Predictors for development of complete and incomplete intestinal metaplasia (IM) associated with H. pylori infection: A large-scale study from low prevalence area of gastric cancer (IM-HP trial).

BACKGROUND: Gastric intestinal metaplasia (IM) is precancerous lesion of gastric cancer related to H. pylori infection. There has been limited data about IM and associated risk factors. This study aimed to determine risk factors related to development of IM to guide proper management. METHODS: 1,370 patients undergoing UGI endoscopy at Thammasat University Hospital, Thailand were included between January 2018-August 2019. Patients' data including baseline characteristics, laboratory results, and histopathology from medical database were extensively reviewed. Immunohistochemical staining for p53 expression from gastric biopsies was also performed. RESULTS: Overall H. pylori prevalence was 43.8%. Mean age was 60.7 years and 45% of whom were males. Chronic gastritis was observed in 1,064(77.7%) patients, while 223(16.3%) had IM. Of 223 patients with IM, 194(87%) patients had complete IM, while 29 (13%) had incomplete IM. In groups of complete and incomplete IM, current H. pylori infection rates were 66.5% and 58.6%, respectively. The BMI of incomplete IM group(27.4) was significantly higher than BMI of complete IM group (23.6). Overweight and obese patients (BMI ≥23 kg/m2) were significantly associated with higher risk for the development of incomplete IM (OR 3.25; 95%CI 1.14-9.27, p = 0.027). Males, age >50 years, and current H. pylori infection were significantly higher in IM than chronic gastritis group with OR 1.43 (95%CI 1.01-2.03, p = 0.048), OR 1.67 (95% CI 1.08-2.57, p = 0.021), and OR 3.14 (95% CI 2.29-4.30, p<0.001), respectively. During 20 months of study, there were 15 patients (1.1%) diagnosed with gastric cancer and 1-year survival rate was only 60%. CONCLUSIONS: Males, age >50 years, and current H. pylori infection are significant predictors for the presence of intestinal metaplasia. BMI might be beneficial for using as a predictive risk factor to reduce the development of incomplete intestinal metaplasia. H. pylori eradication could be an effective way to prevent the development of gastric precancerous lesions.

Risk Factors and Prognosis of Spontaneously Ruptured Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Thailand

Objective: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fatal cancer worldwide. Spontaneously Rupture remains important complication of HCC. The incidence of spontaneous HCC rupture was high in ASEAN but limited studies were reported. The aim of this study was to evaluate predictors and overall survival of ruptured HCC in tertiary care center in Thailand. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of HCC patients aged ≥15 years old during January 2012-January 2016 and followed up through June 2016 at Thammasat University Hospital, Thailand. All clinical information, laboratory and radiologic findings were collected from reviewing computer data base of medical records. Results: 333 patients had completely retrievable information. Of which, 51patients (15.3%) had spontaneous ruptured HCC. Clinical symptoms with abdominal discomfort and anemic symptoms were significantly higher in ruptured than non-ruptured HCC groups. (76.47% vs.39.36%: p<0.001, 13.73vs.0.71%, p<0.001). Furthermore, size of tumors, presences of metastasis and serum AFP>200 ng/mL were significantly higher in ruptured than non-ruptured HCC groups (10.29cm. vs. 6.47cm. p<0.001, 17.65% vs. 8.16%, p=0.034, 60.78% vs. 36.88%, p=0.001, respectively). In multivariate analysis, age, abdominal discomfort, anemic symptoms, Child-Pugh score>6 were independent risk factors of HCC rupture (OR=0.96, 95%CI=0.93-0.99, p=0.02; OR=3.47, 95%CI=1.26-9.6, p=0.016; OR=54.51, 95%CI=7.09-418.89, p<0.001; OR=2.62, 95%CI=1.09-6.31, p=0.031, respectively). 1-year and 2-year survival rates of ruptured HCC were 66.9% and 44.6% respectively. Conclusions: Age, abdominal discomfort, anemic symptoms and Child-Pugh score>6 might be predictive factors of spontaneous ruptured HCC. Ruptures of HCC remained a fatal disease with poor survival rate in Thailand. Appropriate treatment in early stage could be effective tool to improve the treatment outcomes.

Clinical Outcome and Predictive Factors of Variceal Bleeding in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Thailand

Objective: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is common cancer in ASEAN. Variceal bleeding (VB) is considered to be fatal complication of cirrhosis with HCC. However, limited studies were reported in ASEAN. Aim of this study was to evaluate overall survival rate and predictors of VB in HCC patients. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of HCC patients aged ≥15 years between January 2012-January 2016 and follow up through June 2016 at Thammasat University Hospital, Thailand. Clinical information and radiologic findings were collected from reviewing computer database of medical records. Results: 333 patients had completely retrievable information. Of which, 27 patients (8.1%) had documented with VB. Clinical presentations with weight loss and jaundice were higher in VB than non-VB groups (40.74% vs. 34.64%, p=0.525 and 7.41% vs. 2.29%, p=0.116) but the differences were not significant. The most common causes of cirrhosis in HCC patients with VB were chronic HBV infection (55.56%). In multivariate analysis; presence of ascites, Child-Pugh score>6, presence of varices were independent risk factors of having VB in HCC patients (OR=7.59, 95%CI=1.13-50.88, p=0.037; OR=5.07, 95%CI=1.08-23.76, p=0.039; OR=23.51, 95%CI=4.71-117.35, p<0.001, respectively). In HCC patients with VB, 1-year and 2.5-year survival rates were 56.6% and 28.3%. Conclusions: HCC patients with ascites, Child-Pugh score>6 and presence of varices might be important predictive factors of VB. Having VB were greatly impact to the survival rate of HCC patients. Clinical suspicion and regular surveillance of VB in HCC patients at risk could improve treatment outcomes.