Relationships between Charlson comorbidity index associated biomarkers and outcomes among participants in the Malmö diet and cancer study.

INTRODUCTION: The aim was to evaluate two biomarker scores trained to identify comorbidity burden in the prediction of specified chronic morbidities, and mortality in the general population. METHODS: Cardiovascular biomarkers were measured in the cardiovascular cohort of the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study. A score of 19 biomarkers associated with Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was created (BSMDC). Individuals with CCI diagnoses and other major comorbidities were excluded. Another score of 11 biomarkers associated with comorbidity burden from a previous study of acute dyspnea was also created (BSADYS). The scores were prospectively evaluated for prediction of mortality, and some chronic diseases, using Cox Proportional Hazards Model. RESULTS: Fully adjusted models showed that BSMDC was significantly associated per 1 SD increment of the score with incident COPD, 55%, and congestive heart failure, 32%; and with mortality, 33% cardiovascular, 91% respiratory, 30% cancer, and 45% with all-cause mortality. The BSADYS showed no association with these outcomes, after simultaneous inclusion of both biomarker scores to all the clinical covariates. CONCLUSION: BSMDC shows strong prediction of morbidity and mortality in individuals free from comorbidities at baseline, and the results suggest that healthy individuals with high level of BSMDC would benefit from intense preventive actions.

A score of 19 biomarkers associated with Charlson Comorbidity Index was created, the Biomarker Score of Malmö Diet and Cancer study (BSMDC).The created BSMDC index was associated with both incident COPD, and incident CHF.BSMDC was also associated with cardiovascular mortality, respiratory mortality, cancer mortality and with all-cause mortality.

Bioactive adrenomedullin for assessment of venous congestion in heart failure.

AIMS: Bioactive adrenomedullin (bio-ADM) is a vascular-derived peptide hormone that has emerged as a promising biomarker for assessment of congestion in decompensated heart failure (HF). We aimed to evaluate diagnostic and prognostic performance of bio-ADM for HF in comparison to amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), with decision thresholds derived from invasive haemodynamic and population-based studies. METHODS AND RESULTS: Normal reference ranges for bio-ADM were derived from a community-based cohort (n = 5060). Correlations with haemodynamic data were explored in a cohort of HF patients undergoing right heart catheterization (n = 346). Mortality and decision cutoffs for bio-ADM was explored in a cohort of patients presenting in the ER with acute dyspnoea (n = 1534), including patients with decompensated HF (n = 570). The normal reference range was 8-39 pg/mL. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for discrimination of elevated mean right atrial pressure (mRAP) and pulmonary arterial wedge pressure (PAWP) was 0.74 (95% CI = 0.67-0.79) and 0.70 (95% CI = 0.64-0.75), respectively, with optimal bio-ADM decision cutoff of 39 pg/mL, concordant with cubic spline analyses. NT-proBNP discriminated PAWP slightly better than mRAP (AUROC 0.73 [95% CI = 0.68-0.79] and 0.68 [95% CI = 0.61-0.75]). Bio-ADM correlated with (mRAP, r = 0.55) while NT-proBNP correlated with PAWP. Finally, a bio-ADM decision cutoff of 39 pg/mL associated with 30 and 90 day mortality and conferred a two-fold increased odds of HF diagnosis, independently from NT-proBNP. CONCLUSIONS: Bio-ADM tracks with mRAP and associates with measures of systemic congestion and with mortality in decompensated HF independently from NT-proBNP. Our findings support utility of bio-ADM as a biomarker of systemic venous congestion in HF and nominate a decision threshold.

Associations between biomarkers of multimorbidity burden and mortality risk among patients with acute dyspnea.

The patients' burden of comorbidities is a cornerstone in risk assessment, clinical management and follow-up. The aim of this study was to evaluate if biomarkers associated with comorbidity burden can predict outcome in acute dyspnea patients. We included 774 patients with dyspnea admitted to an emergency department and measured 80 cardiovascular protein biomarkers in serum collected at admission. The number of comorbidities for each patient were added, and a multimorbidity score was created. Eleven of the 80 biomarkers were independently associated with the multimorbidity score and their standardized and weighted values were summed into a biomarker score of multimorbidities. The biomarker score and the multimorbidity score, expressed per standard deviation increment, respectively, were related to all-cause mortality using Cox Proportional Hazards Model. During long-term follow-up (2.4 ± 1.5 years) 45% of the patients died and during short-term follow-up (90 days) 12% died. Through long-term follow-up, in fully adjusted models, the HR (95% CI) for mortality concerning the biomarker score was 1.59 (95% CI 1348-1871) and 1.18 (95% CI 1035-1346) for the multimorbidity score. For short-term follow-up, in the fully adjusted model, the biomarker score was strongly related to 90-day mortality (HR 1.98, 95% CI 1428-2743), whereas the multimorbidity score was not significant. Our main findings suggest that the biomarker score is superior to the multimorbidity score in predicting long and short-term mortality. Measurement of the biomarker score may serve as a biological fingerprint of the multimorbidity score at the emergency department and, therefore, be helpful for risk prediction, treatment decisions and need of follow-up both in hospital and after discharge from the emergency department.

Bioactive adrenomedullin a prognostic biomarker in patients with mild to moderate dyspnea at the emergency department: an observational study.

Acute dyspnea with underlying congestion is a leading cause of emergency department (ED) visits with high rates of hospitalization. Adrenomedullin is a vasoactive neuropeptide hormone secreted by the endothelium that mediates vasodilation and maintains vascular integrity. Plasma levels of biologically active adrenomedullin (bio-ADM) predict septic shock and vasopressor need in critically ill patients and are associated with congestion in patients with acute heart failure (HF) but the prognostic value in unselected dyspneic patients at the ED is unknown. The purpose of this study is to test if bio-ADM predicts adverse outcomes when sampled in patients with acute dyspnea at presentation to the ED. In this single-center prospective observational study, we included 1402 patients from the ADYS (Acute DYSpnea at the Emergency Department) cohort in Malmö, Sweden. We fitted logistic regression models adjusted for sex, age, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), creatinine, and C-reactive protein (CRP) to associate bio-ADM plasma levels to mortality, hospitalization, intravenous (IV) diuretic treatment and HF diagnosis. Using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis we evaluated bio-ADM discrimination for these outcomes compared to a reference model (sex, age, NT-proBNP, creatinine, and CRP). Model performance was compared by performing a likelihood ratio test on the deviances of the models. Bio-ADM (per interquartile range from median) predicts both 90-day mortality [odds ratio (OR): 1.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-2.0, p < 0.002] and hospitalization (OR: 1.5, 95% CI 1.2-1.8, p < 0.001) independently of sex, age, NT-proBNP, creatinine, and CRP. Bio-ADM statistically significantly improves the reference model in predicting mortality (added χ2 9.8, p = 0.002) and hospitalization (added χ2 14.1, p = 0.0002), and is associated with IV diuretic treatment and HF diagnosis at discharge. Plasma levels of bio-ADM sampled at ED presentation in acutely dyspneic patients are independently associated with 90-day mortality, hospitalization and indicate the need for decongestive therapy.

The association between length of stay in the emergency department and short-term mortality.

The detrimental effects of increased length of stay at the emergency department (ED-LOS) for patient outcome have been sparsely studied in the Swedish setting. Our aim was to further explore the association between ED-LOS and short-term mortality in patients admitted to the EDs of two large University hospitals in Sweden. All adult patients (> 18 years) visiting the ED at the Karolinska University Hospital, Sweden, from 1/1/2010 to 1/1/2015 (n = 639,385) were retrospectively included. Logistic regression analysis was used to determine association between ED-LOS and 7- and 30-day mortality rates. All patients were triaged according to the RETTS-A into different levels of medical urgency and subsequently separated into five quintiles of ED-LOS. Mortality rate was highest in highest triage priority level (7-day mortality 5.24%, and 30-day mortality 9.44%), and decreased by lower triage priority group. For patients with triage priority levels 2-4, prolonged ED-LOS was associated with increased mortality, especially for lowest priority level, OR for priority level 4 and highest quintile of ED-LOS 30-day mortality 1.49 (CI 95% 1.20-1.85). For patients with highest triage priority level the opposite was at hand, with decreasing mortality risk with increasing quintile of ED-LOS for 7-day mortality, and lower mortality for the two highest quintile of ED-LOS for 30-day mortality. In patients not admitted to in-hospital care higher ED-LOS was associated with higher mortality. Our data suggest that increased ED-LOS could be associated with slightly increased short-term mortality in patients with lower clinical urgency and dismissed from the ED.

The association between BMI and 90-day mortality in patients with and without diabetes seeking care at the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: The impact of body mass index (BMI) on mortality varies with age and disease states. The aim of this research study was to analyse the associations between BMI categories and short- and long-term mortality in patients with or without diabetes seeking care at the emergency department (ED) with acute dyspnoea. POPULATION AND METHODS: Patients aged ≥18 years at ED during daytime on weekdays from March 2013 to July 2018 were included. Participants were triaged according to the Medical Emergency Triage and Treatment System-Adult score (METTS-A), and blood samples were collected. Totally, 1,710 patients were enrolled, with missing values in 113, leaving 1,597 patients, 291 with diabetes and 1,306 without diabetes. The association between BMI and short-term (90-day) and long-term (mean follow-up time 2.1 years) mortality was estimated by Cox regression with normal BMI (18.5-24.9) as referent category, with adjustment for age, sex, METTS-A scoring, glomerular filtration rate, smoking habits and cardiovascular comorbidity in a fully adjusted model. The Bonferroni correction was also used. RESULTS: Regarding long-term mortality, patients with diabetes and BMI category ≥30 kg/m2 had a fully adjusted Hazard Ratio (HR) of 0.40 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.23-0.69), significant after the Bonferroni correction. Amongst patients without diabetes, those with underweight had an increased risk but only of borderline significance, whilst risks in those with overweight or obesity did not differ from reference.Regarding short-term mortality, risks did not differ from reference amongst patients with or without diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: We found divergent long-term mortality risks in patients with and without diabetes, with lower risk in obese patients (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) with diabetes, but no increased risk for patients without diabetes and overweight (BMI: 25-29.9 kg/m2) and obesity.

Plasma calprotectin in the emergency department: a potential clinical biomarker for patients with infectious diseases.

Increased levels of plasma calprotectin are reported in patients with infectious diseases. However, the clinical usefulness of calprotectin as a biomarker to identify patients with infectious diseases in the emergency department (ED) setting has not been investigated. To study the ability of calprotectin to discriminate patients with acute infectious diseases and dyspnea from patients with other causes of acute dyspnea in the ED setting. Patients aged ≥18 years seeking ED during daytime on weekdays between March 2013 and July 2018, with acute dyspnea, were included. Participants (n = 1287) were triaged according to Medical Emergency Triage and Treatment System-Adult score (METTS-A) or Rapid Emergency Triage and Treatment System (RETTS), and blood samples were collected. The association between calprotectin and other markers of infectious diseases, i.e. biomarkers (CRP, leucocytes) and body temperature, was studied. The predictive value of calprotectin for the outcome of acute infection was evaluated with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Univariate cross-sectional regression showed significant associations between calprotectin and leucocytes, CRP and body temperature. Patients with severe infections including pneumonia (n = 119) had significantly higher concentrations of calprotectin compared to patients with heart failure (n = 162) or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (n = 183). When tested for the outcome of acute infection (n = 109), the area under the ROC curve (AUROC) was for CRP 0.83 and for calprotectin 0.78. Plasma calprotectin identifies infectious diseases in ED patients with acute dyspnea, and the clinical usefulness of Calprotectin in the ED has to be further studied.

Socioeconomic and Clinical Predictors of Mortality in Patients with Acute Dyspnea.

BACKGROUND: Factors predicting long-term prognosis in patients with acute dyspnea may guide both acute management and follow-up. The aim of this study was to identify socioeconomic and clinical risk factors for all-cause mortality among acute dyspnea patients admitted to an Emergency Department. METHODS: We included 798 patients with acute dyspnea admitted to the ED of Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden from 2013 to 2016. Exposures were living in the immigrant-dense urban part of Malmö (IDUD), country of birth, annual income, comorbidities, smoking habits, medical triage priority and severity of dyspnea. Mean follow-up time was 2.2 years. Exposures were related to risk of all-cause mortality using Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: During follow-up 40% died. In models adjusted for age and gender, low annual income, previous or ongoing smoking, certain comorbidities, high medical triage priority and severe dyspnea were all significantly associated with increased mortality. After adjusting for age, gender and all significant exposures, the lowest quintile of income, ongoing or previous smoking, history of serious infection, anemia, hip fracture, high medical triage priority and severe dyspnea significantly and independently predicted mortality. In contrast, neither country of birth nor living in IDUD predicted a mortality risk. CONCLUSION: Apart from several clinical risk factors, low annual income predicts two-year mortality risk in patients with acute dyspnea. This is not the case for country of birth and living in IDUD. Our results underline the wide range of mortality risk factors in acute dyspnea patients. Knowledge of patients' annual income as well as certain clinical features may aid risk stratification and determining the need of follow-up both in hospital and after discharge from an ED.

Increased mortality among acute respiratory distress patients from immigrant dense urban districts.

PURPOSE: This study investigated whether living in immigrant dense urban districts (IDUDs) and low-income areas in the city of Malmö predicted 5-year mortality among patients admitted to the emergency department (ED) because of acute respiratory distress. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We randomly selected 184 patients with acute respiratory distress during 2007, visiting the ED at Skåne University Hospital, Malmö. In 2007, Malmö had 36% first- and second-generation immigrants. The main exposure was defined as being resident in any of the five IDUDs of Malmö compared to being resident in the five districts of Malmö with the highest proportion of Sweden-born inhabitants (SDUDs). We recorded vital parameters; medical triage priority according to Adaptive Process Triage (ADAPT), ICD-10 diagnoses, and the mean annual income for the patient's urban district. We examined 5-year mortality risk using Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: After adjustment for age and gender, patients from IDUDs (n=100, 54%) had an HR (95% CI) of 1.65 (1.087-2.494; P=0.019) regarding mortality at 5-year follow-up. Patients in the lowest vs highest income quartile had an HR of 2.00 (1.06-3.79; P=0.032) regarding mortality at 5-year follow-up. Age, male gender, presence of cardiopulmonary disease, and ADAPT priority also independently predicted the 5-year mortality. The excess risk of 5-year mortality associated with living in IDUDs remained significant after adjustment for age, gender, ADAPT priority, presence of cardiopulmonary disease, and income with an HR of 1.79 (1.15-2.78; P=0.010). CONCLUSION: Living in an IDUD is a strong independent risk factor for 5-year mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress. The cause is unknown. Our study suggests a need for better structured follow-up of cardiopulmonary disease in such patients.

High total carbon dioxide predicts 1-year readmission and death in patients with acute dyspnea.

RATIONALE: Patients with acute dyspnea are a large heterogeneous patient group where initial management is important for outcome. OBJECTIVES: The objective of the study is to investigate if venous blood gas parameters predict 1-year risk of readmission or death in patients admitted to the emergency department due to acute dyspnea. METHODS: We studied 283 patients with acute dyspnea and followed them up for 1 year regarding incidence of readmission or death. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: In venous blood obtained immediately upon admission levels of total carbon dioxide (TCO2), base excess (BE), potential hydrogen (pH), and partial pressure of carbon dioxide (pCO2) were measured. In Cox proportional hazards models, patients belonging to top and bottom quartiles of TCO2, BE, pH, and pCO2 were compared to patients belonging to the 2 central quartiles and assessed for end point. After adjustment, top (hazard ratio [HR], 1.48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-2.04; P=.016) and bottom (HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.08-2.18; P=.017) quartiles of BE were associated with increased risk of readmission or death. The strongest predictor was top quartile of TCO2 (HR, 1.68; 95% CI, 1.21-2.35; P=.002). In the combined analysis, top quartile of TCO2 remained significantly related to the end point (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.03-2.45; P=.035), whereas BE became nonsignificant. Comorbidities, for example, prevalent chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, did not explain the association. Neither pCO2 nor pH predicted the end point. CONCLUSIONS: A high value of TCO2 appears to be an easily accessible marker for 1-year readmission or death in patients with acute dyspnea and may thus add clinically important information for risk stratification and follow-up strategies.