RESUMO
The prospects outlined in climate scenarios produced for Brazil indicate a probable increase in the number of extreme hydrometeorological events in the coming years. Therefore, a study of the health scourges that may intensify due to these events is important. The scope of this article is to estimate the cost represented by the cases of dengue fever attributed to the 2011 disaster in Nova Friburgo (RJ). There were 1,356 suspected cases of dengue fever, 937 of which were confirmed. The total cost of the disease may have been between R$66,000 and R$499,000 taking the minimum salary as a benchmark, with approximately 70% of this amount being among the confirmed cases. The disaster caused extensive changes in the city's environment which, together with the urban sanitation and clearing up process that occurred in the post-event period, led to an increase in the number of potential mosquito breeding sites, facilitating their proliferation and increasing the number of cases of dengue fever. This was a disease that in the decade prior to the disaster recorded few cases of the disease in the municipality. This illustrates the potential of events like the one that occurred in 2011 in Nova Friburgo may have on the increase in the number of cases, and consequently on the cost of the disease.
Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Dengue/economia , Dengue/epidemiologia , Desastres , Adulto , Brasil , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
A perspectiva apontada pelos cenários climáticos desenvolvidos para o Brasil é de provável aumento no número de eventos hidrometeorológicos extremos nos próximos anos. Por isso, se faz importante o estudo dos agravos em saúde que poderão se intensificar em decorrência desses eventos. Portanto, por meio deste artigo, propõe-se estimar o custo representado pelos casos de dengue atribuídos ao desastre de 2011, em Nova Friburgo (RJ). Verificou-se que ocorreram 1.356 casos suspeitos de dengue, dos quais 937 foram confirmados. O custo total da doença pode ter variado, no mínimo, entre R$ 66 mil e R$ 499 mil, no cenário de menor valor de salário, sendo que cerca de 70% desse custo ocorreu entre os casos confirmados. O desastre provocou grandes mudanças no ambiente do município que, junto com os problemas de saneamento e limpeza urbana, que ocorreram em períodos posteriores ao evento, acabou por aumentar a disponibilidade de locais que pudessem servir de criadouro do mosquito, facilitando sua proliferação e aumentando a incidência da dengue, doença que na década anterior ao desastre teve baixa incidência no município. Isso ilustra o potencial que eventos como ao ocorrido em 2011, em Nova Friburgo, podem ter no incremento desses casos e, consequentemente, nos custos da doença.
The prospects outlined in climate scenarios produced for Brazil indicate a probable increase in the number of extreme hydrometeorological events in the coming years. Therefore, a study of the health scourges that may intensify due to these events is important. The scope of this article is to estimate the cost represented by the cases of dengue fever attributed to the 2011 disaster in Nova Friburgo (RJ). There were 1,356 suspected cases of dengue fever, 937 of which were confirmed. The total cost of the disease may have been between R$66,000 and R$499,000 taking the minimum salary as a benchmark, with approximately 70% of this amount being among the confirmed cases. The disaster caused extensive changes in the city's environment which, together with the urban sanitation and clearing up process that occurred in the post-event period, led to an increase in the number of potential mosquito breeding sites, facilitating their proliferation and increasing the number of cases of dengue fever. This was a disease that in the decade prior to the disaster recorded few cases of the disease in the municipality. This illustrates the potential of events like the one that occurred in 2011 in Nova Friburgo may have on the increase in the number of cases, and consequently on the cost of the disease.