A machine learning approach to predict mortality due to immune-mediated thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura.

Background: Mortality due to immune-mediated thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (iTTP) remains significant. Predicting mortality risk may potentially help individualize treatment. The French Thrombotic Microangiopathy (TMA) Reference Score has not been externally validated in the United States. Recent advances in machine learning technology can help analyze large numbers of variables with complex interactions for the development of prediction models. Objectives: To validate the French TMA Reference Score in the United States Thrombotic Microangiopathy (USTMA) iTTP database and subsequently develop a novel mortality prediction tool, the USTMA TTP Mortality Index. Methods: We analyzed variables available at the time of initial presentation, including demographics, symptoms, and laboratory findings. We developed our model using gradient boosting machine, a machine learning ensemble method based on classification trees, implemented in the R package gbm. Results: In our cohort (n = 419), the French score predicted mortality with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.63 (95% CI: 0.50-0.77), sensitivity of 0.35, and specificity of 0.84. Our gradient boosting machine model selected 8 variables to predict acute mortality with a cross-validated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.71-0.82). The 2 cutoffs corresponded to sensitivities of 0.64 and 0.50 and specificities of 0.76 and 0.87, respectively. Conclusion: The USTMA Mortality Index was acceptable for predicting mortality due to acute iTTP in the USTMA registry, but not sensitive enough to rule out death. Identifying patients at high risk of iTTP-related mortality may help individualize care and ultimately improve iTTP survival outcomes. Further studies are needed to provide external validation. Our model is one of many recent examples where machine learning models may show promise in clinical prediction tools in healthcare.

Effect of residual platelets in frozen-thawed plasma on results of dilute Russell's viper venom time assay for lupus anticoagulant testing.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the impact of residual platelets on dilute Russell's viper venom time (DRVVT) assay in frozen-thawed plasma submitted for lupus anticoagulant (LAC) testing. METHODS: We measured platelet counts in frozen-thawed samples submitted for LAC testing and evaluated the association between platelet count and the DRVVT screening time and ratios. We also spiked platelets into a LAC-positive sample to observe the effect on the DRVVT. RESULTS: Progressive increase in platelet count resulted in a statistically significant shortening of the DRVVT assay results on plasma after 1 freeze-thaw cycle. A similar effect was noted on the LAC-positive sample. CONCLUSIONS: Residual platelets in plasma samples result in shortening of DRVVT assay after 1 freeze-thaw cycle. This may result in a false-negative LAC test result.

Venous thromboembolism after COVID-19 vaccination in patients with thrombophilia.

Patients with thrombophilia remain concerned about venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk with COVID-19 vaccinations. The aim of this study was to examine VTE outcomes in patients with inherited or acquired thrombophilia who were vaccinated for COVID-19. Vaccinated patients ≥18 years between November 1, 2020 and November 1, 2021 were analyzed using electronic medical records across the Mayo Clinic enterprise. The primary outcome was imaging confirmed acute VTE occurring 90 days before and after the date of the first vaccine dose. Thrombophilia patients were identified through laboratory testing results and ICD-10 codes. A total of 792 010 patients with at least one COVID-19 vaccination were identified. Six thousand sixty-seven of these patients were found to have a thrombophilia, among whom there was a total of 39 VTE events after compared to 51 VTE events before vaccination (0.64% vs. 0.84%, p = .20). In patients with Factor V Leiden or prothrombin gene mutation, VTE occurred in 27 patients before and in 29 patients after vaccination (0.61 vs. 0.65%, p = .79). In patients with antiphospholipid syndrome, VTE occurred in six patients before and four patients after vaccination (0.59% vs. 0.39%, p = .40). No difference was observed in the overall VTE rate when comparing the postvaccination 90 days to the prevaccination 90 days, adjusted hazard ratio 0.81 (95% confidence interval: 0.53-1.23). In this subgroup of COVID-19 vaccinated patients with thrombophilia, there was no increased risk for acute VTE postvaccination compared to the prevaccination timeframe. These results are consistent with prior studies and should offer additional reassurance to patients with inherited or acquired thrombophilia.

Complement gene variant effect on relapse of complement-mediated thrombotic microangiopathy after eculizumab cessation.

Eculizumab is effective for complement-mediated thrombotic microangiopathy (CM-TMA), also known as atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome. Although lifelong therapy had been suggested, discontinuation does not universally lead to relapse. Comprehensive data evaluating risk factors for recurrence following discontinuation are limited. Our aim was to systematically review available literature assessing the role of complement genetic variants in this setting. Reports on CM-TMA and eculizumab withdrawal published before 1 January 2021, were included. Key reasons for patient exclusion were no follow-up after drug withdrawal and patients lacking complement genetic testing. Two-hundred eighty patients from 40 publications were included. Median age was 28 years, and 25 patients had a known history of renal transplant. Complement genetic variants were identified in 60%, most commonly in CFH (n = 59) and MCP/CD46 (n = 38). Of patients with a complement gene variant, 51.3% had ≥1 likely pathogenic/pathogenic variant whereas the remaining had variants of uncertain significance (VUS). Overall relapse rate after therapy discontinuation was 29.6%. Relapse rate was highest among patients with CFH variants and MCP/CD46 variants in canonical splice regions. VUS (P < .001) and likely pathogenic/pathogenic variants (P < .001) were associated with increased relapse. Presence of a renal allograft (P = .009); decreasing age (P = .029); and detection of variants in CFH (P < .001), MCP/CD46 (P < .001), or C3 (P < .001) were all independently associated with relapse after eculizumab discontinuation. Eculizumab discontinuation is appropriate in specific patients with CM-TMA. Caution should be exerted when attempting such a strategy in patients with high risk of recurrence, including a subgroup of patients with MCP/CD46 variants.

Clinical Utility and Potential Cost Savings of Pharmacologic Monitoring of Eculizumab for Complement-Mediated Thrombotic Microangiopathy.

One of the treatment options for complement-mediated thrombotic microangiopathy (CM-TMA), also known as atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome, is the administration of the C5 complement inhibitor eculizumab. In vivo studies have reported a complete complement blockade with eculizumab serum concentrations above 50 µg/mL in the case of atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome. The eculizumab trough levels and C5 functional activity were monitored in patients with CM-TMA being treated with eculizumab. For those with eculizumab trough concentrations of more than 100 µg/mL, the frequency of eculizumab 1200-mg doses was decreased. In this article, we describe the pharmacologic monitoring data with the use of C5 functional activity and mass spectrometric assessments of eculizumab to allow for a tailored eculizumab schedule for 10 patients with CM-TMA. In 9 out of 10 (90%) patients with a standard administration schedule, eculizumab trough concentrations were more than 100 µg/mL. At the time of the last eculizumab follow-up (median, 250 days; range, 85-898 days), the interval between eculizumab infusions was extended to every 3-6 weeks for 8 patients; no disease relapse was found with the modified dosing interval. Altering the administration of maintenance eculizumab from every 2-3 weeks to 3-6 weeks yields a savings of $78,185 per patient for a 6-month eculizumab treatment course. Although larger standardized cohorts are necessary to confirm these findings, our data suggest that monitoring eculizumab levels in conjunction with C5 assessment allows for safe modification of eculizumab dosing and results in considerable cost savings.

Race, rituximab, and relapse in TTP.

Immune-mediated thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (iTTP) is characterized by recurring episodes of thrombotic microangiopathy, causing ischemic organ impairment. Black patients are overrepresented in iTTP cohorts in the United States, but racial disparities in iTTP outcome and response to therapy have not been studied. Using the United States Thrombotic Microangiopathies Consortium iTTP Registry, we evaluated the impact of race on mortality and relapse-free survival (RFS) in confirmed iTTP in the United States from 1995 to 2020. We separately examined the impact of rituximab therapy and presentation with newly diagnosed (de novo) or relapsed iTTP on RFS by race. A total of 645 participants with 1308 iTTP episodes were available for analysis. Acute iTTP mortality did not differ by race. When all episodes of iTTP were included, Black race was associated with shorter RFS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.60; 95% CI, 1.16-2.21); the addition of rituximab to corticosteroids improved RFS in White (HR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.18-0.73) but not Black patients (HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.71-1.31). In de novo iTTP, rituximab delayed relapse, but Black patients had shorter RFS than White patients, regardless of treatment. In relapsed iTTP, rituximab significantly improved RFS in White but not Black patients. Race affects overall relapse risk and response to rituximab in iTTP. Black patients may require closer monitoring, earlier retreatment, and alternative immunosuppression after rituximab treatment. How race, racism, and social determinants of health contribute to the disparity in relapse risk in iTTP deserves further study.

Risk of venous thromboembolism after COVID-19 vaccination.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 vaccinations in the United States are effective in preventing illness and hospitalization yet concern over post-vaccination venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk has led to vaccine hesitancy. METHODS: The aim of this study was to compare VTE rates before and after COVID-19 vaccination. COVID-19 vaccinated patients ≥18 years between November 1, 2020 through November 1, 2021 were analyzed using electronic medical records across the Mayo Clinic enterprise. The primary outcome was imaging confirmed acute VTE (upper or lower deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism) occurring 90 days before and after the date of first vaccine dose. RESULTS: A total of 792 010 patients with at least one COVID-19 vaccination were identified (Pfizer, n = 452 950, Moderna, n = 290 607, and Janssen [Johnson & Johnson], n = 48 453). A total of 1565 VTE events occurred in the 90 days before (n = 772) and after (n = 793) COVID-19 vaccination. VTE post-vaccination occurred in 326 patients receiving Moderna (0.11%, incidence rate [IR] 4.58 per 1000p-years), 425 patients receiving Pfizer (0.09%, IR 3.84 per 1000p-years), and 42 receiving Janssen (0.09%, IR 3.56 per 1000p-years). Compared to the pre-vaccination timeframe, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for VTE after the Janssen vaccination was 0.97 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.63-1.50), aHR 1.02 (95% CI 0.87-1.19) for Moderna, and aHR 1.00 (95% CI 0.87-1.15) for Pfizer. CONCLUSION: In this large cohort of COVID-19 vaccinated patients, no increased risk for acute VTE post-vaccination was identified for the authorized vaccines in the United States.

Thrombotic microangiopathy in children.

The syndrome of thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA) is a clinical-pathological entity characterized by microangiopathic hemolytic anemia, thrombocytopenia, and end organ involvement. It comprises a spectrum of underlying etiologies that may differ in children and adults. In children, apart from ruling out shigatoxin-associated hemolytic uremic syndrome (HUS) and other infection-associated TMA like Streptococcus pneumoniae-HUS, rare inherited causes including complement-associated HUS, cobalamin defects, and mutations in diacylglycerol kinase epsilon gene must be investigated. TMA should also be considered in the setting of solid organ or hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. In this review, acquired and inherited causes of TMA are described with a focus on particularities of the main causes of TMA in children. A pragmatic approach that may help the clinician tailor evaluation and management is provided. The described approach will allow for early initiation of treatment while waiting for the definitive diagnosis of the underlying TMA.

Evaluation of soluble fibrin monomer complex in patients in SARS-CoV-2 COVID-19 infection-associated coagulopathy.

Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 infection frequently have coagulopathy resembling disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC). An elevation of D-dimer level is associated with a poor prognosis; however, the role of other fibrin degradation products, such as soluble fibrin monomers (SFMC), is not known. The objective of the study was to investigate the frequency and prognostic role of elevated SFMC in patients with COVID-19. In this retrospective cohort study, patients hospitalized between April 1, 2020 and December 14, 2020 at Mayo Clinic with COVID-19 infection who underwent DIC panel testing were identified. Results of laboratory tests and outcomes (thrombosis and death) within 40 days of testing were obtained via medical record review. Of 108 patients, D-dimer was elevated in 82 (75.9%) patients. Of those with elevated D-dimer, SFMC was elevated in 19/82 (23%) patients. There were 16 thrombotic events and 16 deaths during the 40-day follow-up. The incidence of overt-DIC was 4.6%. In univariate analysis, D-dimer ≥5 x highest upper limit normal (ULN) and elevated SFMC were each associated with higher 40-day mortality. However, when used in combination with D-dimer ≥5 x highest ULN, an elevated SFMC provided no further mortality predictive value. Compared to 75.9% of patients with elevated D-dimers, of those tested, only 23% had elevated SFMC. These results support the hypothesis that elevated D-dimer in COVID-19 infection is a direct consequence of endothelial damage and not overt-DIC.

Timing of venous thromboembolism diagnosis in hospitalized and non-hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: The reported incidence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in COVID-19 patients varies widely depending on patient populations sampled and has been predominately studied in hospitalized patients. The goal of this study was to assess the evolving burden of COVID-19 and the timing of associated VTE events in a systems-wide cohort. METHODS: COVID-19 PCR positive hospitalized and non-hospitalized patients ≥18 years of age tested between 1/1/2020 through 12/31/2020 were retrospectively analyzed using electronic medical records from multiple states across the Mayo Clinic enterprise. Radiology reports within 90 days before and after confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis were examined for VTE outcomes using validated Natural Language Processing (NLP) algorithms. RESULTS: A 29-fold increased rate of VTE compared to the pre-COVID-19 period was noted during the first week following the first positive COVID-19 test (RR: 29.39; 95% CI 21.77-40.03). The rate of VTE steadily decreased and returned to baseline by the 6th week. Among 366 VTE events, most occurred during (n = 243, 66.3%) or after (n = 111, 30.3%) initial hospitalization. Only 11 VTE events were identified in patients who did not require hospitalization (3.0% of total VTE events). VTE and mortality increased with advancing age with a pronounced increased each decade in older patients. CONCLUSION: We observed a profoundly increased risk of VTE within the first week after positive testing for COVID-19 that returned to baseline levels after 6 weeks. VTE events occurred almost exclusively in patients who were hospitalized, with the majority of VTE events identified within the first days of hospitalization.

Macrovascular Thrombotic Events in a Mayo Clinic Enterprise-Wide Sample of Hospitalized COVID-19-Positive Compared With COVID-19-Negative Patients.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the difference in the rate of thromboembolic complications between hospitalized coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-positive compared with COVID-19-negative patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Adult patients hospitalized from January 1, 2020, through May 8, 2020, who had COVID-19 testing by polymerase chain reaction assay were identified through electronic health records across multiple hospitals in the Mayo Clinic enterprise. Thrombotic outcomes (venous and arterial) were identified from the hospital problem list. RESULTS: We identified 3790 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 testing across 19 hospitals, 102 of whom had positive test results. The median age was lower in the COVID-positive patients (62 vs 67 years; P=.03). The median duration of hospitalization was longer in COVID-positive patients (8.5 vs 4 days; P<.001) and more required intensive care unit care (56.9% [58 of 102] vs 26.8% [987 of 3688]; P<.001). Comorbidities, including atrial fibrillation/flutter, heart failure, chronic kidney disease, and malignancy, were observed less frequently with COVID-positive admissions. Any venous thromboembolism was identified in 2.9% of COVID-positive patients (3 of 102) and 4.6% of COVID-negative patients (168 of 3688). The frequency of venous and arterial events was not different between the groups. The unadjusted odds ratio (OR) for COVID-positive-patients for any venous thromboembolism was 0.63 (95% CI, 0.19 to 2.02). A multivariable logistic regression model evaluated death within 30 days of hospital discharge; neither COVID positivity (adjusted OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 0.54 to 2.34) nor thromboembolism (adjusted OR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.60 to 1.32) was associated with death. CONCLUSION: Early experience in patients with COVID-19 across multiple academic and regional hospitals representing different US regions demonstrates a lower than previously reported incidence of thrombotic events. This incidence was not higher than a contemporary COVID-negative hospitalized comparator.

Revisiting the effects of spectral interfering substances in optical end-point coagulation assays.

INTRODUCTION: Hemolysis, icterus, and lipemia (HIL) are common pre-analytical variables in the clinical laboratory. Understanding their effects on coagulation laboratory results is essential. METHODS: HIL effects on the prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), dilute Russell's viper venom time (DRVVT), thrombin time (TT), and protein C chromogenic activity (CFx) were evaluated on the ACL TOP 750 optical analyzer and STA-R Evolution mechanical analyzer (PT and APTT only) by spiking normal donor, patient, and commercial control samples with varying concentrations of hemolysate, bilirubin, or a lipid emulsion. The relative difference or bias compared to the original results was determined. RESULTS: Hemolysis (H) indices up to 900 mg/dL did not affect the APTT, PT, DRVVT Confirm, TT, and CFx; however, H indices above approximately 200 mg/dL resulted in a false-negative DRVVT screen and screen/confirm ratio in samples with a lupus anticoagulant. There was an artifactual prolongation of the PT and APTT when conjugated bilirubin was dissolved in aqueous solvents and not when it was dissolved in dimethyl sulfoxide. Icterus (I) indices up to 45 mg/dL did not result in significant (>15%) bias for all assays evaluated. The PT and APTT assays failed to produce a robust clot curve when the lipemia (L) index exceeded 6000 milliabsorbance units (mAbs), and the TT and DRVVT assays failed when the L index exceeded 3000 mAbs; the CFx assay was unaffected by lipemia. CONCLUSIONS: Verification of the manufacturer's recommended interference thresholds is important since it may avoid inappropriate instrument flagging and/ or sample rejection.

Leukocytosis and Tobacco Use: An Observational Study of Asymptomatic Leukocytosis.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to characterize the white blood cell differential of tobacco smoking-induced leukocytosis and describe the longitudinal impact of smoking cessation on this peripheral blood abnormality. METHODS: Medical records of patients undergoing evaluation by hematologists for persistent leukocytosis were reviewed. Patients in whom leukocytosis was determined to be secondary to tobacco use after exclusion of other causes were identified. Demographic and laboratory data were collected at time of diagnosis. Patients were longitudinally followed and information regarding smoking cessation and follow-up white blood cell values were recorded. RESULTS: Forty patients were determined to have smoking-induced leukocytosis. The median age was 49.5 years (range: 28-75 years), 24 patients were female, and the mean body mass index (BMI) was 31.5 kg/m2. The mean white blood cell count was 13.3 × 109/L (range: 9.8-20.9 × 109/L); 39 patients had absolute neutrophilia (98%), 21 had lymphocytosis (53%), 20 had monocytosis (50%), and 19 had basophilia (48%). During follow-up, 11 patients either quit (n = 9) or reduced (n = 2) tobacco use. Reduction in tobacco smoking led to a significant decrease in mean white blood cell count (13.2 × 109/L vs 11.1 × 109/L, P = 0.02). The median time to decrease in white blood cell count following reduction in tobacco use was 8 weeks (range: 2-49 weeks). CONCLUSIONS: Tobacco-induced leukocytosis was characterized by a mild elevation in total white blood cell count and was most commonly associated with neutrophilia, lymphocytosis, monocytosis, and basophilia. Cessation of smoking led to improvement in leukocytosis. Tobacco history should be elicited from all patients presenting with leukocytosis to limit unnecessary diagnostic testing, and counseling regarding smoking cessation should be offered.

Complement in Secondary Thrombotic Microangiopathy.

Thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA) is a condition characterized by thrombocytopenia and microangiopathic hemolytic anemia (MAHA) with varying degrees of organ damage in the setting of normal international normalized ratio and activated partial thromboplastin time. Complement has been implicated in the etiology of TMA, which are classified as primary TMA when genetic and acquired defects in complement proteins are the primary drivers of TMA (complement-mediated TMA or atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome, aHUS) or secondary TMA, when complement activation occurs in the context of other disease processes, such as infection, malignant hypertension, autoimmune disease, malignancy, transplantation, pregnancy, and drugs. It is important to recognize that this classification is not absolute because genetic variants in complement genes have been identified in patients with secondary TMA, and distinguishing complement/genetic-mediated TMA from secondary causes of TMA can be challenging and lead to potentially harmful delays in treatment. In this review, we focus on data supporting the involvement of complement in aHUS and in secondary forms of TMA associated with malignant hypertension, drugs, autoimmune diseases, pregnancy, and infections. In aHUS, genetic variants in complement genes are found in up to 60% of patients, whereas in the secondary forms, the finding of genetic defects is variable, ranging from almost 60% in TMA associated with malignant hypertension to less than 10% in drug-induced TMA. On the basis of these findings, a new approach to management of TMA is proposed.

Monitoring Ravulizumab effect on complement assays.

Ravulizumab is a new C5 inhibitor therapeutic monoclonal antibody with a longer half-life than eculizumab. Monitoring complete complement blockade by eculizumab has allowed personalized therapy in specific settings. Similar action is expected with ravulizumab. Ravulizumab has 4 different amino acids from eculizumab, which allow greater affinity for the FcRn immunoglobulin receptor and change the affinity of the molecule for C5. Here we investigate if clinical lab tests traditionally used to monitor complement blockade for eculizumab are appropriate for monitoring complement blockade caused by ravulizumab. De-identified serum samples with known normal complement activity were spiked with increasing amounts of ravulizumab, from zero to 1000 µg/mL. Measurement of classical pathway function (CH50) and C5 function using a liposome method (Wako Diagnostics) showed >50% complement inhibition starting with 50 µg/mL of ravulizumab, but inhibition >95% of complement activity was not achieved, with residual measurements of 11% at 700 µg/mL. In contrast, measurement of alternative pathway function using an ELISA (AH50, Wieslab) showed alternative pathway function inhibition of 80% at 50 µg/mL of ravulizumab and > 95% at 200 µg/mL, which is consistent with expected therapeutic concentrations of ravulizumab >175 µg/mL. If replicated in patient sera, AH50 could be a suitable therapeutic monitoring tool.