Time-course analysis of cisplatin induced AKI in preclinical models: implications for testing different sources of MSCs.

BACKGROUND: Kidneys are at risk from drug-induced toxicity, with a significant proportion of acute kidney injury (AKI) linked to medications, particularly cisplatin. Existing cytoprotective drugs for cisplatin-AKI carry side effects, prompting a search for better biological therapies. Mesenchymal Stem Cells (MSCs) are under consideration given their regenerative properties, yet their clinical application has not achieved their full potential, mainly due to variability in the source of MSC tested. In addition, translating treatments from rodent models to humans remains challenging due to a lack of standardized dosing and understanding potential differential responses to cisplatin between animal strains. METHOD: In the current study, we performed a time-course analysis of the effect of cisplatin across different mouse strains and evaluated gender related differences to create a robust preclinical model that could then be used to explore the therapeutic efficacy of different sources of MSCs for their ability to reverse AKI. RESULT: Our data indicated that different mouse strains produce differential responses to the same cisplatin dosing regimen. Despite this, we did not observe any gender-related bias towards cisplatin nephrotoxicity. Furthermore, our time-course analysis identified that cisplatin-induced inflammation was driven by a strong CXCL1 response, which was used as a putative biomarker to evaluate the comparative therapeutic efficacy of different MSC sources in reversing AKI. Our data indicates that UC-MSCs have a stronger anti-inflammatory effect compared to BM-MSCs and AD-MSCs, which helped to ameliorate cisplatin-AKI. CONCLUSION: Overall, our data underscores the importance of using an optimized preclinical model of cisplatin-AKI to test different therapies. We identified CXCL1 as a potential biomarker of cisplatin-AKI and identified the superior efficacy of UC-MSCs in mitigating cisplatin-AKI.

Pediatric acute kidney injury and adverse health outcomes: using a foundational framework to evaluate a causal link.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a major global health problem, expensive to manage, and its associations with negative pediatric health outcomes have been clearly demonstrated. One of the most fundamental questions to consider as we use previous epidemiological information to advance research and care paradigms is the strength of the causal link between pediatric AKI and health outcomes. In this review, we apply the foundational framework of the Bradford Hill criteria to evaluate the extent to which a causal link exists between AKI and the associated adverse outcomes in children. Available data in children support a causal link between AKI and short-term outcomes including mortality, length of stay, and ventilation time. Clarifying the causal nature of longer term associations requires further high-quality observational studies in children, careful consideration of what defines the most meaningful and measurable longer term outcomes after pediatric AKI, and integration of evolving biological data related to mechanisms of disease. Preventing or mitigating AKI should lead to improved outcomes. Demonstrating such reversibility will solidify confidence in the causal relationship, improve child health, and highlight an aspect which is highly relevant to clinicians, scientists, and policy makers.

Intraoperative and Postoperative Hemodynamic Predictors of Acute Kidney Injury in Pediatric Heart Transplant Recipients.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common after pediatric heart transplantation (HT) and is associated with inferior patient outcomes. Hemodynamic risk factors for pediatric heart transplant recipients who experience AKI are not well described. We performed a retrospective review of 99 pediatric heart transplant patients at Lucile Packard Children's Hospital Stanford from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2019, in which clinical and demographic characteristics, intraoperative perfusion data, and hemodynamic measurements in the first 48 postoperative hours were analyzed as risk factors for severe AKI (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes [KDIGO] stage ≥ 2). Univariate analysis was conducted using Fisher's exact test, Chi-square test, and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test, as appropriate. Multivariable analysis was conducted using logistic regression. Thirty-five patients (35%) experienced severe AKI which was associated with lower intraoperative cardiac index ( p = 0.001), higher hematocrit ( p < 0.001), lower body temperature ( p < 0.001), lower renal near-infrared spectroscopy ( p = 0.001), lower postoperative mean arterial blood pressure (MAP: p = 0.001), and higher central venous pressure (CVP; p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, postoperative CVP >12 mm Hg (odds ratio [OR] = 4.27; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.48-12.3, p = 0.007) and MAP <65 mm Hg (OR = 4.9; 95% CI: 1.07-22.5, p = 0.04) were associated with early severe AKI. Children with severe AKI experienced longer ventilator, intensive care, and posttransplant hospital days and inferior survival ( p = 0.01). Lower MAP and higher CVP are associated with severe AKI in pediatric HT recipients. Patients, who experienced AKI, experienced increased intensive care unit (ICU) morbidity and inferior survival. These data may guide the development of perioperative renal protective management strategies to reduce AKI incidence and improve patient outcomes.

Acute kidney injury in neonates with hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy based on serum creatinine decline compared to KDIGO criteria.

BACKGROUND: Neonates with hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy receiving therapeutic hypothermia (HIE + TH) are at risk for acute kidney injury (AKI). The standardized Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria identifies AKI based on a rise in serum creatinine (SCr) or reduced urine output. This definition is challenging to apply in neonates given the physiologic decline in SCr during the first week of life. Gupta et al. proposed alternative neonatal criteria centered on rate of SCr decline. This study aimed to compare the rate of AKI based on KDIGO and Gupta in neonates with HIE and to examine associations with mortality and morbidity. METHODS: A retrospective review was performed of neonates with moderate to severe HIE + TH from 2008 to 2020 at a single center. AKI was assessed in the first 7 days after birth by KDIGO and Gupta criteria. Mortality, brain MRI severity of injury, length of stay, and duration of respiratory support were compared between AKI groups. RESULTS: Among 225 neonates, 64 (28%) met KDIGO, 69 (31%) neonates met Gupta but not KDIGO, and 92 (41%) did not meet either definition. Both KDIGO-AKI and GuptaOnly-AKI groups had an increased risk of the composite mortality and/or moderate/severe brain MRI injury along with longer length of stay and prolonged duration of respiratory support compared to those without AKI. CONCLUSIONS: AKI in neonates with HIE + TH was common and varied by definition. The Gupta definition based on rate of SCr decline identified additional neonates not captured by KDIGO criteria who are at increased risk for adverse outcomes. Incorporating the rate of SCr decline into the neonatal AKI definition may increase identification of clinically relevant kidney injury in neonates with HIE + TH.

Rethinking Data Collection Methods During the Pandemic: Development and Implementation of CATI for the All of Us Research Program.

The All of Us Research Program is a longitudinal cohort study aiming to build a diverse database to advance precision medicine. The COVID-19 pandemic hindered the ability of participants to receive in-person assistance at enrollment sites to complete digital surveys. Therefore, the program implemented Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI) to facilitate survey completion remotely to combat the disrupted data collection procedures. In January 2021, All of Us implemented a 1-year CATI Pilot supporting 9399 participants and resulting in 16 337 submitted surveys. The pilot showed that CATI was successful in increasing survey completion and retention activities for the All of Us Research Program, given the additional remote support offered to participants. Given the success of the CATI Pilot, multimodal survey administration will continue.

Advances in pediatric acute kidney injury pathobiology: a report from the 26th Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) conference.

BACKGROUND: In the past decade, there have been substantial advances in our understanding of the pathobiology of pediatric acute kidney injury (AKI). In particular, animal models and studies focused on the relationship between kidney development, nephron number, and kidney health have identified a number of heterogeneous pathophysiologies underlying AKI. Despite this progress, gaps remain in our understanding of the pathobiology of pediatric AKI. METHODS: During the 26th Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) Consensus conference, a multidisciplinary group of experts discussed the evidence and used a modified Delphi process to achieve consensus on recommendations for opportunities to advance translational research in pediatric AKI. The current state of research understanding as well as gaps and opportunities for advancement in research was discussed, and recommendations were summarized. RESULTS: Consensus was reached that to improve translational pediatric AKI advancements, diverse teams spanning pre-clinical to epidemiological scientists must work in concert together and that results must be shared with the community we serve with patient involvement. Public and private research support and meaningful partnerships with adult research efforts are required. Particular focus is warranted to investigate the pediatric nuances of AKI, including the effect of development as a biological variable on AKI incidence, severity, and outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Although AKI is common and associated with significant morbidity, the biologic basis of the disease spectrum throughout varying nephron developmental stages remains poorly understood. An incomplete understanding of factors contributing to kidney health, the diverse pathobiologies underlying AKI in children, and the historically siloed approach to research limit advances in the field. The recommendations outlined herein identify gaps and outline a strategic approach to advance the field of pediatric AKI via multidisciplinary translational research.

Long-term kidney outcomes in pediatric continuous-flow ventricular assist device patients.

BACKGROUND: Continuous-flow ventricular assist devices (CF-VADs) are used increasingly in pediatric end-stage heart failure (ESHF) patients. Alongside common risk factors like oxidant injury from hemolysis, non-pulsatile flow constitutes a unique circulatory stress on kidneys. Post-implantation recovery after acute kidney injury (AKI) is commonly reported, but long-term kidney outcomes or factors implicated in the evolution of chronic kidney disease (CKD) with prolonged CF-VAD support are unknown. METHODS: We studied ESHF patients supported > 90 days on CF-VAD from 2008 to 2018. The primary outcome was CKD (per Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria). Secondary outcomes included AKI incidence post-implantation and CKD evolution in the 6-12 months of CF-VAD support. RESULTS: We enrolled 134 patients; 84/134 (63%) were male, median age was 13 [IQR 9.9, 15.9] years, 72/134 (54%) had preexisting CKD at implantation, and 85/134 (63%) had AKI. At 3 months, of the 91/134 (68%) still on a CF-VAD, 34/91 (37%) never had CKD, 13/91 (14%) developed de novo CKD, while CKD persisted or worsened in 49% (44/91). Etiology of heart failure, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation use, duration of CF-VAD, AKI history, and kidney replacement therapy were not associated with different CKD outcomes. Mortality was higher in those with AKI or preexisting CKD. CONCLUSIONS: In the first multicenter study to focus on kidney outcomes for pediatric long-term CF-VAD patients, preimplantation CKD and peri-implantation AKI were common. Both de novo CKD and worsening CKD can happen on prolonged CF-VAD support. Proactive kidney function monitoring and targeted follow-up are important to optimize outcomes.

Pediatric AKI in the real world: changing outcomes through education and advocacy-a report from the 26th Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) consensus conference.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is independently associated with increased morbidity and mortality across the life course, yet care for AKI remains mostly supportive. Raising awareness of this life-threatening clinical syndrome through education and advocacy efforts is the key to improving patient outcomes. Here, we describe the unique roles education and advocacy play in the care of children with AKI, discuss the importance of customizing educational outreach efforts to individual groups and contexts, and highlight the opportunities created through innovations and partnerships to optimize lifelong health outcomes. METHODS: During the 26th Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) consensus conference, a multidisciplinary group of experts discussed the evidence and used a modified Delphi process to achieve consensus on recommendations on AKI research, education, practice, and advocacy in children. RESULTS: The consensus statements developed in response to three critical questions about the role of education and advocacy in pediatric AKI care are presented here along with a summary of available evidence and recommendations for both clinical care and research. CONCLUSIONS: These consensus statements emphasize that high-quality care for patients with AKI begins in the community with education and awareness campaigns to identify those at risk for AKI. Education is the key across all healthcare and non-healthcare settings to enhance early diagnosis and develop mitigation strategies, thereby improving outcomes for children with AKI. Strong advocacy efforts are essential for implementing these programs and building critical collaborations across all stakeholders and settings.

Epidemiology of acute kidney injury in children: a report from the 26th Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) consensus conference.

The nephrology and critical care communities have seen an increase in studies exploring acute kidney injury (AKI) epidemiology in children. As a result, we now know that AKI is highly prevalent in critically ill neonates, children, and young adults. Furthermore, children who develop AKI experience greater morbidity and higher mortality. Yet knowledge gaps still exist that suggest a more comprehensive understanding of AKI will form the foundation for future efforts designed to improve outcomes. In particular, the areas of community acquired AKI, AKI in non-critically ill children, and cohorts from low-middle income countries have not been well studied. Longer-term functional outcomes and patient-centric metrics including social determinants of health, quality of life, and healthcare utilization should be the foci of the next phase of scholarship. Current definitions identify AKI-based upon evidence of dysfunction which serves as a proxy for injury; biomarkers capable of identifying injury as it occurs are likely to more accurately define populations with AKI. Despite the strength of the association, the causal and mechanistic relationships between AKI and poorer outcomes remain inadequately examined. A more robust understanding of the relationship represents a potential to identify therapeutic targets. Once established, a more comprehensive understanding of AKI epidemiology in children will allow investigation of preventive, therapeutic, and quality improvement interventions more effectively.

Prospective Study of the Multisite Spread of a Medication Safety Intervention: Factors Common to Hospitals With Improved Outcomes.

Context and implementation approaches can impede the spread of patient safety interventions. The objective of this article is to characterize factors associated with improved outcomes among 9 hospitals implementing a medication safety intervention. Nephrotoxic Injury Negated by Just-in-Time Action (NINJA) is a pharmacist-driven intervention that led to a sustained reduction in nephrotoxic medication-associated acute kidney injury (NTMx-AKI) at 1 hospital. Using qualitative comparative analysis, the team prospectively assessed the association between context and implementation factors and NTMx-AKI reduction during NINJA spread to 9 hospitals. Five hospitals reduced NTMx-AKI. These 5 had either (1) a pharmacist champion and >2 pharmacists working on NINJA (Scon 1.0, Scov 0.8) or (2) a nephrologist-implementing NINJA with minimal competing organizational priorities (Scon 1.0, Scov 0.2). Interviews identified ways NINJA team leaders obtained pharmacist support or successfully implemented without that support. In conclusion, these findings have implications for future spread of NINJA and suggest an approach to study spread of safety interventions more broadly.

Digital health and acute kidney injury: consensus report of the 27th Acute Disease Quality Initiative workgroup.

Acute kidney injury (AKI), which is a common complication of acute illnesses, affects the health of individuals in community, acute care and post-acute care settings. Although the recognition, prevention and management of AKI has advanced over the past decades, its incidence and related morbidity, mortality and health care burden remain overwhelming. The rapid growth of digital technologies has provided a new platform to improve patient care, and reports show demonstrable benefits in care processes and, in some instances, in patient outcomes. However, despite great progress, the potential benefits of using digital technology to manage AKI has not yet been fully explored or implemented in clinical practice. Digital health studies in AKI have shown variable evidence of benefits, and the digital divide means that access to digital technologies is not equitable. Upstream research and development costs, limited stakeholder participation and acceptance, and poor scalability of digital health solutions have hindered their widespread implementation and use. Here, we provide recommendations from the Acute Disease Quality Initiative consensus meeting, which involved experts in adult and paediatric nephrology, critical care, pharmacy and data science, at which the use of digital health for risk prediction, prevention, identification and management of AKI and its consequences was discussed.

A novel acute kidney injury scoring system for renal and clinical outcomes in pediatric heart transplant patients.

BACKGROUND: The development of acute kidney injury (AKI) has been associated with worse outcomes in children after heart transplantation. Our study compares the application of a cumulative six-point Kidney Diseases Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) AKI scoring system, utilizing both creatinine and urine output criteria that we term as the AKI-6 criteria, to traditional AKI staging as a predictor for clinical and renal outcomes in the pediatric heart transplant recipients. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective single-center chart review on 155 pediatric patients who underwent heart transplantation from May 2014 to December 2021. The primary independent variable was the presence of severe AKI. Severe AKI by KDIGO was defined as Stage ≥2, whereas severe AKI by AKI-6 was defined as cumulative scores ≥4 or Stage 3 AKI based on either KDIGO criterion alone. Primary outcomes included actuarial survival and renal dysfunction by 1-year post-transplant, defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 . RESULTS: In total, 140 (90%) patients developed AKI; 98 (63%) patients developed severe AKI by KDIGO, and 60 (39%) by AKI-6. Severe AKI by AKI-6 was associated with worse actuarial survival following heart transplantation compared with KDIGO (p = 0.01). Of the 143 patients with 1-year creatinine data, 6 (11%) patients out of 54 with severe AKI by AKI-6 had evidence of renal dysfunction (p = 0.01), compared with 6 (7%) patients out of 88 by KDIGO (p = 0.3). CONCLUSIONS: AKI-6 scoring provides greater prognostic utility for actuarial survival and renal dysfunction by 1-year post-heart transplantation in pediatric patients than traditional KDIGO staging.

Clinical Predictive Tool for Pediatric Cardiac Patients on Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Therapy and Ultrafiltration.

Fluid overload is common among pediatric cardiac patients receiving extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) and is often treated with in-line ultrafiltration (UF) or continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). We assessed whether CRRT was associated with poor outcomes versus UF alone. Additionally, we identified characteristics associated with progression from UF to CRRT. Retrospective chart review of 131 patients age ≤18 years treated with ECMO at a single quaternary center. Data were collected to compare patient demographics, characteristics, and outcomes. A receiver operator curve (ROC) was used to create a tool predictive of the need for CRRT at the time of UF initiation. Patients who required CRRT had a higher creatinine and blood urea nitrogen at time of UF initiation ( p = 0.03 and p < 0.01), longer total ECMO duration ( p < 0.01), lower renal recovery incidence ( p = 0.02), and higher mortality ( p ≤ 0.01). Using ROC analysis, presence of ≤3 of 7 risk variables had a positive predictive value of 87.5% and negative predictive value of 50.0% for use of UF alone (area under the curve 0.801; 95% CI: 0.638-0.965, p = 0.002). Pediatric cardiac patients treated with ECMO and UF who require CRRT demonstrate worse outcomes versus UF alone. A novel clinical tool may assist in stratifying patients at UF initiation.

Impact of the Magnitude and Timing of Fluid Overload on Outcomes in Critically Ill Children: A Report From the Multicenter International Assessment of Worldwide Acute Kidney Injury, Renal Angina, and Epidemiology (AWARE) Study.

OBJECTIVES: With the recognition that fluid overload (FO) has a detrimental impact on critically ill children, the critical care nephrology community has focused on identifying clinically meaningful targets for intervention. The current study aims to evaluate the epidemiology and outcomes associated with FO in an international multicenter cohort of critically ill children. The current study also aims to evaluate the association of FO at predetermined clinically relevant thresholds and time points (FO ≥ 5% and FO ≥ 10% at the end of ICU days 1 and 2) with outcomes. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Multicenter, international collaborative of 32 pediatric ICUs. PATIENTS: A total of 5,079 children and young adults admitted consecutively to pediatric ICUs as part of the Assessment of the Worldwide Acute Kidney Injury, Renal Angina and Epidemiology Study. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The FO thresholds at the time points of interest occurred commonly in the cohort (FO ≥ 5%Day1 in 38.1% [ n = 1753], FO ≥ 10%Day1 in 11.7% [ n = 537], FO ≥ 5%Day2 in 53.3% [ n = 1,539], FO ≥ 10%Day2 in 25.1% [ n = 724]). On Day1, multivariable modeling demonstrated that FO ≥ 5% was associated with fewer ICU-free days, and FO ≥ 10% was associated with higher mortality and fewer ICU and ventilator-free days. On multivariable modeling, FO-peak, Day2 FO ≥ 5%, and Day2 FO ≥ 10% were associated with higher mortality and fewer ICU and ventilator-free days. CONCLUSIONS: This study found that mild-to-moderate FO as early as at the end of ICU Day1 is associated with adverse outcomes. The current study fills an important void in the literature by identifying critical combinations of FO timing and quantity associated with adverse outcomes (FO ≥ 5%Day1, FO ≥10%Day1, FO ≥ 5%Day2, and FO ≥ 10%Day2). Those novel findings will help guide the development of interventional strategies and trials targeting the treatment and prevention of clinically relevant FO.

Design and Implementation of the All of Us Research Program COVID-19 Participant Experience (COPE) Survey.

In response to the rapidly evolving coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the All of Us Research Program longitudinal cohort study developed the COVID-19 Participant Experience (COPE) survey to better understand the pandemic experiences and health impacts of COVID-19 on diverse populations within the United States. Six survey versions were deployed between May 2020 and March 2021, covering mental health, loneliness, activity, substance use, and discrimination, as well as COVID-19 symptoms, testing, treatment, and vaccination. A total of 104,910 All of Us Research Program participants, of whom over 73% were from communities traditionally underrepresented in biomedical research, completed 275,201 surveys; 9,693 completed all 6 surveys. Response rates varied widely among demographic groups and were lower among participants from certain racial and ethnic minority populations, participants with low income or educational attainment, and participants with a Spanish language preference. Survey modifications improved participant response rates between the first and last surveys (13.9% to 16.1%, P < 0.001). This paper describes a data set with longitudinal COVID-19 survey data in a large, diverse population that will enable researchers to address important questions related to the pandemic, a data set that is of additional scientific value when combined with the program's other data sources.

Consensus-Based Recommendations on Priority Activities to Address Acute Kidney Injury in Children: A Modified Delphi Consensus Statement.

Importance: Increasing evidence indicates that acute kidney injury (AKI) occurs frequently in children and young adults and is associated with poor short-term and long-term outcomes. Guidance is required to focus efforts related to expansion of pediatric AKI knowledge. Objective: To develop expert-driven pediatric specific recommendations on needed AKI research, education, practice, and advocacy. Evidence Review: At the 26th Acute Disease Quality Initiative meeting conducted in November 2021 by 47 multiprofessional international experts in general pediatrics, nephrology, and critical care, the panel focused on 6 areas: (1) epidemiology; (2) diagnostics; (3) fluid overload; (4) kidney support therapies; (5) biology, pharmacology, and nutrition; and (6) education and advocacy. An objective scientific review and distillation of literature through September 2021 was performed of (1) epidemiology, (2) risk assessment and diagnosis, (3) fluid assessment, (4) kidney support and extracorporeal therapies, (5) pathobiology, nutrition, and pharmacology, and (6) education and advocacy. Using an established modified Delphi process based on existing data, workgroups derived consensus statements with recommendations. Findings: The meeting developed 12 consensus statements and 29 research recommendations. Principal suggestions were to address gaps of knowledge by including data from varying socioeconomic groups, broadening definition of AKI phenotypes, adjudicating fluid balance by disease severity, integrating biopathology of child growth and development, and partnering with families and communities in AKI advocacy. Conclusions and Relevance: Existing evidence across observational study supports further efforts to increase knowledge related to AKI in childhood. Significant gaps of knowledge may be addressed by focused efforts.

Kidney Replacement Therapy in Low Birth Weight Preterm Newborns.

Managing newborns with kidney failure is a complex undertaking; even under ideal circumstances, dialysis is technically challenging and available therapies are designed for adults. These issues are exacerbated in smaller newborns, and intervention has traditionally not been offered in those below a certain weight threshold. Ethical concerns abound and patients deemed too small for dialysis are typically transitioned to comfort or palliative care. However, many of these neonates are otherwise healthy and would be considered survivable if kidney replacement therapy were available. To challenge the existing paradigm, we present 7 preterm, low birth weight neonates with end-stage kidney disease who were successfully managed using an innovative approach to kidney replacement therapy. These newborns had a median gestational age of 32 weeks (interquartile range [IQR], 32-35) and a median birth weight of 1.58 kg (IQR, 1.41-2.01). Kidney replacement therapy was initiated at a median age of 16 days (IQR, 1.5-40) and a weight of 1.85 kg (IQR, 1.57-2.1). Five of the 7 newborns (71%) survived to hospital discharge. Kidney replacement therapy was provided using 3F and 4F single lumen catheters and a modified ultrafiltration device. Patients experienced excellent metabolic control, and fluid homeostasis was achieved in the first week of life. Furthermore, survivors experienced physiologic weight gain and linear growth throughout their hospitalization. These findings, although preliminary, are encouraging for our smallest patients with kidney failure and suggest that survivability thresholds should be reexamined. At a minimum, neonatologists should be aware that novel approaches exist and may be considered for these challenging patients.

Monitoring Approaches for a Pediatric Chronic Kidney Disease Machine Learning Model.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the ability of three metrics to monitor for a reduction in performance of a chronic kidney disease (CKD) model deployed at a pediatric hospital. METHODS: The CKD risk model estimates a patient's risk of developing CKD 3 to 12 months following an inpatient admission. The model was developed on a retrospective dataset of 4,879 admissions from 2014 to 2018, then run silently on 1,270 admissions from April to October, 2019. Three metrics were used to monitor its performance during the silent phase: (1) standardized mean differences (SMDs); (2) performance of a "membership model"; and (3) response distribution analysis. Observed patient outcomes for the 1,270 admissions were used to calculate prospective model performance and the ability of the three metrics to detect performance changes. RESULTS: The deployed model had an area under the receiver-operator curve (AUROC) of 0.63 in the prospective evaluation, which was a significant decrease from an AUROC of 0.76 on retrospective data (p = 0.033). Among the three metrics, SMDs were significantly different for 66/75 (88%) of the model's input variables (p <0.05) between retrospective and deployment data. The membership model was able to discriminate between the two settings (AUROC = 0.71, p <0.0001) and the response distributions were significantly different (p <0.0001) for the two settings. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that the three metrics examined could provide early indication of performance deterioration in deployed models' performance.

Post-operative Morbidity and Mortality After Fontan Procedure in Patients with Heterotaxy and Other Situs Anomalies.

Heterotaxy is a complex, multisystem disorder associated with single ventricle heart disease and decreased survival. Ciliary dysfunction is common in heterotaxy and other situs abnormalities (H/SA) and may increase post-operative complications. We hypothesized that patients with H/SA have increased respiratory and renal morbidities and increased in-hospital mortality after Fontan procedure. We queried the Pediatric Health Information System database for hospitalizations with ICD-9/10 codes for Fontan procedure in patients aged 1 through 11 years from 2004 to 2019. H/SA was identified by codes for dextrocardia, situs inversus, asplenia/polysplenia, or atrial isomerism and compared to non-H/SA controls. Outcomes were in-hospital mortality or heart transplantation, ECMO, hemodialysis, length of stay (LOS), and mechanical ventilation or vasoactive medication use ≥ 4 days. We adjusted estimates with multivariable logistic regression. Of 7897 patients at 50 centers, 1366 (17%) met criteria for H/SA. H/SA had worse outcomes for all study measures: death/transplantation (1.9 vs 1.1%, OR 1.74 (95% CI 1.01-3.03); p = 0.047), ECMO (3.7 vs 2.3%, OR 1.74 (1.28-2.35); p < 0.001), hemodialysis (2.1 vs 1.2%, OR 1.66 (1.06-2.59); p = 0.026), prolonged mechanical ventilation (13.2% vs 7.6%, OR 1.85 (1.53-2.25); p < 0.001) and vasoactive medication use (29.4 vs 19.7%, OR 1.65 (1.43-1.90), and longer LOS (11 (8-17) vs 9 (7-14) days; p < 0.001). H/SA is associated with increased cardiovascular, renal, and respiratory morbidity, as well as in-hospital mortality after Fontan procedure. Attention to renal and respiratory needs may improve outcomes in this difficult population. The relationship between ciliary dysfunction and lung and renal morbidity should be explored further.