Machine intelligence identifies soluble TNFa as a therapeutic target for spinal cord injury.

Traumatic spinal cord injury (SCI) produces a complex syndrome that is expressed across multiple endpoints ranging from molecular and cellular changes to functional behavioral deficits. Effective therapeutic strategies for CNS injury are therefore likely to manifest multi-factorial effects across a broad range of biological and functional outcome measures. Thus, multivariate analytic approaches are needed to capture the linkage between biological and neurobehavioral outcomes. Injury-induced neuroinflammation (NI) presents a particularly challenging therapeutic target, since NI is involved in both degeneration and repair. Here, we used big-data integration and large-scale analytics to examine a large dataset of preclinical efficacy tests combining five different blinded, fully counter-balanced treatment trials for different acute anti-inflammatory treatments for cervical spinal cord injury in rats. Multi-dimensional discovery, using topological data analysis (TDA) and principal components analysis (PCA) revealed that only one showed consistent multidimensional syndromic benefit: intrathecal application of recombinant soluble TNFα receptor 1 (sTNFR1), which showed an inverse-U dose response efficacy. Using the optimal acute dose, we showed that clinically-relevant 90 min delayed treatment profoundly affected multiple biological indices of NI in the first 48 h after injury, including reduction in pro-inflammatory cytokines and gene expression of a coherent complex of acute inflammatory mediators and receptors. Further, a 90 min delayed bolus dose of sTNFR1 reduced the expression of NI markers in the chronic perilesional spinal cord, and consistently improved neurological function over 6 weeks post SCI. These results provide validation of a novel strategy for precision preclinical drug discovery that is likely to improve translation in the difficult landscape of CNS trauma, and confirm the importance of TNFα signaling as a therapeutic target.

Interplay of strain and race/ethnicity in the innate immune response to M. tuberculosis.

BACKGROUND: The roles of host and pathogen factors in determining innate immune responses to M. tuberculosis are not fully understood. In this study, we examined host macrophage immune responses of 3 race/ethnic groups to 3 genetically and geographically diverse M. tuberculosis lineages. METHODS: Monocyte-derived macrophages from healthy Filipinos, Chinese and non-Hispanic White study participants (approximately 45 individuals/group) were challenged with M. tuberculosis whole cell lysates of clinical strains Beijing HN878 (lineage 2), Manila T31 (lineage 1), CDC1551 (lineage 4), the reference strain H37Rv (lineage 4), as well as with Toll-like receptor 2 agonist lipoteichoic acid (TLR2/LTA) and TLR4 agonist lipopolysaccharide (TLR4/LPS). Following overnight incubation, multiplex assays for nine cytokines: IL-1ß, IL-2, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12p70, IFNγ, TNFα, and GM-CSF, were batch applied to supernatants. RESULTS: Filipino macrophages produced less IL-1, IL-6, and more IL-8, compared to macrophages from Chinese and Whites. Race/ethnicity had only subtle effects or no impact on the levels of IL-10, IL-12p70, TNFα and GM-CSF. In response to the Toll-like receptor 2 agonist lipoteichoic acid (TLR2/LTA), Filipino macrophages again had lower IL-1 and IL-6 responses and a higher IL-8 response, compared to Chinese and Whites. The TLR2/LTA-stimulated Filipino macrophages also produced lower amounts of IL-10, TNFα and GM-CSF. Race/ethnicity had no impact on IL-12p70 levels released in response to TLR2/LTA. The responses to TLR4 agonist lipopolysaccharide (TLR4/LPS) were similar to the TLR2/LTA responses, for IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, and IL-10. However, TLR4/LPS triggered the release of less IL-12p70 from Filipino macrophages, and less TNFα from White macrophages. CONCLUSIONS: Both host race/ethnicity and pathogen strain influence the innate immune response. Such variation may have implications for the development of new tools across TB therapeutics, immunodiagnostics and vaccines.

Biomarkers of Tuberculosis Severity and Treatment Effect: A Directed Screen of 70 Host Markers in a Randomized Clinical Trial.

More efficacious treatment regimens are needed for tuberculosis, however, drug development is impeded by a lack of reliable biomarkers of disease severity and of treatment effect. We conducted a directed screen of host biomarkers in participants enrolled in a tuberculosis clinical trial to address this need. Serum samples from 319 protocol-correct, culture-confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis patients treated under direct observation as part of an international, phase 2 trial were screened for 70 markers of infection, inflammation, and metabolism. Biomarker assays were specifically developed for this study and quantified using a novel, multiplexed electrochemiluminescence assay. We evaluated the association of biomarkers with baseline characteristics, as well as with detailed microbiologic data, using Bonferroni-adjusted, linear regression models. Across numerous analyses, seven proteins, SAA1, PCT, IL-1ß, IL-6, CRP, PTX-3 and MMP-8, showed recurring strong associations with markers of baseline disease severity, smear grade and cavitation; were strongly modulated by tuberculosis treatment; and had responses that were greater for patients who culture-converted at 8weeks. With treatment, all proteins decreased, except for osteocalcin, MCP-1 and MCP-4, which significantly increased. Several previously reported putative tuberculosis-associated biomarkers (HOMX1, neopterin, and cathelicidin) were not significantly associated with treatment response. In conclusion, across a geographically diverse and large population of tuberculosis patients enrolled in a clinical trial, several previously reported putative biomarkers were not significantly associated with treatment response, however, seven proteins had recurring strong associations with baseline radiographic and microbiologic measures of disease severity, as well as with early treatment response, deserving additional study.

Serum biomarkers of treatment response within a randomized clinical trial for pulmonary tuberculosis.

RATIONALE: Biomarkers for monitoring response to anti-tuberculosis treatment are needed. We explored immune markers previously published as having predictive capability for 8 week culture status in 39 adults enrolled in a clinical trial in Kampala, Uganda. METHODS: We consecutively selected 20 HIV-negative pulmonary TB subjects with positive cultures, and 19 subjects with negative cultures at the end of intensive phase therapy. At baseline and after 8 weeks, serum was assayed for nine cytokines and soluble cytokine receptors using multiplexed platforms or ELISA. We evaluated their association with week 8 culture status first using single-variable logistic models, then using cross-validated estimates of the C-statistic, a measure of discrimination, of candidate models including 2 or 3 analytes in addition to age. RESULTS: All but one analyte decreased from baseline to week 8 (all p < 0.01). Individual biomarkers were not associated with 8 week culture status. Logistic models including increasing age, higher baseline soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor alpha 1 (sTNF-R1), and higher week 8 C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration classified subjects by culture status with up to 85% accuracy and acceptable discrimination (cross-validated C-statistic 0.76) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow P > 0.2). CONCLUSION: Exploratory post-hoc models including sTNF-R1, CRP, and age, classified 8 week culture status with promising accuracy.

Distinguishing recurrent intra-axial metastatic tumor from radiation necrosis following gamma knife radiosurgery using dynamic susceptibility-weighted contrast-enhanced perfusion MR imaging.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: MR image-guided gamma knife radiosurgery is often used to treat intra-axial metastatic neoplasms. Following treatment, it is often difficult to determine whether a progressively enhancing lesion is due to metastatic tumor recurrence or radiation necrosis. The purpose of our study was to determine whether relative cerebral blood volume (rCBV), relative peak height (rPH), and percentage of signal-intensity recovery (PSR) derived from dynamic susceptibility-weighted contrast-enhanced perfusion MR imaging can distinguish recurrent metastatic tumor from radiation necrosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty-seven patients with systemic cancer underwent gamma knife radiosurgery for metastatic lesions of the brain and subsequently developed enlarging regions of enhancement within the radiation field. Subsequent surgical resection or clinicoradiologic follow-up established a diagnosis of recurrent metastatic tumor or radiation necrosis. Perfusion MR imaging datasets were retrospectively reprocessed, and regions of interest were drawn around the entire contrast-enhancing region. The resulting T2* signal-intensity time curves produced rCBV, rPH, and PSR values for each examination. A Welch t test was used to compare imaging values between groups. RESULTS: The mean, minimum, and maximum PSR values were significantly lower (P < .01) in cases of recurrent metastatic tumor. The mean and maximum rCBV and rPH values were significantly higher (P < .02) in the recurrent metastatic tumor group. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of our study suggest that perfusion MR imaging may be used to differentiate recurrent intra-axial metastatic tumor from gamma knife-induced radiation necrosis.

Biaxial testing of human annulus fibrosus and its implications for a constitutive formulation.

Internal pressure in the healthy human annulus fibrosus leads to multiaxial stress in vivo, yet uniaxial tests have been used exclusively to characterize its in vitro mechanical response and to determine its elastic strain energy function (W). We expected that biaxial tension tests would provide unique and necessary data for characterizing the annular material response, and thereby, for determining W. We performed uniaxial and biaxial tests on specimens of annulus, then developed an objective methodology for defining an appropriate form for W that considers data from multiple experiments simultaneously and allows the data to dictate more directly the form and the number of parameters needed. We found that the stresses attained in the biaxial tests were higher, while the strains were considerably lower, than those observed in the uniaxial tests. A comparison of strain energy functions determined from the different data sets demonstrated that constitutive models derived from uniaxial data could not predict annulus behavior in biaxial tension and vice versa. Since the annulus is in a state of multaxial stress in vivo, we conclude that uniaxial tests alone are insufficient to prescribe a physiologically relevant W for this tissue.

Molecular characterization of genomic AML1-ETO fusions in childhood leukemia.

T(8;21) AML1(CBFA2)-ETO(MTG8) is the most common chromosomal translocation in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) in both children and adults. We sought to understand the structure and gain insight into the fusion process between AML1 and ETO by sequencing genomic fusions in 17 primary childhood AMLs and two cell lines with t(8;21). Reciprocal translocations were sequenced for seven of the 19 samples. We assumed a null hypothesis that the translocation breakpoints would be evenly distributed along the intronic breakpoint cluster regions. Testing for multimodality via smoothed bootstrap statistical methods suggested, however, the presence of two separate cluster regions within both the AML1 and ETO breakpoint cluster regions. ETObreakpoints were predominantly located in intron 1B in a defined cluster 5' of exon 1A (scan statistic P value = 0.00001). All patients with available RNA expressed an AML1-ETO mRNA fusion between exon 5 of AML1 and exon 2 of ETO. Since the structural restraints for the fusion protein of AML1-ETO exclude exon 1A, we reason that ETO intron 1B harbors a structural feature with propensity for breakage and/or recombination. Chromosomal breakpoints displayed evidence of fusion by a non-homologous end joining process, with microhomologies and nontemplate nucleotides at some fusion junctions. Breakpoints in general displayed similar complexity of duplications, deletions, and insertions to other common pediatric leukemia translocations (TEL-AML1, MLL-AF4, PML-RARA, CBFB-MYH11) that we and others have analyzed.

Magnetic resonance imaging measurement of relaxation and water diffusion in the human lumbar intervertebral disc under compression in vitro.

STUDY DESIGN: Twelve lumbar intervertebral disc specimens were imaged with magnetic resonance imaging to estimate relaxation constants, T1 and T2, and tissue water diffusion, before and after applying compression. OBJECTIVES: The objectives of the study were to measure T1, T2, and water diffusion for differences with loading state, region of the disc (anulus fibrosus or nucleus pulposus), and grade of degeneration. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Magnetic resonance imaging can be used qualitatively to estimate water content and degeneration of the intervertebral disc. Beyond structural information of images, the relaxation times T1 and T2 may contain information on the changes occurring with degeneration. A modified spin-echo sequence can be used to estimate tissue water diffusion in cartilage and disc specimens with the ability to measure anisotropy. METHODS: Specimens were imaged in a 1.5-Tesla clinical scanner. T1, T2, and water diffusion were estimated from midsagittal images. Magnetic resonance imaging parameters were calculated before and after axial loading. The measured T1, T2, and D (diffusion coefficient) were compared before and after compression, and for the diffusion data, also by direction to consider anisotropy. RESULTS: For the T1 data, a significant difference was found by region, nucleus > anulus, and loading state, loaded > unloaded. For the T2 values, there was a significant difference by region, nucleus > anulus, and Thompson grade. For diffusion, significant differences were found by region, nucleus > anulus, Thompson grade, direction of diffusion, and state of compression, loaded > unloaded. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated that magnetic resonance imaging can be used to measure significant changes in T1, T2, or diffusion in intervertebral disc specimens by region, loading condition, or Thompson grade.

A comparison of lorazepam, diazepam, and placebo for the treatment of out-of-hospital status epilepticus.

BACKGROUND: It is uncertain whether the administration of benzodiazepines by paramedics is an effective and safe treatment for out-of-hospital status epilepticus. METHODS: We conducted a randomized, double-blind trial to evaluate intravenous benzodiazepines administered by paramedics for the treatment of out-of-hospital status epilepticus. Adults with prolonged (lasting five minutes or more) or repetitive generalized convulsive seizures received intravenous diazepam (5 mg), lorazepam (2 mg), or placebo. An identical second injection was given if needed. RESULTS: Of the 205 patients enrolled, 66 received lorazepam, 68 received diazepam, and 71 received placebo. Status epilepticus had been terminated on arrival at the emergency department in more patients treated with lorazepam (59.1 percent) or diazepam (42.6 percent) than patients given placebo (21.1 percent) (P=0.001). After adjustment for covariates, the odds ratio for termination of status epilepticus by the time of arrival in the lorazepam group as compared with the placebo group was 4.8 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.9 to 13.0). The odds ratio was 1.9 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.8 to 4.4) in the lorazepam group as compared with the diazepam group and 2.3 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.0 to 5.9) in the diazepam group as compared with the placebo group. The rates of respiratory or circulatory complications (indicated by bag valve-mask ventilation or an attempt at intubation, hypotension, or cardiac dysrhythmia) after the study treatment was administered were 10.6 percent for the lorazepam group, 10.3 percent for the diazepam group, and 22.5 percent for the placebo group (P=0.08). CONCLUSIONS: Benzodiazepines are safe and effective when administered by paramedics for out-of-hospital status epilepticus in adults. Lorazepam is likely to be a better therapy than diazepam.

Relating amino acid sequence to phenotype: analysis of peptide-binding data.

We illustrate data analytic concerns that arise in the context of relating genotype, as represented by amino acid sequence, to phenotypes (outcomes). The present application examines whether peptides that bind to a particular major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class I molecule have characteristic amino acid sequences. However, the concerns identified and addressed are considerably more general. It is recognized that simple rules for predicting binding based solely on preferences for specific amino acids in certain (anchor) positions of the peptide's amino acid sequence are generally inadequate and that binding is potentially influenced by all sequence positions as well as between-position interactions. The desire to elucidate these more complex prediction rules has spawned various modeling attempts, the shortcomings of which provide motivation for the methods adopted here. Because of (i) this need to model between-position interactions, (ii) amino acids constituting a highly (20) multilevel unordered categorical covariate, and (iii) there frequently being numerous such covariates (i.e., positions) comprising the sequence, standard regression/classification techniques are problematic due to the proliferation of indicator variables required for encoding the sequence position covariates and attendant interactions. These difficulties have led to analyses based on (continuous) properties (e.g., molecular weights) of the amino acids. However, there is potential information loss in such an approach if the properties used are incomplete and/or do not capture the mechanism underlying association with the phenotype. Here we demonstrate that handling unordered categorical covariates with numerous levels and accompanying interactions can be done effectively using classification trees and recently devised bump-hunting methods. We further tackle the question of whether observed associations are attributable to amino acid properties as well as addressing the assessment and implications of between-position covariation.

Validation of the American Association for the Surgery of Trauma organ injury severity scale for the kidney.

BACKGROUND: We queried an observational database of renal trauma patients to validate the organ injury severity scale (kidney) of the American Association for the Surgery of Trauma (AAST). METHODS: In a retrospective review of our renal trauma database (2,467 patients) with 58 clinical and radiographic patient variables, statistical "classification trees" were used to determine factors predicting need for surgical repair. RESULTS: Scales correlated with the need for surgery (grade I = 0%, grade II = 15%, grade III = 76%, grade IV = 78%, and grade V = 93%) and for nephrectomy (grade I = 0%, grade II = 0%, grade III = 3%, grade IV = 9%, and grade V = 86%). Classification tree analysis (confirmed in 83 additional patients) identified the AAST organ injury severity scale as the most important variable predicting the need for renal repair. CONCLUSION: In a retrospective review of more than 2,500 patients, we determined that the AAST organ injury severity scale correlates with the need for kidney repair or removal. Classification tree analysis confirmed the scale as the prime variable predicting need for surgical repair.

Inhaled nitric oxide in neonates with persistent pulmonary hypertension.

To investigate the oxygenation and haemodynamic dose response to inhaled nitric oxide in neonates with persistent pulmonary hypertension (PPHN), we gave seven neonates nitric oxide and measured directly pulmonary arterial pressure. Inhaled nitric oxide produced peak improvement in oxygenation at 5 parts per million (ppm) whereas peak improvement in the pulmonary-to-systemic arterial pressure ratio did not occur until a nitric oxide dose of 20 ppm, which suggests that an Initial dose of 20 ppm is optimum for the treatment of PPHN.

Temporal lobe epilepsy: qualitative reading of 1H MR spectroscopic images for presurgical evaluation.

PURPOSE: To study the feasibility and clinical potential of visual inspection of hydrogen 1 magnetic resonance (MR) spectroscopic metabolite images for the lateralization of unilateral nonlesional temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE). MATERIALS AND METHODS: MR imaging and 1H MR spectroscopic imaging were performed of the temporal lobes in 50 patients with TLE and 23 age-matched healthy volunteers. N-acetylaspartate (NAA) and creatine plus choline metabolite images were read by two neuroradiologists who determined lateralization according to the side of lower NAA signal intensity. Quantitative estimates of NAA were calculated by using an automated fitting program. RESULTS: Agreement in lateralization between readers was significant with a kappa score of 0.53 for all patients with TLE and 0.63 for patients displaying mild or marked NAA asymmetry. Among the 50 patients with TLE, lateralization was determined correctly by reader 1 in 38 (76%) patients and by reader 2 in 31 (62%) patients. If limited to patients with mild or marked NAA asymmetry, correct lateralization improved to 30 (77%) of 39 and 16 (80%) of 20 patients, respectively. Combined qualitative reading and quantitative spectral fitting enabled lateralization in 34 (85%) of 40 patients with TLE for reader 1 and 30 (77%) of 39 for reader 2, including nine of 14 patients with TLE with negative MR images. CONCLUSION: Reading of metabolite images is a feasible and fast means for noninvasive evaluation of patients with TLE who are candidates for surgery and enables lateralization in some patients with negative MR images.

Predictors of late asthmatic response. Logistic regression and classification tree analyses.

To identify predictors of the late asthmatic response (LAR), we reviewed data from 60 asthmatic subjects who had undergone allergen challenge over the past 5 yr (33 females, age 31.4 +/- 6.7 yr [mean +/- SD], FEV(1) 90% +/- 14% predicted). Variables considered likely predictors of LAR included baseline FEV(1), PC(20) methacholine (PC(20)), sputum eosinophil percent, and the decrease in FEV(1) within 20 min of allergen challenge. A LAR (FEV(1) >/= 15% fall between 3 and 7 h after challenge) was documented in 57% of subjects. A variety of logistic regression methods revealed a significant inverse association between LAR and PC(20) (odds ratio [OR] = 0.14 [95% CI = 0.03-0.66]) and a positive association between LAR and the decrease in FEV(1) at 20 min (OR = 1.18 [1.04 -1.33]). Classification tree analysis revealed that a threshold of 0.25 mg/ml for PC(20) was most predictive of LAR; LAR developed in 87% of those with PC(20) 0.25 mg/ml (n = 37). Notably, in subjects with PC(20) > 0.25 mg/ml, the incidence of LAR increased from 38% to 57% if the allergen-induced decline in FEV(1) at 20 min was >/= 27%. Surprisingly, baseline FEV(1) and percent eosinophils in induced sputum were not significantly associated with LAR. We conclude that a threshold value of 0.25 mg/ml for PC(20) methacholine is a good predictor of LAR. Measuring the PC(20) methacholine may be useful as a screening method to improve the efficiency of identifying asthmatic subjects with a LAR.

Subcortical ischemic vascular dementia: assessment with quantitative MR imaging and 1H MR spectroscopy.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Subcortical ischemic vascular dementia is associated with cortical hypometabolism and hypoperfusion, and this reduced cortical metabolism or blood flow can be detected with functional imaging such as positron emission tomography. The aim of this study was to characterize, by means of MR imaging and 1H MR spectroscopy, the structural and metabolic brain changes that occur among patients with subcortical ischemic vascular dementia compared with those of elderly control volunteers and patients with Alzheimer's disease. METHODS: Patients with dementia and lacunes (n = 11), cognitive impairment and lacunes (n = 14), and dementia without lacunes (n = 18) and healthy age-matched control volunteers (n = 20) underwent MR imaging and 1H MR spectroscopy. 1H MR spectroscopy data were coanalyzed with coregistered segmented MR images to account for atrophy and tissue composition. RESULTS: Compared with healthy control volunteers, patients with dementia and lacunes had 11.74% lower N-acetylaspartate/creatine ratios (NAA/Cr) (P = .007) and 10.25% lower N-acetylaspartate measurements (NAA) in the cerebral cortex (P = .03). In white matter, patients with dementia and lacunes showed a 10.56% NAA/Cr reduction (P = .01) and a 12.64% NAA reduction (P = .04) compared with control subjects. NAA in the frontal cortex was negatively correlated with the volume of white matter signal hyperintensity among patients with cognitive impairment and lacunes (P = .002). Patients with dementia, but not patients with dementia and lacunes, showed a 10.33% NAA/Cr decrease (P = .02) in the hippocampus compared with healthy control volunteers. CONCLUSION: Patients with dementia and lacunes have reduced NAA and NAA/Cr in both cortical and white matter regions. Cortical changes may result from cortical ischemia/infarction, retrograde or trans-synaptic injury (or both) secondary to subcortical neuronal loss, or concurrent Alzheimer's pathologic abnormalities. Cortical derangement may contribute to dementia among patients with subcortical infarction.

Radiologic staging in patients with endometrial cancer: a meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: To apply a meta-analysis to compare the utility of computed tomography (CT), ultrasonography (US), and magnetic resonance (MR) imaging in staging endometrial cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were obtained from a MEDLINE literature search and from manual reviews of article bibliographies. Articles were selected that included results in patients with proved endometrial cancer and imaging-histopathologic correlation and that presented data that allowed calculation of contingency tables. Data for the imaging evaluation of myometrial and cervical invasion were abstracted independently by two authors. Data on year of publication, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage distribution, and methodologic quality were also collected. A subgroup analysis was performed to compare contrast medium-enhanced MR imaging with nonenhanced MR imaging, US, and CT. RESULTS: Six studies met the inclusion criteria for CT; 16, for US; and 25, for MR imaging. Summary receiver operating characteristic analysis showed no significant differences in the overall performance of CT, US, and MR imaging. In the assessment of myometrial invasion, however, contrast-enhanced MR imaging performed significantly better than did nonenhanced MR imaging or US (P < .002) and demonstrated a trend toward better results, as compared with CT. The lack of data on the assessment of cervical invasion at CT or US prevented meta-analytic comparison with data obtained at MR imaging. Results were not influenced by year of publication, FIGO stage distribution, or methodologic quality. CONCLUSION: Although US, CT, or MR imaging can be used in the pretreatment evaluation of endometrial cancer, contrast-enhanced MR imaging offers "one-stop" examination with the highest efficacy.

Accommodating error analysis in comparison and clustering of molecular fingerprints.

Molecular epidemiologic studies of infectious diseases rely on pathogen genotype comparisons, which usually yield patterns comprising sets of DNA fragments (DNA fingerprints). We use a highly developed genotyping system, IS6110-based restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis of Mycobacterium tuberculosis, to develop a computational method that automates comparison of large numbers of fingerprints. Because error in fragment length measurements is proportional to fragment length and is positively correlated for fragments within a lane, an align-and-count method that compensates for relative scaling of lanes reliably counts matching fragments between lanes. Results of a two-step method we developed to cluster identical fingerprints agree closely with 5 years of computer-assisted visual matching among 1,335 M. tuberculosis fingerprints. Fully documented and validated methods of automated comparison and clustering will greatly expand the scope of molecular epidemiology.

Radiological evaluation of lymph node metastases in patients with cervical cancer. A meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To apply meta-analysis to compare the utility of lymphangiography (LAG), computed tomography (CT), and magnetic resonance (MR) imaging for the diagnosis of lymph node metastasis in patients with cervical cancer. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE literature search and manual reviews of article bibliographies. STUDY SELECTION: Studies selected included at least 20 patients with imaging-histologic correlation, described diagnostic criteria for lymph node metastasis, and presented data to allow calculation of contingency tables. DATA EXTRACTION: Independently by 2 investigators, stratified for stage of disease (early vs late) and for lymph node location (pelvic vs para-aortic). DATA SYNTHESIS: Seventeen studies met the inclusion criteria for LAG, 17 for CT, and 10 for MR imaging. Summary receiver operator characteristic analysis showed no significant differences in the overall performance of LAG, CT, and MR imaging. There was, however, a trend toward better performance for MR imaging than for LAG or CT, both globally and when stratified for stage of disease or for lymph node location. Bayesian analysis of clinical utility showed only moderate increases in positive posttest probability of lymph node metastasis for all methods. Negative test results had a greater impact and, depending on the clinical setting, decreased the probability of lymph node metastasis from 15% to 44% (pretest) to 3% to 18% (posttest). CONCLUSIONS: The LAG, CT, and MR imaging perform similarly in the detection of lymph node metastasis from cervical cancer. As CT and MR imaging are less invasive than LAG and also assess local tumor extent, they should be considered the preferred adjuncts to clinical evaluation of invasive cervical cancer.

Maternal smoking during pregnancy and birth outcomes with weight gain adjustments via varying-coefficient models.

There is considerable interest in the impact of maternal exposures during pregnancy on birth outcomes. Clearly, exposures associated with poor birth outcomes need modification or avoidance. However, arriving at such estimates of association is made challenging by a number of features characteristic of the relevant data. First, exposures may be time varying (for example, cigarette and alcohol consumption) so that, to relate them to birth outcomes, one needs to model them and then extract derived parameters. Secondly, there are likely to be unequal numbers and spacings of exposure determinations during pregnancy. Thirdly, one needs to account for a variety of additional covariates. Finally, the variability and non-linearities inherent in birth outcomes mandate flexible modelling approaches. Here we use data from a cohort of East Boston mothers to assess the impact of smoking during pregnancy on birth weights. We emphasize modelling of, and then adjusting for, maternal weight gain during pregnancy and a proxy measure for pre-pregnancy weight, so as to obtain better estimates of the smoking effect. Throughout, our analysis is guided by appropriate graphics. The adjustment features an interesting application of varying-coefficient models. Results indicate that smoking related deficits in birth weights depend on the mode of adjustment, and that previously observed deficits of approximately 200 g are best recaptured with use of varying-coefficient models.