Evaluating the effectiveness of low-sulphur marine fuel regulations at improving urban ambient PM2.5 air quality: Source apportionment of PM2.5 at Canadian Atlantic and Pacific coast cities with implementation of the North American Emissions Control Area.

Ambient fine size fraction particulate matter (PM2.5) sources were resolved by positive matrix factorization at two Canadian cities on the Atlantic and Pacific coast over the 2010-2016 period, corresponding to implementation of the North American Emissions Control Area (NA ECA) low-sulphur marine fuel regulations. Source types contributing to local PM2.5 concentrations were: ECA regulation-related (residual oil, anthropogenic sulphate), urban transportation and residential (gasoline, diesel, secondary nitrate, biomass burning, road dust/soil), industry (refinery, Pb-enriched), and largely natural (biogenic sulphate, sea salt). Anthropogenic sources accounted for approximately 80 % of PM2.5 mass over 2010-2016. Anthropogenic and biogenic sources of PM2.5-sulphate were separated and apportioned. Anthropogenic PM2.5-sulphate was approximately 2-3 times higher than biogenic PM2.5-sulphate prior to implementation of the NA ECA low-S marine fuel regulations, decreasing to 1-2 times higher after regulation implementation. Non-marine anthropogenic sources (gasoline, road dust, local industry factors) were shown to together contribute 38 % - 45 % of urban PM2.5. At both coastal cities, the residual oil and anthropogenic sulphate factors clearly reflected the effects of the low-S fuel regulations at reducing primary and secondary sulphur-related PM2.5 emissions. Comparing a pre-regulation and post-regulation period, residual oil combustion PM2.5 decreased by 0.24-0.25 µg/m3 (94%-95 % decrease) in both cities and anthropogenic sulphate PM2.5 decreased by 0.78 µg/m3 in Halifax (47 % decrease) and 0.71 µg/m3 in Burnaby (58 % decrease). Regulation-related PM2.5 across these factors decreased by approximately 1 µg/m3 after regulation implementation, providing a quantified lower estimate of the beneficial influence of the regulations on urban ambient PM2.5 concentrations. Further reductions in coastal city ambient PM2.5 may best consider air quality strategies that include multiple sources, including marine shipping and non-marine anthropogenic source types given this analysis found that marine vessel emissions remain an important source of urban ambient PM2.5.

Air quality in Canadian port cities after regulation of low-sulphur marine fuel in the North American Emissions Control Area.

Large marine vessels have historically used high-sulphur (S) residual fuel oil (RFO), with substantial airborne releases of sulphur dioxide (SO2) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) enriched in vanadium (V), nickel (Ni) and other air pollutants. To address marine shipping air pollution, Canada and the United States have jointly implemented a North American Emissions Control Area (NA ECA) within which ships are regulated to use lower-sulphur marine fuel or equivalent SO2 scrubbers (i.e., 3.5% maximum fuel S reduced to 1% S in 2012 and 0.1% S in 2015). To investigate the effects of these regulations on local air quality, we examined changes in air pollutant (SO2, PM2.5, NO2, O3), and related PM2.5 components (V, Ni, sulphate) concentrations over 2010-2016 at the Canadian port cities of Halifax, Vancouver, Victoria, Montreal, and Quebec City. SO2 concentrations showed large statistically significant decreases at all sites (-28% to -83% mean hourly change), with the largest improvements in the coastal cities when the 0.1% fuel S regulation took effect. Statistically significant PM2.5 but smaller fractional reductions were also observed (-7% to -37% mean hourly change), reflecting the importance of non-marine PM sources. RFO marker species V and Ni in PM2.5 dramatically declined following regulation implementation, consistent with decreased RFO use likely indicating the switch to low-S distillate fuel oil rather than exhaust scrubbers for initial compliance. Significant changes in other pollutants with non-marine sources (NO2, O3) were not contemporaneous with the regulatory timeline. The large SO2 improvements in the port cities have reduced 1-h concentrations to <30 ppb, comparable to Canadian urban locations with few local SO2 sources and likely reducing health risks to susceptible populations such as asthmatics and the elderly. Our findings indicate that the implementation of the NA ECA improved air quality at Canadian port cities immediately following the requirement for lower-S fuel. These air quality improvements suggest that large-scale international benefits can result from implementation of the 2020 global low-S marine fuel regulations.