Antibiotic Delays and Feasibility of a 1-Hour-From-Triage Antibiotic Requirement: Analysis of an Emergency Department Sepsis Quality Improvement Database.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We identify factors associated with delayed emergency department (ED) antibiotics and determine feasibility of a 1-hour-from-triage antibiotic requirement in sepsis. METHODS: We studied all ED adult septic patients in accordance with Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock National Quality Measures in 2 consecutive 12-month intervals. During the second interval, a quality improvement intervention was conducted: a sepsis screening protocol plus case-specific feedback to clinicians. Data were abstracted retrospectively through electronic query and chart review. Primary outcomes were antibiotic delay greater than 3 hours from documented onset of hypoperfusion (per Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Severe Sepsis and Septic Shock National Quality Measures) and antibiotic delay greater than 1 hour from triage (per 2018 Surviving Sepsis Campaign recommendations). RESULTS: We identified 297 and 357 septic patients before and during the quality improvement intervention, respectively. Before and during quality improvement intervention, antibiotic delay in accordance with Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services measures occurred in 30% and 21% of cases (-9% [95% confidence interval -16% to -2%]); and in accordance with 2018 Surviving Sepsis Campaign recommendations, 85% and 71% (-14% [95% confidence interval -20% to -8%]). Four factors were independently associated with both definitions of antibiotic delay: vague (ie, nonexplicitly infectious) presenting symptoms, triage location to nonacute areas, care before the quality improvement intervention, and lower Sequential [Sepsis-related] Organ Failure Assessment scores. Most patients did not receive antibiotics within 1 hour of triage, with the exception of a small subset post-quality improvement intervention who presented with explicit infectious symptoms and triage hypotension. CONCLUSION: The quality improvement intervention significantly reduced antibiotic delays, yet most septic patients did not receive antibiotics within 1 hour of triage. Compliance with the 2018 Surviving Sepsis Campaign would require a wholesale alteration in the management of ED patients with either vague symptoms or absence of triage hypotension.

Challenges and Opportunities for Emergency Department Sepsis Screening at Triage.

Feasibility of ED triage sepsis screening, before diagnostic testing has been performed, has not been established. In a retrospective, outcome-blinded chart review of a one-year cohort of ED adult septic shock patients ("derivation cohort") and three additional, non-consecutive months of all adult ED visits ("validation cohort"), we evaluated the qSOFA score, the Shock Precautions on Triage (SPoT) vital-signs criterion, and a triage concern-for-infection (tCFI) criterion based on risk factors and symptoms, to screen for sepsis. There were 19,670 ED patients in the validation cohort; 50 developed ED septic shock, of whom 60% presented without triage hypotension, and 56% presented with non-specific symptoms. The tCFI criterion improved specificity without substantial reduction of sensitivity. At triage, sepsis screens (positive qSOFA vital-signs and tCFI, or positive SPoT vital-signs and tCFI) were 28% (95% CI: 16-43%) and 56% (95% CI: 41-70%) sensitive, respectively, p < 0.01. By the conclusion of the ED stay, sensitivities were 80% (95% CI: 66-90%) and 90% (95% CI: 78-97%), p > 0.05, and specificities were 97% (95% CI: 96-97%) and 95% (95% CI: 95-96%), p < 0.001. ED patients who developed septic shock requiring vasopressors often presented normotensive with non-specific complaints, necessitating a low threshold for clinical concern-for-infection at triage.

Presenting Symptoms Independently Predict Mortality in Septic Shock: Importance of a Previously Unmeasured Confounder.

OBJECTIVES: Presenting symptoms in patients with sepsis may influence rapidity of diagnosis, time-to-antibiotics, and outcome. We tested the hypothesis that vague presenting symptoms are associated with delayed antibiotics and increased mortality. We further characterized individual presenting symptoms and their association with mortality. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Emergency department of large, urban, academic U.S. hospital. PATIENTS: All adult patients with septic shock treated in the emergency department between April 2014 and March 2016. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of 654 septic shock cases, 245 (37%) presented with vague symptoms. Time-to-antibiotics from first hypotension or elevated lactate was significantly longer for those with vague symptoms versus those with explicit symptoms of infection (1.6 vs 0.8 hr; p < 0.01), and in-hospital mortality was also substantially higher (34% vs 16%; p < 0.01). Patients with vague symptoms were older and sicker as evidenced by triage hypotension, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, initial serum lactate, and need for intubation. In multivariate analysis, vague symptoms were independently associated with mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.32-3.40; p < 0.01), whereas time-to-antibiotics was not associated with mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.94-1.08; p = 0.78). Of individual symptoms, only the absence of fever, chills, or rigors (odds ratio, 2.70; 95% CI, 1.63-4.47; p < 0.01) and presence of shortness of breath (odds ratio, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.23-3.15; p < 0.01) were independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: More than one third of patients with septic shock presented to the emergency department with vague symptoms that were not specific to infection. These patients had delayed antibiotic administration and higher risk of mortality even after controlling for demographics, illness acuity, and time-to-antibiotics in multivariate analysis. These findings suggest that the nature of presenting symptoms is an important component of sepsis clinical phenotyping and may be an important confounder in sepsis epidemiologic studies.

Classification models to predict vasopressor administration for septic shock in the emergency department.

Optimal management of sepsis and septic shock in the emergency department (ED) involves timely decisions related to intravenous fluid resuscitation and initiation of vasoactive medication support. A decision-support tool trained on electronic health record data, can help improve this complex decision. We retrospectively extracted vital signs, lab measurements, and fluid administration information from 807 patient visits over a two-year period to a major ED. Patients selected for inclusion had a high likelihood of septic shock. We trained binary classifiers to discriminate between patients administered vasopressors in the ED and those not administered vasopressors at any point. Using features extracted from the entire ED visit record yielded a maximum area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.798 (95% CI 0.725-0.849) in a hold-out test set. In a separate task, we used individual vital signs observations with lab results to predict vasopressor administration, yielding a maximum AUC of 0.762 (95% CI 0.748-0.777). Lastly, we trained separate classifiers for different subgroups of vital signs observations. These subgroups were defined by the cumulative number of fluid boluses delivered at the time of the observation. The maximum AUC achieved by any of these classifiers was 0.815 (95% CI 0.784-0.853), occurring for vital signs observations made after 2 bolus administrations. Classifiers in all tasks significantly outperformed existing clinical tools for assessing prognosis in ED sepsis. This work shows how relatively few features can provide instantaneous and accurate prediction of need for an intervention that is typically a complex clinical decision.

Hypotension in ICU Patients Receiving Vasopressor Therapy.

Vasopressor infusion (VPI) is used to treat hypotension in an ICU. We studied compliance with blood pressure (BP) goals during VPI and whether a statistical model might be efficacious for advance warning of impending hypotension, compared with a basic hypotension threshold alert. Retrospective data were obtained from a public database. Studying adult ICU patients receiving VPI at submaximal dosages, we analyzed characteristics of sustained hypotension episodes (>15 min) and then developed a logistic regression model to predict hypotension episodes using input features related to BP trends. The model was then validated with prospective data. In the retrospective dataset, 102-of-215 ICU stays experienced >1 hypotension episode (median of 2.5 episodes per day in this subgroup). When trained with 75% of retrospective dataset, testing with the remaining 25% of the dataset showed that the model and the threshold alert detected 99.6% and 100% of the episodes, respectively, with median advance forecast times (AFT) of 12 and 0 min. In a second, prospective dataset, the model detected 100% of 26 episodes with a median AFT of 22 min. In conclusion, episodes of hypotension were common during VPI in the ICU. A logistic regression model using BP temporal trend features predicted the episodes before their onset.

RSV in adult ED patients: Do emergency providers consider RSV as an admission diagnosis?

BACKGROUND: Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) has been recognized for over half a century as a cause of morbidity in infants and children. Over the past 20years, data has emerged linking RSV as a cause of illness in adults resulting in 177,000 annual hospitalizations and up to 14,000 deaths among older adults. OBJECTIVE: Characterize clinical variables in a cohort of adult RSV patients. We hypothesize that emergency physicians do not routinely consider RSV in the differential diagnosis (DDx) of influenza like illness. METHODS: Observational study of all adult inpatients, age≥19, with a positive RSV swab ordered within 48h of their hospital visit, including their emergency department (ED) visit, and who initially presented to a university affiliated urban 100,000 annual visit emergency department from 2007 to 2014. A data collection form was created, and a single trained clinical research assistant abstracted demographic, clinical variables. ED providers were given credit for RSV DDx if an RSV swab was ordered as part of the diagnostic ED workup. RESULTS: 295 consecutive inpatients (mean age=66.5years, range, 19-97, 53% male) were RSV positive during the 7-year study period. 207 cases (70%) were age≥60. 76 (26%) had fever, 86 (29%) had O2sat <92% and 145 (49%) had wheezing. 279 patients required admission, 30 needed ICU stay and overall mortality was 12 patients (4%). Age≥60 was associated with overall mortality (p=0.09). There were 106 (36%) immunocompromised patients (23% transplant, 40% cancer, 33% steroid use) in the cohort. A diagnosis of RSV was considered in the ED in 105 (36%) of patients. Being immunocompromised, having COPD/asthma, O2sat <92, or wheezing did not alert the ED provider to order an RSV test. CONCLUSION: Adults can harbor RSV as this can lead to significant mobility and mortality, especially in individuals who are over the age of 60. RSV is not being considered in the DDx diagnosis, and this was especially surprising in the transplant/immunocompromised subgroups. Given antiviral treatment options, educational efforts should be undertaken to raise awareness of RSV in adults.

Muscle Oxygen Saturation Improves Diagnostic Association Between Initial Vital Signs and Major Hemorrhage: A Prospective Observational Study.

OBJECTIVES: During initial assessment of trauma patients, vital signs do not identify all patients with life-threatening hemorrhage. We hypothesized that a novel vital sign, muscle oxygen saturation (SmO2 ), could provide independent diagnostic information beyond routine vital signs for identification of hemorrhaging patients who require packed red blood cell (RBC) transfusion. METHODS: This was an observational study of adult trauma patients treated at a Level I trauma center. Study staff placed the CareGuide 1100 tissue oximeter (Reflectance Medical Inc., Westborough, MA), and we analyzed average values of SmO2 , systolic blood pressure (sBP), pulse pressure (PP), and heart rate (HR) during 10 minutes of early emergency department evaluation. We excluded subjects without a full set of vital signs during the observation interval. The study outcome was hemorrhagic injury and RBC transfusion ≥ 3 units in 24 hours (24-hr RBC ≥ 3). To test the hypothesis that SmO2 added independent information beyond routine vital signs, we developed one logistic regression model with HR, sBP, and PP and one with SmO2 in addition to HR, sBP, and PP and compared their areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC AUCs) using DeLong's test. RESULTS: We enrolled 487 subjects; 23 received 24-hr RBC ≥ 3. Compared to the model without SmO2 , the regression model with SmO2 had a significantly increased ROC AUC for the prediction of ≥ 3 units of 24-hr RBC volume, 0.85 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75-0.91) versus 0.77 (95% CI, 0.66-0.86; p < 0.05 per DeLong's test). Results were similar for ROC AUCs predicting patients (n = 11) receiving 24-hr RBC ≥ 9. CONCLUSIONS: SmO2 significantly improved the diagnostic association between initial vital signs and hemorrhagic injury with blood transfusion. This parameter may enhance the early identification of patients who require blood products for life-threatening hemorrhage.

Is there opportunity for automated decision-support and closed-loop control in ICU patients receiving vasopressor infusion?

Vasopressors are administered to critically ill patients suffering from a body-wide reduction in blood circulation. In theory, if the vasopressor infusion is either too high or too low, it could be harmful to the patient. In a retrospective analysis, we investigated the degree to which today's intensive care unit (ICU) patients receive appropriate vasopressor therapy, in terms of how often the mean arterial pressure (MAP) was kept within a normative range. Using the MIMIC II database, we studied patients with minute-by-minute MAP data, sourced from the bedside monitor, who were receiving vasopressor therapy. For each record, we identified MAP samples that were out-of-range, i.e., MAP <; 60 mmHg or MAP > 100 mmHg, and grouped these into out-of-range episodes. Each out-of-range episode was categorized as either transient (<; 15 min) or sustained (≥ 15 min). Out of the 224 ICU stays, we identified 152 ICU stays (68% of ICU stays) with at least one sustained MAP out-of-range episode. In that subset, MAP was frequently out-of-range (out-of-range 18.4% of the time) due to a combination of sustained episodes of hypotension and hypertension. Compared with all ICU stays, those stays with sustained out-of-range events did not demonstrate an increased MAP variability per hour. It is possible that the out-of-range events resulted from insufficient dose-adjustment. Technologies that might continuously optimize vasopressor dosing throughout the patient's stay and thereby minimize these abnormal cardiovascular states may be worthy of further study.