Prediction of incident atrial fibrillation using deep learning, clinical models and polygenic scores.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Deep learning applied to electrocardiograms (ECG-AI) is an emerging approach for predicting atrial fibrillation or flutter (AF). This study introduces an ECG-AI model developed and tested at a tertiary cardiac centre, comparing its performance with clinical and AF polygenic scores (PGS). METHODS: ECG in sinus rhythm from the Montreal Heart Institute were analysed, excluding those from patients with preexisting AF. The primary outcome was incident AF at 5 years. An ECG-AI model was developed by splitting patients into non-overlapping datasets: 70% for training, 10% for validation, and 20% for testing. Performance of ECG-AI, clinical models and PGS was assessed in the test dataset. The ECG-AI model was externally validated in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) hospital dataset. RESULTS: A total of 669,782 ECGs from 145,323 patients were included. Mean age was 61±15 years, and 58% were male. The primary outcome was observed in 15% of patients and the ECG-AI model showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.78. In time-to-event analysis including the first ECG, ECG-AI inference of high risk identified 26% of the population with a 4.3-fold increased risk of incident AF (95% confidence interval 4.02-4.57). In a subgroup analysis of 2,301 patients, ECG-AI outperformed CHARGE-AF (AUC=0.62) and PGS (AUC=0.59). Adding PGS and CHARGE-AF to ECG-AI improved goodness-of-fit (likelihood ratio test p<0.001), with minimal changes to the AUC (0.76-0.77). In the external validation cohort (mean age 59±18 years, 47% male, median follow-up 1.1 year) ECG-AI model performance= remained consistent (AUC=0.77). CONCLUSIONS: ECG-AI provides an accurate tool to predict new-onset AF in a tertiary cardiac centre, surpassing clinical and polygenic scores.

Anticoagulation in device-detected atrial fibrillation with or without vascular disease: a combined analysis of the NOAH-AFNET 6 and ARTESiA trials.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The optimal antithrombotic therapy in patients with device-detected atrial fibrillation (DDAF) is unknown. Concomitant vascular disease can modify the benefits and risks of anticoagulation. METHODS: These pre-specified analyses of the NOAH-AFNET 6 (n=2534 patients) and ARTESiA (n=4012 patients) trials compared anticoagulation to no anticoagulation in patients with DDAF with or without vascular disease, defined as prior stroke/transient ischemic attack, coronary or peripheral artery disease. Efficacy outcomes were the primary outcomes of both trials, a composite of stroke, systemic arterial embolism (SE), myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism or cardiovascular death, and stroke or SE. Safety outcomes were major bleeding or major bleeding and death. RESULTS: In patients with vascular disease (NOAH-AFNET 6 56%, ARTESiA 46.0%), stroke, myocardial infarction, systemic or pulmonary embolism, or cardiovascular death occurred at 3.9%/patient-year with and 5.0%/patient-year without anticoagulation (NOAH-AFNET 6), and 3.2%/patient-year with and 4.4%/patient-year without anticoagulation (ARTESiA). Without vascular disease, outcomes were equal with and without anticoagulation (NOAH-AFNET 6 2.7%/patient-year, ARTESiA 2.3%/patient-year in both randomised groups). Meta-analysis found consistent results across both trials (I2heterogeneity=6%) with a trend for interaction with randomised therapy (pinteraction=0.08). Stroke/SE behaved similarly. Anticoagulation increased major bleeding in vascular disease patients (edoxaban 2.1%/patient-year, no anticoagulation 1.3%/patient-year; apixaban 1.7%/patient-year; no anticoagulation 1.1%/patient-year; incidence rate ratio 1.55 [1.10-2.20]) and without vascular disease (edoxaban 2.2%/patient-year; no anticoagulation 0.6%/patient-year; apixaban 1.4%/patient-year; no anticoagulation 1.1%/patient-year, incidence rate ratio 1.93 [0.72-5.20]). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with DDAF and vascular disease are at higher risk of stroke and cardiovascular events and may derive a greater benefit from anticoagulation than patients with DDAF without vascular disease.

Overcoming Access Challenges to Treat Arrhythmias in Patients with Congenital Heart Disease Using Robotic Magnetic-Guided Catheter Ablation.

The prevalence of congenital heart disease (CHD) has surged in recent decades, owing to a substantial reduction in mortality. As individuals with CHD age, they become increasingly susceptible to late complications including arrhythmias. These arrhythmias often arise decades after surgical intervention and significantly impact quality of life, hospitalizations, and mortality. Catheter ablation has gained widespread acceptance as a critical intervention for managing arrhythmias in patients with CHD. However, anatomical and physiological features unique to this population pose challenges to standard manual ablation procedures, potentially impacting safety and efficacy. Robotic magnetic-guided navigation (RMN) has emerged as a technological solution to address these challenges. By utilizing soft and flexible catheters equipped with magnets at their tips, RMN enables robotic steering and orientation of catheters in three-dimensional space. This technology overcomes obstacles such as distorted vascular pathways and complex post-surgical reconstructions to facilitate access to target chambers and improve maneuverability within the heart. In this review, we present an overview of the safety and efficacy evidence for RMN-guided catheter ablation in CHD patients and highlight potential advantages. Additionally, we provide a detailed case presentation illustrating the practical application of RMN technology in this population. Although the literature on RMN-guided ablation in patients with CHD remains limited, it has shown promise in achieving successful outcomes, particularly in cases where manual ablation failed or was deemed non-feasible. Further validation through large-scale prospective studies is necessary to fully ascertain the benefits of RMN technology in this patient population.

Could the Early Detection of Atrial Fibrillation Reduce the Risk of Developing Dementia?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and dementia are major global public health issues and share common risk factors, especially after the age of 65 and regardless of the presence of stroke. Despite accounting for potential confounders, AF appears to be an independent risk factor for cognitive decline and dementia. The mechanisms are likely to be multifactorial and may include AF-related ischemic stroke, cerebral hypoperfusion, microbleeds, systemic inflammation, genetic factors, and small vessel disease, leading to brain atrophy and white matter damage. The early aggressive management of AF and comorbidities may reduce the risk of dementia. Indeed, the early detection of AF-related cognitive impairment should allow for the early implementation of measures to prevent the development of dementia, mainly through integrative approaches involving the correction of risk factors and maintenance of rhythm control. Well-designed prospective studies are needed to determine whether early detection and AF treatment can prevent dementia and identify whether optimal integrative measures are effective in preventing cognitive impairment and dementia.

Apixaban vs Aspirin According to CHA2DS2-VASc Score in Subclinical Atrial Fibrillation: Insights From ARTESiA.

BACKGROUND: ARTESiA (Apixaban for the Reduction of Thrombo-Embolism in Patients With Device-Detected Sub-Clinical Atrial Fibrillation) demonstrated that apixaban, compared with aspirin, significantly reduced stroke and systemic embolism (SE) but increased major bleeding in patients with subclinical atrial fibrillation. OBJECTIVES: To help inform decision making, the authors evaluated the efficacy and safety of apixaban according to baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score. METHODS: We performed a subgroup analysis according to baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score and assessed both the relative and absolute differences in stroke/SE and major bleeding. RESULTS: Baseline CHA2DS2-VASc scores were <4 in 1,578 (39.4%) patients, 4 in 1,349 (33.6%), and >4 in 1,085 (27.0%). For patients with CHA2DS2-VASc >4, the rate of stroke was 0.98%/year with apixaban and 2.25%/year with aspirin; compared with aspirin, apixaban prevented 1.28 (95% CI: 0.43-2.12) strokes/SE per 100 patient-years and caused 0.68 (95% CI: -0.23 to 1.57) major bleeds. For CHA2DS2-VASc <4, the stroke/SE rate was 0.85%/year with apixaban and 0.97%/year with aspirin. Apixaban prevented 0.12 (95% CI: -0.38 to 0.62) strokes/SE per 100 patient-years and caused 0.33 (95% CI: -0.27 to 0.92) major bleeds. For patients with CHA2DS2-VASc =4, apixaban prevented 0.32 (95% CI: -0.16 to 0.79) strokes/SE per 100 patient-years and caused 0.28 (95% CI: -0.30 to 0.86) major bleeds. CONCLUSIONS: One in 4 patients in ARTESiA with subclinical atrial fibrillation had a CHA2DS2-VASc score >4 and a stroke/SE risk of 2.2% per year. For these patients, the benefits of treatment with apixaban in preventing stroke/SE are greater than the risks. The opposite is true for patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score <4. A substantial intermediate group (CHA2DS2-VASc =4) exists in which patient preferences will inform treatment decisions. (Apixaban for the Reduction of Thrombo-Embolism in Patients With Device-Detected Sub-Clinical Atrial Fibrillation; NCT01938248).

Patient-specific quantification of cardiorespiratory motion for cardiac stereotactic radioablation treatment planning.

Background: Cardiac radioablation is a new treatment for patients with refractory ventricular tachycardia (VT). The target for cardiac radioablation is subject to cardiorespiratory motion (CRM), the heart's movement with breathing and cardiac contraction. Data regarding the magnitude of target CRM are limited but are highly important for treatment planning. Objectives: The study sought to assess CRM amplitude by using ablation catheter geometrical data. Methods: Electroanatomic mapping data of patients undergoing catheter ablation for VT at 3 academic centers were exported. The spatial position of the ablation catheter as a function of time while in contact with endocardium was analyzed and used to quantify CRM. Results: Forty-four patients with ischemic and nonischemic cardiomyopathy and VT contributed 1364 ablation lesions to the analysis. Average cardiac and respiratory excursion were 1.62 ± 1.21 mm and 12.12 ± 4.10 mm, respectively. The average ratio of respiratory to cardiac motion was approximately 11:1. CRM was greatest along the craniocaudal axis (9.66 ± 4.00 mm). Regional variations with respect to respiratory and cardiac motion were observed: basal segments had smaller displacements vs midventricular and apical segments. Patient characteristics (previous cardiac surgery, height, weight, body mass index, and left ventricular ejection fraction) had a statistically significant, albeit clinically moderate, impact on CRM. Conclusion: CRM is primarily determined by respiratory displacement and is modulated by the location of the target and the patient's biometric characteristics. The patient-specific quantification of CRM may allow to decrease treatment volume and reduce radiation exposure of surrounding organs at risk while delivering the therapeutic dose to the target.

Apixaban for Stroke Prevention in Subclinical Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Subclinical atrial fibrillation is short-lasting and asymptomatic and can usually be detected only by long-term continuous monitoring with pacemakers or defibrillators. Subclinical atrial fibrillation is associated with an increased risk of stroke by a factor of 2.5; however, treatment with oral anticoagulation is of uncertain benefit. METHODS: We conducted a trial involving patients with subclinical atrial fibrillation lasting 6 minutes to 24 hours. Patients were randomly assigned in a double-blind, double-dummy design to receive apixaban at a dose of 5 mg twice daily (2.5 mg twice daily when indicated) or aspirin at a dose of 81 mg daily. The trial medication was discontinued and anticoagulation started if subclinical atrial fibrillation lasting more than 24 hours or clinical atrial fibrillation developed. The primary efficacy outcome, stroke or systemic embolism, was assessed in the intention-to-treat population (all the patients who had undergone randomization); the primary safety outcome, major bleeding, was assessed in the on-treatment population (all the patients who had undergone randomization and received at least one dose of the assigned trial drug, with follow-up censored 5 days after permanent discontinuation of trial medication for any reason). RESULTS: We included 4012 patients with a mean (±SD) age of 76.8±7.6 years and a mean CHA2DS2-VASc score of 3.9±1.1 (scores range from 0 to 9, with higher scores indicating a higher risk of stroke); 36.1% of the patients were women. After a mean follow-up of 3.5±1.8 years, stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 55 patients in the apixaban group (0.78% per patient-year) and in 86 patients in the aspirin group (1.24% per patient-year) (hazard ratio, 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.45 to 0.88; P = 0.007). In the on-treatment population, the rate of major bleeding was 1.71% per patient-year in the apixaban group and 0.94% per patient-year in the aspirin group (hazard ratio, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.26 to 2.57; P = 0.001). Fatal bleeding occurred in 5 patients in the apixaban group and 8 patients in the aspirin group. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with subclinical atrial fibrillation, apixaban resulted in a lower risk of stroke or systemic embolism than aspirin but a higher risk of major bleeding. (Funded by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research and others; ARTESIA ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01938248.).

Direct Oral Anticoagulants for Stroke Prevention in Patients With Device-Detected Atrial Fibrillation: A Study-Level Meta-Analysis of the NOAH-AFNET 6 and ARTESiA Trials.

BACKGROUND: Device-detected atrial fibrillation (also known as subclinical atrial fibrillation or atrial high-rate episodes) is a common finding in patients with an implanted cardiac rhythm device and is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. Whether oral anticoagulation is effective and safe in this patient population is unclear. METHODS: We performed a systematic review of MEDLINE and Embase for randomized trials comparing oral anticoagulation with antiplatelet or no antithrombotic therapy in adults with device-detected atrial fibrillation recorded by a pacemaker, implantable cardioverter defibrillator, cardiac resynchronization therapy device, or implanted cardiac monitor. We used random-effects models for meta-analysis and rated the quality of evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation framework (GRADE). The review was preregistered (PROSPERO CRD42023463212). RESULTS: From 785 citations, we identified 2 randomized trials with relevant clinical outcome data: NOAH-AFNET 6 (Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants in Patients With Atrial High Rate Episodes; 2536 participants) evaluated edoxaban, and ARTESiA (Apixaban for the Reduction of Thrombo-Embolism in Patients With Device-Detected Sub-Clinical Atrial Fibrillation; 4012 participants) evaluated apixaban. Meta-analysis demonstrated that oral anticoagulation with these agents reduced ischemic stroke (relative risk [RR], 0.68 [95% CI, 0.50-0.92]; high-quality evidence). The results from the 2 trials were consistent (I2 statistic for heterogeneity=0%). Oral anticoagulation also reduced a composite of cardiovascular death, all-cause stroke, peripheral arterial embolism, myocardial infarction, or pulmonary embolism (RR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.73-0.99]; I2=0%; moderate-quality evidence). There was no reduction in cardiovascular death (RR, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.76-1.17]; I2=0%; moderate-quality evidence) or all-cause mortality (RR, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.96-1.21]; I2=0%; moderate-quality evidence). Oral anticoagulation increased major bleeding (RR, 1.62 [95% CI, 1.05-2.50]; I²=61%; high-quality evidence). CONCLUSIONS: The results of the NOAH-AFNET 6 and ARTESiA trials are consistent with each other. Meta-analysis of these 2 large randomized trials provides high-quality evidence that oral anticoagulation with edoxaban or apixaban reduces the risk of stroke in patients with device-detected atrial fibrillation and increases the risk of major bleeding.

Rationale and Design of the Randomized Bayesian Multicenter COME-TAVI Trial in Patients With a New Onset Left Bundle Branch Block.

Patients with new-onset left bundle branch block (LBBB) after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) are at risk of developing delayed high-degree atrioventricular block. Management of new-onset LBBB post-TAVI remains controversial. In the Comparison of a Clinical Monitoring Strategy Versus Electrophysiology-Guided Algorithmic Approach in Patients With a New LBBB After TAVI (COME-TAVI) trial, consenting patients with new-onset LBBB that persists on day 2 after TAVI, meeting exclusion/inclusion criteria, are randomized to an electrophysiological study (EPS)-guided approach or 30-day electrocardiographic monitoring. In the EPS-guided approach, patients with a His to ventricle (HV) interval ≥ 65 ms undergo permanent pacemaker implantation. Patients randomized to noninvasive monitoring receive a wearable continuous electrocardiographic recording and transmitting device for 30 days. Follow-up will be performed at 3, 6, and 12 months. The primary endpoint is a composite outcome designed to capture net clinical benefit. The endpoint incorporates major consequences of both strategies in patients with new-onset LBBB after TAVI, as follows: (i) sudden cardiac death; (ii) syncope; (iii) atrioventricular conduction disorder requiring a pacemaker (for a class I or IIa indication); and (iv) complications related to the pacemaker or EPS. The trial incorporates a Bayesian design with a noninformative prior, outcome-adaptive randomization (initially 1:1), and 2 prespecified interim analyses once 25% and 50% of the anticipated number of primary endpoints are reached. The trial is event-driven, with an anticipated upper limit of 452 patients required to reach 77 primary outcome events over 12 months of follow-up. In summary, the aim of this Bayesian multicentre randomized trial is to compare 2 management strategies in patients with new-onset LBBB post-TAVI-an EPS-guided approach vs noninvasive 30-day monitoring. Trial registration number: NCT03303612.

Les patients chez qui un bloc de branche gauche (BBG) est récemment apparu à la suite de l'implantation valvulaire aortique par cathéter (IVAC) présentent un risque de bloc auriculoventriculaire de haut degré tardif. La prise en charge d'un BBG récemment apparu après une IVAC demeure controversée. Dans le cadre de l'essai COME-TAVI (Comparison of a ClinicalMonitoring Strategy VersusElectrophysiology-Guided Algorithmic Approach in Patients With a New LBBB AfterTAVI, ou comparaison d'une stratégie de surveillance clinique, par rapport à une approche guidée par étude électrophysiologique et fondée sur un algorithme, chez des patients présentant un BBG d'apparition récente à la suite d'une IVAC), des patients qui présentent un BBG d'apparition récente persistant le 2e jour après une IVAC, qui répondent aux critères d'admissibilité et qui ont donné leur consentement sont répartis aléatoirement pour être suivis à l'aide d'une approche guidée par une étude électrophysiologique (EEP) ou faire l'objet d'une surveillance électrocardiographique d'une durée de 30 jours. Un stimulateur cardiaque est implanté chez les patients du groupe de l'EEP dont l'intervalle HV (temps de conduction dans le tronc du faisceau de His jusqu'aux ventricules) est ≥ 65 ms. Les patients du groupe de surveillance non invasive reçoivent un dispositif portable d'enregistrement et de transmission continue de données électrocardiographiques pour une période de 30 jours. Le suivi sera réalisé aux 3e, 6e et 12e mois. Le critère d'évaluation principal est un paramètre composite conçu afin de saisir le bienfait clinique net. Il comprend les conséquences majeures des deux stratégies chez les patients présentant un BBG d'apparition récente après une IVAC, comme suit : (i) mort subite d'origine cardiaque; (ii) syncope; (iii) trouble de la conduction auriculoventriculaire nécessitant la pose d'un stimulateur cardiaque (pour une indication de classe I ou IIa); et (iv) complications relatives au stimulateur cardiaque ou à l'EEP. L'essai intègre une conception bayésienne avec une répartition aléatoire (dans un rapport initial de 1:1) antérieure non informative adaptée aux résultats et deux analyses intermédiaires définies au préalable lorsque 25 % et 50 % du nombre anticipé des critères d'évaluation principaux seront atteints. L'essai est axé sur les événements, et la limite supérieure anticipée pour atteindre 77 événements relatifs aux critères d'évaluation principaux sur 12 mois de suivi est de 452 patients. En résumé, l'objectif de cet essai bayésien multicentrique à répartition aléatoire est de comparer deux stratégies de prise en charge de patients présentant un BBG d'apparition récente après une IVAC, soit une approche guidée par une EEP, par rapport à une surveillance non invasive de 30 jours. Trial registration number: NCT03303612.

A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Biomarkers for Risk Prediction in Atrial Fibrillation.

RATIONALE: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of thromboembolism. This risk is currently assessed with scoring systems based on clinical characteristics. However, these tools have limited prognostic performance. Circulating biomarkers are proposed for improved prediction of major clinical events and individualization of treatments in patients with AF. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to assess the cost-effectiveness of precision medicine (PM), i.e., the use of combined biomarkers and clinical variables, in comparison to standard of care (SOC) for risk stratification in a hypothetical cohort of AF patients at risk of stroke. METHODS: A Markov cohort model was developed to evaluate the costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of PM compared to SOC, over 20 years using a Canadian healthcare system perspective. RESULTS: PM decreased the mean per-patient overall costs by 7% ($94,932 vs $102,057 [Canadian dollars], respectively) and increased the QALYs by 12% (8.77 vs 7.68 QALYs, respectively). The calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was negative, indicating that PM is an economically dominant strategy. These results were robust to one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: PM compared to SOC is economically dominant and is projected to generate cost savings.

Integration of 3D nuclear imaging in 3D mapping system for ventricular tachycardia ablation in patients with implanted devices: Perfusion/voltage retrospective assessment of scar location.

Background: The identification of low-voltage proarrhythmic areas for catheter ablation of scar-mediated ventricular tachycardia (VT) remains challenging. Integration of myocardial perfusion imaging (single-photon emission computed tomography/computed tomography; SPECT/CT) and electroanatomical mapping (EAM) may improve delineation of the arrhythmogenic substrate. Objective: To assess the feasibility of SPECT/CT image integration with voltage maps using the EnSite Precision system (Abbott) in patients undergoing scar-mediated VT ablation. Methods: Patients underwent SPECT/CT imaging prior to left ventricular (LV) EAM with the EnSite Precision mapping system. The SPECT/CT, EAM data, and ablation lesions were retrospectively co-registered in the EnSite Precision system and exported for analysis. Segmental tissue viability scores were calculated based on SPECT/CT perfusion and electrogram bipolar voltage amplitude. Concordance, specificity, and sensitivity between the 2 modalities as well as the impact of SPECT/CT spatial resolution were evaluated. Results: Twenty subjects (95% male, 67 ± 7 years old, left ventricular ejection fraction 36% ± 11%) underwent EAM and SPECT/CT integration. A concordance of 70% was found between EAM and SPECT/CT for identification of cardiac segments as scar vs viable, with EAM showing a 68.5% sensitivity and 76.4% specificity when using SPECT/CT as a gold standard. Projection on low-resolution 3D geometries led to an average decrease of 38% ± 22% of the voltage points used. Conclusion: The study demonstrated the feasibility of integrating SPECT/CT with EAM performed retrospectively for characterization of anatomical substrates during VT ablation procedures.

Programmed Ventricular Stimulation as an Additional Primary Prevention Risk Stratification Tool in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy: A Multinational Study.

BACKGROUND: A novel risk calculator based on clinical characteristics and noninvasive tests that predicts the onset of clinical sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VA) in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) has been proposed and validated by recent studies. It remains unknown whether programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS) provides additional prognostic value. METHODS: All patients with a definite ARVC diagnosis, no history of sustained VAs at diagnosis, and PVS performed at baseline were extracted from 6 international ARVC registries. The calculator-predicted risk for sustained VA (sustained or implantable cardioverter defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia [VT] or fibrillation, [aborted] sudden cardiac arrest) was assessed in all patients. Independent and combined performance of the risk calculator and PVS on sustained VA were assessed during a 5-year follow-up period. RESULTS: Two hundred eighty-eight patients (41.0±14.5 years, 55.9% male, right ventricular ejection fraction 42.5±11.1%) were enrolled. At PVS, 137 (47.6%) patients had inducible ventricular tachycardia. During a median of 5.31 [2.89-10.17] years of follow-up, 83 (60.6%) patients with a positive PVS and 37 (24.5%) with a negative PVS experienced sustained VA (P<0.001). Inducible ventricular tachycardia predicted clinical sustained VA during the 5-year follow-up and remained an independent predictor after accounting for the calculator-predicted risk (HR, 2.52 [1.58-4.02]; P<0.001). Compared with ARVC risk calculator predictions in isolation (C-statistic 0.72), addition of PVS inducibility showed improved prediction of VA events (C-statistic 0.75; log-likelihood ratio for nested models, P<0.001). PVS inducibility had a 76% [67-84] sensitivity and 68% [61-74] specificity, corresponding to log-likelihood ratios of 2.3 and 0.36 for inducible (likelihood ratio+) and noninducible (likelihood ratio-) patients, respectively. In patients with a ARVC risk calculator-predicted risk of clinical VA events <25% during 5 years (ie, low/intermediate subgroup), PVS had a 92.6% negative predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: PVS significantly improved risk stratification above and beyond the calculator-predicted risk of VA in a primary prevention cohort of patients with ARVC, mainly for patients considered to be at low and intermediate risk by the clinical risk calculator.

Evaluation of Saline-Enhanced Radiofrequency Needle-Tip Ablation for Ventricular Tachycardia (SERF VT CANADA Trial).

BACKGROUND: Endocardial catheter ablation for ventricular tachycardia (VT) may fail owing to the inability to deliver transmural lesions. Saline-enhanced radiofrequency (SERF) ablation uses a needle-tip catheter that is placed at varying depths into the myocardial tissue and heated saline solution is injected along with radiofrequency power (RF), creating fully transmural lesions. We report the first in-human SERF ablation for VT in Canada. METHODS: Twenty-five patients with ischemic and nonischemic cardiomyopathy, with recurrent monomorphic drug-refractory VT who had failed a prior catheter ablation underwent SERF ablation in 3 different centres in Canada. After a voltage map, the mapping catheter was replaced with the needle-tipped ablation catheter, which was located perpendicular to the myocardium and extended either 6 or 8 mm into the tissue. Sterile saline solution was infused at a flow rate of 10 mL/min and at 60 °C, and 20-50 W RF was used. RESULTS: Baseline left ventricular ejection fraction was 33.3 ± 8.6%, mean age was 69.5 ± 6.4 years; 92% were male. From 43 clinical VTs induced, 42 were ablated and 266 SERF lesions were delivered (10.6 ± 4.9 per patient). Of the 42 treated clinical VTs, 41 VTs (98%) were noninducible and 24 patients (96%) had their VT eliminated. At 6 months' follow-up, 42% of patients were free from VT and there was a 73% reduction in shocks. CONCLUSIONS: SERF ablation is feasible and permits control of symptomatic monomorphic VT in drug-refractory patients with a prior failed ablation.

A new prediction model for ventricular arrhythmias in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia/cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is characterized by ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) and sudden cardiac death (SCD). We aimed to develop a model for individualized prediction of incident VA/SCD in ARVC patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: Five hundred and twenty-eight patients with a definite diagnosis and no history of sustained VAs/SCD at baseline, aged 38.2 ± 15.5 years, 44.7% male, were enrolled from five registries in North America and Europe. Over 4.83 (interquartile range 2.44-9.33) years of follow-up, 146 (27.7%) experienced sustained VA, defined as SCD, aborted SCD, sustained ventricular tachycardia, or appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy. A prediction model estimating annual VA risk was developed using Cox regression with internal validation. Eight potential predictors were pre-specified: age, sex, cardiac syncope in the prior 6 months, non-sustained ventricular tachycardia, number of premature ventricular complexes in 24 h, number of leads with T-wave inversion, and right and left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEFs). All except LVEF were retained in the final model. The model accurately distinguished patients with and without events, with an optimism-corrected C-index of 0.77 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73-0.81] and minimal over-optimism [calibration slope of 0.93 (95% CI 0.92-0.95)]. By decision curve analysis, the clinical benefit of the model was superior to a current consensus-based ICD placement algorithm with a 20.3% reduction of ICD placements with the same proportion of protected patients (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Using the largest cohort of patients with ARVC and no prior VA, a prediction model using readily available clinical parameters was devised to estimate VA risk and guide decisions regarding primary prevention ICDs (www.arvcrisk.com).

Importance of genetic testing in unexplained cardiac arrest.

AIMS: Genetic testing is recommended in specific inherited heart diseases but its role remains unclear and it is not currently recommended in unexplained cardiac arrest (UCA). We sought to assess the yield and clinical utility of genetic testing in UCA using whole-exome sequencing (WES). METHODS AND RESULTS: Survivors of UCA requiring external defibrillation were included from the Cardiac Arrest Survivor with Preserved Ejection fraction Registry. Whole-exome sequencing was performed, followed by assessment of rare variants in previously reported cardiovascular disease genes. A total of 228 UCA survivors (mean age at arrest 39 ± 13 years) were included. The majority were males (66%) and of European ancestry (81%). Following advanced clinical testing at baseline, the likely aetiology of cardiac arrest was determined in 21/228 (9%) cases. Whole-exome sequencing identified a pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variant in 23/228 (10%) of UCA survivors overall, increasing the proportion of 'explained' cases from 9% only following phenotyping to 18% when combining phenotyping with WES. Notably, 13 (57%) of the 23 P/LP variants identified were located in genes associated with cardiomyopathy, in the absence of a diagnosis of cardiomyopathy at the time of arrest. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic testing identifies a disease-causing variant in 10% of apparent UCA survivors. The majority of disease-causing variants was located in cardiomyopathy-associated genes, highlighting the arrhythmogenic potential of such variants in the absence of an overt cardiomyopathy diagnosis. The present study supports the use of genetic testing including assessment of arrhythmia and cardiomyopathy genes in survivors of UCA.

Randomized Ablation-Based Rhythm-Control Versus Rate-Control Trial in Patients With Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation: Results from the RAFT-AF trial.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) frequently coexist and can be challenging to treat. Pharmacologically based rhythm control of AF has not proven to be superior to rate control. Ablation-based rhythm control was compared with rate control to evaluate if clinical outcomes in patients with HF and AF could be improved. METHODS: This was a multicenter, open-label trial with blinded outcome evaluation using a central adjudication committee. Patients with high-burden paroxysmal (>4 episodes in 6 months) or persistent (duration <3 years) AF, New York Heart Association class II to III HF, and elevated NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide) were randomly assigned to ablation-based rhythm control or rate control. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality and all HF events, with a minimum follow-up of 2 years. Secondary outcomes included left ventricular ejection fraction, 6-minute walk test, and NT-proBNP. Quality of life was measured using the Minnesota Living With Heart Failure Questionnaire and the AF Effect on Quality of Life. The primary analysis was time-to-event using Cox proportional hazards modeling. The trial was stopped early because of a determination of apparent futility by the Data Safety Monitoring Committee. RESULTS: From December 1, 2011, to January 20, 2018, 411 patients were randomly assigned to ablation-based rhythm control (n=214) or rate control (n=197). The primary outcome occurred in 50 (23.4%) patients in the ablation-based rhythm-control group and 64 (32.5%) patients in the rate-control group (hazard ratio, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.49-1.03]; P=0.066). Left ventricular ejection fraction increased in the ablation-based group (10.1±1.2% versus 3.8±1.2%, P=0.017), 6-minute walk distance improved (44.9±9.1 m versus 27.5±9.7 m, P=0.025), and NT-proBNP demonstrated a decrease (mean change -77.1% versus -39.2%, P<0.0001). Minnesota Living With Heart Failure Questionnaire demonstrated greater improvement in the ablation-based rhythm-control group (least-squares mean difference of -5.4 [95% CI, -10.5 to -0.3]; P=0.0036), as did the AF Effect on Quality of Life score (least-squares mean difference of 6.2 [95% CI, 1.7-10.7]; P=0.0005). Serious adverse events were observed in 50% of patients in both treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with high-burden AF and HF, there was no statistical difference in all-cause mortality or HF events with ablation-based rhythm control versus rate control; however, there was a nonsignificant trend for improved outcomes with ablation-based rhythm control over rate control. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT01420393.

Atrial Fibrillation and Dementia: A Report From the AF-SCREEN International Collaboration.

Growing evidence suggests a consistent association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and cognitive impairment and dementia that is independent of clinical stroke. This report from the AF-SCREEN International Collaboration summarizes the evidence linking AF to cognitive impairment and dementia. It provides guidance on the investigation and management of dementia in patients with AF on the basis of best available evidence. The document also addresses suspected pathophysiologic mechanisms and identifies knowledge gaps for future research. Whereas AF and dementia share numerous risk factors, the association appears to be independent of these variables. Nevertheless, the evidence remains inconclusive regarding a direct causal effect. Several pathophysiologic mechanisms have been proposed, some of which are potentially amenable to early intervention, including cerebral microinfarction, AF-related cerebral hypoperfusion, inflammation, microhemorrhage, brain atrophy, and systemic atherosclerotic vascular disease. The mitigating role of oral anticoagulation in specific subgroups (eg, low stroke risk, short duration or silent AF, after successful AF ablation, or atrial cardiopathy) and the effect of rhythm versus rate control strategies remain unknown. Likewise, screening for AF (in cognitively normal or cognitively impaired patients) and screening for cognitive impairment in patients with AF are debated. The pathophysiology of dementia and therapeutic strategies to reduce cognitive impairment warrant further investigation in individuals with AF. Cognition should be evaluated in future AF studies and integrated with patient-specific outcome priorities and patient preferences. Further large-scale prospective studies and randomized trials are needed to establish whether AF is a risk factor for cognitive impairment, to investigate strategies to prevent dementia, and to determine whether screening for unknown AF followed by targeted therapy might prevent or reduce cognitive impairment and dementia.

Comparative effectiveness of ventricular tachycardia ablation vs. escalated antiarrhythmic drug therapy by location of myocardial infarction: a sub-study of the VANISH trial.

AIMS: Complexity of the ventricular tachycardia (VT) substrate and the size and thickness of infarction area border zones differ based on location of myocardial infarctions (MIs). These differences may translate into heterogeneity in the effectiveness of treatments. This study aims to examine the influence of infarct location on the effectiveness of VT ablation in comparison with escalated pharmacological therapy in patients with prior MI and antiarrhythmic drug (AAD)-refractory VT. METHODS AND RESULTS: VANISH trial participants were categorized based on the presence or absence of an inferior MI scar. Inverse probability of treatment weighted Cox models were calculated for each subgroup. Of 259 randomized patients (median age 69.8 years, 7.0% women), 135 had an inferior MI and 124 had a non-inferior MI. Among patients with an inferior MI, no statistically significant difference in the composite primary outcome of all-cause mortality, appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) shock, and VT storm was detected between treatment arms [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.80, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.51-1.20]. In contrast, patients with non-inferior MIs had a statistically significant reduction in the incidence of the primary outcome with ablation (aHR 0.48, 95% CI 0.27-0.86). In a sensitivity analysis of anterior MI patients (n = 83), a trend towards a reduction in the primary outcome with ablation was detected (aHR 0.50, 95% CI 0.23-1.09). CONCLUSION: The effectiveness of VT ablation versus escalated AADs varies based on the location of the MI. Patients with MI scars located only in non-inferior regions of the ventricles derive greater benefit from VT ablation in comparison to escalation of AADs in reducing VT-related events.

Effect of Perindopril on Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence and Burden: Results of the Canadian Trial of Atrial Fibrillation (CTAF)-2.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is a risk factor for the development and exacerbation of atrial fibrillation (AF). Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors are a standard-of-care treatment option for patients with hypertension; however, there is conflicting evidence about their effects on AF recurrence. Therefore, our objective was to assess the efficacy of perindopril, compared with placebo, to reduce AF recurrence in patients with hypertension and AF. METHODS: In a multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, patients with hypertension and symptomatic AF were randomly assigned (1:1) to perindopril or placebo based on a stratification factor of antiarrhythmic drug use. Patients with terminated AF were followed up from 30 days after randomization to 7 to 13 months. The primary endpoint was AF recurrence. Secondary endpoints included AF hospitalization, cardioversion, and blood pressure control. Recurrent events, AF burden, and safety endpoints were also investigated. RESULTS: A total of 315 patients were randomly assigned, and 301 patients were included in the modified intent-to-treat analysis (155 vs 146 patients in the perindopril and placebo groups, respectively). The mean follow-up was 336 ± 70 days, and 91.1% of patients were compliant to the treatment medication throughout the study. After adjustment for baseline antiarrhythmic drugs, there was no statistically significant difference in the hazards of AF recurrence (hazard ratio, 1.22; 95% confidence interval, 0.92-1.61), with similar blood pressure. The incidence of secondary endpoints and adverse events also did not differ between treatment arms. CONCLUSIONS: Perindopril does not reduce recurrence or the number of AF episodes in patients with hypertension and AF.

INTRODUCTION: L'hypertension est un facteur de risque de l'apparition et de l'exacerbation de la fibrillation auriculaire (FA). Les inhibiteurs de l'enzyme de conversion de l'angiotensine représentent une option de traitement qui répond à la norme de soins à prescrire aux patients hypertendus. Toutefois, les données probantes concernant leurs répercussions sur la récurrence de la FA sont contradictoires. Par conséquent, notre objectif était de comparer l'efficacité du périndopril au placebo dans la réduction de la récurrence de la FA chez les patients hypertendus atteints de FA. MÉTHODES: Dans un essai multicentrique en double aveugle contre placebo, nous avons réparti de façon aléatoire (1:1) les patients hypertendus atteints de FA symptomatique au périndopril ou au placebo en fonction d'un facteur de stratification de l'utilisation de médicaments antiarythmiques. Nous avons suivi les patients, dont la FA a cessé, du 30e jour après la répartition aléatoire jusqu'au 7e au 13e mois. Le critère d'évaluation principal était la récurrence de la FA. Les critères secondaires étaient les suivants : l'hospitalisation en raison de la FA, la cardioversion et la maîtrise de la pression artérielle. Nous avons aussi examiné les critères suivants : événements récurrents, fardeau de la FA et innocuité. RÉSULTATS: Parmi les 315 patients répartis de façon aléatoire, nous avons sélectionné 301 patients pour l'analyse en intention de traiter modifiée (155 vs 146 patients, et ce respectivement, dans le groupe du périndopril et le groupe du placebo). Le suivi moyen a été de 336 ± 70 jours, et 91,1 % de patients ont suivi fidèlement le traitement médicamenteux durant toute la durée de l'étude. Après l'ajustement initial des médicaments antiarythmiques, il n'y a eu aucune différence significative sur le plan statistique dans les risques de récurrence de la FA (ratio d'incidence approché 1,22 [intervalle de confiance à 95 %, 0,92-1,61]) en présence d'une pression artérielle similaire. La fréquence des critères secondaires et des événements indésirables n'a également pas différé entre les bras de traitement. CONCLUSIONS: Le périndopril ne contribue pas à la réduction de la récurrence ou du nombre d'épisodes de FA chez les patients hypertendus atteints de FA.