[Measuring the emergency psychiatric units activity: An experimental application of the Delphi Method]. / Évaluation de l'activité dans les unités d'urgence psychiatrique : une application de la méthode Delphi.

Psychiatric emergency units (UUP) are nowadays important gateways to healthcare. Whether integrated into general emergency departments or not, these units have very heterogeneous resources and organisations which are not always in line with a populations' needs. The increasing activity of emergency departments in recent years and the recurrent psychiatric bed shortages have shed light upon the weaknesses of this key link in the mental healthcare process. The Seine-Saint-Denis is a department of France located in the Grand Paris metropolis in the Île-de-France region. Ranked third in terms of population size in France, it is marked by social precariousness. With regard to mental health, it has one of the lowest rates of psychiatric beds per capita in France. A great deal of thought has been ongoing for five years on how best to upgrade the offer of unscheduled psychiatric care, particularly the management of emergencies. The growing imbalance between demand and supply depending on living areas urges a rapid equalization of resources. This operation requires an accurate activity characterization, allowing more effective organizations and adequate resource allocation. We sought to characterize the activity of psychiatric emergencies by selecting quantitative and qualitative indicators by means of a consensus method, the Delphi Method, which consists of iterative questioning of an expert group. We first submitted 36 potential criteria to twenty-five experts. Twenty obtained a weak to a strong consensus. Seventeen were then selected as potentially useful for activity characterization. In a second time, we tested the consensus on selected indicators by interviewing a panel of 19 experts. A strong consensus was found on four criteria: "Number of visits for psychiatric advice>2000/year", "Number of emergency room visits>40,000/year", "Density of adult hospital beds<150 per 100,000 inhabitants", "Passage rate for homeless patients and/or outside the sector>10%". Using these criteria in the classification of UUPs would test their validity and provide a potentially helpful tool for improving organizations and resource allocation.

A systematic review of models for forecasting the number of emergency department visits.

The ability to predict patient visits to emergency departments (ED) is crucial for designing strategies aimed at avoiding overcrowding. A good working knowledge of the mathematical models used to predict patient volume and of their results is therefore essential. Articles retrieved by a Medline search were reviewed for studies designed to predict patient attendance at ED or walk-in clinics. Nine studies were identified. Most of the models used to predict patient volume were either linear regression models including calendar variables or time series models. These models explained 31-75% of patient-volume variability. Although the day of the week had the strongest effect, this variable explained only part of the variability. Other causes of this variability are to be defined. However, the performance of the models was good, with errors ranging from 4.2% to 14.4%. Adding meteorological data failed to improve model performance. The mathematical methods developed to predict ED visits have a low rate of error, but the prediction of daily patient visits should be used carefully and therefore does not allow day-to-day adjustments of staff. ED directors or managers should be aware of the model limitations. These models should certainly be used on a larger scale to assess future needs.

Relationship between pulse interval and respiratory sinus arrhythmia: a time- and frequency-domain analysis of the effects of atropine.

Respiratory sinus arrhythmia (RSA) estimation is commonly used as a non-invasive index of cardiac vagal tone. To test this relationship, vagal tone was augmented or blocked using atropine. The study was carried out using 14 healthy volunteers, following beta-adrenoceptor blockade (10 mg bisoprolol per os) and during controlled respiration (0.25 Hz) in order to limit the confounding effects of cardiac sympathetic tone and respiration pattern changes. Atropine was slowly infused intravenously over a 30-min period up to a vagolytic cumulative dose of 0.04 mg/kg. The instant vagal tone was compared to the instant RSA value obtained from a time-/frequency-domain analysis of pulse interval (PI). RSA and PI varied in the same direction with an initial increase corresponding to the early vagomimetic effect of atropine followed by a decrease during the vagolytic phase. The comparative percentage fluctuations of RSA and PI over this large vagal tone range indicate that RSA is more sensitive (about twofold) than PI in reflecting fluctuations around the set point. This dissociated behaviour of PI and heart rate variability could be important to our understanding of the circulatory changes that result from fluctuations in vagal inputs to the sinus node.

Acute effects of bisoprolol on respiratory sinus arrhythmia.

Respiratory sinus arrhythmia (RSA) is often quantified by computing the spectra of heart period (HP) or of its reciprocal heart rate (HR) at the respiratory frequency. This study was undertaken to describe the effect of an acute beta-blockade achieved with bisoprolol on RSA, obtained during a calibrated breathing (breathing frequency 0.25 Hz, tidal volume VT 500 or 700 mL) in 15 normal volunteers, using a double-blind, placebo-controlled, cross-over method. The two heart signals were computed and the RSA values were compared to the individual estimates of vagal tone obtained using an additional atropine injection. The difference between the HP (or HR) value obtained after beta-blockade and the HP (or HR) value observed following the double blockade (bisoprolol plus atropine) was taken as an index of cardiac vagal tone. Bisoprolol administration resulted in a significant reduction in HR reaching 60.3 +/- 1.4 bpm at VT of 500 mL (compared to 70.5 +/- 1.8 bpm with placebo, P < 0.001). Changes in HP were also significant with an increase in HP reaching 1004.5 +/- 22.2 msec at this controlled VT (compared to 860.3 +/- 21.5 msec with placebo, P < 0.001). Similar changes were observed at a VT of 700 mL. The relationship between RSA in bpm and vagal tone was not significant for HR while a significant positive relationship was observed between RSA in msec and vagal tone for the two respiratory patterns (r = 0.65 for a tidal volume of 500 mL, P < 0.01, and r = 0.62 for 700 mL, P < 0.05). This demonstrates that the detection of the variability effect highly depends upon the unit. The parallelism between vagal tone and RSA supports the view that the HF component of HRV in msec quantifies the vagal tone. The increased RSA during beta-blockade could well reflect this vagotonic effect of this class of drugs.

Additive effects of losartan and enalapril on blood pressure and plasma active renin.

The combination of single oral doses of an angiotensin I-converting enzyme inhibitor (captopril) and a type 1 angiotensin II receptor antagonist (losartan) has additive effects on blood pressure fall and renin release in sodium-depleted normotensive subjects. We planned the present study to determine whether the magnitude of the hemodynamic and hormonal consequences of renin-angiotensin system blockade by such a combination is larger than that obtained by doubling the dose of the angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor given alone. In a single-dose, double-blind, randomized, three-way crossover study, 10 mg enalapril, 20 mg enalapril, and the combination of 50 mg losartan and 10 mg enalapril were administered orally to 12 sodium-depleted normotensive subjects. The area under the time curve from 0 to 24 hours (AUC0-24) of the mean blood pressure fall after losartan-enalapril combination intake (-220 +/- 91 mm Hg.h) was significantly greater than that of either 10 or 20 mg enalapril (-124 +/- 91 and -149 +/- 85 mm Hg.h, respectively, P < .05 vs both doses). The combination significantly increased by 2.3 +/- 1.2-fold the AUC0-24 of plasma active renin compared with either 10 or 20 mg enalapril given alone (P < .05) but had no additive effect on plasma aldosterone fall. The losartan-enalapril combination is more effective in decreasing blood pressure and increasing plasma active renin than doubling of the enalapril dose.

Factors determining the decision to institutionalize dementing individuals: a prospective study.

This longitudinal study of 196 caregiver/care receiver dyads was undertaken to determine the variables predictive of caregiver decision to institutionalize a dependent with dementia. Seven variables (use of services, enjoyment of caregiving, caregiver burden and health, caregiver rating and reaction to care receiver behavior and memory problems, and presence of troublesome behaviors) predicted the decision to institutionalize. Six variables (caregiver health and burden, use of services, care receiver cognitive function and troublesome behaviors, and caregiver reaction to behaviors) predicted actual institutionalization at 18 months.

Community psychiatric services for the elderly: the Sunnybrook experience.

This paper describes the first three years of a community outreach service for psychogeriatric assessment and treatment, provided by a multidisciplinary team in an urban area. As one component of a comprehensive geriatric psychiatry service within a general hospital, this program provides a long-term link between patient, family, community agencies and hospital. The paper describes the functioning of the team, including its relationships with other hospital and community services. An overview is given of patient characteristics, referral sources, services provided, and outcomes at discharge from the program. Educational opportunities for students and staff in various health professions and settings are discussed.