RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence and risk factors responsible for the occurrence and progression of chronic allograft dysfunction (CAD) among patients treated in our transplant center. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Retrospective analysis included 637 kidney allograft recipients transplanted between 1990 and 2003 with functioning graft for at least 1 year. CAD was diagnosed based on increased creatinine concentration ≥ 2 mg/dL, occurrence of proteinuria, and worsening of arterial hypertension. In immunosuppressive treatment, 50% of patients received cyclosporine A (CsA), azathioprine, and prednisone; 25% received CsA, mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), and prednisone; whereas 20% received tacrolimus, MMF, and prednisone. The influence of immune and non-immune factors before and after transplantation on the occurrence and progression of CAD was analyzed. RESULTS: CAD was diagnosed in 43.1% of patients within 10 years after kidney transplantation. CAD development considerably worsened the actual 10-year survival rate of patients (80% versus 92%) and the graft (42% versus 92%). The following factors had the greatest influence (as confirmed with multivariate regression analysis) on CAD progression: proteinuria (odds ratio [OR]: 11.3; P < .0001), serum creatinine concentration > 1.5 mg/dL at 12th month (OR: 3.5; P < .0001) and 24th month (OR: 6.69; P < .0001), cytomegalovirus (CMV) infections (OR: 3.15; P < .0001), and male gender of recipients (OR: 1.48; P < .04). In the CAD patients, acute rejection episodes, delayed graft function, urinary tract infections, and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections were statistically significantly more often observed compared with the group of patients with stable renal function (reference group). Moreover, in the CAD group, donors were older and recipients younger. The CAD patients had higher arterial pressure and uric acid concentration. CONCLUSIONS: During the 10-year follow-up, chronic renal allograft dysfunction developed in 43.1% of patients. Proteinuria, serum creatinine level >1.5 mg/dL at 12th and 24th month, and CMV infections were identified as the most significant CAD progression factors. CAD had detrimental effects both on graft and patient survival rates.