A cost-effectiveness analysis of adding a human papillomavirus vaccine to the Australian National Cervical Cancer Screening Program.

BACKGROUND: The cost-effectiveness of adding a human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine to the Australian National Cervical Screening Program compared to screening alone was examined. METHODS: A Markov model of the natural history of HPV infection that incorporates screening and vaccination was developed. A vaccine that prevents 100% of HPV 16/18-associated disease, with a lifetime duration of efficacy and 80% coverage offered through a school program to girls aged 12 years, in conjunction with current screening was compared with screening alone using cost (in Australian dollars) per life-year (LY) saved and quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) saved. Sensitivity analyses included determining the cost-effectiveness of offering a catch-up vaccination program to 14-26-year-olds and accounting for the benefits of herd immunity. RESULTS: Vaccination with screening compared with screening alone was associated with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $51 103 per LY and $18 735 per QALY, assuming a cost per vaccine dose of $115. Results were sensitive to assumptions about the duration of vaccine efficacy, including the need for a booster ($68 158 per LY and $24 988 per QALY) to produce lifetime immunity. Accounting for herd immunity resulted in a more attractive ICER ($36 343 per LY and $13 316 per QALY) for girls only. The cost per LY of vaccinating boys and girls was $92 052 and the cost per QALY was $33 644. The cost per LY of implementing a catch-up vaccination program ranged from $45 652 ($16 727 per QALY) for extending vaccination to 14-year-olds to $78 702 ($34 536 per QALY) for 26-year-olds. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that adding an HPV vaccine to Australia's current screening regimen is a potentially cost-effective way to reduce cervical cancer and the clinical interventions that are currently associated with its prevention via screening alone.

Decline in cervical cancer incidence and mortality in New South Wales in relation to control activities (Australia).

BACKGROUND: To examine time trends in cervical cancer incidence and mortality in NSW women aged yen20 years in relation to important health service initiatives and programs. METHODS: Data on cervical cancer incidence and mortality were obtained from the NSW Central Cancer Registry for 1972-2001, and corresponding annual populations obtained from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Direct age-standardised rates in the yen20 year population were calculated using the 2001 NSW census population as standard. Proportional reductions in incidence and mortality since 1972-1974 were also calculated and related to key health service factors and to published NSW 5-year cervical cancer relative survival for similar periods. RESULTS: Declines in cervical cancer incidence (-10%) and mortality (-20%), and increased degree-of-spread specific survival following the introduction of universal health care in 1975 suggest effects of greater access to Pap screening, earlier access to diagnosis and treatment services, and improved effectiveness of treatment. Incidence plateaued during the 1980s, but mortality fell further (-7%) due to an increased proportion of localised cancers (without change to degree-of-spread specific survival). The 1980s mortality reduction was a consequence of earlier diagnosis and/or secondary prevention, not improved treatment effectiveness or reduced incidence. A marked and sustained incidence decline to 2001 (-35%) occurred after the introduction of the NSW Cervical Screening Program in 1992. This was followed 3 years later by a sustained mortality decline (-20%). During the 1990s survival across all degrees of spread remained unchanged and the mortality reduction was due entirely to reduction in incidence. CONCLUSIONS: The substantial reduction of cervical cancer incidence and mortality in NSW over the last 3 decades is associated with important health service interventions that relate to control of cervical cancer, particularly the implementation of a population-based organised cervical screening program.

How much does a reminder letter increase cervical screening among under-screened women in NSW?

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate a direct mail-out campaign to increase Pap screening rates in women who have not had a test in 48 months. METHODS: Ninety thousand under-screened women were randomised to be mailed a 48-month reminder letter to have a Pap test (n=60,000), or not to be mailed a letter (n=30,000). Differences in Pap test rates were assessed by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, by chi2 tests of significance between Pap test rates in letter versus no-letter groups, and by proportional hazards regression modelling of predictors of a Pap test with letter versus no-letter as the main study variable. T-tests were conducted on mean time to Pap test to assess whether time to Pap test was significantly different between the intervention and control groups. RESULTS: After 90 days following each mail-out, Pap test rates in the letter group were significantly higher than in the non-letter group, by approximately two percentage points. After controlling for potential confounders, the hazard ratio of a Pap test within 90 days of a mail-out in the letter group was 1.5 compared with 1.0 in the no-letter group. Hazard ratios of having a Pap test within 90 days decreased significantly with time since last Pap test (p<0.0001); were significantly higher than 1.0 for most non-metropolitan areas of NSW compared with metropolitan areas; and increased significantly with age (p<0.0001). Pap test hazard ratios were not associated with socio-economic status of area of residence, but the hazard ratio was significantly higher than 1.0 if the reminder letter was sent after the Christmas/New Year break. No significant differences in mean time to Pap test were found between the letter and no-letter groups. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Being sent a reminder letter is associated with higher Pap testing rates in under-screened women.

Cervical cancer screening in a Vietnamese nominal cohort.

BACKGROUND: In New South Wales (NSW) information on migrant status is not collected in routinely recorded cervical screening data, yet some migrant groups, particularly Vietnamese-born women, have a higher incidence of cervical cancer and, purportedly, lower cervical screening rates than Australian-born women. To investigate this, screening rates in a cohort of women with Vietnamese surnames were estimated and compared with survey data. METHODS: A cohort of women with common Vietnamese surnames was extracted from the NSW electoral roll and matched over three periods with data held on the NSW Pap Test Register (PTR), and estimates of cervical screening in the cohort derived. Screening rates for each of the three periods were pro-rated to biennial rates, and time-related changes compared. Screening rates in the cohort were also compared to those in Vietnamese migrant respondents to a population-based health interview survey. RESULTS: Estimated biennial screening rates in the overall Vietnamese nominal cohort of women aged 20-69 years were significantly and substantially lower than those for NSW overall, by 10-12 percentage points. Screening rates in the Vietnamese cohort were found to increase over the study period, from 44% for 1997/98 to 47% for 1998/99. While the biennial screening rate for 1998 in the nominal cohort was 19 percentage points lower than the self-reported surveyed screening rate of 63%, the relative screening ratios between Vietnamese and all NSW women were similar for both data sources. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates the feasibility of estimating and monitoring cervical screening participation in minority groups with distinctive names using a Pap Test Register and information from a population register.