The Role of Baseline Prostate-specific Antigen Value Prior to Age 60 in Predicting Lethal Prostate Cancer: Analysis of a Contemporary North American Cohort.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Studies evaluating the role of baseline midlife prostate-specific antigen (PSA) as a predictor of development and progression of prostate cancer relied predominately on cohorts from the pre-PSA screening introduction era. The aim of our study was to examine the role of baseline PSA prior to the age of 60 yr as a predictor of developing lethal prostate cancer using a contemporary North American cohort. METHODS: Our cohort included all men aged 40-59 yr who received their first PSA through our health system between the years 1995 and 2019. Patients were divided into four categories based on age: 40-44, 45-49, 50-54, and 55-59 yr. Baseline PSA was the predictor of interest. Lethal disease was defined as death from prostate cancer or development of metastatic disease either at diagnosis or during follow-up. Cancer-specific mortality and overall mortality were obtained by linking our database to the Michigan Vital Records registry. Competing-risk regression was used to evaluate the association between PSA and lethal prostate cancer. KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS: A total of 129067 men met the inclusion criteria during the study period. The median follow-up for patients free from cancer was 7.4 yr. For men aged 40-44, 45-49, 50-54, and 55-59 yr, the estimated rates of lethal prostate cancer at 20 yr were 0.02%, 0.14%, 0.33%, and 0.51% in men with PSA

MRI-Targeted Prostate Biopsy Introduces Grade Inflation and Overtreatment.

Purpose: The use of MRI-targeted biopsies has led to lower detection of Gleason Grade Group 1 (GG1) prostate cancer and increased detection of GG2 disease. Although this finding is generally attributed to improved sensitivity and specificity of MRI for aggressive cancers, it might also be explained by grade inflation. Our objective was to determine the likelihood of definitive treatment and risk of post-treatment recurrence for patients with GG2 cancer diagnosed using targeted biopsies relative to men with GG1 cancer diagnosed using systematic biopsies. Methods: We performed a retrospective study on a large tertiary centre registry (HUS Acamedic Datalake) to retrieve data on prostate cancer diagnosis, treatment, and cancer recurrence. We included patients with either GG1 with systematic biopsies (3317 men) or GG2 with targeted biopsies (554 men) from 1993 to 2019. We assessed the risk of curative treatment and recurrence after treatment. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were computed to assess treatment- and recurrence-free survival. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to assess the risk of posttreatment recurrence. Results: Patients with systematic biopsy detected GG1 cancer had a significantly longer median time-to-treatment (31 months) than those with targeted biopsy detected GG2 cancer (4 months, p<0.0001). The risk of recurrence after curative treatment was similar between groups with the upper bound of 95% CI, excluding an important difference (HR: 0.94, 95% CI [0.71-1.25], p=0.7). Conclusion: GG2 cancers detected by MRI-targeted biopsy are treated more aggressively than GG1 cancers detected by systematic biopsy, despite having similar oncologic risk. To prevent further overtreatment related to the MRI pathway, treatment guidelines from the pre-MRI era need to be updated to consider changes in the diagnostic pathway.

Risk of prostate cancer and death after benign transurethral resection of the prostate-A 20-year population-based analysis.

BACKGROUND: The oncological risks after benign histology on a transurethral resection of the prostate (TURP) remain largely unknown. Here, the risk of prostate cancer incidence and mortality following a benign histological assessment of TURP is investigated in a population-based setting. METHODS: Between 1995 and 2016, 64,059 men in Denmark underwent TURP without prior biopsy of the prostate; 42,558 of these men had benign histology. The risks of prostate cancer, prostate cancer with a Gleason score ≥ 3 + 4, and prostate cancer-specific death were assessed with competing risks. Specific risks for pre-TURP prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels at 10 and 15 years were visualized by locally estimated scatterplot smoothing. RESULTS: The median age at TURP was 72 years (interquartile range [IQR], 65-78 years), and the median follow-up was 15 years (IQR, 10-19 years). The 10-year risks of any prostate cancer and prostate cancer with a Gleason score ≥ 3 + 4 and the 15-year risk of prostate cancer death showed clear visual relations with increasing PSA. The 15-year cumulative incidence of prostate cancer-specific death after benign TURP was 1.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3%-1.6%) for all men and 0.8% (95% CI, 0.6%-1.1%) for men with PSA levels <10 ng/ml. The primary limitation was exclusion due to missing PSA data. CONCLUSIONS: Men with low PSA levels and a benign TURP can be reassured about their cancer risk and do not need to be monitored differently than any other men. Patients with high PSA levels can be considered for further follow-up with prostate magnetic resonance imaging. These findings add to the literature suggesting that normal histology from the prostate entails a low risk of death from the disease. LAY SUMMARY: There is little knowledge about the oncological risks after the surgical treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia. This study shows a very low risk of adverse oncological outcomes in men with prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels below 10 ng/ml at the time of transurethral resection of the prostate. Patients with higher PSA levels may need more extensive follow-up.

A Nationwide Analysis of Risk of Prostate Cancer Diagnosis and Mortality following an Initial Negative Transrectal Ultrasound Biopsy with Long-Term Followup.

PURPOSE: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) targeted prostate biopsy has been shown to find many high-grade prostate cancers in men with concurrent negative transrectal ultrasound (TRUS) systematic biopsy. The oncologic risk of such tumors can be explored by looking at long-term outcomes of men with negative TRUS biopsy followed without MRI. The aim was to analyze the mortality after initial and second negative TRUS biopsy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All men who underwent initial TRUS biopsies between January 1, 1995 and December 31, 2016 in Denmark were included. A total of 37,214 men had a negative initial TRUS biopsy and 6,389 underwent a re-biopsy. Risk of cause-specific mortality was analyzed with competing risks. Diagnosis of Gleason score ≥7 prostate cancer following negative biopsies was analyzed with multivariable logistic regression including time to re-biopsy, prostate specific antigen (PSA), age and digital rectal examination. RESULTS: The 15-year prostate cancer-specific mortality was 1.9% (95% CI: 1.7-2.1). Prostate cancer-specific mortality was 1.3% (95% CI: 0.9-1.6) and 4.6% (95% CI: 3.4-5.8) for men with PSA <10 and >20 ng/ml, respectively. Of the TRUS re-biopsies 12% were Gleason score ≥7 and risk of Gleason score ≥7 increased with longer time to re-biopsy (p <0.001). Mortality after re-biopsy was similar to after initial biopsy. CONCLUSIONS: Men with negative TRUS biopsies have a very low prostate cancer-specific mortality, especially with PSA <10 ng/ml. This raises serious questions about the routine use of MRI targeting for initial prostate biopsy and suggests that MRI targeting should only be recommended for men with PSA >10 ng/ml after negative biopsy.