Associations between biomarkers of multimorbidity burden and mortality risk among patients with acute dyspnea.

The patients' burden of comorbidities is a cornerstone in risk assessment, clinical management and follow-up. The aim of this study was to evaluate if biomarkers associated with comorbidity burden can predict outcome in acute dyspnea patients. We included 774 patients with dyspnea admitted to an emergency department and measured 80 cardiovascular protein biomarkers in serum collected at admission. The number of comorbidities for each patient were added, and a multimorbidity score was created. Eleven of the 80 biomarkers were independently associated with the multimorbidity score and their standardized and weighted values were summed into a biomarker score of multimorbidities. The biomarker score and the multimorbidity score, expressed per standard deviation increment, respectively, were related to all-cause mortality using Cox Proportional Hazards Model. During long-term follow-up (2.4 ± 1.5 years) 45% of the patients died and during short-term follow-up (90 days) 12% died. Through long-term follow-up, in fully adjusted models, the HR (95% CI) for mortality concerning the biomarker score was 1.59 (95% CI 1348-1871) and 1.18 (95% CI 1035-1346) for the multimorbidity score. For short-term follow-up, in the fully adjusted model, the biomarker score was strongly related to 90-day mortality (HR 1.98, 95% CI 1428-2743), whereas the multimorbidity score was not significant. Our main findings suggest that the biomarker score is superior to the multimorbidity score in predicting long and short-term mortality. Measurement of the biomarker score may serve as a biological fingerprint of the multimorbidity score at the emergency department and, therefore, be helpful for risk prediction, treatment decisions and need of follow-up both in hospital and after discharge from the emergency department.

Socioeconomic and Clinical Predictors of Mortality in Patients with Acute Dyspnea.

BACKGROUND: Factors predicting long-term prognosis in patients with acute dyspnea may guide both acute management and follow-up. The aim of this study was to identify socioeconomic and clinical risk factors for all-cause mortality among acute dyspnea patients admitted to an Emergency Department. METHODS: We included 798 patients with acute dyspnea admitted to the ED of Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden from 2013 to 2016. Exposures were living in the immigrant-dense urban part of Malmö (IDUD), country of birth, annual income, comorbidities, smoking habits, medical triage priority and severity of dyspnea. Mean follow-up time was 2.2 years. Exposures were related to risk of all-cause mortality using Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: During follow-up 40% died. In models adjusted for age and gender, low annual income, previous or ongoing smoking, certain comorbidities, high medical triage priority and severe dyspnea were all significantly associated with increased mortality. After adjusting for age, gender and all significant exposures, the lowest quintile of income, ongoing or previous smoking, history of serious infection, anemia, hip fracture, high medical triage priority and severe dyspnea significantly and independently predicted mortality. In contrast, neither country of birth nor living in IDUD predicted a mortality risk. CONCLUSION: Apart from several clinical risk factors, low annual income predicts two-year mortality risk in patients with acute dyspnea. This is not the case for country of birth and living in IDUD. Our results underline the wide range of mortality risk factors in acute dyspnea patients. Knowledge of patients' annual income as well as certain clinical features may aid risk stratification and determining the need of follow-up both in hospital and after discharge from an ED.

Patterns of urinary albumin and IgM associate with markers of vascular ageing in young to middle-aged individuals in the Malmö offspring study.

BACKGROUND: Increased urinary excretion of IgM and low-grade albuminuria are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. The objective of this study was to investigate the association between urinary IgM, albuminuria, and vascular parameters reflecting arterial structure and function. METHODS: Subjects of the present study were from the Malmö Offspring study (MOS) cohort, and included 1531 offspring (children and grand-children) to first-generation subjects that participated in the Malmö Diet Cancer-Cardiovascular Arm study cohort. At baseline, technical measurements of arterial stiffness (carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity; c-f PWV), carotid arterial morphology, 24-h ambulatory blood pressure recordings, ankle-brachial-index (ABI), and evaluation of endothelial function (reactive hyperemia index, RHI) were performed. Urinary (U) IgM, U-albumin, and U-creatinine were measured. Multivariate adjusted logistic regression was used to test whether U-IgM excretion and increasing urinary albumin excretion were related to vascular parameters. RESULTS: Detectable U-IgM was independently associated with higher systolic blood pressure, odds ratio (OR) 1.021, 95% confidence interval (CI, 1.003-1.039), p = 0.025 and lower ABI; ABI dx: OR 0.026, 95% CI (0.002-0.381), p = 0.008, ABI sin: OR 0.040, 95% CI (0.003-0.496), p = 0.012. Low-grade albuminuria was independently associated with systolic and diastolic blood pressure, aortic blood pressure, the c-f PWV and the number of carotid intima plaques (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In young to middle-aged, mostly healthy individuals, increased U-IgM excretion and low-grade albuminuria are associated with adverse vascular parameters. Increased U-IgM excretion may reflect subclinical peripheral atherosclerosis, whereas increased U-albumin excretion is associated with a wide range of cardiovascular abnormalities. This may reflect different pathophysiological mechanisms.

Increased mortality among acute respiratory distress patients from immigrant dense urban districts.

PURPOSE: This study investigated whether living in immigrant dense urban districts (IDUDs) and low-income areas in the city of Malmö predicted 5-year mortality among patients admitted to the emergency department (ED) because of acute respiratory distress. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We randomly selected 184 patients with acute respiratory distress during 2007, visiting the ED at Skåne University Hospital, Malmö. In 2007, Malmö had 36% first- and second-generation immigrants. The main exposure was defined as being resident in any of the five IDUDs of Malmö compared to being resident in the five districts of Malmö with the highest proportion of Sweden-born inhabitants (SDUDs). We recorded vital parameters; medical triage priority according to Adaptive Process Triage (ADAPT), ICD-10 diagnoses, and the mean annual income for the patient's urban district. We examined 5-year mortality risk using Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: After adjustment for age and gender, patients from IDUDs (n=100, 54%) had an HR (95% CI) of 1.65 (1.087-2.494; P=0.019) regarding mortality at 5-year follow-up. Patients in the lowest vs highest income quartile had an HR of 2.00 (1.06-3.79; P=0.032) regarding mortality at 5-year follow-up. Age, male gender, presence of cardiopulmonary disease, and ADAPT priority also independently predicted the 5-year mortality. The excess risk of 5-year mortality associated with living in IDUDs remained significant after adjustment for age, gender, ADAPT priority, presence of cardiopulmonary disease, and income with an HR of 1.79 (1.15-2.78; P=0.010). CONCLUSION: Living in an IDUD is a strong independent risk factor for 5-year mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress. The cause is unknown. Our study suggests a need for better structured follow-up of cardiopulmonary disease in such patients.

Microproteinuria Predicts Organ Failure in Patients Presenting with Acute Pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The disease course of acute pancreatitis (AP) ranges from mild and self-limiting to severe inflammation, associated with significant morbidity and mortality. At present, there are no universally accepted and reliable predictors for severity. Microproteinuria has been associated with the presence of systemic inflammatory response syndrome as well as trauma, although its association with AP is not well understood. The aim of this study was to investigate the value of microproteinuria to predict development of organ failure in AP. METHODS: Consecutive AP patients were prospectively enrolled. Urine samples were collected upon admission, 12-24 h after admission, and 3 months post-discharge for calculation of urine α1-microglobulin-, albumin-, IgG-, and IgM/creatinine ratios. Data regarding AP etiology, severity, and development of organ failure were registered. RESULTS: Overall, 92 AP patients were included (14 % with organ failure; 6 % with severe AP). The α1-microglobulin-, albumin-, and IgG/creatinine ratios correlated with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein 48 h after admission (r = 0.47-0.61, p < 0.001 for all). They were also significantly higher in patients with versus without organ failure (p < 0.05 for all). The α1-microglobulin/creatinine ratio upon admission predicted organ failure [adjusted odds ratio 1.286, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.024-1.614] with similar accuracy (AUROC 0.81, 95 % CI 0.69-0.94) as the more complex APACHE II score (AUROC 0.86, 95 % CI 0.70-1.00). CONCLUSION: The α1-microglobulin/creatinine ratio upon presentation with AP is related to inflammation and predicts development of organ failure. Further studies are warranted to evaluate its potential usefulness in predicting outcome for AP patients.

Plasma pro-inflammatory cytokines, IgM-uria and cardiovascular events in patients with chest pain: A comparative study.

BACKGROUND: Risk stratification of patients presenting with acute chest pain is crucial for immediate and long-term management. Traditional predictors are suboptimal; therefore inflammatory biomarkers are studied for clinical assessment of patients at risk. Recently, we reported the association of IgM-uria with worse cardiovascular outcome in patients with acute chest pain. In this study, in the same cohort of patients with chest pain, we compared the value of IgM-uria to pro-inflammatory cytokines in predicting the occurrence of subsequent cardiovascular events. METHODS: A total of 178 consecutive patients presenting with acute chest pain to the emergency department at the University Hospital of Lund, were recruited. Twenty-seven of 57 patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS), and 18 of 118 patients with non-specific chest pain at baseline developed a subsequent major cardiovascular event during the 18 months follow-up. Urinary proteins (IgM-uria and Microalbuminuria) and plasma inflammatory markers (IL-6, Il-8, IL-10, IFN-γ and TNF-α) were measured at time of admission. RESULTS: Using the receiver operating characteristic curves, the area under the curve for predicting cardiovascular events was 0.71 (95%CI 0.61-0.81) for IgM-uria, 0.61 (95%CI 0.51-0.71) for IL-6, 0.63 (95%CI 0.53-0.72) for IL-8, 0.65 (95%CI 0.56-0.74) for IL-10, and 0.64 (95% CI 0.54-0.74) for TNF-α. In multivariate Cox-regression analysis adjusted for age, microalbuminuria, IgM-uria, IL-10, TNF-α, troponin T, hsCRP and ACS at baseline; IgM-uria was the only biomarker that remained an independent predictor of outcome (HR = 4.2, 95%CI 2.2-7.8, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: In patients with chest pain with or without acute coronary syndrome, IgM-uria could better predict the occurrence of cardiovascular events than plasma pro-inflammatory cytokines.

Fractional excretion of IgG in idiopathic membranous nephropathy with nephrotic syndrome: a predictive marker of risk and drug responsiveness.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of idiopathic membranous nephropathy with nephrotic syndrome is still controversial. There is currently little known about the clinical use of renal biomarkers which may explain contradictory results obtained from clinical trials. In order to assess whether IgG-uria can predict the outcome in membranous nephropathy, we examined the value of baseline EF-IgG in predicting remission and progression of nephrotic syndrome. METHODS: In a prospective cohort of 84 (34 female) idiopathic membranous nephropathy patients with nephrotic syndrome we validated the ability of the clinically available urine biomarker, IgG, to predict the risk of kidney disease progression and the beneficial effect of immunosuppression with steroids and cyclophosphamide. The fractional excretion of IgG (FE-IgG) and α1-microglobulin (FE-α1m), urine albumin/creatinine ratio, and eGFR were measured at the time of kidney biopsy. Primary outcome was progression to end stage kidney failure or kidney function (eGFR) decline ≥ 50% of baseline. Patients were followed up for 7.2 ± 4.1 years (range 1-16.8). RESULTS: High FE-IgG (≥ 0.02) predicted an increased risk of kidney failure (Hazard Ratio, (HR) 8.2, 95%CI 1.0-66.3, p=0.048) and lower chance of remission (HR 0.18, 95%CI 0.09-0.38, p<0.001). The ten-year cumulative risk of kidney failure was 51.7% for patients with high FE-IgG compared to only 6.2% for patients with low FE-IgG. During the study, only 24% of patients with high FE-IgG entered remission compared to 90% of patients with low FE-IgG. Combined treatment with steroids and cyclophosphamide decreased the progression rate (-40%) and increased the remission rate (+36%) only in patients with high FE-IgG. CONCLUSION: In idiopathic membranous nephropathy patients with nephrotic syndrome, FE-IgG could be useful for predicting kidney disease progression, remission, and response to treatment.

Urinary concentration of monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 in idiopathic glomerulonephritis: a long-term follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), which is up regulated in kidney diseases, is considered a marker of kidney inflammation. We examined the value of urine MCP-1 in predicting the outcome in idiopathic glomerulonephritis. METHODS: Between 1993 and 2004, 165 patients (68 females) diagnosed with idiopathic proteinuric glomerulopathy and with serum creatinine <150 µmol/L at diagnosis were selected for the study. Urine concentrations of MCP-1 were analyzed by ELISA in early morning spot urine samples collected on the day of the diagnostic kidney biopsy. The patients were followed until 2009. The progression rate to end-stage kidney disease was calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. End-stage kidney disease (ESKD) was defined as the start of kidney replacement therapy during the study follow-up time. RESULTS: Patients with proliferative glomerulonephritis had significantly higher urinary MCP-1 excretion levels than those with non-proliferative glomerulonephritis (p<0.001). The percentage of patients whose kidney function deteriorated significantly was 39.0% in the high MCP-1 excretion group and 29.9% in the low MCP-1 excretion group. However, after adjustment for confounding variables such as glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and proteinuria, there was no significant association between urine MCP-1 concentration and progression to ESKD, (HR=1.75, 95% CI=0.64-4.75, p=0.27). CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that progression to end-stage kidney disease in patients with idiopathic glomerulopathies is not associated with urine MCP-1 concentrations at the time of diagnosis.

Increased urinary IgM excretion in patients with chest pain due to coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Micro-albuminuria is a recognized predictor of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in patients with coronary artery disease. We have previously reported, in diabetic and non-diabetic patients, that an increased urinary excretion of IgM is associated with higher cardiovascular mortality. The purpose of this study was to investigate the pattern of urinary IgM excretion in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and its correlation to cardiovascular outcome. METHODS: Urine albumin, and IgM to creatinine concentration ratios were determined in 178 consecutive patients presenting with chest pain to the Department of Emergency Medicine (ED) at the University Hospital of Lund. Fifty eight (23 female) patients had ACS, 55 (19 female) patients had stable angina (SA), and 65 (35 female) patients were diagnosed as non-specific chest pain (NS). RESULTS: Urine albumin and IgM excretions were significantly higher in patients with ACS (p = 0.001, and p = 0.029, respectively) compared to patients with NS-chest pain. During the 2 years follow-up time, 40 (19 female) patients suffered a new major cardiovascular event (ACS, acute heart failure, stroke) and 5 (4 male/1 female) patients died of cardiovascular cause. A high degree of albuminuria and IgM-uria significantly predicted cardiovascular mortality and morbidity (HR = 2.89, 95% CI: 1.48 - 5.66, p = 0.002). Microalbuminuric patients (≥3 mg/mmol) with high IgM-uria (≥0.005 mg/mmol) had a 3-fold higher risk for cardiovascular new events compared to patients with low IgM-uria (RR = 3.3, 95% CI: 1.1 - 9.9, p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: In patients with chest pain, an increased urine IgM excretion, is associated with coronary artery disease and long-term cardiovascular complications. Measuring urine IgM concentration could have a clinical value in risk stratification of patients with ACS.

Urine IgM-excretion as a prognostic marker for progression of type 2 diabetic nephropathy.

UNLABELLED: Although the clinical manifestations of type 2 diabetic nephropathy and decline in kidney function are similar to those in type 1, the clinical course and the renal structural changes are more heterogeneous in type 2 diabetic patients. Previous studies have shown that an increased urine IgM excretion in patients with type 1 diabetic nephropathy was associated with poor outcome. In the present follow-up study we examine the prognostic value of baseline urine IgM excretion in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. METHODS: A cohort of 106 (74 male and 32 female) patients with type 2 diabetes regularly attending our diabetes out-patient clinic at Skane University Hospital in Lund. They were recruited prospectively under the period between 1992 and 2004. Patients were followed-up until January 2009. The end point was cardiovascular (CV) death or end-stage renal disease (ESRD). The median follow-up time was 5 years (0.5-13 years). Participants were divided according to degree of albuminuria and IgM-uria. RESULTS: During follow-up time, 28 (19 male and 9 female) patients died of CV events and 41 (26 male and 15 female) developed ESRD. The risk of CV mortality was 2.4 fold, and the risk of renal failure 4.9 fold higher in patients with increased urine IgM excretion compared to patients with low urine IgM excretion. Stratified analysis showed that an increased urine IgM excretion was an independent predictor of renal and cardiovascular death irrespective of the degree of albuminuria (HR=3.6, 95% CI: 2.1-6.0, P<0.001). In conclusion, type 2 diabetic nephropathy patients with high urine IgM excretion rates carry an increased risk of renal and cardiovascular death.

The value of IgG-uria in predicting renal failure in idiopathic glomerular diseases. A long-term follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Proteinuria is the hallmark of glomerular disease and non-selective proteinuria is often associated with progression to renal failure. The predictive value of urine IgG excretion was studied comprehensively in patients with nephrotic syndrome. In the present follow-up study, we examine the predictive value of IgG-uria in patients with idiopathic glomerular diseases with a wide range of proteinuia. METHODS: A total of 189 (113 males and 76 females) patients with idiopathic glomerulonephritis and serum creatinine of less than 150 µmol/L diagnosed between 1993 and 2004 were followed up to their last visit in 2009. Measurement of urine excretion of albumin, IgG, and protein HC were performed in the early morning of spot urine samples collected at the time of the diagnostic renal biopsy. Patients were stratified according to urine protein concentrations and the progression rate to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. ESRD was defined as the start of renal replacement therapy. RESULTS: During the study follow-up time of 1429 person-years; 26 (13.8%) patients reached ESRD. The overall mean kidney survival time of studied patients with serum creatinine less than 150 were 13.4 years. The incidence rate of ESRD was ∼18 per 1000 person-years. Stratified analysis identified urinary excretion of IgG, but not albuminuria, as predictor of ESRD. The progression rate to ESRD was 36 per 1000 person-years in patients with urine IgG concentration exceeding 5 mg/mmol urine creatinine, compared to a progression rate of 6/1000 person-years for patients with lower levels of urine IgG. CONCLUSION: The findings of the study suggest that at early stages, the level of IgG-uria is useful to be used in risk stratification of patients with proteinuric glomerular diseases.

Increased urine IgM excretion predicts cardiovascular events in patients with type 1 diabetes nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Diabetic nephropathy, a major complication of diabetes, is characterized by progressive renal injury and increased cardiovascular mortality. An increased urinary albumin excretion due dysfunction of the glomerular barrier is an early sign of diabetic nephropathy. An increased urinary excretion of higher molecular weight proteins such as IgM appears with progression of glomerular injury. We aim here to study the prognostic significance of urine IgM excretion in patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus (type 1 diabetic nephropathy). METHODS: This is an observational study of 139 patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus (79 males and 60 females) under routine care at the diabetic outpatient clinic at the Lund University Hospital. The median follow-up time was 18 years (1 to 22) years. Urine albumin and urine IgM concentration were measured at time of recruitment. RESULTS: Overall 32 (14 male and 18 female) patients died in a cardiovascular event and 20 (11 male and 9 female) patients reached end-stage renal disease. Univariate analysis indicated that patient survival and renal survival were inversely associated with urine albumin excretion (RR = 2.9 and 5.8, respectively) and urine IgM excretion (RR = 4.6 and 5.7, respectively). Stratified analysis demonstrated that in patients with different degrees of albuminuria, the cardiovascular mortality rate and the incidence of end-stage renal disease was approximately three times higher in patients with increased urine IgM excretion. CONCLUSION: An increase in urinary IgM excretion in patients with type 1 diabetes is associated with an increased risk for cardiovascular mortality and renal failure, regardless of the degree of albuminuria.