Association of BKV viremia and nephropathy with adverse alloimmune outcomes in kidney transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Immunosuppression reduction for BK polyoma virus (BKV) must be balanced against risk of adverse alloimmune outcomes. We sought to characterize risk of alloimmune events after BKV within context of HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch (mMM) risk score. METHODS: This single-center study evaluated 460 kidney transplant patients on tacrolimus-mycophenolate-prednisone from 2010-2021. BKV status was classified at 6-months post-transplant as "BKV" or "no BKV" in landmark analysis. Primary outcome was T-cell mediated rejection (TCMR). Secondary outcomes included all-cause graft failure (ACGF), death-censored graft failure (DCGF), de novo donor specific antibody (dnDSA), and antibody-mediated rejection (ABMR). Predictors of outcomes were assessed in Cox proportional hazards models including BKV status and alloimmune risk defined by recipient age and molecular mismatch (RAMM) groups. RESULTS: At 6-months post-transplant, 72 patients had BKV and 388 had no BKV. TCMR occurred in 86 recipients, including 27.8% with BKV and 17% with no BKV (p = .05). TCMR risk was increased in recipients with BKV (HR 1.90, (95% CI 1.14, 3.17); p = .01) and high vs. low-risk RAMM group risk (HR 2.26 (95% CI 1.02, 4.98); p = .02) in multivariable analyses; but not HLA serological MM in sensitivity analysis. Recipients with BKV experienced increased dnDSA in univariable analysis, and there was no association with ABMR, DCGF, or ACGF. CONCLUSIONS: Recipients with BKV had increased risk of TCMR independent of induction immunosuppression and conventional alloimmune risk measures. Recipients with high-risk RAMM experienced increased TCMR risk. Future studies on optimizing immunosuppression for BKV should explore nuanced risk stratification and may consider novel measures of alloimmune risk.

A rational approach to guide cost-effective de novo donor-specific antibody surveillance with tacrolimus immunosuppression.

De novo donor-specific antibody (dnDSA) after renal transplantation has been shown to correlate with antibody-mediated rejection and allograft loss. However, the lack of proven interventions and the time and cost associated with annual screening for dnDSA are difficult to justify for all recipients. We studied a well-characterized consecutive cohort (n = 949) with over 15 years of prospective dnDSA surveillance to identify risk factors that would help institute a resource-responsible surveillance strategy. Younger recipient age and HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch were independent predictors of dnDSA development. Combining both risk factors into recipient age molecular mismatch categories, we found that 52% of recipients could be categorized as low-risk for dnDSA development (median subclinical dnDSA-free survival at 5 and 10 years, 98% and 97%, respectively). After adjustment, multivariate correlates of dnDSA development included tacrolimus versus cyclosporin maintenance immunosuppression (hazard ratio [HR], 0.37; 95% CI, 0.2-0.6; P < .0001) and recipient age molecular mismatch category: intermediate versus low (HR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.5-4.2; P = .0007), high versus intermediate (HR, 2.56; 95% CI, 1.6-4.2; P = .0002), and high versus low (HR, 6.36; 95% CI, 3.7-10.8; P < .00001). When combined, recipient age and HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch provide a novel data-driven approach to reduce testing by >50% while selecting those most likely to benefit from dnDSA surveillance.

Simplified model for pre-code RC column exposed to fire followed by earthquake.

The behaviour of pre-code reinforced concrete (RC) columns in sequence of fire and earthquake is not well understood and can be critical in case of buildings which experienced fire and are either unrepaired or poorly repaired when exposed to an earthquake. This study proposes a framework on how to construct a simplified model to assess the post-fire cyclic behaviour of such columns. Emphasis is given to the development of simplified material models which can be used to describe the performance of the confined concrete, as its post-fire behaviour is not well studied. The model's performance is validated against the experimental results of a square, non-seismically designed RC column. Three scenarios are considered. The reference scenario, where the column is exposed only to cyclic loading. In the other two, the column is firstly exposed to an ISO-834 time-temperature curves in a furnace of 30 min and 90 min duration and after it cooled down, it is exposed to cyclic loading. The results showed that simplified material models can be used to capture the post-fire cyclic behaviour of an RC column, built without seismic design. It was also found that the confined model adopted played an important role after the peak strength is reached.

Risk Prediction for Delayed Allograft Function: Analysis of the Deterioration of Kidney Allograft Function (DeKAF) Study Data.

BACKGROUND: Delayed graft function (DGF) of a kidney transplant results in increased cost and complexity of management. For clinical care or a DGF trial, it would be ideal to accurately predict individual DGF risk and provide preemptive treatment. A calculator developed by Irish et al has been useful for predicting population but not individual risk. METHODS: We analyzed the Irish calculator (IC) in the DeKAF prospective cohort (incidence of DGF = 20.4%) and investigated potential improvements. RESULTS: We found that the predictive performance of the calculator in those meeting Irish inclusion criteria was comparable with that reported by Irish et al. For cohorts excluded by Irish: (a) in pump-perfused kidneys, the IC overestimated DGF risk; (b) in simultaneous pancreas kidney transplants, the DGF risk was exceptionally low. For all 3 cohorts, there was considerable overlap in IC scores between those with and those without DGF. Using a modified definition of DGF-excluding those with single dialysis in the first 24 h posttransplant-we found that the calculator had similar performance as with the traditional DGF definition. Studying whether DGF prediction could be improved, we found that recipient cardiovascular disease was strongly associated with DGF even after accounting for IC-predicted risk. CONCLUSIONS: The IC can be a useful population guide for predicting DGF in the population for which it was intended but has limited scope in expanded populations (SPK, pump) and for individual risk prediction. DGF risk prediction can be improved by inclusion of recipient cardiovascular disease.

The negative impact of T cell-mediated rejection on renal allograft survival in the modern era.

The prevalence and long-term impact of T cell-mediated rejection (TCMR) is poorly defined in the modern era of tacrolimus/mycophenolate-based maintenance therapy. This observational study evaluated 775 kidney transplant recipients with serial histology and correlated TCMR events with the risk of graft loss. After a ~30% incidence of a first Banff Borderline or greater TCMR detected on for-cause (17%) or surveillance (13%) biopsies, persistent (37.4%) or subsequent (26.3%) TCMR occurred in 64% of recipients on follow-up biopsies. Alloimmune risk categories based on the HLA-DR/DQ single molecule eplet molecular mismatch correlated with the number of TCMR events (p = .002) and Banff TCMR grade (p = .007). Both a first and second TCMR event correlated with death-censored and all-cause graft loss when adjusted for baseline covariates and other significant time-dependent covariates such as DGF and ABMR. Therefore, a substantial portion of kidney transplant recipients, especially those with intermediate and high HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch scores, remain under-immunosuppressed, which in turn identifies the need for novel agents that can more effectively prevent or treat TCMR.

A noninferiority design for a delayed calcineurin inhibitor substitution trial in kidney transplantation.

Improving long-term kidney transplant outcomes requires novel treatment strategies, including delayed calcineurin inhibitor (CNI) substitution, tested using informative trial designs. An alternative approach to the usual superiority-based trial is a noninferiority trial design that tests whether an investigational agent is not unacceptably worse than standard of care. An informative noninferiority design, with biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) as the endpoint, requires determination of a prespecified, evidence-based noninferiority margin for BPAR. No such information is available for delayed CNI substitution in kidney transplantation. Herein we analyzed data from recent kidney transplant trials of CNI withdrawal and "real world" CNI- based standard of care, containing subjects with well-documented evidence of immune quiescence at 6 months posttransplant-ideal candidates for delayed CNI substitution. Our analysis indicates an evidence-based noninferiority margin of 13.8% for the United States Food and Drug Administration's composite definition of BPAR between 6 and 24 months posttransplant. Sample size estimation determined that ~225 randomized subjects would be required to evaluate noninferiority for this primary clinical efficacy endpoint, and superiority for a renal function safety endpoint. Our findings provide the basis for future delayed CNI substitution noninferiority trials, thereby increasing the likelihood they will provide clinically implementable results and achieve regulatory approval.

i-IFTA and chronic active T cell-mediated rejection: A tale of 2 (DeKAF) cohorts.

Inflammation in areas of fibrosis (i-IFTA) in posttransplant biopsies is part of the diagnostic criteria for chronic active TCMR (CA TCMR -- i-IFTA ≥ 2, ti ≥ 2, t ≥ 2). We evaluated i-IFTA and CA TCMR in the DeKAF indication biopsy cohorts: prospective (n = 585, mean time to biopsy = 1.7 years); cross-sectional (n = 458, mean time to biopsy = 7.8 years). Grouped by i-IFTA scores, the 3-year postbiopsy DC-GS is similar across cohorts. Although a previous acute rejection episode (AR) was more common in those with i-IFTA on biopsy, the majority of those with i-IFTA had not had previous AR. There was no association between type of previous AR (AMR, TCMR) and presence of i-IFTA. In both cohorts, i-IFTA was associated with markers of both cellular (increased Banff i, t, ti) and humoral (increased g, ptc, C4d, DSA) activity. Biopsies with i-IFTA = 1 and i-IFTA ≥ 2 with concurrent t ≥ 2 and ti ≥ 2 had similar DC-GS. These results suggest that (a) i-IFTA≥1 should be considered a threshold for diagnoses incorporating i-IFTA, ti, and t; (b) given that i-IFTA ≥ 2,t ≥ 2, ti ≥ 2 can occur in the absence of preceding TCMR and that the component histologic scores (i-IFTA,t,ti) each indicate an acute change (albeit i-IFTA on the nonspecific background of IFTA), the diagnostic category "CA TCMR" should be reconsidered.

Validity and utility of urinary CXCL10/Cr immune monitoring in pediatric kidney transplant recipients.

Individualized posttransplant immunosuppression is hampered by suboptimal monitoring strategies. To validate the utility of urinary CXCL10/Cr immune monitoring in children, we conducted a multicenter prospective observational study in children <21 years with serial and biopsy-associated urine samples (n = 97). Biopsies (n = 240) were categorized as normal (NOR), rejection (>i1t1; REJ), indeterminate (IND), BKV infection, and leukocyturia (LEU). An independent pediatric cohort of 180 urines was used for external validation. Ninety-seven patients aged 11.4 ± 5.5 years showed elevated urinary CXCL10/Cr in REJ (3.1, IQR 1.1, 16.4; P < .001) and BKV nephropathy (median = 5.6, IQR 1.3, 26.9; P < .001) vs. NOR (0.8, IQR 0.4, 1.5). The AUC for REJ vs. NOR was 0.76 (95% CI 0.66-0.86). Low (0.63) and high (4.08) CXCL10/Cr levels defined high sensitivity and specificity thresholds, respectively; validated against an independent sample set (AUC = 0.76, 95% CI 0.66-0.86). Serial urines anticipated REJ up to 4 weeks prior to biopsy and declined within 1 month following treatment. Elevated mean CXCL10/Cr was correlated with first-year eGFR decline (ρ = -0.37, P ≤ .001), particularly when persistently exceeding ≥4.08 (ratio = 0.81; P < .04). Useful thresholds for urinary CXCL10/Cr levels reproducibly define the risk of rejection, immune quiescence, and decline in allograft function for use in real-time clinical monitoring in children.

Early surveillance biopsy utilization and management of pediatric renal allograft acute T cell-mediated rejection in Canadian centers: Observations from the PROBE multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Early TCMR surveillance with protocol kidney biopsy is used differentially among pediatric kidney transplant centers. Little has been reported about actual center-based differences, and this variability may influence TCMR ascertainment, treatment, and monitoring more broadly. METHODS: Data from the PROBE multicenter study were used to identify patients from centers conducting ESB or LSIB. ESB was defined as >50% of patients having at least 1 surveillance biopsy in the first 9 months. Patients were compared for number of biopsies, rejection episodes, treatment, and follow-up monitoring. RESULTS: A total of 261 biopsies were performed on 97 patients over 1-2 years of follow-up. A total of 228 (87%) of biopsies were performed in ESB centers. Compared to LSIB centers, ESB centers had 7-fold more episodes of TCMR diagnosed on any biopsy [0.8 ± 1.2 vs 0.1 ± 0.4; P < .001] and a 3-fold higher rate from indication biopsies [0.3 ± 0.9 vs 0.1 ± 0.3; P = .04]. The proportion of rejection treatment varied based on severity: Banff borderline i1t1 (40%);>i1t1 and < Banff 1A (86%); and ≥ Banff 1A (100%). Biopsies for follow-up were performed after treatment in 80% of cases (n = 28) of rejection almost exclusively at ESB centers, with 17 (61%) showing persistence of TCMR (≥i1t1). CONCLUSIONS: Practice variation exists across Canadian pediatric renal transplant centers with ESB centers identifying more episodes of rejection. Additionally, treatment of Banff borderline is not universal and varies with severity regardless of center type. Lastly, follow-up biopsies are performed inconsistently and invariably show persistence of rejection.

Novel Coronavirus in Cape Town Informal Settlements: Feasibility of Using Informal Dwelling Outlines to Identify High Risk Areas for COVID-19 Transmission From A Social Distancing Perspective.

BACKGROUND: The challenges faced by the Global South during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic are compounded by the presence of informal settlements, which are typically densely populated and lacking in formalized sanitation infrastructure. Social distancing measures in informal settlements may be difficult to implement due to the density and layout of settlements. This study measures the distance between dwellings in informal settlements in Cape Town to identify the risk of COVID-19 transmission. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this paper is to determine if social distancing measures are achievable in informal settlements in Cape Town, using two settlements as an example. We will first examine the distance between dwellings and their first, second, and third nearest neighbors and then identify clusters of dwellings in which residents would be unable to effectively practice social isolation due to the close proximity of their homes. METHODS: Dwellings in the settlements of Masiphumelele and Klipfontein Glebe were extracted from a geographic information system data set of outlines of all informal dwellings in Cape Town. The distance to each dwelling's first, second, and third nearest neighbors was calculated for each settlement. A social distance measure of 2 m was used (buffer of 1 m, as dwellings less than 2 m apart are joined) to identify clusters of dwellings that are unable to effectively practice social distancing in each settlement. RESULTS: The distance to each dwelling's first 3 nearest neighbors illustrates that the settlement of Masiphumelele is constructed in a denser fashion as compared to the Klipfontein Glebe settlement. This implies that implementing social distancing will likely be more challenging in Masiphumelele than in Klipfontein Glebe. However, using a 2-m social distancing measure, it was demonstrated that large portions of Klipfontein Glebe would also be unable to effectively implement social distancing. CONCLUSIONS: Effectively implementing social distancing may be a challenge in informal settlements due to their density. This paper uses dwelling outlines for informal settlements in the city of Cape Town to demonstrate that with a 2 m measure, effective social distancing will be challenging.

Inflammation in areas of fibrosis: The DeKAF prospective cohort.

Inflammation in areas of fibrosis (i-IFTA) in posttransplant biopsy specimens has been associated with decreased death-censored graft survival (DC-GS). Additionally, an i-IFTA score ≥ 2 is part of the diagnostic criteria for chronic active TCMR (CA TCMR). We examined the impact of i-IFTA and t-IFTA (tubulitis in areas of atrophy) in the first biopsy for cause after 90 days posttransplant (n = 598); mean (SD) 1.7 ± 1.4 years posttransplant. I-IFTA, present in 196 biopsy specimens, was strongly correlated with t-IFTA, and Banff i. Of the 196, 37 (18.9%) had a previous acute rejection episode; 96 (49%) had concurrent i score = 0. Unlike previous studies, i-IFTA = 1 (vs 0) was associated with worse 3-year DC-GS: (i-IFTA = 0, 81.7%, [95% CI 77.7 to 85.9%]); i-IFTA = 1, 68.1%, [95% CI 59.7 to 77.6%]; i-IFTA = 2, 56.1%, [95% CI 43.2 to 72.8%], i-IFTA = 3, 48.5%, [95% CI 31.8 to 74.0%]). The association of i-IFTA with decreased DC-GS remained significant when adjusted for serum creatinine at the time of the biopsy, Banff i, ci and ct, C4d and DSA. T-IFTA was similarly associated with decreased DC-GS. Of these indication biopsies, those with i-IFTA ≥ 2, without meeting other criteria for CA TCMR had similar postbiopsy DC-GS as those with CA TCMR. Those with i-IFTA = 1 and t ≥ 2, ti ≥ 2 had postbiopsy DC-GS similar to CA TCMR. Biopsies with i-IFTA = 1 had similar survival as CA TCMR when biopsy specimens also met Banff criteria for TCMR and/or AMR. Studies of i-IFTA and t-IFTA in additional cohorts, integrating analyses of Banff scores meeting criteria for other Banff diagnoses, are needed.

Evidence for the alloimmune basis and prognostic significance of Borderline T cell-mediated rejection.

Prognostic biomarkers of T cell-mediated rejection (TCMR) have not been adequately studied in the modern era. We evaluated 803 renal transplant recipients and correlated HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch alloimmune risk categories (low, intermediate, high) with the severity, frequency, and persistence of TCMR. Allograft survival was reduced in recipients with Banff Borderline (hazard ratio [HR] 2.4, P = .003) and Banff ≥ IA TCMR (HR 4.3, P < .0001) including a subset who never developed de novo donor-specific antibodies (P = .002). HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch alloimmune risk categories were multivariate correlates of Banff Borderline and Banff ≥ IA TCMR and correlated with the severity and frequency of rejection episodes. Recipient age, HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch category, and cyclosporin vs tacrolimus immunosuppression were independent correlates of Banff Borderline and Banff ≥ IA TCMR. In the subset treated with tacrolimus (720/803) recipient age, HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch category, and tacrolimus coefficient of variation were independent correlates of TCMR. The correlation of HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch category with TCMR, including Borderline, provides evidence for their alloimmune basis. HLA-DR/DQ molecular mismatch may represent a precise prognostic biomarker that can be applied to tailor immunosuppression or design clinical trials based on individual patient risk.

Early Antibody-Mediated Kidney Transplant Rejection Associated With Anti-Vimentin Antibodies: A Case Report.

Improving precision in predicting alloreactivity is an important unmet need and may require individualized consideration of non-HLA antibodies. We report a 21-year-old man with kidney failure from immunoglobulin A nephropathy who met all traditional criteria for a "low-risk" transplant for immune memory. He was unsensitized and received a haplotype-matched living donor kidney transplant from his mother. There were no anti-HLA donor-specific antibodies and flow cross-match was negative. After immediate function, he developed delayed graft function on postoperative day 2. The transplant biopsy specimen was suggestive of antibody-mediated rejection and acute tubular injury with increased vimentin proximal tubular expression compared to the implantation biopsy specimen. He had a history of juvenile idiopathic arthritis, and non-HLA antibody screening demonstrated preformed anti-vimentin antibody. He was successfully treated with plasmapheresis, intravenous immunoglobulin, antithymocyte globulin, and methylprednisolone, with renal recovery. The follow-up biopsy specimen demonstrated decreased vimentin expression with decreased alloinflammation, and graft function remains stable at 1 year posttransplantation (estimated glomerular filtration rate, 62mL/min/1.73m2). We postulate that preformed anti-vimentin autoantibodies bound to vimentin expressed on apoptotic tubular epithelial cells induced by ischemia-reperfusion injury and to constitutively expressed vimentin on peritubular capillaries and podocytes. Our case is suggestive of the involvement of anti-vimentin antibody, for which the pathogenic epitopes may be exposed during ischemia-reperfusion injury.

Late Graft Loss After Kidney Transplantation: Is "Death With Function" Really Death With a Functioning Allograft?

BACKGROUND: About half of late kidney allograft losses are attributed to death with function (DWF), a poorly characterized outcome. An ongoing question is whether DWF is a consequence of chronic allograft dysfunction. Using the prospective Long-term Deterioration of Kidney Allograft Function study database, we sought to better define the impact, phenotype, and clinical course of DWF in the current era. METHODS: Three thousand five hundred eighty-seven kidney recipients with functional grafts at 90 days post-transplant were followed prospectively for a median of 5.2 years. RESULTS: Characteristics at transplantation in those with DWF (N = 350, 9.8%) differed from those who otherwise lost their grafts (death-censored graft failure [DC-GF], N = 295, 8.2%) or maintained function (N = 2942, 82.0%); DWF patients were older, sicker, and had been on dialysis longer, with more preexisting cardiovascular disease, whereas DC-GF patients experienced more early rejection, more acute rejection after 90 days, and a clinically significant decrease in kidney function before graft failure. In contrast, the clinical course after transplantation in DWF patients did not differ before death from those who maintained function throughout. CONCLUSIONS: DWF and DC-GF in kidney transplant recipients represent differing clinical phenotypes occurring in distinct patient populations. Reducing the impact of DWF requires better definition of causes and clinical course and then trials of therapies to improve outcomes. Composite endpoints in clinical trials that group DWF and DC-GF together may obscure important clinical findings.

Multicentre randomised controlled trial protocol of urine CXCL10 monitoring strategy in kidney transplant recipients.

INTRODUCTION: Subclinical inflammation is an important predictor of death-censored graft loss, and its treatment has been shown to improve graft outcomes. Urine CXCL10 outperforms standard post-transplant surveillance in observational studies, by detecting subclinical rejection and early clinical rejection before graft functional decline in kidney transplant recipients. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a phase ii/iii multicentre, international randomised controlled parallel group trial to determine if the early treatment of rejection, as detected by urine CXCL10, will improve kidney allograft outcomes. Incident adult kidney transplant patients (n~420) will be enrolled to undergo routine urine CXCL10 monitoring postkidney transplant. Patients at high risk of rejection, defined as confirmed elevated urine CXCL10 level, will be randomised 1:1 stratified by centre (n=250). The intervention arm (n=125) will undergo a study biopsy to check for subclinical rejection and biopsy-proven rejection will be treated per protocol. The control arm (n=125) will undergo routine post-transplant monitoring. The primary outcome at 12 months is a composite of death-censored graft loss, clinical biopsy-proven acute rejection, de novo donor-specific antibody, inflammation in areas of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (Banff i-IFTA, chronic active T-cell mediated rejection) and subclinical tubulitis on 12-month surveillance biopsy. The secondary outcomes include decline of graft function, microvascular inflammation at 12 months, development of IFTA at 12 months, days from transplantation to clinical biopsy-proven rejection, albuminuria, EuroQol five-dimension five-level instrument, cost-effectiveness analysis of the urine CXCL10 monitoring strategy and the urine CXCL10 kinetics in response to rejection therapy. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study has been approved by the University of Manitoba Health Research Ethics Board (HS20861, B2017:076) and the local research ethics boards of participating centres. Recruitment commenced in March 2018 and results are expected to be published in 2023. De-identified data may be shared with other researchers according to international guidelines (International Committee of Medical Journal Editors [ICJME]). TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03206801; Pre-results.

Activity-based Protein Profiling Approaches for Transplantation.

Enzyme activity may be more pathophysiologically relevant than enzyme quantity and is regulated by changes in conformational status that are undetectable by traditional proteomic approaches. Further, enzyme activity may provide insights into rapid physiological responses to inflammation/injury that are not dependent on de novo protein transcription. Activity-based protein profiling (ABPP) is a chemical proteomic approach designed to characterize and identify active enzymes within complex biological samples. Activity probes have been developed to interrogate multiple enzyme families with broad applicability, including but not limited to serine hydrolases, cysteine proteases, matrix metalloproteases, nitrilases, caspases, and histone deacetylases. The goal of this overview is to describe the overall rationale, approach, methods, challenges, and potential applications of ABPP to transplantation research. To do so, we present a case example of urine serine hydrolase ABPP in kidney transplant rejection to illustrate the utility and workflow of this analytical approach. Ultimately, developing novel transplant therapeutics is critically dependent on understanding the pathophysiological processes that result in loss of transplant function. ABPP offers a new dimension for characterizing dynamic changes in clinical samples. The capacity to identify and measure relevant enzyme activities provides fresh opportunities for understanding these processes and may help identify markers of disease activity for the development of novel diagnostics and real-time monitoring of patients. Finally, these insights into enzyme activity may also help to identify new transplant therapeutics, such as enzyme-specific inhibitors.

Non-invasive differentiation of non-rejection kidney injury from acute rejection in pediatric renal transplant recipients.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a major concern in pediatric kidney transplant recipients, where non-alloimmune causes must be distinguished from rejection. We sought to identify a urinary metabolite signature associated with non-rejection kidney injury (NRKI) in pediatric kidney transplant recipients. Urine samples (n = 396) from 60 pediatric transplant participants were obtained at time of kidney biopsy and quantitatively assayed for 133 metabolites by mass spectrometry. Metabolite profiles were analyzed via projection on latent structures discriminant analysis. Mixed-effects regression identified laboratory and clinical predictors of NRKI and distinguished NRKI from T cell-mediated rejection (CMR), antibody-mediated rejection (AMR), and mixed CMR/AMR. Urine samples (n = 199) without rejection were split into NRKI (n = 26; ΔSCr ≥25%), pre-NRKI (n = 35; ΔSCr ≥10% and <25%), and no NRKI (n = 138; ΔSCr <10%) groups. The NRKI discriminant score (dscore) distinguished between NRKI and no NRKI (AUC = 0.86; 95% CI = 0.79-0.94), confirmed by leave-one-out cross-validation (AUC = 0.79; 95% CI = 0.68-0.89). The NRKI dscore also distinguished between NRKI and pre-NRKI (AUC = 0.82; 95% CI = 0.71-0.93). In a linear mixed-effects regression model to account for repeated measures, the NRKI dscore was independent of concurrent rejection, but there was a non-statistical trend for higher dscores with rejection severity. A second exploratory classifier developed to distinguish NRKI from clinical rejection had similar test characteristics (AUC = 0.81, 95% CI = 0.70-0.92, confirmed by LOOCV). This study demonstrates the potential of a urine metabolite classifier to detect NRKI in pediatric kidney transplant patients and non-invasively discriminate NRKI from rejection.

Subclinical Inflammation in Renal Transplantation.

The standardization of renal allograft pathology began in 1991 at the first Banff Conference held in Banff, Alberta, Canada. The first task of transplant pathologists, clinicians, and surgeons was to establish diagnostic criteria for T-cell-mediated rejection (TCMR). The histological threshold for this diagnosis was arbitrarily set at "i2t2": a mononuclear interstitial cell infiltrate present in at least 25% of normal parenchyma and >4 mononuclear cells within the tubular basement membrane of nonatrophic tubules. TCMR was usually found in dysfunctional grafts with an elevation in the serum creatinine; however, our group and others found this extent of inflammation in "routine" or "protocol" biopsies of normally functioning grafts: "subclinical" TCMR. The prevalence of TCMR is higher in the early months posttransplant and has decreased with the increased potency of current immunosuppressive agents. However, the pathogenicity of lesser degrees of inflammation under modern immunosuppression and the relation between ongoing inflammation and development of donor-specific antibody has renewed our interest in subclinical alloreactivity. Finally, the advances in our understanding of pretransplant risk assessment, and our increasing ability to monitor patients less invasively posttransplant, promises to usher in the era of precision medicine.