Patient Characteristics Associated With Using Transcatheter Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion Versus Oral Anticoagulants for Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Transcatheter left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) is an alternative to oral anticoagulants (OACs) for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation, but the predictors of LAAO use in routine care are unclear. We aimed to assess the utilization trends of LAAO and compare the change in characteristics of LAAO users versus OACs since its marketing. METHODS: Using the US Medicare claims database (March 15, 2015, to December 31, 2020), we identified patients with atrial fibrillation, ≥65 years, and CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2 (men) or ≥3 (women), with either first implantation of an LAAO device or initiation of OACs, including apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, edoxaban, or warfarin. Patient characteristics, measured 365 days before the first LAAO or OAC use date, were compared using logistic regression. RESULTS: There were 30 058 LAAO recipients (mean age, 77.74 years; female, 42.1%) and 792 600 OAC initiators (mean age, 78.48; female, 53.3%). In 2020, patients had higher odds of initiating LAAO use than in 2015 (0.52 versus 9.32%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 13.64 [95% CI, 12.56-14.81]). Old age (ie, >85 versus 65-75 years; aOR, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.80-0.88]), female sex (aOR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.71-0.76]), Black race (aOR, 0.63 [95% CI, 0.58-0.68]) versus White race, and Medicaid eligibility (aOR, 0.61 [95% CI, 0.58-0.64]) were associated with lower odds of receiving LAAO. Among clinical characteristics, frailty, cancer, fractures, and venous thromboembolism were associated with lower odds of LAAO use, while history of intracranial and extracranial bleeding, coagulopathy, and falls were associated with higher odds of receiving LAAO. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with atrial fibrillation receiving stroke-preventive therapy, LAAO use increased rapidly from 2015 to 2020 and was positively associated with the risk factors for OAC complications but negatively associated with old age, advanced frailty, and cancer. Black race and female sex were associated with a lower likelihood of receiving LAAO.

Testing interventions to reduce clinical inertia in the treatment of hypertension: rationale and design of a pragmatic randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Clinical inertia, or failure to intensify treatment when indicated, leads to suboptimal blood pressure control. Interventions to overcome inertia and increase antihypertensive prescribing have been modestly successful in part because their effectiveness varies based on characteristics of the provider, the patient, or the provider-patient interaction. Understanding for whom each intervention is most effective could help target interventions and thus increase their impact. METHODS: This three-arm, randomized trial tests the effectiveness of 2 interventions to reduce clinical inertia in hypertension prescribing compared to usual care. Forty five primary care providers (PCPs) caring for patients with hypertension in need of treatment intensification completed baseline surveys that assessed behavioral traits and were randomized to one of three arms: 1) Pharmacist e-consult, in which a clinical pharmacist provided patient-specific recommendations for hypertension medication management to PCPs in advance of upcoming visits, 2) Social norming dashboards that displayed PCP's hypertension control rates compared to those of their peers, or 3) Usual care (no intervention). The primary outcome was the rate of intensification of hypertension treatment. We will compare this outcome between study arms and then evaluate the association between characteristics of providers, patients, their clinical interactions, and intervention responsiveness. RESULTS: Forty-five primary care providers were enrolled and randomized: 16 providers and 173 patients in the social norming dashboards arm, 15 providers and 143 patients in the pharmacist e-consult arm, and 14 providers and 150 patients in the usual care arm. On average, the mean patient age was 64 years, 47% were female, and 73% were white. Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics of patients were similar across arms, with the exception of more Hispanic patients in the usual care arm and fewest in the pharmacist e-consult arm. CONCLUSIONS: This study can help identify interventions to reduce inertia in hypertension care and potentially identify the characteristics of patients, providers, or patient-provider interactions to understand for whom each intervention would be most beneficial. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT, Registered: NCT04603560).

Treatment Failure and Adverse Events After Amoxicillin-Clavulanate vs Amoxicillin for Pediatric Acute Sinusitis.

Importance: Acute sinusitis is one of the most common indications for antibiotic prescribing in children, with an estimated 4.9 million such prescriptions in the US annually. Consensus does not exist regarding the optimal empirical antibiotic. Objective: To compare amoxicillin-clavulanate vs amoxicillin for the treatment of acute sinusitis in outpatient children. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cohort study of children and adolescents aged 17 years or younger with a new outpatient diagnosis of acute sinusitis and a same-day new prescription dispensation of amoxicillin-clavulanate or amoxicillin in a nationwide health care utilization database. Propensity score matching was used to mitigate confounding. Exposure: A new prescription dispensation of amoxicillin-clavulanate or amoxicillin. Main Outcomes and Measures: Treatment failure, defined as an aggregate of a new antibiotic dispensation, emergency department or inpatient encounter for acute sinusitis, or inpatient encounter for a sinusitis complication, was assessed 1 to 14 days after cohort enrollment. Adverse events were evaluated, including gastrointestinal symptoms, hypersensitivity and skin reactions, acute kidney injury, and secondary infections. Results: The cohort included 320 141 patients. After propensity score matching, there were 198 942 patients (99 471 patients per group), including 100 340 (50.4%) who were female, 101 726 (51.1%) adolescents aged 12 to 17 years, 52 149 (26.2%) children aged 6 to 11 years, and 45 067 (22.7%) children aged 0 to 5 years. Treatment failure occurred in 1.7% overall; 0.01% had serious failure (an emergency department or inpatient encounter). There was no difference in the risk of treatment failure between the amoxicillin-clavulanate and amoxicillin groups (relative risk [RR], 0.98 [95% CI, 0.92-1.05]). The risk of gastrointestinal symptoms (RR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.05-1.25]) and yeast infections (RR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.16-1.54]) was higher with amoxicillin-clavulanate. After patients were stratified by age, the risk of treatment failure after amoxicillin-clavulanate was an RR of 0.98 (95% CI, 0.86-1.12) for ages 0 to 5 years; RR was 1.06 (95% CI, 0.92-1.21) for 6 to 11 years; and RR was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.79-0.95) for 12 to 17 years. The age-stratified risk of adverse events after amoxicillin-clavulanate was an RR of 1.23 (95% CI, 1.10-1.37) for ages 0 to 5 years; RR was 1.19 (95% CI, 1.04-1.35) for 6 to 11 years; and RR was 1.04 (95% CI, 0.95-1.14) for 12 to 17 years. Conclusions and Relevance: In children with acute sinusitis who were treated as outpatients, there was no difference in the risk of treatment failure between those who received amoxicillin-clavulanate compared with amoxicillin, but amoxicillin-clavulanate was associated with a higher risk of gastrointestinal symptoms and yeast infections. These findings may help inform decisions for empirical antibiotic selection in acute sinusitis.

Emulation of Randomized Clinical Trials With Nonrandomized Database Analyses: Results of 32 Clinical Trials.

Importance: Nonrandomized studies using insurance claims databases can be analyzed to produce real-world evidence on the effectiveness of medical products. Given the lack of baseline randomization and measurement issues, concerns exist about whether such studies produce unbiased treatment effect estimates. Objective: To emulate the design of 30 completed and 2 ongoing randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of medications with database studies using observational analogues of the RCT design parameters (population, intervention, comparator, outcome, time [PICOT]) and to quantify agreement in RCT-database study pairs. Design, Setting, and Participants: New-user cohort studies with propensity score matching using 3 US claims databases (Optum Clinformatics, MarketScan, and Medicare). Inclusion-exclusion criteria for each database study were prespecified to emulate the corresponding RCT. RCTs were explicitly selected based on feasibility, including power, key confounders, and end points more likely to be emulated with real-world data. All 32 protocols were registered on ClinicalTrials.gov before conducting analyses. Emulations were conducted from 2017 through 2022. Exposures: Therapies for multiple clinical conditions were included. Main Outcomes and Measures: Database study emulations focused on the primary outcome of the corresponding RCT. Findings of database studies were compared with RCTs using predefined metrics, including Pearson correlation coefficients and binary metrics based on statistical significance agreement, estimate agreement, and standardized difference. Results: In these highly selected RCTs, the overall observed agreement between the RCT and the database emulation results was a Pearson correlation of 0.82 (95% CI, 0.64-0.91), with 75% meeting statistical significance, 66% estimate agreement, and 75% standardized difference agreement. In a post hoc analysis limited to 16 RCTs with closer emulation of trial design and measurements, concordance was higher (Pearson r, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.79-0.97; 94% meeting statistical significance, 88% estimate agreement, 88% standardized difference agreement). Weaker concordance occurred among 16 RCTs for which close emulation of certain design elements that define the research question (PICOT) with data from insurance claims was not possible (Pearson r, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.00-0.83; 56% meeting statistical significance, 50% estimate agreement, 69% standardized difference agreement). Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world evidence studies can reach similar conclusions as RCTs when design and measurements can be closely emulated, but this may be difficult to achieve. Concordance in results varied depending on the agreement metric. Emulation differences, chance, and residual confounding can contribute to divergence in results and are difficult to disentangle.

Prescribing Trends of Oral Anticoagulants in US Patients With Cirrhosis and Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation.

Background Many patients with cirrhosis have concurrent nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Data are lacking regarding recent oral anticoagulant (OAC) usage trends among US patients with cirrhosis and NVAF. Methods and Results Using MarketScan claims data (2012-2019), we identified patients with cirrhosis and NVAF eligible for OACs (CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2 [men] or ≥3 [women]). We calculated the yearly proportion of patients prescribed a direct OAC (DOAC), warfarin, or no OAC. We stratified by high-risk features (decompensated cirrhosis, thrombocytopenia, coagulopathy, chronic kidney disease, or end-stage renal disease). Among 32 487 patients (mean age=71.6 years, 38.5% women, 15.1% with decompensated cirrhosis, mean CHA2DS2-VASc=4.2), 44.6% used OACs within 180 days of NVAF diagnosis, including DOACs (20.2%) or warfarin (24.4%). Compared with OAC nonusers, OAC users were less likely to have decompensated cirrhosis (18.6% versus 10.7%), thrombocytopenia (19.5% versus 12.5%), or chronic kidney disease/end-stage renal disease (15.5% versus 14.0%). Between 2012 and 2019, warfarin use decreased by 21.0% (32.0% to 11.0%), whereas DOAC use increased by 30.6% (7.4% to 38.0%), and among all DOACs between 2012 and 2019, apixaban was the most commonly prescribed (46.1%). Warfarin use decreased and DOAC use increased in all subgroups, including in compensated and decompensated cirrhosis, thrombocytopenia, coagulopathy, chronic kidney disease/end-stage renal disease, and across CHA2DS2-VASc categories. Among OAC users (2012-2019), DOAC use increased by 58.9% (18.7% to 77.6%). Among DOAC users, the greatest proportional increase was with apixaban (61.2%; P<0.001). Conclusions Among US patients with cirrhosis and NVAF, DOAC use has increased substantially and surpassed warfarin, including in decompensated cirrhosis. Nevertheless, >55% of patients remain untreated, underscoring the need for clearer treatment guidance.

Understanding variation in the results of real-world evidence studies that seem to address the same question.

OBJECTIVES: Multiple database studies on the same question, conducted by different investigators using different approaches or different data sources, can be considered sensitivity analyses for the same causal treatment effect question. We evaluated the contribution of alternative study design parameters and analysis choices to variation in estimates of the risk of major bleeding with dabigatran compared with warfarin. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We followed a 7-step process: (1) identify published studies asking the same question, (2) independently reproduce selected studies in the same data sources as the original authors, (3) contact original authors, (4) evaluate validity, (5) document critical study parameter specifications, (6) implement a designed matrix of variations in study parameters based on the original studies, and (7) evaluate contributors to variation in results. RESULTS: Most variation remained unexplained (60-88%). Of the explained variation, two-thirds were related to data and population differences, and one-third were related to the use of alternative study design and analysis parameters. Among these, the most prominent were differences in outcome algorithms and criteria used to define follow-up. CONCLUSION: When making policy decisions based on database study findings, it is important to evaluate the validity, consistency, and robustness of results to alternative design and analysis decisions.

Reproducibility of real-world evidence studies using clinical practice data to inform regulatory and coverage decisions.

Studies that generate real-world evidence on the effects of medical products through analysis of digital data collected in clinical practice provide key insights for regulators, payers, and other healthcare decision-makers. Ensuring reproducibility of such findings is fundamental to effective evidence-based decision-making. We reproduce results for 150 studies published in peer-reviewed journals using the same healthcare databases as original investigators and evaluate the completeness of reporting for 250. Original and reproduction effect sizes were positively correlated (Pearson's correlation = 0.85), a strong relationship with some room for improvement. The median and interquartile range for the relative magnitude of effect (e.g., hazard ratiooriginal/hazard ratioreproduction) is 1.0 [0.9, 1.1], range [0.3, 2.1]. While the majority of results are closely reproduced, a subset are not. The latter can be explained by incomplete reporting and updated data. Greater methodological transparency aligned with new guidance may further improve reproducibility and validity assessment, thus facilitating evidence-based decision-making. Study registration number: EUPAS19636.