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2.
ESC Heart Fail ; 8(6): 5192-5203, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34545703

RESUMO

AIMS: The impact of worsening renal function (WRF) on the prognosis of patients with acute heart failure (AHF) remains controversial. We aimed to identify phenotypically distinct subgroups among individuals with both AHF and WRF using cluster analysis. METHODS AND RESULTS: Overall, the data of 483 patients with both AHF and WRF enrolled in the West Tokyo Heart Failure Registry were analysed. Using cluster analysis, we identified three phenotypically distinct subgroups (phenogroups 1, 2, and 3). We assessed the impact of WRF on the prognosis of each phenogroup by comparing the incidence of composite endpoints, including all-cause death and re-hospitalization due to heart failure, with those of a propensity score-matched, non-WRF control group. Participants in phenogroup 1 (N = 122) were the youngest (69.3 ± 13.7 years), had relatively preserved estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, 70.0 ± 27.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 ), and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (41.8 ± 13.7%). Conversely, participants in phenogroup 3 (N = 122) were the oldest (81.7 ± 8.5 years), had the worst eGFR (33.0 ± 20.9 mL/min/1.73 m2 ), and had preserved LVEF (51.7 ± 14.8%). The characteristics of the participants in phenogroup 2 (N = 239) were between those of phenogroups 1 and 3. The propensity score matching analysis showed that WRF was associated with a higher incidence of composite endpoints in phenogroup 1, whereas this association was not observed in phenogroups 2 and 3. CONCLUSIONS: Using cluster analysis, we revealed three phenotypically distinct subgroups of patients with both AHF and WRF. WRF was associated with worse clinical outcomes in the subgroup of younger patients with reduced LVEF and preserved renal function.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca , Função Ventricular Esquerda , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , Humanos , Rim/fisiologia , Volume Sistólico
3.
Circ J ; 85(9): 1460-1468, 2021 08 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33867408

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Implantable left ventricular assist devices (LVAD) have improved quality of life and survival in patients with advanced heart failure. However, LVAD-specific infections and predicting which patients will develop infections remain challenging. This study investigated whether changes in body mass index (BMI) during hospitalization following LVAD implantation are associated with LVAD-specific infections within 1 year of implantation.Methods and Results:Patients (n=135) undergoing LVAD implantation were retrospectively divided into 2 groups based on changes in BMI from LVAD implantation to discharge: those with and without decreases in BMI. Each group was further subdivided according to baseline albumin concentrations (high [>3.7 g/dL] and low [≤3.7 g/dL]). Twenty patients developed LVAD-specific infections within 1 year. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis resulted in a ∆BMI cut-off of less than -0.128 kg/m2. In multivariate analysis, younger patients and those with decreases in BMI had significantly higher rates of LVAD-specific infection (P=0.010 and P=0.035, respectively). LVAD-specific infection rates were significantly higher for patients with low albumin and decreases in BMI than for patients with low albumin but no decrease in BMI. CONCLUSIONS: Decreases in BMI during hospitalization after LVAD implantation and younger age were independently associated with LVAD-specific infection within 1 year. Strict patient management may be needed to avoid decreases in BMI during hospitalization after LVAD implantation, particularly in patients with low baseline albumin concentrations.


Assuntos
Coração Auxiliar , Índice de Massa Corporal , Coração Auxiliar/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Incidência , Qualidade de Vida , Estudos Retrospectivos
4.
J Artif Organs ; 24(2): 265-268, 2021 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32940802

RESUMO

Aortic insufficiency (AI) is an important adverse event in patients with continuous-flow (CF) left ventricular assist device (LVAD) support. AI is often progressive, resulting in elevated 2-year morbidity and mortality. The effectiveness of echocardiographic ramp studies in patients with AI has been unclear. Here, we describe a patient with a CF-LVAD implant who underwent aortic valve replacement (AVR), following assessment of AI using a hemodynamic ramp test with simultaneous echocardiography and right heart catheterization (RHC). The patient was a 21-year-old man with cardiogenic shock due to acute myocarditis, who underwent HeartWare CF-LVAD (HVAD) implantation. Heart failure persisted despite increased doses of diuretics and inotrope, as well as an increased HVAD pump rate. HVAD monitoring revealed a correlation between increased HVAD pump rate and flow at each speed step. A hemodynamic ramp test with simultaneous transthoracic echocardiography and RHC revealed a significant discrepancy between HVAD pump flow and cardiac output (CO) at each speed step; moreover, pulmonary capillary wedge pressure remained high. Therefore, the patient underwent AVR. Subsequently, his low CO symptoms disappeared and inotropes were successfully discontinued. A postoperative hemodynamic ramp test revealed that AVR had successfully closed the loop of blood flow and reduced the discrepancy between HVAD pump flow and CO, thereby increasing CO. The patient was then discharged uneventfully. In conclusion, a hemodynamic ramp test with simultaneous echocardiography and RHC was useful for the evaluation of the causal relationship between AI and low CO, and for selection of surgical treatment for AI in a patient with CF-LVAD.


Assuntos
Insuficiência da Valva Aórtica/cirurgia , Cateterismo Cardíaco/métodos , Ecocardiografia/métodos , Testes de Função Cardíaca/métodos , Coração Auxiliar , Insuficiência da Valva Aórtica/diagnóstico , Insuficiência da Valva Aórtica/fisiopatologia , Débito Cardíaco/fisiologia , Hemodinâmica/fisiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Função Ventricular Esquerda/fisiologia , Adulto Jovem
5.
J Cardiol Cases ; 24(4): 173-176, 2021 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35059051

RESUMO

Acquired coarctation of the aorta (CoA) following total aortic arch replacement (TAR) is a rare complication inducing left ventricular (LV) dysfunction probably due to increased LV afterload and secondary hypertension caused by increased upper body and decreased renal blood flow. We describe a case of a 35-year-old male who developed atypical CoA with severe LV dysfunction with LV ejection fraction of 10%, but without secondary hypertension after TAR using conventional elephant trunk (ET) technique for acute aortic dissection. Computed tomography revealed near-occlusive CoA due to narrowed distal ET. Because the myocardial histological findings were mild, and he had no cardiac failure history, we determined that LV function might be reversible. He underwent thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR), resulting in restored LV function. However, as the descending aortic false lumen distally to the end of ET was rapidly dilated, probably due to increased cardiac output and lower body blood flow, he underwent descending aortic replacement 3 months after TEVAR. In conclusion, a narrowed distal ET may cause LV dysfunction early after TAR, even without secondary hypertension. TEVAR may be a useful therapeutic option for a narrowed distant ET but can induce distal aortic dilatation. .

6.
Int Heart J ; 61(6): 1289-1293, 2020 Nov 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33191357

RESUMO

Essential thrombocythemia (ET) is a Philadelphia chromosome-negative myeloproliferative disorder that is characterized by the overproduction of platelets and a marked increase in the numbers of mature megakaryocytes present in the bone marrow. Thrombohemorrhagic disorders are major morbidities of ET, especially those with mutations in the gene encoding Janus kinase 2 (JAK2). In this study, we report the case of an 18-year-old patient with ET carrying JAK2 mutation who developed acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) 5 months after a commencement of anagrelide. Coronary endothelial dysfunction confirmed by positive acetylcholine provocation test lasted a year after the occurrence of STEMI. Furthermore, intracoronary imaging using optical coherence tomography demonstrated non-atheromatous intimal fibrosis possibly due to chronic endothelial damage. The coronary pathologies reflected chronic change potentially associated with properties of ET and JAK2 mutation in addition to hyperviscosity. These observations suggest that the side effect of anagrelide in our patient was considered causative, while underlying chronic endothelial dysfunction and adverse endothelial remodeling may be predisposing factors to his fatal cardiovascular events.


Assuntos
Vasos Coronários/fisiopatologia , Endotélio Vascular/fisiopatologia , Fibrinolíticos/efeitos adversos , Quinazolinas/efeitos adversos , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST/induzido quimicamente , Trombocitemia Essencial/tratamento farmacológico , Acetilcolina , Adolescente , Angiografia Coronária , Vasos Coronários/diagnóstico por imagem , Ecocardiografia , Endotélio Vascular/diagnóstico por imagem , Endotélio Vascular/patologia , Fibrose , Testes de Função Cardíaca , Humanos , Janus Quinase 2/genética , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Nitroglicerina , Intervenção Coronária Percutânea , Cintilografia , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST/diagnóstico por imagem , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST/cirurgia , Trombectomia , Trombocitemia Essencial/sangue , Trombocitemia Essencial/genética , Trombocitemia Essencial/fisiopatologia , Tomografia de Coerência Óptica , Túnica Íntima/diagnóstico por imagem , Túnica Íntima/patologia , Túnica Íntima/fisiopatologia , Vasodilatadores
7.
Circ J ; 84(12): 2212-2223, 2020 11 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33148937

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Appropriate indications and protocols for induction therapy using basiliximab have not been fully established in heart transplant (HTx) recipients. This study elucidated the influence of induction therapy using basiliximab along with delayed tacrolimus (Tac) initiation on the outcomes of high-risk HTx recipients.Methods and Results:A total of 86 HTx recipients treated with Tac-based immunosuppression were retrospectively reviewed. Induction therapy was administered to 46 recipients (53.5%) with impaired renal function, pre-transplant sensitization, and recipient- and donor-related risk factors (Induction group). Tac administration was delayed in the Induction group. Induction group subjects showed a lower cumulative incidence of acute cellular rejection grade ≥1R after propensity score adjustment, but this was not significantly different (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.63, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.37-1.08, P=0.093). Renal dysfunction in the Induction group significantly improved 6 months post-transplantation (P=0.029). The cumulative incidence of bacterial or fungal infections was significantly higher in the Induction group (HR: 10.6, 95% CI: 1.28-88.2, P=0.029). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that basiliximab-based induction therapy with delayed Tac initiation may suppress mild acute cellular rejection and improve renal function in recipients with renal dysfunction, resulting in its non-inferior outcome, even in high-risk patients, when applied to the appropriate recipients. However, it should be carefully considered in recipients at a high risk of bacterial and fungal infections.


Assuntos
Basiliximab/uso terapêutico , Transplante de Coração , Quimioterapia de Indução , Nefropatias , Tacrolimo/uso terapêutico , Rejeição de Enxerto/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Terapia de Imunossupressão , Imunossupressores/uso terapêutico , Nefropatias/tratamento farmacológico , Estudos Retrospectivos
8.
Circ J ; 84(11): 1949-1956, 2020 10 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32999142

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Continuous-flow left ventricular assist device (CF-LVAD) substantially improves survival in endstage heart failure patients. However, bleeding complications are common after CF-LVAD implantation and in some cases, re-exploration for bleeding is needed. We aimed to investigate the incidence, timing, and risk factors of bleeding requiring re-exploration after CF-LVAD implantation.Methods and Results:We retrospectively reviewed 162 consecutive patients (age 43±13 years, 71% men) who underwent CF-LVAD implantation (HeartMateII 119, Jarvik2000 15, HVAD 13, EVAHEART 10, DuraHeart 5) from January 2012 to June 2019. During follow-up [median 662 days, interquartile range (IQR) 364-1,116 days], 35 (21.6%) experienced re-exploration for bleeding. The median timing of re-exploration was 6 (IQR 1-10) days. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, postoperative platelet count was an independent predictor for re-exploration for bleeding after CF-LVAD implantation (per 104/µL: odds ratio 0.83, 95% confidence interval 0.74-0.93, P=0.002). Patients who experienced re-exploration for bleeding had a significantly worse survival rate than patients who did not (at 4 years, 73.6% vs. 90.1%, P=0.039). CONCLUSIONS: Re-exploration for bleeding is prevalent after CF-LVAD implantation, especially in patients with low postoperative platelet counts. As bleeding requiring re-exploration is associated with poor prognosis, risk stratification using the postoperative platelet count may be beneficial for these patients.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca , Coração Auxiliar , Hemorragia , Adulto , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/cirurgia , Coração Auxiliar/efeitos adversos , Hemorragia/epidemiologia , Hemorragia/etiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos
9.
Circ J ; 84(6): 949-957, 2020 05 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32269201

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Sarcopenia is characterized by progressive loss of skeletal muscle and has frequently been associated with poor clinical outcomes in patients with advanced heart failure (HF). The urinary creatinine excretion rate (CER) index is an easily measured marker of muscle mass, but its predictive capacity for mortality and cerebrovascular events has not been investigated in patients with a continuous-flow implantable left ventricular assist device (CF-iLVAD).Methods and Results:We retrospectively reviewed 147 patients (mean [±SD] age 43.7±12.5 years, 106 male) who underwent CF-iLVAD implantation between April 2011 and June 2019. CER indices in 24-h urine samples before CF-iLVAD implantation were determined. Over a median follow-up of 2.3 years, there were 10 (6.8%) deaths and 43 (29.3%) cerebrovascular events. Patients were divided into 2 groups (low and high CER index) according to the median CER index in men and women (i.e., 13.71 and 12.06 mg·kg-1·day-1, respectively). Mortality and intracranial hemorrhage rates after CF-iLVAD implantation were significantly higher in the low than high CER index group (mortality 12.3% vs. 1.4% [P<0.01]; intracranial hemorrhage 23.3% vs. 8.1% [P=0.01]). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models revealed that a low CER index was an independent predictor of intracranial hemorrhage in patients receiving a CF-iLVAD (hazard ratio 3.63; 95% confidence interval 1.43-9.24; P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: A low preoperative CER index is an independent, non-invasive predictor of intracranial hemorrhage after CF-iLVAD implantation.


Assuntos
Creatinina/urina , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Coração Auxiliar , Hemorragias Intracranianas/etiologia , Implantação de Prótese/efeitos adversos , Implantação de Prótese/instrumentação , Eliminação Renal , Sarcopenia/complicações , Sarcopenia/urina , Função Ventricular Esquerda , Adulto , Biomarcadores/urina , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Hemorragias Intracranianas/diagnóstico por imagem , Hemorragias Intracranianas/mortalidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Implantação de Prótese/mortalidade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Sarcopenia/mortalidade , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
10.
ESC Heart Fail ; 6(6): 1274-1282, 2019 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31814319

RESUMO

AIMS: The blood urea nitrogen (BUN)/creatinine ratio is a strong prognostic indicator in patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). However, the clinical impact of a high BUN/creatinine ratio at discharge with respect to renal dysfunction, neurohormonal hyperactivity, and different responsiveness to decongestion therapy remains unclear. Herein, we examined (i) the predictive value of a high BUN/creatinine ratio at discharge and (ii) its haemoconcentration-dependent effects, in patients with ADHF. METHODS AND RESULTS: The West Tokyo Heart Failure registry was a multicentre, prospective cohort registry-based study that enrolled patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of ADHF. The endpoint was post-discharge all-cause death. Based on the degree of haemoconcentration, patients (n = 2090) were divided into four subcategories. In multivariate proportional hazard analyses, a higher BUN/creatinine ratio was independently associated with higher all-cause mortality in the total population and in the extreme haemodilution (ΔHaemoglobin ≤ -0.9 g/dL) and haemoconcentration (0.8 g/dL ≤ ΔHaemoglobin) subcategories, but not in the modest haemodilution/haemoconcentration subcategories. CONCLUSIONS: A higher BUN/creatinine ratio at discharge was independently associated with higher post-discharge all-cause mortality in patients with ADHF. The predictive value of a high BUN/creatinine ratio at discharge was haemoconcentration dependent and may be an unfavourable predictor in patients showing excessive haemoconcentration and haemodilution, but not in those showing modest haemoconcentration/haemodilution.


Assuntos
Nitrogênio da Ureia Sanguínea , Creatinina/sangue , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/sangue , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Hemoglobinas/análise , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Alta do Paciente , Estudos Prospectivos , Sistema de Registros
11.
Circ J ; 83(6): 1261-1268, 2019 05 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30944274

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The natural course of heart failure (HF) is typically associated with repeated hospitalizations, and subsequently, patient prognosis deteriorates. However, the precise relationship between repeated admissions for HF and long-term prognosis remains unknown. Methods and Results: We analyzed data from 1,730 consecutive acute HF patients registered in the West Tokyo Heart Failure (WET-HF) registry between June 2005 and April 2014 (median age, 76 years). Patients were divided into 3 groups according to the number of previous HF admissions at the time of the index admission (0, n=876 [55.4%]; 1, n=425 [26.9%]; ≥2, n=279 [17.7%] previous admissions). A history of multiple previous admissions was an independent predictor for all-cause death and HF readmission in reference to a history of a single previous admission (hazard ratio (HR), 1.53; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-2.13; HR, 1.90 95% CI, 1.47-2.44, respectively) or no previous admissions (HR, 1.37, 95% CI, 1.01-1.85; HR, 2.83, 95% CI, 2.19-3.65, respectively). On the other hand, a history of a single previous admission was an independent predictor for HF readmission in reference to a history of no previous admissions (HR, 1.51, 95% CI, 1.18-1.92), but not for all-cause death (HR, 0.89, 95% CI, 0.66-1.20). CONCLUSIONS: Based on a contemporary multicenter HF registry, a history of multiple previous HF admissions was revealed as an independent, strong risk factor of adverse events following the index admission. The number of hospitalizations could be a simple and important surrogate indicating subsequent adverse events in patients with HF.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Hospitalização , Readmissão do Paciente , Doença Aguda , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Sistema de Registros , Fatores de Risco
12.
Eur J Intern Med ; 62: 58-66, 2019 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30737061

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Although guidelines recommend that patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) should be treated with renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitors, the long-term efficacy of RAS inhibitors in HFrEF patients with moderate-to-severe chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear. METHODS: The present study included consecutive patients hospitalized for acute heart failure across five Japanese teaching hospitals. The impact of RAS inhibitors on 2-year all-cause mortality was evaluated in patients with an ejection fraction ≤40% and CKD, defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <45 mL/min/1.73 m2, at discharge. Its severity was subclassified from 3B to 5 according to eGFR. RESULTS: Overall, 553 patients (age, 76 ±â€¯11 years; 68% male) were included. RAS inhibitors were prescribed more frequently in 227 patients with stage 3B (71.2%) than in 107 patients with stage 4 or 5 CKD (45.7%). All-cause mortality was recorded in 119 patients (23.4%) (55 [18.5%] patients with stage 3B; 64 [30.3%] patients with stage 4 or 5 CKD), within the median follow-up period of 609 (220-983) days. After many-to-one propensity score matching (87 pairs in stage 3; 60 pairs in stage 4 or 5 CKD), those with RAS inhibitors had reduced mortality rate in stage 3B (hazard ratio [HR], 0.39; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.19-0.83) but not in stage 4 or 5 CKD (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.57-2.03). CONCLUSIONS: In HFrEF patients with CKD, RAS inhibitors are associated with reduction in mortality in stage 3B CKD, but the association is less clear in stage 4 or 5 CKD.


Assuntos
Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/efeitos adversos , Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina/efeitos adversos , Insuficiência Cardíaca Sistólica/tratamento farmacológico , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/induzido quimicamente , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/uso terapêutico , Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina/uso terapêutico , Causas de Morte , Feminino , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular/efeitos dos fármacos , Insuficiência Cardíaca Sistólica/mortalidade , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Análise Multivariada , Pontuação de Propensão , Estudos Prospectivos , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/mortalidade , Análise de Sobrevida
13.
Circ Rep ; 1(4): 162-170, 2019 Mar 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33693133

RESUMO

Background: The concept of Clinical Scenario (CS) classification has been widely utilized to aid in choosing appropriate management strategies for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). Methods and Results: The West Tokyo-Heart Failure (WET-HF) Registry is a multicenter, prospective cohort registry enrolling consecutive hospitalized ADHF patients. Based on systolic blood pressure (SBP) at admission, 4,000 patients enrolled between 2006 and 2017 were classified into 3 groups: CS1, SBP ≥140 mmHg; CS2, 100≤SBP<140 mmHg; and CS3, SBP <100 mmHg. The CS1 group had a high rate of fluid retention such as leg edema, and the largest reduction in body weight at discharge. In-hospital diuretics use was the most frequent in CS1. Although the primary endpoint of long-term all-cause death and/or ADHF re-hospitalization was more common in more advanced CS, there was no significant difference between the 3 CS groups in patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF; P=0.10). Although more advanced CS was associated with larger left ventricular (LV) chamber size in HF with reduced EF (HFrEF), it was associated with smaller LV size in HFpEF. Conclusions: The long-term prognostic value of CS classification was limited in HFpEF. Whereas CS was closely associated with degree of LV remodeling in HFrEF, a smaller LV chamber might be associated with a lower cardiovascular functional reserve in HFpEF.

14.
J Card Fail ; 25(7): 561-567, 2019 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30099192

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Precise risk stratification in heart failure (HF) patients enables clinicians to tailor the intensity of their management. The Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM), which uses conventional clinical variables for its prediction, is widely used. We aimed to externally validate SHFM in Japanese HF patients with a recent episode of acute decompensation requiring hospital admission. METHODS AND RESULTS: SHFM was applied to 2470 HF patients registered in the West Tokyo Heart Failure and National Cerebral And Cardiovascular Center Acute Decompensated Heart Failure databases from 2006 to 2016. Discrimination and calibration were assessed with the use of the c-statistic and calibration plots, respectively, in HF patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; <40%) and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF; ≥40%). In a perfectly calibrated model, the slope and intercept would be 1.0 and 0.0, respectively. The method of intercept recalibration was used to update the model. The registered patients (mean age 74 ± 13 y) were predominantly men (62%). Overall, 572 patients (23.2%) died during a mean follow-up of 2.1 years. Among HFrEF patients, SHFM showed good discrimination (c-statistic = 0.75) but miscalibration, tending to overestimate 1-year survival (slope = 0.78; intercept = -0.22). Among HFpEF patients, SHFM showed modest discrimination (c-statistic = 0.69) and calibration, tending to underestimate 1-year survival (slope = 1.18; intercept = 0.16). Intercept recalibration (replacing the baseline survival function) successfully updated the model for HFrEF (slope = 1.03; intercept = -0.04) but not for HFpEF patients. CONCLUSIONS: In Japanese acute HF patients, SHFM showed adequate performance after recalibration among HFrEF patients. Using prediction models to tailor the care for HF patients may improve the allocation of medical resources.


Assuntos
Regras de Decisão Clínica , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Medição de Risco/métodos , Volume Sistólico , Doença Aguda , Idoso , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Prognóstico , Sistema de Registros/estatística & dados numéricos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes
15.
ESC Heart Fail ; 5(4): 610-619, 2018 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29520978

RESUMO

AIMS: Predictive models for heart failure patients are widely used in the clinical practice to stratify patients' mortality and enable clinicians to tailor and intensify their approach. However, such models have not been validated internationally. In addition, biomarkers are now frequently measured to obtain prognostic information, and the implications of this practice are not known. In this study, we aimed to validate the model performance of the Meta-analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) score in a Japanese acute heart failure registry and further explore the incremental prognostic value of discharge B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this study, we evaluated the registered data of 2215 consecutive acute HF patients (with 694 119 person-years follow-up) from a prospective multicentre registry (the West Tokyo Heart Failure) conducted in Japan from April 2006 to August 2016. The mean age was 73.0 ± 13.0, and 61.2% were male. The MAGGIC score demonstrated modest discrimination (c-index = 0.71, 95% confidence interval 0.67-0.74) and good calibration (R2 value = 0.97); there was constant overestimation for 1 year mortality. However, when the BNP level was added to the original MAGGIC variables, the model demonstrated good discrimination (c-index = 0.74, 95% confidence interval 0.70-0.78) with adequate calibration (R2 value = 0.91). The modified MAGGIC BNP score was externally validated in a separate Japanese registry (NaDEF) and demonstrated moderate discrimination (c-index = 0.69, 95% confidence interval 0.65-0.73) and calibration (R2 value = 0.85). CONCLUSION: The original MAGGIC score performed modestly in Japanese patients, but the addition of discharge BNP level enhanced model performance. The addition of objective biomarkers may result in effective modification of preexisting internationally recognized risk models and aid in multinational comparisons of heart failure patients' outcomes.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Alta do Paciente/tendências , Sistema de Registros , Medição de Risco/métodos , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Feminino , Seguimentos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/sangue , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendências , Fatores de Tempo
16.
J Cardiol ; 66(3): 263-8, 2015 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25547740

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The optimal treatment strategies for acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in older patients are unclear because of the high risk of mortality in this population. Hypoalbuminemia, frailty, and body mass index (BMI) have been reported to worsen the prognosis of some older patients with cardiovascular disease, but the specific impact of these factors on the prognosis after STEMI is poorly understood. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of these factors on early outcomes in patients aged ≥85 years with acute STEMI. METHODS: Sixty-two consecutive eligible patients aged ≥85 years (mean age, 88.1±2.5 years; age range, 85-94 years; female, 41.9%; primary percutaneous coronary intervention, 67.7%) who were admitted to our hospital with STEMI were retrospectively reviewed. Baseline patient characteristics, echocardiographic, electrocardiographic, and laboratory findings, and the Canadian Study of Health and Aging Clinical Frailty Scale (CSHA-CFS) score were assessed. The primary endpoint was in-hospital mortality and the secondary endpoint was failure of discharge to home. Independent baseline variables with a p-value of <0.15 in the univariate analyses were included in the multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis identified a higher baseline serum troponin I level [p=0.046; odds ratio (OR): 1.02], lower baseline albumin level (p=0.035, OR: 0.16), and CSHA-CFS score ≥6 (p=0.028, OR: 6.38) as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality. Lower BMI (p<0.001, OR: 0.49) and CSHA-CFS frailty score ≥6 (p=0.002, OR: 16.69) were identified as independent predictors of failure of discharge to home. CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate that the serum albumin level, CSHA-CFS score, and BMI, in addition to serum troponin I level, have an impact on the early prognosis of older patients with STEMI.


Assuntos
Índice de Massa Corporal , Idoso Fragilizado , Hipoalbuminemia/epidemiologia , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Alta do Paciente , Idoso , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Análise Multivariada , Infarto do Miocárdio/terapia , Intervenção Coronária Percutânea , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Volume Sistólico , Troponina I/sangue
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