Novel prognostic nomogram for predicting recurrence-free survival in medullary thyroid carcinoma.

AIMS: Recently, there have been attempts to improve prognostication and therefore better guide treatment for patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). In 2022, the International MTC Grading System (IMTCGS) was developed and validated using a multi-institutional cohort of 327 patients. The aim of the current study was to build upon the findings of the IMTCGS to develop and validate a prognostic nomogram to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) in MTC. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 300 patients with MTC from five centres across the USA, Europe, and Australia were used to develop a prognostic nomogram that included the following variables: age, sex, AJCC stage, tumour size, mitotic count, necrosis, Ki67 index, lymphovascular invasion, microscopic extrathyroidal extension, and margin status. A process of 10-fold cross-validation was used to optimize the model's performance. To assess discrimination and calibration, the area-under-the-curve (AUC) of a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, concordance-index (C-index), and dissimilarity index (D-index) were calculated. Finally, the model was externally validated using a separate cohort of 87 MTC patients. The model demonstrated very strong performance, with an AUC of 0.94, a C-index of 0.876, and a D-index of 19.06. When applied to the external validation cohort, the model had an AUC of 0.9. CONCLUSIONS: Using well-established clinicopathological prognostic variables, we developed and externally validated a robust multivariate prediction model for RFS in patients with resected MTC. The model demonstrates excellent predictive capability and may help guide decisions on patient management. The nomogram is freely available online at https://nomograms.shinyapps.io/MTC_ML_DFS/.

Management of Medullary Thyroid Cancer: Patterns of Recurrence and Outcomes of Reoperative Surgery.

BACKGROUND: There remains uncertainty regarding the optimal extent of initial surgery and management of recurrent disease in medullary thyroid cancer (MTC). We aim to describe the patterns of disease recurrence and outcomes of the reoperative surgery in a cohort of consecutively treated patients at a specialized tertiary referral center. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of 235 surgically treated patients with MTC at a tertiary referral center was performed using prospectively collected data. RESULTS: In the study period 1986-2022, 235 patients underwent surgery for MTC. Of these, 45 (19%) patients had reoperative surgery for cervical nodal recurrence at a median (range) 2.1 (0.3-16) years following the index procedure. After a median follow-up of 4 years, 38 (84%) patients remain free of structural cervical recurrence, although 15 (33%) underwent 2 or more reoperative procedures. No long-term complications occurred after reoperative surgery. Local cervical recurrence was independently predicted by pathologically involved nodal status (OR 5.10, P = .01) and failure to achieve biochemical cure (OR 5.0, P = .009). Local recurrence did not adversely affect overall survival and was not associated with distant recurrence (HR 0.93, P = .83). Overall survival was independently predicted by high pathological grade (HR 10.0, P = .002) and the presence of metastatic disease at presentation (HR 8.27, P = 0018). CONCLUSION: Loco-regional recurrence in MTC does not impact overall survival, or the development of metastatic disease, demonstrating the safety of the staged approach to the clinically node-negative lateral neck. When recurrent disease is technically resectable, reoperative surgery can be undertaken with minimal morbidity in a specialized center and facilitates structural disease control.

Lobectomy and completion thyroidectomy rates increase after the 2015 American Thyroid Association Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Guidelines update.

Background: The 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) Guidelines permit thyroid lobectomy (TL) or total thyroidectomy in the management of low-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). As definitive risk-stratification is only possible post-operatively, some patients may require completion thyroidectomy (CT) after final histopathological analysis. Methods: A retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing surgery for low-risk PTC in a tertiary referral centre was undertaken. Consecutive adult patients treated from January 2013 to March 2021 were divided into two groups (pre- and post-publication of ATA Guidelines on 01/01/2016). Only those eligible for lobectomy under rule 35(B) of the ATA Guidelines were included: Bethesda V/VI cytology, 1-4 cm post-operative size and without pre-operative evidence of extrathyroidal extension or nodal metastases. We examined rates of TL, CT, local recurrence and surgical complications. Results: There were 1488 primary surgical procedures performed for PTC on consecutive adult patients during the study period, of which 461 were eligible for TL. Mean tumour size (P = 0.20) and mean age (P = 0.78) were similar between time periods. The TL rate increased significantly from 4.5 to 18% in the post-publication period (P < 0.001). The proportion of TL patients requiring CT (43 vs 38%) was similar between groups (P = 1.0). There was no significant change in complications (P = 0.55) or local recurrence rates (P = 0.24). Conclusion: The introduction of the 2015 ATA Guidelines resulted in a modest but significant increase in the rate of lobectomy for eligible PTC patients. In the post-publication period, 38% of patients who underwent TL ultimately required CT after complete pathological analysis.

A Nod to the Nodes: An Overview of the Role of Central Neck Dissection in the Management of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma.

Lymph node metastasis in thyroid cancer is common and associated with an increased risk of locoregional recurrence (LRR). Although therapeutic central neck dissection is well established, prophylactic central node dissection (pCND) for microscopic occult nodal involvement is controversial and recommendations are based on low-level evidence. The potential benefits of pCND such as reducing LRR and re-operation, refining staging, and improving surveillance are enthusiastically debated and the decision to perform pCND must be weighed up against the increased risks of complications.

Beware the recurrent 'benign' multinodular goitre.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of follicular carcinoma is often difficult to make on pathological analysis, as the histological distinction from follicular adenoma rests solely on the presence of capsular or vascular invasion. Even on retrospective review of the histopathology after the disease biology has declared itself as malignant, the pathological diagnosis of malignancy may not be possible to make. METHODS: We report three cases in which patients were initially diagnosed with benign follicular lesions, but re-presented with locally recurrent disease and a subsequent malignant disease course. RESULTS: We describe a rare entity of follicular thyroid carcinoma that demonstrates a locally recurrent and eventually metastatic disease phenotype, despite persistently benign pathological findings. CONCLUSION: We highlight that if local recurrence occurs in discrete anatomical tissue planes, or in the thyroid bed following open total thyroidectomy for 'benign multinodular goitre', the possibility of this rare presentation of follicular thyroid carcinoma should be considered.

Genotype-Phenotype Correlations and Clinical Outcomes in 155 Cases of Pheochromocytoma and Paraganglioma.

BACKGROUND: Pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma (PPGL) are rare neuroendocrine tumours, often associated with germline mutations that influence the disease biology and clinical course. We aimed to describe the genotypic and phenotypic characteristics of a consecutive series of PPGL patients and correlate mutation status with clinical outcomes. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of all PPGL patients who presented to a tertiary referral centre between March 2005 and February 2022. Genotypic, phenotypic and follow-up data were analysed. RESULTS: A total of 140 patients were included. Of these, 94 (67%) patients underwent genetic testing and a mutation was detected in 36 (38%) patients. Mutation presence was associated with younger age, smaller tumour size and bilateral adrenal tumours. Disease recurrence occurred at a median time of 5.4 (IQR 2.8-11.0) years after treatment in 21 (15%) patients, of which 14 (67%) had a mutation in a susceptibility gene. Recurrence pattern was influenced by mutation type; higher local recurrence risk for SDHA, SDHB, and MEN2B disease, and higher metastatic risk for SDHB, VHL and MEN2A disease. Recurrence occurred in three (3%) patients with mutation absence. Multivariate analysis revealed that age ≤40 years and mutation presence were associated with increased risk of disease recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Genotypic characteristics strongly influence disease presentation and recurrence risk, which may occur more than 5 years after initial treatment. Routine genetic testing of PPGL patients is warranted given the high prevalence of mutations, allowing for prognostication and tailored follow-up. In the presence of germline mutations, follow-up should be life-long.

Unexpected deaths after endocrine surgery: learning from rare events using a national audit of surgical mortality.

BACKGROUND: The mortality rate is low in endocrine surgery, making it a difficult outcome to use for quality improvement in individual units. Lessons from population data sets are of value in improving outcomes. Data from the Australian and New Zealand Audit of Surgical Mortality (ANZASM) were used here to understand and elucidate potential systems issues that may contribute to preventable deaths. METHODS: ANZASM data relating to 30-day mortality after thyroidectomy, parathyroidectomy, and adrenalectomy from 2009 to 2020 were reviewed. Mortality rates were calculated using billing data. Thematic analysis of independent assessor reports was conducted to produce a coding framework. RESULTS: A total of 67 deaths were reported, with an estimated mortality rate of 0.03-0.07 per cent (38 for thyroidectomy (0.03-0.06 per cent), 16 for parathyroidectomy (0.03-0.06 per cent), 13 for adrenalectomy (0.15-0.33 per cent)). Twenty-seven deaths (40 per cent) were precipitated by clinically significant adverse events, and 18 (27 per cent) were judged to be preventable by independent ANZASM assessors. Recurrent themes included inadequate preoperative assessment, lack of anticipation of intraoperative pitfalls, and failure to recognize and effectively address postoperative complications. Several novel themes were reiterated, such as occult ischaemic heart disease associated with death after parathyroid surgery, unexpected intraoperative difficulties from adrenal metastasis, and complications due to anticoagulation therapy after thyroid surgery. CONCLUSION: This study represents a large-scale national report of deaths after endocrine surgery and provides insights into these rare events. Although the overall mortality rate is low, 27 per cent of deaths involved systems issues that were preventable following independent peer review.

Thyroidectomy in Australia 2022: lessons from 21,000 consecutive cases.

In this article, we aim to describe our modern-day approach to total thyroidectomy, detailing the subtle refinements of our technique, as it has evolved over three decades and 21 000 cases. Since Delbridge's seminal paper in 2003, the major changes to our approach include a retrograde approach to the recurrent laryngeal nerve that allows dissection of the distal RLN from fascial bands within the ligament of Berry before medialisation of the thyroid lobe. Routine use of intraoperative nerve monitoring systems has increased our awareness of temporary neuropraxia, facilitated a reduction in the risk of bilateral RLN palsy and improved our identification and preservation of the external branch of the superior laryngeal nerve. The increasing use of advanced energy devices has been associated with a reduction in post-operative haematoma rates. We adopt a low threshold to parathyroid auto-transplantation, unless all glands are assessed to be clearly not at risk, and routinely supplement patients with Caltrate in the immediate post-operative period to minimize the risk of symptomatic hypocalcaemia. Ultimately, when we reflect on the subtle refinements that have contributed to improved outcomes, the fundamental principles of exposure and dissection that have evolved over decades remain the basis of our surgical approach and must continue to do so.

Outcomes of Advanced Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma in the Era of Targeted Therapy.

BACKGROUND: Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) can be targeted with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). We aimed to report the outcomes of surgically managed MTC and to evaluate the impact of TKI use on patient survival. METHODS: Consecutive patients treated surgically for MTC from 1986 to 2020 were identified from a prospectively collected database and were compared on the basis of stage at operation and TKI use. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Among 154 patients with a median age of 52 years, 40% presented with stage I/II disease and 60% presented with advanced (stage III or IV) disease. During a median follow-up of 7.5 years, 21% received TKIs for systemic disease. Those presenting with advanced disease were more likely to receive a TKI (31% vs. 7%), present with tumor invasion of the recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN; 12% vs. 0%) and undergo reoperation (42% vs. 23%) compared with stage I-II patients. For the 11 patients found to have invasion of the RLN, five had preoperative functional vocal cords. Five-year OS was 84% for advanced disease, and stage IV patients who received TKIs had a median survival of 21 years, versus 15 years for those who did not (p = 0.3). CONCLUSIONS: Surgery achieves long-term survival for patients with advanced disease, however these patients are at greater risk of requiring RLN resection due to invasion. A significant OS benefit was not seen for TKI use. For patients with local invasion, neoadjuvant TKI therapy may have a role in reducing local morbidity if confirmed to be of benefit in clinical trials.

Predicting distant metastatic disease in differentiated thyroid cancer: a matched case-control study.

BACKGROUND: The occurrence of distant metastasis (DM) is the most important prognostic factor influencing survival outcomes in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). Identifying patients who are likely to develop DM and offering these cases more aggressive surgical approaches and I-131 therapy, is paramount to achieving the best possible outcomes. DM on presentation in DTC are uncommon, with an incidence of 1-9%. However, the incidence of DTC is rising and the disease affects a relatively young cohort of patients. The aims of this study were to investigate predictive factors in the development of DM by comparing a homogenous group of DTC patients with and without DM, and to illustrate the overall and disease-specific survival (DSS) rates of DTC patients presenting with DM. METHODS: A matched case-control study of patients with DTC and DM was undertaken. The study group comprised a consecutive series of cases with DM treated in the period 1968-2014. Patients with DM at initial presentation were identified (DTC-DM group). A control group of patients without DM were matched based on age, gender, tumour size and histological subtype. The primary outcome measures were overall and disease-free survival. Secondary outcome measures were lymph node involvement (LNI), extra-thyroidal extension (ETE) of tumour and presence of BRAFV600E mutation identified on immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: A total of 2547 patients with DTC were reviewed and of these 83 (3.26%) had DM at initial presentation. At 5 and 10 years, the overall survival rates for DTC-DM patients were 89.6% and 64%, respectively. The 5 and 10 year DSS rates for DTC-DM cases were 90.2% and 67.3%, respectively. When compared to the DTC group, the DTC-DM group had significantly higher rates of ETE (63% vs. 29.5%, P < 0.0001) and LNI (32.5% vs. 18.8%, P = 0.044). Among patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), the presence of BRAFV600E mutation was significantly associated with DM (62.2% vs. 36.8%, P = 0.028). CONCLUSION: ETE, LNI and BRAFV600E mutation in PTC are significant predictors for the development of distant metastatic disease.

Pros and cons of hemi-thyroidectomy for low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer.

The debate regarding the surgical management of low-risk differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is ongoing. The recommended extent of surgery in DTC is based on an assessment of the predicted risk of recurrence and recent guidelines reflect an evolving philosophy of de-escalation of surgical management, informed by a growing understanding of the determinants of tumour biology and important prognostic factors. However, our current clinical and pathological risk stratification processes are imperfect and hence there is significant variation in clinical practice. Surgeons face the challenge of finding the balance between avoiding overtreatment, minimizing complications and providing adequate oncological management. This article discusses the nuances of the current management guidelines as well as the important considerations in preoperative decision making.

Parathyroidectomy for patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism in a changing landscape for the management of end-stage renal disease.

BACKGROUND: The landscape of patients with end-stage renal disease is changing with the increasing availability of kidney transplantation. In the near future, a less aggressive approach to treat secondary hyperparathyroidism might be beneficial. We report outcomes of parathyroidectomy for end-stage renal disease-related hyperparathyroidism comparing the outcomes of limited, subtotal, and total parathyroidectomy. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data. Patients were divided into 3 parathyroidectomy subgroups: limited (<3 glands removed), subtotal (3-3.5 glands), and total (4 glands) parathyroidectomy. Primary outcome was serum levels of parathyroid hormone. Secondary endpoints were serum levels of calcium, phosphate, and alkaline phosphatase, postoperative complications, and persistent or recurrent disease rates. RESULTS: In total, 195 patients were included for analysis of whom 13.8% underwent limited parathyroidectomy, 46.7% subtotal parathyroidectomy, and 39.5% total parathyroidectomy. Preoperative parathyroid hormone levels (pg/mL) were 471 (210-868), 1,087 (627-1,795), and 1,070 (475-1,632) for the limited, subtotal, and total parathyroidectomy groups, respectively (P < .001). A decrease in serum parathyroid hormone was seen in all groups; however, postoperative levels remained greater in the limited parathyroidectomy group compared to the subtotal and total parathyroidectomy groups (P < .001). Serum calcium, phosphate, and alkaline phosphatase levels decreased in all groups to within the reference range. In the limited parathyroidectomy group, persistent disease and recurrence occurred more frequently (P = .02 and P = .07, respectively). CONCLUSION: Subtotal parathyroidectomy is the optimal strategy in an era with an increasing availability of kidney transplantation and improved regimens of dialysis. In this changing practice, the approach to parathyroid surgery, however, might shift to a less aggressive and patient-tailored approach.

Prophylactic central lymph node dissection informs the decision of radioactive iodine ablation in papillary thyroid cancer.

BACKGROUND: Prophylactic central lymph node dissection (CLND) in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) is controversial. We aimed to investigate if prophylactic CLND aids risk stratification and contributes to the decision for postoperative RAI ablation. METHODS: Patients undergoing thyroidectomy for PTC and prophylactic CLND were identified from an endocrine surgical unit database. Pathology reports where reviewed for number and size of lymph nodes and patients stratified by risk according to the ATA guidelines. RESULTS: 426 patients were identified with PTC ≤4 cm and prophylactic CLND. 96 patients (23%) had central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) that qualified them for the intermediate risk group. In 17 patients (4%), the CLNM data led to upgrading independently of other histopathological characteristics. Correcting for multiple variables, CLNM was an independent factor contributing to RAI treatment. CONCLUSION: Prophylactic CLND provides information to aid the selection of RAI ablation independent of primary cancer histology for risk stratification in 4% of patients. This benefit should be carefully balanced with the risk of CLND and patient treatment choice when deciding on management of PTC ≤4 cm.

Bi-national Review of Phaeochromocytoma Care: Is ICU Admission Always Necessary?

BACKGROUND: Post-operative management after phaeochromocytoma resection includes monitoring of blood pressure and blood sugar, and vigilance for haemorrhage. Guidelines recommend 24 h of continuous blood pressure monitoring, usually necessitating HDU/ICU admission. We hypothesised that most patients undergoing phaeochromocytoma resection do not require post-operative HDU/ICU admission. We aim to describe current Australian and New Zealand perioperative management of phaeochromocytoma and determine whether it is safe to omit HDU/ICU care for most patients. METHODS: We collected retrospective data on patients undergoing excision of phaeochromocytoma in 12 centres around Australia and New Zealand between 2007 and 2019. Data collected included preoperative medical management, anaesthetic management, vasopressor support, HDU/ICU admission and complications. RESULTS: A total of 223 patients were included in the study, 173 (77%) of whom were admitted to HDU/ICU post-operatively. The group of patients treated in ICU was similar to the group of patients treated on the ward in terms of demographic and tumour characteristics, and there were significant differences in the proportion of patients admitted to HDU/ICU between centres. Of patients admitted to ICU, 71 (41%) received vasopressor support. This was weaned within 24 h in 55 (77%) patients. Patients with larger tumours (> 6 cm) and a transfusion requirement are more likely to require prolonged inotropic support. Among patients admitted to the ward, there were no complications that required escalation of care. CONCLUSIONS: Although not widespread practice in Australia and New Zealand, it appears safe for the majority of patients undergoing minimally invasive resection of phaeochromocytoma to be admitted to the ward post-operatively.

Molecular Markers Guiding Thyroid Cancer Management.

The incidence of thyroid cancer is rapidly increasing, mostly due to the overdiagnosis and overtreatment of differentiated thyroid cancer (TC). The increasing use of potent preclinical models, high throughput molecular technologies, and gene expression microarrays have provided a deeper understanding of molecular characteristics in cancer. Hence, molecular markers have become a potent tool also in TC management to distinguish benign from malignant lesions, predict aggressive biology, prognosis, recurrence, as well as for identification of novel therapeutic targets. In differentiated TC, molecular markers are mainly used as an adjunct to guide management of indeterminate nodules on fine needle aspiration biopsies. In contrast, in advanced thyroid cancer, molecular markers enable targeted treatments of affected signalling pathways. Identification of the driver mutation of targetable kinases in advanced TC can select treatment with mutation targeted tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) to slow growth and reverse adverse effects of the mutations, when traditional treatments fail. This review will outline the molecular landscape and discuss the impact of molecular markers on diagnosis, surveillance and treatment of differentiated, poorly differentiated and anaplastic follicular TC.

A Proposed Grading Scheme for Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma Based on Proliferative Activity (Ki-67 and Mitotic Count) and Coagulative Necrosis.

We investigated the prognostic value of a range of histologic parameters in medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) to design a grading system to predict overall survival. We assessed 76 patients with MTCs undergoing primary tumor resection for age, sex, tumor size, vascular space invasion, lymph node metastasis, multiple endocrine neoplasia type 2 (MEN2) status, mitotic count, Ki-67 proliferative index, spindled morphology, sheet-like growth pattern, coagulative necrosis, incipient necrosis, nuclear grade, multinucleation, prominent nucleoli, fibrosis, and amyloid deposition. In addition to the clinical features of age and the diagnosis of MEN2, the only histologic features that significantly predicted reduced overall survival were Ki-67 proliferative index, mitotic count, and the presence of coagulative necrosis. Using a combination of these 3 variables, we propose a 3-tiered grading system based solely on proliferative activity (Ki-67 proliferative index and mitotic count) and necrosis. There were 62 (82%) low-grade MTCs (low proliferative activity, no necrosis), 9 (12%) intermediate grade (low proliferative activity and necrosis present, or intermediate proliferative activity and no necrosis), and 5 (7%) high grade (intermediate proliferative activity and necrosis present, or high proliferative activity with or without necrosis). The mean overall survival was 193, 146, and 45 months, respectively (P=0.0001) for the 3 grades. The grading system remained prognostic when controlled for other factors associated with survival including age and known MEN2 syndrome. We conclude that this proposed grading system, which uses only a combination of proliferative activity (Ki-67 index, mitotic count) and coagulative necrosis, is a strong predictor of overall survival in MTC.