Value of HAVOC and Brown ESUS-AF scores for atrial fibrillation on implantable cardiac monitors after embolic stroke of undetermined source.

OBJECTIVES: Up to 20 % of ischemic strokes are associated with overt atrial fibrillation (AF). Furthermore, silent AF was detected by an implantable cardiac monitor (ICM) in 1 in 3 cryptogenic strokes in the CRYSTAL AF study. An ESC position paper has suggested a HAVOC score ≥ 4 or a Brown ESUS-AF score ≥ 2 as criteria for ICM implantation after cryptogenic stroke, but neither of these criteria has been developed or validated in ICM populations. We assessed the performance of HAVOC and Brown ESUS-AF scores in a cohort of ICM patients implanted after embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). METHODS: All patients implanted with an ICM for ESUS between February 2016 and February 2022 at two French University Hospitals were retrospectively included. Demographic data, cardiovascular risk factors, and clinical and biological data were collected after a review of electronic medical records. HAVOC and Brown ESUS-AF scores were calculated for all patients. FINDINGS: Among the 384 patients included, 106 (27 %) developed AF during a mean follow-up of 33 months. The scores performances for predicting AF during follow-up were: HAVOC= AUC: 68.5 %, C-Index: 0.662, and Brown ESUS-AF=AUC: 72.9 %, C-index 0.712. Compared with the CHA2DS2-VASc score, only the Brown ESUS-AF score showed significant improvement in NRI/IDI. Furthermore, classifying patients according to the suggested HAVOC and Brown ESUS-AF thresholds, only 24 % and 31 % of the cohort, respectively, would have received an ICM, and 58 (55 %) and 47 (44 %) of the AF patients, respectively, would not have been implanted with an ICM. CONCLUSION: HAVOC and Brown ESUS-AF scores showed close and moderate performance in predicting AF on ICM after cryptogenic stroke, with a significant lack of sensitivity. Specific risk scores should be developed and validated in large ICM cohorts.

Incidence of atrial fibrillation in cryptogenic stroke with patent foramen ovale closure: protocol for the prospective, observational PFO-AF study.

INTRODUCTION: After closure of patent foramen ovale (PFO) due to stroke, atrial fibrillation (AF) occurs in up to one in five patients. However, data are sparse regarding the possible pre-existence of AF in these patients prior to PFO closure, and about recurrence of AF in the long term after the procedure. No prospective study to date has investigated these topics in patients with implanted cardiac monitor (ICM). The PFO-AF study (registered with ClinicalTrials.gov under the number NCT04926142) will investigate the incidence of AF occurring within 2 months after percutaneous closure of PFO in patients with prior stroke. AF will be identified using systematic ICM. Secondary objectives are to assess incidence and burden of AF in the 2 months prior to, and up to 2 years after PFO closure. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Prospective, multicentre, observational study including 250 patients with an indication for PFO closure after stroke, as decided by interdisciplinary meetings with cardiologists and neurologists. Patients will undergo implantation of a Reveal Linq device (Medtronic). Percutaneous PFO closure will be performed 2 months after device implantation. Follow-up will include consultation, ECG and reading of ICM data at 2, 12 and 24 months after PFO closure. The primary endpoint is occurrence of AF at 2 months, defined as an episode of AF or atrial tachycardia/flutter lasting at least 30 s, and recorded by the ICM and/or any AF or atrial tachycardia/flutter documented on ECG during the first 2 months of follow-up. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study was approved by the Ethics Committee 'Comité de Protection des Personnes (CPP) Sud-Méditerranéen III' on 2 June 2021 and registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04926142). Findings will be presented in national and international congresses and peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04926142.

Cardiovascular outcomes after cardiac resynchronization therapy in cardiac amyloidosis.

AIMS: Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is highly effective in dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) patients with impaired left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and left bundle block branch. In cardiac amyloidosis (CA) patients, left ventricular dysfunction and conduction defects are common, but the potential of CRT to improve cardiac remodelling and survival in this particular setting remains undefined. We investigated cardiovascular outcomes in CA patients after CRT implantation in terms of CRT echocardiographic response and major cardiovascular events (MACEs). METHODS AND RESULTS: Our retrospective study included 47 CA patients implanted with CRT devices from January 2012 to February 2020, in nine French university hospitals (77 ± 6 years old, baseline LVEF 30 ± 8%) compared with propensity-matched (1:1 for age, LVEF at implantation, and CRT indication) DCM patients with a CRT device. CA patients had lower rates of CRT response (absolute delta LVEF ≥ 10%) compared with DCM patients (36% vs. 70%, P = 0.002). After multivariate Cox analysis, CA was independently associated with MACE (hospitalization for heart failure/cardiovascular death) [hazard ratio (HR) 3.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.85-7.54, P < 0.001], along with the absence of CRT response (HR 3.01, 95% CI 1.56-5.79, P = 0.001). The presence of echocardiographic CRT response (absolute delta LVEF ≥ 10%) was the only predictive factor of MACE-free survival in CA patients (HR 0.36, 95% CI 0.15-0.86, P = 0.002). CONCLUSION: Compared with a matched cohort of DCM patients, CA patients had a lower rate of CRT response and consequently a worse cardiovascular prognosis after CRT implantation. However, CRT could be beneficial even in CA patients given that CRT response was associated with better cardiac outcomes in this population.

Impact of Midregional N-Terminal Pro-Atrial Natriuretic Peptide and Soluble Suppression of Tumorigenicity 2 Levels on Heart Rhythm in Patients Treated With Catheter Ablation for Atrial Fibrillation: The Biorhythm Study.

Background We assessed the impact of preprocedural plasma levels of MRproANP (midregional N-terminal pro-atrial natriuretic peptide) and sST2 (soluble suppression of tumorigenicity 2) on recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) at 1 year after catheter ablation of AF. Methods and Results This was a prospective, multicenter, observational study including patients undergoing catheter ablation of AF. MRproANP and sST2 were measured in a peripheral venous blood preprocedure, and MRproANP was assessed in the right and left atrial blood during ablation. The primary end point was recurrent AF between 3 and 12 months postablation, defined as a documented (>30 seconds) episode of AF, flutter, or atrial tachycardia. We included 106 patients from December 2017 to March 2019; 105 had complete follow-up, and the mean age was 63 years with 74.2% males. Overall, 34 patients (32.1%) had recurrent AF. In peripheral venous blood, MRproANP was significantly higher in patients with recurrent AF (median, 192.2; [quartile 1-quartile 3, 155.9-263.9] versus 97.1 [60.9-150.7] pmol/L; P<0.0001), as was sST2 (median, 30.3 [quartile 1-quartile 3, 23.3-39.3] versus 23.4 [95% CI, 17.4-33.0] ng/mL; P=0.0033). In the atria, MRproANP was significantly higher than in peripheral blood and was higher during AF than during sinus rhythm. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis identified a threshold of MRproANP>107.9 pmol/L to predict AF recurrence at 1 year and a threshold of >26.7 ng/mL for sST2. By multivariate analysis, MRproANP>107.9 pmol/L was the only independent predictor of recurrent AF (OR, 24.27; 95% CI, 4.23-139.18). MRproANP<107.9 pmol/L identified subjects at very low risk of recurrence (negative predictive value >95%). Conclusions Elevated MRproANP level independently predicts recurrent AF, whereas sST2 levels do not appear to have any prognostic value in assessing the risk of recurrence of AF up to 1 year after catheter ablation. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03351816.

Impact of early (<7 days) pacemaker implantation after cardiac surgery on long-term pacemaker dependency.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to investigate pacemaker dependency after at least 1 year in patients with early (<7 days) implantation, compared to those who received a pacemaker ≥7 days after cardiac surgery. Secondary endpoints were length of hospital stay and in-hospital complications. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 108 consecutive patients who received a pacemaker after cardiac surgery between 06/2012 and 06/2018. Characteristics and outcomes were compared between patients with early (<7 days) and late (≥7 days) implantation. Patients were followed up with evaluation of pacemaker dependency between April and June 2019. We identified predictors of dependency by logistic regression. RESULTS: In total, 63.9% were men, average age 71.9 ± 11.8 years; 32 (29.6%) had early implantation, and 76 (70.4%) late implantation. After a median 3.2 years [IQR 1.9, 4.5] of follow-up, 30 patients (27.8%) had died, and there was no difference in pacemaker dependency among survivors (66.7% vs. 46.5%, early vs. late respectively, p = .15). Patients in the early group had a shorter length of stay (11.5 [9.0, 14.0] vs. 15.0 [11.5, 20] days, p = .002) and less often had new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) post-surgery (22.7% vs. 47.8%, p = .05). The only significant predictor of dependency was aortic valve replacement surgery (OR = 4.70, 95% CI [1.36 to 16.24]). CONCLUSION: Early implantation of a permanent pacemaker (<7 days after cardiac surgery) does not impact on the proportion of patients with long-term (>12 months) pacemaker dependency, but is associated with shorter length of stay and less frequent new-onset AF. These findings warrant prospective confirmation in randomized trials.

Renal dysfunction improves risk stratification and may call for a change in the management of intermediate- and high-risk acute pulmonary embolism: results from a multicenter cohort study with external validation.

BACKGROUND: Renal dysfunction influences outcomes after pulmonary embolism (PE). We aimed to determine the incremental value of adding renal dysfunction, defined by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), on top of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) prognostic model, for the prediction of 30-day mortality in acute PE patients, which in turn could lead to the optimization of acute PE management. METHODS: We performed a multicenter, non-interventional retrospective post hoc analysis based on a prospectively collected cohort including consecutive confirmed acute PE stratified per ESC guidelines. We first identified which of three eGFR formulae most accurately predicted death. Changes in global model fit, discrimination, calibration and reclassification parameters were evaluated with the addition of eGFR to the prognostic model. RESULTS: Among 1943 patients (mean age 67.3 (17.1), 50.4% women), 107 (5.5%) had died at 30 days. The 4-variable Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (eGFRMDRD4) formula predicted death most accurately. In total, 477 patients (24.5%) had eGFRMDRD4 < 60 ml/min. Observed mortality was higher for intermediate-low-risk and high-risk PE in patients with versus without renal dysfunction. The addition of eGFRMDRD4 information improved model fit, discriminatory capacity, and calibration of the ESC model. Reclassification parameters were significantly increased, yielding 18% reclassification of predicted mortality (p < 0.001). Predicted mortality reclassifications across risk categories were as follows: 63.1% from intermediate-low risk to eGFR-defined intermediate-high risk, 15.8% from intermediate-high risk to eGFR-defined intermediate-low risk, and 21.0% from intermediate-high risk to eGFR-defined high risk. External validation in a cohort of 14,234 eligible patients from the RIETE registry confirmed our findings with a significant improvement of Harrell's C index and reclassification parameters. CONCLUSION: The addition of eGFRMDRD4-derived renal dysfunction on top of the prognostic algorithm led to risk reclassification within the intermediate- and high-risk PE categories. The impact of risk stratification integrating renal dysfunction on therapeutic management for acute PE requires further studies.

Clinical patterns and significance of non-compliance with guideline-recommended treatment of acute pulmonary embolism.

BACKGROUND: Evidence-based clinical practice guidelines define initial management of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) according to risk stratification for early death. AIMS: The aims of the present study were to investigate patterns of non-compliance with guidelines for the acute PE treatment, and the associated risk of adverse events. METHODS: We performed an observational, multicentre, cohort study of acute PE. Inclusion criteria were all patients with pulmonary embolism admitted to the participating centres between January 2011 and April 2017. The measure of 100% compliance was used to allocate patients in the compliant or non-compliant groups. The primary outcome was all-cause death at 6 months. Secondary outcomes included recurrent venous thromboembolism and major bleeding. RESULTS: In total, 1285 patients were included. Treatment was not in compliance with the guidelines in 172 patients (13.4%). Four factors were identified to be related to non-compliance with the guidelines: shock or hypotension (relative risk [RR] 5.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.64-10.30; P<0.001), renal insufficiency (RR 1.80, 95% CI 1.41-2.28; P<0.001), active cancer (RR 1.35, 95% CI 1.24-1.48; P<0.001) and right ventricular dysfunction at admission (RR 1.06, 95% CI 1.01-1.11; P=0.01). The primary endpoint of all-cause death at 6 months occurred in 62 of 172 patients (36.0%) in the non-compliant group and in 131 of 1113 patients (11.8%) in the compliant group (hazard ratio 2.02, 95% CI 1.45-2.81; P<0.001). The rates of recurrent venous thromboembolism (8.7% vs 1.1%; P<0.001) and major bleeding (13.4% vs 4.9%, P=0.04) from admission to 6-month follow-up were higher in the non-compliant group. CONCLUSION: Non-compliance with guidelines was independently associated with worse outcomes, including death, recurrent venous thromboembolism and bleeding.

Non-recommended dosing of direct oral anticoagulants in the treatment of acute pulmonary embolism is related to an increased rate of adverse events.

Dose adjustment of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) is not required in the setting of acute PE treatment according to the manufacturer's labelling, beyond the contraindication in severe renal insufficiency. We designed a prospective, multicenter cohort study to investigate the impact of prescription of non-recommended DOAC doses on 6-month adverse events. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death, recurrent VTE, major bleeding, and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH). In total, among 656 patients discharged with DOACs between 09/2012 and 10/2016, 28 (4.3%) were not treated with a recommended DOAC dose. All the non-recommended DOAC dose prescriptions were under-dosed according to the drug labelling. After multivariate adjustment, age > 70 years, a history of coronary artery disease, creatinine clearance < 50 mL/min and concomitant aspirin therapy were independently associated with non-recommended DOAC dose prescription (C-statistic: 0.82; Hosmer Lemeshow test: 0.50). The primary composite endpoint occurred in 7/28 patients (25.0%) in the non-recommended dose group and in 38/628 patients (6.1%) in the recommended dose group, yielding a relative risk of 3.19 in the non-recommended dose group (95% CI 1.16-8.70; p < 0.001). The higher primary endpoint rate observed in the non-recommended dose group was driven by a significantly higher rate of major bleeding (7.1 vs. 1.4%; p = 0.008), with a non-significant trend toward a higher rate of death (7.1 vs. 2.2%; p = 0.23), recurrent VTE (3.6 vs. 1.4%; p = 0.31), and CTEPH (7.1 vs. 1.6%; p = 0.32). In conclusion, empiric dose reduction of DOACs was associated with 6-month adverse events in our real-life registry.