Comparison of Sales From Vending Machines With 4 Different Food and Beverage Messages: A Randomized Trial.

Importance: Point-of-sale food messaging can encourage healthier purchases, but no studies have directly compared multiple interventions in the field. Objective: To examine which of 4 food and beverage messages would increase healthier vending machine purchases. Design, Setting, and Participants: This randomized trial assessed 13 months (February 1, 2019, to February 29, 2020) of vending sales data from 267 machines and 1065 customer purchase assessments from vending machines on government property in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Data analysis was performed from March 5, 2020, to November 8, 2022. Interventions: Study interventions were 4 food and beverage messaging systems: (1) beverage tax posters encouraging healthy choices because of the Philadelphia tax on sweetened drinks; (2) green labels for healthy products; (3) traffic light labels: green (healthy), yellow (moderately healthy), or red (unhealthy); or (4) physical activity equivalent labels (minutes of activity to metabolize product calories). Main Outcomes and Measures: Sales data were analyzed separately for beverages and snacks. The main outcomes analyzed at the transaction level were calories sold and the health status (using traffic light criteria) of each item sold. Additional outcomes were analyzed at the monthly machine level: total units sold, calories sold, and units of each health status sold. The customer purchase assessment outcome was calories purchased per vending trip. Results: Monthly sales data came from 150 beverage and 117 snack vending machines, whereas 1065 customers (558 [52%] male) contributed purchase assessment data. Traffic light labels led to a 30% decrease in the mean monthly number of unhealthy beverages sold (mean ratio [MR], 0.70; 95% CI, 0.55-0.88) compared with beverage tax posters. Physical activity labels led to a 34% (MR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.51-0.87) reduction in the number of unhealthy beverages sold at the machine level and 35% (MR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.50-0.86) reduction in mean calories sold. Traffic light labels also led to a 30-calorie reduction (b = -30.46; 95% CI, -49.36 to -11.56) per customer trip in the customer purchase analyses compared to physical activity labels. There were very few significant differences for snack machines. Conclusions and Relevance: In this 13-month randomized trial of 267 vending machines, the traffic light and physical activity labels encouraged healthier beverage purchases, but no change in snack sales, compared with a beverage tax poster. Corporations and governments should consider such labeling approaches to promote healthier beverage choices. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT06260176.

The Comparative Effectiveness of Perioperative Antibiotic Regimens to Prevent Surgical Site Infections in Pediatric Liver Transplant Recipients.

INTRODUCTION: Surgical site infections (SSIs) are a common complication in liver transplant(LT) recipients. Lack of pediatric prophylaxis guidelines results in variation in preventative antibiotic regimens. METHODS: We performed a retrospective observational study of LT recipients under 18 years using a merged dataset that included data from PHIS and UNOS between 2006 and 2017. The exposure was defined as the antibiotic(s) received within 24 hours of LT; with 6 categories, ranging from narrow (category 1: cefazolin), to broad). The primary outcome was presence or absence of SSI in the index admission. Mixed-effects logistic regression compared the effectiveness of each category relative to category 1 in preventing SSI. RESULTS: Of the 2586 LT, 284 (11%) met SSI criteria. SSI rate was higher (16.2%) in the younger sub-cohort compared to older (8.6%), necessitating a stratified analysis. Antibiotics from category 5 were most commonly used. In the younger sub-cohort, the adjusted risk was increased in all categories compared to the reference, most notably in category 3 (OR 2.58; 0.69-9.59) and category 6 (OR 2.76; 0.66-11.56). In the older sub-cohort, estimated ORs were also increased for each category, most notably in category 4 (2.49; 0.99-6.27). None of the ORs suggested benefit from broader-spectrum prophylaxis. Our E value assessment suggests it's unlikely there is unmeasured confounding by indication to the degree necessary to revert ORs to protective. CONCLUSION: There was wide variation in antibiotic prophylaxis. Adjusted analyses did not reveal a protective benefit of broader-spectrum prophylaxis in either sub-cohort, suggesting that narrower regimens may be adequate.

Marshall Joffe's Contributions to Causal Inference, Biostatistics, and Epidemiology.

We pay tribute to Marshall Joffe, PhD, and his substantial contributions to the field of causal inference with focus in biostatistics and epidemiology. By compiling narratives written by us, his colleagues, we not only present highlights of Marshall's research and their significance for causal inference but also offer a portrayal of Marshall's personal accomplishments and character. Our discussion of Marshall's research notably includes (but is not limited to) handling of posttreatment variables such as noncompliance, employing G-estimation for treatment effects on failure-time outcomes, estimating effects of time-varying exposures subject to time-dependent confounding, and developing a causal framework for case-control studies. We also provide a description of some of Marshall's unpublished work, which is accompanied by a bonus anecdote. We discuss future research directions related to Marshall's research. While Marshall's impact in causal inference and the world outside of it cannot be wholly captured by our words, we hope nonetheless to present some of what he has done for our field and what he has meant to us and to his loved ones.

Use of the Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index in Patients With Psoriatic Arthritis With and Without Axial Disease.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether the Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) is a responsive instrument in psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and whether it differentiates between axial and peripheral disease activity in PsA. METHODS: Individuals with PsA initiating therapy in a longitudinal cohort study based in the United States were included. Axial PsA (axPsA), most often also associated with peripheral disease, was defined as fulfillment of the Assessment of Spondyloarthritis international Society axial spondyloarthritis classification criteria or presence of axial disease imaging features. Baseline BASDAI, individual BASDAI items, patient global assessment, patient pain, and Routine Assessment of Patient Index Data 3, and score changes following therapy initiation were descriptively reported. Standardized response means (SRMs) were calculated as the mean change divided by the SD of the change. RESULTS: The mean (SD) baseline BASDAI score at the time of therapy initiation was 5.0 (2.2) among those with axPsA (n = 40) and 4.8 (2.0) among those with peripheral-only disease (n = 79). There was no significant difference in patient-reported outcome scores between the groups. The mean change for BASDAI was similar among axial vs peripheral disease (-0.75 vs -0.83). SRMs were similar across axial vs peripheral disease for BASDAI (-0.37 vs -0.44) and the individual BASDAI items. CONCLUSION: BASDAI has reasonable responsiveness in PsA but does not differentiate between axPsA and peripheral PsA. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03378336).

Clinician Prompts for Human Papillomavirus Vaccination: A Cluster Randomized Trial.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed the impact of an online intervention using clinician prompts for human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination with a cluster randomized controlled trial. METHODS: The randomized trial occurred July 2021-January 2022 in 48 primary care pediatric practices (24 intervention, 24 control) across the US. We trained clinicians via two online learning modules, plus weekly ''quick tips'' delivered via text or email. The training taught practices to implement a staff prompt to the clinician (e.g., printed reminders placed on the keyboard) plus electronic health record (EHR) prompts (if not already done) at well and acute/chronic visits for initial and subsequent HPV vaccination. We assessed missed opportunities for HPV vaccination using logistic regression models accounting for clustering by practice on an intent to treat basis. Surveys assessed facilitators and barriers to using prompts. RESULTS: During the 6-month intervention, missed opportunities for HPV vaccination increased (worsened) in both intervention and control groups. However, at well child care visits, missed opportunities for the initial HPV vaccine increased by 4.5 (95% CI: -9.0%, -0.1%) percentage points less in intervention versus control practices. Change in missed opportunities for subsequent doses at well child care and non-well child care visits did not differ between trial groups. An end-of trial survey found understaffing as a common challenge. CONCLUSIONS: Clinician prompts reduced missed opportunities for HPV vaccination at well child care visits. Understaffing related to the COVID-19 pandemic may have led to worsening missed opportunities for both groups and likely impeded practices in fully implementing changes.

Incidence, Microbiological Studies, and Factors Associated With Prosthetic Joint Infection After Total Knee Arthroplasty.

Importance: Despite the frequency of total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and clinical implications of prosthetic joint infections (PJIs), knowledge gaps remain concerning the incidence, microbiological study results, and factors associated with these infections. Objectives: To identify the incidence rates, organisms isolated from microbiological studies, and patient and surgical factors of PJI occurring early, delayed, and late after primary TKA. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study obtained data from the US Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) Corporate Data Warehouse on patients who underwent elective primary TKA in the VA system between October 1, 1999, and September 30, 2019, and had at least 1 year of care in the VA prior to TKA. Patients who met these criteria were included in the overall cohort, and patients with linked Veterans Affairs Surgical Quality Improvement Program (VASQIP) data composed the VASQIP cohort. Data were analyzed between December 9, 2021, and September 18, 2023. Exposures: Primary TKA as well as demographic, clinical, and perioperative factors. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident hospitalization with early, delayed, or late PJI. Incidence rate (events per 10 000 person-months) was measured in 3 postoperative periods: early (≤3 months), delayed (between >3 and ≤12 months), and late (>12 months). Unadjusted Poisson regression was used to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% CIs of early and delayed PJI compared with late PJI. The frequency of organisms isolated from synovial or operative tissue culture results of PJIs during each postoperative period was identified. A piecewise exponential parametric survival model was used to estimate IRRs with 95% CIs associated with demographic and clinical factors in each postoperative period. Results: The 79 367 patients (median (IQR) age of 65 (60-71) years) in the overall cohort who underwent primary TKA included 75 274 males (94.8%). A total of 1599 PJIs (2.0%) were identified. The incidence rate of PJI was higher in the early (26.8 [95% CI, 24.8-29.0] events per 10 000 person-months; IRR, 20.7 [95% CI, 18.5-23.1]) and delayed periods (5.4 [95% CI, 4.9-6.0] events per 10 000 person-months; IRR, 4.2 [95% CI, 3.7-4.8]) vs the late postoperative period (1.3 events per 10 000 person-months). Staphylococcus aureus was the most common organism isolated overall (489 [33.2%]); however, gram-negative infections were isolated in 15.4% (86) of early PJIs. In multivariable analyses, hepatitis C virus infection, peripheral artery disease, and autoimmune inflammatory arthritis were associated with PJI across all postoperative periods. Diabetes, chronic kidney disease, and obesity (body mass index of ≥30) were not associated factors. Other period-specific factors were identified. Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study found that incidence rates of PJIs were higher in the early and delayed vs late post-TKA period; there were differences in microbiological cultures and factors associated with each postoperative period. These findings have implications for postoperative antibiotic use, stratification of PJI risk according to postoperative time, and PJI risk factor modification.

Effects of 4 Interpretive Front-of-Package Labeling Systems on Hypothetical Beverage and Snack Selections: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Policymakers and researchers have proposed a variety of interpretative front-of-package food labeling systems, but it remains unclear which is most effective at encouraging people to choose healthier foods and beverages, including among people with less education. Objective: To test the effects of 4 interpretative front-of-package food labeling systems on the healthfulness of beverage and snack selections, overall and by education level. Design, Setting, and Participants: This randomized clinical trial of a national sample of US adults 18 years and older was conducted online from November 16 to December 3, 2022. Intervention: Participants were randomized to view products with 1 of 5 food labeling systems, including control (calorie labels only) or 1 of 4 interpretative labeling systems: green ("choose often") labels added to healthy foods; single traffic light labels added to healthy, moderately healthy, and unhealthy foods; physical activity calorie equivalent labels added to all products; and nutrient warning labels added to products high in calories, sugar, saturated fat, or sodium. All conditions had calorie labels on all products. Main Outcomes and Measures: Participants selected 1 of 16 beverages and 1 of 16 snacks that they wanted to hypothetically purchase. The primary outcomes were calories selected from beverages and from snacks. Secondary outcomes included label reactions and perceptions. Results: A total of 7945 participants completed the experiment and were included in analyses (4078 [51%] female, 3779 [48%] male, and 88 [1%] nonbinary or another gender; mean [SD] age, 47.5 [17.9 years]). Compared with the control arm, exposure to the green (average differential effect [ADE], -34.2; 95% CI, -42.2 to -26.1), traffic light (ADE, -31.5; 95% CI, -39.5 to -23.4), physical activity (ADE, -39.0; 95% CI, -47.0 to -31.1), or nutrient warning labels (ADE, -28.2; 95% CI, -36.2 to -20.2) led participants to select fewer calories from beverages (all P < .001). Similarly, compared with the control label, exposure to the green (ADE, -12.7; 95% CI, -17.3 to -8.2), traffic light (ADE, -13.7; 95% CI, -18.2 to -9.1), physical activity (ADE, -18.5; 95% CI, -23.1 to -13.9), or nutrient warning labels (ADE, -14.2; 95% CI, -18.8 to -9.6) led participants to select fewer calories from snacks (all P < .001). These effects did not differ by education level. The green labels were rated as less stigmatizing than the other interpretative systems but otherwise generally received the least favorable label reactions and perceptions (eg, elicited less attention, were perceived as less trustworthy), while the nutrient warnings and physical activity labels received the most favorable ratings. Conclusions and Relevance: In this randomized clinical trial of front-of-package food labeling systems, all 4 interpretative labeling systems reduced calories selected from beverages and from snacks compared with calorie labels, with no differences by education level. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT05432271.

Missed Opportunities for Adolescent Immunizations at Well-Care Visits During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

PURPOSE: The Coronavirus Disease 2019 pandemic disrupted healthcare, but the impact on vaccination missed opportunities (MOs, vaccine-eligible visits without vaccination) is unknown. We evaluated pandemic-related trends in MOs at adolescent well-care visits for three vaccines: human papillomavirus; quadrivalent meningococcal conjugate; and tetanus, diphtheria, and acellular pertussis (Tdap). METHODS: We analyzed electronic health record data from 24 pediatric primary care practices in 13 states from 1/1/2018 to 12/31/2021. Segmented logistic regression estimated risk differences for MOs during the pandemic relative to prepandemic trends. RESULTS: Among 106,605 well-care visits, we observed decreases in MOs prepandemic followed by an increase in MOs during the pandemic for all three vaccines. Relative to prepandemic, MOs increased for human papillomavirus (+15.9%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 11.7%, 20.1%), meningococcal conjugate (+9.4%, 95% CI: 5.2%, 13.7%), and tetanus, diphtheria, and acellular pertussis (Tdap) (+ 8.2%, 95% CI: 4.3%, 12.1%). DISCUSSION: Increases in vaccine MOs during the pandemic equaled or exceeded pre-pandemic decreases. Reducing MOs in adolescent well-care could raise vaccine coverage.

Clinically Important Differences for Pain and Urinary Symptoms in Urological Chronic Pelvic Pain Syndrome: A MAPP Network Study.

PURPOSE: Symptom heterogeneity in interstitial cystitis/bladder pain syndrome and chronic prostatitis/chronic pelvic pain syndrome, collectively termed urological chronic pelvic pain syndrome, has resulted in difficulty in defining appropriate clinical trial endpoints. We determine clinically important differences for 2 primary symptom measures, pelvic pain severity and urinary symptom severity, and evaluate subgroup differences. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Multidisciplinary Approach to the Study of Chronic Pelvic Pain Symptom Patterns Study enrolled individuals with urological chronic pelvic pain syndrome. We defined clinically important differences by associating changes in pelvic pain severity and urinary symptom severity over 3 to 6 months with marked improvement on a global response assessment using regression and receiver operating characteristic curves. We evaluated clinically important differences for absolute and percent change and examined differences in clinically important differences by sex-diagnosis, presence of Hunner lesions, pain type, pain widespreadness, and baseline symptom severity. RESULTS: An absolute change of -4 was clinically important in pelvic pain severity among all patients, but clinically important difference estimates differed by pain type, presence of Hunner lesions, and baseline severity. Pelvic pain severity clinically important difference estimates for percent change were more consistent across subgroups and ranged from 30% to 57%. The absolute change urinary symptom severity clinically important difference was -3 for female participants and -2 for male participants with chronic prostatitis/chronic pelvic pain syndrome only. Patients with greater baseline severity required larger decreases in symptoms to feel improved. Estimated clinically important differences had lower accuracy among participants with low baseline symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: A reduction of 30%-50% in pelvic pain severity is a clinically meaningful endpoint for future therapeutic trials in urological chronic pelvic pain syndrome. Urinary symptom severity clinically important differences are more appropriately defined separately for male and female participants.

Performance Feedback for Human Papillomavirus Vaccination: A Randomized Trial From the American Academy of Pediatrics Pediatric Research in Office Settings Research Network.

OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that a feedback-based intervention would reduce human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine missed opportunities. METHODS: In a longitudinal cluster randomized controlled trial of 48 pediatric primary care practices, we allocated half the practices to receive a sequential, multicomponent intervention phased over consecutive periods. In a prior trial (period 1), communication skills training reduced missed opportunities for the initial HPV vaccine dose at well visits but not at acute/chronic visits. The current trial (period 2) evaluated the added value of performance feedback to clinicians after communication training. Performance feedback consisted of an introductory training module, weekly electronic "Quick Tips," and 3 individualized performance feedback reports to clinicians. We fit logistic regression models for the primary outcome of HPV vaccination missed opportunities using generalized estimating equations with independence working correlation, accounting for clustering at the practice level. RESULTS: Performance feedback resulted in a 3.4 (95% confidence interval [CI]: -6.8, 0.0) percentage point greater reduction in missed HPV vaccine opportunities for the intervention versus control group during acute/chronic visits for subsequent HPV vaccinations (dose 2 or 3). However, during well visits for HPV vaccination dose #1, intervention practices increased missed opportunities (worsened) by 4.2 (95% CI: 1.0, 7.4) percentage points more than control practices, reducing the prior period 1 improvements and blunting the overall effect of performance feedback. We did not observe differences for the other visit/dose categories. CONCLUSIONS: Performance feedback improved HPV vaccination for one subset of visits (acute/chronic, subsequent HPV vaccinations due), but not for well visits.

Clinical impact of a modified lung allocation score that mitigates selection bias.

BACKGROUND: The Lung Allocation Score (LAS) is used in the U.S. to prioritize lung transplant candidates. Selection bias, induced by dependent censoring of waitlisted candidates and prediction of posttransplant survival among surviving, transplanted patients only, is only partially addressed by the LAS. Recently, a modified LAS (mLAS) was designed to mitigate such bias. Here, we estimate the clinical impact of replacing the LAS with the mLAS. METHODS: We considered lung transplant candidates waitlisted during 2016 and 2017. LAS and mLAS scores were computed for each registrant at each observed organ offer date; individuals were ranked accordingly. Patient characteristics associated with better priority under the mLAS were investigated via logistic regression and generalized linear mixed models. We also determined whether differences in rank were explained more by changes in predicted pre- or posttransplant survival. Simulations examined how 1-year waitlist, posttransplant, and overall survival might change under the mLAS. RESULTS: Diagnosis group, 6-minute walk distance, continuous mechanical ventilation, functional status, and age demonstrated the highest impact on differential allocation. Differences in rank were explained more by changes in predicted pretransplant survival than changes in predicted posttransplant survival, suggesting that selection bias has more impact on estimates of waitlist urgency. Simulations suggest that for every 1000 waitlisted individuals, 12.8 (interquartile range: 5.2-24.3) fewer waitlist deaths per year would occur under the mLAS, without compromising posttransplant and overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: Implementing a mLAS that mitigates selection bias into clinical practice can lead to important differences in allocation and possibly modest improvement in waitlist survival.

Predictors of Male Sexual Dysfunction in Urologic Chronic Pelvic Pain Syndrome (UCPPS), Other Chronic Pain Syndromes, and Healthy Controls in the Multidisciplinary Approach to the Study of Chronic Pelvic Pain (MAPP) Research Network.

BACKGROUND: Sexual dysfunction (SD), including erectile (ED) and ejaculatory dysfunction, is associated with diminished quality of life (QoL) in men with UCPPS (chronic prostatitis/chronic pelvic pain syndrome (CP/CPPS) and/or interstitial cystitis/bladder pain syndrome (IC/BPS)). AIM: We sought to compare SD among male patients with UCPPS, other chronic pain conditions (positive controls, PC), and healthy controls (HC) without chronic pain, and to evaluate the association of comorbidities, psychosocial factors, and urologic factors of SD in all 3 groups. METHODS: Baseline data from male UCPPS participants, PC (irritable bowel syndrome, chronic fatigue syndrome, fibromyalgia) and HC enrolled in the Multidisciplinary Approach to the Study of Chronic Pelvic Pain (MAPP) Research Network Epidemiology and Phenotyping Study were included in the analysis. Sexual function was assessed using the International Index of Erectile Function-Erectile Function Domain (IIEFEF) and Ejaculatory Function Scale (EFS). Male ED was defined as a composite IIEF-EF score <21. Higher EFS score indicated worse sexual dysfunction; no threshold to define SD was identified for the EFS. Multivariable logistic and linear regression was used to investigate associations of comorbidities, psychosocial factors, and urologic factors with ED and ejaculatory, respectively. OUTCOMES: Comorbidities, genital pain, and psychosocial factors are associated with SD across the study population and male patients with UCPPS had a high prevalence of ED and greater ejaculatory dysfunction. RESULTS: There were 191 males with UCPPS; 44 PC; and 182 HC. Males with UCPPS had worse SD compared to PC and HC including lower mean IIEF-EF scores, greater degree of ejaculatory dysfunction, and lower quality of sexual relationships. Among all 3 cohorts, depression, stress, and pain were associated with ED in univariable and multivariable analysis, as was diabetes mellitus. Pain in the genitalia, severity of urinary symptoms, depression, stress, and history of childhood sexual trauma were associated with ejaculatory dysfunction in univariable and multivariable analysis. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: A multidisciplinary approach that addresses the identified risk factors for SD may improve overall QoL in males with UCPPS. STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS: Our study is strengthened by its use of validated, patient-reported questionnaires and inclusion of healthy and positive controls. Our understanding of the role of IC in this study is limited because only 1 patient in the study had IC/BPS as a sole diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: When compared to healthy controls and patients with other chronic pain conditions, males with UCPPS experience higher degrees of SD, including erectile and ejaculatory dysfunction. Loh-Doyle JC, Stephens-Shields AJ, Rolston R, et al. Predictors of Male Sexual Dysfunction in Urologic Chronic Pelvic Pain Syndrome (UCPPS), Other Chronic Pain Syndromes, and Healthy Controls in the Multidisciplinary Approach to the Study of Chronic Pelvic Pain (MAPP) Research Network. J Sex Med 2022;19:1804-1812.

Disparities in Oral Cancer Stage at Presentation in a High HIV Prevalence Setting In Sub-Saharan Africa.

PURPOSE: Oral cancer is the sixth most common cancer worldwide and is the seventh most common in Botswana. Lack of improvement in oral cancer survival despite the availability of multiple treatment options may be due to the high prevalence of advanced stage at presentation. We identified risk factors for presenting with oral cancer at an advanced stage to facilitate interventions to reduce mortality from oral cancers. METHODS: A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted among individuals with biopsy-confirmed oral cancer at Princess Marina Hospital in Gaborone, Botswana, between 2010 and 2020. Data collected included age at diagnosis, sex, place of residence, HIV status, oral cancer stage, and oral subsite. Multivariable analyses were controlled for age, sex, district of residence, and oral subsite. RESULTS: Of the 218 records analyzed, 79% were male, 58% were HIV-positive, the median age was 56 years (interquartile range: 47-63), and 67% presented with advanced-stage disease. Cancers from hidden oral sites were more likely to present at an advanced stage with an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 2.98 (95% CI, 1.29 to 6.89; P = .01). Residence in socioeconomically disadvantaged districts was associated with higher likelihood (OR, 2.36; 95% CI, 1.28 to 4.39; P = .01) of advanced stage presentation compared with other districts. HIV infection was not associated with risk of advanced lesion presentation (OR, 1; 95% CI, 0.61 to 1.61; P = .97). CONCLUSION: Hidden oral cancer sites and residence in districts with limited access to care were risk factors for advanced oral cancer at the time of diagnosis in Botswana. These findings support a need to increase efforts to improve access to care and increase oral cancer awareness to decrease the burden of advanced oral cancer.

Relation of Testosterone, Dihydrotestosterone, and Estradiol With Changes in Outcomes Measures in the Testosterone Trials.

CONTEXT: Many effects of testosterone are mediated through dihydrotestosterone (DHT) and estradiol. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relative contributions of each hormone to the observed effects of testosterone treatment in older men with hypogonadism. METHODS: Using data from the Testosterone Trials, we assessed the association of changes in total testosterone, estradiol, and DHT levels over 12 months of testosterone treatment with hemoglobin, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD) of lumbar spine, sexual desire, and prostate-specific antigen (PSA). We used random forests to model the associations of predicted mean changes in outcomes with change in each hormone at low, mean, or high change in the other 2 hormones. Stepwise regression models were run to confirm the findings of random forests. RESULT: Predicted increases in hemoglobin and sexual desire were greater with larger increases in estradiol and were larger with high change in DHT compared with low change in DHT. Greater increases in estradiol were associated with larger decreases in HDL cholesterol; this association did not vary according to changes in DHT or testosterone. Change in vBMD was most robustly associated with change in estradiol and was greater with high change in testosterone and DHT. There was no consistent relation between change in PSA and change in any hormone. CONCLUSION: Change in estradiol level was the best predictor not only of the change in vBMD and sexual desire but also of the changes in hemoglobin and HDL cholesterol. Consideration of testosterone, estradiol, and DHT together offers a superior prediction of treatment response in older hypogonadal men than testosterone alone.

Comparing Smoking Cessation Interventions among Underserved Patients Referred for Lung Cancer Screening: A Pragmatic Trial Protocol.

Smoking burdens are greatest among underserved patients. Lung cancer screening (LCS) reduces mortality among individuals at risk for smoking-associated lung cancer. Although LCS programs must offer smoking cessation support, the interventions that best promote cessation among underserved patients in this setting are unknown. This stakeholder-engaged, pragmatic randomized clinical trial will compare the effectiveness of four interventions promoting smoking cessation among underserved patients referred for LCS. By using an additive study design, all four arms provide standard "ask-advise-refer" care. Arm 2 adds free or subsidized pharmacologic cessation aids, arm 3 adds financial incentives up to $600 for cessation, and arm 4 adds a mobile device-delivered episodic future thinking tool to promote attention to long-term health goals. We hypothesize that smoking abstinence rates will be higher with the addition of each intervention when compared with arm 1. We will enroll 3,200 adults with LCS orders at four U.S. health systems. Eligible patients include those who smoke at least one cigarette daily and self-identify as a member of an underserved group (i.e., is Black or Latinx, is a rural resident, completed a high school education or less, and/or has a household income <200% of the federal poverty line). The primary outcome is biochemically confirmed smoking abstinence sustained through 6 months. Secondary outcomes include abstinence sustained through 12 months, other smoking-related clinical outcomes, and patient-reported outcomes. This pragmatic randomized clinical trial will identify the most effective smoking cessation strategies that LCS programs can implement to reduce smoking burdens affecting underserved populations. Clinical trial registered with clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04798664). Date of registration: March 12, 2021. Date of trial launch: May 17, 2021.

Research and scholarly methods: Propensity scores.

Propensity score methods are increasingly used as a tool to control for confounding bias in pharmacoepidemiologic studies. The propensity score is a dimension reducing balancing score, creating treatment and reference groups that have comparable distributions of measured covariates. The purpose of this methods review is to provide an overview of the use of propensity score methods, including a summary of important data assumptions, various applications of the propensity score, and how to evaluate covariate balance. This article is intended for pharmacists and researchers who wish to receive an introduction to propensity score methods and be able to engage in high-level discussions on application and reporting.

Leveraging machine learning predictive biomarkers to augment the statistical power of clinical trials with baseline magnetic resonance imaging.

A key factor in designing randomized clinical trials is the sample size required to achieve a particular level of power to detect the benefit of a treatment. Sample size calculations depend upon the expected benefits of a treatment (effect size), the accuracy of measurement of the primary outcome, and the level of power specified by the investigators. In this study, we show that radiomic models, which leverage complex brain MRI patterns and machine learning, can be utilized in clinical trials with protocols that incorporate baseline MR imaging to significantly increase statistical power to detect treatment effects. Akin to the historical control paradigm, we propose to utilize a radiomic prediction model to generate a pseudo-control sample for each individual in the trial of interest. Because the variability of expected outcome across patients can mask our ability to detect treatment effects, we can increase the power to detect a treatment effect in a clinical trial by reducing that variability through using radiomic predictors as surrogates. We illustrate this method with simulations based on data from two cohorts in different neurologic diseases, Alzheimer's disease and glioblastoma multiforme. We present sample size requirements across a range of effect sizes using conventional analysis and models that include a radiomic predictor. For our Alzheimer's disease cohort, at an effect size of 0.35, total sample size requirements for 80% power declined from 246 to 212 for the endpoint cognitive decline. For our glioblastoma multiforme cohort, at an effect size of 1.65 with the endpoint survival time, total sample size requirements declined from 128 to 74. This methodology can decrease the required sample sizes by as much as 50%, depending on the strength of the radiomic predictor. The power of this method grows with increased accuracy of radiomic prediction, and furthermore, this method is most helpful when treatment effect sizes are small. Neuroimaging biomarkers are a powerful and increasingly common suite of tools that are, in many cases, highly predictive of disease outcomes. Here, we explore the possibility of using MRI-based radiomic biomarkers for the purpose of improving statistical power in clinical trials in the contexts of brain cancer and prodromal Alzheimer's disease. These methods can be applied to a broad range of neurologic diseases using a broad range of predictors of outcome to make clinical trials more efficient.