Stratification Based on Risk Factors at Diagnosis Could Predict Progression in Patients with Pancreatic Cysts.

BACKGROUND: Predicting the risk of malignant transformation in pancreatic cyst patients is challenging. AIM: We retrospectively investigated the risk factors for malignant transformation in pancreatic cyst patients. METHODS: Patients with pancreatic cysts diagnosed using imaging tests were followed from November 2008 to December 2021. A significant change was defined as the additional development of high-risk stigmata (HRS), worrisome features (WFs), or pancreatic cancer during monitoring. RESULTS: In total, 479 patients were analyzed, with a median observation period of 50 months. Forty-four patients (9.2%) showed significant changes, and eight (1.7%) developed pancreatic cancer. The univariate analysis showed that the cyst diameter at diagnosis (≥ 14 mm), main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter at diagnosis (≥ 3 mm), presence of multilocular cysts, and an inconsistent MPD caliber were significant predictive factors for a significant change. One point was assigned for each significant factor. We grouped the patients into three groups: the low-risk group (total score 0), medium-risk group (score 1-2), and high-risk group (score 3-4). The high-risk group had a higher risk of a significant change than the medium- and low-risk groups (age-adjusted HRs for the medium-risk and high-risk groups were 3.0 and 5.2 compared with the low-risk group). CONCLUSION: Stratification based on risk factors may help predict the development of significant changes in pancreatic cyst patients.

Efficacy and Safety of a Strategy for Reviewing Intravenous Antibiotics for Hospitalized Japanese Patients with Uncomplicated Diverticulitis: A Single-center Observational Study.

Objective Treatment for uncomplicated diverticulitis (UD) is not well established. We evaluated the strategy of reviewing intravenous antibiotics for hospitalized Japanese patients with UD. Methods Treatment was based on the physician's choice until August 2018; the indications for hospitalization and treatment have been standardized since September 2018. In this study, we monitored the use of intravenous antibiotics administered to patients hospitalized for UD and then reviewed the need for them on hospital day 3. We compared patients' length of antibiotic use, hospital stay, health care cost, and complications via the review strategy from September 2018 to December 2020 and via the previous physicians' choice strategy from January 2016 to August 2018. Results Two hundred and forty-seven patients were admitted to our hospital because of acute colonic diverticulitis from January 2016 to December 2020. After excluding complicated cases, 106 individuals were enrolled during the period of physician's choice; 87 were enrolled when treatment review was employed. There were no significant differences in age, sex, inflammation site, or severity during the first hospital visit. The median duration of antibiotic use was significantly reduced from 5 to 4 days (p=0.0075), with no marked increase in rates of transfer to surgery, mortality, or readmission due to recurrence. A more significant proportion of patients completed 3-day antibiotic treatment with the review strategy than with the physician's choice strategy (6.6% vs. 25.3%, p=0.0004). However, the length of hospital stay and total medical costs did not decrease. Conclusion The strategy of reviewing treatment on day 3 after hospitalization for UD safety reduced the duration of antibiotic use, but the hospital stay and health care costs did not decrease.