Trust and trustworthy artificial intelligence: A research agenda for AI in the environmental sciences.

Demands to manage the risks of artificial intelligence (AI) are growing. These demands and the government standards arising from them both call for trustworthy AI. In response, we adopt a convergent approach to review, evaluate, and synthesize research on the trust and trustworthiness of AI in the environmental sciences and propose a research agenda. Evidential and conceptual histories of research on trust and trustworthiness reveal persisting ambiguities and measurement shortcomings related to inconsistent attention to the contextual and social dependencies and dynamics of trust. Potentially underappreciated in the development of trustworthy AI for environmental sciences is the importance of engaging AI users and other stakeholders, which human-AI teaming perspectives on AI development similarly underscore. Co-development strategies may also help reconcile efforts to develop performance-based trustworthiness standards with dynamic and contextual notions of trust. We illustrate the importance of these themes with applied examples and show how insights from research on trust and the communication of risk and uncertainty can help advance the understanding of trust and trustworthiness of AI in the environmental sciences.

Integrated causal-predictive machine learning models for tropical cyclone epidemiology.

Strategic preparedness reduces the adverse health impacts of hurricanes and tropical storms, referred to collectively as tropical cyclones (TCs), but its protective impact could be enhanced by a more comprehensive and rigorous characterization of TC epidemiology. To generate the insights and tools necessary for high-precision TC preparedness, we introduce a machine learning approach that standardizes estimation of historic TC health impacts, discovers common patterns and sources of heterogeneity in those health impacts, and enables identification of communities at highest health risk for future TCs. The model integrates (i) a causal inference component to quantify the immediate health impacts of recent historic TCs at high spatial resolution and (ii) a predictive component that captures how TC meteorological features and socioeconomic/demographic characteristics of impacted communities are associated with health impacts. We apply it to a rich data platform containing detailed historic TC exposure information and records of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular- and respiratory-related hospitalization among Medicare recipients. We report a high degree of heterogeneity in the acute health impacts of historic TCs, both within and across TCs, and, on average, substantial TC-attributable increases in respiratory hospitalizations. TC-sustained windspeeds are found to be the primary driver of mortality and respiratory risks.

A Systematic Review and Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis Investigating the Effectiveness of Psychological Short-Term Interventions in Inpatient Palliative Care Settings.

This paper reviews and summarises the evidence of short-term psychosocial interventions (up to 12 sessions delivered within less than eight weeks) on anxiety, depression, and emotional distress in palliative patients in inpatient settings. We screened publications from the following five databases, Embase, PubMed, PsycINFO, Web of Science, and CINAHL, from their inception to 10 September 2021. The eligible studies included controls receiving standard palliative care, actively treated controls, and wait-list controls. Nine studies met the eligibility criteria and reported the effects of five psychosocial interventions in a total of N = 543 patients. We followed PRISMA-guidelines for outcome reporting and the Cochrane Risk of Bias Assessment Tool for assessing study quality. This paper used the network meta-analysis to compare multiple treatments by providing greater statistical power and the cross-validation of observed treatment effects, using the R package BUGSnet. Compared to control groups, the following psychosocial interventions in inpatient settings showed to be superior: life review interventions were the best ranked treatment for improving anxiety and distress, while the top ranked treatment for reducing depression was outlook intervention. The short-term psychosocial interventions investigated in this meta-analysis, especially life review intervention, are feasible and can potentially improve anxiety, depression, and distress in palliative inpatients and should therefore be offered in inpatient settings.

Projecting the Impacts of a Changing Climate: Tropical Cyclones and Flooding.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: There is clear evidence that the earth's climate is changing, largely from anthropogenic causes. Flooding and tropical cyclones have clear impacts on human health in the United States at present, and projections of their health impacts in the future will help inform climate policy, yet to date there have been few quantitative climate health impact projections. RECENT FINDINGS: Despite a wealth of studies characterizing health impacts of floods and tropical cyclones, many are better suited for qualitative, rather than quantitative, projections of climate change health impacts. However, a growing number have features that will facilitate their use in quantitative projections, features we highlight here. Further, while it can be difficult to project how exposures to flood and tropical cyclone hazards will change in the future, climate science continues to advance in its capabilities to capture changes in these exposures, including capturing regional variation. Developments in climate epidemiology and climate science are opening new possibilities in projecting the health impacts of floods and tropical cyclones under a changing climate.

Exposure Assessment for Tropical Cyclone Epidemiology.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Tropical cyclones impact human health, sometimes catastrophically. Epidemiological research characterizes these health impacts and uncovers pathways between storm hazards and health, helping to mitigate the health impacts of future storms. These studies, however, require researchers to identify people and areas exposed to tropical cyclones, which is often challenging. Here we review approaches, tools, and data products that can be useful in this exposure assessment. RECENT FINDINGS: Epidemiological studies have used various operational measures to characterize exposure to tropical cyclones, including measures of physical hazards (e.g., wind, rain, flooding), measures related to human impacts (e.g., damage, stressors from the storm), and proxy measures of distance from the storm's central track. The choice of metric depends on the research question asked by the study, but there are numerous resources available that can help in capturing any of these metrics of exposure. Each has strengths and weaknesses that may influence their utility for a specific study. Here we have highlighted key tools and data products that can be useful for exposure assessment for tropical cyclone epidemiology. These results can guide epidemiologists as they design studies to explore how tropical cyclones influence human health.

Tropical Cyclone Exposures and Risks of Emergency Medicare Hospital Admission for Cardiorespiratory Diseases in 175 Urban United States Counties, 1999-2010.

BACKGROUND: Although injuries experienced during hurricanes and other tropical cyclones have been relatively well-characterized through traditional surveillance, less is known about tropical cyclones' impacts on noninjury morbidity, which can be triggered through pathways that include psychosocial stress or interruption in medical treatment. METHODS: We investigated daily emergency Medicare hospitalizations (1999-2010) in 180 US counties, drawing on an existing cohort of high-population counties. We classified counties as exposed to tropical cyclones when storm-associated peak sustained winds were ≥21 m/s at the county center; secondary analyses considered other wind thresholds and hazards. We matched storm-exposed days to unexposed days by county and seasonality. We estimated change in tropical cyclone-associated hospitalizations over a storm period from 2 days before to 7 days after the storm's closest approach, compared to unexposed days, using generalized linear mixed-effect models. RESULTS: For 1999-2010, 175 study counties had at least one tropical cyclone exposure. Cardiovascular hospitalizations decreased on the storm day, then increased following the storm, while respiratory hospitalizations were elevated throughout the storm period. Over the 10-day storm period, cardiovascular hospitalizations increased 3% (95% confidence interval = 2%, 5%) and respiratory hospitalizations increased 16% (95% confidence interval = 13%, 20%) compared to matched unexposed periods. Relative risks varied across tropical cyclone exposures, with strongest association for the most restrictive wind-based exposure metric. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, tropical cyclone exposures were associated with a short-term increase in cardiorespiratory hospitalization risk among the elderly, based on a multi-year/multi-site investigation of US Medicare beneficiaries ≥65 years.

Assessing United States County-Level Exposure for Research on Tropical Cyclones and Human Health.

BACKGROUND: Tropical cyclone epidemiology can be advanced through exposure assessment methods that are comprehensive and consistent across space and time, as these facilitate multiyear, multistorm studies. Further, an understanding of patterns in and between exposure metrics that are based on specific hazards of the storm can help in designing tropical cyclone epidemiological research. OBJECTIVES: a) Provide an open-source data set for tropical cyclone exposure assessment for epidemiological research; and b) investigate patterns and agreement between county-level assessments of tropical cyclone exposure based on different storm hazards. METHODS: We created an open-source data set with data at the county level on exposure to four tropical cyclone hazards: peak sustained wind, rainfall, flooding, and tornadoes. The data cover all eastern U.S. counties for all land-falling or near-land Atlantic basin storms, covering 1996-2011 for all metrics and up to 1988-2018 for specific metrics. We validated measurements against other data sources and investigated patterns and agreement among binary exposure classifications based on these metrics, as well as compared them to use of distance from the storm's track, which has been used as a proxy for exposure in some epidemiological studies. RESULTS: Our open-source data set was typically consistent with data from other sources, and we present and discuss areas of disagreement and other caveats. Over the study period and area, tropical cyclones typically brought different hazards to different counties. Therefore, when comparing exposure assessment between different hazard-specific metrics, agreement was usually low, as it also was when comparing exposure assessment based on a distance-based proxy measurement and any of the hazard-specific metrics. DISCUSSION: Our results provide a multihazard data set that can be leveraged for epidemiological research on tropical cyclones, as well as insights that can inform the design and analysis for tropical cyclone epidemiological research. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP6976.

The association between socio-economic status and diabetes care and outcome in children with diabetes type 1 in Germany: The DIAS study (diabetes and social disparities).

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between socioeconomic status (SES) and diabetes outcomes in German children and adolescents. METHODS: A total of 1829 subjects <18 years old with type 1 diabetes mellitus from 13 German diabetes centers were included from June 2013 until June 2014. Data were collected within the multicenter DPV (Diabetes Prospective Follow-up) registry. SES was measured with a composite index. Multivariable regression models were applied to analyze the association of SES and outcomes adjusted for age, sex, diabetes duration, and migration status. RESULTS: Low SES was significantly associated with worse diabetes outcomes: higher hemoglobin A1C (HbA1c) (64.3 mmol/mol), lower proportion of insulin pump therapy (43.6%), fewer daily self-monitored blood glucose (SMBG) measurements (5.7), more inpatient days per patient-year (5.8) compared to patients with medium/high SES (HbA1c: 61.3 mmol/mol, P < 0.001/59.8 mmol/mol, P < 0.0001; proportion of pump therapy: 54.5%, P < 0.01/ 54.9%, P < 0.01; SMBG: 6.0, P < 0.01/ 6.1, P < 0.01; inpatient days: 4.5, P < 0.0001/3.4, P < 0.0001). The inclusion of migration status in the models resulted in only minor changes in the outcomes. CONCLUSION: Despite free health care, low SES is associated with unfavorable diabetes outcomes in Germany. The poorer diabetes outcomes of children with diabetes have been attributed to their migration status and may be partly explained by low SES. Both factors must become part of targeted diabetes care in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes.

Factors influencing life satisfaction in acute myeloid leukemia survivors following allogeneic stem cell transplantation: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Allogeneic stem cell transplantation (alloSCT) is the preferred option of postremission therapy for high-risk patients suffering from acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Therefore, monitoring life satisfaction (LS) of long-term survivors following alloSCT is becoming increasingly important for oncologists. The aim of the study was to evaluate individual survivor priority of various general and health-related domains of life and their satisfaction with these domains. Furthermore, we investigated the impact of general and health-related LS on resilience, anxiety, depression and quality of life in AML survivors following alloSCT. METHODS: Forty-one AML survivors (median age at time of assessment = 49.0 years) who had undergone alloSCT (median time since transplantation = 3.1 years) were enrolled in the study. Psychosocial parameters were assessed using the following instruments: FLZ(M) (Questions on Life Satisfaction), EORTC QLQ-C30, HADS (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale) and the RS-25 (Resilience Scale-25 items). Correlation analyses were computed to reveal the associations between the different questionnaires. RESULTS: Independence from help or care, well-regulated living conditions and financial security contributed positively to LS, whereas being off work due to health-reasons and dissatisfaction with physical aspects were negatively associated to the subjective feelings of overall satisfaction. Moreover, a high quality of life was strongly positively correlated with LS (Spearman's rho general LS: 0.643 and health-related LS: 0.726, both p < 0.001). A high degree of resilience was also strongly positively correlated with better LS (general LS: 0.700, health-related LS: 0.675, both p < 0.001). Symptoms of anxiety and depression were associated with an impaired general LS (anxiety: -0.674, depression: -0.698, both p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that LS should be considered an important key contributor to the survivors' well-being following alloSCT. Thus, identifying protective psychological and physical factors that relieve stressors is of high importance in order to support long-term AML survivors with their special needs.

Resilience in patients after allogeneic stem cell transplantation.

PURPOSE: After undergoing allogeneic stem cell transplantation (alloSCT), patients adapt in very different ways to their taxing situation. Some patients cope very well; others almost seem to fail. Psychosocial variables are important factors for successful reintegration. Besides quality of life, resilience may help to understand the variance in individual differences in adaptation after alloSCT. METHODS: A pilot study at the University Hospital Muenster, Germany, assessed resilience in patients after alloSCT. The sample included 75 patients (leukemia, lymphoma, myeloma, aplastic anemia) aged 20-76 years. The instruments Resilience Scale RS-25, Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, General Self-efficacy Scale, and EORTC QLQ-C30 were used. RESULTS: Resilience is positively correlated with quality of life (Spearman's rho 0.587) and social functioning (0.472), negatively with anxiety (-0.491) and depression (-0.577). Dividing the sample at the median resilience score of 144 reveals that high-resilience patients report less anxiety (p = 0.008) and depression (p < 0.001); higher physical (p = 0.041), emotional (p = 0.030), and social functioning (p = 0.003); and a better quality of life (p < 0.001) than low-resilience patients. No effects on resilience were found for age, gender, and primary disease entity. The high correlation of resilience and self-efficacy (r = 0.698) shows the strong relationship between the two concepts. Our results indicate a potential influence of the time span from alloSCT on patients' resilience. CONCLUSIONS: Resilience should be considered as a protective psychosocial factor for patients after alloSCT. A high degree of resilience can help patients to adapt to their situation and to resume their everyday life.

Direct diabetes-related costs in young patients with early-onset, long-lasting type 1 diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate diabetes-related direct health care costs in pediatric patients with early-onset type 1 diabetes of long duration in Germany. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Data of a population-based cohort of 1,473 subjects with type 1 diabetes onset at 0-4 years of age within the years 1993-1999 were included (mean age 13.9 (SD 2.2) years, mean diabetes duration 10.9 (SD 1.9) years, as of 31.12.2007). Diabetes-related health care services utilized in 2007 were derived from a nationwide prospective documentation system (DPV). Health care utilization was valued in monetary terms based on inpatient and outpatient medical fees and retail prices (perspective of statutory health insurance). Multiple regression models were applied to assess associations between direct diabetes-related health care costs per patient-year and demographic and clinical predictors. RESULTS: Mean direct diabetes-related health care costs per patient-year were €3,745 (inter-quartile range: 1,943-4,881). Costs for glucose self-monitoring were the main cost category (28.5%), followed by costs for continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion (25.0%), diabetes-related hospitalizations (22.1%) and insulin (18.4%). Female gender, pubertal age and poor glycemic control were associated with higher and migration background with lower total costs. CONCLUSIONS: Main cost categories in patients with on average 11 years of diabetes duration were costs for glucose self-monitoring, insulin pump therapy, hospitalization and insulin. Optimization of glycemic control in particular in pubertal age through intensified care with improved diabetes education and tailored insulin regimen, can contribute to the reduction of direct diabetes-related costs in this patient group.

Chemical and sensory evaluation of dark chocolate with addition of quinoa (Chenopodium quinoa Willd.).

Quinoa (Chenopodium quinoa Willd) is a good source of vitamin E containing high quality protein. A dark chocolate with the addition of 12, 16 or 20% quinoa was developed. The protein concentration of the products increased as the percentage of quinoa increased. The product containing 20% quinoa showed only 9% increase in vitamin E, while the quantity of polyphenols decreased from 23.5 to 18 µmol pirocatechin/g. The amount of essential amino acids was improved in samples containing quinoa. Cysteine, tyrosine and methionine increased by 104, 72, 70%, respectively in chocolate containing 20% quinoa. The amino acid pattern was as per WHO standards, which was adequate to human needs. The chocolate with quinoa was approved by 92% of the sensory panel. All the samples showed an index of acceptance above 70%. Quinoa could be used at the levels evaluated in this study adding its potential health benefit to the dark chocolate.

Impact of different post-remission strategies on quality of life in patients with acute myeloid leukemia.

BACKGROUND: The impact on quality of life of allogeneic stem cell transplantation or conventional chemotherapy in patients with acute myeloid leukemia remains unclear, mainly because of a lack of studies with long-term follow-up. The German AML-Intergroup, therefore, initiated a survey on quality of life of patients with a relapse-free survival of at least 5 years after first-line treatment. DESIGN AND METHODS: The EORTC Quality of Life Core Questionnaire (QLQ-C30), supplemented by information on self-assessed concomitant diseases, late treatment effects, and demographics was used. The questionnaire was returned by 419 of 818 patients (51.2%) identified by six study groups. The patients' median age at diagnosis was 42 years, and the median follow-up period was 8 years. One hundred and seventy patients were treated with stem cell transplantation (121 allogenic, 49 autologous) in first complete remission; the other 249 patients were treated with conventional chemotherapy. RESULTS: The ECOG activity index revealed normal activity in 45% vs. 60% of the patients in the allogeneic stem cell transplantation vs. conventional chemotherapy groups, respectively and disabled person status in 60% vs. 35%. All QLQ-C30 functions, except physical functioning and pain, were poorer in allogeneic stem cell transplantation patients. Problems in leisure-time activities, social life, and financial management, sexual limitations and adverse effects were significantly more frequent in patients after allogeneic stem cell transplantation than after conventional chemotherapy. Multivariate logistic regression models on global health status revealed concomitant disease, age > 45 years, and allogeneic stem cell transplantation as significant risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that, compared to conventional chemotherapy, allogeneic stem cell transplantation has a significantly worse long-term impact on quality of life. This needs to be considered when treatment options are discussed.

Treatment of older patients with AML.

Undertreatment of the older patients with AML can explain, in part, their inferior outcome when compared with that in younger patients. In analogy to the benefit of patients under the age of 60 years from high-dose AraC there are dosage related therapeutic effects in the patients over 60 years in particular for daunorubicin in the induction treatment, and for maintenance versus no maintenance in the post-remission treatment. Utilizing these effects can partly overcome the mostly unfavorable disease biology in older age AML, whereas the role of risk factors involved is not completely understood and the concept of dose-response needs to be requestioned. We recommend an adequate dosage of 60 mg/(m2day) daunorubicin for 3 days in a combination with standard dose AraC and 6-thioguanine given for induction and consolidation and followed by a prolonged monthly maintenance chemotherapy. Further improvements in supportive care may help delivering additional anti-leukemic cytotoxicity. As a novel approach, reduced toxicity preparative regimens may open up allogeneic transplantation for older patients with AML. Other new options like MDR modulators, antibody targeted therapies and tyrosine kinase inhibitors are under clinical investigation. A questionnaire study in patients with AML showed that according to patients' self-assessment intensive and prolonged treatment did not result in decreasing quality of life. This finding did not vary by age under or above 60 years. Given the actual median age in this disease being more than 60 years the adequate management of older age AML remains as the major challenge.

Combined modality treatment for locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer: preoperative chemoradiation does not result in a poorer quality of life.

The German Lung Cancer Cooperative Group (GLCCG) is assessing the impact of chemoradiation in addition to chemotherapy in the neoadjuvant treatment of stage III NSCLC. After three cycles of cisplatin/etoposide patients receive either hyperfractionated radiotherapy (RT) with concurrent carboplatin/vindesine and then surgery (arm A) versus surgery and then conventional RT (arm B). Quality of life (QL) was assessed throughout therapy using the EORTC QLQ-C30 and EORTC QLQ-LC 13. Of 126 eligible patients, 54 completed treatment. For patients in both treatment arms physical functioning decreased, whereas dyspnoea, fatigue and pain increased from beginning to the end of treatment. For self-assessed QL no statistically significant effect was found in or between the two treatment arms. The combined modality approach with preoperative radio/chemotherapy proves to be feasible in treating locally advanced NSCLC patients without decreasing their subjective QL.

Psycho-oncology in a united Europe--changes and challenges.

The paper provides an overview on the 11th scientific conference of the European Society for Psycho-Oncology (ESPO), which took place in June 2001, at Heidelberg, Germany. The main topics discussed during the conference were: (1) the state of the art of research on the effects of psychological interventions in cancer patients; (2) psychosocial aspects in the new field of cancer genetics; (3) recent developments in Quality of Life research; (4) Psycho-Oncology from an European perspective; and (5) children and cancer. The conference gave an impressive picture of the many achievements Psycho-Oncology in Europe has accomplished during the last years, in the clinical and scientific domain. With recent biomedical innovations Psycho-Oncology is facing new challenges. Despite these achievements limitations have become apparent. Identifying these limitations, future aims can be outlined. Among these, there is the need for methodological refinement, as well as for proof of clinical relevance of research results, in order to narrow the gap between research and practice.

Acute myeloid leukemia: treatment over 60.

Undertreatment of older patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) can explain, in part, their inferior outcome when compared to that of younger patients. In agreement with the benefit seen by patients under age 60 from high-dose cytosine arabinoside (Ara-C), there are dose effects in the over 60s, in particular for daunorubicin, in induction treatment and for the duration of postremission treatment. The use of these effects can partly overcome the mostly unfavorable disease biology in older age AML, as expressed by the absence of favorable and the over-representation of adverse chromosomal abnormalities as well as the expression of drug resistance. We recommend an adequate dosage of 60 mg/m2 daunorubicin on 3 days in combination with standard dose Ara-C and 6-thioguanine given for induction and consolidation, and followed by a prolonged monthly maintenance chemotherapy for at least 1 year's duration. Further improvements in supportive care may help to deliver additional antileukemic cytotoxicity. As a novel approach, nonmyeloablative preparative regimens may open up the possibility of allogeneic transplantation for older patients with AML. Other new options like multidrug resistance modulators, antibody targeted therapies and molecular targeting are under clinical investigation. A questionnaire study in patients with AML showed that, according to patients' self-assessment, intensive and prolonged treatment did not result in a diminished quality of life. This finding did not vary by age, under or over 60 years. As the median age in this disease is more than 60 years, the adequate management of AML in older patients remains the major challenge.

Fatigue as an important aspect of quality of life in patients with acute myeloid leukemia.

Quality of life (QL) was evaluated in 101 patients with AML undergoing intensive and prolonged treatment at 12 sequential time points by using the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) QLQ-C 30 questionnaire and the profile of mood states scale (POMS). For those patients having completed the course of inpatient treatment (n=37), QL improved from the beginning of chemotherapy to the end of inpatient treatment. Patients who subsequently went off protocol did not differ significantly in their self-assessed QL when compared with patients who completed therapy. Fatigue was more closely related to QL than nausea/emesis or appetite loss, but did not correlate with hemoglobin levels.