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BACKGROUND: We investigated the potential impacts of child poverty (CP) reduction scenarios on population health and health inequalities in England between 2024 and 2033. METHODS: We combined aggregate local authority-level data with published and newly created estimates on the association between CP and the rate per 100 000 of infant mortality, children (aged <16) looked after, child (aged <16) hospitalisations for nutritional anaemia and child (aged <16) all-cause emergency hospital admissions. We modelled relative, absolute (per 100 000) and total (per total population) annual changes for these outcomes under three CP reduction scenarios between 2024 and 2033-low-ambition (15% reduction), medium-ambition (25% reduction) and high-ambition (35% reduction)-compared with a baseline CP scenario (15% increase). Annual changes were aggregated between 2024 and 2033 at national, regional and deprivation (IMD tertiles) levels to investigate inequalities. RESULTS: All CP reduction scenarios would result in substantial improvements to child health. Meeting the high-ambition reduction would decrease total cases of infant mortality (293; 95% CI 118 to 461), children looked after (4696; 95% CI 1987 to 7593), nutritional anaemia (458, 95% CI 336 to 574) and emergency admissions (32 650; 95% CI 4022 to 61 126) between 2024 and 2033. Northern regions (eg, North East) exhibited the greatest relative and absolute benefit. The most deprived tertile would experience the largest relative, absolute and total benefit; under high-ambition reduction, total infant mortality cases were predicted to fall by 126 (95% CI 51 to 199) in the most deprived tertile compared with 71 (95% CI 29 to 112) in the least between 2024 and 2033. CONCLUSIONS: Achieving reductions in CP could substantially improve child health and reduce health inequalities in England.
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OBJECTIVE: To quantify the ability of two new comorbidity indices to adjust for confounding, by benchmarking a target trial emulation against the randomized controlled trial result. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Observational study including 18 316 men from Prostate Cancer data Base Sweden 5.0, diagnosed with prostate cancer between 2008 and 2019 and treated with primary radical prostatectomy (n=14 379) or radiotherapy (n=3937). The effect on adjusted risk of death from any cause after adjustment for comorbidity by use of two new comorbidity indices, the Multidimensional Diagnosis-based Comorbidity Index (MDCI) and the Drug Comorbidity Index (DCI), were compared to adjustment for the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). RESULTS: Risk of death was higher after radiotherapy than radical prostatectomy (HR=1.94; 95% CI: 1.70 - 2.21). The difference decreased when adjusting for age, cancer characteristics, and CCI (HR=1.32, 95% CI: 1.06 - 1.66). Adjustment for the two new comorbidity indices further attenuated the difference (HR 1.14, 95% CI 0.91 - 1.44). Emulation of a hypothetical pragmatic trial where also older men with any type of baseline comorbidity were included, largely confirmed these results (HR 1.10; 95% CI 0.95 - 1.26). CONCLUSIONS: Adjustment for comorbidity using two new indices provided comparable risk of death from any cause in line with results of a randomized controlled trial. Similar results were seen in a broader study population, more representative of clinical practice.
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Importance: Stroke secondary prevention trials have disproportionately enrolled participants with mild or no disability. The impact of this bias remains unclear. Objective: To investigate the association between poststroke disability and the rate of recurrent stroke during long-term follow up. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study is a post hoc analysis of the Prevention Regimen For Effectively Avoiding Second Strokes (PRoFESS) and Insulin Resistance Intervention After Stroke (IRIS) secondary prevention clinical trial datasets. PRoFESS enrolled patients from 2003 to 2008, and IRIS enrolled patients from 2005 to 2015. Data were analyzed from September 23, 2023, to May 16, 2024. Exposure: The exposure was poststroke functional status at study baseline, defined as modified Rankin Scale (mRS; range, 0-5; higher score indicates more disability) score of 0 vs 1 to 2 vs 3 or greater. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was recurrent stroke. The secondary outcome was major cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, new or worsening heart failure, or vascular death. Results: A total of 20â¯183 PRoFESS participants (mean [SD] age, 66.1 [8.5] years; 12â¯931 [64.1%] male) and 3265 IRIS participants (mean [SD] age, 62.7 [10.6] years; 2151 [65.9%] male) were included. The median (IQR) follow-up was 2.4 (1.9-3.0) years in PRoFESS and 4.7 (3.2-5.0) years in IRIS. In PRoFESS, the recurrent stroke rate was 7.2%, among patients with an mRS of 0, 8.7% among patients with an mRS of 1 or 2, and 10.6% among patients with an mRS of 3 or greater (χ22 = 27.1; P < .001); in IRIS the recurrent stroke rate was 6.4% among patients with an mRS of 0, 9.0% among patients with an mRS of 1 or 2, and 11.7% among patients with an mRS of 3 or greater (χ22 = 11.1; P < .001). The MACE rate was 10.1% among patients with an mRS of 0, 12.2% among patients with an mRS of 1 or 2, and 17.2% among patients with an mRS of 3 or greater (χ22 = 103.4; P < .001) in PRoFESS and 10.9% among patients with an mRS of 0, 13.3% among patients with an mRS of 1 or 2, and 15.3% among patients with an mRS of 3 or greater (χ22 = 5.8; P = .06) in IRIS. Compared with patients with an mRS of 0, patients with an mRS of 3 or greater had increased hazard for recurrent stroke in PRoFESS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.63; 95% CI, 1.38-1.92; P < .001) and in IRIS (HR, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.28-2.86; P = .002). There was also increased hazard for MACE in PRoFESS (HR, 1.90; 95% CI, 1.66-2.18; P < .001) and in IRIS (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.03-2.03; P = .03). Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study found that higher baseline poststroke disability was associated with increased rates of recurrent stroke and MACE. Including more patients with greater baseline disability in stroke prevention trials may improve the statistical power and generalizability of these studies.
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Recidiva , Prevenção Secundária , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Prevenção Secundária/métodos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos de Coortes , Pessoas com Deficiência/estatística & dados numéricos , Avaliação da DeficiênciaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Lung function is a key outcome used in the evaluation of disease progression in cystic fibrosis. The variability of individual lung function measurements over time (within-individual variability) has been shown to predict subsequent lung function changes. Nevertheless, the association between within-individual lung function variability and demographic and genetic covariates has not been quantified. METHODS: We performed a longitudinal analysis of data from a cohort of 7099 adults with cystic fibrosis (between 18 and 49 years old) from the UK cystic fibrosis registry, containing annual review data between 1996 and 2020. A mixed-effects location-scale model is used to quantify mean FEV1 (forced expiratory volume in 1 s) trajectories and FEV1 within-individual variability as a function of sex, age at annual review, diagnosis after first year of life, homozygous F508 genotype and birth cohort. RESULTS: Mean FEV1 decreased with age and lung function variability showed a near-quadratic trend by age. Males showed higher FEV1 mean and variability than females across the whole age range. Earlier diagnosis and homozygous F508 genotype were also associated with higher FEV1 mean and variability. Individuals who died during follow-up showed on average higher lung function variability than those who survived. CONCLUSIONS: Key variables known to be linked with mean lung function in cystic fibrosis are also associated with an individual's lung function variability. This work opens new avenues to understand the role played by lung function variability in disease progression and its utility in predicting key outcomes such as mortality.
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BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Few studies have examined trends and disparities in long-term outcome after stroke in a representative US population. We used a population-based stroke study in the Greater Cincinnati Northern Kentucky region to examine trends and racial disparities in poststroke 5-year mortality. METHODS: All patients with acute ischemic strokes (AISs) and intracerebral hemorrhages (ICHs) among residents ≥20 years old were ascertained using ICD codes and physician-adjudicated using a consistent case definition during 5 periods: July 1993-June 1994 and calendar years 1999, 2005, 2010, and 2015. Race was obtained from the medical record; only those identified as White or Black were included. Premorbid functional status was assessed using the modified Rankin Scale, with a score of 0-1 being considered "good." Mortality was assessed with the National Death Index. Trends and racial disparities for each subtype were analyzed with logistic regression. RESULTS: We identified 8,428 AIS cases (19.3% Black, 56.3% female, median age 72) and 1,501 ICH cases (23.5% Black, 54.8% female, median age 72). Among patients with AIS, 5-year mortality improved after adjustment for age, race, and sex (53% in 1993/94 to 48.3% in 2015, overall effect of study year p = 0.009). The absolute decline in 5-year mortality in patients with AIS was larger than what would be expected in the general population (5.1% vs 2.8%). Black individuals were at a higher risk of death after AIS (odds ratio [OR] 1.23, 95% CI 1.08-1.39) even after adjustment for age and sex, and this effect was consistent across study years. When premorbid functional status and comorbidities were included in the model, the primary effect of Black race was attenuated but race interacted with sex and premorbid functional status. Among male patients with a good baseline functional status, Black race remained associated with 5-year mortality (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.1-1.7, p = 0.002). There were no changes in 5-year mortality after ICH over time (64.4% in 1993/94 to 69.2% in 2015, overall effect of study year p = 0.32). DISCUSSION: Long-term survival improved after AIS but not after ICH. Black individuals, particularly Black male patients with good premorbid function, have a higher mortality after AIS, and this disparity did not change over time.
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Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , População Branca , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , População Branca/estatística & dados numéricos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/mortalidade , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/etnologia , Negro ou Afro-Americano , Hemorragia Cerebral/mortalidade , Hemorragia Cerebral/etnologia , Kentucky/epidemiologia , AVC Isquêmico/mortalidade , AVC Isquêmico/etnologia , Adulto , Ohio/epidemiologiaRESUMO
The scission and homologation of CO is a fundamental process in the Fischer-Tropsch reaction. However, given the heterogeneous nature of the catalyst and forcing reaction conditions, it is difficult to determine the intermediates of this reaction. Here we report detailed mechanistic insight into the scission/homologation of CO by two-coordinate iron terphenyl complexes. Mechanistic investigations, conducted using in situ monitoring and reaction sampling techniques (IR, NMR, EPR and Mössbauer spectroscopy) and structural characterisation of isolable species, identify a number of proposed intermediates. Crystallographic and IR spectroscopic data reveal a series of migratory insertion reactions from 1Mes to 4Mes. Further studies past the formation of 4Mes suggest that ketene complexes are formed en route to squaraine 2Mes and iron carboxylate 3Mes, with a number of ketene containing structures being isolated, in addition to the formation of unbound, protonated ketene (8). The synthetic and mechanistic studies are supported by DFT calculations.
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Importance: It is uncertain to what extent watchful waiting (WW) in men with nonmetastatic prostate cancer (PCa) and a life expectancy of less than 10 years is associated with adverse consequences. Objective: To report transitions to androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC), death from PCa, or death from other causes in men treated with a WW strategy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This nationwide, population-based cohort study included men with nonmetastatic PCa diagnosed since 2007 and registered in the National Prostate Cancer Register of Sweden with WW as the primary treatment strategy and with life expectancy less than 10 years. Life expectancy was calculated based on age, the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and a drug comorbidity index. Observed state transition models complemented observed data to extend follow-up to more than 20 years. Analyses were performed between 2022 and 2023. Exposure: Nonmetastatic PCa. Main Outcomes and Measures: Transitions to ADT, CRPC, death from PCa, and death from other causes were measured using state transition modeling. Results: The sample included 5234 men (median [IQR] age at diagnosis, 81 [79-84] years). After 5 years, 954 men with low-risk PCa (66.2%) and 740 with high-risk PCa (36.1%) were still alive and not receiving ADT. At 10 years, the corresponding proportions were 25.5% (n = 367) and 10.4% (n = 213), respectively. After 10 years, 59 men with low-risk PCa (4.1%) and 221 with high-risk PCa (10.8%) had transitioned to CRPC. Ten years after diagnosis, 1330 deaths in the low-risk group (92.3%) and 1724 in the high-risk group (84.1%) were from causes other than PCa. Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that the WW management strategy is appropriate for minimizing adverse consequences of PCa in men with a baseline life expectancy of less than 10 years.
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Antagonistas de Androgênios , Neoplasias da Próstata , Conduta Expectante , Humanos , Masculino , Conduta Expectante/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Neoplasias da Próstata/terapia , Neoplasias da Próstata/mortalidade , Neoplasias da Próstata/patologia , Suécia/epidemiologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Antagonistas de Androgênios/uso terapêutico , Estudos de Coortes , Expectativa de Vida , Sistema de Registros , Neoplasias de Próstata Resistentes à Castração/terapia , Neoplasias de Próstata Resistentes à Castração/mortalidade , Neoplasias de Próstata Resistentes à Castração/patologia , Neoplasias de Próstata Resistentes à Castração/tratamento farmacológico , Progressão da DoençaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Housing insecurity is an escalating problem in the UK but there is limited evidence about its health impacts. Using nationally representative panel data and causally focussed methods, we examined the effect of insecure housing on mental health, sleep and blood pressure, during a period of government austerity. METHODS: We used longitudinal survey data (2009-2019, n = 11,164 individuals with annual data) from the UK Household Longitudinal Study. Outcomes were probable common mental disorder (GHQ-12), sleep disturbance due to worry, and new diagnoses of hypertension. The primary exposure was housing payment problems in the past year. Using doubly robust marginal structural models with inverse probability of treatment weights, we estimated absolute and relative health effects of housing payment problems, and population attributable fractions. In stratified analyses we assessed potentially heterogeneous impacts across the population, and potential modifying effects of government austerity measures. A negative control analysis was conducted to detect bias due to unmeasured confounding. RESULTS: Housing payment problems were associated with a 2.5 percentage point increased risk of experiencing a common mental disorder (95% CI 1.1%, 3.8%) and 2.0% increased risk of sleep disturbance (95% CI 0.7%, 3.3%). Estimates were larger for renters, younger people, less educated, households with children, and people living in areas most affected by austerity-related cuts to housing support services. We did not find consistent evidence for an association with hypertension (risk difference = 0.4%; 95% CI -0.1%, 0.9%). The negative control analysis was not indicative of unmeasured confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Housing payment problems were associated with worse mental health and sleep disturbance in a large UK sample. Households at risk of falling into rent or mortgage arrears need more support, especially in areas where housing support services have been diminished. Substantial investment is urgently needed to improve supply of social and affordable housing.
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Habitação , Hipertensão , Transtornos do Sono-Vigília , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Hipertensão/psicologia , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Habitação/estatística & dados numéricos , Habitação/economia , Adulto , Transtornos do Sono-Vigília/epidemiologia , Transtornos do Sono-Vigília/psicologia , Idoso , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Saúde Mental/estatística & dados numéricos , AdolescenteRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Poverty is associated with greater stroke incidence. The relationship between poverty and stroke recurrence is less clear. METHODS: In this population-based study, incident strokes within the Greater Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky region were ascertained during the 2015 study period and followed up for recurrence until December 31, 2018. The primary exposure was neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES), defined by the percentage of households below the federal poverty line in each census tract in 4 categories (≤5%, >5%-10%, >10%-25%, >25%). Poisson regression models provided recurrence rate estimates per 100,000 residents using population data from the 2015 5-year American Community Survey, adjusting for age, sex, and race. In a secondary analysis, Cox models allowed for the inclusion of vascular risk factors in the assessment of recurrence risk by nSES among those with incident stroke. RESULTS: Of 2,125 patients with incident stroke, 245 had a recurrent stroke during the study period. Poorer nSES was associated with increased stroke recurrence, with rates of 12.5, 17.5, 25.4, and 29.9 per 100,000 in census tracts with ≤5%, >5%-10%, >10%-25%, and >25% below the poverty line, respectively (p < 0.01). The relative risk (95% CI) for recurrent stroke among Black vs White individuals was 2.54 (1.91-3.37) before adjusting for nSES, and 2.00 (1.47-2.74) after adjusting for nSES, a 35.1% decrease. In the secondary analysis, poorer nSES (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.10-2.76 for lowest vs highest category) and Black race (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.01-1.70) were both independently associated with recurrence risk, though neither retained significance after full adjustment. Age, diabetes, and left ventricular hypertrophy were associated with increased recurrence risk in fully adjusted models. DISCUSSION: Residents of poorer neighborhoods had a dose-dependent increase in stroke recurrence risk, and neighborhood poverty accounted for approximately one-third of the excess risk among Black individuals. These results highlight the importance of poverty, race, and the intersection of the 2 as potent drivers of stroke recurrence.
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Pobreza , Recidiva , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pobreza/estatística & dados numéricos , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/economia , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Kentucky/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Classe Social , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Incidência , Ohio/epidemiologiaRESUMO
This is the final of four papers updating standards for the care of people with CF. That this paper "Planning a longer life" was considered necessary, highlights how much CF care has progressed over the past decade. Several factors underpin this progress, notably increased numbers of people with CF with access to CFTR modulator therapy. As the landscape for CF changes, so do the hopes and aspirations of people with CF and their families. This paper reflects the need to consider people with CF not as a "problem" to be solved, but as a success, a potential and a voice to be heard. People with CF and the wider CF community have driven this approach, reflecting many of the topics in this paper. This exercise involved wide stakeholder engagement. People with CF are keen to contribute to research priorities and be involved in all stages of research. People with CF want healthcare professionals to respect them as individuals and consider the impact of our actions on the world around us. Navigating life presents challenges to all, but for people with CF these challenges are heightened and complex. In this paper we highlight the concerns and life moments that impact people with CF, and events that the CF team should aim to support, including the challenges around having a family. People with CF and their care teams must embrace the updated standards outlined in these four papers to enjoy the full potential for a healthier life.
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Fibrose Cística , Fibrose Cística/terapia , Humanos , Padrão de Cuidado , Qualidade de VidaRESUMO
Background: Multiple studies from countries with relatively lower PM 2.5 level demonstrated that acute and chronic exposure even at lower than recommended level, e.g., 9 µg/m 3 in the US increased the risk of cardiovascular (CV) events. However, limited studies using individual level data exist from countries with a wider range of PM levels to illustrate shape of the exposure-response curve throughout the range including > 20 µg/m 3 PM 2·5 concentrations. Taiwan with its policies reduced PM 2.5 over time provide opportunities to illustrate the dose response curves and how reductions of PM 2.5 over time correlated with CV events incidence in a nationwide sample. Methods: Using data from the 2009-2019 Taiwan National Health Insurance Database linked to nationwide PM2.5 data. We examined the shape and magnitude of the exposure-response curve between seasonal average PM 2·5 level and CV events-related hospitalizations among older adults at high-risk for CV events. We used history-adjusted marginal structural models including potential confounding by individual demographic factors, baseline comorbidities, and health service measures. To quantify the risk below and above 20 µg/m 3 we conducted stratified Cox regression. We also plotted PM 2.5 and CV events from 2009-2019 as well as average temperature as a comparison. Findings: Using the PM 2.5 concentration <15 µg/m 3 (Taiwan regulatory standard) as a reference, the seasonal average PM 2.5 concentration (15-23.5µg/m 3 and > 23.5 µg/m 3 ) were associated with hazard ration of 1.13 (95%CI 1.09-1.18) and 1.19 (95%CI 1.14-1.24), 1.07 (95%CI 1.03-1.11) and 1.14 (95%CI 1.10-1.18), 1.22 (95%CI 1.08-1.38) and 1.31 (95%CI 1.16-1.48), 1.04 (95%CI 0.98-1.10) and 1.10 (95%CI 1.04-1.16) respectively for HF, IS/TIA,PE/DVT and MI/ACS. A nonlinear relationship between PM 2·5 and CV events outcomes was observed at PM 2·5 levels above 20 µg/m 3 . Interpretation: A nonlinear exposure-response relationship between PM2·5 concentration and the incidence of cardiovascular events exists when PM2.5 is higher than the levels recommended by WHO Air Quality Guidelines. Further lowering PM2·5 levels beyond current regulatory standards may effectively reduce the incidence of cardiovascular events, particularly HF and DVT, and can lead to tangible health benefits in high-risk elderly population.
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OBJECTIVE: To compare clinical outcomes following steroid injections using the anterior and posterior approaches. DESIGN: Systematic review with meta-analysis. SETTING: Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Center Register of Controlled Trials were searched for randomized control trials (RCTs) and prospective comparative studies. PATIENTS: Patients with adhesive capsulitis. INTERVENTIONS: Glenohumeral steroid injections using either anterior or posterior approach. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Pain visual analog scale (VAS) and shoulder range of motion (ROM) at 12 weeks, accuracy, and adverse events. Standardized mean difference (SMD) for VAS and weighted mean difference (WMD) for ROMs. RESULTS: We identified 6 RCTs and one prospective comparative study with a total of 468 patients. While there was no difference in pain VAS at 12 weeks between the 2 approaches (SMD, -0.86; 95% CI, -1.76 to 0.04), the anterior approach resulted in greater improvements in external rotation (WMD, 8.08; 95% CI, 0.79-15.38) and abduction (WMD, 6.76; 95% CI, 3.05-10.48) compared with the posterior approach. Subgroup analysis with RCTs that utilized steroid injection with hydrodilatation for both approaches demonstrated greater reduction in pain VAS at 12 weeks with the anterior approach (SMD, -0.52; 95% CI, -0.98 to -0.07). Overall, procedures were well tolerated without major complications. CONCLUSIONS: While pain reduction is similar, the anterior approach may be more beneficial in restoring shoulder external rotation and abduction compared with the posterior approach at 12 weeks. Steroid injection combined with hydrodilatation may further improve pain control when performed with the anterior approach at 12 weeks.
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Soil organic carbon (SOC) is a soil health indicator and understanding dynamics changing SOC stocks will help achieving net zero goals. Here we present four datasets featuring 11,750 data points covering co-located aboveground and below-ground metrics for exploring ecosystem SOC dynamics. Five sites across England with an established land use contrast, grassland and woodland next to each other, were rigorously sampled for aboveground (n = 109), surface (n = 33 soil water release curves), topsoil, and subsoil metrics. Commonly measured soil metrics were analysed in five soil increments for 0-1 metre (n = 4550). Less commonly measured soil metrics which were assumed to change across the soil profile were measured on a subset of samples only (n = 3762). Additionally, we developed a simple method for soil organic matter fractionation using density fractionation which is part of the less common metrics. Finally, soil metrics which may impact SOC dynamics, but with less confidence as to their importance across the soil profile were only measured on topsoil (~5-15 cm = mineral soil) and subsoil (below 50 cm) samples (n = 2567).
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Carbono , Pradaria , Solo , Solo/química , Carbono/análise , Inglaterra , Florestas , EcossistemaRESUMO
Reactions of singlet oxygen are numerous, some of which are desired but many are unwanted. Therefore, the ability to correctly predict and interpret this reactivity for complex molecular systems is essential to our understanding of singlet oxygen reactions. DFT is widely used for predicting many reactions but is not suited to degenerate electronic structures; application to isolated singlet oxygen often uses the spin-unrestricted formalism, which results in severe spin contamination. In this work, we demonstrate that spin-restricted DFT can correctly describe the reaction pathway for four prototypical singlet oxygen reactions. By careful benchmarking with XMS-CASPT2, we show that, from the first transition state onward, the degeneracy of the 1Δg state is broken due to differing interactions of the (degenerate) π* orbitals with the organic substrate; this result is well replicated with DFT. These findings demonstrate the utility of using spin-restricted DFT to explore reactions, opening the way to confidently use this computationally efficient method for molecular systems of medium to large organic molecules.
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This review aimed to systematically quantify the differences in Metabolic Syndrome (MetS) prevalence across various ethnic groups in high-income countries by sex, and to evaluate the overall prevalence trends from 1996 to 2022. We conducted a systematic literature review using MEDLINE, Web of Science Core Collection, CINAHL, and the Cochrane Library, focusing on studies about MetS prevalence among ethnic groups in high-income countries. We pooled 23 studies that used NCEP-ATP III criteria and included 147,756 healthy participants aged 18 and above. We calculated pooled prevalence estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) using both fixed-effect and random-effect intercept logistic regression models. Data were analysed for 3 periods: 1996-2005, 2006-2009, and 2010-2021. The pooled prevalence of MetS in high-income countries, based on the NCEP-ATP III criteria, was 27.4% over the studied period, showing an increase from 24.2% in 1996-2005 to 31.9% in 2010-2021, with men and women having similar rates. When stratified by ethnicity and sex, ethnic minority women experienced the highest prevalence at 31.7%, while ethnic majority women had the lowest at 22.7%. Notably, MetS was more prevalent in ethnic minority women than men. Among ethnic minorities, women had a higher prevalence of MetS than men, and the difference was highest in Asians (about 15 percentage points). Among women, the prevalence of MetS was highest in Asians (41.2%) and lowest in Blacks/Africans (26.7%). Among men, it was highest in indigenous minority groups (34.3%) and lowest among in Blacks/Africans (19.8%). MetS is increasing at an alarming rate in high-income countries, particularly among ethnic minority women. The burden of MetS could be effectively reduced by tailoring interventions according to ethnic variations and risk profiles.
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Países Desenvolvidos , Síndrome Metabólica , Humanos , Síndrome Metabólica/epidemiologia , Síndrome Metabólica/etnologia , Países Desenvolvidos/estatística & dados numéricos , Prevalência , Feminino , Etnicidade/estatística & dados numéricos , MasculinoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To investigate long-term disease trajectories among men with high-risk localized or locally advanced prostate cancer (HRLPC) treated with radical radiotherapy (RT) or radical prostatectomy (RP). MATERIAL AND METHODS: Men diagnosed with HRLPC in 2006-2020, who received primary RT or RP, were identified from the Prostate Cancer data Base Sweden (PCBaSe) 5.0. Follow-up ended on 30 June 2021. Treatment trajectories and risk of death from prostate cancer (PCa) or other causes were assessed by competing risk analyses using cumulative incidence for each event. RESULTS: In total, 8317 men received RT and 4923 men underwent RP. The median (interquartile range) follow-up was 6.2 (3.6-9.5) years. After RT, the 10-year risk of PCa-related death was 0.13 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.12-0.14) and the risk of death from all causes was 0.32 (95% CI 0.31-0.34). After RP, the 10-year risk of PCa-related death was 0.09 (95% CI 0.08-0.10) and the risk of death from all causes was 0.19 (95% CI 0.18-0.21). The 10-year risks of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) as secondary treatment were 0.42 (95% CI 0.41-0.44) and 0.21 (95% CI 0.20-0.23) after RT and RP, respectively. Among men who received ADT as secondary treatment, the risk of PCa-related death at 10 years after initiation of ADT was 0.33 (95% CI 030-0.36) after RT and 0.27 (95% CI 0.24-0.30) after RP. CONCLUSION: Approximately one in 10 men with HRLPC who received primary RT or RP had died from PCa 10 years after diagnosis. Approximately one in three men who received secondary ADT, an indication of PCa progression, died from PCa 10 years after the start of ADT. Early identification and aggressive treatment of men with high risk of progression after radical treatment are warranted.
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Prostatectomia , Neoplasias da Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Neoplasias da Próstata/terapia , Neoplasias da Próstata/mortalidade , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Suécia/epidemiologia , Progressão da DoençaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between ambient heat and all-cause and cause-specific emergency department (ED) visits and acute hospitalizations among Medicare beneficiaries in the conterminous United States. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Conterminous US from 2008 and 2019. PARTICIPANTS: 2% random sample of all Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries eligible for Parts A, B, and D. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: All-cause and cause-specific (cardiovascular, renal, and heat-related) ED visits and unplanned hospitalizations were identified using primary ICD-9 or ICD-10 diagnosis codes. We measured the association between ambient temperature - defined as daily mean temperature percentile of summer (June through September) - and the outcomes. Hazard ratios and their associated 95% confidence intervals were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusting for individual level demographics, comorbidities, healthcare utilization factors and zip-code level social factors. RESULTS: Among 809,636 Medicare beneficiaries (58% female, 81% non-Hispanic White, 24% <65), older beneficiaries (aged ≥65) exposed to >95th percentile temperature had a 64% elevated adjusted risk of heat-related ED visits (HR [95% CI], 1.64 [1.46,1.85]) and a 4% higher risk of all-cause acute hospitalization (1.04 [1.01,1.06]) relative to <25th temperature percentile. Younger beneficiaries (aged <65) showed increased risk of heat-related ED visits (2.69 [2.23,3.23]) and all-cause ED visits (1.03 [1.01,1.05]). The associations with heat related events were stronger in males and individuals dually eligible for Medicare and Medicaid. No significant differences were observed by climatic region. We observed no significant relationship between temperature percentile and risk of CV-related ED visits or renal-related ED visits. CONCLUSIONS: Among Medicare beneficiaries from 2008 to 2019, exposure to daily mean temperature ≥ 95th percentile was associated with increased risk of heat-related ED visits, with stronger associations seen among beneficiaries <65, males, and patients with low socioeconomic position. Further longitudinal studies are needed to understand the impact of heat duration, intensity, and frequency on cause-specific hospitalization outcomes.