Large-scale screening of clinical assessments to distinguish between states in the Integrated HD Progression Model (IHDPM).

Background: Understanding the sensitivity and utility of clinical assessments across different HD stages is important for study/trial endpoint selection and clinical assessment development. The Integrated HD Progression Model (IHDPM) characterizes the complex symptom progression of HD and separates the disease into nine ordered disease states. Objective: To generate a temporal map of discriminatory clinical measures across the IHDPM states. Methods: We applied the IHDPM to all HD individuals in an integrated longitudinal HD dataset derived from four observational studies, obtaining disease state assignment for each study visit. Using large-scale screening, we estimated Cohen's effect sizes to rank the discriminative power of 2,472 clinical measures for separating observations in disease state pairs. Individual trajectories through IHDPM states were examined. Discriminative analyses were limited to individuals with observations in both states of the pairs compared (N = 3,790). Results: Discriminative clinical measures were heterogeneous across the HD life course. UHDRS items were frequently identified as the best state pair discriminators, with UHDRS Motor items - most notably TMS - showing the highest discriminatory power between the early-disease states and early post-transition period states. UHDRS functional items emerged as strong discriminators from the transition period and on. Cognitive assessments showed good discriminative power between all state pairs examined, excepting state 1 vs. 2. Several non-UHDRS assessments were also flagged as excellent state discriminators for specific disease phases (e.g., SF-12). For certain state pairs, single assessment items other than total/summary scores were highlighted as having excellent discriminative power. Conclusion: By providing ranked quantitative scores indicating discriminatory ability of thousands of clinical measures between specific pairs of IHDPM states, our results will aid clinical trial designers select the most effective outcome measures tailored to their study cohort. Our observations may also assist in the development of end points targeting specific phases in the disease life course, through providing specific conceptual foci.

Outcomes by disease onset, sex, and intervention in neonates with SIP and surgical NEC.

BACKGROUND: Outcomes of infants following surgical necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) and spontaneous intestinal perforation (SIP) categorized by the age of onset, interventions, and sex are not well defined. METHODS: Retrospective comparison of infants categorized by age of onset (NEC at <10, 10-20, and >20 days) and SIP at <7 versus ≥7 days), sex, and intervention [Penrose Drain (PD) vs. laparotomy]. RESULTS: A total of 114 infants had NEC and 37 had SIP. On multinomial logistic regression, infants with NEC/SIP onset >20 days had significantly lower odds of small bowel involvement (aOR = 0.07, 95% CI: 0.01-0.33, p = 0.001), higher necrosis (aOR = 3.59, 95% CI: 1.34-9.65, p = 0.012) and higher CRP (p = 0.004) than onset <10 days. Initial laparotomy was associated with more bowel loss (24.1 cm [12.3; 40.6] vs.12.1 [8.00; 23.2]; p = 0.001), small and large intestine involvement (47.1% vs 17.2%; p = 0.01), and ileocecal valve resection (42% vs. 19.4%; p = 0.036) than initial PD therapy. Females underwent fewer small bowel resections (52.3% vs 73.6%; p = 0.025) but had higher surgical morbidity (53.7% vs. 24.7%.; p = 0.001) than males. CONCLUSION: Clinical, radiological, and histopathological presentation and outcomes in preterm infants with surgical NEC/SIP are associated with age of disease onset, sex, and initial intervention. IMPACT: Neonates with surgical NEC onset >20 days had more severe necrosis, inflammation, kidney injury, and bowel loss than those with <10 days. Initial laparotomy was associated with later age onset, more bowel loss, and ileocecal valve resection compared to initial PD treatment, but not with differences in mortality or length of stay. Female sex was associated with lower maturity, more placental malperfusion, less often small bowel involvement, lower pre-NEC hematocrit as well as higher surgical morbidity than males. Whether the management of surgical NEC and SIP should differ by the age of onset requires further investigation.

Using Chronic Care Management Visits to Reduce the Number of Frequent Emergency Department Visits: A Pilot Study.

Background Emergency department (ED) visits are increasing in number and cost and becoming a major way patients are interacting with the healthcare system. Patients who frequently visit the ED are deemed "super-utilizers" who visit for a variety of reasons, including, but not limited to, multiple chronic medical illnesses, homelessness, and substance use disorder, but fail to have an established long-term treatment plan. Methodology We enrolled our hospital's top 50 super-utilizing patients into the Chronic Care Management Program. These patients received monthly telehealth visits to discuss concerns, chronic medical conditions, barriers to care, and support systems unique to each patient's living and social situation (i.e., social determinants of health). Telehealth visits also connected patients to community resources and helped them initiate advanced care services. Results The t-test investigating the frequency of avoidable visits pre- and post-intervention revealed a statistically significant decrease in the number of avoidable visits between the pre-intervention and post-intervention. Results also revealed a non-statistically significant difference in the cost of avoidable visits before and after the intervention. Conclusions The findings revealed a statistically significant decrease in patients' frequency of avoidable visits before and after the intervention.

Clinical and Growth Correlates of Retinopathy of Prematurity in Preterm infants with Surgical Necrotizing Enterocolitis and intestinal Perforation.

Background: we sought to determine the clinical and growth parameters associated with retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) in infants with necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) and spontaneous ileal perforation (SIP). Methods: Retrospective cohort study comparing clinical information before and following NEC/SIP onset in neonates with and without severe ROP (Type 1 and 2). Results: Those with severe ROP (32/109, 39.5%) had lower GA, BW, chorioamnionitis, later median onset of ROP diagnosis and received Penrose drain and had higher AKI, poor weight z scores, poor linear growth, longer duration of ventilation and higher FIo2 than those without ROP following NEC/SIP. The GA and diagnosis at later age remained significant for any ROP on multi regression modelling. Conclusion: The surgical NEC/SIP infants with severe ROP were more likely to be younger, smaller, had AKI, had higher oxygen exposure and poor weight gain and linear growth than those without severe ROP.

Association of Placental Pathologic Findings with the Severity of Necrotizing Enterocolitis in Preterm infants - A Matched Case-Control Study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association of placental pathology with the severity of necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) in preterm infants. METHODS: This single-center matched case-control study included infants with NEC (n = 107) and gestational age and birth weight-matched controls (n = 130), born between 2013 and 2020. Placentas were evaluated according to the Amsterdam Placental Workshop Group Consensus Statement. RESULTS: Acute histologic chorioamnionitis with the fetal response was significantly more common in infants with surgical NEC vs. medical NEC (35.4% vs. 15.3%; p = 0.02). On regression model, infants with multiple placental pathologies (OR 2.16; 95% CI 1.01 - 4.73; p = 0.04) and maternal vascular malperfusion (OR 2.2; 95% CI 1.12 - 4.51; p = 0.02) had higher odds of either medical or surgical NEC than controls. CONCLUSION: Infants with multiple placental lesions, including placental inflammatory and vascular lesions, were at higher risk of medical or surgical NEC in the postnatal period.

Gestational age-specific hematological patterns in preterm infants following necrotizing enterocolitis.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate gestational age (GA) specific hematological and transfusion response patterns in preterm infants following necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). DESIGN: A retrospective study comparing hematological/transfusion information in three GA groups' infants: Group A ≤ 28 weeks. Group B 28-32 weeks, Group C > 32 weeks following necrotizing enterocolitis. RESULTS: Group A infants responded with significantly higher WBC count, thrombocytopenia, higher absolute neutrophil, and higher absolute monocyte and lower absolute lymphocyte counts following NEC onset, received more blood transfusions before NEC onset (59.8 versus 30.0%; p = .007), and had higher odds of surgical NEC (OR 3.39 [95% CI 1.19-10.38]; p = .02) than group C. One unit increase in absolute lymphocyte count on the day, and 24 h following NEC was significantly associated with lower surgical NEC odds than groups C. CONCLUSION: The infant's in-group A had significantly different hematological response patterns following NEC than infants with higher gestational age (groups B and C).

Clinical Correlates of Moderate-to-Severe Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia in Preterm Infants following Surgical Necrotizing Enterocolitis.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study is to determine clinical correlates of moderate to severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) in preterm infants following surgical necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective, single-center cohort study comparing patients with moderate to severe BPD to patients with non/mild BPD among surgical NEC infants. BPD was defined by NIH 2001 consensus definition. RESULTS: Of 92 consecutive neonates with surgical NEC, 77% (71/92) had moderate/severe BPD and 22% (21/92) had non/mild BPD. The patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) was significantly higher in those developing moderate/severe BPD (67.6% [48/71]) than non/mild BPD (28.6% [6/21]; p = 0.001). Postoperatively, infants with moderate/severe BPD had more severe acute kidney injury (AKI; 67.6 [48/71] vs. 28.6% [6/21]; p = 0.001), were intubated longer (40.5 [interquartile (IQR): 12, 59] vs. 6 days [IQR: 2, 13]; p <0.001), received more parenteral nutrition (109 [IQR: 77, 147] vs. 55 days [IQR: 19, 70]; p <0.001), developed higher surgical morbidity (46.5 [33/71] vs. 14.3% [3/21]; p = 0.008), had more intestinal failure (62.5 vs. 13.3%; p <0.001), required a longer hospital stay (161 [IQR: 112, 186] vs. 64 days [IQR: 20, 91]; p <0.001), and were more likely to need home oxygen. In a multivariable analysis, lower birth weight (OR = 0.3, [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.1-0.5]; p = 0.001), PDA (OR = 10.3, [95% CI: 1.6-65.4]; p = 0.014), and longer parenteral nutritional days (OR = 8.8; [95% CI: 2.0-43.0]; p = 0.005) were significantly and independently associated with higher odds of moderate/severe versus non-/mild BPD. CONCLUSION: Development of moderate/severe BPD occurred in the majority of preterm infants with surgical NEC in this consecutive series. Preterm infants with moderate/severe BPD were more likely to have a PDA before NEC. Development of moderate/severe BPD was associated with significantly greater burden and duration of postoperative morbidity following surgical NEC. Identifying surgical NEC infants at increased risk of moderate/severe BPD and developing lung protection strategies may improve surgical NEC outcomes. KEY POINTS: · Three-fourths of preterm infants experienced severe lung injury following surgical NEC.. · The infants with severe moderate/severe BPD were most likely associated with greater duration of postoperative morbidity.. · There is need to understand and develop lung protective strategies in infants with surgical NEC..

Standardizing the CAP Score in Huntington's Disease by Predicting Age-at-Onset.

BACKGROUND: Huntington's disease (HD) is an autosomal dominant, neurological disease caused by an expanded CAG repeat near the N-terminus of the huntingtin (HTT) gene. A leading theory concerning the etiology of HD is that both onset and progression are driven by cumulative exposure to the effects of mutant (or CAG expanded) huntingtin (mHTT). The CAG-Age-Product (CAP) score (i.e., the product of excess CAG length and age) is a commonly used measure of this cumulative exposure. CAP score has been widely used as a predictor of a variety of disease state variables in HD. The utility of the CAP score has been somewhat diminished, however, by a lack of agreement on its precise definition. The most commonly used forms of the CAP score are highly correlated so that, for purposes of prediction, it makes little difference which is used. However, reported values of CAP scores, based on commonly used definitions, differ substantially in magnitude when applied to the same data. This complicates the process of inter-study comparison. OBJECTIVE: In this paper, we propose a standardized definition for the CAP score which will resolve this difficulty. Our standardization is chosen so that CAP = 100 at the expected age of diagnosis. METHODS: Statistical methods include novel survival analysis methodology applied to the 13 disease landmarks taken from the Enroll-HD database (PDS 5) and comparisons with the existing, gold standard, onset model. RESULTS: Useful by-products of our work include up-to-date, age-at-onset (AO) results and a refined AO model suitable for use in other contexts, a discussion of several useful properties of the CAP score that have not previously been noted in the literature and the introduction of the concept of a toxicity onset model. CONCLUSION: We suggest that taking L = 30 and K = 6.49 provides a useful standardization of the CAP score, suitable for use in the routine modeling of clinical data in HD.

Utility of Huntington's Disease Assessments by Disease Stage: Floor/Ceiling Effects.

Introduction: An understanding of the clinimetric properties of clinical assessments, including their constraints, is critical to sound clinical study and trial design. Utilizing data from Enroll-HD-a global, prospective HD observational study and clinical research platform-we examined several well-established HD clinical assessments across all stages of disease for evidence of instrument constraints, specifically floor/ceiling effects, to inform selection of appropriate instruments for use in future studies/trials and identify gaps in instrument utility over the life-course of the disease. Material and Methods: Analyzing publicly available data from 6,614 HD gene-expansion carriers (HDGECs), we grouped participants into deciles based on baseline CAP score, which ranged from 26 to 229. We used descriptive statistics to characterize data distribution for 25 outcome measures (encompassing motor, function, cognition, and psychiatric/behavioral domains) in each CAP decile. A skewness statistic threshold of ±2 was defined a priori to indicate floor/ceiling effects. Results: We found evidence of floor/ceiling effects in the early premanifest stages of disease for most motor and function assessments (e.g., TMS, TFC) and select cognitive tasks (MMSE, Trail Making tests). Other cognitive assessments, and the HADS-SIS scales, performed well ubiquitously, with no evidence of floor/ceiling effects at any disease stage. Floor/ceiling effects were evident at every disease stage for certain assessments, including PBA-s measures. Ceiling effects were apparent for DCL from onset stages onwards, as expected. Discussion: Developing instruments sensitive to subtle differences in performance at the earlier stages of the disease spectrum, particularly in motor and function domains, is warranted.

Incidence of completed suicide and suicide attempts in a global prospective study of Huntington's disease.

BACKGROUND: Risk of death from suicide in Huntington's disease is notably elevated relative to that in the general population, although the incidence within HD populations has not been precisely defined. Robust incidence estimates of suicidal behavior can serve as references for HD therapeutic research and post-marketing surveillance to help evaluate the suicidality risk of novel therapeutics. AIMS: To estimate the incidence rate of completed suicide and suicide attempt in the global, prospective HD cohort study Enroll-HD that records these events per protocol. METHOD: A total of 20 912 participants were available for analysis (HD gene-expansion carriers (HDGECs) n = 15 924; non-HDGECs n = 4988) representing a collective observation period of 53 390 participant-years. Each observed event was subject to clinical review and evaluation. We generated incidence rates (events per 100 000 person-years) for suicides and suicide attempts using all available data, as well as by year of study and geographical region. Proportionate mortality statistics for suicide and respective 95% confidence intervals were also generated. RESULTS: The overall incidence rate of suicide in HDGECs was 72 per 100 000 person-years, and 8 per 100 000 person-years in non-HDGECs. Proportionate mortality attributable to suicide in HDGECs was 4.6%. For suicide attempts, the global overall incidence rate observed in HDGECs was 306-375 per 100 000 person-years, and 23-38 per 100 000 person-years in non-HDGECs. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence estimates calculated here can be used as a reference to help evaluate drug safety and may also be useful in assessing progress in clinical care for HDGECs once therapeutic interventions become widely available.

An evaluation of Cochrane Crowd found that crowdsourcing produced accurate results in identifying randomized trials.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Filtering the deluge of new research to facilitate evidence synthesis has proven to be unmanageable using current paradigms of search and retrieval. Crowdsourcing, a way of harnessing the collective effort of a "crowd" of people, has the potential to support evidence synthesis by addressing this information overload created by the exponential growth in primary research outputs. Cochrane Crowd, Cochrane's citizen science platform, offers a range of tasks aimed at identifying studies related to health care. Accompanying each task are brief, interactive training modules, and agreement algorithms that help ensure accurate collective decision-making.The aims of the study were to evaluate the performance of Cochrane Crowd in terms of its accuracy, capacity, and autonomy and to examine contributor engagement across three tasks aimed at identifying randomized trials. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Crowd accuracy was evaluated by measuring the sensitivity and specificity of crowd screening decisions on a sample of titles and abstracts, compared with "quasi gold-standard" decisions about the same records using the conventional methods of dual screening. Crowd capacity, in the form of output volume, was evaluated by measuring the number of records processed by the crowd, compared with baseline. Crowd autonomy, the capability of the crowd to produce accurate collectively derived decisions without the need for expert resolution, was measured by the proportion of records that needed resolving by an expert. RESULTS: The Cochrane Crowd community currently has 18,897 contributors from 163 countries. Collectively, the Crowd has processed 1,021,227 records, helping to identify 178,437 reports of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for Cochrane's Central Register of Controlled Trials. The sensitivity for each task was 99.1% for the RCT identification task (RCT ID), 99.7% for the RCT identification task of trials from ClinicalTrials.gov (CT ID), and 97.7% for the identification of RCTs from the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP ID). The specificity for each task was 99% for RCT ID, 98.6% for CT ID, and 99.1% for CT ICTRP ID. The capacity of the combined Crowd and machine learning workflow has increased fivefold in 6 years, compared with baseline. The proportion of records requiring expert resolution across the tasks ranged from 16.6% to 19.7%. CONCLUSION: Cochrane Crowd is sufficiently accurate and scalable to keep pace with the current rate of publication (and registration) of new primary studies. It has also proved to be a popular, efficient, and accurate way for a large number of people to play an important voluntary role in health evidence production. Cochrane Crowd is now an established part of Cochrane's effort to manage the deluge of primary research being produced.

Cognitive and Motor Norms for Huntington's Disease.

BACKGROUND: The progression of Huntington's disease (HD) for gene-expanded carriers is well-studied. Natural aging effects, however, are not often considered in the evaluation of HD progression. OBJECTIVE: To examine the effects of natural aging for healthy controls and to develop normative curves by age, sex, and education from the distribution of observed scores for the Symbol Digit Modalities Test, Stroop Word Reading Test, Stroop Color Naming Test, Stroop Interference Test, Total Motor Score, and Total Functional Capacity (TFC) from the Unified Huntington's Disease Rating Scale (UHDRS) along with a composite score. METHODS: After combining longitudinal REGISTRY and Enroll-HD data, we used quantile regression and natural cubic splines for age to fit models for healthy controls (N = 3,394; N observations = 8,619). Normative curves were estimated for the 0.05, 0.25, 0.50, 0.75, and 0.95 quantiles. Two types of reference curves were considered: unconditional curves were dependent on age alone, whereas conditional curves were dependent on age and other covariates, namely sex and education. RESULTS: Conditioning on education was necessary for the Symbol Digit, Stroop Word, Stroop Color, Stroop Interference, and composite UHDRS. Unconditional curves were sufficient for the Total Motor Score. TFC was unique in that the curve was constant over age with its intercept at the maximum score (TFC = 13). For all measures, sex effects were minimal, so conditioning on sex was unwarranted. CONCLUSIONS: Extreme quantile estimates for each measure can be considered as boundaries for natural aging and scores falling beyond these thresholds are likely the result of disease progression. Normative curves and tables are developed and can serve as references for clinical characterization in HD.

PET Molecular Imaging of Phosphodiesterase 10A: An Early Biomarker of Huntington's Disease Progression.

BACKGROUND: Changes in phosphodiesterase 10A enzyme levels may be a suitable biomarker of disease progression in Huntington's disease. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate phosphodiesterase 10A PET imaging as a biomarker of HD progression using the radioligand, [18 F]MNI-659. METHODS: The cross-sectional study (NCT02061722) included 45 Huntington's disease gene-expansion carriers stratified into four disease stages (early and late premanifest and Huntington's disease stages 1 and 2) and 45 age- and sex-matched healthy controls. The primary analysis compared striatal and pallidal phosphodiesterase 10A availability between Huntington's disease gene-expansion carriers and healthy controls as assessed by [18 F]MNI-659 binding. We assessed changes in phosphodiesterase 10A expression using several PET methodologies and compared with previously proposed measures of Huntington's disease progression (PET imaging of D2/3 receptors and anatomical volume loss on MRI). The longitudinal follow-up study (NCT02956148) continued evaluation of phosphodiesterase 10A availability in 35 Huntington's disease gene-expansion carriers at a mean of 18 months from baseline of the cross-sectional study. RESULTS: Primary analyses revealed that phosphodiesterase 10A availability in caudate, putamen, and globus pallidus was significantly lower in Huntington's disease gene-expansion carriers versus healthy controls across all stages. Striatal and pallidal phosphodiesterase 10A availability progressively declined in the premanifest stages and appeared to plateau between stages 1 and 2. The percentage decline of phosphodiesterase 10A availability measured cross-sectionally between Huntington's disease gene-expansion carriers and healthy controls was greater than that demonstrated by D2/3 receptor availability or volumetric changes. Annualized rates of phosphodiesterase 10A change showed a statistically significant decline between the cross-sectional study and follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: [18 F]MNI-659 PET imaging is a biologically plausible biomarker of Huntington's disease progression that is more sensitive than the dopamine-receptor and volumetric methods currently used. © 2020 International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Memantine for dementia.

BACKGROUND: Memantine is a moderate affinity uncompetitive antagonist of glutamate NMDA receptors. It is licensed for use in moderate and severe Alzheimer's disease (AD); in the USA, it is also widely used off-label for mild AD. OBJECTIVES: To determine efficacy and safety of memantine for people with dementia. To assess whether memantine adds benefit for people already taking cholinesterase inhibitors (ChEIs). SEARCH METHODS: We searched ALOIS, the Cochrane Dementia and Cognitive Improvement Group's register of trials (http://www.medicine.ox.ac.uk/alois/) up to 25 March 2018. We examined clinical trials registries, press releases and posters of memantine manufacturers; and the web sites of the FDA, EMEA and NICE. We contacted authors and companies for missing information. SELECTION CRITERIA: Double-blind, parallel group, placebo-controlled, randomised trials of memantine in people with dementia. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: We pooled and analysed data from four clinical domains across different aetiologies and severities of dementia and for AD with agitation. We assessed the impact of study duration, severity and concomitant use of ChEIs. Consequently, we restricted analyses to the licensed dose (20 mg/day or 28 mg extended release) and data at six to seven months duration of follow-up, and analysed separately results for mild and moderate-to-severe AD.We transformed results for efficacy outcomes into the difference in points on particular outcome scales. MAIN RESULTS: Across all types of dementia, data were available from almost 10,000 participants in 44 included trials, most of which were at low or unclear risk of bias. For nearly half the studies, relevant data were obtained from unpublished sources. The majority of trials (29 in 7885 participants) were conducted in people with AD.1. Moderate-to-severe AD (with or without concomitant ChEIs). High-certainty evidence from up to 14 studies in around 3700 participants consistently shows a small clinical benefit for memantine versus placebo: clinical global rating (CGR): 0.21 CIBIC+ points (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.14 to 0.30); cognitive function (CF): 3.11 Severe Impairment Battery (SIB) points (95% CI 2.42 to 3.92); performance on activities of daily living (ADL): 1.09 ADL19 points (95% CI 0.62 to 1.64); and behaviour and mood (BM): 1.84 Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI) points (95% CI 1.05 to 2.76). There may be no difference in the number of people discontinuing memantine compared to placebo: risk ratio (RR) 0.93 (95% CI 0.83 to 1.04) corresponding to 13 fewer people per 1000 (95% CI 31 fewer to 7 more). Although there is moderate-certainty evidence that fewer people taking memantine experience agitation as an adverse event: RR 0.81 (95% CI 0.66 to 0.99) (25 fewer people per 1000, 95% CI 1 to 44 fewer), there is also moderate-certainty evidence, from three additional studies, suggesting that memantine is not beneficial as a treatment for agitation (e.g. Cohen Mansfield Agitation Inventory: clinical benefit of 0.50 CMAI points, 95% CI -3.71 to 4.71) .The presence of concomitant ChEI does not impact on the difference between memantine and placebo, with the possible exceptions of the BM outcome (larger effect in people taking ChEIs) and the CF outcome (smaller effect).2. Mild AD (Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) 20 to 23): mainly moderate-certainty evidence based on post-hoc subgroups from up to four studies in around 600 participants suggests there is probably no difference between memantine and placebo for CF: 0.21 ADAS-Cog points (95% CI -0.95 to 1.38); performance on ADL: -0.07 ADL 23 points (95% CI -1.80 to 1.66); and BM: -0.29 NPI points (95% CI -2.16 to 1.58). There is less certainty in the CGR evidence, which also suggests there may be no difference: 0.09 CIBIC+ points (95% CI -0.12 to 0.30). Memantine (compared with placebo) may increase the numbers of people discontinuing treatment because of adverse events (RR 2.12, 95% CI 1.03 to 4.39).3. Mild-to-moderate vascular dementia. Moderate- and low-certainty evidence from two studies in around 750 participants indicates there is probably a small clinical benefit for CF: 2.15 ADAS-Cog points (95% CI 1.05 to 3.25); there may be a small clinical benefit for BM: 0.47 NOSGER disturbing behaviour points (95% CI 0.07 to 0.87); there is probably no difference in CGR: 0.03 CIBIC+ points (95% CI -0.28 to 0.34); and there may be no difference in ADL: 0.11 NOSGER II self-care subscale points (95% CI -0.35 to 0.54) or in the numbers of people discontinuing treatment: RR 1.05 (95% CI 0.83 to 1.34).There is limited, mainly low- or very low-certainty efficacy evidence for other types of dementia (Parkinson's disease and dementia Lewy bodies (for which CGR may show a small clinical benefit; four studies in 319 people); frontotemporal dementia (two studies in 133 people); and AIDS-related Dementia Complex (one study in 140 people)).There is high-certainty evidence showing no difference between memantine and placebo in the proportion experiencing at least one adverse event: RR 1.03 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.06); the RR does not differ between aetiologies or severities of dementia. Combining available data from all trials, there is moderate-certainty evidence that memantine is 1.6 times more likely than placebo to result in dizziness (6.1% versus 3.9%), low-certainty evidence of a 1.3-fold increased risk of headache (5.5% versus 4.3%), but high-certainty evidence of no difference in falls. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: We found important differences in the efficacy of memantine in mild AD compared to that in moderate-to-severe AD. There is a small clinical benefit of memantine in people with moderate-to-severe AD, which occurs irrespective of whether they are also taking a ChEI, but no benefit in people with mild AD.Clinical heterogeneity in AD makes it unlikely that any single drug will have a large effect size, and means that the optimal drug treatment may involve multiple drugs, each having an effect size that may be less than the minimum clinically important difference.A definitive long-duration trial in mild AD is needed to establish whether starting memantine earlier would be beneficial over the long term and safe: at present the evidence is against this, despite it being common practice. A long-duration trial in moderate-to-severe AD is needed to establish whether the benefit persists beyond six months.

Genome-wide association study of a nicotine metabolism biomarker in African American smokers: impact of chromosome 19 genetic influences.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The activity of CYP2A6, the major nicotine-inactivating enzyme, is measurable in smokers using the nicotine metabolite ratio (NMR; 3'hydroxycotinine/cotinine). Due to its role in nicotine clearance, the NMR is associated with smoking behaviours and response to pharmacotherapies. The NMR is highly heritable (~80%), and on average lower in African Americans (AA) versus whites. We previously identified several reduce and loss-of-function CYP2A6 variants common in individuals of African descent. Our current aim was to identify novel genetic influences on the NMR in AA smokers using genome-wide approaches. DESIGN: Genome-wide association study (GWAS). SETTING: Multiple sites within Canada and the United States. PARTICIPANTS: AA smokers from two clinical trials: Pharmacogenetics of Nicotine Addiction Treatment (PNAT)-2 (NCT01314001; n = 504) and Kick-it-at-Swope (KIS)-3 (NCT00666978; n = 450). MEASUREMENTS: Genome-wide SNP genotyping, the NMR (phenotype) and population substructure and NMR covariates. FINDINGS: Meta-analysis revealed three independent chromosome 19 signals (rs12459249, rs111645190 and rs185430475) associated with the NMR. The top overall hit, rs12459249 (P = 1.47e-39; beta = 0.59 per C (versus T) allele, SE = 0.045), located ~9.5 kb 3' of CYP2A6, remained genome-wide significant after controlling for the common (~10% in AA) non-functional CYP2A6*17 allele. In contrast, rs111645190 and rs185430475 were not genome-wide significant when controlling for CYP2A6*17. In total, 96 signals associated with the NMR were identified; many were not found in prior NMR GWASs in individuals of European descent. The top hits were also associated with the NMR in a third cohort of AA (KIS2; n = 480). None of the hits were in UGT or OCT2 genes. CONCLUSIONS: Three independent chromosome 19 signals account for ~20% of the variability in the nicotine metabolite ratio in African American smokers. The hits identified may contribute to inter-ethnic variability in nicotine metabolism, smoking behaviours and tobacco-related disease risk.

Does coffee consumption impact on heaviness of smoking?

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Coffee consumption and cigarette smoking are strongly associated, but whether this association is causal remains unclear. We sought to: (1) determine whether coffee consumption influences cigarette smoking causally, (2) estimate the magnitude of any association and (3) explore potential mechanisms. DESIGN: We used Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses of observational data, using publicly available summarized data from the Tobacco and Genetics (TAG) consortium, individual-level data from the UK Biobank and in-vitro experiments of candidate compounds. SETTING: The TAG consortium includes data from studies in several countries. The UK Biobank includes data from men and women recruited across England, Wales and Scotland. PARTICIPANTS: The TAG consortium provided data on n ≤ 38 181 participants. The UK Biobank provided data on 8072 participants. MEASUREMENTS: In MR analyses, the exposure was coffee consumption (cups/day) and the outcome was heaviness of smoking (cigarettes/day). In our in-vitro experiments we assessed the effect of caffeic acid, quercetin and p-coumaric acid on the rate of nicotine metabolism in human liver microsomes and cDNA-expressed human CYP2A6. FINDINGS: Two-sample MR analyses of TAG consortium data indicated that heavier coffee consumption might lead to reduced heaviness of smoking [beta = -1.49, 95% confidence interval (CI) = -2.88 to -0.09]. However, in-vitro experiments found that the compounds investigated are unlikely to inhibit significantly the rate of nicotine metabolism following coffee consumption. Further MR analyses in UK Biobank found no evidence of a causal relationship between coffee consumption and heaviness of smoking (beta = 0.20, 95% CI = -1.72 to 2.12). CONCLUSIONS: Amount of coffee consumption is unlikely to have a major causal impact upon amount of cigarette smoking. If it does influence smoking, this is not likely to operate via effects of caffeic acid, quercetin or p-coumaric acid on nicotine metabolism. The observational association between coffee consumption and cigarette smoking may be due to smoking impacting on coffee consumption or confounding.

Smoking and caffeine consumption: a genetic analysis of their association.

Smoking and caffeine consumption show a strong positive correlation, but the mechanism underlying this association is unclear. Explanations include shared genetic/environmental factors or causal effects. This study employed three methods to investigate the association between smoking and caffeine. First, bivariate genetic models were applied to data of 10 368 twins from the Netherlands Twin Register in order to estimate genetic and environmental correlations between smoking and caffeine use. Second, from the summary statistics of meta-analyses of genome-wide association studies on smoking and caffeine, the genetic correlation was calculated by LD-score regression. Third, causal effects were tested using Mendelian randomization analysis in 6605 Netherlands Twin Register participants and 5714 women from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children. Through twin modelling, a genetic correlation of r0.47 and an environmental correlation of r0.30 were estimated between current smoking (yes/no) and coffee use (high/low). Between current smoking and total caffeine use, this was r0.44 and r0.00, respectively. LD-score regression also indicated sizeable genetic correlations between smoking and coffee use (r0.44 between smoking heaviness and cups of coffee per day, r0.28 between smoking initiation and coffee use and r0.25 between smoking persistence and coffee use). Consistent with the relatively high genetic correlations and lower environmental correlations, Mendelian randomization provided no evidence for causal effects of smoking on caffeine or vice versa. Genetic factors thus explain most of the association between smoking and caffeine consumption. These findings suggest that quitting smoking may be more difficult for heavy caffeine consumers, given their genetic susceptibility.

A manifesto for reproducible science.

Improving the reliability and efficiency of scientific research will increase the credibility of the published scientific literature and accelerate discovery. Here we argue for the adoption of measures to optimize key elements of the scientific process: methods, reporting and dissemination, reproducibility, evaluation and incentives. There is some evidence from both simulations and empirical studies supporting the likely effectiveness of these measures, but their broad adoption by researchers, institutions, funders and journals will require iterative evaluation and improvement. We discuss the goals of these measures, and how they can be implemented, in the hope that this will facilitate action toward improving the transparency, reproducibility and efficiency of scientific research.

Genetic Relationship between Schizophrenia and Nicotine Dependence.

It is well known that most schizophrenia patients smoke cigarettes. There are different hypotheses postulating the underlying mechanisms of this comorbidity. We used summary statistics from large meta-analyses of plasma cotinine concentration (COT), Fagerström test for nicotine dependence (FTND) and schizophrenia to examine the genetic relationship between these traits. We found that schizophrenia risk scores calculated at P-value thresholds of 5 × 10(-3) and larger predicted FTND and cigarettes smoked per day (CPD), suggesting that genes most significantly associated with schizophrenia were not associated with FTND/CPD, consistent with the self-medication hypothesis. The COT risk scores predicted schizophrenia diagnosis at P-values of 5 × 10(-3) and smaller, implying that genes most significantly associated with COT were associated with schizophrenia. These results implicated that schizophrenia and FTND/CPD/COT shared some genetic liability. Based on this shared liability, we identified multiple long non-coding RNAs and RNA binding protein genes (DA376252, BX089737, LOC101927273, LINC01029, LOC101928622, HY157071, DA902558, RBFOX1 and TINCR), protein modification genes (MANBA, UBE2D3, and RANGAP1) and energy production genes (XYLB, MTRF1 and ENOX1) that were associated with both conditions. Further analyses revealed that these shared genes were enriched in calcium signaling, long-term potentiation and neuroactive ligand-receptor interaction pathways that played a critical role in cognitive functions and neuronal plasticity.