Association between low total serum testosterone and body mass index in Australian survivors of testicular cancer: a retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Primary hypogonadism is a recognised complication in survivors of testicular cancer. However, secondary hypogonadism can result from other causes that suppress the hypothalamic-pituitary axis, including obesity, high dose glucocorticoids, chronic end organ failure, and diabetes. The aim of this study was to explore low total serum testosterone in Australian survivors of testicular cancer and examine associations with body mass index, age, and prior chemotherapy use. METHODS: Clinical data including height, weight, diagnosis, treatment, and hormonal evaluations during follow-up were extracted from the Australian and New Zealand Urogenital and Prostate (ANZUP) Cancer Trials Group Chemocog study (2007-2012), accompanied by data from two Australian, high-volume testicular cancer centres included in the iTestis testicular cancer registry (2012-2019). Low testosterone was defined by a serum concentration of testosterone (T) < 10 nmol/L, and was classified as primary by a serum concentration of luteinising hormone (LH) > 8 IU/L, otherwise as secondary. RESULTS: Two hundred eighty-five individuals with either stage 1 or advanced testicular cancer were included. Of these, 105 (37%) were treated with orchidectomy and chemotherapy. Forty-nine (17%) met criteria for low testosterone during follow-up: 21 (43%) had primary and 27 (55%) had secondary low testosterone. Survivors of testicular cancer with higher body mass index were more likely to display low testosterone, both primary (p = 0.032) and secondary (p = 0.028). Our data did not show evidence of an association between older age or chemotherapy use and low testosterone in our cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Low total serum testosterone was common in survivors of testicular cancer, and associated with a higher body mass index prior to orchidectomy, suggesting that elevated body mass index may contribute to low testosterone in this population, and that body weight, diet, and exercise should be addressed in testicular cancer follow-up.

RéSUMé: CONTEXTE: L'hypogonadisme primaire est une complication reconnue chez les survivants d'un cancer du testicule. Cependant, l'hypogonadisme secondaire peut résulter d'autres causes qui suppriment l'axe hypothalamo-hypophysaire, notamment l'obésité, les glucocorticoïdes à forte dose, la défaillance chronique des organes cibles et le diabète. Le but de cette étude était d'explorer un faible taux de testostérone totale sérique chez les survivants australiens d'un cancer du testicule, et d'examiner les associations avec l'indice de masse corporelle, l'âge et l'utilisation antérieure d'une chimiothérapie. Les données cliniques, y compris la taille, le poids, le diagnostic, le traitement et les évaluations hormonales au cours du suivi, ont été extraites de l'étude Chemocog de l'Australian and New Zealand Urogenital and Prostate (ANZUP) Cancer Trials Group (2007­2012), accompagnées de données, provenant de deux centres australiens à fort volume de prise en charge de cancers du testicule, incluses dans le registre du cancer du testicule iTestis (2012­2019). Un taux faible de testostérone a été défini par une concentration sérique de testostérone (T) < 10 nmol/L, et a été classé comme primaire pour une concentration sérique d'hormone lutéinisante (LH) > 8 UI/L, sinon comme secondaire. RéSULTATS: Deux cent quatre-vingt-cinq personnes atteintes d'un cancer des testicules de stade 1 ou avancé ont été incluses. Parmi ceux-ci, 105 (37%) ont été traités par orchidectomie et chimiothérapie. Quarante-neuf (17%) répondaient aux critères d'un taux faible de testostérone au cours du suivi: 21 (43%) avaient un taux faible de testostérone primaire et 27 (55%) un faible taux secondaire. Les survivants d'un cancer du testicule avec un indice de masse corporelle plus élevé étaient plus susceptibles de présenter un taux faible de testostérone, à la fois primaire (p = 0,032) et secondaire (p = 0,028). Nos données n'ont pas montré de preuve d'une association entre un âge avancé ou l'utilisation de la chimiothérapie, et un taux faible de testostérone, dans notre cohorte. CONCLUSIONS: Un faible taux de testostérone sérique totale était fréquent chez les survivants d'un cancer du testicule, et associé à un indice de masse corporelle plus élevé avant l'orchidectomie; ceci suggère qu'un indice de masse corporelle élevé peut contribuer à un faible taux de testostérone dans cette population, et que le poids corporel, l'alimentation et l'exercice devraient être pris en compte dans le suivi du cancer du testicule.

Oral Cannabis Extract for Secondary Prevention of Chemotherapy-Induced Nausea and Vomiting: Final Results of a Randomized, Placebo-Controlled, Phase II/III Trial.

PURPOSE: The aim of this randomized, placebo-controlled, two-stage, phase II/III trial was to determine the efficacy of an oral cannabis extract in adults with refractory nausea and/or vomiting during moderately or highly emetogenic, intravenous chemotherapy despite guideline-consistent antiemetic prophylaxis. Here, we report results of the prespecified combined analysis including the initial phase II and subsequent phase III components. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Study treatment consisted of oral capsules containing either tetrahydrocannabinol 2.5 mg plus cannabidiol 2.5 mg capsules (THC:CBD) or matching placebo, taken three times a day from days -1 to 5, in addition to guideline-consistent antiemetics. The primary measure of effect was the difference in the proportions of participants with no vomiting or retching and no use of rescue medications (a complete response) during hours 0-120 after the first cycle of chemotherapy on study (cycle A). RESULTS: We recruited 147 evaluable of a planned 250 participants from 2016 to 2022. Background antiemetic prophylaxis included a corticosteroid and 5-hydroxytryptamine antagonist in 97%, a neurokinin-1 antagonist in 80%, and olanzapine in 10%. THC:CBD compared with placebo improved the complete response rate from 8% to 24% (absolute difference 16%, 95% CI, 4 to 28, P = .01), with similar effects for absence of significant nausea, use of rescue medications, daily vomits, and the nausea scale on the Functional Living Index-Emesis quality-of-life questionnaire. More frequent bothersome adverse events of special interest included sedation (18% v 7%), dizziness (10% v 0%), and transient anxiety (4% v 1%). There were no serious adverse events attributed to THC:CBD. CONCLUSION: THC:CBD is an effective adjunct for chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting despite standard antiemetic prophylaxis, but was associated with additional adverse events. Drug availability, cultural attitudes, legal status, and preferences may affect implementation. Future analyses will evaluate the cost-effectiveness of THC:CBD.

Estimating survival scenarios in advanced or metastatic gastric and oesophageal adenocarcinoma: a systematic review of randomized-controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to summarize survival data from RCTs in patients with GO adenocarcinoma; estimate and explain worst-, typical-, and best-case-scenarios of survival time; and determine if simple multiples of median overall survival (mOS) could estimate these percentiles. METHODS: We systematically searched RCTs of systemic therapies for GO adenocarcinoma published 2000-2022. The following key percentiles were extracted from overall survival curves: 90th (worst-case), 75th (lower-typical), 25th (upper-typical), and 10th (best-case). We tested if these percentiles could be estimated by simple multiples of mOS: 0.25 of the median for the 90th percentile, 0.5 for the 75th, 2 for the 25th, and 3 for the 10th. RESULTS: We identified 44 trials (22,447 participants). For first line chemotherapy and immunotherapy combined (CI) trials (n = 3) worst-to-best case survival time ranged from 4 months to not reached, compared to 3-30 months for other trials (n = 27) and 1-23 months for subsequent lines (n = 14). Simple multiples of mOS accurately estimated the following survival percentiles: 90th (n = 3/3 trials), 75th (n = 3/3), and 25th (n = 2/3) in first line CI trials. In other first line trials, the mOS accurately estimated the 90th survival percentile in n = 22/27 trials, 75th percentile in n = 26/27, 25th percentile in 27/27 trials, and 10th percentile in 22/27 trials. Simple multiples of the mOS accurately predicted the 90th, 75th, 25th, and 10th survival percentiles in the majority of trials of second and subsequent lines apart from chemotherapy and immunotherapy only trials. CONCLUSION: We provide realistic, evidence-based prognostic information as scenarios for survival time which can inform clinical decision-making. Simple multiples of the mOS accurately estimated the percentiles for most groups.

Challenges of estimating treatment effects after a positive interim analysis.

BACKGROUND: This research investigates why a beneficial treatment effect reported at the first interim analysis (IA) may diminish at a subsequent analysis (SA). We examined three challenges in interpreting treatment effects from randomized clinical trials (RCTs) after the first positive IA: overestimation bias; non-proportional hazards; and heterogeneity in recruitment. We investigate how a penalized estimation method can address overestimation bias, and discuss additional factors to consider when interpreting positive IA results. METHODS: We identified oncology RCTs reporting positive results at the initial IA and a SA for event-free (EFS) and overall survival (OS). We modeled: (1) the hazard ratio at IA (HRIA) versus its timing as measured by the information fraction (IF; i.e., events at IA versus total events sought); and (2), the ratio of HRIA to HRSA (rHR) versus the IF. This was repeated for HRIA adjusted for overestimation bias. Examples of the other two challenges were sought. RESULTS: Amongst 71 RCTs, HRIA were positively associated with the IF (slope: EFS 0.83, 95 % CI 0.44-1.22; OS 0.25, 95 % CI 0.10-0.41). HRIA tended to exaggerate HRSA, and more so the lower the IF (slope rHR versus IF: EFS 0.10, 95 % CI - 0.22 to 0.42; OS 0.26, 95 % CI 0.07-0.46). Adjusted HRIA did not exaggerate HRSA (slope rHR versus IF: EFS - 0.14, 95 % CI - 0.67 to 0.39; OS 0.02, 95 % CI - 0.26 to 0.30). Examples of two other challenges are shown. CONCLUSION: Overestimation bias, non-proportional hazards, and heterogeneity in recruitment and other important treatments should be considered when communicating estimates of treatment effects from positive IAs.

Health-related quality of life with comprehensive geriatric assessment guided care versus usual care in older adults with cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized trials.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate if comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA)-guided care improves health-related quality of life (HRQL) in older adults with cancer compared to usual care. METHODS: Relevant randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were identified through biomedical databases. Meta-analyses using DerSimonian-Laird model summarized the difference in the mean change of HRQL scores from baseline across various time points, with evidence certainty assessed by the GRADE tool. Logistic regression via generalized estimating equations analyzed predictors of HRQL improvement. RESULTS: Potential improvement in the global HRQL score by CGA-guided care at 3 months (Cohen's d 0.27, 95 % CI -0.03-0.58, moderate certainty), could not be excluded. Larger RCTs or those mandating CGA before initiating anti-cancer treatment were predictors of improved HRQL. CONCLUSION: The effects of CGA-guided care on HRQL were variable. Larger RCTs and those mandating pre-treatment CGA tended to report improved HRQL.

[177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 plus enzalutamide in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (ENZA-p): an open-label, multicentre, randomised, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Enzalutamide and lutetium-177 [177Lu]Lu-prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA)-617 both improve overall survival in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. Androgen and PSMA receptors have a close intracellular relationship, with data suggesting complementary benefit if targeted concurrently. In this study, we assessed the activity and safety of enzalutamide plus adaptive-dosed [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 versus enzalutamide alone as first-line treatment for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. METHODS: ENZA-p was an open-label, randomised, controlled phase 2 trial done at 15 hospitals in Australia. Participants were men aged 18 years or older with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer not previously treated with docetaxel or androgen receptor pathway inhibitors for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, gallium-68 [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-PET-CT (PSMA-PET-CT) positive disease, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0-2, and at least two risk factors for early progression on enzalutamide. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) by a centralised, web-based system using minimisation with a random component to stratify for study site, disease burden, use of early docetaxel, and previous treatment with abiraterone acetate. Patients were either given oral enzalutamide 160 mg daily alone or with adaptive-dosed (two or four doses) intravenous 7·5 GBq [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 every 6-8 weeks dependent on an interim PSMA-PET-CT (week 12). The primary endpoint was prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression-free survival, defined as the interval from the date of randomisation to the date of first evidence of PSA progression, commencement of non-protocol anticancer therapy, or death. The analysis was done in the intention-to-treat population, using stratified Cox proportional hazards regression. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04419402, and participant follow-up is ongoing. FINDINGS: 162 participants were randomly assigned between Aug 17, 2020, and July 26, 2022. 83 men were assigned to the enzalutamide plus [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 group, and 79 were assigned to the enzalutamide group. Median follow-up in this interim analysis was 20 months (IQR 18-21), with 32 (39%) of 83 patients in the enzalutamide plus [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 group and 16 (20%) of 79 patients in the enzalutamide group remaining on treatment at the data cutoff date. Median age was 71 years (IQR 64-76). Median PSA progression-free survival was 13·0 months (95% CI 11·0-17·0) in the enzalutamide plus [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 group and 7·8 months (95% CI 4·3-11·0) in the enzalutamide group (hazard ratio 0·43, 95% CI 0·29-0·63, p<0·0001). The most common adverse events (all grades) were fatigue (61 [75%] of 81 patients), nausea (38 [47%]), and dry mouth (32 [40%]) in the enzalutamide plus [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 group and fatigue (55 [70%] of 79), nausea (21 [27%]), and constipation (18 [23%]) in the enzalutamide group. Grade 3-5 adverse events occurred in 32 (40%) of 81 patients in the enzalutamide plus [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 group and 32 (41%) of 79 patients in the enzalutamide group. Grade 3 events that occurred only in the enzalutamide plus [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 group included anaemia (three [4%] of 81 participants) and decreased platelet count (one [1%] participant). No grade 4 or 5 events were attributed to treatment on central review in either group. INTERPRETATION: The addition of [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 to enzalutamide improved PSA progression-free survival providing evidence of enhanced anticancer activity in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer with risk factors for early progression on enzalutamide and warrants further evaluation of the combination more broadly in metastatic prostate cancer. FUNDING: Prostate Cancer Research Alliance (Movember and Australian Federal Government), St Vincent's Clinic Foundation, GenesisCare, Roy Morgan Research, and Endocyte (a Novartis company).

Validation of Prognostic and Predictive Models for Therapeutic Response in Patients Treated with [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 Versus Cabazitaxel for Metastatic Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer (TheraP): A Post Hoc Analysis from a Randomised, Open-label, Phase 2 Trial.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic models have been developed using data from a multicentre noncomparative study to forecast the likelihood of a 50% reduction in prostate-specific antigen (PSA50), longer prostate-specific antigen (PSA) progression-free survival (PFS), and longer overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer receiving [177Lu]Lu-PSMA radioligand therapy. The predictive utility of the models to identify patients likely to benefit most from [177Lu]Lu-PSMA compared with standard chemotherapy has not been established. OBJECTIVE: To determine the predictive value of the models using data from the randomised, open-label, phase 2, TheraP trial (primary objective) and to evaluate the clinical net benefit of the PSA50 model (secondary objective). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: All 200 patients were randomised in the TheraP trial to receive [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 (n = 99) or cabazitaxel (n = 101) between February 2018 and September 2019. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Predictive performance was investigated by testing whether the association between the modelled outcome classifications (favourable vs unfavourable outcome) was different for patients randomised to [177Lu]Lu-PSMA versus cabazitaxel. The clinical benefit of the PSA50 model was evaluated using a decision curve analysis. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: The probability of PSA50 in patients classified as having a favourable outcome was greater in the [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 group than in the cabazitaxel group (odds ratio 6.36 [95% confidence interval {CI} 1.69-30.80] vs 0.96 [95% CI 0.32-3.05]; p = 0.038 for treatment-by-model interaction). The PSA50 rate in patients with a favourable outcome for [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 versus cabazitaxel was 62/88 (70%) versus 31/85 (36%). The decision curve analysis indicated that the use of the PSA50 model had a clinical net benefit when the probability of a PSA response was ≥30%. The predictive performance of the models for PSA PFS and OS was not established (treatment-by-model interaction: p = 0.36 and p = 0.41, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: A previously developed outcome classification model for PSA50 was demonstrated to be both predictive and prognostic for the outcome after [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 versus cabazitaxel, while the PSA PFS and OS models had purely prognostic value. The models may aid clinicians in defining strategies for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer who failed first-line chemotherapy and are eligible for [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 and cabazitaxel. PATIENT SUMMARY: In this report, we validated previously developed statistical models that can predict a response to Lu-PSMA radioligand therapy in patients with advanced prostate cancer. We found that the statistical models can predict patient survival, and aid in determining whether Lu-PSMA therapy or cabazitaxel yields a higher probability to achieve a serum prostate-specific antigen response.

Clinical validation of circulating GDF15/MIC-1 as a marker of response to docetaxel and survival in men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: Elevated circulating growth differentiation factor (GDF15/MIC-1), interleukin 4 (IL4), and IL6 levels were associated with resistance to docetaxel in an exploratory cohort of men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). This study aimed to establish level 2 evidence of cytokine biomarker utility in mCRPC. METHODS: IntVal: Plasma samples at baseline (BL) and Day 21 docetaxel (n = 120). ExtVal: Serum samples at BL and Day 42 of docetaxel (n = 430). IL4, IL6, and GDF15 levels were measured by ELISA. Monocytes and dendritic cells were treated with 10% plasma from men with high or low GDF15 or recombinant GDF15. RESULTS: IntVal: Higher GDF15 levels at BL and Day 21 were associated with shorter overall survival (OS) (BL; p = 0.03 and Day 21; p = 0.004). IL4 and IL6 were not associated with outcomes. ExtVal: Higher GDF15 levels at BL and Day 42 predicted shorter OS (BL; p < 0.0001 and Day 42; p < 0.0001). Plasma from men with high GDF15 caused an increase in CD86 expression on monocytes (p = 0.03), but was not replicated by recombinant GDF15. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated circulating GDF15 is associated with poor prognosis in men with mCRPC receiving docetaxel and may be a marker of changes in the innate immune system in response to docetaxel resistance. These findings provide a strong rationale to consider GDF15 as a biomarker to guide a therapeutic trial of drugs targeting the innate immune system in combination with docetaxel in mCRPC.

Hidden in plain sight - Survival consequences of baseline symptom burden in women with recurrent ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the baseline symptom burden(SB) experienced by patients(pts) with recurrent ovarian cancer(ROC) prior and associations with progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). METHODS: We analysed baseline SB reported by pts. with platinum resistant/refractory ROC (PRR-ROC) or potentially­platinum sensitive ROC receiving their third or greater line of chemotherapy (PPS-ROC≥3) enrolled in the Gynecologic Cancer InterGroup - Symptom Benefit Study (GCIG-SBS) using the Measure of Ovarian Symptoms and Treatment concerns (MOST). The severity of baseline symptoms was correlated with PFS and OS. RESULTS: The 948 pts. reported substantial baseline SB. Almost 80% reported mild to severe pain, and 75% abdominal symptoms. Shortness of breath was reported by 60% and 90% reported fatigue. About 50% reported moderate to severe anxiety, and 35% moderate to severe depression. Most (89%) reported 1 or more symptoms as moderate or severe, 59% scored 6 or more symptoms moderate or severe, and 46% scored 9 or more symptoms as moderate or severe. Higher SB was associated with significantly shortened PFS and OS; five symptoms had OS hazard ratios larger than 2 for both moderate and severe symptom cut-offs (trouble eating, vomiting, indigestion, loss of appetite, and nausea; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Pts with ROC reported high SB prior to starting palliative chemotherapy, similar among PRR-ROC and PPS-ROC≥3. High SB was strongly associated with early progression and death. SB should be actively managed and used to stratify patients in clinical trials. Clinical trials should measure and report symptom burden and the impact of treatment on symptom control.

A Phase II trial of alternating osimertinib and gefitinib therapy in advanced EGFR-T790M positive non-small cell lung cancer: OSCILLATE.

In this phase II, single arm trial (ACTRN12617000720314), we investigate if alternating osimertinib and gefitinib would delay the development of resistance to osimertinib in advanced, non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) T790M mutation (n = 47) by modulating selective pressure on resistant clones. The primary endpoint is progression free-survival (PFS) rate at 12 months, and secondary endpoints include: feasibility of alternating therapy, overall response rate (ORR), overall survival (OS), and safety. The 12-month PFS rate is 38% (95% CI 27.5-55), not meeting the pre-specified primary endpoint. Serial circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis reveals decrease and clearance of the original activating EGFR and EGFR-T790M mutations which are prognostic of clinical outcomes. In 73% of participants, loss of T790M ctDNA is observed at progression and no participants have evidence of the EGFR C797S resistance mutation following the alternating regimen. These findings highlight the challenges of treatment strategies designed to modulate clonal evolution and the clinical importance of resistance mechanisms beyond suppression of selected genetic mutations in driving therapeutic escape to highly potent targeted therapies.

Patients' perception of the benefits of palliative systemic therapy for advanced cancer.

BACKGROUND: Patients with advanced cancer who misunderstand their prognosis and chance of cure tend to overestimate the likely benefits of palliative systemic therapy. AIM: To determine patient perceptions of palliative systemic therapy benefits in advanced cancer. METHODS: We surveyed 104 outpatients with advanced cancer receiving systemic anticancer therapy and their treating oncologists. Patients recorded their understanding of treatment impact on chance of cure and symptoms. Life expectancy was estimated by patients and oncologists. A visual analogue scale (0-10) was used to record how patients and oncologists valued quality of life (QOL) and length of life (LOL) (<4 QOL most important; 4-7 QOL and LOL equal; >7 LOL most important). Patient-oncologist discordance was defined as a ≥4-point difference. RESULTS: The main reasons patients selected for receiving treatment were to live longer (54%) and cure their cancer (36%). Most patients reported treatment was very/somewhat likely to prolong life (84%) and improve symptoms (76%), whereas 20% reported treatment was very/somewhat likely to cure their cancer. 42% of patients selected a timeframe for life expectancy (choice of four timeframes between <1 year and ≥5 years); of these, 62% selected a longer timeframe than their oncologist. When making treatment decisions, 71% of patients (52% of oncologists) valued QOL and LOL equally. Patient-oncologist discordance was 21%, mostly because of oncologists valuing QOL more than their patients (70%). CONCLUSION: At least 20% of patients receiving systemic therapy for advanced cancer reported an expectation of cure. Most patients and oncologists value QOL and LOL equally when making treatment decisions.

Timing of prognostic discussions in people with advanced cancer: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: Many people with cancer (patients) want to know their prognosis (a quantitative estimate of their life expectancy) but this is often not discussed or poorly communicated. The optimal timing of prognostic discussions with people with advanced cancer is highly personalised and complex. We aimed to find, organise, and summarise research regarding the timing of discussions of prognosis with people with advanced cancer. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of publications from databases, clinical practice guidelines, and grey literature from inception to 2023. We also searched the reference lists of systematic reviews, editorials, and clinical trial registries. Eligibility criteria included publications regarding adults with advanced cancer that reported a timepoint when a discussion of prognosis occurred or should occur. RESULTS: We included 63 of 798 identified references; most of which were cross-sectional cohort studies with a range of 4-9105 participants. Doctors and patients agreed on several timepoints including at diagnosis of advanced cancer, when the patient asked, upon disease progression, when there were no further anti-cancer treatments, and when recommending palliative care. Most of these timepoints aligned with published guidelines and expert recommendations. Other recommended timepoints depended on the doctor's clinical judgement, such as when the patient 'needed to know' or when the patient 'seemed ready'. CONCLUSIONS: Prognostic discussions with people with advanced cancer need to be individualised, and there are several key timepoints when doctors should attempt to initiate these conversations. These recommended timepoints can inform clinical trial design and communication training for doctors to help improve prognostic understanding.

Overall survival with [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 versus cabazitaxel in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (TheraP): secondary outcomes of a randomised, open-label, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: The TheraP study reported improved prostate-specific antigen responses with lutetium-177 [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 versus cabazitaxel in men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer progressing after docetaxel. In this Article, we report the secondary outcome of overall survival with mature follow-up, and an updated imaging biomarker analysis. We also report the outcomes of participants excluded due to ineligibility on gallium-68 [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 and 2-[18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose (2-[18F]FDG) PET-CT. METHODS: TheraP was an open-label, randomised phase 2 trial at 11 centres in Australia. Eligible participants had metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer progressing after docetaxel, and PET imaging with [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 and 2-[18F]FDG that showed prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA)-positive disease and no sites of metastatic disease with discordant 2-[18F]FDG-positive and PSMA-negative findings. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to treatment with [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 (every 6 weeks for a maximum of six cycles; starting at 8·5 GBq, decreasing by 0.5 GBq to 6·0 GBq for the sixth cycle) versus cabazitaxel (20 mg/m2 every 3 weeks, maximum of ten cycles). Overall survival was analysed by intention-to-treat and summarised as restricted mean survival time (RMST) to account for non-proportional hazards, with a 36-month restriction time corresponding to median follow-up. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03392428, and is complete. FINDINGS: 291 men were registered from Feb 6, 2018, to Sept 3, 2019; after study imaging, 200 were eligible and randomly assigned to treatment with [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 (n=99) or cabazitaxel (n=101). After completing study treatment, 20 (20%) participants assigned to cabazitaxel and 32 (32%) assigned to [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 were subsequently treated with the alternative regimen. After a median follow-up of 35·7 months (IQR 31·1 to 39·2), 77 (78%) participants had died in the [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 group and 70 (69%) participants had died in the cabazitaxel group. Overall survival was similar among those assigned to [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 versus those assigned to cabazitaxel (RMST 19·1 months [95% CI 16·9 to 21·4] vs 19·6 months [17·4 to 21·8]; difference -0·5 months [95% CI -3·7 to 2·7]; p=0·77). No additional safety signals were identified with the longer follow-up in this analysis. 80 (27%) of 291 men who were registered after initial eligibility screening were excluded after [68Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 and 2-[18F]FDG PET. In the 61 of these men with follow-up available, RMST was 11·0 months (95% CI 9·0 to 13·1). INTERPRETATION: These results support the use of [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 as an alternative to cabazitaxel for PSMA-positive metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer progressing after docetaxel. We did not find evidence that overall survival differed between the randomised groups. Median overall survival was shorter for men who were excluded because of low PSMA expression or 2-[18F]FDG-discordant disease. FUNDING: Australian and New Zealand Urogenital and Prostate Cancer Trials Group, Prostate Cancer Foundation of Australia, Endocyte (a Novartis company), Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organization, Movember, It's a Bloke Thing, CAN4CANCER, and The Distinguished Gentleman's Ride.

Accuracy of oncologists' estimates of expected survival time in advanced cancer.

BACKGROUND: To evaluate the claim that oncologists overestimate expected survival time (EST) in advanced cancer. METHODS: We pooled 7 prospective studies in which observed survival time (OST) was compared with EST (median survival in a group of similar patients estimated at baseline by the treating oncologist). We hypothesized that EST would be well calibrated (approximately 50% of EST longer than OST) and imprecise (<30% of EST within 0.67 to 1.33 of OST), and that multiples of EST would provide well-calibrated scenarios for survival time: worst-case (approximately 10% of OST <1/4 of EST), typical (approximately 50% of OST within half to double EST), and best-case (approximately 10% of OST >3 times EST). Associations between baseline characteristics and calibration of EST were assessed. RESULTS: Characteristics of 1,211 patients: median age 66 years, male 61%, primary site lung (40%) and upper gastrointestinal (16%). The median OST was 8 months, and EST was 9 months. Oncologists' estimates of EST were well calibrated (50% longer than OST) and imprecise (28% within 0.67 to 1.33 of OST). Scenarios for survival time based on simple multiples of EST were well calibrated: 8% of patients had an OST less than 1/4 their EST (worst-case), 56% had an OST within half to double their EST (typical), and 11% had an OST greater than 3 times their EST (best-case). Calibration was independent of age, sex, and cancer type. CONCLUSIONS: Oncologists were no more likely to overestimate survival time than to underestimate it. Simple multiples of EST provide well-calibrated estimates of worst-case, typical, and best-case scenarios for survival.

Prognostic value of patient reported outcomes in advanced gastro-oesophageal cancer: a systematic review.

To summarise the prognostic value of patient-reported outcomes (PROs) in advanced gastro-oesophageal (GO) cancer. We systematically searched multiple databases using search terms related to advanced GO cancer, PRO and prognosis. Studies examining the relationship between baseline PROs and prognosis were included. Two reviewers independently screened articles and extracted data on study design, survival and associations between PROs and survival, in both univariable and multivariable analyses. QUIPS was used for quality assessment. From 3004 studies screened, seven studies were eligible, comprising PRO data from 2761 of 3408 (81%) participants. Median survival times ranged from 4.5 to 9.5 months. Among participants with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), physical functioning, social functioning and fatigue (QLQ-C30) were associated with overall survival (OS) in one univariable analysis. Among three studies of participants with adenocarcinoma, univariable analyses revealed associations between OS and global quality of life (QOL), physical functioning, role functioning and social functioning; two studies showed association with pain. There was an association between emotional functioning, fatigue, lack of mobility, lack of self-care, appetite loss/anorexia and OS in one study. One multivariable analysis among participants with oesophageal SCC showed physical and social functioning was associated with OS. Among participants with adenocarcinoma, multivariable analyses showed associations between OS and physical functioning/lack of mobility, appetite loss/anorexia (three studies), global QOL, role functioning/lack of self-care, pain (two studies) and social functioning (one study). Physical functioning, role functioning, social functioning, pain, anorexia and global QOL were associated with OS in advanced GO cancer.

10-Year axillary recurrence in the RACS SNAC1 randomised trial of sentinel lymph node-based management versus routine axillary lymph node dissection.

BACKGROUND: Sentinel node-based management (SNBM) is the international standard of care for early breast cancer that is clinically node-negative based on randomised trials comparing it with axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) and reporting similar rates of axillary recurrence (AR) without distant disease. We report all ARs, overall survival, and breast cancer-specific survival at 10-years in SNAC1. METHODS: 1.088 women with clinically node-negative, unifocal breast cancers 3 cm or less in diameter were randomly assigned to either SNBM with ALND if the sentinel node (SN) was positive, or to SN biopsy followed by ALND regardless of SN involvement. RESULTS: First ARs were more frequent in those assigned SNBM rather than ALND (11 events, cumulative risk at 10-years 1·85%, 95% CI 0·95-3.27% versus 2 events, 0·37%, 95% CI 0·08-1·26%; HR 5·47, 95% CI 1·21-24·63; p = 0·013). Disease-free survival, breast cancer-specific survival, and overall survival were similar in those assigned SNBM versus ALND. Lymphovascular invasion was an independent predictor of AR (HR 6·6, 95% CI 2·25-19·36, p < 0·001). CONCLUSION: First ARs were more frequent with SNBM than ALND in women with small, unifocal breast cancers when all first axillary events were considered. We recommend that studies of axillary treatment should report all ARs to give an accurate indication of treatment effects. The absolute frequency of AR was low in women meeting our eligibility criteria, and SNBM should remain the treatment of choice in this group. However, for those with higher-risk breast cancers, further study is needed because the estimated risk of AR might alter their choice of axillary surgery.