Multivariable clinical-genetic risk model for predicting venous thromboembolic events in patients with cancer.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a leading cause of death among patients with cancer. Outpatients with cancer should be periodically assessed for VTE risk, for which the Khorana score is commonly recommended. However, it has been questioned whether this tool is sufficiently accurate at identifying patients who should receive thromboprophylaxis. The present work proposes a new index, TiC-Onco risk score to be calculated at the time of diagnosis of cancer, that examines patients' clinical and genetic risk factors for thrombosis. METHODS: We included 391 outpatients with a recent diagnosis of cancer and candidates for systemic outpatient chemotherapy. All were treated according to standard guidelines. The study population was monitored for 6 months, and VTEs were recorded. The Khorana and the TiC-Onco scores were calculated for each patient and their VTE predictive accuracy VTEs was compared. RESULTS: We recorded 71 VTEs. The TiC-Onco risk score was significantly better at predicting VTE than the Khorana score (AUC 0.73 vs. 0.58, sensitivity 49 vs. 22%, specificity 81 vs. 82%, PPV 37 vs. 22%, and NPV 88 vs. 82%). CONCLUSIONS: TiC-Onco risk score performed significantly better than Khorana score at identifying cancer patients at high risk of VTE who would benefit from personalised thromboprophylaxis.

Values and preferences for oral antithrombotic therapy in patients with atrial fibrillation: physician and patient perspectives.

BACKGROUND: Exploration of values and preferences in the context of anticoagulation therapy for atrial fibrillation (AF) remains limited. To better characterize the distribution of patient and physician values and preferences relevant to decisions regarding anticoagulation in patients with AF, we conducted interviews with patients at risk of developing AF and physicians who manage patients with AF. METHODS: We interviewed 96 outpatients and 96 physicians in a multicenter study and elicited the maximal increased risk of bleeding (threshold risk) that respondents would tolerate with warfarin vs. aspirin to achieve a reduction in three strokes in 100 patients over a 2-year period. We used the probabilistic version of the threshold technique. RESULTS: The median threshold risk for both patients and physicians was 10 additional bleeds (10 P = 0.7). In both groups, we observed large variability in the threshold number of bleeds, with wider variability in patients than clinicians [patient range: 0-100, physician range: 0-50]. We observed one cluster of patients and physicians who would tolerate <10 bleeds and another cluster of patients, but not physicians, who would accept more than 35. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest wide variability in patient and physician values and preferences regarding the trade-off between strokes and bleeds. Results suggest that in individual decision making, physician and patient values and preferences will often be discordant; this mandates tailoring treatment to the individual patient's preferences.

A sequence variation scan of the coagulation factor VIII (FVIII) structural gene and associations with plasma FVIII activity levels.

Plasma factor VIII coagulant activity (FVIII:C) level is a highly heritable quantitative trait that is strongly correlated with thrombosis risk. Polymorphisms within only 1 gene, the ABO blood-group locus, have been unequivocally demonstrated to contribute to the broad population variability observed for this trait. Because less than 2.5% of the structural FVIII gene (F8) has been examined previously, we resequenced all known functional regions in 222 potentially distinct alleles from 137 unrelated nonhemophilic individuals representing 7 racial groups. Eighteen of the 47 variants identified, including 17 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), were previously unknown. As the degree of linkage disequilibrium across F8 was weak overall, we used measured-genotype association analysis to evaluate the influence of each polymorphism on the FVIII:C levels in 398 subjects from 21 pedigrees known as the Genetic Analysis of Idiopathic Thrombophilia project (GAIT). Our results suggested that 92714C>G, a nonsynonymous SNP encoding the B-domain substitution D1241E, was significantly associated with FVIII:C level. After accounting for important covariates, including age and ABO genotype, the association persisted with each C-allele additively increasing the FVIII:C level by 14.3 IU dL(-1) (P = .016). Nevertheless, because the alleles of 56010G>A, a SNP within the 3' splice junction of intron 7, are strongly associated with 92714C>G in GAIT, additional studies are required to determine whether D1241E is itself a functional variant.

Recurrence rate after a first venous thrombosis in patients with familial thrombophilia.

OBJECTIVE: Few comprehensive data are available on the recurrence rate of venous thrombosis in carriers of thrombophilic defects from thrombophilic families. We prospectively determined the recurrence rate after a first venous thrombotic event in patients with familial thrombophilia attributable to factor V Leiden or deficiencies of protein C, S, or antithrombin. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data were gathered during follow-up on the occurrence of risk situations, anticoagulation treatment, and events (eg, venous thrombosis, hemorrhage). Over a mean follow-up period of 5.6 years, 44 of the 180 patients with familial thrombophilia who did not use long-term anticoagulation experienced a recurrent venous thromboembolic event (5.0%/year; 95% CI 3.6 to 6.7) compared with 7 of the 124 patients on long-term anticoagulation (1.1%/year; 95% CI 0.4 to 2.2). Spontaneous events occurred less often in patients on long-term anticoagulation (57%) than in patients without long-term anticoagulation (75%). The highest recurrence rate was found among men with a deficiency in natural anticoagulants or multiple defects and women with antithrombin deficiency. Although long-term anticoagulation treatment decreased the incidence of recurrent events by 80%, it also resulted in a risk of major hemorrhage of 0.8% per year. CONCLUSIONS: Extra care after a first event is required for men with a deficiency in natural anticoagulants or multiple defects and women with antithrombin deficiency.