Primary Care Clinical Volumes, Cholesterol Testing, and Cardiovascular Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether the annual number of primary care physician (PCP) unique outpatient assessments, which we refer to as clinical volume, translates into better cardiovascular preventive care. We examined the relationship between PCP outpatient clinical volumes and cholesterol testing and major adverse cardiovascular event rates among guideline-recommended eligible patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study conducted as part of the Cardiovascular Health in Ambulatory Care Research Team (CANHEART) cohort, a population-based cohort of almost all adult residents of Ontario, Canada, followed from 2008 to 2012. For each clinical volume quintile, we compared cholesterol testing and major adverse cardiovascular events, defined as time to first event of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke. RESULTS: The 10,037 PCPs evaluated had an annualized median volume of 2303 clinical encounters (IQR 1292-3680). Among 4,740,380 patients, 84% underwent guideline-concordant cholesterol testing at least once over 5 years, ranging from 73% with the lowest clinical volume quintile physicians to 86% with the highest. After multivariable adjustment, there was a 10.5% relative increase in the probability of cholesterol testing for every doubling of clinical volumes (95% CI 9.7-11.4; P < 0.001). Patients treated by the lowest volume quintile physicians had the highest rate of major adverse cardiovascular outcomes (compared with the highest volume quintile physicians: adjusted HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.10-1.21; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients of physicians with the lowest clinical volumes received less frequent cholesterol testing and had the highest rate of incident cardiovascular events. Further research investigating the drivers of this relationship is warranted.

Using Big Data for Cardiovascular Health Surveillance: Insights From 10.3 Million Individuals in the CANHEART Cohort.

BACKGROUND: The increasing availability of large electronic population-based databases offers unique opportunities to conduct cardiovascular health surveillance traditionally done using surveys. We aimed to examine cardiovascular risk-factor burden, preventive care, and disease incidence among adults in Ontario, Canada-using routinely collected data-and compare estimates with health survey data. METHODS: In the Cardiovascular Health in Ambulatory Care Research Team (CANHEART) initiative, multiple health administrative databases were linked to create a population-based cohort of 10.3 million adults without histories of cardiovascular disease. We examined cardiovascular risk-factor burden and screening and outcomes between 2016 and 2020. Risk- factor burden was also compared with cycles 3 to 5 (2012 to 2017) of the Canadian Health Measures Survey (CMHS), which included 9473 participants across Canada. RESULTS: Mean age of our study cohort was 47.9 ± 17.0 years, and 52.0% were women. Lipid and diabetes assessment rates among individuals 40 to 79 years were 76.6% and 78.2%, respectively, and lowest among men 40 to 49 years of age. Total cholesterol levels and diabetes and hypertension rates among men and women 20 to 79 years were similar to Canadian Health Measures Survey (CHMS) findings (total cholesterol: 4.80/4.98 vs 4.94/5.25 mmol/L; diabetes: 8.2%/7.1% vs 8.1%/6.0%; hypertension: 21.4%/21.6% vs 23.9%/23.1%, respectively); however, patients in the CANHEART study had slightly higher mean glucose (men: 5.79 vs 5.44; women: 5.39 vs 5.09 mmol/L) and systolic blood pressures (men: 126.2 vs 118.3; women: 120.6 vs 115.7 mm Hg). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiovascular health surveillance is possible through linkage of routinely collected electronic population-based datasets. However, further investigation is needed to understand differences between health administrative and survey measures cross-sectionally and over time.

Awareness of Warning Symptoms of Heart Disease and Stroke: Results of a Follow-up Study of the Chinese Canadian Cardiovascular Health Project.

BACKGROUND: Our original pilot study in 2008 demonstrated a poor degree of awareness of heart disease and stroke among Chinese Canadians, warranting an updated survey of their knowledge. We sought to determine the current degree of knowledge of cardiovascular disease, including stroke, among ethnic Chinese residents of Canada. METHODS: A 35-question online survey was conducted in the fall of 2017 among 1001 Chinese Canadians (aged ≥ 18 years) in the greater Toronto area (n = 501) and Vancouver (n = 500). Knowledge of heart disease and stroke, such as signs and symptoms of stroke and heart attack, health habits, and initial response to a cardiovascular emergency were assessed. RESULTS: A total of 52.0% of the respondents were female, and 46.3% were aged <45 years. A total of 40.1% spoke Cantonese, and 23.7% spoke Mandarin; 79.5% were immigrants, and 31% had lived in Canada < 10 years. A total of 85% identified at least one heart attack symptom, and 80% identified at least one stroke symptom; 86.2% indicated that they would call 911 if experiencing a heart attack or stroke. Internet use was positively associated with the ability to identify a greater number of heart attack and stroke symptoms, compared to the number among non-Internet users (P < 0.001). Women were 14% more likely to overlook gender as a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). CONCLUSIONS: This study found that in 2017, compared to 2008, awareness of symptoms of heart disease and stroke improved among Chinese Canadians residing in Toronto and Vancouver.

CONTEXTE: Dans le cadre d'une première étude pilote menée en 2008, nous avions montré que les Canadiens d'origine chinoise connaissaient si mal les maladies cœur et l'accident vasculaire cérébral (AVC) qu'une enquête de suivi de leurs connaissances s'imposait. Nous avons donc entrepris d'évaluer les connaissances actuelles des maladies cardiovasculaires, y compris l'AVC, chez les résidents canadiens d'origine chinoise. MÉTHODOLOGIE: Un sondage en ligne comprenant 35 questions a été effectué à l'automne 2017 auprès de 1 001 Canadiens d'origine chinoise (âgés de 18 ans ou plus) de la région du Grand Toronto (n = 501) et de Vancouver (n = 500). Les connaissances relatives aux maladies cœur et à l'AVC, notamment les signes et symptômes d'AVC et de crise cardiaque, les saines habitudes de vie et la première chose à faire en cas d'urgence cardiovasculaire, ont été évaluées. RÉSULTATS: Au total, 52,0 % des répondants étaient des femmes, et 46,3 % étaient âgés de moins de 45 ans; 40,1 % parlaient cantonnais et 23,7 %, mandarin; 79,5 % étaient des immigrants, et 31 % vivaient au Canada depuis moins de 10 ans. Au total, 85 % des répondants connaissaient au moins un symptôme de crise cardiaque et 80 %, au moins un symptôme d'AVC; 86,2 % ont indiqué qu'ils composeraient le 9-1-1 s'ils subissaient une crise cardiaque ou un AVC. Les répondants qui utilisaient l'Internet étaient capables de reconnaître un plus grand nombre de symptômes de crise cardiaque et d'AVC que les répondants qui n'utilisaient pas l'Internet (p < 0,001). Les femmes avaient 14 % plus de chances de ne pas tenir compte du sexe comme facteur de risque de maladie cardiovasculaire. CONCLUSIONS: L'étude a révélé qu'en 2017, comparativement à 2008, la connaissance des symptômes de maladie cœur et d'AVC s'est améliorée chez les Canadiens d'origine chinoise vivant à Toronto et à Vancouver.

The associations between direct and delayed critical care unit admission with mortality and readmissions among patients with heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Although greater than 20% of patients hospitalized with heart failure (HF) are admitted to a critical care unit, associated outcomes, and costs have not been delineated. We determined 30-day mortality, 30-day readmissions, and hospital costs associated with direct or delayed critical care unit admission. METHODS: In a population-based analysis, we compared HF patients who were admitted to critical care directly from the emergency department (direct), after initial ward admission (delayed), or never admitted to critical care during their hospital stay (ward-only). RESULTS: Among 178,997 HF patients (median age 80 [IQR 71-86] years, 49.6% men) 36,175 (20.2%) were admitted to critical care during their hospitalization (April 2003 to March 2018). Critical care patients were admitted directly from the emergency department (direct, 81.9%) or after initial ward admission (delayed, 18.1%). Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause 30-day mortality were: 1.69 for direct (95% confidence interval [CI]; 1.55, 1.84) and 4.92 for delayed (95% CI; 4.26, 5.68) critical care-admitted compared to ward-only patients. Multivariable-adjusted repeated events analysis demonstrated increased risk for all-cause 30-day readmission with both direct (HR 1.04, 95% CI; 1.01, 1.08, P = .013) and delayed critical care unit admissions (HR 1.20, 95% CI; 1.13, 1.28, P < .001). Median 30-day costs were $12,163 for direct admissions, $20,173 for delayed admissions, and $9,575 for ward-only patients (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: While critical care unit admission indicates increased risk of mortality and readmission at 30 days, those who experienced delayed critical care unit admission exhibited the highest risk of death and highest costs of care.

The Canadian Alliance for Healthy Hearts and Minds: How Well Does It Reflect the Canadian Population?

BACKGROUND: The intent of the Canadian Alliance for Healthy Hearts and Minds (CAHHM) cohort is to understand the early determinants of subclinical cardiac and vascular disease and progression in adults selected from existing cohorts-the Canadian Partnership for Tomorrow's Health, the Prospective Urban and Rural Evaluation (PURE) cohort, and the Montreal Heart Institute Biobank. We evaluated how well the CAHHM-Health Services Research (CAHHM-HSR) subcohort reflects the Canadian population. METHODS: A cross-sectional design was used among a prospective cohort of community-dwelling adults aged 35-69 years who met the CAHHM inclusion criteria, and a cohort of adults aged 35-69 years who responded to the 2015 Canadian Community Health Survey-Rapid Response module. The INTERHEART risk score was calculated at the individual level with means and proportions reported at the overall and provincial level. RESULTS: There are modest differences between CAHHM-HSR study participants and the 2015 Canadian Community Health Survey-Rapid Response respondents in age (56.3 vs 51.7 mean years), proportion of men (44.9% vs 49.3%), and mean INTERHEART risk score (9.7 vs 10.1). Larger differences were observed in postsecondary education (86.8% vs 70.2%), Chinese ethnicity (11.0% vs 3.3%), obesity (23.2% vs 29.3%), current smoker status (6.1% vs 18.4%), and having no cardiac testing (30.4% vs 55.9%). CONCLUSIONS: CAHHM-HSR participants are older, of higher socioeconomic status, and have a similar mean INTERHEART risk score, compared with participants in the Canadian Community Health Survey. Differing sampling strategies and missing data may explain some differences between the CAHHM-HSR cohort and Canadian community-dwelling adults and should be considered when using the CAHHM-HSR for scientific research.

CONTEXTE: L'étude Alliance canadienne cœurs et cerveaux sains (CAHHM) vise à mieux comprendre les facteurs déterminants précoces et la progression de l'atteinte cardiovasculaire subclinique chez des adultes sélectionnés au sein de cohortes existantes ­ soit celles de l'étude menée par le Partenariat canadien pour la santé de demain, de l'étude PURE (Prospective Urban and Rural Evaluation) et de la biobanque de l'Institut de cardiologie de Montréal. Nous avons évalué la mesure dans laquelle la sous-cohorte du volet de recherche sur l'utilisation des services de santé de la CAHHM (CAHHM-HSR) représente la population canadienne. MÉTHODOLOGIE: Nous avons adopté une approche transversale pour étudier une cohorte prospective d'adultes vivant dans la communauté âgés de 35 à 69 ans et répondant aux critères d'inclusion de l'étude CAHHM, ainsi qu'une cohorte d'adultes âgés de 35 à 69 ans ayant participé au volet de réponse rapide de l'Enquête sur la santé dans les collectivités canadiennes (ESCC) de 2015. Le score de risque INTERHEART individuel des participants a été calculé à partir des moyennes et des proportions rapportées à l'échelle globale et à l'échelle provinciale. RÉSULTATS: Les différences entre les participants du volet CAHHM-HSR et ceux du volet de réponse rapide de l'ESCC de 2015 étaient minimes quant à l'âge (56,3 ans vs 51,7 ans en moyenne), à la proportion d'hommes (44,9 % vs 49,3 %) et au score de risque INTERHEART moyen (9,7 vs 10,1). On a toutefois noté des différences plus importantes en ce qui concerne les caractéristiques suivantes : éducation postsecondaire (86,8 % vs 70,2 %), origine ethnique chinoise (11,0 % vs 3,3 %), obésité (23,2 % vs 29,3 %), tabagisme actuel (6,1 % vs 18,4 %) et absence d'antécédents d'examen cardiaque (30,4 % vs 55,9 %). CONCLUSIONS: Les participants du volet CAHHM-HSR sont plus âgés et ont un statut socioéconomique plus élevé que ceux du volet de réponse rapide de l'ESCC, mais ont un score de risque INTERHEART moyen comparable. Les différences quant aux stratégies d'échantillonnage et des données manquantes pourraient expliquer certains des écarts observés entre la cohorte CAHHM-HSR et celle des adultes canadiens vivant dans la communauté; il conviendrait d'en tenir compte lorsqu'on utilise les données du volet CAHHM-HSR à des fins de recherche scientifique.

Sex-specific temporal trends in ambulatory heart failure incidence, mortality and hospitalisation in Ontario, Canada from 1994 to 2013: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the temporal trends in mortality and heart failure (HF) hospitalisation in ambulatory patients following a new diagnosis of HF. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study SETTING: Outpatient PARTICIPANTS: Ontario residents who were diagnosed with HF in an outpatient setting between 1994 and 2013. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 1 year of diagnosis and the secondary outcome was HF hospitalisation within 1 year. Risks of mortality and hospitalisation were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the relative hazard of death was assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: A total of 352 329 patients were studied (50% female). During the study period, there was a greater decline in age standardised 1-year mortality rates (AMR) in men (33%) than in women (19%). Specifically, female AMR at 1 year was 10.4% (95% CI 9.1% to 12.0%) in 1994 and 8.5% (95% CI 7.5% to 9.5%) in 2013, and male AMR at 1 year was 12.3% (95% CI 11.1% to 13.7%) in 1994 and 8.3% (95% CI 7.5% to 9.1%) in 2013. Conversely, age standardised HF hospitalisation rates declined in men (11.4% (95% CI 10.1% to 12.9%) in 1994 and 9.1% (95% CI 8.2% to 10.1%) in 2013) but remained unchanged in women (9.7% (95% CI 8.3% to 11.3%) in 1994 and 9.8% (95% CI 8.6% to 11.0%) in 2013). CONCLUSION: Among patients with HF over a 20-year period, there was a greater improvement in the prognosis of men compared with women. Further research should focus on the determinants of this disparity and ways to reduce this gap in outcomes.

International population-based health surveys linked to outcome data: A new resource for public health and epidemiology.

BACKGROUND: National health surveys linked to vital statistics and health care information provide a growing source of individual-level population health data. Pooling linked surveys across jurisdictions would create comprehensive datasets that are larger than most existing cohort studies, and that have a unique international and population perspective. This paper's objectives are to examine the feasibility of pooling linked population health surveys from three countries, facilitate the examination of health behaviours, and present useful information to assist in the planning of international population health surveillance and research studies. DATA AND METHODS: The design, methodologies and content of the Canadian Community Health Survey (2003 to 2008), the United States National Health Interview Survey (2000, 2005) and the Scottish Health Survey (SHeS) (2003, 2008 to 2010) were examined for comparability and consistency. The feasibility of creating common variables for measuring smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity and diet was assessed. Sample size and estimated mortality events were collected. RESULTS: The surveys have comparable purposes, designs, sampling and administration methodologies, target populations, exclusions, and content. Similar health behaviour questions allow for comparable variables to be created across the surveys. However, the SHeS uses a more detailed risk factor evaluation for alcohol consumption and diet data. Therefore, comparisons of alcohol consumption and diet data between the SHeS and the other two surveys should be performed with caution. Pooling these linked surveys would create a dataset with over 350,000 participants, 28,424 deaths and over 2.4 million person-years of follow-up. DISCUSSION: Pooling linked national population health surveys could improve population health research and surveillance. Innovative methodologies must be used to account for survey dissimilarities, and further discussion is needed on how to best access and analyze data across jurisdictions.

Cardiovascular risk scoring and magnetic resonance imaging detected subclinical cerebrovascular disease.

AIMS: Cardiovascular risk factors are used for risk stratification in primary prevention. We sought to determine if simple cardiac risk scores are associated with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-detected subclinical cerebrovascular disease including carotid wall volume (CWV), carotid intraplaque haemorrhage (IPH), and silent brain infarction (SBI). METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 7594 adults with no history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) underwent risk factor assessment and a non-contrast enhanced MRI of the carotid arteries and brain using a standardized protocol in a population-based cohort recruited between 2014 and 2018. The non-lab-based INTERHEART risk score (IHRS) was calculated in all participants; the Framingham Risk Score was calculated in a subset who provided blood samples (n = 3889). The association between these risk scores and MRI measures of CWV, carotid IPH, and SBI was determined. The mean age of the cohort was 58 (8.9) years, 55% were women. Each 5-point increase (∼1 SD) in the IHRS was associated with a 9 mm3 increase in CWV, adjusted for sex (P < 0.0001), a 23% increase in IPH [95% confidence interval (CI) 9-38%], and a 32% (95% CI 20-45%) increase in SBI. These associations were consistent for lacunar and non-lacunar brain infarction. The Framingham Risk Score was also significantly associated with CWV, IPH, and SBI. CWV was additive and independent to the risk scores in its association with IPH and SBI. CONCLUSION: Simple cardiovascular risk scores are significantly associated with the presence of MRI-detected subclinical cerebrovascular disease, including CWV, IPH, and SBI in an adult population without known clinical CVD.

Off-pump versus on-pump coronary artery bypass grafting in moderate renal failure.

OBJECTIVES: Off-pump coronary artery bypass (OPCAB) may benefit select high-risk patients. We sought to analyze the long-term outcomes of OPCAB versus on-pump coronary artery bypass (ONCAB) in patients with moderate renal failure. METHODS: A retrospective cohort analysis of primary isolated CAB surgery performed in Ontario, Canada, from October 2008 to March 2016 in the CorHealth Ontario Cardiac Registry identified 50,115 cases. Of these, 7782 (15.5%) had estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of 30 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2. OPCAB was compared to ONCAB after propensity score matching. RESULTS: Following propensity score matching, 1578 patient pairs were formed. Total number of bypass grafts was higher in ONCAB (3.31 ± 1.01 vs 3.12 ± 1.14; P < .01) and more arterial grafts were used in OPCAB (1.55 ± 0.71 vs 1.14 ± 0.58; P < .01). OPCAB was associated with lower rate of in-hospital stroke (0.7% vs 2.2%; P < .01), renal failure requiring dialysis (1.2% vs 2.9%; P < .01), and blood transfusion (52.4% vs 69.3%; P < .01). There was no difference in perioperative mortality (2.4% vs 3.0%; P = .36) between OPCAB and ONCAB, respectively. At 8-year follow-up, survival probability was not different when comparing OPCAB versus ONCAB: 62% versus 65%, respectively (hazard ratio, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-1.13; P = .38). Cumulative incidence of permanent dialysis did not differ at 8-year follow-up: 7% versus 7%, respectively (hazard ratio, 1.01; 95% confidence interval, 0.72-1.43; P = .74. CONCLUSIONS: OPCAB is associated with improved in-hospital renal outcomes, but is not associated with changes in short- or long-term mortality, or with the long-term cumulative incidence of end-stage renal failure requiring permanent dialysis in patients with moderate renal failure.

Comparing the high-dimensional propensity score for use with administrative data with propensity scores derived from high-quality clinical data.

Administrative healthcare databases are increasingly being used for research purposes. When used to estimate the effects of treatments and interventions, an important limitation of these databases is the lack of information on important confounding variables. The high-dimensional propensity score (hdPS) is an algorithm that generates a large number of empirically-derived covariates using administrative healthcare databases. The hdPS has been described as enabling adjustment by proxy, in which a large number of empirically-derived covariates may serve as proxies for unmeasured confounding variables. We examined the validity of this assumption using samples of patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and congestive heart failure (CHF), for whom both administrative data and detailed clinical data were available. We considered three treatments in AMI patients: angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, beta-blockers, and statins, while the first two treatments were also considered in CHF patients. We considered three propensity scores: (a) one derived using detailed clinical data; (b) the hdPS derived from administrative data; and (c) one derived from administrative data using expert opinion. Using each propensity score, we estimated inverse probability of treatment (IPT) weights. For each sample and treatment combination, and for each of the two propensity scores derived using administrative data, there were clinical variables not measured in administrative data that remained imbalanced after incorporating the IPT weights. However, the propensity score derived using clinical data always resulted in all clinical variables being balanced. When estimating hazard ratios, for some samples and treatment combinations, the hazard ratios estimated using the hdPS were more similar to those obtained using the clinical propensity score than were those obtained using the expert-derived propensity score. However, for other combinations, the effects estimated using the expert-derived propensity score were more similar to those obtained using the clinical propensity score than were those derived using the hdPS.

Association Between Neighborhood Walkability and Predicted 10-Year Cardiovascular Disease Risk: The CANHEART (Cardiovascular Health in Ambulatory Care Research Team) Cohort.

Background Individuals living in unwalkable neighborhoods appear to be less physically active and more likely to develop obesity, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension. It is unclear whether neighborhood walkability is a risk factor for future cardiovascular disease. Methods and Results We studied residents living in major urban centers in Ontario, Canada on January 1, 2008, using linked electronic medical record and administrative health data from the CANHEART (Cardiovascular Health in Ambulatory Care Research Team) cohort. Walkability was assessed using a validated index based on population and residential density, street connectivity, and the number of walkable destinations in each neighborhood, divided into quintiles (Q). The primary outcome was a predicted 10-year cardiovascular disease risk of ≥7.5% (recommended threshold for statin use) assessed by the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Pooled Cohort Equation. Adjusted associations were estimated using logistic regression models. Secondary outcomes included measured systolic blood pressure, total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, prior diabetes mellitus diagnosis, and current smoking status. In total, 44 448 individuals were included in our analyses. Fully adjusted analyses found a nonlinear relationship between walkability and predicted 10-year cardiovascular disease risk (least [Q1] versus most [Q5] walkable neighborhood: odds ratio =1.09, 95% CI: 0.98, 1.22), with the greatest difference between Q3 and Q5 (odds ratio=1.33, 95% CI: 1.23, 1.45). Dose-response associations were observed for systolic blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and diabetes mellitus risk, while an inverse association was observed with smoking status. Conclusions In our setting, adults living in less walkable neighborhoods had a higher predicted 10-year cardiovascular disease risk than those living in highly walkable areas.

The probability of diabetes and hypertension by levels of neighborhood walkability and traffic-related air pollution across 15 municipalities in Southern Ontario, Canada: A dataset derived from 2,496,458 community dwelling-adults.

Individuals' risk for cardiovascular disease is shaped by lifestyle factors such as participation in physical activity. Some studies have suggested that rates of physical activity may be higher in walkable neighborhoods that are more supportive of engaging in physical activity in daily life. However, walkable neighborhoods may also contain increased levels of traffic-related air pollution (TRAP). Traffic-related air pollution, often measured through a surrogate marker (e.g. NO2), has been associated cardiovascular disease risk and risk factors [1], [2], [3], [4]. The higher levels of TRAP in walkable neighborhoods may in turn increase the likelihood of developing conditions like hypertension and diabetes. Our recent work assessed how walkability and TRAP jointly affect the odds of diabetes and hypertension in a sample of community-dwelling adults from Southern Ontario, Canada [5]. This article contains additional data on the probability and odds of hypertension and diabetes according to their walkability and TRAP exposures. Data on cardiovascular risk factors were collected using health administrative databases and environmental exposures were assessed using national land use regression models predicting ground level concentrations of NO2 and validated walkability indices. The included data were generated using logistic regression accounting for exposures, covariates, and neighborhood clustering. These data may be used as primary data in future health risk assessments and systematic reviews, or to aid in the design of studies examining interactions between built environment and TRAP exposures (e.g. sample size calculations).

Trends in cardiovascular care and event rates among First Nations and other people with diabetes in Ontario, Canada, 1996-2015.

BACKGROUND: Rates of cardiovascular disease among people with diabetes have declined over the last 20-30 years. To determine whether First Nations people have experienced similar declines, we compared time trends in rates of cardiac event and disease management among First Nations people with diabetes and other people with diabetes in Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 20 to 105 years with diabetes between 1996 and 2015, using linked health administrative databases. Outcomes compared were the annual incidence of each admission to hospital for myocardial infarction and heart failure, and death owing to ischemic heart disease. Management indicators were coronary revascularization and prescription rates for cardioprotective medications. Overall rates and annual percent changes were compared using Poisson regression. RESULTS: Incidence rates for all cardiac outcomes decreased over the study period. The greatest relative annual decline among First Nations men and women were observed in ischemic heart disease death (4.4%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.0 to 5.9) and heart failure (5.4%, 95% CI 4.5 to 6.4), respectively. Among other men and women, the greatest annual declines were seen in ischemic heart disease death (6.3%, 95% CI 6.1 to 6.5 and 7.3%, 95% CI 7.1 to 7.6, respectively). However, all absolute cardiac event rates were higher among First Nations people (p < 0.001). Coronary artery revascularization procedures and prescriptions for cardioprotective medications increased among First Nations people, while only prescriptions increased among other people. INTERPRETATION: Over the last 20 years, the incidence of cardiac events has declined among First Nations people with diabetes, but remains higher than other people with diabetes in Ontario. For continued reductions in incidence, future efforts need to recognize First Nations people's unique social and cultural determinants of health.

Effectiveness of Interventions Aimed at Increasing Statin-Prescribing Rates in Primary Cardiovascular Disease Prevention: A Systematic Review of Randomized Clinical Trials.

Importance: Statins are a cornerstone medication in cardiovascular disease prevention, but their use in clinical practice remains suboptimal, with less than half of people who are indicated for statins actually taking the medication. Objective: To perform a systematic review and synthesis of the literature on patient-oriented and physician-oriented interventions aimed at increasing statin-prescribing rates in adults without a history of cardiovascular disease. Evidence Review: PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched for randomized clinical trials published between January 2000 and May 2019. Data abstraction was performed using the Cochrane Public Health Review Group's data collection template, and a narrative synthesis of study results was conducted. The risk of bias in each study was qualitatively assessed, and a funnel plot was created to further evaluate the risk of publication bias. Findings: Among 7948 citations and 128 full-text articles reviewed, 20 studies (of 109 807 patients) were included in the review. Eight trials reported a statistically significant increases in statin-prescribing rates. Among the effective trials, absolute effect sizes ranged from 4.2% (95% CI, 2.2%-6.4%) to 23% (95% CI, 7.3%-38.9%) and odds ratios from 1.29 (95% CI, 1.01-1.66) to 11.8 (95% CI, 8.8-15.9). Patient-education initiatives were the most commonly effective intervention, with 4 of 7 trials indicating increases in statin-prescribing rates. Two trials combined electronic decision-support tools with audit-and-feedback systems, both of which were effective overall. Physician-education programs without dynamic input regarding patient risk or updated treatment recommendations were generally found to be less effective. Conclusions and Relevance: While heterogeneous in their interventions and outcomes, a number of interventions have demonstrated increases in statin-prescribing rates, with patient-education initiatives demonstrating more promising results than those focused on physician education alone. As opposed to more education about generic recommendations, tailored patient-focused and physician-focused interventions were more effective when they provided personalized cardiovascular risk information, dynamic decision-support tools, or audit-and-feedback reports in a multicomponent program. There are a number of modestly successful approaches to implement increases in rates of statin prescribing, a proven yet underused cardiovascular disease prevention class of therapy.

Development and validation of a multivariable prediction model for major adverse cardiovascular events after early stage breast cancer: a population-based cohort study.

AIMS: Develop a score to predict the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) after early stage breast cancer (EBC) to facilitate personalized decision-making about potentially cardiotoxic treatments and interventions to reduce cardiovascular risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using administrative databases, we assembled a cohort of women diagnosed with EBC in Ontario between 2003 and 2014, with follow-up through 2015. Two-thirds of the cohort were used for risk score derivation; the remainder were reserved for its validation. The outcome was a composite of hospitalizations for acute myocardial infarction, unstable angina, transient ischaemic attack, stroke, peripheral vascular disease, heart failure (HF), or cardiovascular death. We developed the score by regressing MACE incidence against candidate predictors in the derivation sample using a Fine-Gray model. Discrimination was assessed in the validation sample using Wolber's c-index for prognostic models with competing risks, while calibration was assessed by comparing predicted and observed MACE incidence. The risk score was derived in 60 294 women and validated in 29 810 women. Age, hypertension, diabetes, ischaemic heart disease, atrial fibrillation, HF, cerebrovascular disease, peripheral vascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and chronic kidney disease were significantly associated with MACE incidence and incorporated into the score. Ten-year MACE incidence was >40-fold higher for patients in the highest score decile compared to the lowest. The c-index was 81.9% (95% confidence interval 80.9-82.9%) at 5 years and 79.8% (78.8-80.8%) at 10 years in the validation cohort, with good agreement between predicted and observed MACE incidence. CONCLUSION: Cardiovascular prognosis after EBC can be estimated using patients' pre-treatment characteristics.

Interaction between neighborhood walkability and traffic-related air pollution on hypertension and diabetes: The CANHEART cohort.

BACKGROUND: Living in unwalkable neighborhoods has been associated with heightened risk for diabetes and hypertension. However, highly walkable environments may have higher concentrations of traffic-related air pollution, which may contribute to increased cardiovascular disease risk. We therefore aimed to assess how walkability and traffic-related air pollution jointly affect risk for hypertension and diabetes. METHODS: We used a cross-sectional, population-based sample of individuals aged 40-74 years residing in selected large urban centres in Ontario, Canada on January 1, 2008, assembled from administrative databases. Walkability and traffic-related air pollution (NO2) were assessed using validated tools and linked to individuals based on neighborhood of residence. Logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted associations between exposures and diagnoses of hypertension or diabetes accounting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Overall, 2,496,458 individuals were included in our analyses. Low walkability was associated with higher odds of hypertension (lowest vs. highest quintile OR = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.32, 1.37) and diabetes (lowest vs. highest quintile OR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.22, 1.29), while NO2 exhibited similar trends (hypertension: OR = 1.09 per 10 p.p.b., 95% CI: 1.08, 1.10; diabetes: OR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.17). Significant interactions were identified between walkability and NO2 on risk for hypertension (p < 0.0001 and diabetes (p < 0.0001). At higher levels of pollution (40 p.p.b.), differences in the probability of hypertension (lowest vs. highest walkability quintile: 0.26 vs. 0.25) or diabetes (lowest vs. highest walkability quintile: 0.15 vs. 0.15) between highly walkable and unwalkable neighborhoods were diminished, compared to differences observed at lower levels of pollution (5 p.p.b.) (hypertension, lowest vs. highest walkability quintile: 0.21 vs. 0.13; diabetes, lowest vs. highest walkability quintile: 0.09 vs. 0.06). CONCLUSIONS: Walkability and traffic-related air pollution interact to jointly predict risk for hypertension and diabetes. Although walkable neighborhoods appear to have beneficial effects, they may accentuate the harmful effects of air pollution on cardiovascular risk factors.

Importance of Nonobstructive Coronary Artery Disease in the Prognosis of Patients With Heart Failure.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to examine the prognostic significance of nonobstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) in patients with heart failure (HF), as a distinct category apart from those with normal coronary arteries. BACKGROUND: Individuals with HF are often dichotomized into ischemic versus nonischemic categories according to the underlying etiology. This binary classification creates a heterogeneous group, combining individuals with nonobstructive CAD with those with normal coronary arteries under the nonischemic label. METHODS: A cohort of individuals with HF and reduced ejection fraction undergoing invasive coronary angiography was examined and linked to administrative databases for outcomes evaluation. Patients were divided into those with normal coronary arteries, nonobstructive disease, and obstructive disease. The primary outcome was the composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal acute myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or HF hospitalization. RESULTS: Of 12,814 individuals, 2,656 (20.7%) had normal coronary arteries, 2,254 (17.6%) had nonobstructive CAD, and 7,904 (61.7%) had obstructive CAD. The risk of the primary outcome was increased in the nonobstructive group (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.17; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04 to 1.32; p = 0.01) relative to those with normal coronary arteries. Nonobstructive CAD was associated with an increased hazard of cardiovascular death (HR: 1.82; 95% CI: 1.27 to 2.62; p = 0.001) and death of any cause (HR: 1.18; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.33; p = 0.005). There were no significant differences in the rate of acute myocardial infarction, stroke, or HF hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Among HF patients with reduced ejection fraction, the presence of nonobstructive CAD was independently associated with an increased hazard of the primary composite outcome and death of any cause.

Incidence of Heart Failure Among Immigrants to Ontario, Canada: A CANHEART Immigrant Study.

BACKGROUND: Several known traditional cardiovascular risk factors contribute to the development of heart failure (HF); however, whether ethnicity is also an important predictor is not well established. We determined the incidence of hospitalization for HF among ethnic groups in Ontario, Canada, and examined differences in risk factor prevalence that may contribute to disparities in HF hospitalization incidence between groups. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a retrospective observational study from 2008 to 2012 with the use of a linked cohort derived from population-based health administrative, clinical, and survey datasets. We followed 895,823 recent immigrants from 8 ethnic groups and 5.3 million long-term residents aged 40-105 years for incident HF hospitalization. Sex-stratified age-standardized HF incidence was lower among all immigrant groups than long-term residents. Among immigrants, Black men and West Asian women had the highest incidence of hospitalizations for HF (1.19 and 1.60 per 1000 person-years, respectively), and East Asians of both sexes had the lowest incidence. After adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities, and other risk factors, the association between ethnicity and HF hospitalization risk remained significant. CONCLUSIONS: HF hospitalization incidence varies widely among ethnic immigrant groups, highlighting the importance of ethnicity as a potential independent risk factor for HF development.

Risk of Ischemic Stroke and Peripheral Arterial Disease in Heterozygous Familial Hypercholesterolemia: A Meta-Analysis.

Heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HeFH) is a common genetic disorder predisposing affected individuals to lifelong low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) elevation and coronary heart disease. However, whether HeFH increases the risk of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) and ischemic stroke is undetermined. We examined associations between HeFH and these outcomes in a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Global Health, the Cochrane Library, and PubMed (for ahead-of-print publications) for relevant English-language studies. Maximally adjusted risk estimates were pooled under random- and fixed-effects meta-analysis to derive odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). We included 6 studies representing 183 388 participants. Heterozygnous familial hypercholesterolemia was associated with a higher risk of PAD (OR: 3.59 [95% CI: 1.30-9.89]). This trend was nonsignificantly preserved (OR: 2.96 [95% CI: 0.68-12.88]) in sensitivity analyses of genetically defined HeFH. Genetic HeFH was not associated with increased ischemic stroke risk (OR: 0.76 [95% CI: 0.37-1.58]) although possessing an LDL-C >4.9 mmol/L (190 mg/dL) was (OR: 1.42 [95% CI: 1.06-1.89]). We found clinical and genetic diagnoses of HeFH to be associated with increased PAD risk. Genetically confirmed HeFH may not confer an increased risk of ischemic stroke. Modest associations may exist between LDL-C and ischemic stroke risk in HeFH.

Comparison of Readmission and Death Among Patients With Cardiac Disease in Northern vs Southern Ontario.

BACKGROUND: Geographic factors may influence cardiovascular disease outcomes in Canada. Circulatory diseases are a major reason for higher population mortality rates in Northern Ontario, but it is unknown if hospitalized patients with cardiovascular disease experience differential outcomes compared with those in the South. METHODS: We examined 30-day and 1-year mortality and readmissions for patients hospitalized with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), heart failure (HF), atrial fibrillation (AF), or stroke in Northern compared with Southern Ontario, using the Canadian Institute for Health Information Discharge Abstract Database (2005-2016). Northern patients were defined as those residing and hospitalized in the Northwest or Northeast Local Health Integration Network regions. We used multiple Cox proportional hazards regression analysis for time-to-first event and Prentice-Williams-Peterson method to evaluate repeat and multiply admitted patients. RESULTS: A total of 47,745 Northern and 465,353 Southern patients hospitalized with AMI (n = 182,158), HF (n = 130,770), AF (n = 72,326), or stroke (n = 127,844) were studied. Rates of first readmission were higher among Northern patients for AMI (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.32), HF (HR, 1.16), AF (HR, 1.21), and stroke (HR, 1.27) compared with Southern patients (all P < 0.001). Repeat readmission rates among Northern patients for AMI (HR, 1.23), HF (HR, 1.13), AF (HR, 1.18), and stroke (HR, 1.22) were also increased (all P < 0.001 vs Southern). Thirty-day mortality did not differ significantly between Northern and Southern patients. CONCLUSIONS: Readmissions were increased in those residing and hospitalized in the North. To reduce readmissions in the North, the quality of postacute transitional care should be examined further.