Development and validation of a novel nomogram for predicting overall survival patients with neuroblastoma.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to develop a nomogram specially for predicting overall survival (OS) for Chinese patients with neuroblastoma (NB). METHODS: Patients with pathologically confirmed NB who were newly diagnosed and received treatments at our hospital from October 2013 to October 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. The nomogram for OS were built based on Cox regression analysis. The validation of the prognostic model was evaluated by concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analyses (DCAs). RESULTS: A total of 254 patients with NB were included in this study. They were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 178) and a validation cohort (n = 76) at a ratio of 7:3. Multivariate analyses revealed that prognostic variables significantly related to the OS were age at diagnosis, bone metastasis, hepatic metastasis, INSS stage, MYCN status and DNA ploidy. The nomogram was constructed based on above 6 factors. The C-index values of the nomogram for predicting 3-year and 5-year OS were 0.926 and 0.964, respectively. The calibration curves of the nomogram showed good consistency between nomogram prediction and actual survival. The DCAs showed great clinical usefulness of the nomograms. Furthermore, patients with low-risk identified by our nomogram had much higher OS than those with high-risk (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The nomogram we constructed exhibited good predictive performance and could be used to assist clinicians in their decision-making process.

Impact of 11q Loss of Heterozygosity Status on the Response of High-Risk Neuroblastoma With MYCN Amplification to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy.

Purpose: The aim of this study was to investigate whether 11q loss of heterozygosity (LOH) aberration would impact the response of the primary tumor to neoadjuvant chemotherapy or to the degree of surgical resection in neuroblastoma (NB) patients with MYCN amplification. Methods: The clinical data of 42 NB patients with MYCN amplification who were newly diagnosed and received treatments at our hospital from 2011 to 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the results of the segmental chromosome aberration analysis, the patients enrolled were assigned to an 11qLOH positive group and an 11qLOH negative group. Results: There was no significant difference in the mean number of chemotherapy courses completed before surgery between the 11qLOH positive and 11qLOH negative groups (p = 0.242). Each of the 42 patients had metaiodobenzylguanidine (MIBG) scans both before and after neoadjuvant chemotherapy. The percentage of patients who had a clinical MIBG change in the 11qLOH positive group was lower than the percentage in the 11qLOH negative group (27.27 vs. 66.67%, p = 0.030). The 11qLOH negative group seemed to have a higher rate of surgical resection (≥90%); however, the difference between the two groups was not statistically significant (p = 0.088). Furthermore, the 11qLOH negative group did not show significantly superior event-free survival and overall survival rates compared with the 11qLOH positive group. Conclusions: This study showed that patients with NB and MYCN amplification in combination with 11qLOH might be less likely to respond to neoadjuvant chemotherapy when compared with patients with NB and MYCN amplification without 11qLOH.