Brain age prediction and deviations from normative trajectories in the neonatal connectome.

Structural and functional connectomes undergo rapid changes during the third trimester and the first month of postnatal life. Despite progress, our understanding of the developmental trajectories of the connectome in the perinatal period remains incomplete. Brain age prediction uses machine learning to estimate the brain's maturity relative to normative data. The difference between the individual's predicted and chronological age-or brain age gap (BAG)-represents the deviation from these normative trajectories. Here, we assess brain age prediction and BAGs using structural and functional connectomes for infants in the first month of life. We used resting-state fMRI and DTI data from 611 infants (174 preterm; 437 term) from the Developing Human Connectome Project (dHCP) and connectome-based predictive modeling to predict postmenstrual age (PMA). Structural and functional connectomes accurately predicted PMA for term and preterm infants. Predicted ages from each modality were correlated. At the network level, nearly all canonical brain networks-even putatively later developing ones-generated accurate PMA prediction. Additionally, BAGs were associated with perinatal exposures and toddler behavioral outcomes. Overall, our results underscore the importance of normative modeling and deviations from these models during the perinatal period.

The brain structure, inflammatory, and genetic mechanisms mediate the association between physical frailty and depression.

Cross-sectional studies have demonstrated strong associations between physical frailty and depression. However, the evidence from prospective studies is limited. Here, we analyze data of 352,277 participants from UK Biobank with 12.25-year follow-up. Compared with non-frail individuals, pre-frail and frail individuals have increased risk for incident depression independent of many putative confounds. Altogether, pre-frail and frail individuals account for 20.58% and 13.16% of depression cases by population attributable fraction analyses. Higher risks are observed in males and individuals younger than 65 years than their counterparts. Mendelian randomization analyses support a potential causal effect of frailty on depression. Associations are also observed between inflammatory markers, brain volumes, and incident depression. Moreover, these regional brain volumes and three inflammatory markers-C-reactive protein, neutrophils, and leukocytes-significantly mediate associations between frailty and depression. Given the scarcity of curative treatment for depression and the high disease burden, identifying potential modifiable risk factors of depression, such as frailty, is needed.

Mapping early brain-body interactions: associations of fetal heart rate variation with newborn brainstem, hypothalamic, and dorsal anterior cingulate cortex functional connectivity.

The autonomic nervous system (ANS) regulates the body's physiology, including cardiovascular function. As the ANS develops during the second to third trimester, fetal heart rate variability (HRV) increases while fetal heart rate (HR) decreases. In this way, fetal HR and HRV provide an index of fetal autonomic nervous system development and future neurobehavioral regulation. Fetal HR and HRV have been associated with child language ability and psychomotor development behavior in toddlerhood. However, their associations with post-birth autonomic brain systems, such as the brainstem, hypothalamus, and dorsal anterior cingulate cortex (dACC), have yet to be investigated even though brain pathways involved in autonomic regulation are well established in older individuals. We assessed whether fetal HR and HRV were associated with the brainstem, hypothalamic and dACC functional connectivity in newborns. Data were obtained from 60 pregnant individuals (ages 14-42) at 24-27 and 34-37 weeks gestation using a fetal actocardiograph to generate fetal HR and HRV. During natural sleep, their infants (38 males and 22 females) underwent a fMRI scan between 40-46 weeks of postmenstrual age. Our findings relate fetal heart indices to brainstem, hypothalamic, and dACC connectivity and reveal connections with widespread brain regions that may support behavioral and emotional regulation. We demonstrated the basic physiologic association between fetal HR indices and lower and higher order brain regions involved in regulatory processes. This work provides the foundation for future behavioral or physiological regulation research in fetuses and infants.Significance statement Fetal heart rate indices are quantifiable, developmental markers of the fetal autonomic nervous system. Variations in their trajectories can signal compromised neurodevelopmental outcomes. We assessed associations between fetal heart rate indices and early infant brain development to identify unique or common associations corresponding to autonomic nervous system maturation patterns. We found associations between fetal heart rate indices and infant brainstem, hypothalamic, and dACC connectivity-areas that support autonomic and behavioral regulatory functions. The study demonstrates that these associations between ANS and brain regions involved in autonomic regulation exist early in life. These findings are a first step to understanding how these brain connections form the basis of future regulatory development.

Brain states as wave-like motifs.

There is ample evidence of wave-like activity in the brain at multiple scales and levels. This emerging literature supports the broader adoption of a wave perspective of brain activity. Specifically, a brain state can be described as a set of recurring, sequential patterns of propagating brain activity, namely a wave. We examine a collective body of experimental work investigating wave-like properties. Based on these works, we consider brain states as waves using a scale-agnostic framework across time and space. Emphasis is placed on the sequentiality and periodicity associated with brain activity. We conclude by discussing the implications, prospects, and experimental opportunities of this framework.

Connectome caricatures: removing large-amplitude co-activation patterns in resting-state fMRI emphasizes individual differences.

High-amplitude co-activation patterns are sparsely present during resting-state fMRI but drive functional connectivity1-5. Further, they resemble task activation patterns and are well-studied3,5-10. However, little research has characterized the remaining majority of the resting-state signal. In this work, we introduced caricaturing-a method to project resting-state data to a subspace orthogonal to a manifold of co-activation patterns estimated from the task fMRI data. Projecting to this subspace removes linear combinations of these co-activation patterns from the resting-state data to create Caricatured connectomes. We used rich task data from the Human Connectome Project (HCP)11 and the UCLA Consortium for Neuropsychiatric Phenomics12 to construct a manifold of task co-activation patterns. Caricatured connectomes were created by projecting resting-state data from the HCP and the Yale Test-Retest13 datasets away from this manifold. Like caricatures, these connectomes emphasized individual differences by reducing between-individual similarity and increasing individual identification14. They also improved predictive modeling of brain-phenotype associations. As caricaturing removes group-relevant task variance, it is an initial attempt to remove task-like co-activations from rest. Therefore, our results suggest that there is a useful signal beyond the dominating co-activations that drive resting-state functional connectivity, which may better characterize the brain's intrinsic functional architecture.

Experiences of Stigma and Discrimination Compounded by Intersecting Identities among Individuals Receiving Medication for Opioid Use Disorder.

Stigma and discrimination create barriers to care among people receiving medication for opioid use disorder (MOUD). We report qualitative findings from a mixed methods study guided by three aims: to explore (1) intersecting identities of people receiving MOUD (2) how individuals experience stigma and discrimination and (3) helpful resources in addressing cumulative experiences of multiple forms of disadvantage. We conducted interviews with 25 individuals in three treatment centers in the Northeast United States and identified six themes: (1) Living with multiple socially marginalized identities and addiction; (2) Loss; (3) "It's everywhere": Discrimination and stigma; (4) A "damaged" identity, (5) Positive responses to negative experiences: Facing reality and becoming accountable, and (6) Experiencing treatment and identifying supportive interventions. Findings highlight the complexity of intersecting, marginalized social positions. Future work should look beyond one-size-fits-all approaches to care and recognize individual vulnerabilities and strengths for improving outcomes among those experiencing OUD.

Investigating brain dynamics and their association with cognitive control in opioid use disorder using naturalistic and drug cue paradigms.

Objectives: Opioid use disorder (OUD) impacts millions of people worldwide. The prevalence and debilitating effects of OUD present a pressing need to understand its neural mechanisms to provide more targeted interventions. Prior studies have linked altered functioning in large-scale brain networks with clinical symptoms and outcomes in OUD. However, these investigations often do not consider how brain responses change over time. Time-varying brain network engagement can convey clinically relevant information not captured by static brain measures. Methods: We investigated brain dynamic alterations in individuals with OUD by applying a new multivariate computational framework to movie-watching (i.e., naturalistic; N=76) and task-based (N=70) fMRI. We further probed the associations between cognitive control and brain dynamics during a separate drug cue paradigm in individuals with OUD. Results: Compared to healthy controls (N=97), individuals with OUD showed decreased variability in the engagement of recurring brain states during movie-watching. We also found that worse cognitive control was linked to decreased variability during the rest period when no opioid-related stimuli were present. Conclusions: These findings suggest that individuals with OUD may experience greater difficulty in effectively engaging brain networks in response to evolving internal or external demands. Such inflexibility may contribute to aberrant response inhibition and biased attention toward opioid-related stimuli, two hallmark characteristics of OUD. By incorporating temporal information, the current study introduces novel information about how brain dynamics are altered in individuals with OUD and their behavioral implications.

Data leakage inflates prediction performance in connectome-based machine learning models.

Predictive modeling is a central technique in neuroimaging to identify brain-behavior relationships and test their generalizability to unseen data. However, data leakage undermines the validity of predictive models by breaching the separation between training and test data. Leakage is always an incorrect practice but still pervasive in machine learning. Understanding its effects on neuroimaging predictive models can inform how leakage affects existing literature. Here, we investigate the effects of five forms of leakage-involving feature selection, covariate correction, and dependence between subjects-on functional and structural connectome-based machine learning models across four datasets and three phenotypes. Leakage via feature selection and repeated subjects drastically inflates prediction performance, whereas other forms of leakage have minor effects. Furthermore, small datasets exacerbate the effects of leakage. Overall, our results illustrate the variable effects of leakage and underscore the importance of avoiding data leakage to improve the validity and reproducibility of predictive modeling.

Brain-phenotype predictions can survive across diverse real-world data.

Recent work suggests that machine learning models predicting psychiatric treatment outcomes based on clinical data may fail when applied to unharmonized samples. Neuroimaging predictive models offer the opportunity to incorporate neurobiological information, which may be more robust to dataset shifts. Yet, among the minority of neuroimaging studies that undertake any form of external validation, there is a notable lack of attention to generalization across dataset-specific idiosyncrasies. Research settings, by design, remove the between-site variations that real-world and, eventually, clinical applications demand. Here, we rigorously test the ability of a range of predictive models to generalize across three diverse, unharmonized samples: the Philadelphia Neurodevelopmental Cohort (n=1291), the Healthy Brain Network (n=1110), and the Human Connectome Project in Development (n=428). These datasets have high inter-dataset heterogeneity, encompassing substantial variations in age distribution, sex, racial and ethnic minority representation, recruitment geography, clinical symptom burdens, fMRI tasks, sequences, and behavioral measures. We demonstrate that reproducible and generalizable brain-behavior associations can be realized across diverse dataset features with sample sizes in the hundreds. Results indicate the potential of functional connectivity-based predictive models to be robust despite substantial inter-dataset variability. Notably, for the HCPD and HBN datasets, the best predictions were not from training and testing in the same dataset (i.e., cross-validation) but across datasets. This result suggests that training on diverse data may improve prediction in specific cases. Overall, this work provides a critical foundation for future work evaluating the generalizability of neuroimaging predictive models in real-world scenarios and clinical settings.

Test-Retest Reliability of Functional Connectivity in Adolescents With Depression.

BACKGROUND: The test-retest reliability of functional magnetic resonance imaging is critical to identifying reproducible biomarkers for psychiatric illness. Recent work has shown how reliability limits the observable effect size of brain-behavior associations, hindering detection of these effects. However, while a fast-growing literature has explored both univariate and multivariate reliability in healthy individuals, relatively few studies have explored reliability in populations with psychiatric illnesses or how this interacts with age. METHODS: Here, we investigated functional connectivity reliability over the course of 1 year in a longitudinal cohort of 88 adolescents (age at baseline = 15.63 ± 1.29 years; 64 female) with major depressive disorder (MDD) and without MDD (healthy volunteers [HVs]). We compared a univariate metric, intraclass correlation coefficient, and 2 multivariate metrics, fingerprinting and discriminability. RESULTS: Adolescents with MDD had marginally higher mean intraclass correlation coefficient (µMDD = 0.34, 95% CI, 0.12-0.54; µHV = 0.27, 95% CI, 0.05-0.52), but both groups had poor average intraclass correlation coefficients (<0.4). Fingerprinting index was greater than chance and did not differ between groups (fingerprinting indexMDD = 0.75; fingerprinting indexHV = 0.91; Poisson tests p < .001). Discriminability indicated high multivariate reliability in both groups (discriminabilityMDD = 0.80; discriminabilityHV = 0.82; permutation tests p < .01). Neither univariate nor multivariate reliability was associated with symptom severity or edge-level effect size of group differences. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, we found little evidence for a relationship between depression and reliability of functional connectivity during adolescence. These findings suggest that biomarker identification in depression is not limited due to reliability compared with healthy samples and support the shift toward multivariate analysis for improved power and reliability.

"It's all connected:" A mixed methods study of insomnia, stigma, and discrimination among individuals on medication for opioid use disorder.

OBJECTIVES: Insomnia is one of the most common sleep disorders among those with opioid use disorder (OUD), including those on medication for OUD. There is a dearth of literature exploring the role of social stressors on sleep outcomes among this group. The purpose of this study was to explore the association between OUD-related stigma and intersectional discrimination with insomnia among individuals on medication for OUD. METHODS: Participants were recruited from treatment clinics in the Northeast United States. Using a convergent mixed-methods research design, we explored associations with stigma (The Brief Opioid Stigma Scale), intersectional discrimination (Intersectional Discrimination Index), and insomnia (Insomnia Severity Index) through quantitative survey data and qualitative data from interviews for participant experiences. Data from the quantitative (n = 120) and qualitative (n = 25) components of the study were integrated for interpretation. RESULTS: Quantitative analysis indicated weak to moderate positive correlations between intersectional discrimination, and exploratory variables including pain, perceived stress, and psychological distress with insomnia severity. The qualitative analysis generated 4 main themes, which highlighted negative emotions and ruminations as factors that participants connected experiences with stigma and discrimination to poor sleep outcomes. Integration of data identified concordant and discordant findings. CONCLUSIONS: Stigma, discrimination, physical symptoms, and psychological distress appear to contribute to poor sleep outcomes among those with OUD. Future research should target maladaptive outcomes of rumination and negative emotions to improve sleep outcomes among those with OUD.

The effects of experience of discrimination and acculturation during pregnancy on the developing offspring brain.

The experience of ethnic, racial, and structural inequalities is increasingly recognized as detrimental to health, and early studies suggest that its experience in pregnant mothers may affect the developing fetus. We characterized discrimination and acculturation experiences in a predominantly Hispanic sample of pregnant adolescent women and assessed their association with functional connectivity in their neonate's brain. We collected self-report measures of acculturation, discrimination, maternal distress (i.e., perceived stress, childhood trauma, and depressive symptoms), and socioeconomic status in 165 women. Then, we performed a data-driven clustering of acculturation, discrimination, perceived stress, depressive symptoms, trauma, and socioeconomic status variables during pregnancy to determine whether discrimination or acculturation clustered into distinct factors. Discrimination and acculturation styles loaded onto different factors from perceived stress, depressive symptoms, trauma, and socioeconomic status, suggesting that they were distinct from other factors in our sample. We associated these data-driven maternal phenotypes (discrimination and acculturation styles) with measures of resting-state functional MRI connectivity of the infant amygdala (n = 38). Higher maternal report of assimilation was associated with weaker connectivity between their neonate's amygdala and bilateral fusiform gyrus. Maternal experience of discrimination was associated with weaker connectivity between the amygdala and prefrontal cortex and stronger connectivity between the amygdala and fusiform of their neonate. Cautiously, the results may suggest a similarity to self-contained studies with adults, noting that the experience of discrimination and acculturation may influence amygdala circuitry across generations. Further prospective studies are essential that consider a more diverse population of minoritized individuals and with a comprehensive assessment of ethnic, racial, and structural factors.

Autism spectrum disorder-specific changes in white matter connectome edge density based on functionally defined nodes.

Introduction: Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is associated with both functional and microstructural connectome disruptions. We deployed a novel methodology using functionally defined nodes to guide white matter (WM) tractography and identify ASD-related microstructural connectome changes across the lifespan. Methods: We used diffusion tensor imaging and clinical data from four studies in the national database for autism research (NDAR) including 155 infants, 102 toddlers, 230 adolescents, and 96 young adults - of whom 264 (45%) were diagnosed with ASD. We applied cortical nodes from a prior fMRI study identifying regions related to symptom severity scores and used these seeds to construct WM fiber tracts as connectome Edge Density (ED) maps. Resulting ED maps were assessed for between-group differences using voxel-wise and tract-based analysis. We then examined the association of ASD diagnosis with ED driven from functional nodes generated from different sensitivity thresholds. Results: In ED derived from functionally guided tractography, we identified ASD-related changes in infants (pFDR ≤ 0.001-0.483). Overall, more wide-spread ASD-related differences were detectable in ED based on functional nodes with positive symptom correlation than negative correlation to ASD, and stricter thresholds for functional nodes resulted in stronger correlation with ASD among infants (z = -6.413 to 6.666, pFDR ≤ 0.001-0.968). Voxel-wise analysis revealed wide-spread ED reductions in central WM tracts of toddlers, adolescents, and adults. Discussion: We detected early changes of aberrant WM development in infants developing ASD when generating microstructural connectome ED map with cortical nodes defined by functional imaging. These were not evident when applying structurally defined nodes, suggesting that functionally guided DTI-based tractography can help identify early ASD-related WM disruptions between cortical regions exhibiting abnormal connectivity patterns later in life. Furthermore, our results suggest a benefit of involving functionally informed nodes in diffusion imaging-based probabilistic tractography, and underline that different age cohorts can benefit from age- and brain development-adapted image processing protocols.

Power and reproducibility in the external validation of brain-phenotype predictions.

Identifying reproducible and generalizable brain-phenotype associations is a central goal of neuroimaging. Consistent with this goal, prediction frameworks evaluate brain-phenotype models in unseen data. Most prediction studies train and evaluate a model in the same dataset. However, external validation, or the evaluation of a model in an external dataset, provides a better assessment of robustness and generalizability. Despite the promise of external validation and calls for its usage, the statistical power of such studies has yet to be investigated. In this work, we ran over 60 million simulations across several datasets, phenotypes, and sample sizes to better understand how the sizes of the training and external datasets affect statistical power. We found that prior external validation studies used sample sizes prone to low power, which may lead to false negatives and effect size inflation. Furthermore, increases in the external sample size led to increased simulated power directly following theoretical power curves, whereas changes in the training dataset size offset the simulated power curves. Finally, we compared the performance of a model within a dataset to the external performance. The within-dataset performance was typically within r=0.2 of the cross-dataset performance, which could help decide how to power future external validation studies. Overall, our results illustrate the importance of considering the sample sizes of both the training and external datasets when performing external validation.

Network state dynamics underpin craving in a transdiagnostic population.

Emerging fMRI brain dynamic methods present a unique opportunity to capture how brain region interactions across time give rise to evolving affective and motivational states. As the unfolding experience and regulation of affective states affect psychopathology and well-being, it is important to elucidate their underlying time-varying brain responses. Here, we developed a novel framework to identify network states specific to an affective state of interest and examine how their instantaneous engagement contributed to its experience. This framework investigated network state dynamics underlying craving, a clinically meaningful and changeable state. In a transdiagnostic sample of healthy controls and individuals diagnosed with or at risk for craving-related disorders (N=252), we utilized connectome-based predictive modeling (CPM) to identify craving-predictive edges. An edge-centric timeseries approach was leveraged to quantify the instantaneous engagement of the craving-positive and craving-negative networks during independent scan runs. Individuals with higher craving persisted longer in a craving-positive network state while dwelling less in a craving-negative network state. We replicated the latter results externally in an independent group of healthy controls and individuals with alcohol use disorder exposed to different stimuli during the scan (N=173). The associations between craving and network state dynamics can still be consistently observed even when craving-predictive edges were instead identified in the replication dataset. These robust findings suggest that variations in craving-specific network state recruitment underpin individual differences in craving. Our framework additionally presents a new avenue to explore how the moment-to-moment engagement of behaviorally meaningful network states supports our changing affective experiences.

Network controllability of structural connectomes in the neonatal brain.

White matter connectivity supports diverse cognitive demands by efficiently constraining dynamic brain activity. This efficiency can be inferred from network controllability, which represents the ease with which the brain moves between distinct mental states based on white matter connectivity. However, it remains unclear how brain networks support diverse functions at birth, a time of rapid changes in connectivity. Here, we investigate the development of network controllability during the perinatal period and the effect of preterm birth in 521 neonates. We provide evidence that elements of controllability are exhibited in the infant's brain as early as the third trimester and develop rapidly across the perinatal period. Preterm birth disrupts the development of brain networks and altered the energy required to drive state transitions at different levels. In addition, controllability at birth is associated with cognitive ability at 18 months. Our results suggest network controllability develops rapidly during the perinatal period to support cognitive demands but could be altered by environmental impacts like preterm birth.

The challenges and prospects of brain-based prediction of behaviour.

Relating individual brain patterns to behaviour is fundamental in system neuroscience. Recently, the predictive modelling approach has become increasingly popular, largely due to the recent availability of large open datasets and access to computational resources. This means that we can use machine learning models and interindividual differences at the brain level represented by neuroimaging features to predict interindividual differences in behavioural measures. By doing so, we could identify biomarkers and neural correlates in a data-driven fashion. Nevertheless, this budding field of neuroimaging-based predictive modelling is facing issues that may limit its potential applications. Here we review these existing challenges, as well as those that we anticipate as the field develops. We focus on the impacts of these challenges on brain-based predictions. We suggest potential solutions to address the resolvable challenges, while keeping in mind that some general and conceptual limitations may also underlie the predictive modelling approach.

Connectome-based machine learning models are vulnerable to subtle data manipulations.

Neuroimaging-based predictive models continue to improve in performance, yet a widely overlooked aspect of these models is "trustworthiness," or robustness to data manipulations. High trustworthiness is imperative for researchers to have confidence in their findings and interpretations. In this work, we used functional connectomes to explore how minor data manipulations influence machine learning predictions. These manipulations included a method to falsely enhance prediction performance and adversarial noise attacks designed to degrade performance. Although these data manipulations drastically changed model performance, the original and manipulated data were extremely similar (r = 0.99) and did not affect other downstream analysis. Essentially, connectome data could be inconspicuously modified to achieve any desired prediction performance. Overall, our enhancement attacks and evaluation of existing adversarial noise attacks in connectome-based models highlight the need for counter-measures that improve the trustworthiness to preserve the integrity of academic research and any potential translational applications.

Impact of postnatal weight gain on brain white matter maturation in very preterm infants.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Very preterm infants (VPIs, <32 weeks gestational age at birth) are prone to long-term neurological deficits. While the effects of birth weight and postnatal growth on VPIs' neurological outcome are well established, the neurobiological mechanism behind these associations remains elusive. In this study, we utilized diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) to characterize how birth weight and postnatal weight gain influence VPIs' white matter (WM) maturation. METHODS: We included VPIs with complete birth and postnatal weight data in their health record, and DTI scan as part of their predischarge Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI). We conducted voxel-wise general linear model and tract-based regression analyses to explore the impact of birth weight and postnatal weight gain on WM maturation. RESULTS: We included 91 VPIs in our analysis. After controlling for gestational age at birth and time between birth and scan, higher birth weight Z-scores were associated with DTI markers of more mature WM tracts, most prominently in the corpus callosum and sagittal striatum. The postnatal weight Z-score changes over the first 4 weeks of life were also associated with increased maturity in these WM tracts, when controlling for gestational age at birth, birth weight Z-score, and time between birth and scan. CONCLUSIONS: In VPIs, birth weight and post-natal weight gain are associated with markers of brain WM maturation, particularly in the corpus callosum, which can be captured on discharge MRI. These neuroimaging metrics can serve as potential biomarkers for the early effects of nutritional interventions on VPIs' brain development.