Detection of carbon dioxide and hydrogen peroxide on the stratified surface of Charon with JWST.

Charon, Pluto's largest moon, has been extensively studied, with research focusing on its primitive composition and changes due to radiation and photolysis. However, spectral data have so far been limited to wavelengths below 2.5 µm, leaving key aspects unresolved. Here we present the detection of carbon dioxide (CO2) and hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) on the surface of Charon's northern hemisphere, using JWST data. These detections add to the known chemical inventory that includes crystalline water ice, ammonia-bearing species, and tholin-like darkening constituents previously revealed by ground- and space-based observations. The H2O2 presence indicates active radiolytic/photolytic processing of the water ice-rich surface by solar ultraviolet and interplanetary medium Lyman-α photons, solar wind, and galactic cosmic rays. Through spectral modeling of the surface, we show that the CO2 is present in pure crystalline form and, possibly, in intimately mixed states on the surface. Endogenically sourced subsurface CO2 exposed on the surface is likely the primary source of this component, with possible contributions from irradiation of hydrocarbons mixed with water ice, interfacial radiolysis between carbon deposits and water ice, and the implantation of energetic carbon ions from the solar wind and solar energetic particles.

Association of COVID-19 with acute and post-acute risk of multiple different complications and mortality in patients infected with omicron variant stratified by initial disease severity: a cohort study in Hong Kong.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have attempted to use clinical and laboratory parameters to stratify COVID-19 patients with severe versus non-severe initial disease and evaluate age-specific differences in developing multiple different COVID-19-associated disease outcomes. METHODS: A retrospective cohort included patients from the electronic health database of Hong Kong Hospital Authority between 1 January 2022 and 15 August 2022 until 15 November 2022. The cohort was divided into three cohorts by age (≤ 40, 41-64, and ≥ 65 years old). Each age cohort was stratified into four groups: (1) COVID-19 critically exposed group (ICU admission, mechanical ventilation support, CRP > 80 mg/L, or D-dimer > 2 g/mL), (2) severely exposed group (CRP 30-80 mg/L, D-dimer 0.5-2 g/mL, or CT value < 20), (3) mildly-moderately exposed group (COVID-19 positive-tested but not fulfilling the criteria for the aforementioned critically and severely exposed groups), and (4) unexposed group (without COVID-19). The characteristics between groups were adjusted with propensity score-based marginal mean weighting through stratification. Cox regression was conducted to determine the association of COVID-19 disease severity with disease outcomes and mortality in the acute and post-acute phase (< 30 and ≥ 30 days from COVID-19 infection) in each age group. RESULTS: A total of 286,114, 320,304 and 194,227 patients with mild-moderate COVID-19 infection; 18,419, 23,678 and 31,505 patients with severe COVID-19 infection; 1,168, 2,261 and 10,178 patients with critical COVID-19 infection, and 1,143,510, 1,369,365 and 1,012,177 uninfected people were identified in aged ≤ 40, 40-64, and ≥ 65 groups, respectively. Compared to the unexposed group, a general trend tending towards an increase in risks of multiple different disease outcomes as COVID-19 disease severity increases, with advancing age, was identified in both the acute and post-acute phases. Notably, the mildly-moderately exposed group were associated with either insignificant risks (aged ≤ 40) or the lowest risks (aged > 40) for the disease outcomes in the acute phase of infection (e.g., mortality risk HR (aged ≤ 40): 1.0 (95%CI: 0.5,2.0), HR (aged 41-64): 2.1 (95%CI: 1.8, 2.6), HR (aged > 65): 4.8 (95%CI: 4.6, 5.1)); while in the post-acute phase, these risks were largely insignificant in those aged < 65, remaining significant only in the elderly (age ≥ 65) (e.g., mortality risk HR (aged ≤ 40): 0.8 (95%CI: (0.5, 1.0)), HR (aged 41-64): 1.1 (95%CI: 1.0,1.2), HR (aged > 65): 1.5 (95%CI: 1.5,1.6)). Fully vaccinated patients were associated with lower risks of disease outcomes than those receiving less than two doses of vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of multiple different disease outcomes in both acute and post-acute phases increased significantly with the increasing severity of acute COVID-19 illness, specifically among the elderly. Moreover, future studies could improve by risk-stratifying patients based on universally accepted thresholds for clinical parameters, particularly biomarkers, using biological evidence from immunological studies.

Associations of Serum Lipid Traits With Fracture and Osteoporosis: A Prospective Cohort Study From the UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies reveal inconsistent associations between serum lipid traits and the risks of fractures and osteoporosis in the general population. METHODS: This prospective cohort study analysed data from 414 302 UK Biobank participants (223 060 women and 191 242 men, aged 37-73 years) with serum lipid measurements: apolipoprotein A (Apo A), apolipoprotein B (Apo B), total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), triglycerides (TG) and lipoprotein A (Lp(a)). Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models with penalized cubic splines were used to explore potential nonlinear associations of each lipid trait with the risks of fractures and osteoporosis. Subgroup analyses by age, sex, BMI categories and pre-existing cardiovascular disease were conducted. Mediation analyses using the g-formula were performed to quantify to which extent bone mineral density (BMD) may mediate the association between serum lipids and fracture risk. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up period of 13.8 years, 25 918 (6.8%) of the 383 530 participants without prior fracture had incident fracture cases, and 7591 (4.1%) of the 184 919 participants with primary care data and without baseline osteoporosis were diagnosed with osteoporosis. TG had nonlinear associations with fractures and osteoporosis, whereas Apo B, TC and LDL-C had linear associations. There were also nonlinear associations of Apo A and HDL-C with fractures. Individuals in the highest quintiles for Apo A (fracture: HR 1.15 [95% CI 1.10, 1.21]; osteoporosis: HR 1.13 [1.02, 1.25]) and HDL-C (fracture: HR 1.27 [1.20, 1.34]; osteoporosis: HR 1.31 [1.18, 1.46]) were associated with higher risks of fractures and osteoporosis. Conversely, those in the highest quintile for Apo B (fracture: HR 0.85 [0.81, 0.89]; osteoporosis: HR 0.86 [0.79, 0.94]), LDL-C (fracture: HR 0.89 [0.85, 0.93]; osteoporosis: HR 0.91 [0.83, 1.00]) and TG (fracture: HR 0.78 [0.74, 0.82]; osteoporosis: HR 0.75 [0.68, 0.82]) were associated with lower risks. The associations of Apo A (ratio of HR [RHR] 1.05 [1.02, 1.09]) and HDL-C (RHR 1.06 [1.03, 1.09]) with fracture risk were more pronounced in men compared to women. Except for TG and Lp(a), the associations between serum lipids and fractures appear to be partially mediated through BMD (mediation proportions: 5.30% to 40.30%), assuming causality. CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals a complex interplay between different lipid markers and skeletal health, potentially partially mediated through BMD. Routine lipid profile assessments, including HDL-C and Apo A among other lipid traits, may be integrated into the strategies for fracture risk stratification.

Longer Multimorbidity Intervals Are Associated With Lower Mortality in Diabetes: A Whole-Population Nested Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: Approximately two-thirds of diabetes patients develop multimorbidity, which is associated with increased mortality. We aimed to examine whether, and to what extent, the time interval between pre-existing diabetes and a second chronic disease may be associated with the risk of mortality. METHODS: We carried out a territory-wide nested case-control study using incidence density sampling, utilizing electronic health records from Hong Kong's public healthcare facilities. Among 158 732 patients first diagnosed with diabetes from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2012 and subsequently developed multimorbidity as of December 31, 2019, we extracted those who died before December 31, 2019 as case participants. For each participant, we randomly matched with up to 4 people of the same sex, multimorbidity age, and second chronic condition who had not died after going through the same survival period of the case participant. Multimorbidity interval was included as a continuous variable. We used conditional logistic regression to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aOR) for mortality. RESULTS: In total, 3508 case participants were matched with 14 032 control participants. Conditional logistic regression showed there were 19%-reduced odds of mortality following the extension of multimorbidity interval by 1 year. Similar associations were observed in men, women, people aged 64 years or younger, and older people aged 65 years or more. CONCLUSIONS: Delayed multimorbidity among patients living with diabetes may be related to a lower risk of mortality. This study suggests that we should focus on mitigating and lowering the risk of multimorbidity in clinical management of diabetes to reduce further complication and mortality.

Association Between Oral Fluoroquinolones and Neuropsychiatric Events: Self-Controlled Case Series With Active Comparator Design.

PURPOSE: The evidence of the neuropsychiatric effects associated with fluoroquinolones is mainly supported by case reports. Population-based evidence remains largely limited. We aimed to investigate the association between the use of fluoroquinolones and hospitalization or Accident & Emergency department visits for acute neuropsychiatric events using a self-controlled case series (SCCS) and active comparator to reduce confounding. METHODS: We conducted a SCCS with a recently described active comparator design using all public outpatient clinics, hospitalization, and Accident and Emergency department records from the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System, Hong Kong from 2001 to 2013. Among 166 325 people with an oral fluoroquinolone prescription, 4287 people who had an incident neuropsychiatric event were included. We then estimated the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of acute neuropsychiatric events during periods before and after fluoroquinolone prescription, versus baseline. We repeated the analysis for amoxicillin/clavulanic acid users as an active comparator. We then estimated the comparator-adjusted estimates by dividing the IRR for fluoroquinolone by the IRR for amoxicillin/clavulanic acid. The primary outcome was neuropsychiatric events. Secondary outcomes were psychotic events and cognitive impairment. RESULTS: An increased risk of neuropsychiatric events was observed in the current use of fluoroquinolone [IRR: 2.11 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.58-2.83)] and 1-7 days after the end of fluoroquinolone prescription [IRR: 1.90 (95% CI: 1.30-2.75)] versus baseline. No increased risk was observed in other risk periods versus baseline. Similar patterns were observed in the current use of amoxicillin/clavulanic acid [IRR: 1.92 (95% CI: 1.19-3.11)] and 1-7 days after the end of fluoroquinolone prescription [IRR: 1.81 (95% CI: 1.11-2.97)] versus baseline. Similar results were found for secondary outcomes. Using the active comparator design, comparator-adjusted estimates were 1.10 (95% CI: 0.63-1.93) in current use of fluoroquinolones and 1.05 (95% CI: 0.57-1.95) in 1-7 days postexposure to fluoroquinolones versus baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Although our study showed a higher incidence of neuropsychiatric events in the current use of fluoroquinolones and 7 days after the end of fluoroquinolones prescriptions compared with baseline, a similar temporal pattern was also found for amoxicillin/clavulanic acid users. Using amoxicillin/clavulanic acid as the active comparator, we found no difference in the risk of neuropsychiatric events associated with fluoroquinolone compared with baseline. Therefore, the risk of neuropsychiatric events may not need to influence the decision to prescribe either fluoroquinolones or amoxicillin/clavulanic acid based on the evidence in this study.

Psychotropic drug prescribing before and during the COVID-19 pandemic among people with depressive and anxiety disorders: a multinational network study.

BACKGROUND: People with mental health conditions were potentially more vulnerable than others to the neuropsychiatric effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and the global efforts taken to contain it. The aim of this multinational study was to examine the changes in psychotropic drug prescribing during the pandemic among people with depressive and anxiety disorders. METHODS: This study included electronic medical records and claims data from nine databases in six countries (France, Germany, Italy, the UK, South Korea, and the USA) of patients with a diagnosis of depressive or anxiety disorders between 2016 and 2021. The outcomes were monthly prevalence rates of antidepressant, antipsychotic, and anxiolytic drug prescribing. The associations between the pandemic and psychotropic drug prescribing were examined with interrupted time series analyses for the total sample and stratified by sex and age group. People with lived experience were not involved in the research and writing process. FINDINGS: Between Jan 1, 2016 and Dec 31, 2020, an average of 16 567 914 patients with depressive disorders (10 820 956 females [65·31%] and 5 746 958 males [34·69%]) and 15 988 451 patients with anxiety disorders (10 688 788 females [66·85%] and 5 299 663 males [33·15%]) were identified annually. Most patients with depressive disorders and anxiety disorders were aged 45-64 years. Ethnicity data were not available. Two distinct trends in prescribing rates were identified. The first pattern shows an initial surge at the start of the pandemic (eg, antipsychotics among patients with depressive disorders in MDCD_US (rate ratio [RR] 1·077, 95% CI 1·055-1·100), followed by a gradual decline towards the counterfactual level (RR 0·990, 95% CI 0·988-0·992). The second pattern, observed in four databases for anxiolytics among patients with depressive disorders and two for antipsychotics among patients with anxiety disorders, shows an immediate increase (eg, antipsychotics among patients with anxiety disorders in IQVIA_UK: RR 1·467, 95% CI 1·282-1·675) without a subsequent change in slope (RR 0·985, 95% CI 0·969-1·003). In MDCD_US and IQVIA_US, the anxiolytic prescribing rate continued to increase among patients younger than 25 years for both disorders. INTERPRETATION: The study reveals persistently elevated rates of psychotropic drug prescriptions beyond the initial phase of the pandemic. These findings underscore the importance of enhanced mental health support and emphasise the need for regular review of psychotropic drug use among this patient group in the post-pandemic era. FUNDING: University Grants Committee, Research Grants Council, The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.

The impact of inter-cycle treatment delays on 5-year all-cause mortality in early-stage breast cancer: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Inter-cycle delays to chemotherapy are often required to manage drug toxicity. The impact of delays on mortality is poorly characterised. This retrospective cohort study examined the association of treatment delay with all-cause mortality in early-stage breast cancer. METHODS: This real-world analytical study included adult women with stage 2 or 3 breast cancer receiving first-line (neo-)adjuvant chemotherapy between 01/01/2014 and 31/12/2015 in England. Inter-cycle delays > 7 days during the treatment period were calculated, and the association of treatment delay with 5-year all-cause mortality was investigated. Survival was compared between patients experiencing treatment delay and those completing treatment to schedule using landmark methodology and Kaplan-Meier (KM) estimator. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to investigate the impact of delay on survival, using inverse probability of treatment weighting to adjust for confounding variables. RESULTS: 8567 patients were included. 17 % (1448) experienced inter-cycle delay > 7 days during the treatment period. 1120 (13 %) women had died at the end of the 5-year follow up period. Median follow-up time was 5.5 years. Survival probability was significantly lower in patients experiencing treatment delay by KM estimator analysis (p < 0.0001). Cox proportional hazards regression demonstrated a significant positive association between delay and 5-year all-cause mortality (HR 1.33 95 % CI 1.12-1.61, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This is the largest study of its kind demonstrating an association between treatment delay and all-cause mortality. These findings support interventions to improve toxicity management allowing completion of chemotherapy to schedule where patients experience treatment delay due to treatment-related toxicity or hospital capacity pressures.

Comparing the effectiveness of molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir in non-hospitalized and hospitalized COVID-19 patients with type 2 diabetes: A target trial emulation study.

AIMS: To compare the effectiveness of molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir for non-hospitalized and hospitalized COVID-19 patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Territory-wide electronic health records in Hong Kong were used to perform target trial emulation using a sequential trial approach. Patients (1) aged ≥18 years, (2) with T2DM, (3) with COVID-19 infection, and (4) who received molnupiravir or nirmatrelvir-ritonavir within 5 days of infection between 16 March 2022 and 31 December 2022 in non-hospital and hospital settings were included. Molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir initiators were matched using one-to-one propensity-score matching and followed for 28 days. Risk of outcomes was compared between groups by Cox regression adjusted for baseline characteristics. Subgroup analyses were performed on age (<70 years, ≥70 years), sex, Charlson comorbidity index (<4, ≥4), and number of COVID-19 vaccine doses (<2 doses, ≥2 doses). RESULTS: Totals of 17 974 non-hospitalized (8987 in each group) and 3678 hospitalized (1839 in each group) patients were identified. Non-hospitalized nirmatrelvir-ritonavir initiators had lower risk of all-cause mortality (absolute risk reduction [ARR] at 28 days 0.80%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56-1.04; hazard ratio [HR] 0.47, 95% CI 0.30-0.73) and hospitalization (ARR at 28 days 4.01%, 95% CI 3.19-4.83; HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.66-0.82) as compared with molnupiravir initiators. Hospitalized nirmatrelvir-ritonavir initiators had reduced risk of all-cause mortality (ARR at 28 days 2.94%, 95% CI 1.65-4.23; HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.40-0.80) as compared with molnupiravir initiators. Consistent findings were found across all subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: The use of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir may be preferred to molnupiravir for COVID-19 patients with T2DM and without contraindication to either treatment.

Efficacy of COVID-19 Oral antivirals in hospitalised oldest-old with high morbidity burden: a target trial emulation study.

BACKGROUND: Molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir are orally administered pharmacotherapies for mild to moderate COVID-19. However, the effectiveness of these drugs among very old (≥80 years), hospitalised patients remains unclear, limiting the risk-benefit assessment of these antivirals in this specific group. This study investigates the effectiveness of these antivirals in reducing mortality among this group of hospitalised patients with COVID-19. METHODS: Using a territory-wide public healthcare database in Hong Kong, a target trial emulation study was conducted with data from 13 642 eligible participants for the molnupiravir trial and 9553 for the nirmatrelvir-ritonavir trial. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Immortal time and confounding bias was minimised using cloning-censoring-weighting approach. Mortality odds ratios were estimated by pooled logistic regression after adjusting confounding biases by stabilised inverse probability weights. RESULTS: Both molnupiravir (HR: 0.895, 95% CI: 0.826-0.970) and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (HR: 0.804, 95% CI: 0.678-0.955) demonstrated moderate mortality risk reduction among oldest-old hospitalised patients. No significant interaction was observed between oral antiviral treatment and vaccination status. The 28-day risk of mortality was lower in initiators than non-initiators for both molnupiravir (risk difference: -1.09%, 95% CI: -2.29, 0.11) and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (risk difference: -1.71%, 95% CI: -3.30, -0.16) trials. The effectiveness of these medications was observed regardless of the patients' prior vaccination status. CONCLUSIONS: Molnupiravir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir are moderately effective in reducing mortality risk among hospitalised oldest-old patients with COVID-19, regardless of their vaccination status.

Hip fracture is associated with a reduced risk of type 2 diabetes: A retrospective cohort study.

Objectives: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) shares a complex relationship with bone metabolism and few studies investigated the effect of impaired bone health on the risk of T2DM. This study was conducted to investigate the association between hip fractures and the risk of incident T2DM. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study using data from the real-world hip fracture cohort. Hong Kong Chinese patients aged ≥ 65 years without T2DM who were admitted to public hospitals due to a fall between 2008 and 2015 were included in the study. Patients who sustained falls with and without hip fractures were matched by propensity score (PS) at a 1:1 ratio. Competing risk regression was used to evaluate the association between hip fracture and incident T2DM, with death being the competing event. Results: A total of 23,314 hip fracture cases were matched to 23,314 controls. The median follow-up time was 5.09 years. The incidence rate of T2DM was 11.947 and 14.505 per 1000 person-years for the hip fracture and control group respectively. After accounting for the competing risk of death, the hip fracture group had a significantly lower risk of developing T2DM (HR: 0.771, 95% CI: 0.719-0.827). Similar results were observed in all subgroups after stratification by age and sex. Conclusions: Hip fracture was found to be associated with a reduced risk of T2DM. These findings provide insight into the topic of bone and glucose metabolism and prompt further research in evaluating the role of bone health in the management of T2DM.

Direct oral anticoagulants versus low-molecular-weight heparin in patients with cancer-associated venous thrombosis: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

Background: Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have demonstrated clinical benefits and better patient adherence over low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) in treating patients with cancer-associated venous thrombosis (CAT). We aimed to compare the cost-effectiveness of DOACs against LMWH in patients with CAT from the perspective of the Hong Kong healthcare system. Methods: A Markov state-transition model was performed to estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for DOACs and LMWH in a hypothetical cohort of 10,000 patients with CAT over a 5-year lifetime horizon. The model was primarily based on the health states of no event, recurrent venous thromboembolism, bleeding, and death. Transition probabilities, relative risks, and utilities were derived from the literature. Resource cost data were obtained from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses tested the robustness of the results. Results: Relative to LMWH, DOACs were associated with increased QALYs (1.52 versus 1.50) at a lower medical cost of USD 2,232 versus 8,224 in five years. The cost of LMWH was the main contributor to the outcome. Out of 10,000 simulated cases, DOACs were dominant in 15.8% and cost-effective in 42.1%, at the willingness-to-pay threshold of USD 148,392 per additional QALY. Conclusions: DOACs were associated with greater QALY improvements and lower overall costs compared to LMWH. Accounting for uncertainty, DOACs were between cost-effective and dominant in 57.9% of cases. DOACs are a cost-effective alternative to LMWH in the management of CAT in Hong Kong.

Effectiveness of post-COVID-19 primary care attendance in improving survival in very old patients with multimorbidity: a territory-wide target trial emulation.

OBJECTIVES: Older individuals with multimorbidity are at an elevated risk of infection and complications from COVID-19. Effectiveness of post-COVID-19 interventions or care models in reducing subsequent adverse outcomes in these individuals have rarely been examined. This study aims to examine the effectiveness of attending general outpatient within 30 days after discharge from COVID-19 on 1-year survival among older adults aged 85 years or above with multimorbidity. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study emulating a randomised target trial using electronic health records. SETTING: We used data from the Hospital Authority and the Department of Health in Hong Kong, which provided comprehensive electronic health records, COVID-19 confirmed case data, population-based vaccination records and other individual characteristics for the study. PARTICIPANTS: Adults aged 85 years or above with multimorbidity who were discharged after hospitalisation for COVID-19 between January 2020 and August 2022. INTERVENTIONS: Attending a general outpatient within 30 days of last COVID-19 discharge defined the exposure, compared to no outpatient visit. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome was all-cause mortality within one year. Secondary outcomes included mortality from respiratory, cardiovascular and cancer causes. RESULTS: A total of 6183 eligible COVID-19 survivors were included in the analysis. The all-cause mortality rate following COVID-19 hospitalisation was lower in the general outpatient visit group (17.1 deaths per 100 person-year) compared with non-visit group (42.8 deaths per 100 person-year). After adjustment, primary care consultations within 30 days after discharge were associated with a significantly greater 1-year survival (difference in 1-year survival: 11.2%, 95% CI 8.1% to 14.4%). We also observed significantly better survival from respiratory diseases in the general outpatient visit group (difference in 1-year survival: 6.3%, 95% CI 3.5% to 8.9%). In a sensitivity analysis for different grace period lengths, we found that the earlier participants had a general outpatient visit after COVID-19 discharge, the better the survival. CONCLUSIONS: Timely primary care consultations after COVID-19 hospitalisation may improve survival following COVID-19 hospitalisation among older adults aged 85 or above with multimorbidity. Expanding primary care services and implementing follow-up mechanisms are crucial to support this vulnerable population's recovery and well-being.

Comparative effectiveness of combination therapy with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and remdesivir versus monotherapy with remdesivir or nirmatrelvir-ritonavir in patients hospitalised with COVID-19: a target trial emulation study.

BACKGROUND: Remdesivir (Veklury, Gilead Sciences, Foster City, CA, USA) and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (Paxlovid, Pfizer, New York, NY, USA) were reported to improve the outcome of patients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19 symptoms. Preclinical data suggest that nirmatrelvir-ritonavir might be more effective than remdesivir alone or in combination with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir for people at high risk of severe COVID-19. We aimed to assess the safety and effectiveness of combining remdesivir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir compared with using each drug alone for adults hospitalised with COVID-19. METHODS: In this target trial emulation study, we used electronic health records of patients aged 18 years or older who received either combination treatment of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and remdesivir or monotherapy of either drug between March 16 and Dec 31, 2022, within 5 days of hospitalisation for COVID-19 in Hong Kong. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to balance baseline patient characteristics across the treatment groups. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Cox proportional hazards regression adjusting weighting was used to compare the risk of all-cause mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, or ventilatory support for 90 days of follow-up between groups. FINDINGS: Between March 16 and Dec 31, 2022, 18 196 participants were identified from electronic health records and assigned to receive remdesivir (n=4232), nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (n=13 656), or nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and remdesivir (n=308). By applying an inverse probability of treatment weighting, a weighted sample composed of 18 410 recipients of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and remdesivir combination treatment, 18 178 recipients of remdesivir monotherapy, and 18 287 recipients of nirmatrelvir-ritonavir monotherapy was obtained. After a median follow-up of 84 days (IQR 45-90), risk of mortality was lower in patients who received nirmatrelvir-ritonavir monotherapy (hazard ratio [HR] 0·18 [95% CI 0·15 to 0·20]; absolute risk reduction [ARR] -16·33% [95% CI -16·98 to -15·68]) or remdesivir and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir combination therapy (HR 0·66 [95% CI 0·49 to 0·89]; ARR -6·52% [95% CI -7·29 to -5·74]) than in patients who received remdesivir monotherapy. Similar results were observed for ICU admission or ventilatory support (nirmatrelvir-ritonavir monotherapy: HR 0·09 [95% CI 0·07 to 0·11]; ARR -10·04% [95% CI -10·53 to -9·56]; combination therapy: HR 0·68 [95% CI 0·42 to 1·12]; ARR -3·24% [95% CI -3·84 to -2·64]). Compared with combination therapy, nirmatrelvir-ritonavir monotherapy was associated with lower risk of mortality (HR 0·27 [95% CI 0·20 to 0·37]; ARR -9·81% [95% CI -10·39 to -9·24]) and ICU admission or ventilatory support (HR 0·13 [95% CI 0·08 to 0·22]; ARR -6·80% [95% CI -7·22 to -6·39]). INTERPRETATION: Our study highlighted the potential for reduced risk of mortality, ICU admission, or the need for ventilatory support in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 treated with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir as a monotherapy compared with treatment regimens based on nirmatrelvir-ritonavir and remdesivir combination therapy or remdesivir monotherapy. Further randomised controlled trials are needed to support the validity of the current results. FUNDING: The Health and Medical Research Fund Commissioned Research on COVID-19. TRANSLATION: For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Effectiveness and safety of continuous low-molecular-weight heparin versus switching to direct oral anticoagulants in cancer-associated venous thrombosis.

Given the existing uncertainty regarding the effectiveness and safety of switching from low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) to direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in patients with cancer-associated venous thrombosis (CAT), we conducted a comprehensive population-based cohort study utilizing electronic health database in Hong Kong. A total of 4356 patients with CAT between 2010 and 2022 were included, with 1700 (39.0%) patients switching to DOAC treatment. Compared to continuous LMWH treatment, switching to DOACs was associated with a significantly lower risk of hospitalization due to venous thromboembolism (HR: 0.49 [95% CI = 0.35-0.68]) and all-cause mortality (HR: 0.67 [95% CI = 0.61-0.74]), with no significant difference in major bleeding (HR: 1.04 [95% CI = 0.83-1.31]) within six months. These findings provide reassurance regarding the effectiveness and safety of switching from LMWH to DOACs among patients with CAT, including vulnerable patient groups.

Lithium and the risk of fractures in patients with bipolar disorder: A population-based cohort study.

Lithium is considered to be the most effective mood stabilizer for bipolar disorder. Evolving evidence suggested lithium can also regulate bone metabolism which may reduce the risk of fractures. While there are concerns about fractures for antipsychotics and mood stabilizing antiepileptics, very little is known about the overall risk of fractures associated with specific treatments. This study aimed to compare the risk of fractures in patients with bipolar disorder prescribed lithium, antipsychotics or mood stabilizing antiepileptics (valproate, lamotrigine, carbamazepine). Among 40,697 patients with bipolar disorder from 1993 to 2019 identified from a primary care electronic health record database in the UK, 13,385 were new users of mood stabilizing agents (lithium:2339; non-lithium: 11,046). Lithium was associated with a lower risk of fractures compared with non-lithium treatments (HR 0.66, 95 % CI 0.44-0.98). The results were similar when comparing lithium with prolactin raising and sparing antipsychotics, and individual antiepileptics. Lithium use may lower fracture risk, a benefit that is particularly relevant for patients with serious mental illness who are more prone to falls due to their behaviors. Our findings could help inform better treatment decisions for bipolar disorder, and lithium's potential to prevent fractures should be considered for patients at high risk of fractures.

Sex-specific comparative outcomes between oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

AIMS: Women with atrial fibrillation (AF) are under-represented in randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). This systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs and observational studies examined sex-specific outcomes of DOACs in AF. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library were searched from January 2008 to November 2022. Sex-specific comparative outcomes of stroke/systemic embolism (SE), major bleeding, intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) and gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) between oral anticoagulants were pooled using random effects models. P values for interaction were calculated to examine differences in results between sexes. RCTs and observational studies were meta-analysed separately. RESULTS: 5 RCTs and 33 observational studies were included, totalling 1 085 931 women and 1 387 123 men. Meta-analyses showed that for both sexes, DOAC versus warfarin was generally associated with lower risk of stroke/SE, major bleeding and ICH; in DOAC-DOAC comparisons, rivaroxaban versus dabigatran had higher GIB risk. The only sex-specific difference observed was that when compared with warfarin, women had higher GIB risk with rivaroxaban (women: pooled risk ratio (pRR)=1.34, 95% CI=1.18 to 1.51; men: pRR=0.97, 95% CI=0.85 to 1.10; p value for interaction (p for interaction)<0.001) and possibly dabigatran (women: pRR=1.25, 95% CI=0.92 to 1.70; men: pRR=0.83, 95% CI=0.72 to 0.97; p-for-interaction=0.02). The sex difference in GIB remained for rivaroxaban when a Bonferroni-corrected significance level was used (α=0.003). No sex-specific GIB data for apixaban and edoxaban was available for the meta-analysis. CONCLUSIONS: For both sexes, DOACs generally demonstrated favourable effectiveness and safety over warfarin. However, observational data suggested that women may have higher GIB risk with rivaroxaban and possibly dabigatran than warfarin. Further studies are warranted to verify our findings and elucidate sex-specific GIB risk with apixaban and edoxaban, of which the data is currently lacking. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022325027.

Quantifying lumbar mobility using a single tri-axial accelerometer.

Background: Lumbar mobility is regarded as important for assessing and managing low back pain (LBP). Inertial Measurement Units (IMUs) are currently the most feasible technology for quantifying lumbar mobility in clinical and research settings. However, their gyroscopes are susceptible to drift errors, limiting their use for long-term remote monitoring. Research question: Can a single tri-axial accelerometer provide an accurate and feasible alternative to a multi-sensor IMU for quantifying lumbar flexion mobility and velocity? Methods: In this cross-sectional study, 18 healthy adults performed nine repetitions of full spinal flexion movements. Lumbar flexion mobility and velocity were quantified using a multi-sensor IMU and just the tri-axial accelerometer within the IMU. Correlations between the two methods were assessed for each percentile of the lumbar flexion movement cycle, and differences in measurements were modelled using a Generalised Additive Model (GAM). Results: Very high correlations (r > 0.90) in flexion angles and velocities were found between the two methods for most of the movement cycle. However, the accelerometer overestimated lumbar flexion angle at the start (-4.7° [95 % CI -7.6° to -1.8°]) and end (-4.8° [95 % CI -7.7° to -1.9°]) of movement cycles, but underestimated angles (maximal difference of 4.3° [95 % CI 1.4° to 7.2°]) between 7 % and 92 % of the movement cycle. For flexion velocity, the accelerometer underestimated at the start (16.6°/s [95%CI 16.0 to 17.2°/s]) and overestimated (-12.3°/s [95%CI -12.9 to -11.7°/s]) at the end of the movement, compared to the IMU. Significance: Despite the observed differences, the study suggests that a single tri-axial accelerometer could be a feasible tool for continuous remote monitoring of lumbar mobility and velocity. This finding has potential implications for the management of LBP, enabling more accessible and cost-effective monitoring of lumbar mobility in both clinical and research settings.

Real-World Effectiveness and Safety of Tixagevimab-Cilgavimab: A Target Trial Emulation Study.

BACKGROUND: Immunocompromised individuals are at high risk of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and subsequent severe or fatal coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), yet they have suboptimal responses to mRNA and inactivated COVID-19 vaccines. The efficacy of tixagevimab-cilgavimab in reducing symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection was demonstrated in phase III clinical trials. Nevertheless, real-world data on the effectiveness and safety of tixagevimab-cilgavimab remain limited. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of tixagevimab-cilgavimab among immunocompromised individuals. METHODS: Adults who were immunocompromised or receiving immunosuppressive therapies were included in this target trial emulation using territory-wide electronic health records in Hong Kong. A sequential trial emulation approach was adopted to compare effectiveness and safety outcomes between individuals who received tixagevimab-cilgavimab and individuals who did not. RESULTS: A total of 746 tixagevimab-cilgavimab recipients and 2980 controls were included from 1 May 2022 to 30 November 2022. Tixagevimab-cilgavimab significantly reduced the risk of COVID-19 infection (hazard ratio [HR] 0.708, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.527-0.951) during a median follow-up of 60 days. No significant difference was observed in the risk of COVID-19-related hospitalisation. Zero versus eight COVID-19 mortality cases and zero versus two severe COVID-19 cases were observed in tixagevimab-cilgavimab recipients and controls, respectively. Notably, significant risk reduction in COVID-19 infection was also observed among immunocompromised individuals who had been previously vaccinated with three or more doses of COVID-19 vaccine, or had no prior COVID-19 infection history. CONCLUSIONS: Tixagevimab-cilgavimab was effective in reducing COVID-19 infection among immunocompromised patients during the Omicron wave. Findings were consistent among individuals who previously received three or more doses of COVID-19 vaccine, or had no previous history of COVID-19 infection.

ΔNp63-restricted viral mimicry response impedes cancer cell viability and remodels tumor microenvironment in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Tumor protein p63 isoform ΔNp63 plays roles in the squamous epithelium and squamous cell carcinomas (SCCs), including esophageal SCC (ESCC). By integrating data from cell lines and our latest patient-derived organoid cultures, derived xenograft models, and clinical sample transcriptomic analyses, we identified a novel and robust oncogenic role of ΔNp63 in ESCC. We showed that ΔNp63 maintains the repression of cancer cell endogenous retrotransposon expression and cellular double-stranded RNA sensing. These subsequently lead to a restricted cancer cell viral mimicry response and suppressed induction of tumor-suppressive type I interferon (IFN-I) signaling through the regulations of Signal transducer and activator of transcription 1, Interferon regulatory factor 1, and cGAS-STING pathway. The cancer cell ΔNp63/IFN-I signaling axis affects both the cancer cell and tumor-infiltrating immune cell (TIIC) compartments. In cancer cells, depletion of ΔNp63 resulted in reduced cell viability. ΔNp63 expression is negatively associated with the anticancer responses to viral mimicry booster treatments targeting cancer cells. In the tumor microenvironment, cancer cell TP63 expression negatively correlates with multiple TIIC signatures in ESCC clinical samples. ΔNp63 depletion leads to increased cancer cell antigen presentation molecule expression and enhanced recruitment and reprogramming of tumor-infiltrating myeloid cells. Similar IFN-I signaling and TIIC signature association with ΔNp63 were also observed in lung SCC. These results support the potential application of ΔNp63 as a therapeutic target and a biomarker to guide candidate anticancer treatments exploring viral mimicry responses.