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This study aimed to examine the association between nighttime sleep duration and emotional and behavioral problems (EBPs) among rural preschool children. This longitudinal study including 1595 preschool children aged 3-6 years from 26 kindergartens in four counties was conducted in Anhui Province rural areas. Cross-lagged panel models and multivariable logistic regressions were performed to examine the bidirectional association between nighttime sleep duration and EBPs and further explore the predictive effect of nighttime sleep duration on EBPs. Compared to baseline, preschool children at follow-up had significantly more nighttime sleep duration (10.01 ± 0.68 vs. 10.15 ± 0.69) and lower EBPs (total difficulties: 15.8% vs. 11.2%; prosocial behavior problems: 12.4% vs. 7.0%). Results of cross-lagged panel models indicated that nighttime sleep duration was a predictor for EBPs, but not vice versa. Results of logistic regression analysis showed that each 1-h increase in nighttime sleep duration at T1 was associated with a 0.77-fold reduction in the risk of total difficulties at T2 (the most adjusted OR = 0.774, 95% CI 0.607-0.988, P = 0.040), but not with the prosocial behavior. Interestingly, the predictive effect of nighttime sleep duration at T1 on EBPs at T2 was only found in girls, children aged 3 years and children with lower maternal education. The decreased nighttime sleep duration may predict future EBPs, especially in girls, younger preschool children and children with lower maternal education. Extending sleep duration may improve EBPs in preschool children.
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Comportamento Problema , Feminino , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Comportamento Problema/psicologia , Estudos Longitudinais , Duração do Sono , Inquéritos e Questionários , Emoções , SonoRESUMO
PURPOSE: The relationship between varicella zoster virus (VZV) infection and the risk of dementia has not been previously studied specifically. Therefore, this study sought to determine the relationship between studying VZV infection and dementia occurring in the general population by conducting an extensive meta-analysis of published cases. METHOD: A systematic literature search was conducted in seven online databases by October 31, 2022. Heterogeneity was tested by the I2 index. Pooled HR and 95% CI were used to estimate the effect of VZV infection on dementia. Sensitivity analyses and publication bias were also performed. RESULT: Nine studies involving 3,326,673 subjects were included. VZV infection was associated with an increased risk of dementia (HR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.02-1.21). The risk of dementia was reduced in those who received antiviral therapy compared to those who did not (HR = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.71-0.99). In addition, VZV infection was found to be associated with an increased risk of developing dementia in the pooled results of the moderate quality study (HR = 1.81,95% CI: 1.27-2.59), and this association persisted when subgroup analyses were performed based on region (Asia: HR = 1.18,95% CI: 1.04-1.33). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that VZV infection might increase the risk of developing dementia, but there is no clear mechanism about the true relationship, and since there is no effective treatment for dementia, and our results suggest that some populations can benefit from antiviral therapy, it is at least arguable that patients who develop VZV infection should be treated with appropriate antiviral medications.
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Demência , Herpes Zoster , Humanos , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Demência/epidemiologia , Demência/etiologia , Demência/tratamento farmacológico , Herpes Zoster/complicações , Herpes Zoster/epidemiologia , Herpesvirus Humano 3RESUMO
The results of environmental epidemiological studies regarding the relationship between human exposure to nickel and the risk of diabetes remain controversial. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis to investigate the relationship between nickel exposure and diabetes. PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase electronic databases were thoroughly searched from their inception to May 2023 to obtain relevant studies. The random-effects model was employed to determine pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Stratified and sensitivity analyses were also performed. Cochran Q test and I2 statistic were employed to assess heterogeneity between studies. Begg's and Egger's tests were employed to evaluate publication bias. The indicated studies were evaluated using the ROBINS-E risk of bias tool. The dose-response relationship between nickel in urine and diabetes risk was estimated by restricted cubic spline. A total of 12 studies with 30,018 participants were included in this study. In this meta-analysis, comparing the highest vs. lowest levels of nickel exposure, the pooled ORs for diabetes were 1.42 (95% confidence interval 1.14-1.78) for urine and 1.03 (0.57-1.86) for blood, respectively. A linear relationship between urinary nickel and diabetes risk was discovered in the dose-response analysis (P nonlinearity = 0.6198). Each 1 µg/L increase of urinary nickel, the risk of diabetes increased by 7% (OR = 1.07, 95% CI 1.04-1.10). The risk of diabetes was positively correlated with urine nickel exposure, whereas the risk was not significantly correlated with blood nickel. In the future, more high-quality prospective studies are needed to validate this conclusion.
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Líquidos Corporais , Diabetes Mellitus , Humanos , Níquel , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Razão de ChancesRESUMO
PURPOSE: Aspirin has been suggested to reduce the risk of cancer. However, previous studies have been inconsistent regarding the relationship between aspirin use and the risk of occurrence of prostate cancer (PCa). The purpose of this study was to assess the effect of aspirin on clinical outcomes in patients with PCa in a meta-analysis and to explore the possible dose-response relationship. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted in 10 electronic databases and 4 registries. The combined relative risks (RRs) were calculated using a random-effects model with 95% confidence interval (CIs) to assess the effect of aspirin on the risk of PCa. Relevant subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: The across studies results show that aspirin use associated with lower incidence of PCa (RR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.95-0.98), and reduced mortality (RR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.82-0.95). The results of the subgroup analysis indicated that both cohort and population studies in the Americas showed a reduction in PCa incidence and mortality with aspirin use. A linear correlation was observed between dosage/duration of aspirin use and its protective effect. Additionally, post-diagnosis aspirin use was associated with decreased risk of PCa mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis revealed an independent correlation between the use of aspirin and reductions in both the incidence and mortality rates of PCa. However, randomized controlled trials did not find any association between aspirin use and PCa. Furthermore, the impact of aspirin on PCa occurrence was found to be dependent on both dosage and duration.
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Aspirina , Neoplasias da Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Aspirina/uso terapêutico , Incidência , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Neoplasias da Próstata/epidemiologia , Neoplasias da Próstata/induzido quimicamente , RiscoRESUMO
The association between sugar-sweetened beverages intake and colorectal cancer (CRC) remains controversial. A metaanalysis was performed to clarify the correlation between sugar-sweetened beverages and CRC risk/mortality. A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Sinomed (CBM), Wanfang Data Knowledge Service Platform, and China Science and Technology Journal VIP database. Articles were restricted to be available in any language until March 31, 2022. The highest exposed categories were used to calculate the pooled relative risks (RR) values. Pooled relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were used to estimate the association of sugar-sweetened beverages with CRC risk and mortality. Heterogeneity was assessed with the Cochran Q statistic and quantified with the I2 statistic. A total of 17 studies (6 case-control and 11 cohort) involving 557,391 subjects were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled RRs for CRC incidence and mortality among people taking sugar-sweetened beverages were 1.17 (95% CI: 1.07-1.28) and 1.13 (95% CI: 0.99-1.29), respectively. In subgroup analysis, a correlation was found in the distal colon with a pooled RR of 1.41 (95% CI: 1.10-1.80). There was no correlation in the proximal colon with a pooled RR of 1.58 (95% CI: 0.79-3.17). We found statistically significant associations between CRC incidence and sugar-sweetened beverages intake in North America and Oceania, with pooled RRs of 1.16 (95% CI: 1.00-1.33) and 1.32 (95% CI: 1.13-1.55), respectively. In sensitivity analysis, after excluding each study and calculating heterogeneity and effect sizes, there was still a correlation between sugar-sweetened beverages intake and CRC risk. This meta-analysis suggests that sugar-sweetened beverages intake may increase CRC risk, independent of CRC mortality. Whether CRC risk increases with increased sugar-sweetened beverage intake needs further investigation in the future. This meta-analysis aimed to indicate the relationship between sugar-sweetened beverages intake and the risk and mortality of colorectal cancer. A total of 17 studies involving 557,391 subjects were included. The results showed that sugar-sweetened beverages may increase the risk of colorectal cancer but may not be associated with colorectal cancer mortality.
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PURPOSE: Physical activity (PA) has been suggested to reduce the risk of cancer. However, previous studies have been inconsistent regarding the relationship between PA and the risk of developing gastric cancer (GC). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the impact of PA on the incidence and mortality risk of GC through a meta-analysis, as well as investigate potential dose-response relationships. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted in 10 electronic databases and 4 registries. The combined relative risks (RRs) were calculated using a random-effects model with 95% confidence interval (CIs) to assess the effect of PA on the risk of GC. Relevant subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: The results showed that PA correlated with lower incidence of GC (RR: 0.83, 95% CI: 0.77-0.90), decreased risk of GC mortality (RR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.66-0.89). The results of the subgroup analysis showed that PA was associated with reduced incidence of GC across gender, different regions, study designs, different sites of GC and different types of PA. A linear relationship was found for frequency of PA. CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis found that PA was associated with a reduced risk of GC incidence and mortality. The correlation between PA and GC occurrence was in a dose-response relationship.
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Neoplasias Gástricas , Humanos , Neoplasias Gástricas/epidemiologia , Incidência , Risco , Exercício Físico , Projetos de PesquisaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Frailty is a complex geriatric syndrome caused by degenerative changes in the body or various chronic diseases. The use of personal care and consumer products is associated with a wide range of health outcomes, but its relationship with frailty remains unknown. Therefore, our primary aim was to explore the potential links between exposure to phenols and phthalates, either separately or in combination, and frailty. METHODS: The exposure levels of phthalates and phenols were evaluated through the measurement of metabolites in urine samples. Frailty state was assessed by a 36-item frailty index with values ≥ 0.25 indicating frailty. Weighted logistic regression was used to explore the relationship between individual chemical exposure and frailty. In addition, multi-pollutant strategies (WQS, Qgcomp, BKMR) were used to examine the joint effect of chemical mixture on frailty. A series of subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were conducted as well. RESULTS: In the multivariate logistic regression model, each unit increase in natural log-transformed BPA (OR: 1.21; 95%CI: 1.04, 1.40), MBP (OR: 1.25; 95%CI: 1.07, 1.46), MBzP (OR: 1.18; 95%CI: 1.03, 1.36), and MiBP (OR: 1.19; 95%CI: 1.03, 1.37) were significantly associated with higher odds of frailty. The results of the WQS and Qgcomp indicated that increasing quartiles of chemical mixture was associated with odds of frailty with ORs of 1.29 (95%CI: 1.01, 1.66) and 1.37 (95%CI: 1.06, 1.76). The weight of MBzP is dominant in both the WQS index and the positive weight of Qgcomp. In the BKMR model, the cumulative effect of chemical mixture was positively correlated with the prevalence of frailty. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, higher levels of BPA, MBP, MBzP, and MiBP are significantly associated with higher odds of frailty. Our study provides preliminary evidence that phenol and phthalate biomarker mixture is positively associated with frailty, with MBzP contributing most to the positive association.
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Poluentes Ambientais , Fragilidade , Ácidos Ftálicos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Humanos , Idoso , Exposição Ambiental/análise , Estudos Transversais , Fenóis/análise , Fragilidade/epidemiologia , Poluentes Ambientais/análise , Ácidos Ftálicos/metabolismoRESUMO
Perchlorate, nitrate and thiocyanate are common endocrine disruptors. Herein, this study was undertaken to evaluate the associations between perchlorate, nitrate, and thiocyanate exposures (alone or in combination) and risk of metabolic syndrome (MetS) among adults, which has not been explored so far. Analytical data were extracted from different datasets in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database. Multivariate logistic regression models were constructed to investigate the associations between perchlorate, nitrate, and thiocyanate exposures, and the prevalence of MetS. Subsequently, odds ratios (OR) and their corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were adopted to represent the magnitude of the effect size. We performed a series of subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses as well. Moreover, three commonly used mixture modeling strategies [Weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression, quantile-based g-computation (Qgcomp), and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR)] were utilized to evaluate the joint mixture effect on MetS. This study included 12,007 participants in the subsequent analyses. After adjustment for confounding factors, higher levels of perchlorate, and thiocyanate concentrations were significantly associated with the risk of MetS (OR = 1.15, 95%CI:1.00, 1.32; OR = 1.21, 95%CI:1.04, 1.41, respectively). Analyses of WQS and Qgcomp showed that a quartile increase in chemical mixture was correlated with the occurrence of MetS with ORs of 1.07 (95%CI: 0.99, 1.16) and 1.07 (95%CI: 1.00, 1.14), respectively. This positive association was mainly driven by perchlorate and thiocyanate. Analysis of BKMR revealed that perchlorate, nitrate, and thiocyanate mixture was positively associated with the risk of MetS while perchlorate, and thiocyanate were major predictors in the mixture. In summary, our study reveals positive relationships between perchlorate, thiocyanate and MetS. Co-exposure to perchlorate, nitrate and thiocyanate is positively associated with the risk of MetS, with perchlorate and thiocyanate contributing the most to the overall mixture effect.
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Síndrome Metabólica , Nitratos , Humanos , Adulto , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Estudos Transversais , Síndrome Metabólica/induzido quimicamente , Síndrome Metabólica/epidemiologia , Percloratos , Tiocianatos , Teorema de BayesRESUMO
Dioxins and dioxin-like polychlorinated biphenyls (DL-PCBs) are mainly released as by-products of human activities, often in the form of mixtures, and the potential harm on human health deserves attention. Therefore, our study aimed to analyze the combined effect of dioxins and DL-PCB exposures on hypertension (HTN) among US adults. Data of eligible participants were acquired from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Multiple logistic regression models with adjustment for covariates were applied to explore the associations between 13 persistent organic pollutants (POPs) and HTN. Stratified analyses and interaction analyses were then conducted by age and gender. Finally, the combined effects of dioxins and DL-PCBs on HTN were assessed by the weighted quantile sum (WQS) model and the Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) model. A total of 976 adults were included in our study, of whom 397 had HTN. Spearman correlations indicated positive correlations among 13 POPs. And most of them (except PCB28, PCB66, and 1,2,3,4,7,8,9-hpcdf) had significant effects on HTN. The result of WQS revealed that mixed exposure to dioxins and DL-PCBs was significantly associated with increased risk of HTN (OR: 2.205; 95% CIs: 1.555, 3.127). The BKMR model also presented a positive trend of HTN risk with exposure to multiple dioxins and DL-PCBs. And 1,2,3,4,6,7,8,9-ocdd may be the main factor for this positive association. Considering the limitations of our cross-sectional study with the small sample, further prospective studies are necessary to validate our findings.
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Dioxinas , Hipertensão , Bifenilos Policlorados , Dibenzodioxinas Policloradas , Adulto , Humanos , Dioxinas/análise , Bifenilos Policlorados/análise , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Estudos Transversais , Estudos Prospectivos , Teorema de Bayes , Dibenzodioxinas Policloradas/análise , Modelos Estatísticos , Hipertensão/induzido quimicamente , Hipertensão/epidemiologiaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: There have been reports of potential negative cardiovascular effects from the COVID-19 vaccine, such as myocarditis or pericarditis. This study sought to ascertain the risk of myocarditis/pericarditis after COVID-19 vaccination by conducting an extensive meta-analysis of published cases. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted in 7 online databases by March 31, 2022. Heterogeneity was tested by I2 index. RR and 95% CI were pooled through either random-effect or fixed-effect models. Sensitivity analysis and publication bias were also conducted. RESULTS: A total of 11 studies with 58,620,611 subjects were included. COVID-19 vaccination correlated with an increased risk of myocarditis or pericarditis (RR=2.04; 95% CI=1.33, 3.14). In addition, an increased risk of myocarditis or pericarditis in people who received the second dose of COVID-19 vaccine compared with that in those who received only the first dose of COVID-19 vaccine was also found (RR=4.06; 95% CI=2.08, 7.92). An increased incidence of pericarditis or myocarditis was noted predominantly in those who received BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 vaccines (RR=2.19; 95% CI=1.46, 3.29 and RR=4.15; 95% CI=1.87, 9.22, respectively). DISCUSSION: Study results indicate that a higher incidence of myocarditis or pericarditis was found after COVID-19 vaccination. In addition, the risk of developing myocarditis or pericarditis was greater after the second dose than after the first dose. Nevertheless, the risks of myocarditis and pericarditis in COVID-19 vaccine recipients are still significantly lower than the health risks observed in patients with COVID-19. Therefore, the benefits and harms must be carefully assessed to determine the best management option for patients who are in the high-risk group of myocarditis or pericarditis.
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Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Miocardite , Pericardite , Vacinação , Humanos , Vacina BNT162/efeitos adversos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19/efeitos adversos , Pericardite/epidemiologia , Vacinação/efeitos adversos , Miocardite/epidemiologia , Vacina de mRNA-1273 contra 2019-nCoV/efeitos adversosRESUMO
Epidemiological studies on the effect of organophosphate esters (OPEs) on high blood pressure (BP) among children and adolescents are scant. Therefore, the main objective of the present study was to explore the effect of exposure to OPEs on high BP among children and adolescents. A total of 1340 participants were included in the current analyses. Multivariable logistic regression models were implemented to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to examine the association between OPE metabolites and high BP. We also assessed the modified effect of sex, age, and overweight/obesity on this association. Furthermore, quantile g-computation (Qgcomp) and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) were exhibited to analyze the association between multiple OPE metabolite mixtures and high BP. After adjusting for covariates, the highest (vs. lowest) tertiles of bis (1-choloro-2-propyl) phosphate (BCPP), bis-2-chloroethyl phosphate (BCEP), and di-n-butyl phosphate (DBUP) were associated with 1.23 (95% CI: 0.83, 1.83), 1.27 (95% CI: 0.85, 1.92), and 1.01 (95% CI: 0.67, 1.53) odds ratios for high BP, respectively. In the Qgcomp, a quartile increase in OPE metabolite mixtures was weakly associated with an elevated risk of high BP (adjusted OR: 1.06, 95CI%: 0.81, 1.37). The results from BKMR showed a positive trend of association between OPE metabolite mixture on the risk of high BP. In conclusion, our study demonstrated that higher levels of BCPP, BCEP, and DBUP were weakly associated with high BP among US children and adolescents. Moderate evidence suggested OPE metabolite mixtures had positive joint effects on high BP. Consequently, longitudinal studies with repeated measurements are warranted to examine the relationships between multiple OPE metabolites and high blood pressure among children and adolescents.
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Retardadores de Chama , Hipertensão , Humanos , Criança , Adolescente , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Estudos Transversais , Teorema de Bayes , Ésteres , Organofosfatos , Fosfatos , Retardadores de Chama/metabolismoRESUMO
PURPOSE: Aspirin has been suggested to reduce the risk of cancer. However, previous studies have been inconsistent regarding the relationship between aspirin use and the risk of occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The purpose of this study was to assess the effect of aspirin on clinical outcomes in patients with HCC in a meta-analysis and to explore the possible dose-response relationship. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted in 10 electronic databases and 4 registries. The combined hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using a random-effects model with 95% confidence interval (CIs) to assess the effect of aspirin on the risk of HCC. Relevant subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: The results show that aspirin use correlated with lower incidence of HCC (HR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.71-0.80), decreased risk of HCC recurrence (HR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.65-0.96), and reduced mortality (HR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.60-0.87). The results of the subgroup analysis showed that aspirin use was consistently associated with reduced incidence of HCC across different regions, study designs, and populations. A linear relationship was found for both dosage and duration of aspirin use. An increased of bleeding with aspirin use among patients was also observed (HR 1.10, 95% CI: 1.02-1.20). CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis found that aspirin use was independently associated with a reduced risk of HCC incidence, recurrence, and death. Furthermore, aspirin use influenced HCC occurrence in a dose-dependent and duration-dependent manner. However, an increased risk of bleeding with aspirin use was noted.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Aspirina/uso terapêutico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/prevenção & controle , Incidência , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/prevenção & controle , Modelos de Riscos ProporcionaisRESUMO
The association between allergic respiratory diseases, such as asthma and allergic rhinitis (AR), and green space (GS) remains controversial. Our study aimed to summarize and synthesize the association between individual GS exposure and the incidence of asthma/AR. We systematically summarized the qualitative relationship between GS exposure and asthma and AR. The pooled odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was used to estimate the effect of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) on asthma and AR. A total of 21 studies were included for systematic review, and 8 of them underwent meta-analysis. In the meta-analysis of current asthma, the 0 < radius ≤ 100 m group, 100 < radius ≤ 300 m group, and 500 < radius ≤ 1000 m group presented weak negative associations between the NDVI and current asthma. For ever asthma, slight positive associations existed in the 0 < radius ≤ 100 m group and 300 < radius ≤ 500 m group. In addition, the NDVI might slightly reduce the risk of AR in radius of 100 m and 500 m. Our findings suggest that the effects of GS exposure on asthma and AR were not significant. Differences in GS measurements, disease diagnoses and adjusted confounders across studies may have an impact on the results. Subsequent studies should consider potential confounding factors and use more accurate GS exposure measurements to better understand the impact of GS exposure on respiratory disease in the population.
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Asma , Rinite Alérgica , Humanos , Incidência , Parques Recreativos , Rinite Alérgica/epidemiologia , Asma/epidemiologia , Razão de ChancesRESUMO
Spicy food is popular with people around the world and reports on the association between spicy food intake and esophageal cancer (EC) risk have been controversial. Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis of 25 studies to provide the latest evidence for this uncertainty. We hypothesized that high spicy food intake is associated with an increased risk of EC. A database was searched to identify case-control or cohort studies of spicy food intake associated with EC through March 2022. Combined odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% CIs were used to estimate the effect of spicy food intake on EC. Subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were also performed. All data were analyzed using STATA 15.1 software. Twenty-five studies from 22 articles met the inclusion criteria for the meta-analysis (7810 patients with EC and 515,397 controls). Despite significant heterogeneity (P < .001), the comparison of highest versus lowest spicy food intake in each study showed a significant OR of 1.70 (95% CI, 1.30-2.22). In subgroup analyses, this positive association was found among the Chinese population, different sample sizes of EC, different sources of the control group, and different quality of articles. However, for India, as well as for other countries, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and esophageal adenocarcinoma showed no statistically significant association. This meta-analysis suggests that high levels of spicy food intake may be associated with an increased risk of EC, although 1 prospective study found an inverse association. Additional studies are necessary to confirm the relationship between spicy food and EC risk.
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Neoplasias Esofágicas , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas do Esôfago , Humanos , Ingestão de Alimentos , Neoplasias Esofágicas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Esofágicas/etiologia , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas do Esôfago/complicações , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
Organophosphate esters (OPEs) are widely used as flame retardants and plasticizers worldwide. Therefore, the potentially deleterious effect of OPE on human beings deserves extensive attention. The primary objective of this present study was to untangle the relationship between OPE exposure and cardiovascular disease (CVD) among general population. Detailed information about participants' baseline characteristics, involving socioeconomic data, demographic data and key covariates was obtained from National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2011-2018. Multivariate logistic regression models with adjustment for prior-determined covariates were utilized to examine the relationship between various OPEs and CVD among US adults and calculate odd ratios (ORs) and corresponding confidence intervals (CIs). Two multi-pollutant statistical strategies (weighted quantile sum regression and Bayesian kernel machine regression) were employed to investigate the joint effect of OPE mixture on CVD. A total of 5067 participants were included in this study. In completely-adjusted logistic model, the highest tertiles of OPE metabolites were positively associated with CVD risk, while the relationships did not reach statistical significance. The weighted quantile sum (WQS) index was significantly correlated with increased prevalence of CVD (adjusted OR: 1.25; CI: 1.02, 1.53, p value = 0.032) and Diphenyl phosphate (DPHP) was the greatest contributor (31.38%). The BKMR also indicated that mixed OPE exposure associated with an increased risk of CVD. Taken together, the present study demonstrated that there were possible links between OPE exposures and increased risk of CVD, while the relationships did not reach statistical significance. Our study provided the suggestive evidence that cumulative effect of OPE mixtures on CVD. DPHP may be a major driver of this positive association. Given the limitation of cross-sectional design and relatively limited kinds of OPE metabolites, further studies are warranted to longitudinally evaluate the potential effect of a wider range of OPEs on CVD or cardiac metabolism.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares , Poluentes Ambientais , Retardadores de Chama , Adulto , Teorema de Bayes , Compostos de Bifenilo , Doenças Cardiovasculares/induzido quimicamente , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Ésteres , Retardadores de Chama/metabolismo , Humanos , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Organofosfatos/metabolismo , Organofosfatos/toxicidade , Fosfatos , Plastificantes/metabolismoRESUMO
PURPOSE: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has shown unprecedented impact world-wide since the eruption in late 2019. Importantly, emerging reports suggest an increased risk of thromboembolism development in patients with COVID-19. Meanwhile, it is found that aspirin reduced mortality in critically ill patients with non-COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome. Therefore, a meta-analysis was performed to investigate the effects of aspirin on COVID-19 mortality. METHODS: A systematic literature search was conducted in 10 electronic databases and 4 registries. Random effects models were used to calculate pooled relative risks (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (Cis) to estimate the effect of aspirin on COVID-19 mortality. Relevant subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were also performed. RESULTS: The results showed that aspirin use was associated with a reduction in COVID-19 mortality (adjusted RR 0.69; 95% CI 0.50-0.95; P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis found that the low-dose group was associated with a reduced COVID-19 mortality (adjusted RR 0.64; 95% CI 0.48-0.85; P < 0.01). Aspirin use was associated with reduced COVID-19 mortality in Europe and America (crude RR 0.71; 95% CI 0.52-0.98; P = 0.04), and results from cohort studies suggested that aspirin use was a protective factor for COVID-19 mortality (adjusted RR 0.73; 95% CI 0.52-0.99; P = 0.04). Meanwhile, aspirin use was not associated with bleeding risk (crude RR 1.22; 95% CI 0.80-1.87; P = 0.96). CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis found that aspirin use was associated with a reduction in mortality in patients with COVID-19 and not with an increased risk of bleeding.
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Aspirina , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Aspirina/uso terapêutico , Estado Terminal , Hemorragia/induzido quimicamente , Humanos , PandemiasRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Diabetic peripheral neuropathy (DPN) is one of the most serious complications of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). DPN increases the risk of ulcers, foot infections, and noninvasive amputations, ultimately leading to long-term disability. METHODS: Seven hundred patients with T2DM were investigated from 2013 to 2017 in the Sanlin community by obtaining basic data from the electronic medical record system (EMRS). From September 2018 to July 2019, 681 patients (19 missing) were investigated using a questionnaire, physical examination, biochemical index test, and follow-up Toronto clinical scoring system (TCSS) test. Patients with a TCSS score ≥6 points were diagnosed with DPN. After removing missing values, 612 patients were divided into groups in a 3:1 ratio for external validation. Using different Lasso analyses (misclassification error, mean squared error, -2log-likelihood, and area under curve) and a logistic regression analysis of the training set, models A, B, C, and D were established. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, dynamic component analysis (DCA) measurements, net classification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were used to validate discrimination and clinical practicality of the model. RESULTS: Through data analysis, model A (containing four factors), model B (containing five factors), model C (containing seven factors), and model D (containing seven factors) were built. After calibration, ROC curve, DCA, NRI and IDI, models C and D exhibited better accuracy and greater predictive power. CONCLUSION: Four prediction models were established to assist with the early screening of DPN in patients with T2DM. The influencing factors in model C and D are more important factors for patients with T2DM diagnosed with DPN.
Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Neuropatias Diabéticas , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Neuropatias Diabéticas/diagnóstico , Neuropatias Diabéticas/epidemiologia , Neuropatias Diabéticas/etiologia , Humanos , Curva ROC , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to study risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD) in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients and establish a clinical prediction model. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 3402 T2DM patients were diagnosed by clinical doctors and recorded in the electronic medical record system (EMRS) of six Community Health Center Hospitals from 2015 to 2017, including the communities of Huamu, Jinyang, Yinhang, Siping, Sanlin and Daqiao. From September 2018 to September 2019, 3361 patients (41 patients were missing) were investigated using a questionnaire, physical examination, and biochemical index test. After excluding the uncompleted data, 3214 participants were included in the study and randomly divided into a training set (n = 2252) and a validation set (n = 962) at a ratio of 3:1. Through lead absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis and logistic regression analysis of the training set, risk factors were determined and included in a nomogram. The C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to validate the distinction, calibration and clinical practicality of the model. RESULTS: Age, T2DM duration, hypertension (HTN), hyperuricaemia (HUA), body mass index (BMI), glycosylated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), high-density lipoprotein (HDL-C) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL-C) were significant factors in this study. The C-index was 0.750 (0.724-0.776) based on the training set and 0.767 (0.726-0.808) based on the validation set. Through ROC analysis, the set area was 0.750 for the training set and 0.755 for the validation set. The calibration test indicated that the S:P of the prediction model was 0.982 in the training set and 0.499 in the validation set. The decision curve analysis showed that the threshold probability of the model was 16-69% in the training set and 16-73% in the validation set. CONCLUSION: Based on community surveys and data analysis, a prediction model of CHD in T2DM patients was established.
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PURPOSE: The study aimed to identify diseases that exhibit significant differences between hyperuricaemia (HUA) and non-hyperuricaemia (NHUA) groups and analyse the risk factors for HUA based on the related diseases in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: A total of 3264 T2DM patients were investigated from 2013 to 2017 in the Jinyang and Sanlin communities by obtaining basic data from the electronic medical record system (EMRS). From September 2018 to July 2019, 3000 patients (264 patients were missing during follow-up) were investigated with questionnaires, physical examinations and biochemical index tests. After removing missing values, 2899 patients were divided into HUA and NHUA groups. The chi-square test was used to identify diseases with differences. Using Lasso analysis and logistic regression analysis, risk factors for HUA based on the related diseases were obtained. The C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration plot were used to validate the discrimination and accuracy of the factors. RESULTS: The chi-square test showed that there were significant differences in coronary heart disease (CHD) and diabetic nephropathy (DN) between the HUA group and the NHUA group. Through Lasso regression, glycosylated haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), triglyceride (TG), blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and serum creatinine (SCR) were screened in the CHD group. Body mass index (BMI), HbA1c, total cholesterol (TC), TG, BUN, SCR and urine microalbumin (UMA) were screened in the DN group. The P-value of all the variables was less than 0.05. Through the C-index, calibration, and ROC curve analyses, these risk factors had medium accuracy. CONCLUSION: HUA was significantly related to CHD and DN. The level of UA was correlated with HbA1c, TG, BUN, and SCR based on CHD. The level of UA was associated with BMI, HbA1c, TC, TG, BUN, SCR, and UMA based on DN.
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PURPOSE: This study aimed to develop a diabetic nephropathy (DN) or diabetic retinopathy (DR) incidence risk nomogram in China's population with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) based on a community-based sample. METHODS: We carried out questionnaire evaluations, physical examinations and biochemical tests among 4219 T2DM patients in Shanghai. According to the incidence of DN and DR, 4219 patients in our study were divided into groups of T2DM patients with DN or DR, patients with both, and patients without any complications. We successively used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis and logistic regression analysis to optimize the feature selection for DN and DR. To ensure the accuracy of the results, we carried out multivariable logistic regression analysis of the above significant risk factors on the sample data for both DN and DR. The selected features were included to establish a prediction model. The C-index, calibration plot, curve analysis and internal validation were used to validate the distinction, calibration, and clinical practicality of the model. RESULTS: The predictors in the prediction model included disease course, body mass index (BMI), total triglycerides (TGs), systolic blood pressure (SBP), postprandial blood glucose (PBG), haemoglobin A1C (HbA1c) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN). The model displayed moderate predictive power with a C-index of 0.807 and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.807. In internal verification, the C-index reached 0.804. The risk threshold was 16-75% according to the analysis of the decision curve, and the nomogram could be applied in clinical practice. CONCLUSION: This DN or DR incidence risk nomogram incorporating disease course, BMI, TGs, SBP, PBG, HbA1c and BUN can be used to predict DN or DR incidence risk in T2DM patients. The research team has developed an online app based on a clinical prediction model incorporating risk factors for rapid and simple prediction.