Cervical spinal cord injury in rugby union and rugby league: are incidence rates declining in NSW?

OBJECTIVES: To estimate trends in incidence rates of rugby code-related severe cervical spinal cord injuries in New South Wales (NSW) from 1986 to 2003. To evaluate the Australian Spinal Cord Injury Register (ASCIR) for injury surveillance by comparison with two published studies. METHODS: Data were cases of complete and incomplete tetraplegia in rugby union and rugby league admitted to the two spinal units in NSW. Trends in incidence rates were estimated using Poisson regression modelling. RESULTS: There was a small, non-significant decline from 1986 to 2003 in the incidence rate of tetraplegia in rugby union (9.8 vs. 6.1 per 100,000 player-years; p = 0.378) and rugby league (2.3 vs. 1.6 per 100,000 player-years; p = 0.564). The most common causes of injury were scrums for rugby union (35%) and tackles for rugby league (78%). This did not change over time (rugby union, p = 0.118; rugby league, p = 0.288). The ASCIR identified more cases of tetraplegia than insurance claims data and at least 75% of the cases ascertained by medical record review. CONCLUSIONS: There remains an urgent need to further improve safety in rugby union and rugby league. Scrummage in union and tackles in league remain the leading causes of tetraplegia. Rates of tetraplegia were significantly higher and more variable in rugby union than in rugby league. IMPLICATIONS: The ASCIR is a useful tool to monitor trends in spinal cord injury incidence in both rugby codes. Its potential value is constrained by the lack of accurate estimates of player numbers.

Minimum purchasing age for alcohol and traffic crash injuries among 15- to 19-year-olds in New Zealand.

OBJECTIVES: In 1999, New Zealand lowered the minimum purchasing age for alcohol from 20 to 18 years. We tested the hypothesis that this increased traffic crash injuries among 15- to 19-year-olds. METHODS: Poisson regression was used to compute incidence rate ratios for the after to before incidence of alcohol-involved crashes and hospitalized injuries among 18- to 19-year-olds and 15- to 17-year-olds (20- to 24-year-olds were the reference). RESULTS: Among young men, the ratio of the alcohol-involved crash rate after the law change to the period before was 12% larger (95% confidence interval [CI]=1.00, 1.25) for 18- to 19-year-olds and 14% larger (95% CI=1.01, 1.30) for 15- to 17-year-olds, relative to 20- to 24-year-olds. Among young women, the equivalent ratios were 51% larger (95% CI=1.17, 1.94) for 18- to 19-year-olds and 24% larger (95% CI=0.96, 1.59) for 15- to 17-year-olds. A similar pattern was observed for hospitalized injuries. CONCLUSIONS: Significantly more alcohol-involved crashes occurred among 15-to 19-year-olds than would have occurred had the purchase age not been reduced to 18 years. The effect size for 18- to 19-year-olds is remarkable given the legal exceptions to the pre-1999 law and its poor enforcement.

Comparing measures of injury severity for use with large databases.

BACKGROUND: After recent debate about the best measure of anatomic injury severity, this study aimed to compare four measures based on Abbreviated Injury Scale scores derived using ICDMAP-90-the Modified Anatomic Profile (ICD/mAP), Anatomic Profile Score (ICD/APS), Injury Severity Score (ICD/ISS), and New Injury Severity Score (ICD/NISS)-with the International Classification of Diseases-based Injury Severity Score (ICISS). METHODS: Data were selected from New Zealand public hospital discharges from 1989 to 1998. There were 349,409 patients in the dataset, of whom 3,871 had died. Models were compared in terms of their discrimination and calibration using logistic regression. Age was included as a covariate. RESULTS: The ICISS and ICD/mAP were the best performing measures. Adding age significantly improved the discrimination and calibration of almost all the models. CONCLUSION: The ICISS is a viable alternative to ICDMAP-based measures for coding anatomic injury severity on large datasets.