Applications of Artificial Intelligence in Helicopter Emergency Medical Services: A Scoping Review.

OBJECTIVE: Recent systematic reviews of acute care medicine applications of artificial intelligence (AI) have focused on hospital and general prehospital uses. The purpose of this scoping review was to identify and describe the literature on AI use with a focus on applications in helicopter emergency medical services (HEMS). METHODS: A literature search was performed with specific inclusion and exclusion criteria. Articles were grouped by characteristics such as publication year and general subject matter with categoric and temporal trend analyses. RESULTS: We identified 21 records focused on the use of AI in HEMS. These applications included both clinical and triage uses and nonclinical uses. The earliest study appeared in 2006, but over one third of the identified studies have been published in 2021 or later. The passage of time has seen an increased likelihood of HEMS AI studies focusing on nonclinical issues; for each year, the likelihood of a nonclinical focus had an odds ratio of 1.3. CONCLUSION: This scoping review provides overview and hypothesis-generating information regarding AI applications specific to HEMS. HEMS AI may be ultimately deployed in nonclinical arenas as much as or more than for clinical decision support. Future studies will inform future decisions as to how AI may improve HEMS systems design, asset deployment, and clinical care.

Hypotension During Vasopressor Infusion Occurs in Predictable Clusters: A Multicenter Analysis.

Background: Published evidence indicates that mean arterial pressure (MAP) below a goal range (hypotension) is associated with worse outcomes, though MAP management failures are common. We sought to characterize hypotension occurrences in ICUs and consider the implications for MAP management. Methods: Retrospective analysis of 3 hospitals' cohorts of adult ICU patients during continuous vasopressor infusion. Two cohorts were general, mixed ICU patients and one was exclusively acute spinal cord injury patients. "Hypotension-clusters" were defined where there were ≥10 min of cumulative hypotension over a 60-min period and "constant hypotension" was ≥10 continuous minutes. Trend analysis was performed (predicting future MAP using 14 min of preceding MAP data) to understand which hypotension-clusters could likely have been predicted by clinician awareness of MAP trends. Results: In cohorts of 155, 66, and 16 ICU stays, respectively, the majority of hypotension occurred within the hypotension-clusters. Failures to keep MAP above the hypotension threshold were notable in the bottom quartiles of each cohort, with hypotension durations of 436, 167, and 468 min, respectively, occurring within hypotension-clusters per day. Mean arterial pressure trend analysis identified most hypotension-clusters before any constant hypotension occurred (81.2%-93.6% sensitivity, range). The positive predictive value of hypotension predictions ranged from 51.4% to 72.9%. Conclusions: Across 3 cohorts, most hypotension occurred in temporal clusters of hypotension that were usually predictable from extrapolation of MAP trends.

Diagnostic suspicion bias and machine learning: Breaking the awareness deadlock for sepsis detection.

Many early warning algorithms are downstream of clinical evaluation and diagnostic testing, which means that they may not be useful when clinicians fail to suspect illness and fail to order appropriate tests. Depending on how such algorithms handle missing data, they could even indicate "low risk" simply because the testing data were never ordered. We considered predictive methodologies to identify sepsis at triage, before diagnostic tests are ordered, in a busy Emergency Department (ED). One algorithm used "bland clinical data" (data available at triage for nearly every patient). The second algorithm added three yes/no questions to be answered after the triage interview. Retrospectively, we studied adult patients from a single ED between 2014-16, separated into training (70%) and testing (30%) cohorts, and a final validation cohort of patients from four EDs between 2016-2018. Sepsis was defined per the Rhee criteria. Investigational predictors were demographics and triage vital signs (downloaded from the hospital EMR); past medical history; and the auxiliary queries (answered by chart reviewers who were blinded to all data except the triage note and initial HPI). We developed L2-regularized logistic regression models using a greedy forward feature selection. There were 1164, 499, and 784 patients in the training, testing, and validation cohorts, respectively. The bland clinical data model yielded ROC AUC's 0.78 (0.76-0.81) and 0.77 (0.73-0.81), for training and testing, respectively, and ranged from 0.74-0.79 in four hospital validation. The second model which included auxiliary queries yielded 0.84 (0.82-0.87) and 0.83 (0.79-0.86), and ranged from 0.78-0.83 in four hospital validation. The first algorithm did not require clinician input but yielded middling performance. The second showed a trend towards superior performance, though required additional user effort. These methods are alternatives to predictive algorithms downstream of clinical evaluation and diagnostic testing. For hospital early warning algorithms, consideration should be given to bias and usability of various methods.

APPRAISE-HRI: AN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ALGORITHM FOR TRIAGE OF HEMORRHAGE CASUALTIES.

ABSTRACT: Background: Hemorrhage remains the leading cause of death on the battlefield. This study aims to assess the ability of an artificial intelligence triage algorithm to automatically analyze vital-sign data and stratify hemorrhage risk in trauma patients. Methods: Here, we developed the APPRAISE-Hemorrhage Risk Index (HRI) algorithm, which uses three routinely measured vital signs (heart rate and diastolic and systolic blood pressures) to identify trauma patients at greatest risk of hemorrhage. The algorithm preprocesses the vital signs to discard unreliable data, analyzes reliable data using an artificial intelligence-based linear regression model, and stratifies hemorrhage risk into low (HRI:I), average (HRI:II), and high (HRI:III). Results: To train and test the algorithm, we used 540 h of continuous vital-sign data collected from 1,659 trauma patients in prehospital and hospital (i.e., emergency department) settings. We defined hemorrhage cases (n = 198) as those patients who received ≥1 unit of packed red blood cells within 24 h of hospital admission and had documented hemorrhagic injuries. The APPRAISE-HRI stratification yielded a hemorrhage likelihood ratio (95% confidence interval) of 0.28 (0.13-0.43) for HRI:I, 1.00 (0.85-1.15) for HRI:II, and 5.75 (3.57-7.93) for HRI:III, suggesting that patients categorized in the low-risk (high-risk) category were at least 3-fold less (more) likely to have hemorrhage than those in the average trauma population. We obtained similar results in a cross-validation analysis. Conclusions: The APPRAISE-HRI algorithm provides a new capability to evaluate routine vital signs and alert medics to specific casualties who have the highest risk of hemorrhage, to optimize decision-making for triage, treatment, and evacuation.

End-user evaluation of an interface for clinical decision support using predictive algorithms.

There have been decades of interest in advanced computational algorithms with potential for clinical decision support systems (CDSS), yet these have not been widely implemented in clinical practice. One major barrier to dissemination may be a user-friendly interface that integrates into clinical workflows. Complicated or non-intuitive displays may confuse users and may even increase patient management errors. We recently developed a graphical user interface (GUI) intended to integrate a predictive hemodynamic model into the workflow of nurses caring for patients on vasopressors in the intensive care unit (ICU). Here, we evaluated user perceptions of the usability of this system. The software was installed in the room of an ICU patient, running for at least 4 hours with the display hidden. Afterward, we showed nurses a video recording of the session and surveyed their perceptions about the software's potential safety and usefulness. We collected data for nine patients. Overall, nurses expressed reasonable enthusiasm that the software would be useful and without serious safety concerns. However, there was a wide diversity of opinions about what specific aspects of the software would be useful and what aspects were confusing. In several instances, the same elements of the GUI were cited as most useful by some nurses and most confusing by others. Our findings validate that it is possible to develop GUIs for CDSS that are perceived as potentially useful and without substantial risk but also reinforce the diversity of user perceptions about novel CDSS technology. Clinical Relevance- This end-user evaluation of a novel CDSS highlights the importance of end-user experience in the workflow integration of advanced computational algorithms for bedside decision support during critical care.

Predicting Hypertensive Events with Time-Series Analysis of Mean Arterial Pressure.

We investigated whether a statistical model used previously to predict hypotension from mean arterial pressure (MAP) time series analysis could predict hypertension. We performed a retrospective analysis of minute-by-minute MAP records from two cohorts of intensive care unit (ICU) patients. The first cohort was comprised of surgical and medical ICUs while the second cohort was comprised of acute spinal cord injury (ASCI) patients in a neurological ICU. At each time point with physiological MAP, time series analysis was used to predict the median MAP for the subsequent 20 min. This method was used to predict hypertensive episodes, i.e., intervals of 20 or more minutes where at least half of the MAP measurements were > 105 mmHg. Advance prediction of hypertensive episodes was similar in the two cohorts (69.15% vs. 82.61%, respectively), as was positive predictive value of the hypertension predictions (67.42% vs. 71.57%). The results suggest that the methodology may be useable for predicting hypertension from time-series analysis of MAP. Patients requiring continuous vasopressor infusion are at risk of hypertension and excessive vasoconstriction. We found evidence that time-series analysis previously validated for predicting hypotension may also be usable for predicting hypertension.

Modeling of Usual Care: Vasopressor Initiation for Sepsis With Hypotension.

Usual care regarding vasopressor initiation is ill-defined. We aimed to develop a quantitative "dynamic practice" model for usual care in the emergency department (ED) regarding the timing of vasopressor initiation in sepsis. In a retrospective study of 589 septic patients with hypotension in an urban tertiary care center ED, we developed a multi-variable model that distinguishes between patients who did and did not subsequently receive sustained (>24 h) vasopressor therapy. Candidate predictors were vital signs, intravenous fluid (IVF) volumes, laboratory measurements, and elapsed time from triage computed at timepoints leading up to the final decision timepoint of either vasopressor initiation or ED hypotension resolution without vasopressors. A model with six independently significant covariates (respiratory rate, Glasgow Coma Scale score, SBP, SpO2, administered IVF, and elapsed time) achieved a C-statistic of 0.78 in a held-out test set at the final decision timepoint, demonstrating the ability to reliably model usual care for vasopressor initiation for hypotensive septic patients. The included variables measured depth of hypotension, extent of disease severity and organ dysfunction. At an operating point of 90% specificity, the model identified a minority of patients (39%) more than an hour before actual vasopressor initiation, during which time a median of 2,250 (IQR 1,200-3,300) mL of IVF was administered. This single-center analysis shows the feasibility of a quantitative, objective tool for describing usual care. Dynamic practice models may help assess when management was atypical; such tools may also be useful for designing and interpreting clinical trials.

Is novel coronavirus 2019 reinfection possible? Interpreting dynamic SARS-CoV-2 test results.

Since December 2019, COVID-19, the clinical syndrome associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection, has infected more than 6.2 million people and brought the function of the global community to a halt. As the number of patients recovered from COVID-19 rises and the world transitions toward reopening, the question of acquired immunity versus the possibility of reinfection are critical to anticipating future viral spread. Here, we present a case of a patient previously recovered from COVID-19 who re-presents with new respiratory, radiographical, laboratory, and real-time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) findings concerning for possible re-infection. We review this case in the context of the evolving discussion and theories surrounding dynamic RT-PCR results, prolonged viral shedding, and the possibility of developed immunity. Understanding how to interpret dynamic and late-positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR results after primary infection will be critical for understanding disease prevalence and spread among communities worldwide.