Outcome data were collected for patients with advanced NSCLC attending a tertiary medical center between 2015 and 2020. Patients were stratified according to BM status and compared for overall survival (OS) using log-rank and Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: The cohort included 360 patients with NSCLC of whom 134 (37.2%) had BM. Most (95%) of cases of BM developed within the first two years: 63% at diagnosis, 18% during the first year, 14% during the second year. There was no significant difference in OS between patients without BM and those with BM (median 23.7 vs. 22.3 months, HR = 0.97, p = 0.82); patients with BM and a targetable or non-targetable mutation (40.2 vs. 31.4 months, HR = 0.93, p = 0.84, and 20.7 vs. 19.87 months, HR = 0.95, p = 0.75, respectively); and patients with symptomatic BM (23.7 vs. 19.8 months, HR = 0.95, p = 0.78). Treatment for BM (95% of patients) consisted of stereotactic radiosurgery or tyrosine kinase inhibitors, with corresponding intracranial control rates of 90% and 86%. CONCLUSION: The results imply that the presence of BM has no impact on the prognosis of NSCLC. The practice of excluding NSCLC patients with BM from clinical trials warrants reconsideration.

dNLR-Based Score Predicting Overall Survival Benefit for The Addition of Platinum-Based Chemotherapy to Pembrolizumab in Advanced NSCLC With PD-L1 Tumor Proportion Score ≥50.

INTRODUCTION: Both pembrolizumab (P) as a monotherapy or in combination with platinum-based chemotherapy (PCT) represent standard first-line treatment options for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (aNSCLC) with PD-L1 tumor proportion score (TPS)≥50%. No predictive biomarkers exist to guide treatment decisions. METHODS: 423 consecutive patients with EGFR/ALK/ROS1-wild-type PD-L1 TPS≥50% aNSCLC receiving P (n = 302) or PCT (n = 121) as a first-line treatment were identified in the electronic databases of 5 Israeli cancer centers. Overall survival (OS, months [mo]) was assessed in correlation with blood biomarkers (BB: NLR, dNLR, PLR, SII, LIPI, ALI); a predictive score was developed. RESULTS: In the propensity score matching analysis (n = 236; 118 patients in each group matched for age, sex and ECOG PS), mOS was 17.2mo (95% CI, 13.2-36.5) and 21.3mo (95% CI, 14.8-NR) in groups P and PCT, respectively (P = .44). In group P, NLR, dNLR, PLR, LIPI, and ALI significantly correlated with OS in uni- and multivariate COX regression analyses (P < .05), whereas in group PCT, none of the BB demonstrated a significant correlation. A predictive score was developed (each parameter receiving one point): age≥65, female sex, never-smoking status, adenocarcinoma histology, dNLR≥3. In patients with predictive score 3-5, OS was significantly longer with PCT as compared to P: mOS NR (95% CI, 15.3-NR) and 8.7mo (95% CI, 5.8-13.7) (P = .0005), while OS didn't differ significantly in patients with predictive score 0-2 (P = .61). CONCLUSION: With the limitations of the retrospective analysis, the proposed dNLR-based score appears to predict OS with P and PCT.

Novel and Promising Systemic Treatment Approaches in Mesothelioma.

OPINION STATEMENT: There was limited progress in the development of novel systemic approaches in the treatment of advanced malignant mesothelioma for years following the publication of the pivotal phase III trial of Vogelzang et al. that established the cisplatin/pemetrexed regimen as a standard 1st-line systemic therapy. Since then, over the last several years, a significant step forward has been made, with incorporation of immune checkpoint inhibitors and anti-angiogenic agents. In addition, better appreciation of mesothelioma biology has allowed detection of novelmolecular therapeutic targets. All the above-mentioned strategies, along with the additional promising approaches represented by adoptive T cell therapy, dendritic cell therapy, cancer vaccines, oncoviral therapy, and agents targeting mesothelin are discussed in this review. The clinical research to identify effective biologic targets and treatment combinations in malignant mesothelioma is ongoing.

The Relationship of Diabetes Mellitus to Efficacy of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in Patients with Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) are the new standard therapy in patients with metastatic NSCLC (mNSCLC). Metformin, previously associated with improved chemotherapy efficacy in diabetic and nondiabetic cancer patients, was recently associated with increased ICI efficacy. In this study, we aimed to explore the correlations between diabetes mellitus (DM), metformin use, and benefit from ICI in mNSCLC patients. METHODS: All mNSCLC patients treated with ICI in our center between February 2015 and April 2018 were identified. Demographic and clinical data were extracted retrospectively. Cox proportional hazards regression, t tests, and χ2 tests were employed to evaluate associations of progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), overall response rate (ORR), and disease control rate (DCR), with DM status, metformin use, and HbA1c levels, as appropriate. RESULTS: Of 249 mNSCLC patients treated with ICI, 57 (22.8%) had DM. Thirty-seven (64.9% of all diabetic patients) patients were treated with metformin. A significant negative correlation of DM with PFS and OS was demonstrated (HR 1.5 [1.01-2.06], p = 0.011, and HR 1.5 [1.08-2.08], p = 0.017, respectively). Metformin exposure had no significant correlation with PFS or OS in diabetic mNSCLC patients (HR 1.08 [0.61-1.93], p = 0.79, and HR 1.29 [0.69-2.39], p = 0.42, respectively). There were no differences between groups with respect to ORR and DCR. CONCLUSION: Our data show a potential negative relationship between DM and ICI efficacy in mNSCLC patients. In contrast to reports with chemotherapy, we found no positive relationship between metformin use and ICI therapy in diabetic patients with mNSCLC. Further studies are needed to evaluate the effect of metformin in nondiabetic mNSCLC patients.

Locoregional therapy in de novo metastatic breast cancer: Systemic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Locoregional therapy (LRT) in de novo metastatic disease is controversial with inconsistent results from randomized control trials (RCTs). METHODS: RCTs comparing LRT and systemic therapy to standard therapy alone in de novo metastatic breast cancer were identified. Hazard ratios (HRs) and their associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were computed and pooled in a meta-analysis using generic inverse variance. Overall survival (OS) and time to locoregional progression data were extracted for the intention to treat (ITT) population. Data on OS for pre-specified subgroups defined by tumor subtype and by site of metastases were also extracted. RESULTS: Analyses included 4 trials comprising 970 patients. LRT included standard surgery to the primary breast tumor in all studies, and adjuvant radiation per standard of care was required in 3 studies. Compared to standard treatment, LRT was not associated with improved OS in the ITT population (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.72-1.29, p = 0.81). However, LRT was associated with improved time to locoregional progression (HR 0.36, 95% CI 0.14-0.95, p = 0.04). LRT was not associated with improved OS in any tumor subtypes, including hormone receptor positive (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.65-1.43), triple negative (HR 1.4, 95% CI 0.50-3.91) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive disease (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.68-1.28). Additionally, LRT did not improve OS in bone only disease (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.58-1.62) and in visceral disease (HR = 1.02, 95% CI 0.77-1.35). Our critical appraisal has identified some methodological problems in the design and conduct of the studies included that could affect the meta-analysis result. CONCLUSIONS: LRT in de novo metastatic breast cancer is not associated with improved OS. Results are consistent among different breast cancer subgroups. However, this conclusion should be interpreted with caution in view of the limitations identified in meta-analysis.

Taxane versus vinorelbine in combination with trastuzumab and pertuzumab for first-line treatment of metastatic HER2-positive breast cancer: a retrospective two-center study.

BACKGROUND: The combination of a taxane with trastuzumab and pertuzumab is standard of care for first-line treatment of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive metastatic breast cancer. The combination of vinorelbine with trastuzumab and pertuzumab showed anti-tumor activity in a phase 2 trial. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The databases of two tertiary medical centers were retrospectively searched for patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer who underwent first-line treatment in 2013-2019 with a taxane or vinorelbine in combination with trastuzumab and pertuzumab. Groups were compared for progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and toxicity profile. RESULTS: The study included 87 patients in the taxane group and 65 in the vinorelbine group. Overall median PFS was significantly longer in the taxane group [HR 0.56 (0.36-0.88), P = 0.01], but on multivariate analysis the difference was not statistically significant [HR 0.68 (0.4-1.1, P = 0.11)]. PFS was comparable in both groups of patients with recurrent disease [HR 0.94 (0.5-1.79), P = 0.85]. However, in patients with de novo metastatic disease, the difference in favor of the taxane group was pronounced [HR 0.4 (0.2-0.78), P = 0.007] and maintained significance on multivariate analysis [HR 0.46 (0.2-0.97, P = 0.04)]. There was no statistical significant difference in OS in the whole cohort [HR 0.69 (0.39-1.23)] or the subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer had similar survival with first-line treatment of taxane or vinorelbine combined with trastuzumab and pertuzumab. When the analysis was adjusted for prognostic factors, there was no PFS benefit for taxanes except in the subgroup with de novo disease.

Venous thromboembolism incidence and risk assessment in lung cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

BACKGROUND: There are scarce data on venous thromboembolism (VTE) rates among non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICI). The Khorana Score (KS), used to guide thromboprophylaxis in cancer patients, was validated in patients receiving chemotherapy. OBJECTIVE: To assess VTE rates and KS performance among NSCLC patients treated with ICI or chemotherapy. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of NSCLC patients starting either ICI or platinum-based chemotherapy. The 6-month cumulative incidence of VTE in the ICI and chemotherapy cohorts and hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, using death as a competing risk. Subgroup analysis of low (0-1) and high (≥2) KS risk groups was performed. RESULTS: The study included 345 NSCLC patients receiving single agent ICI (n = 176) or chemotherapy (n = 169). The 6-month cumulative incidence of VTE was 7.1% in the chemotherapy cohort and 4.5% in the ICI cohort (HR for chemotherapy = 1.6, 95% CI 0.66-3.9). Among chemotherapy treated patients, the high-risk KS group had a trend toward a higher VTE incidence, compared with patients with a low-risk KS (HR 3.04, 95% CI 0.82-11.22). Among ICI-treated patients, the high-risk KS group had a trend toward a lower VTE incidence compared with the low-risk group (HR 0.17, 95% CI 0.02-1.36). CONCLUSIONS: VTE rates were higher among NSCLC patients treated with platinum-based chemotherapy than those treated with ICI alone, though the precision of the relative estimate is low. The KS did not identify high-risk ICI-treated patients, suggesting that an ICI-specific risk model is warranted.

Lower tumor volume is associated with increased benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors in patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer.

AIM: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized the treatment for advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), yet many patients do not benefit from Programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) axis inhibitors, emphasizing the need for additional markers for better patient selection. Our aim was to evaluate the association between tumor volume and response to ICI. METHODS: This retrospective ethically-approved study included all consecutive patients with advanced NSCLC who were evaluated with a fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography scan, prior to the first administration of a single-agent ICI between 1/2016 and 6/2017. Tumor burden was calculated based on total body metabolic tumor volume and sum of all measurable lesions (SOML). RESULTS: Median SOML was 88 mm, and was inversely and significantly associated with progression-free survival (PFS) (hazard ratio [HR] 2, CI 1.28-3.37, P = .003) and overall survival (OS) (HR 2.36, CI 1.13-4.94, P = .02). SOML≤80 mm had a significantly longer PFS compared to patients with a SOML≥80 mm (median PFS 9.7 vs 3.7 months, respectively, HR for progression 2.26, CI 1.1-4.5, P = .02). Patients with a SOML≤80 also had longer median OS compared to patients with SOML≥80 (median OS 12 vs 9.8 months, respectively, HR for death 3.1, CI 1.2-8, P = .018). CONCLUSIONS: Low tumor burden was associated with higher response rates (RR), and better PFS and OS in advanced NSCLC patients treated with ICI. These results may improve the selection of patients for treatment with single-agent ICI, as opposed to the combination with chemotherapy, which might be more appropriate for patients with high tumor burden. Prospective analysis is warranted.

Evolution in the risk of adverse events of adjuvant endocrine therapy in postmenopausal women with early-stage breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant endocrine therapy is a gold standard in early-stage, hormone receptor positive breast cancer. In postmenopausal women, aromatase inhibitors (AIs) are associated with improved outcome compared to tamoxifen monotherapy. Differences in the toxicity profiles of these drugs are described; however, little is known about whether the risk of adverse events changes over time. METHODS: Sequential reports of large, randomized, adjuvant endocrine therapy trials comparing AIs to tamoxifen were reviewed. Data on pre-specified adverse events were extracted including cardiovascular events, bone fractures, cerebrovascular disease, endometrial cancer, secondary malignancies excluding breast cancer, venous thrombosis and death without recurrence. Odds ratios (ORs) were calculated for each adverse event at each time over the course of follow-up. The change in the ORs for adverse events over time was evaluated using weighted linear regression. RESULTS: Analysis included 21 reports of 7 trials comprising 30,039 patients and reporting outcomes between 28 and 128 months of follow-up. Compared to tamoxifen, AIs use was associated with a significant reduction in the magnitude of increased odds of bone fracture over time (ß = - 0.63, p = 0.013). There was a non-significant decrease in the magnitude of reduced odds of secondary malignancies over time (ß = 0.448, p = 0.094). The differences in other toxicity profiles between AIs and tamoxifen did not change significantly over time. CONCLUSIONS: The increased risk of bone fractures associated with adjuvant AIs falls over time and after discontinuation of treatment. Differences in other toxicities between AIs and tamoxifen do not change significantly over time including a persistently elevated risk of cardiovascular events.

The concordance of treatment decision guided by OncotypeDX and the PREDICT tool in real-world early-stage breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: Decision-making regarding adjuvant chemotherapy for early-stage breast cancer can be guided by genomic assays such as OncotypeDX. The concordance of expected clinical decisions guided by OncotypeDX and prognostication online tools such as PREDICT is unknown. METHODS: We performed a retrospective single-center cohort study comprising all women with estrogen receptor (ER) positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) negative, node negative disease, whose tumors were sent for OncotypeDX analysis. Expected decision on adjuvant chemotherapy was evaluated using OncotypeDX and using PREDICT. The concordance between these two tools was calculated. The impact on concordance of prespecified features was assessed, including age, tumor size, intensity of ER and progesterone receptor (PR), grade, Ki67 and perineural and lymphovascular invasion. RESULTS: A total of 445 women were included. Overall concordance was 75% (K = 0.284). The concordance was significantly higher for grade 1 disease compared to grade 2-3 (93% vs 72%, P < .001), tumor ≤ 1 cm compared to >1 cm (85% vs 72%, P = .009), PR positive compared to PR negative (78% vs 58%, P < .001) and ki67 < 10% compared to ≥10% (92% vs 63%, P < .001). The intensity of ER and the presence of perineural or lymphovascular invasion had no significant impact on concordance. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to PREDICT, using OncotypeDx in node negative, ER positive disease is expected to change the clinical decision in a quarter of patients. The concordance between OncotypeDx and PREDICT is influenced by pathological features. In patients with very low risk, treatment decisions may be made based solely on clinical risk assessment.

Treatment beyond progression with immune checkpoint inhibitors in non-small-cell lung cancer.

Aim: The treatment paradigm of advanced non-small-cell lung cancer has recently changed with the introduction of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). It is common practice to continue treatment beyond progression (TBP) in selected cases. The aim of this study was to evaluate real life practice and outcomes related to TBP. Materials & methods: We retrospectively evaluated advanced non-small-cell lung cancer patients treated with ICI therapy and identified patients who were treated beyond progression. Results: Of 207 patients included in this analysis, 22% patients received TBP. A total of 36% achieved a clinical benefit. A total of 27% patients had a progression-free interval over 6 months after receiving TBP. Conclusion: A subset of patients who were treated beyond progression with ICI achieved a clinically meaningful response with durable disease control.

A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Nivolumab and Ipilimumab Versus Sunitinib in First-Line Intermediate- to Poor-Risk Advanced Renal Cell Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The treatment paradigm of advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC) has changed rapidly in recent years. In first-line treatment of intermediate- to poor-risk patients, the CheckMate 214 study demonstrated a significant survival advantage for nivolumab and ipilimumab versus sunitinib. The high cost of combined immune-modulating agents warrants an understanding of the combination's value by considering both efficacy and cost. The objective of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of nivolumab and ipilimumab compared with sunitinib for first-line treatment of intermediate- to poor-risk advanced RCC from the U.S. payer perspective. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A Markov model was developed to compare the costs and effectiveness of nivolumab and ipilimumab with those of sunitinib in the first-line treatment of intermediate- to poor-risk advanced RCC. Health outcomes were measured in life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Drug costs were based on Medicare reimbursement rates in 2017. We extrapolated survival beyond the trial closure using Weibull distribution. Model robustness was addressed in univariable and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: The total mean cost per-patient of nivolumab and ipilimumab versus sunitinib was $292,308 and $169,287, respectfully. Nivolumab and ipilimumab generated a gain of 0.978 QALYs over sunitinib. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for nivolumab and ipilimumab was $125,739/QALY versus sunitinib. CONCLUSION: Our analysis established that the base case ICER in the model for nivolumab and ipilimumab versus sunitinib is below what some would consider the upper limit of the theoretical willingness-to-pay threshold in the U.S. ($150,000/QALY) and is thus estimated to be cost-effective. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: This article assessed the cost-effectiveness of nivolumab and ipilimumab versus sunitinib for treatment of patients with intermediate- to poor-risk metastatic kidney cancer, from the U.S. payer perspective. It would cost $125,739 to gain 1 quality-adjusted life-year with nivolumab and ipilimumab versus sunitinib in these patients.

Increased Risk for Cancer in Young Patients with Severe Obstructive Sleep Apnea.

BACKGROUND: Several studies in animal models and human with obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS) demonstrated an increase in cancer aggressiveness and mortality. However, there is a need for further clinical evidence supporting a correlation between OSAS and cancer incidence. OBJECTIVES: To reveal whether OSAS presence and severity is correlated with cancer incidence in a large homogenous patients' cohort. METHODS: We analyzed a cohort of over 5,000 concurrently enrolled patients, age > 18, with suspected OSAS, from a tertiary medical academic center. Patients underwent whole night polysomnography, the gold standard diagnostic tool for OSAS, and were classified for severity according to the Apnea Hypopnea Index (AHI). Data on cancer incidence were obtained from the Israel National Cancer Registry. A multivariate Cox proportional-hazards analysis, adjusted for age, gender, and BMI, was performed to estimate the hazard-ratio of new cancer incidence. RESULTS: Among 5,243 subjects with a median follow-up of 5.9 years, 265 were diagnosed with cancer. The most prevalent cancers were prostate (14.7%), hematological (12.8%), urothelial (9.4%), colorectal (9%), and breast (8.3%). In subjects who were diagnosed at age below 45 years (n = 1,533), a high AHI (> 57/h) was significantly associated with cancer (HR 3.7, CI 1.12-12.45, p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Patients younger than 45 with severe OSAS have a significantly higher all-type cancer incidence than the general population. These results should encourage clinicians to detect and diagnose young patients with suspected OSAS and to recommend cancer screening methods in this high-risk population.